ESPN College Game Day’s “The Bear” Chris Fallica helps us find VALUE in the NCAA futures market. Chris and Kiev cover every power 5 conference and team futures odds in winning their side of their respective conferences as well as the NCAA Championship. They also get a little bit into some teams in the group of 5 that may have some futures value as well. Please follow us on twitter @theoddsbreakers @thepublicdog @chrisfallica
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Let’s touch on the full NFL but just teams that you think will have some value ATS or totals.
Hope you all enjoyed my previous previews of the NFC East, South and West season win totals. In this article we will be breaking down the NFC North. Every team in this division has questions swirling around them about the quarterback position. Is Rodgers healthy? Was Mitch worth the 2nd pick in 2017? Was Kirk Cousins the right move in free agency? Will Matthew Stafford ever become elite? We won’t solve the mysteries in this article yet, but all 4 of those players will have a huge impact on their teams.
Chicago Bears, Over 6.5 (-150), Under 6.5 (+120)
Now this is a team I am excited to see step on the football field in 2018. New coach Matt Nagy is an offensive guru and I expect him to use all the weapons at his disposal to ensure Trubisky doesn’t feel the weight of needing to be the franchise quarterback right away. They added some serious talent with Allen Robinson, Roquan Smith, Trey Burton and got a steal in the draft with Anthony Miller. All of these weapons will join Jordan Howard, and I expect a big season out of Tarik Cohen. Weeks 1-4 include Packers (A), Seahawks, Cardinals (A) and the Bucs at home. They should start the season 2-2. Rough spot for the Bucs. A week 4 bye then the Dolphins (A), Patriots, Jets and Bills (A). Best case scenario is 3-1 worst case is 2-2. At the midpoint of the season they could be either 4-4 or 5-3. They then get the Lions, Vikings, Lions (A) and Giants (A) this is a tough stretch that could leave them 1-3. They wrap up the season with the Rams, Packers, 49ers (A) and Vikings (A). This stretch that could end with 1-3 record. I think this is a 7 win team with a lot of question marks. I will look to be on this team a lot when they are getting points.
Green Bay Packers, Over 10 (-105) Under 10 (-125)
The big question is will good Aaron Rodgers return back to full health. If so, this team is the team to beat in the NFC north simply because Rodgers can keep them in any game and is worth about 7 wins himself. The loss of Rodgers safety blanket Jordy Nelson will not hurt as much as people think with Jimmy Graham, an expanded role for Geronimo Allison and few rookie WR’s. Jaire Alexander and Wilkerson will step in immediately on defense and make an impact along with Packer faithful Clay Matthews and Nick Perry. They open up with Bears, Vikings, Redskins(A) and Bills. 3-1 to open the season is pretty certain but could be 4-0. Then the Lions(A), 49ers, Rams(A), Patriots(A). A tough stretch which could end in 2-2. Packers then take on the Dolphins, Seahawks(A), Vikings(A), Cardinals. They should go 3-1 in these games, They end the season with the Falcons, Bears (A), Jets(A) and Lions. They should end with 11 wins strong leans but avoiding the play. I am personally throwing a future on the Packers to win the NFC Championship at +400. Green Bay is a tough place to play in the winter and if they get home field I will take my chances with Rodgers.
Detroit Lions, Over 7 (-155), Under 7 (+125)
New coach, same old issues with the Lions. Can Matthew Stafford take the next step and become elite? They upgraded the OL with Frank Ragnow in round 1, free agent adds TJ Lang and Kenny Wiggins; Blount, Abdullah, and Riddick could form a great trio of RB’s to keep teams opposing defenses honest. Their wide receivers are good but not great. Let’s be real, Golden Tate, Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay and Luke Wilson are good players but no defensive coordinator is losing sleep over the 4 of them. On Defense I could give this in-depth report but it would probably all be lies or filled with made up nonsense. On the other hand I do love Ziggy Ansah and wish him a great season. The Lion’s schedule is surprisingly tough this year. They open the season with the Jets, 49ers(A), Patriots and Cowboys. Best case scenario is 2-2 worst case is 1-3. Then they get the Packers, bye week, Dolphins (A), Seahawks, and Vikings. A brutal 4 games which could lead end 1-3. At the midpoint I have them at 3-5. Then they get the Bears(A), Panthers, Bears and Rams, I think they split the Bears games and end this stretch 1-3. The end the season with Cardinals(A), Bills(A) Vikings, and Packers which should be 2-2. I have this as 7-9 team. Not much value left at this number.
