NFL Week 9 Free Plays – Sports Betting

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November 4, 2020

Detroit vs Minnesota -4 O/U 52.5 –

I am going to go against the over-reaction here. The Vikings beat the Packers last week and I am not sure what to think about that. Did Cousins magically get better or was this game due to the Packers horrible run defense that the 49ers exposed last year. I think it was a bit of both but if the Packers had 1 more quarter, I think they would have won that game. The Lions actually beat themselves last week against the Colts with 2 turnovers. They were actually pretty close in total yards. The Lions have been a sieve at defense against the pass this year being that their secondary was quite injured but now they got most of them back and Desmond Trufant should be able to play this week. The Lions have been a pretty good road team this year at 3-1 ATS and 3-1 SU including wins vs the Falcons and the Cardinals on the road. Stafford is precautionary Covid right now but I think that he plays. I think the Vikings let down here and the Lions feast.

Detroit +4 – 2 star premium shared and sprinkle

New Orleans vs Tampa Bay -5.5 O/U 51.5 –

The oldest trick in the book to betting totals is to first look at the weather report. Does rain and up two 22 mile per hour winds say anything about this game? One thing that these teams don’t do extremely well is run the ball. They are both average rushing teams and both teams need to win through the air. Well that will be hard to do when A) The weather looks bad and B) These teams already played each other and know what to look out for. The biggest part of this handicap is how both of these teams defend the run. Tampa Bay ranks number 1 against the run and New Orleans ranks number 3. Both teams will be stuck here only relying on the run if the weather stays bad and even if the weather is somewhat cooperative, this total is way to high for this game.

New Orleans vs Tampa Bay under 51.5 – 2 star premium shared play

Refuse to Lose teasers are 5-3: We are going to tease the Saints to +11.5 with the Bills to +8.5 – 2 star premium shared play

Bow to the gambling gods Parlay! 1-5 on these: Fresno State -404, Georgia State -1050, Iowa State -550, Memphis -1000, Charlotte -188, NFL Houston Texans -330

College Football Week 11 Motivational Spots

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 4, 2020

Let Down Spots:

Virginia hosting Louisville after beating North Carolina outright.

Michigan State at Iowa after beating rival Michigan.

Cincinnati hosting Houston after beating Memphis could let down.

Texas hosting West Virginia after beating Oklahoma state is a possible let down spot.

Get up spots:

Airforce at Army after that Boise State debacle.

East Carolina hosting Tulane after that Tulsa garbage.

Michigan at Indiana after that horrible in-state loss is a get up spot.

Iowa needs to get it together hosting Michigan State.

Nebraska at Northwestern is one.

Look ahead spots:

Boston College could be looking past Syracuse to Notre Dame.

College Football Week 9 Misleading Final Scores

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 4, 2020

North Carolina out-gained Virginia 534 to 418 – 2-1 turnover ratio hurt.

Louisville out-gained Virginia Tech 548 to 466 yet lost 42-35 – 3-0 turnover ratio killed them.

Illinois out-gained purdue 475 to 447 yet lost 31-24. 4-2 turnover ratio hurt.

AirForce out-gained Boise State 484 to 459 yet lost 49-30. No turnovers but bad efficiency hurt them.

Oklahoma State out-gained Texas 530 to 287 yet lost 41-34. 4-0 turnover ratio killed them.

East Carolina out-gained Tulsa 456 to 428 yet lost 34-30. The officials fixed the game for Tulsa on their last drive.

Clemson out-gained Boston College 448 to 275 yet only won 34 to 28. Only a 1-0 turnover ratio.

Duke only out-gained Charlotte 401 to 348 yet they won 53-19. 3-1 turnover ratio helped.

UAB out-gained Louisiana Tech 482 to 381 yet lost 37-34. 3-1 turnover ratio did them in.

Cashman’s Week 10 College Football Projection Models

By

Alan Cashman

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November 4, 2020

Here is the link for WK 10 CFB Game Projections. You can also use the link for the rest of the WK 10 schedule as I add the games

Week 10 CFB Game Projection Models

Good Luck,

Alan

Fantasy Football Week 9

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 3, 2020

Bye Weeks: Bengals, Browns, Rams and Eagles

Key Injuries:

Kenny Golladay WR – Hip surgery

Jonathan Taylor RB – Ankle injury and is day to day

AJ Dillon RB – Covid 19 – Week to week

George Kittle TE – Ankle injury and fracture in foot. Out at least 8 weeks

TY Hilton WR – Groin injury

Dionte Johnson WR – Hamstring Injury

Garner Minshew QB – Will miss this week’s game. Not sure why. Thumb injury.

