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Fantasy Football Week 2

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Key Injuries:

  • WR Xavier Worthy had a dislocated shoulder and is day to day.
  • WR Drake London had a shoulder sprain.
  • TE Evan Engram left in the fourth quarter with a calf injury.
  • TE Brock Bowers left with a knee injury, but he’s not concerned.
  • TE George Kittle left with a hammy and could miss time.
  • WR Jauan Jennings left with a shoulder injury.
  • QB Brock Purdy might miss next week.

Waiver Wire:

  • WR Hollywood Brown had 16 targets for KC.   Worthy was out, but he could be a good pickup.
  • RB Dylan Sampson for the Browns was the Bell Cow.
  • TE Jake Tonges for the Kittle injury could be big for a few weeks.
  • TE Michael Mayer if Bowers misses would be massive.
  • TE Lucas Krull if Engram misses time.
  • TE Juwan Johnson for the Saints was big with 11 targets.
  • WR Keenan Allen had 10 targets and a TD for the Chargers.
  • WR Kayshon Boutte had 8 targets and 103 yards for the Patriots.
  • WR Quentin Johnson had two touchdowns and 7 targets for the Chargers.
  • QB Daniel Jones balled out with 26 fantasy points.
  • QB Geno Smith isn’t a bad grab if available.
  • QB Mac Jones for the Purdy Injury.
  • TE Noah Fant did will against the Browns with 10.6 fantasy points.

Non-starters trending up for week 2:

  • RB TreVeyon Henderson against Miami could be big.
  • RB RJ Harvey against the Titans looks good.
  • RB Trey Benson against the Panthers looks tasty.
  • RB Cam Skattebo vs the Cowboys is possible.
  • WR Tee Higgens against the Jaguars is interesting.
  • WR Rome Odunze against the Lions is there.
  • TE Michael Mayer against the Chargers could be big.
  • TE Jonnu Smith against the Seahawks looks good.

Busts:

  • RB Bucky Irvin against the Texans is suspect.
  • RB Dylan Sampson against the Ravens is bad.
  • WR Jerry Jeudy against the Ravens is suspect.
  • RB Tony Pollard against the Broncos is bad.
  • WR Calvin Ridley against the Broncos is wrong.
  • QB Sam Darnold against Steelers D.
  • RB Alvin Kamara vs the 49ers is not good.
  • WR Chris Olave against the 49ers.
  • QB Michael Penix against the Vikings is bad.
  • RB Chuba Hubbard against Tampa bay is bad.
  • RB Austin Eckler against Green Bay is rough.

Nasty Sleeper: 

RB Brian Robinson against the Saints looks great.

Tuesday Free Play Video:

By
Sniper Wes
-
Kansas City Royals' Carlos Santana (41) is congratulated by teammate Salvador Perez (13) after hitting a go-ahead three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., Saturday, July 24, 2021. (AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)

3 Free Selections:
WNBA: Sparks/Mercury
MLB: Royals/Guardians
MLB: D-Backs/Giants

Subscribe to my Winible Free Plays and get ONE FULL WEEK OF VIP!!
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https://winible.com/thesniperpicks

Podcast 729 – 65 – 25 – NFL & College Football Recap & Play – Fantasy Football Week 2 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a GREAT show for you today!  Another weekend of NFL & College Football in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly.  Next, we talk some final scores with brief box score analysis.  Then, Kiev talks about NFL & College Football misleading final scores & betting spots for next week.  Who could let down?  Who could bet flat?  Who has long or short rest?  After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football sleepers.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

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NFL Week 1 Monday Night Football Video Prop Play – Vikings vs Bears – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
@theoddsbreakers

#sportsbetting #freepicks #freeplays #mondaynightfootball Vikings vs Bears Sharp play. Best bet prop.

♬ Sunday Night Football theme song – NFL

You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie!   https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie


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Kiev O’Neil’s Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

54% Lifetime College &NFL Football ATS/Props/Totals

51% 2024 College Football & NFL -34U (Bad season)

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

College Football Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting – Iowa vs Iowa State – Bowling Green vs Cincinnati

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Iowa vs Iowa State +3.5 O/U 43.5

🗓️ Game Details – Iowa vs Iowa State

Field Value
Game Name Iowa vs Iowa State
Rivalry Name Cy-Hawk Game
Date Saturday, September 6, 2025
Kickoff Time 2:30 PM CT / 12:30 PM MST
Location Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
Surface Type Natural Grass
Stadium Capacity 61,500
TV Broadcast FOX
Weather Forecast 78°F, 10 mph wind, 20% chance of rain
Betting Line Iowa State -3.5
Over/Under 47.0
Win Prob (ISU) 60.5%
Win Prob (IOWA) 39.5%

🧠 Key Storylines

  • Quarterback Duel: Iowa State’s Rocco Becht is red-hot, completing 95% of his passes last week and already racking up 6 total TDs this season. Iowa’s Mark Gronowski, a transfer from South Dakota State, is still finding his rhythm after missing spring camp. He threw for just 44 yards in his debut but added a rushing TD.