Minnesota Vikings, Over 10 (-125) Under 10 (-105)
The Vikings have all the pieces to the puzzle and were a great team last year even without a star quarterback or an above average running back. However, they had a great defense and the journeymen Case stepped in and lead that team all year-long to everyone’s surprise. They get what should be a major upgrade at QB with Kirk Cousins. Hopefully there will be a healthy return on Dalvin Cook and bring back solid playmakers like Diggs, Thielen and Kyle Rudolph. I believe they possess one of the best defenses all around with pro bowlers littered throughout. The schedule is tough with teams combined record of 133-123. The Vikings will play the 49ers, Packers(A) Bills and Rams(A). The worst case I believe should be 2-2 however 3-1 is doable. The Rams game is a tough spot for them since they will have revenge on mind with a trip to Philly in week 5. After Philly they play the Cardinals, Jets(A), and Saints, they should finish 3-1. At the midpoint I have them 6-2 or 5-3. Week 8 the Lions, bye week, Bears(A), Packers and Patriots(A). This should be a 2-2 stretch. They end the season with Seahawks(A), Dolphins, Lions, and Bears down the stretch is possible but the look for the Lions and Bears to try to play spoiler on home field advantage. I am all in on the Over 10.
We have a great show for you today! Doug Upstone from VegasProInsidersDaily.com come to join us to break down the NFL! Doug is a very decorated Handicapper with 21 number 1 titles in all the major sports! We cover some season win totals, how to bet the preseason, Underrated/overrated teams, comeback player of the year and first coach to by fired odds! We apologize for some of the crackling audio quality at spots that we received with Zencaster. We are switching to a new platform
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Welcome back! I hope you all enjoyed my previous previews of the NFC East and NFC South season win totals. In this article we will be breaking down the NFC West. This will be an exciting conference to watch. The thing I love most about the NFC West is the potential there is for some future historic battles at QB. Russell Wilson, Jared Goff, Jimmy Garoppolo and eventually Josh Rosen.
The LA Rams, Over 9 Wins (-160), Under 9 Wins (+130)
General manager Les Snead was not playing any games this offseason, spending and acquiring any players he saw fit to give his team ability to hoist the Lombardi trophy. This team has the 2011 Philadelphia Eagles dream team DNA. They lost Robert Quinn and Alec Ogletree in the offseason, but brought in Brandin Cooks, Marcus Peters, Aqib Talib and Ndamukong Suh to name a few key additions. On offense, Jared Goff has plenty of weapons at his disposal with All-Pro Todd Gurley, the underrated Cooper Kupp, Brandon Cooks and Tyler Higbee. On Defense they are very strong in the D-line and secondary. Aaron Donald is my favorite defensive linemen,(sorry Fletch) and he now has Suh to help free him up. The defensive line should eat up blocks and allow the linebackers to roam free. The secondary will keep offenses honest with Talib, Peters and Joyner. In their Division they are expected to do very well. 4-2 or 5-1 should be the future for this team as they will be favored in every game. At home they will get the Packers, Vikings, Eagles, Chiefs and Chargers. Tough games on the slate but they are a good enough team to escape these games at home 3-2. The Rams will travel to the Lions, Bears, Saints, Broncos and Raiders. A schedule they should do well against and be 4-1. I Have them at least 11 wins. Bet the Over. Strong Play.
