Podcast 73 – 20 – With Kyle Hunter – College Football Week 14 & NFL Week 13 plays – Sharp Movements – Sports Betting

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December 3, 2020

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast — The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a fully loaded show for you today following up a great week of sports betting! Our college football Podcast plays last week went 3-1. Kyle Hunter @kylehunterpicks comes on to give us some great college basketball information and some college football info and plays! First, Kiev gives us his Big 10 basketball preview from his best team to his worst! What were these teams ATS records last year? Which teams return what players? Next, Kyle comes on and tells us a few things about college basketball for 2020/2021. What is home court advantage this year? Which teams changed their pace? Which teams are flying under the radar and might have some value? Next, Kyle and Kiev break down some college football games. Then, Kiev gets into the NFL with a some free plays for Week 13. Then he gives out his REFUSE TO LOSE teaser as well as his BOW TO THE GAMBLING GODS Parlay for fun that pays out at 5.5-1 this week. Finally, Kiev gets into sharp line movements for the weekend in both College Football and the NFL.

NFL: Houston vs Detroit – San Francisco vs LA Rams and more!

NCAA: Arizona vs UCLA – Louisville vs Boston College – Penn State vs Michigan and more!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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theoddsbreakers.com

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College Football Week 13 Misleading Final Scores

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Kiev O'Neil

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December 2, 2020

Nebraska out-gained Iowa 338 to 322 yet lost 26-20. 2-1 turnover ratio hurt especially on that last drive.

South Florida out-gained UCF 646 to 577 yet lost 58-46. A 2-1 turnover ratio hurt them.

Cal out-gained Stanford 392 to 300 yet lost 24-23. 2-0 turnover ratio did them in.

Texas Tech out-gained Oklahoma State 639 to 539 yet lost 50-44. Turnovers were equal at 3. Bad redzone efficiency hurt the Red Raiders.

Indiana only out-gained Maryland 349 to 300 yet lost 27-11. 3-1 turnover ratio. Michael Penix Junior QB for Indiana went out with leg injury.

Buffalo only out-gained Kent State 663 to 578 yet won 70-41. A 1-0 turnover ratio and horrible Kent State Run D is what did this.

Arkansas State out-gained South Alabama 494 to 486 yet lost 38-31. They won the turnover battle 0-1 as well.

Louisville out-gained Boston College 493 to 425 yet lost 34-27. 3-1 turnover ratio. Surprised?

Texas A&M and LSU were even at 267 yards yet Texas A&M won 20-7. 3-0 turnover ratio hurt LSU

College Football Week 14 Motivational Spots

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Kiev O'Neil

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December 2, 2020

Let Down Spots:

Iowa State at West Virginia after winning at Texas. This one would hurt.

Oregon State at Utah after beating rival Oregon is a big one.

Hawaii at San Jose State after beating Nevada outright.

Michigan State isn’t one at Ohio State after beating Northwestern.

Ball State at Central Michigan after beating Toledo.

Get up spots:

Ohio State needs to convince the committee vs Michigan State.

Wisconsin needs a good win vs Indiana at home.

Liberty at Coastal Carolina is a huge game and a get up for both team.

West Virginia can play the Spoiler at Iowa State.

LSU hosting Alabama is a big one for them.

Look Ahead Spots:

Florida looking past Tennessee to LSU is possible.

Tulsa looking past Navy To Cincinnati.

Podcast 72 – 20 – NFL Week 12 and NCAA Week 13 Recap and Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 13 – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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December 1, 2020

We have a great show for you today! First, Kiev recaps the weekend in the NCAA & the NFL. Who disappointed and who exceeded expectations? Next, Kiev recaps some college football and gets into some misleading final scores and motivational spots for week 13. Then, we talk about some misleading final scores in the NFL and some more motivational spots. What was real and what was garbage time? Next, Kiev gives out a free College Football play for week 14! Then, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football. Who are the key injuries? Who are we picking up on waivers? Who is trending up for next weekend and who will be the biggest turkey? Finally we give out a nasty sleeper to help you win your week!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

Should you need a sports book please visit jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “Oddsbreakers” to get a 50% sign up bonus! Terms, conditions and location apply.

theoddsbreakers.com

For only 24.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop!

Fantasy Football Week 13

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 30, 2020

Bye Weeks: Panthers and Buccaneers

Key Injuries:

DJ Moore WR – Ankle injury

Josh Jacobs RB – Sprained ankle

Daniel Jones QB – Hamstring

Phillip Lindsey RB – Banged up knee

Will Fuller WR – Substance abuse and out for 4 weeks

Coming off of IR:

Miles Gaskin RB

Garner Minshew QB

Waiver Wire:

Mitch Trubisky QB – has great matchups like Lions, Texans and Jags coming up

TY Hilton WR – 5 Targets and a TD

Royce Freeman RB – for Lindsey injury

Olabisi Johnson WR – Vikings got 7 targets.