Jimmy Garropolo QB – Banged up Ankle.

Darrell Henderson RB – Thigh injury

Players coming off of IR:

Michael Pittman WR – came off of IR

Waiver Wire:

Jordan Wilkins RB – Huge game last week

Zach Moss RB – 18 fantasy points

Malcomb Brown RB – for Henderson injury

Jamal Williams RB – Jones and Dillon injuries

Nyheim Hines RB – Had a great game vs the Lions

Jordan Reed TE – For Kittle injury. This will be huge

Daeshawn Hamilton WR – Good game vs the Chargers

Nick Mullens QB – Will start Thursday.

Mecole Hardman WR – 9 Targets last week

Marvin Hall WR – For Golladay injury

Non-starters trending up for Week 9:

Benny Snell RB – vs that bad Cowboys rushing D

James Robinson RB – vs that bad Houston rushing D

John Brown WR – vs a bad Seattle pass D

Daeshawn Hamilton WR – vs Atlanta should have a good game

Marvin Jones WR – vs the Vikings pass D

James White RB – vs the horrible Jets D

Jacobi Meyers WR – vs the Jets D

Damien Harris RB – vs the Jets D

Busts:

Ezekiel Elliot RB – vs the Steelers D

Jonathan Taylor RB – vs the Ravens D

Mark Ingram RB – vs the Colts D

Leonard Fournette RB – vs the Saints D

Devon Singletary RB – vs the Seahawks run D

Evan Engram TE – vs Washington’s D

Marquis Brown WR – vs the Colts D

Nasty Sleeper:

John Brown vs Seattle’s D

Podcast 64 – 20 – NFL Week 8 and NCAA Week 9 Recap and Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 9 – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 2, 2020

We have a great show for you today! First, Kiev recaps the weekend in football. Who disappointed and who exceeded expectations? Next, we get into College Football misleading final scores and motivational spots for week 10. Then, we talk about some misleading final scores in the NFL and some motivational spots. What was real and what was garbage time? Next, Kiev gives out a free College Football play for week 10! Then, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football. Who are the key injuries? Who are we picking up on waivers? Who is trending up for next weekend and who will bust? Finally we give out a nasty sleeper to help you win your week!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

Should you need a sports book please visit jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “Oddsbreakers” to get a 50% sign up bonus! Terms, conditions and location apply.

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Better Odds Sports Betting 10/30

By

Kiev O'Neil

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October 30, 2020

This week’s show

Video didn’t turn out for some reason but Audio is fine!

NFL Week 8 Free Plays, Teaser and Parlay

By

Kiev O'Neil

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October 30, 2020

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns -2.5 O/U 53.5

This is a simple handicap to me and I am going to keep it simple. This came screamed at me on Tuesday morning and that’s when I gave it out. If you look at the weather for this game it says 46 degrees, light rain and 23 mile per hour winds! Welp, on to the run game then. Whenever a windy day happens I first look to see what each team can do. The Raiders average a 21st in the league 4.0 yards per run and the Browns are 4th in the league at 5.1 yards per rush. Advantage Cleveland. Now lets look at what they give up. Las Vegas ranks 15th in opponent rushing yards per game allowing 120 per game while Cleveland ranks 5th allowing 92 per game. Advantage Cleveland. This game is being played of course in Cleveland. My power ratings have Cleveland a 2 point favorite at home here but the situation favors them and adds at least 3 more points to the game. I like the Browns here to cover the 2.5 here and I like them pretty big. No need to get into greater detail. Kareem Hunt is also just as good as Chubb. No downgrade for that injury.

Cleveland -2.5 – 3 star premium shared play

Tennessee vs Cincinnati +6 O/U 54.5 –

The Bengals almost got the Browns last week and they are improving. Misleading score right there because the Bengals out-gained them last week. They do have a great offense, but horrible defense. What do these 2 teams have in common? Great offense, horrible defense. Now it is true that Tennessee does dominate Cinci in most categories and they are coming off of a bad loss vs the Steelers, but does that mean they should be an 8 point favorite on a neutral field? Joe Burrow has proven that he is dangerous and he can make big plays and ugly back door touchdowns especially against bad defenses such as Tennessee. Every game that the Bengals played that was not against anybody named the Ravens finished within 5 points. This includes teams like the Colts, Browns, Chargers and Eagles. Not a terrible slate. I think they can put on a show at home here. My power ratings has this game Tennessee -4 points so I will take the becoming more common number of 6.

