Rob Vinciletti: Thursday College Football Power System Play
NFL Week 9 and 11.4 Premiums
Welp, yesterday SUCKED. Not sure what happened in the cosmos for us to experience THAT level of regression but, onto the next!
- Jazz ML ***
- Celtics TT under 104.5 **
- Jets/Colts under 46 **
- Texans/Dolphins under 45.5 *
- Ravens -6 **
- Falcons +6 **
- Bengals -1 *
- Giants +3 **
- Chargers -2 **
- Titans +8 ***
- Steelers -6.5 **
- Bears TT under 16.5 **
Podcast 76 – 21 – With ESPN’s David Bearman – NFL Week 9 and College Football Week 10 Info and Plays – Sharp Line Movements – UFC 268 – Sports Betting
We have such a great show for you today that it’s frightening! ESPN’s deputy editor of sports betting Mr. David Bearman @DBearmanESPN is back to break down some NFL! First, talks about some crazy news this week in the NFL and how shocking is has been to us all. Next, David comes on to break down the full slate of NFL games from an ATS perspective with some information, leans and FREE PLAYS. Then, Kiev give’s out his REFUSE TO LOSE teaser that is now 5-3 so far for the NFL 2021 season even after he had to switch it due to line movement (both would have hit anyways). After that, Kiev goes into some college football picks for the weekend as well as some UFC 268 with plays on the main card. Finally, Kiev gets into some sharp line movements to close out the show!
NFL: Denver vs Dallas – Green Bay vs Kansas City and more!
NCAA: Wisconsin vs Rutgers – Auburn vs Texas A&M and more!
Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.
If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds21 for 20% off the price!
#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing
If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves! Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev. You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.
NFL Week 9 Motivational Spots
Potential Let Down Spots:
- Green Bay at Kansas City after beating the Cardinals when they shouldn’t have.
- The NY Jets at Indianapolis after beating Cincinnati.
- New England at Carolina after beating the Chargers is possible.
- The Titans at LA Rams after going overtime with the Colts and won.
Rest Spots:
- Baltimore hosting the Vikings after the bye.
- Las Vegas at the Giants after the bye.
- Arizona at San Francisco from Thursday.
- Green Bay at Kansas City form Thursday.
- Giants on short week vs Las Vegas from Monday.
- Kansas City on a short week hosting the Packers Monday.
Get Up Spots:
- Colts hosting the Jets is one.
- Browns better show up at Cincinnati.
- Chargers at Eagles after 2 losses in a row.
- The Dolphins hosting the Texans need to do something.
Potential Look Ahead Spots:
- None
Laying the Points with FarleyBets – NFL Week 9 ATS Breakdown
Steve and I break down another week of NFL action!
For my premium picks delivered to your inbox EVERY DAY, click here!
NBA 20/21 Season: 207-152 (58%)
NBA 21/22 Season: 26-15 (63%), +17.78 units
MLB Season: 231-199 (54%)
NFL Season: 57-54, +7.2 units
NFL Week 8 Misleading Final Scores
- The LA Chargers out-gained New England 369 to 352 yet lost 27-24. A 2-1 turnover ratio got them.
- Jacksonville out-gained Seattle 309 to 229 yet lost 31-7. A 1-0 turnover ratio, bad 3rd and 4th down efficiency and penalties killed the Jags.
- Washington out-gained Denver 230 to 190 yet lost 17-10. A 2-1 turnover ratio hurt and also bad 3rd and 4th down efficiency.
- Tampa out-gained New Orleans 421 to 361 yet lost 36-27. A 3-0 turnover ratio did them in.
College Football Week 10 Motivational Spots
Potential Let Down Spots:
- Miami hosting Georgia Tech after beating Pitt is one.
- Baylor at TCU after beating Texas is obvious.
- Michigan State @ Purdue after beating Michigan
- West Virginia hosting Oklahoma State after beating Iowa State.
- Mississippi state @ Arkansas after beating Kentucky is one.
- Houston @ South Florida after beating SMU
Get Up Spots:
- Nebraska better get up vs Ohio State if they want to have a bowl game.
- Iowa better beat down Northwestern and it is a revenge spot from last year.
- TCU better get up vs Baylor after their bad recent losses.
Look ahead spots:
- Minnesota looking past Illinois to Iowa is possible.
- Baylor in a sandwich looking past TCU to Oklahoma.
College Football Week 9 Misleading Final Scores
Pittsburgh out-gained Miami 587 to 490 yet lost 38-14. A 2-1 turnover ratio and 4 sacks killed them.
Michigan out-gained Michigan State 552 to 395 yet lost 37-33. Equal turnovers but bad field position on those turnovers really had the effect for Michigan.
Buffalo out-gained Bowling Green 499 to 484 yet lost 56-14. A 2-0 turnover ratio and bad 3rd down converstions got them.
Rice out-gained North Texas 368 to 314 yet lost 30-24. A 2-0 turnover ratio got them
Arizona State’s yards were garbage time.
Nebraska out-gained Purdue 399-349 yet lost 28-23. A 4-0 turnover ratio. What else is new?
Louisiana Tech out-gained Old Dominion 335 to 311 yet lost 23-20. They also won turnover battle 0-2 but lack of explosiveness and 3rd down efficiency got them.
Wyoming’s yards were garbage time.
Georgia Southern out-gained Georgia State 486 to 378 yet lost 21-14. A 2-0 turnover ratio with an option team got them. Bad 4th down as well.
UTEP out-gained Florida Atlantic 437 to 279 yet lost 28-25. A 2-0 turnover ratio got them with horrible 3rd down converstions.
Louisville out-gained NC State 434 to 361 yet lost 28-13. A 1-0 turnover ratio and bad 3rd down efficiency. Predictable plays
North Carolina out-gained Notre Dame 564 to 523 yet lost 44-34. 1-0 turnover ratio and penalties got them.
November 3rd NBA Free Play
With my winner on the Braves F5 last night, my premium record moved to 51-25-1(67%), +39.3u. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9
*NBA(1u): Knicks +1(-110) @ Pacers–6:10 PM CT
While I believe the Pacers are better than their 2-6 record would indicate, they should not be laying points in this spot. If Knicks HC Tom Thibodeau has taught us one thing, it’s that he isn’t going to take any regular season game for granted. This is a perfect bounce-back spot for the Knicks coming off a home loss to an inferior Raptors team; the Knicks should be hungry to avenge that loss tonight. We’re going to see Indiana turn a corner at some point this season, but they are still adapting to Rick Carlisle as HC in his first year in Indiana. G Malcolm Brogdon is questionable for tonight; they would need Brogdon at full strength for me to not be on the Knicks. Give me the most profitable team in the NBA over the past year catching a point on the road.
November 3rd NBA Premium Play
Premium Plays: 51-25-1, +39.3u
*NBA(2u): Nuggets PK(-110) @ Grizzlies–7:10 PM CT
We lost on the Nuggets ML against this same Grizzlies team, but I’m hopping on them HEAVY tonight. One of my favorite angles in the NBA is backing a team that lost the first game of a double-header with the same opponent. That becomes even more true when the team that lost the first game of the doubleheader is the better basketball team. The Nuggets went just 9/38(24%) from deep on Monday night, but they have built a good enough reputation(3rd in FG % this season) to where I can trust them in this favorable bounce back spot. We see teams DOMINATE in this spot; frankly, I’m expecting an easy win from a playoff-bound Denver team.