Colt McCoy QB – if you are desperate for a QB

Devonte Booker RB – for the Josh Jacobs ankle.

Ito Smith RB – With Gurley banged up

Hunter Renfrow WR – 9 Targets

Non-Starters Trending Up for Week 13:

Mitch Trubisky QB – vs the Lions horrible D

Gus Edwards RB – vs Dallas’s bad D

Taysom Hill QB – vs the Falcons D although they were good last week.

Nyhiem Hines RB – vs the Texans run D.

Brandon Cooks WR – Fuller being out

Miles Gaskin RB – vs the Bengals run D.

Alexander Mattison RB – vs the Jaguars will get some work

Nelson Agolor WR – vs the horrible Jets.

Laviska Shenault WR – vs the Vikings D if he is healthy. Minshew might be back

Busts:

Ito Smith RB – vs the Saints run D.

Brian Hill RB – vs the Saints run D

Kenyon Drake RB – vs the pissed off Rams D

Wayne Gallman RB – vs Seattle (my nasty sleeper last week with 17 points)

Duke Johnson RB – vs The pissed off Colts D.

Ben Roethlisberger QB – after a short week vs Washington’s Pass D.

Alex Smith QB – vs Pittsburgh’s pass D

Matt Ryan QB – vs the Saints pass D

Calvin Ridley WR – vs the Saints

Nasty Sleeper:

Miles Gaskin RB – He should be able to take advantage of Bengals

College Football Week 13 Sharp Action

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 27, 2020

As of Wednesday Afternoon:

Sharp money on:

Airforce -5 hosting Colorado State – 60% tickets and 85% of the money.

New Mexico -4.5 to -6.5 at Utah State – 57% tickets and 86% of the money.

Iowa State +2.5 to PK at Texas – 55% tickets and 78% of the money.

Oregon State hosting Oregon +16.5 to +13.5 – 34% tickets and 68% of the money.

Oklahoma State -11 to -12 hosting Texas Tech – 59% tickets and 94% of the money.

Maryland +14 to +10.5 at Indiana – 44% tickets and 68% of the money.

Kent State +9 to +7 at Buffalo – 57% tickets and 81% of the money.

Western Michigan -17.5 to -19.5 hosting Northern Illinois – 75% tickets and 99% of the money. Dual action.

North Texas +5 to +3 at UTSA – 50% tickets and 98% of the money.

Coastal Carolina -16 to -17 at Texas State – 48% tickets and 97% of the money.

Northwestern -11 to -13.5 at Michigan State – 71% tickets and 95% of the money.

Colorado +13.5 to +10.5 at USC – 50% tickets and 85% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

Nebraska at Iowa over 52 – 61% tickets and 92% of the money

Notre Dame vs UNC over 64 to 67 – Dual action 71% tickets and 97% of the money.

Kentucky vs Florida over 57 to 60 – 56% tickets and 96% of the money.

Ohio State vs Illinois over 67.5 to 70 – 43% tickets and 65% of the money.

Alabama vs Auburn over 62 to 64.5 – 67% tickets and 94% of the money.

FAU vs MTSU over 46.5 to 48.5 – 11% ticket sand 90% of the money.

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss over 64 to 69 – 61% tickets and 87% of the money.

NFL Week 12 Sharp Action

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 27, 2020

As of Wednesday Afternoon:

Sharp money on:

Texans -2.5 to -3 at the Lions – 59% tickets and 80% of the money

Titans +4.5 to +3.5 at the Colts – Dual action 75% tickets and 85% of the money.

Cardinals PK to -2.5 at Patriots – 69% tickets and 90% of the money.

Sharp Totals

Chargers vs Bills over 50 to 53 – 67% tickets and 95% of the money.

Giants vs Bengals under 47 to 45 – 56% tickets and 76% of the money.

Raiders vs Falcons under 56 – 56% tickets and 95% of the money.

49ers vs Rams under 46.5 to 45 – 39% tickets and 90% of the money.

Saints vs Broncos under 46.5 to 43 – 53% tickets and 80% of the money.

KC vs Tampa over 53 to 55.5 – 63% tickets and 98% of the money.

College Football Week 13 Free Plays

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 27, 2020

Arizona vs UCLA -9.5 O/U 68

Arizona is on the second road game here after being manhandled by a young Washington Husky’s team. This play for me is all about perception. People are thinking about how Arizona almost beat USC and that supposedly is supposed to make them good. Looking at the metrics the last few games, Arizona averages 5.5 yards per play on offense and they give up 6.64. That is a -1.14 after 2 games. Their QB play has been pretty good but they can not run the ball well at all. UCLA’s 1-2 record doesn’t really paint the whole picture. At Colorado they turned the ball over a lot and still almost won the game, and at Oregon last week they out-gained the Ducks by 40 yards and barely lost the game. When they played a home game, they destroyed Cal by 24 points. UCLA averages 6.1 yards per play on offense and only gives up 5.15 on defense. That is a +.95 and putting it with Arizona, it is a +2.1 net yard per play advantage. UCLA’s quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson didn’t get to play for covid protocol last week but I think he is back this weekend vs the Cats. Take UCLA and they should win in a blow out.

