We have a GREAT show for you today! Another weekend of NFL & College Football in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about NFL & College Football misleading final scores & betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who could bet flat? Who has long or short rest? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football injuries, waivers, sleepers & busts. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Date & Time: Sunday, October 12, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Broadcast: FOX and NFL+
📊 Team Records & Momentum
Dallas Cowboys: 2-2-1, coming off a dominant 37-22 win over the Jets
Carolina Panthers: 2-3, fresh from a thrilling 27-24 comeback against the Dolphins
🔥 Key Storylines
Rico Dowdle’s Revenge Game: The Panthers’ running back, formerly with Dallas, exploded for 206 rushing yards last week and will be looking to make a statement against his old team.
CeeDee Lamb Out Again: Dallas will be without their star wide receiver for the third straight week, which could impact their passing game.
Offensive Firepower: Dallas leads the NFL in total yards per game (406.6), yards per play (6.12), and ranks top five in scoring (30.2 points/game).
Defensive Struggles: Both teams rank dead last in overall defense, with Dallas and Carolina tied at 32nd. Neither team has been able to consistently stop opponents.
🧠 Quarterback Matchup
Dak Prescott (Cowboys): Efficient and explosive, threw for 237 yards and 4 TDs last week.
Bryce Young (Panthers): Needs to keep pace with Dallas’s offense and avoid turnovers against a vulnerable defense.
📉 Betting Odds
Spread: Cowboys -3
Over/Under: 48.5 points
Moneyline: Cowboys -166, Panthers +137
🔍 What to Watch For
Panthers’ Pass Rush: With only 5 sacks this season (second-fewest in the NFL), Carolina must find a way to pressure Prescott.
Dallas’s Run Game: Javonte Williams has emerged as a key weapon and could exploit Carolina’s porous run defense.
Turnovers: Both teams have a turnover differential of -3, which could be a deciding factor in a close game.
📊 Team Efficiency & Scoring
Metric
Cowboys (Rank)
Panthers (Rank)
Points Per Game
30.2 (4th)
20.4 (24th)
Points Allowed Per Game
30.8 (29th)
23.8 (19th)
Yards Per Play
6.1 (5th)
4.8 (30th)
Total Yards Per Game
406.6 (1st)
315.0 (21st)
Expected Win-Loss
2.4–2.6
1.5–2.5
Prediction:
Does results matter? I tend to think so. Look, last week Dem boys took care of a putrid Jets team. How much should we really care about that? One thing that I have noticed, is that Bryce Young and the Panthers have been improving this season. I am going to give the Cowboys some credit. They have been scoring a lot of points. They have a great offense, but we also have to consider that most of the teams that Dem boys have played have not faired to well. This team played an Eagles team that has been leaking oil all season. They tied a Packers team just based on mess ups. They should have tied a bad Giants team with Russell Wilson, lost to a Bears team with one of the worst defenses in the league, and they beat a very bad Jets team on the road. Dem boys are also without their best player in Ceedee lamb. On defense, the Cowboys rank THE WORST in the league at 32nd in EPA. The Panthers at least are a modest 21st in EPA. The Panthers haven’t exactly had a hard schedule, but when they played at home, they beat the Falcons 30-0, and the Dolphins 27-24. Last thing to mention is that NFL referee John Hussey will be the decision maker at this game. Hussey is a 63% home ATS ref. That is significant. I think that the defense of the Cowboys is so bad, that the Panthers have a very good chance of winning this one outright.
Panthers +3
Bonus Play:
Teaser: 49ers to +9.5 with Rams to -1 – 2 stars – The Bucs do not blow anybody out and Mac Jones is as good as Purdy. The Ravens without Lamar and Roquan.
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USE PROMO CODE FOOTBALL25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the 2025/2026 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicksFollow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeilSick of headaches in the morning after drinking? Get 20% off of our gummies that help get rid of those pesky hangovers right here! https://liqure.com/discount/ODDSTo get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 54% Lifetime College &NFL Football ATS/Props/Totals51% 2024 College Football & NFL -34U (Bad season)56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Georgia vs Auburn +4 O/U 45.5
🏈 Game Details
Date & Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025, at 6:30 p.m. CT (7:30 p.m. ET)
Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
Broadcast: ABC
Betting Line: Georgia favored by 3.5 to 4.5 points
🔥 Key Storylines
Rivalry History: Georgia has won 8 straight against Auburn, with the Tigers’ last win coming in 2017.