Seattle Seahawks Over 9 Wins (+140), Under 9 Wins (-170)
The Seattle Seahawks and the former Legion of Boom look to climb back into the elite of the NFC . They will do so without Richard Sherman who they will now face at bare minimum 2 times per year. I am not super excited about their offense to be honest. I loved Rashaad Penny in college at SDSU and thought he would be a steal in the late 2nd or early 3rd round. The Seahawks either reached hard or have the best scouting department in the entire NFL and know something none of us do. The offensive line is still not great and filled with question marks. At Wide Receiver they have PPR standout Doug Baldwin and the under performing Tyler Lockett. The strength of the defensive relies on Bobby Wagner. He will need to step up and be a major leader for this team and get them back to their hard-nosed scrappy defensive attack. The secondary led by Kam Chancellor, Earl Thomas and Shaquill Griffin could easily be just as good as the old legion of boom. In their division I see them going 3-3. Coming to Seattle this season is the Packers, Cowboys, Vikings Chiefs and Chargers. Best case scenario is 2-3 worst case 1-4. An easier road schedule with the Lions, Bears, Panthers Broncos and Raiders. 3-2 is the best case scenario with these road games. Bet the Under. Strong Play
San Francisco 49ers, Over 8.5 Wins (-110), Under 8.5 Wins (-120)
Kyle Shanahan finally got his guy at quarterback in Jimmy G last year and went on an absolute tear to finish out the 2017 campaign. Everyone and their mother thinks this a playoff team and I just don’t see it yet. Jimmy G has the NFL make up that you look for in a quarterback. They invested their first pick in offensive tackle Mike McGlinchey to make sure Jimmy stays upright and healthy. The offensive line play should be above average as a whole.This offense lacks serious playmakers though McKinnon will get a shot at being the bellcow, but I am not sold on him there. At wide receiver it’s heavily targeted Pierre Garçon and Marquise Goodwin leading the charge, not the scariest 1-2 in the league. On defense Richard Sherman, Reuben Foster and Solomon Thomas will look to anchor the team. I think Vegas got it right here. I think 8 wins is possible but injuries and more tape on Jimmy G will allow D coordinators to prepare better scares me. One key member of the team that will never see the field is Kyle Shanahan. The guy is a genius and will have this team prepared. In the NFC west I see them going 3-3. At home they will play the Bears, Lions, Giants, Broncos and Raiders. I easily see them going 3-2 at home but could go 4-1. On the road they travel to Green Bay, Minnesota, Atlanta, Kansas City, and San Diego. A very brutal schedule for the Niners. I lean over but would not recommend a play.
Arizona Cardinals- Over 5.5 Wins (-145), Under Wins 5.5 (+115)
Welcome to the Steve Wilks era in Arizona, Steve will lead a team that really doesn’t have an identity. The Arizona Cardinals on paper if they stay healthy could easily win a lot of games, but if things go bad they could go south real fast. Arizona brings in 3 new quarterbacks this offseason, Sammy Sleeves (Sam Bradford), Mike Glennon and first round pick Josh Rosen. Sam will come in and take over at QB1 and teach Josh the things it takes to be quarterback at this level. If Sam can actually stay healthy and play at the level everyone thinks he can play at this team can go places. The Cardinals have a top 3 RB in the league with David Johnson who is a do it all 3 down back. However, injury concerns arise with Johnson coming back from a season ending injury. To keep these players healthy the Cardinals brought in veteran offensive linemen Justin Pugh, Andre Smith and Mike Iupati. To round out the offense Larry Fitz and company should see enough single coverage or soft zones to be able to make plays. I don’t know much about this defense to be honest. Very intrigued to see them without Tyrann Mathieu. I see them going 2-4 in their division games as a best case scenario. At home they get the Bears, Lions, Redskins, Broncos and Raiders. 2-3 against this schedule seems about accurate. On the road they get a tough draw with the Packers, Vikings, Falcons, Chiefs and Chargers. That may be the toughest road schedule for any team in the NFL. I lean with the Under but I am avoiding this play.
We have a great show for you today! @thepublicdog Kiev O’Neil discusses the Urban Meyer situation. We then we break down the Pac 12 with special guest Kyle Hunter @kylehunterpicks discussing season win totals, futures as well as schedules. At the end of the show, Kyle discusses a few teams that may play football at a different pace than in 2017.
