Today we break down the AFC part of the NFL season win totals with a semi-scientific approach. We take a deep dive into what teams gained and lost in free agency and the draft. Strength of schedule is determined by expected opponent winning percentage (Pythagorean) as well as totaled up season win totals (Vegas Style) rather than actual opponent winning percentage. We also take a look at the teams intangibles (health, red zone efficiency/clutch performers),
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We have Marco De’Angelo back to break down not only the Preakness Stakes, but also what it means to have the ban on sports betting lifted by our supreme court. Marco is one of the most experienced and successful horse racing specialists in Las Vegas and we spend over 50 minutes discussing the dynamics, long shots and possibilities of the 2018 Preakness Stakes. #2018preaknessstakes
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Cub Fan Danny is back! He breaks down UFC 224 for us for our wagering pleasure. He can still pick winners, and he can still make money for people back home.
Amanda Nunez vs Raquel Pennington – Ronaldo Sauza vs Kelvin Gastelum – Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Cooper – Vito Belfort vs Lyoto Machida – Aleksei Oleinik vs Junior Albini
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Today we bring in 2 heavy hitters, Marco De’Angelo from Wager Talk and Jody Demling from #247sports to discuss the Kentucky Derby! We find a consensus on how open the field is and how important the Jockeys are to this race. We also discuss some betting strategies that made a huge profit last year with some long shots to look at.
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As the beginning of May arrives thus comes the next Grand Slam in tennis. The French Open is about 3 weeks away and for betting purposes this means there’s some money to be made!
Part of betting on tennis is understanding that each Grand Slam is different. You can’t always just bet on the top ranked player. Each person usually specializes in a certain type of surface. From hard court to grass to clay each surface is unique.
The French Open is played on clay so that will be our focus at the moment. Before each Grand Slam there are a series of smaller tournaments that are played primarily as “tune ups” for the next Grand Slam. The important thing for us to do is watch the tournaments played on clay closely. Who is injured? Who is playing hot? Which players make clay feel natural?
For the women’s side of the French, here are a few names I’ll throw out as possible winners of the tournament:
Jelena Ostapenko (+1200):
She won last years French and is in great shape at only 20 years of age. With clay being a slow surface, points last longer and endurance comes into play. She is set up nicely for another big run.
Elina Svitolina (+800):
Svitolina is looking very good coming into the French. With clay being her favorite playing surface, she is comfortable with the style of play and ready to make an impact.
Caroline Garcia (+2500):
This is my dark horse of the tournament. She’s gritty! Look for her to cause an upset or two in the tourney. She is someone we can make some money on as an underdog for sure.
Personally I’m staying away from Serena Williams (+650). Clay surface favors players who have a strong ground game which is definitely her strength. However, just coming back from having a baby and trying to get back into tennis shape is a big factor in me deciding to stay away.
If I had to give you one name to win it all I’d have to say Elina Svitolina. At +800 there’s plenty of value there and I’m confident she’ll be ready to make the run at the title.
Follow me @natedogne on twitter for picks and info!
In this episode we break down what is right and what is wrong with Mel Kipers NFL Mock Draft. We also break down the top 8 Quarterbacks in the NFL draft.
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We can’t stay away! It’s time to talk about the NFL rule changes and how they pertain to handicapping and betting an NFL game. A little dabble into a few NCAA future bets that I like.
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Today we break down the NCAA Championship game between Michigan vs Villanova
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13-3 in sweet 16 plays last week. Today we recap the final games from the weekend. We then cover our future bets talking about what we made and what to do with the Michigan 50-1. Lastly, we cover the Loyola vs Michigan and Kansas vs Villanova games.
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The Public dog breaks down the NCAA Tournament Recap and some plays for the sweet 16. We apologize in advance for the poor sound quality due to spur of the moment unexpected travel. Please tweet your questions and picks @theoddsbreakers #marchmadness – *1correction 4 big 12 teams in tournament
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