We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neil goes solo to discuss Army vs Navy and College Bowl motivational spots. First, Kiev talks about the direction that The OddsBreakers is heading. Next, Kiev breaks down the Army vs Navy game and what it might take to make a play! Then, we get into college bowl motivation and how important it is for handicapping these games! Which teams might try hard and which teams might now. Next, Kiev discusses NFL week 14 with some game break downs and some more plays. After that, Kiev give out his Refuse To Lose teaser that has been losing lately at 5-8 this year yet was 11-6 last year. Next, Kiev gives out a UFC play in the main event for the weekend. Finally, Kiev gets into some sharp line movements to close out the show!
NFL: Buffalo vs Tampa Bay – Chicago vs Green Bay and more!
NCAA: Army vs Navy and more!
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Thursday night 5* NFL Power System with 14-1 Top Level system specific to Thursday nights headlines. NCAAB Comp play below
The NCAAB Comp play is on Grand Canyon plus the points over Arizona St at 8:30 eastern. The Antelopes have home loss revenge for a 1 point loss to AZ.St last December. The Antelopes are even better this season. They have covered 7 straight as a dog and 4 of 5 vs losing teams. In games off a win they have covered 15 of 21. They have an RPI Scale ranking that is 60 spots better than Arizona St has failed to cover 3 of 4 vs a winning team, 21 of 27 ass a favorite including 5 straight at home. They are 1-7 ats on Thursdays, 1-8 ats off a win. Look for The Antelopes to get the cover.. On Thursday we have a TOP 5* NFL 14-1 Power System Play headlining. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on now and cash out. For the NCAAB Comp play. Go with Grand Canyon plus the points. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
We’re back on our weekly NFL podcast and these weeks are getting more and more important (and nerve-racking)! We’re on the very first page of the CIRCA MILLION standings, top 40, at a record of 42-22-1! Cheer us on, check out our NFL takes and spread the word about FarleyBets!
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NFL Circa Picks: 42-22-1
NBA: 83-71 (54%), +11.64 units
I cashed a free play winner with the Knicks last night. In addition to this free play, I have 2 premium NBA plays for my members tonight. Premium plays are hitting at a 61% clip(80-50-1) and have netted my members +42.2u. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9
*NBA(1u): Mavericks +3.5(-110) @ Grizzlies–7:10 PM CT
Memphis has won each of their last 5 games even while down star G Ja Morant. They famously beat the Thunder by an astounding 73 points last week and have followed that up with impressive road wins at Miami and Dallas. However, in that Dallas game, the Mavericks were down Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis; both of those guys are slated to play tonight. Dallas did play a close game against Brooklyn last night, but considering they had 2 days off prior to last night, I don’t worry as much about fatigue going into this game. Dallas also has the depth at G(Tim Hardaway Jr, Jalen Brunson) to match up well with this Grizzlies bunch. Memphis simply cannot continue to play so well without their centerpiece in the lineup. At some point, guards Desmond Bane and Dillon Brooks will cool off. The 3-and-a-hook is just enough to get me on Dallas tonight.
Premium Plays: 80-50-1, +42.2u
*NBA(1u): Knicks +5(-110) @ Pacers–6:10 PM CT
We cashed a free play winner with the Knicks last night, and I see value in playing on them once again tonight. I had hopes that this Indiana team would turn a corner after a slow start, but after continuing to struggle, rumors have swirled around Domantas Sabonis, Myles Turner, and Malcolm Brogdon all being on the trade block. Suffice to say, this isn’t a team that should be laying 5 points against a comparable(or possibly superior) opponent. While Indiana did win their last game against an overvalued Washington team, they lost each of the 4 games prior to that. I think the market is still undervaluing the Knicks after a mediocre start, so I’ll play on them once again tonight.