  • Ground Game vs. Air Raid: Iowa rushed for 310 yards in Week 1, led by Xavier Williams with 122 yards. Iowa State, meanwhile, is leaning into Becht’s arm and a deep receiving corps.

  • Turnover Battle: The team that wins the turnover margin has won every Cy-Hawk game since 2016. Iowa State enters with a +2 margin; Iowa is -1.

  • Recent Trends: The road team has won 4 of the last 5 matchups. Iowa has taken 7 of the last 10 overall, but Iowa State won last year by a single point.

🏈 Iowa vs Iowa State – Matchup Data (Sept 6, 2025)

Category Iowa Hawkeyes Iowa State Cyclones
Record 1–0 2–0
Points/Game 34.0 39.5
Yards/Game (Total) 372.0 (310 rush, 62 pass) 428.5 (98 rush, 330.5 pass)
Turnover Margin -1 +2
QB Mark Gronowski (44 pass yds, 1 rush TD) Rocco Becht (95% comp, 6 TDs)
Top RB Xavier Williams (122 yds) Carson Hansen (61 yds)
Top WR Kaleb Brown (2 rec, 28 yds) Jayden Higgins (9 rec, 212 yds, 3 TDs)
Defensive Strength Run defense (allowed 2.9 YPC) Pass rush (7 sacks)
Weather Impact 78°F, 10 mph wind, slight chance of rain Slight wind advantage for deep throws
Vegas Line Iowa State -3.5  
Win Probability 39.5% 60.5%

💸 Betting Trends – Iowa vs Iowa State (Sept 6, 2025)

Trend Category Iowa Hawkeyes Iowa State Cyclones
ATS Record (2025) 0–1 2–0
ATS Last 5 Non-Conf Games 1–4 4–1
ATS Head-to-Head (Last 4) 2–2 2–2
Over/Under Record (2025) 0–1 1–1
Over/Under Last 4 H2H 1 Over / 3 Under 1 Over / 3 Under
Road ATS vs ISU (Last 6) 6–0 0–6
Spread Line Iowa State -3.5 Iowa State -3.5
Total Points Line 42.5 42.5
Moneyline +142 -170
Implied Win Probability 41.3% 63.0%

Prediction:

If you are actually using the current 2025 stats on these teams, then just forget it.  I love playing the dog at 3 or better in this game.  There isn’t even close to enough data from this season to understand how this game is going to go.  Over the last 5 years, the dog has covered four times here.  Lots of people think that Iowa had a bad showing last week.  What people forget is that coach Kirk Ferentz doesn’t pull the real playbook out until this game.  This has been the way the Hawkeye’s have done it for years.  Iowa State was very fortunate to get by Kansas State two weeks ago.  They took care of the ball, and that is what led them in.  It wasn’t their skill or playmakers.  I can’t give the Clones a three point home field advantage here as there will be plenty of Hawkeye fans at this game.  The Betting market forgets just how well Iowa runs the ball and controls the clock.  This game will be won at the line of scrimmage.  I think that both teams are pretty close to equal, I will take the dog in this matchup.  

Iowa +3.5 – 2 stars

Bowling Green vs Cincinnati -23.5 O/U 45.5

Prediction:  

I like betting on teams that lost a tough game against a good opponent. The Bearcats had a tough environment last week playing Nebraska at Arrowhead stadium in Kansas City. Good cover and great effort for the Bearcats.  I wasn’t overly impressed with Bowling Green playing a bad team like Lafayette.  This MAC team struggled to score most of the game against Kids that won’t be playing division 1 football.  The Falcons ranked 130th in returning production from 2024.  They have a new coach in Eddie George.  I think that George could turn out to be a good football coach, but he is not ready to play a power four team.  The Bearcats rank 22nd in returning production from 2024.  Cincinnati quarterback Brendan Sorsby is a solid quarterback who last season was 64% with a 18/7 TD to Interception ratio. I think this is a spot where the Bearcats get right and win by some good margin.

Cincinnati -23.5 – 2 stars

NFL Week 1 Sharp Money Movement

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

As of Thursday Sept 4th, here the most prominent side moves & totals moves since the openers.