Auburn’s Struggles: The Tigers are on a two-game losing streak and have yet to win an SEC game this season.
Georgia’s Bounce Back: After a loss to Alabama, Georgia rebounded with a dominant win over Kentucky.
🧠 Tactical Matchups
Run Defense Battle: Georgia ranks 13th nationally against the run, while Auburn is 17th.
Quarterback Pressure: Auburn must improve pass protection for QB Jackson Arnold, who’s been sacked frequently.
Georgia’s Ground Game: Chauncey Bowens has emerged as the Bulldogs’ lead back, with a strong showing against Alabama.
🚑 Injury Updates
Auburn: WR Horatio Fields and RB Durell Robinson are out.
Georgia: OL Earnest Greene and LT Monroe Freeling are questionable; DT Jordan Hall is expected to play.
🌙 X-Factors
Night Game at Jordan-Hare: Auburn fans and analysts believe the nighttime atmosphere could rattle Georgia and energize the Tigers.
Weather: Conditions are expected to be ideal—74°F at kickoff, dropping to 53°F later
Prediction:
I remember the days that we used to rely on Georgia’s defense. Well, unfortunately, this really isn’t that year. Auburn has played a great schedule so far ranking 7th on Sagarin. They still have a nice .35 positive net yards per play. Georgia’s loss to Alabama really says it all to me. This Bulldogs team struggles at the quarterback position only ranking 41st in pass EPA and 123rd in explosive plays. The Bulldogs need to establish the run in order to make life easier on Gunner Stockton. The problem is that Auburn is number one in opponent rush EPA and has a very very stingy defensive line. I love the Auburn is coming off of the bye week right here while Georgia has Ole miss on deck. This is a home run spot for the Tigers. Take the points.
Auburn +4 – 2 stars
Houston vs Oklahoma State +14.5 O/U 47.5
As a college football bettor, sometimes we have to get ourselves a little dirty. The Cowboys are a terrible team this year, but if there are any wins that could happen on their schedule, this is the spot that we have to look at. The Cougars just suffered their first loss last week to Texas Tech. Usually at this time, that is something good, but looking at their schedule, they really haven’t played anyone with a pulse. Oklahoma State ranks 127th in offensive EPA, but they might be able to run the ball some against a cougars defense that ranks 84th in defensive rushing success rate. The Cougars rely on their pass defense to won games, but this offense is terrible ranking 124th in success rate and 121st in EPA. These numbers are with a schedule that only ranks 78th on Sagarin. During Houston’s game at a poor, winless Oregon State team, they won 27-24, yet were outgained in yards. That is not a good sign for being on the road at a desperate team. Last think to bring up. Houston quarterback Conner Weigman got injured last game and is questionable to play at Oklahoma State. I think that this will be a low scoring game, but just enough for the home dog to cover a huge spread against one of the worst offenses in football.
Nov 18, 2017; Lubbock, TX, USA; The Texas Tech Red Raiders masked rider enters the field before the game against the TCU Horned Frogs at Jones AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
What a wild ride last weekend was! I went 2-2 with my picks and I got the full array of life as better. Got a no sweat blowout from Texas Tech, had a dead on arrival favorite with Penn State, got a break and cover from Western Michigan, and a missed chip shot field goal to fall half a point short with Kentucky. Let’s see if we can get over .500 with a few games I have bet for Week 7.
Texas Tech (-14) vs Kansas( 7:30PM/EST). If it ain’t broke why fix it. Texas Tech has remained undefeated against the spread and face a Kansas team on the second of back-to back road games. Tech has not had a home game in almost a full month so I expect Jones ATT&T stadium to be absolutely rocking for this one. I would assume the Red Raiders want to put on a show in their home conference opener. Not to use the same handicap as last week but again this Texas Tech Defensive line is elite! Kansas should have issues giving Jaylon Daniels time and creating a push to get the run game going. The Kansas defense has been ok but if the offense can’t stay on the field the Red Raiders should have their way with them. Ideally you want to get this under two touchdowns but 14 should be just fine as well.