Cincinnati +6 – 2.5 star premium shared and sprinkle

Miami Dolphins LA Rams -4 O/U 45 –

The Miami Dolphins are 3-3. What a shocker! The beat teams like the 49ers and…. ok, just the 49ers cause the Jags and Jets don’t count. They did keep up well with the Bills. Now what would be the dumbest thing a 3-3 team could do in my opinion? Switch out their quarterback right when he’s hot. What did the Dolphins do? Switch out their quarterback when he is hot. Ryan Fitzmagic from Harvard is now sitting and the Tua Tagovaiola era has begun. Now when this happens after a team has caught there groove, I think it shows mixed messages in the locker room. I think Fitz got the shaft here and I have to penalize the Dolphins 1.5 points on my power ratings bringing my numbers to the Rams -5.75 points with upside. The Rams found their defense last week against the Bears and they could really shut down this team. The under was also a sharper side from the start. I gave this out at Rams -3.5 but I also like the -4.

LA Rams -4 – 2 star premium shared play

Refuse to lose Teaser is 4-3: Broncos to +9 and the Bengals to +12 – 2 star premium shared. – Both home dogs and their competition has weaknesses on defense as well as the Titans can’t stop anyone.

Bow to the Gambling Gods Parlay: NCAA: Nevada -565, Oklahoma -614, Florida -467, Georgia -687, UAB -453, NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -550 – Pays 1.75-1

College Football Week 9 Free Plays – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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October 30, 2020

UNC vs Virginia +6.5 O/U 61.5

I think this line may be a bit of an over-reaction from what Virginia did with Miami. Virginia is a bottom feeder in my opinion in the ACC. They are a net negative -.76 yards per play and have lost to lessor teams that North Carolina by double digits all year long. UNC is having an amazing year out-scoring their opponents by 13 points per game and have an enormous 1.8 net yards per play advantage. That is a net 2.6 yards per play for this game. UNC is still reeling off of their Florida State loss from 2 weeks ago and I think they will be motivated to put one on the Cavaliers here.

UNC -6.5 – 2.5 star premium shared

Northwestern vs Iowa -2.5 O/U 47 –

This play will be based on pure over-reaction from last Saturday. Northwestern destroyed a bad Maryland team. The Terps had 4 turnovers and could not stop the run at all giving the Wildcat’s 6.13 yards per rush. They just had to dink and dunk on the passing game to pile up the points. On the other side of the script, Iowa out-gained Purdue and still lost due to a bad fumble that happened when they were driving to go up more than 3 points. Purdue was able to score and Iowa had no time left for rebuttal. Peyton Ramsey is the quarterback for Northwestern and he was a good player in Indiana but he didn’t do well when under pressure. I think that Iowa should be able to get to him this game. They key to this handicap for me is that Iowa has been well known to stop the run and that is what Northwestern thrived on last week. Iowa will clean up the turnovers and possibly force some themselves at home. NU is now jumping up in class and Iowa gets the W past the 2.5. My power ratings has this game Iowa -4.5. This is a good number for the Hawkeyes at home.

Iowa -2.5 – 2 star premium shared

Virginia Tech vs Louisville +3.5 O/U 67 –

So Louisville finally got their first win against that bad Florida State team. Well Woopty freaking do as Chris Farley would say. It was their first ACC win this year putting Louisville in a small let down spot. The Cardinal’s stats look pretty good on paper at 6.33 yards per play, but when they stepped up and faced tougher competition like Notre Dame, they only were able to put up 7 points and 334 yards. Now I am not saying that Virginia Tech’s defense is as good as Notre Dame’s but I am saying that it is probably not as far off as it looks. Virginia Tech’s defense started out quite bad but after the UNC embarrassment, they seemed to get their act together holding Boston college to 14 points and @ Wake Forest to 23. Louisville’s defense has been trending up as well holding Notre Dame to only 12 points and Florida State to 16. Because of all this I like the under 67 and was surprised that the line went up from the opener.

Virginia Tech vs Louisville under 67 – 3 star premium shared play