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The American Athletic Conference is sort of like the little brother that you only want around when it is convenient for you. For instance, when you need a tougher out of conference opponent that won’t destroy your strength of schedule like a North Carolina A&T would. Also it’s nice to look at the conference when you need a new coach that is dying to get into or back into the Power 5 coaching rankings. However, sometimes the little brother surprises you and leaves you sitting back on Saturday going how the hell did we lose that game. The American is by far the 6th strongest conference in the NCAA and they play a great brand of football.
Notable Coaching Changes
UCF- Scott Frost is going back to his Alma Mater Nebraska. He leaves behind a great deal of talent for the former Missouri offensive coordinator Josh Huepel. Josh will look to continue the no huddle and while adding a more vertical attack.
SMU- With Chad Morris of to Arkansas, Sonny Dykes will step in with his Air Raid offense in SMU. Sonny Dykes roots were built-in Texas. Could he be the guy to turn around the program?
AAC East
UCF– Last Season 13-0, Over/Under 9 wins
The University of Central Florida will be a team on a mission this season. They feel snubbed that they didn’t get their chance to play for the National Title after a Cinderella season. UCF finished 13-0 after a Peach Bowl win over Auburn. Mckenzie Milton is back who boasted a 37-9 TD / INT ratio is one of the best Quarterbacks in college. Big names like Mike Hughes, Shaquem Griffin and Tre’quan Smith are gone but this team won’t miss a beat and are priced accordingly. The Schedule is favorable for them to run the table with AAC west games against Memphis (possible AAC Championship preview) and Navy. UCF’s out of conference schedule includes SC State, UNC, FAU, and Pitt. Expect UCF to do great work against this schedule and compete for a chance at the National Championship worst case scenario a New Years 6 Bowl. Bet the Over.
USF- Last Season 10-2, Over/Under 8.5 wins
If USF can match last seasons success and finish either 10-2 or 9-3 they may be saying goodbye again to another coach as Charlie Strong will be a candidate that will be atop of a lot of AD’s interview list. They are not returning a ton of offense mostly due to Quinton Flowers graduating and heading into the NFL. Former Alabama and Arizona St. QB transfer Blake Barnett should get the first crack at the starting job. At RB they will look to Jordan Cronkrite to carry the load along with Elijah Mack. After they get done beating up against Elon in week 1 their week 2 matchup against Georgia Tech could tell us everything we need to know about this team. Other notable out of division games include Illinois, and Houston. Realistically 9-3 is most likely. I like the over but will look to play a lot of their Over/Under if the market drastically has drastically for the loss of Flowers and Company.
Temple- 7-6 last season, Over/Under 6.5 wins
The first season from their new head coach Geoff Collins started like a bad nightmare. A blowout loss to Notre Dame to start the season, and an extremely close win against cross city rival Villanova (FCS School). They had an unimpressive win against UMass and then they were blown out by USF in primetime. Mid-season Geoff Collins decided to sit starter Logan Marchi and turn the offense over to Frank Nutile and things improve quickly as went on win 5 out of their last 6.. For 2018 they get back injury ridden RB Ryquell Armstead who is very dangerous. On defense a name to watch is Quincy Roche. As a backup last year Quincy recorded 7 sacks. Out of conference games against Nova, Buffalo, Maryland and Boston College. On the other side of the conference they got lucky with Tulsa but draw Houston and Navy. I said it on the podcast I am high on this team I think Geoff Collins knows what he is doing and I see him as the type to try to build a program. I would avoid going on either side but catching a future at +1500 is worth it with the ability to hedge out late for profit is worth it.
Cincinnati- 4-8 last season, Over/Under 5 wins
2nd year coach Luke Fickell is back and this team keeps on building. A great team to play against last year as they were 4-8 ATS. Fickell will return his top weapons with Hayden Moore, Gerrid Doaks, and Kahlil Lewis. Fickell has been doing a great job of bringing in talent and convincing that talent to stay home. With young talent comes growing pains and I expect that to continue for Cincinnati. Tough out of conference games against UCLA. Miami OH, Ohio but at least they have Alabama A&M. Looking at the rest of their schedule they look like a 4 win team. If you find a 5.5 Under take it otherwise avoid.