*NBA(1u): Nets -6(-110) @ Rockets–7:10 PM CT
This is absolutely a trap spot for Brooklyn coming off a tight game in Dallas last night, but I really don’t care. Brooklyn has mopped the floor with the bottom-feeders of the league this season, and they’re poised to do the same tonight. While the Rockets have won their past 6 games, those last 4 wins have come against Oklahoma City(2x), Orlando, New Orleans; these teams are equally as poor as the Rockets. Prior to their recent run, they lost 15 straight games. Most importantly, they are still without their star Kevin Porter Jr; as they start to play actual professional teams, they won’t continue to win without him in the lineup. There’s a chance the Nets rest Kevin Durant tonight after he played 40 minutes last night, so you might be able to get a better line close to game time. Either way, the Nets are the far deeper team and match up well with a truly horrible Rockets bunch. I’ll buy right into this trap and lay the 6 with Brooklyn.
Hey people! I’m going to be real short with this article today because 1) you don’t have time to read 10000 words, 2) I don’t have time to write it and 3) this is a pretty damn simple handicap. Let’s keep winning!
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NFL Circa Picks: 42-22-1
NBA: 83-71 (54%), +11.64 units
Blazers Team Total under 101 (-115), 2 units: This is a really straightforward handicap. Here’s where the Warriors currently place on defense:
Any questions? The Warriors have been the best defense all year and they rank 1st in defensive efficiency by a wide-margin because of it. The Blazers, on the other hand, are reeling. Portland has lost 6 of its last 7 games, Lillard is OUT for this game and now CJ McCollum has been diagnosed with a bruised lung and will be OUT for some time, too. In case you’re unaware, those are their top 2 scorers.
Without Lillard and McCollum, with their confidence fading, and going up against a defensive juggernaut at Golden State is not a recipe for offensive success.
Take the Blazers TT under and don’t look back!
Topsy-Turvy start to this college basketball season. Currently sitting at 42-38-1 +8.91 units. A big chunk of that last night going 3-1 +4.67 Units. I’ve had 5-0 days and 0-5 days. Hoping to build on last night into a some level of consistency. Not having CFB to look at every night means more CBB plays coming and today is the most action for me all year as I’ve got 6 games I like today and 10 total bets with some ML sprinkling. Get all my plays available here https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-levels/
Here we go!
Utah Valley State visits Southern Utah (-6.5) O/U 142.5. Utah Valley comes in at 7-1 while Southern Utah holds a record of 5-3. This is the 9th meeting between the schools with the series tied at 4 wins a piece. Southern Utah has won the last three meetings. Southern Utah will join UVU in the WAC next year so this is essentially a rivalry game of the future. Southern Utah is 4-1 straight up in last 5 games and is 4-1 ATS in those 5. UVU is 5-0 in their last 5 games and also 4-1 ATS.
Utah Valley pulled one of the bigger upsets of the season their last time out knocking off BYU at home in OT 72-65. BYU had no answer for UVU 6’11” big man Fardaws Aimaq. He thrashed them for 24 points and 22 rebounds. (He’s averaging 21ppg and 15 rpg) 6th man Justin Harmon also put up 24 points against BYU. They need the rest of their lineup to be more consistent and knock down open shots. When they do that they are tough to beat.
Southern Utah has much more depth and experience especially in the backcourt as they feature 4 different players in averging in double figures on the year. Senior guard John Knight III leads the way at 18.3 ppg, and he has two other senior guards starting along side him in Tevian Jones and Dre Marin.
Both these teams like to push the ball as SUU is 11th in the country in possessions per game and UVU is 44th.
For me this game comes down to taking care of the ball and efficiency. Southern Utah has the edge in ball security, but UVU has a slight edge in Offensive Efficiency and a big one the defensive side of the ball. Southern Utah Sophomore Center Jason Spurgin will be tasked with containing Aimaq, and in their three losses he has struggled mightily against the big men from Cal, St Mary’s and Dixie State. I see much of the same happening tonight.
I like the Utah Valley Wolverines to cover in this one. Gimme UVU +6.5 for 2.5 Units and sprinkle. Also throwing 1 unit at the Over.
Adding Blazers TT under 101 **