Sharp money on:

  • Raiders +3 to +2.5 at the Patriots – 64% tickets and 70% of the money.
  • Falcons +2.5 to +1.5 hosting the Buccaneers – 59% tickets and 74% of the money.
  • Cardinals -5.5 to -6.5 at the Saints – 46% tickets and 64% of the money.
  • Broncos -7.5 to -8.5 hosting the Titans – 54% tickets and 87% of the money.

Sharp Totals:  

  • 49ers vs Seahawks under 45.5 to 43.5 – 84% tickets and 85% of the money.
  • Texans vs Rams under 45.5 to 43.5 – 83% tickets and 82% of the money.

NFL Week 1 Friday Freebie – Chiefs vs Chargers – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Chiefs vs Chargers +3 O/U 46.5

Video Play!

College Football Sharp Money Report

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

As of Wednesday Sept 3rd, here the five most prominent side moves & totals moves since the weekend openers.

Sharp money on:

  • Maryland -16 to -17.5 hosting Northern Illinois – 45% tickets and 66% of the money.
  • Baylor +6 to +2.5 at SMU – 39% tickets and 39% of the money.
  • USC -24.5 – -28.5 hosting Georgia Southern – 45% tickets and 78% of the money.
  • Kansas State -14.5 to -17.5 hosting Army – 28% tickets and 36% of the money.
  • Kansas +9.5 to +6.5 at Missouri – 45% tickets and 54% of the money.

Sharp Totals:  

  • Liberty vs Jacksonville State under 50.5 to 49 – 94% tickets and 98% of the money.
  • Central Michigan vs Pitt under 53.5 to 51.5 – 93% tickets and 95% of the money.
  • Iowa vs Iowa State under 45.5 to 41.5 – 79% tickets and 81% of the money.
  • Bowling Green vs Cincinnati under 50.5 to 46.5 – 82% tickets and 96% of the money.
  • USF vs Florida over 52.5 to 55.5 – 6% tickets and 41% of the money.

Podcast 728 – 64 – 25 – With Will Hill – NFL Week 1 – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a GREAT show for you today!  The one and only Will Hill @NotTheeWillHill from @VSINlive & The Should Have Bet More Podcast is back to break down week 1 of the NFL!  First, Kiev talks a little bit about how much variance lies in NFL week one.  Next, Will comes on and the guys get right into what they may or may not have learned from preseason football. Then, the guys talk overrated/underrated teams coming into the season. After that, the guys get right into NFL week 1 talking a little bit about every game and some Free Plays. Next, the guys talk some most likely favorites of -5.5 or more to lose outright.  Scary survivor!  Then, we talk about a beer bet banger to replenish our fridge.  Next, Kiev gets into his refuse to lose teaser that went 19-11-1 from 2024!  Finally, we get into some Sharp Money movement and recap our plays.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Use Promo Code Football25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

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NFL Survivor with Revivals! Only few days left to get in!

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Our survivor contest will revive if two or more final remaining entries eliminate during any particular week! This will in turn maximize payouts to our final winner(s)!

Click Here

About this contest

Entrants attempt to select the winner for 1 game per week. Entrants that select only winners will advance to the next slate. The entrant that makes it the furthest takes home the whole prize. If all remaining entrants are eliminated in the same slate, they will all be considered winners and will all split the prize.

Check the individual week tabs in your picksheet to view the pick deadline for each week. The deadline appears at the top as “Picks lock” with the date and time.

Sport:  Football

Contest Type:  Survivor

Multi-Entry: Yes (10)

Slate:  View all weeks

Entry Deadline:  9/7 @ 10:00 AM

Pick Deadline:  Sun, Sep 7 at 10:00 AM

Rules

Select only winners to advance to the next week

Losses, Ties, and Missed Picks result in elimination from the contest

There are no tiebreakers

If you run out of teams, you will be unable to make a pick for the current slate, and will be unable to advance

If one or more remaining entries is able to make a correct selection for that slate, you will be eliminated

If all other remaining entries are unable to make a correct selection for that slate, the contest will revive and the remaining entrants will go on to the next week!

If all remaining entries run out of teams, the contest will conclude at the end of the slate and the remaining entrants will split the prize

Click here to enter:  https://app.splashsports.com/contest/fdbbe97a-4d5e-401e-b295-cecf22cddd7e/detail?utm_source=SplashWeb&utm_medium=InviteManager&utm_content=btn_invite&utm_campaign=fdbbe97a-4d5e-401e-b295-cecf22cddd7e&utm_referrer=c4194175-a675-4b8a-ac5b-96277aa9a741

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