UCLA -8.5 – 3 star premium shared play

Boston College -1.5 O/U 55.5

Louisville is finally coming off of a win against a terrible Syracuse team. Well as Chris Farley would say, well La di fricking da! The Cardinal would be a mediocre team if they wouln’t turn the ball over so much. The Cardinal actually has a decent +.8 yards per play but they have a league worst -12 turnover margin. That is almost 2 turnover per game in the negative. Boston College on the other hand has a better record than Louisville with 5 wins and 4 losses but a worse yards per play at -.6 The thing that sticks out the most for me here is strength of schedule. Boston college has faced 3 top 25 teams in Clemson, Notre Dame and North Carolina. Louisville has only faced 2 top 25 teams in Notre Dame and Miami early this year and their best win is against Florida State believe it or not. Boston College is now well rested and coming off the bye while Louisville might be a little full of themselves after beating a horrible Syracuse team. Gonna take the Eagles here to win with the short spread.

Boston College -1.5 – 2.5 star premium shared play

Pittsburgh vs Clemson -24 O/U 54.5

Well we all know that Dabo Sweeny isn’t getting any style points this week accusing Florida State of purposely avoiding them after their Covid issues. I think its obvious that Dabo is a bit bitter about having to bench Trevor Lawrence when he really wasn’t showing sickness the last few games. Dabo needs to understand that even though he doesn’t agree with the rules, all teams have to follow it this year until better decisions are made. I personally do not care how much of a baby Dabo is this week. I only care about the fact that Clemson think’s that they need style points now with their loss to Notre Dame and Pitt is the next victim. Now Pitt is getting a little bit of respect after beating Virginia Tech last week by double digits but what I saw was a Hokies team that has lost motivation after that Liberty loss. Pittsburgh is just a middle of the road ACC team averaging just +.6 yards per play and when they step up in class here they will once again be in some serious trouble like they showed against Notre Dame. Clemson is the most complete team in all of college football. Clemson’s average margin of victory is 26 points and that is counting the 2 bad games that they had without Trevor. My power ratings have Clemson winning by about 24 but I think it will be an embarrassment to Dabo after all that shit that he talked this week to not blow this team out. Trevor is also fighting for Heisman. Take Clem and don’t sweat it.

Clemson -24 – 2 star premium shared play

NFL Week 12 Free Plays

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 26, 2020

Thanksgiving Day Teaser!!!

6 pt – Lions up to +9 with the Washington Dallas under to 52 – 2 star premium shared – Hope everyone enjoys thanksgiving!

San Francisco vs LA Rams -7 O/U 45.5

Rams just had a huge win vs Tampa and I definitely give them an upgrade for that but San Francisco already beat this team with Kittle and Jimmy G but unfortunately they will be relying on their backup quarterback Nick Mullens and Backup Tight End Jordan Reed. I think with the shortened week, the Rams will have more of a defensive approach than offensive. The only team to really shut down this Rams offense was the 49ers D holding them to 16 points on October 18th. The 49ers get Raheem Mostert back this week but they also have 2 offensive lineman now out for Covid. I think with the improved Rams defense and the lack of playmakers on the 49ers this game will be going under the total. I also think that the Rams have a very good shot at holding the Niners to very few points.

San Francisco vs LA Rams under 45.5 – 2 star premium shared play

Tennessee vs Indianapolis -3.5 O/U 51 –

We have a rivalry game here and a little road revenge angle for Tennessee. I know that Indianapolis certainly has the better defense here but Tennessee I think edges Indi in offense and sometimes Frank Reich can get a little pass happy with Phillip Rivers. Tennessee only has a net .2 yards per play compared to Indi’s net .6, but the Titans have had a harder schedule than the Colts and need this victory very badly to even things out. I know the Titans lost Jaylen Brown to injuries. He is a tough middle linebacker who played 97% of their snaps but the silver lining is that the Titans have some depth at the position and Will Compton played well getting 6 tackles after Brown went out. I like the angle of playing the dog on the second conference game and I think this is a 3 point game at the most.

Tennessee +3.5 – 2 star premium shared play and sprinkle

Refuse to Lose 6 PT Teaser is 6-5: We are going to tease Buffalo to +.5 and the Rams to -1. 49ers just to injured here and now they have Covid Issues. The Chargers are just very incompetent.

Bow to the gambling gods Parlay is 2-7: NCAA: Indiana -380, Toledo -335, Appalachian State -565, Oklahoma State -384, Boston College -1-108, NFL: Los Angeles Rams -315 – Pays 5-1.