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November 11th NBA Free Play
A 2-1 Wednesday in the NBA brought my November record to 17-9, +8.03u. 2 premium winners set my premium record at 60-28-1, +45.9u. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9
*NBA(1u): Clippers -4(-110) vs Heat–9:40 PM CT
This is a bad spot for Miami. The Heat played an OT game with the Lakers last night and now have to come back the very next night and play a superior and rested Clippers bunch. Jimmy Butler exited last night’s game and likely will be out again tonight; in his place, Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson, and Tyler Herro each played at least 42 minutes last night. You also have to factor in the fact that, given some of the personalities in the Heat locker room, those guys were out living it up in LA last night. While there are flaws with the Clippers, they are in the midst of a 5 game winning streak and seem to be gelling nicely early in the season. Also, this will be their 3rd game of a 6-game home stretch, meaning they have a major scheduling/rest advantage entering this matchup. I think we see the Heat taper off in the second half given the amount of minutes they played last night. This should be competitive for awhile, but ultimately, I like the Clippers to pull away.
November 11th NFL Premium Play
Premium Record: 60-28-1, +45.9u
*NFL(1u): Ravens/Dolphins UNDER 46.5(-110)–7:20 PM CT
The Ravens defense has underperformed at times this season, but this is the perfect “get right” spot. The Dolphins have zero ability to establish the running game; against the Texans last week, Myles Gaskin amassed just 34 yards on 20 carries. Whether it be Tua or Jacoby Brissett, I don’t think either QB is going to be able to beat the Ravens through the air. That said, I expect Brian Flores(a defensive minded HC) to have his defense ready to roll tonight. The Dolphins have allowed just 35 points over their last 2 games and should have a pretty good idea of what the Ravens want to do. The Ravens RB situation is not ideal, and Lamar Jackson is still prone to some inconsistency. If the Ravens do come out hot, there doesn’t seem to be much incentive in extending this game more than necessary. The total has been steamed down a bit from the opener at 48, but even so, I see value on this Under tonight.
Rob Vinciletti: Thursday NHL “TOTAL” Domination
Thursday night 100% NFL Game Of the Month with an Undefeated Thursday specific System. There is also a Rare 6* Total in College hoops and Soccer. NHL Comp Play below.
The NHL Comp Play is on the Over 5.5 goals in the Minnesota at Vegas game at 10:05 eastern. Minnesota has gone over in 7 of 8 with no rest and 4 of 5 vs a winning team. They are 7th in the league in scoring and first in Shots on goal per game. That plays right into the Vegas defense which is ranked 31st in Shots allowed and 24th in overall defense. The Knights are 4 of 4 over as a favorite, 15 of 20 on Thursdays and 3 of 4 over in a 4 game in 6 night scenario. Look for this game to push over the total. On Thursday we have a Rare 6* College Hoops total and the Thursday night NFL Game Of The Month from a 100% Thursday Specific System and a Rare 6* College Hoops total. Wednesday card sweeps. See us on goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on now as we continue to cash. For the NHL Comp Play. Go with the Over 5.5 goals in the Minnesota vs Vegas game. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
DFS Take: TNF Single Slate Bal @ Mia
TNF match up in South Beach, where I expect to see an ELECTRIC performance from Lamar Jackson. Currently 1-1 with our single slate DFS articles after our MVP Travis Kelce was a complete ghost during our MNF slate a week ago. There will be no apparition in tonight’s slate as we dominate our DFS Slate!
Tonight’s slate will have a ton and I mean a TON of usage with Lamar Jackson as MVP, and for good reason. He is the Ravens playmaker, the best player on the field, and puts up the big numbers week to week. For tonight’s line up I recommend making at minimum two line ups for each slate you enter. For example, if you have a line up with Lamar and Hollywood Brown, rotate them both as MVP. If we are expecting a big night from Lamar, there is a good chance there could be one in store for a designated receiver we decide as well. Let’s see how it plays out:
(per Fanduel, adjust accordingly for your platform)
MVP: Lamar Jackson @ $17,500. No surprise here. Dude is a play maker not only on the ground this year, but getting it done through the air. There will be a high usage at MVP tonight, my guess over 60%. I can not get away from the narrative of him returning an hour South of his hometown and putting on an absolute show in primetime football. Due to taking a high usage/high percentage player, we have to find the low volume usage, with upside value else where.
First two flex spots: Two Ravens players I like in tonight’s game is Hollywood Brown and Devonta Freeman. Hollywood Brown @ $13,500. I am playing the Florida to Florida connection in this primetime game. Both players will want to show out for their home state and will do so in electric fashion. Devonta Freeman @ $10,500. Freeman has emerged as the Ravens lead touchdown back, and the upside is he’s getting the targets out of the backfield as well. I am looking for the Ravens to build a quick lead with the likes of Jackson and Brown together and Freeman putting the Dolphins away down the stretch.
Last two flex spots: Most likely Dolphins will be playing from behind and with Qb status up in the air until kick off I do not like the price tag of either Brissett nor Tua. I am looking for the Dolphins to be forced into a pass heavy offense to play catch up. Bringing the last two spots to Jaylen Waddle and Mack Hollins. Jaylen Waddle @ $12,000. He is the Dolphins clear number 1 and is getting high volume targets from either Qb. Mack Hollins @ $6500. This is our “value play” that could set us apart from the field having the high usage in MVP in Lamar. Dolphins are rather thin at Wr and Hollins has gotten volume from both Qbs in a couple of games. He has the speed on the outside that is capable of a big “homerun” play.
Lets bounce back this week! Good luck everyone and thank you for your support!