ECU- 3-9 Last season, Over / Under 3.5 wins
Scott Montgomery is officially on the hot seat at least in my eyes. At 6-18 over the past few seasons he needs to right this Pirate ship asap. Their offensive MVP is Trevon Brown, has over 100 career catches and almost 2000 receiving yards. On their schedule out of conference they have to play UNC, Virginia Tech, Old Dominion and NC A&T. At Least A&T is a for sure win. The only other possible winnable games on the schedule are Connecticut and Old Dominion. Take the Under.
UCONN- 3-9 Last Season,Over/Under 3.5 Wins
Randy Edsall is back and showed a glimmers of hope last season when they beat Temple in AAC action. David Pindell will get the nod at QB after being replaced last season and winning back the job. Out of conference schedule is tough Boise State, Rhode Island. Syracuse and Umass. They Should beat Rhode Island, ECU and UMass. Would need to pull an upset over another team like they did last season. I would avoid this over under.
AAC West
Memphis 10-3 Last Year, Over/Under 8.5 Wins
If Mike Norvell has another great year in Memphis we should expect the Athletic Directors from the Power 5 conferences knocking down his door. A QB battle is expected between David Moore and ASU transfer Brady White after Riley Ferguson and Anthony Miller no longer lead the offense. Memphis is very deep at their skill positions with Darrell Henderson, Patrick Taylor and Tony Pollard. Returning good production on the defensive side of the football. A very weak out of conference schedule with Mercer, Georgia State, South Alabama. One interesting out of conference game is when they travel to Missouri. We already love the over in that game. My prediction for this team is 9-3 but could easily win 10 or 11. I would pass on this one more value to come.
Houston- 7-5 last season, Over / Under 7.5
Major Apple will look to bring Houston back to the top of the AAC. When looking at the roster one name stands out clearly and that is Ed Oliver. The defensive line man is expected to go top 5 in the draft. I can honestly say I am excited to see what D’Eriq King will do with a full season under center. Terrance Williams a grad transfer will get the lion share of the carries at running back. Out of conference they will be playing Rice, Arizona, Texas Tech, and Texas Southern. There 2nd game against Arizona will tell a lot about Houston season. I think there is value in the OVER here wouldn’t go large but is worth a play.
Navy- 7-6 last season, Over / Under 7 wins
Ken Niumatalolo is the most tenured coach in the conference and didn’t leave Navy for the Arizona job. They return two separate quarterbacks who ran for over 1,000 yards but Malcolm Perry will run the offense and Zach Abbey will move over to play WR. The schedule is set up for them to win some really easy games Out of conference they will be playing Hawaii, Lehigh, Air Force, Notre Dame and Army. Bet the Over.
SMU- 7-6 last season, Over/Under 5.5 wins
Chad Morris is out and insert Sonny Dykes who is known for his prolific passing attack. Leading the attack will be Ben Hicks who is coming off his best season yet. Hicks will have plenty of talent surrounding him at running back. After Courtland Sutton left for the NFL Draft it leaves a big hole at wide receiver. Out of conferences games at North Texas, TCU, Michigan and Southern Baptist. Bet the Under.
Tulane 5-7 last year, Over / Under 5.5
Will Fritz will look to keep the momentum going that his team formed towards the end of last season. Last season resume included an upset over Houston and barely missing a bowl game. Jonathan Banks will be under center will need to step up more than ever for this team to be successful. However, this team has a lot to replace on defense. Their out of conference schedule includes Wake Forest, Nicholls State, UAB, and Ohio State. With the amount of freshmen and sophomores expected to play valuable minutes I see this as a team to Bet The Under On.