Wake Forest (-2.5) @ Oregon State (3:30pm/EST). I get Oregon State should have won their last two games and Wake Forest is traveling across the country to play this one but, Oregon State cannot finish games and there is no power rating system that would have this game 2.5 points. I watched the end of that Houston game and I will be honest I had -10.5 in pocket on Houston. Houston did everything they could to hand the Beavers the game and they could not do it. I can’t imagine Oregon State blows them out so if this game is close as the line indicates Wake Forest should be able to put them away or more so Oregon State will have some blunder to blow the game.
Arkansas (+12.5) @ Tennessee (4:15 PM/EST). This is purely situational play, this is Arkansas’ first game since firing Sam Pittman and should get the fired coach bump here. Tennessee also has on of their biggest rivalries on deck next week against Alabama so this is also a look ahead spot. Last season SEC underdogs of double digits performed really well against the spread (might be a little bloated because of Vandy) so we have a lot going here for Arkansas. Tennessee’s pass defense has been very generous to opposing offenses ranking 104th in pass defense going against a top 20 passing attack in Arkansas. Arkansas should have every opportunity to stay in this game.
Arizona (+2.5) v BYU. (8:00PM/EST) This is the best number out there at current but, I have seen this number moving up some places so there is potential to get a better number. We have another look ahead spot here as BYU has the Holy War against Utah on deck. This week they have to head down into the desert to face Arizona. BYU has looked great this year and have found success with their young QB but, he has not looked like a freshmen quite yet and they face their toughest test to date as their previous opponents hold a record of 9-19. If U of A can stuff the rush just a little bit and Arizona QB Noah Fifita can build off of his best game of the season last week, Arizona should be live in this one. I took a safer route and took the points.
Old Dominion (-14.5) @ Marshall (3:30PM- I am adding this one as bonus for your consideration as I already bet this at a better number but, could still be worth a stab here at two touchdowns. In the same vein as Texas Tech Old Dominion has been dominant and I am going back to the well as they have been a wagon. Old Dominion blew out Coastal Carolina last week in what was somewhat of a revenge spot and this week they play a Marshall team that also beat them last year although this is all new players. This is a look ahead for Old Dominion but, this offense has been electric and should have no problem putting up points against one of the worst defenses in the FBS.
USE PROMO CODE FOOTBALL25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the 2025/2026 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025
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To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!
Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!
54% Lifetime College &NFL Football ATS/Props/Totals
51% 2024 College Football & NFL -34U (Bad season)
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
We have a GREAT show for you today! Marco D’Angelo @MarcoInVegas is back to break down a huge weekend of NFL! First, Kiev talks some NFL ATS and totals. Which teams are hitting and which teams have been the fades? Next, Marco comes on and the guys get right into the crazy AFC North. Seriously, what happened??? Then, Marco and Kiev talk some buy low/sell high for the upcoming weeks. After that, the boys get into the full slate of NFL games. We have plenty of Free Plays. Next, we talk some long shot bets that may hit for some beer money. Then, Kiev gives out our Refuse to lose teaser that is 3-2 for the season. Next, Kiev goes over some sharp money movement for the week. Finally, Kiev recaps our plays! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Football25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires December 31st 2025
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!
The Rams out-gained the 49ers 456 to 407 yet lost 26-23. A 2-0 turnover ratio, poor special teams, and bad coaching got the Shams.
The Giants out-gained the Saints 335 to 332 yet lost 26-14. A nasty 5-0 turnover ratio smashed the big men.
The Seahawks out-gained the Buccaneers 463 to 426 yet lost 38-35. A 2-0 Sam Darnold turnover special killed the Seaquacks.
The Cardinals out-gained the Titans 360 to 327 yet lost 22-21. A bad 3-2 turnover ratio, a weird fumble and gutless coaching from Jonathan Gannon landed the birds.
The Chiefs out-gained the Jaguars 476 to 319 yet lost 31-28. They won the turnover battle 2-1, but poor special teams and 13 penalties ripped them up.