Premiums 11.11 and NFL Week 10 Picks
Can’t hit the panic button after a weird night in the NBA. Onto the next! Could add more NFL picks but I want to get these out now. Stay tuned. CFB picks are incoming tomorrow!
NBA Today:
- OG Anunoby over 21 points (+108, 1 unit to win 1.08 – Siakam is out for this game, which should free up more room for OG to work. He’s been really good so far this season)
- Jazz -9 * (Only 1 unit since the Pacers are completely insane and it’s hard to know what to expect, but the Jazz, at home, healthy, and in a good spot when Indiana is off a back to back? Hard to not bet)
- Heat TT under 106 ** (LAC is top 10 in so many different defensive categories and now the Heat are without Jimmy B on a back to back)
NFL Week 10:
- Ravens -7.5 *
- Patriots -1.5 **
- Patriots/Browns under 45.5 **
- Cowboys -9 **
- Saints/Titans over 44.5 **
- Bucs/WFT over 51.5 **
- Cardinals -10 **
- Seahawks +3 ** (if Russ plays, he should)
- Raiders +2.5 **
- Raiders win *
- Broncos/Rams parlay: 1 unit to win 1.52 units
- Teaser of the Week (7 points) ***
- Cowboys -2
- Browns +8.5
- Seahawks +10
Podcast 78 – 21 – Big 10 Basketball Preview – NFL Week 10 and College Football Week 11 Info and Plays – Sharp Line Movements – UFC – Sports Betting
Time captioned below! We have such a great show for you today. Kiev O’Neil is going solo because he has a lot of info to give you that he has worked on for the last few weeks! First, Kiev talks about the fact that sports are not premeditatedly rigged yet we do have to deal with officiating variance that could help the square yet hurt the more knowledgeable sports bettor. Then, Kiev gives us his BIG 10 basketball preview with teams ranked 1st – 14th! Which teams have improved, which teams will regress, and which teams have changed their pace of play? Next, Kiev talks some college football betting angles for week 11 and gets right into some big games, and some FREE PLAYS! After that, Kiev breaks down the full slate of NFL games from an ATS perspective with some information, leans and more picks and plays. Next, we give out our REFUSE TO LOSE teaser that is now 5-4 so far for the NFL 2021 season as well as a UFC fight night free play. Finally, Kiev gets into some sharp line movements to close out the show!
0 – 10:05 – Intro and officiating variance
10:05 – 43:05 – Big 10 College Basketball Preview
43:05 – 56:02 – College Football Week 11
56:02 – 1:20:45 – NFL Week 10 and Teaser
1:20:45 – 1:25:24 – UFC Fight Night
125:24 – 1:27:45 – The Sharp Side of The Force
NFL: Atlanta vs Dallas – Cleveland vs New England and more!
NCAA: Minnesota vs Iowa – Miami vs Florida State – and more!
Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.
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#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing
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NFL Week 10 Motivational Spots
Let Down Spots:
- Atlanta at Dallas after that big Saints win.
- Jacksonville at Indianapolis after that big Bills win.
- Tennessee hosting New Orleans after beating the Rams straight up.
- Denver hosting Philadelphia after beating the Cowboys might be one.
Rest Spots:
- Jets extra rest from Thursday hosting the Bills
- Indianapolis extra rest from Thursday hosting the Jaguars
- Lions at Steelers coming off the bye.
- Steelers short week facing the Lions from Monday Night.
- Seattle extra rest at Green Bay after the bye.
- The Buccaneers extra rest and Washington extra rest facing each other off the bye.
Get Up Spots:
- Buffalo at NY Jets after losing to the Jags.
- New Orleans at Tennessee after losing to Atlanta.
- Dallas hosting Atlanta after losing to Denver.
Look Ahead Spots:
- The Cardinals might look past Carolina to Seattle.
Free CBB Premium Pick with Analysis for Wednesday, November 10th
Hey all! We started the College Basketball season with 2 winners last night and were looking to make it 3 tonight! We have 2 premium plays for tonight and one of them is below. Whether you tail or not, good luck to everyone with their plays today!!
Updated Monthly Pass at The Odds Breakers COMING SOON!
The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will host the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs at Thomas & Mack Center tonight. Gardner-Webb enters this one after finishing with a mark of 11-15 last year and coughed up the ball 11.7 times per game, pulled in 34.4 boards per contest and shot 69.0% from the free throw line. They averaged 70.7 points per game (192nd in the nation) while hitting 44.4% from the floor. On defense, the Bulldogs forced their opponents into 12.2 turnovers per contest and allowed an opponent shooting percentage of 41.7% and they were 117th in the nation in points per game allowed (68.4). UNLV owned a record of 12-15 last year, turned it over 12.5 times per contest and averaged 69.4 per contest last season and they collected 36.0 rebounds per contest. Gardner Webb averaged 56.3 field goal attempts per game last season which ranked them 236th in the country while UNLV had 57.8 field goal attempts per game. Additionally, in UNLV’s 24 games last season, only 6 went over this contest’s total of 145.5 points while the Rebels had an average point total of 139.7 in their games last season. Gardner-Webb played 10 games last season that finished with a combined score over 145.5 points and their average over/under for their matchups last year was 139.3. With this being the first game of the season for both squads and the pace expected to be very slow, I like the total to stay under. Take Under 145.5
Laying the Points with FarleyBets: NFL Week 10 ATS Breakdown
The season trudges on and Steve and I keep churning out winners (okay, especially Steve)! Check out another ATS breakdown of every game in NFL Week 10!
For my premium picks delivered to your inbox EVERY DAY, click here!
MLB Season: 231-199 (54%)
NFL Season: 57-54, +7.2 units
NFL Circa Picks: 32-17-1
NBA 21/22 Season: 37-26 (59%), +15.64 units