Tulsa- 2-10 last season, Over / Under 4.5
Philip Montgomery remains two keep components to this offense with Luke Skipper at Quarterback and Shamari Brooks at running back. They return a good portion of the offensive line. Montgomery did want to jumpstart the improvement on defense and brought in a good amount of JUCO talent that will keep for starting jobs. Out of conference games against Central Arkansas, Texas, Arkansas State and Arkansas. I honestly only see 2 obvious wins on the schedule with Uconn, and Central Arkansas. Tulane is the only game on the schedule that is probably around a pick’em. Every other game on the schedule Tulsa should be the dog. I love the Under.
We have a great show for you today breaking down the AAC with our specialist Uncle Tito! We discuss season win totals, futures, and teams that could surprise us this year!
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Welcome back hope you all enjoyed my last preview of the NFC East season win totals. In this article we will be breaking down the NFC South. This will be an exciting conference to follow all season long. Every team in this division has one thing in common and it is veteran leaders at Quarterback. Please feel to check me out on twitter and some of the other pieces I will be working on for The Odds Breakers.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Over 7.5 Wins (-125), Under 7.5 Wins (-105)
I hate to admit this, but I have always had a soft spot for the Buccaneers growing up. My best friend was a huge Bucs fan and loved football more than I did. The odds are stacked against the Bucs this year since they are slated to play 8 teams that made the playoffs this past year. Will Jameis after missing a few games to start the NFL season take the necessary steps this year to leap into the NFL elite squad? Jameis has no shortage of targets between Evans, Desean Jackson,and OJ Howard. They invested a 2nd round pick in Ronald Jones from USC after they shipped out Doug Martin. On defense they took a page from the Philadelphia Eagles, who stole that page from the New York Giants and that move is to invest heavy in the D-line, get after the quarterback, and clog up the running holes. JPP, Gerald McCoy and Vinny Curry will be joined up front by the big man Vita Vea.The 6 foot 4 inch and 347 pound rookie Vita will fill up both A gaps and possibly the B gaps. Their LB’s and DB’s are led by Lavonte David, Brent Grimes and Kwon Alexander. The division games are very tough and realistically they will be lucky to survive 2-4 but if they went 1-5 it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to anyone at all. Looking at their non-divisional home games things get a little tough. Visiting sunny Tampa this season will be The 49ers, Redskins, Steelers, Eagles and Browns. As I see it, The Buccaneers should only be favored against the Browns, and the line against the Redskins should be right around a pick’em. Against the 49ers, Eagles and Steelers they could be at least 7 point dogs. On the road they will face the Cowboys, Bengals, Ravens, Bears and Giants. I see this as 3-4 winnable games for Jameis and company. With Winston expected to be suspended for three games against the Saints, Eagles and Steelers I see them starting 0-3 which can just take the wind out of teams sails. I love the Under 7.5 wins and recommend a play on it.
Atlanta Falcons, Over 9.5 (-125), Under 9.5 (-105)
The Dirty Birds in Atlanta have the offensive firepower to compete with any team in the NFL. They invested heavy in Matt Ryan this past offseason and clearly want to make a run for glory since they added another toy for Ryan to throw the ball to when they drafted Calvin Ridley in Rd. 1 of the NFL Draft. At any moment the Falcons could have Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, Calvin Ridley, Devonta Freeman, and Tevin Coleman all on the field at one time. That is not scary that is an absolute nightmare. Matt Ryan has the potential to set a career high in passing yards this season and I won’t be surprised if he jumps back into the elite conversation after this season. On defense they will need to keep improving and developing. The Falcons will need to hope that Vic Beasley and Takkarist Mckinley can create pressure up front to help a mediocre secondary. In the division the best case scenario is 5-1, however I do believe 4-2 is more realistic. They should take both games with Tampa Bay and could see them splitting with the Saints and Panthers. At home they face a favorable schedule which includes the Ravens, Cardinals, Bengals, Giants and Cowboys. They should be favorites in all of these games. 5-0 could very well happen but on the safe side because of variance I will say 4-1. Things get a little tougher on the road when they face the Eagles, Redskins, Packers, Browns and Steelers. The Falcons should enter the games against the Redskins and Browns as at least 7 point favorites. I think they will be small dogs against the Eagles and Packers. The Pittsburgh game would not surprise me if it opens right around a pick. ( Side note: I already love the over in that game already and I don’t know the total.) On the safe side of things 3-2 very easy to see but once again 4-1 is very doable for what should be a high-powered offensive juggernaut. -125 isn’t that enough juice for me to stay away from this line. I love the Over 9.5 and recommend a play on it.
Carolina Panthers, Over 8.5 wins (-120), Under 8 (-110)
Is Cam Newton is overrated? I look up and down at this offense and I think to myself, wow they are just not that impressive compared to the rest of the division. Cam Newton will keep you in games, but I do not think he holds the clutch gene to get it done. At RB they will hopefully turn over all the keys to Christian McCaffrey but something tells me they want to see if CJ Anderson still has some gas left in the tank. Greg Olsen is an elite TE and gives Cam another solid resource to pair with McCaffrey. Rookie DJ Moore better be all he billed up to be since the teammates surrounding him are average players at best sorry Torrey Smith and Devin Funchess. On defense the strength is the core at Linebacker, Luke Kuechly, Thomas Davis and Shaq Thompson. Seeing those 3 names together I am kind of impressed. They added Poe for their DL, Cockrell at CB, (much better player than people think). They also brought back Julius Peppers and drafted Donte Jackson CB from LSU who some thought may be a reach. In terms of the division they will either end finishing these games 3-3 or 2-4. Coming to visit Carolina this year we have New York Giants, Cowboys, Bengals, Ravens and Seahawks. They should beat the Giants no problem. The Cowboys, Bengals and Seahawks should have the Panthers set at small favorites and see them being about a pick against the Ravens. I would say they finish these home games 3-2. A tough slate on the road against the Eagles,. Redskins, Lions and Steelers. Oh yeah they play the Browns as well but that should we a win along with their matchup against the Redskins. They lose the Steelers and Eagles game and the matchup against the Lions is a toss-up that I’ll lean Lions on their home field. All that being said gets them to 2-3. I don’t see any value in this number either way I am and recommending you stay away.
New Orleans Saints, Over 9.5 wins (-140), Under 9.5 wins (+100)
In all seriousness, the Saints made the most questionable move in the draft by trading up to select DE Marcus Davenport. I enjoyed Marcus’ tape prior to the draft and love when elite players on lower level teams get a chance to be noticed. I noticed one thing when watching the NFC Divisional game against the Vikings and that was they should have invested some talent at cornerback. Granted a freak play, but at 5 foot 8 inches I think I make that tackle at least push Diggs out-of-bounds. On offense Brees may have lost a yard and some zip on his pass but he is still Drew Brees and will get it done by any means necessary especially when you have the talent like Brees does surrounding him. Alvin Kamara should continue to excel in his early career and look for Tre’Quan Smith out of UCF to make an immediate impact. The Saints have never been a great team on defense, but did improve drastically last season. It may not be necessary for them to be great when they can put up points they way do. In the division, I think they take both games from Tampa and split the season series against the Falcons and Panthers. That leaves them 4-2 heading into out of division play. I will say the schedule isn’t easy. Home matchups versus the Eagles, Redskins, Steelers, Rams and Browns. We will get the obvious wins out-of-the-way with the Redskins and Browns. The Eagles get the Saints after a bye week and I am not one to bet against any coach from the Andy Reid coaching tree after a bye week, so I will put the matchup against the Eagles as a loss. I think they lose one of the games against the Saints and or Steelers. On the road the travel to play the Vikings, Cowboys. Giants, Ravens and Bengals. At worst they finish 3-2 but could easily be 4-1. The only games I question are the Cowboys and Vikings. I love this Over 9.5. The juice is high but it’s worth laying.
Fantasy Football is back!!!! The public dog @thepublicdog and our fantasy guy D-Nasty @dnastyfantasy breaks down the fantasy football PPR pre-rankings per position for your snake fantasy draft. We cover underrated players, overrated players and SLEEPERS! We had some connection issues during this interview so apologies for the muffled voice at times…
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