Nov 7, 2015; Clemson, SC, USA; Clemson Tigers players hold their helmets up prior to the game against the Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports
Here’s a little more info on the plays I tweeted out earlier this week and why I made the plays I did. Also, these lines may have moved for better or for worse. Take that in to account before placing your bet. Any questions, just ask!
Clemson -16.5 @ Georgia Tech / OU 51.5
Clemson has been solid all year, as you’d expect for a team that returned so much production from last year. They have dominated 2 of their first 3 opponents this year. The close game was against Texas A&M and that total only got to 54. I would look for this game against Georgia Tech to be a blowout. Their defense is smothering and they have been rotating Kelly Bryant and Trevor Lawrence at QB. I see no reason why that wouldn’t continue. Also, with this being their second road game and first conference game, that can also hold down the scoring overall.
Georgia Tech has been pitiful this year and has been a big disappointment. They haven’t been able to take care of the ball and their defense hasn’t helped them out at all. GT might end up with 7 in this one if they’re lucky.
Look for Clemson to roll and want to get out of dodge without being hit by the injury bug. 42-7 Clemson takes it with 49 points total. Take Clemson -16.5 and Under 51.5
Notre Dame -7.5 @ Wake Forest / OU 59.5
I’ve been back and forth on this one, but have read enough to think Wake should be good in this spot. Notre Dame’s offense has been anemic this year. Wake kept up with BC and should be ready to roll quick again this week. If Notre Dame’s offense can’t keep up they may find trouble. ND has the upper hand on defense, but when you run over 100 plays per game, even the best defenses get scored on.
Notre Dame has been pretty awful on offense this year, with their defense being much better. Their offense is bound to wake up one of these weeks and they should be able to put up points on this suspect Wake Forest defense.
Wake Forest comes in with their fast tempo game on offense and has put up points in their last 2 games against Towson and BC. Notre Dame’s defense is their strength, but I think Wake’s tempo will be able to put up some points on their side. Look for this one to reach the mid 60s. Take Wake Forest +7.5 and Over 59.5
Boston College -7 @ Purdue / OU 68
BC has put up a massive number of points this season, but they’ve also given up a ton of points as well. I think that trend continues here against Purdue. Purdue comes in looking for their first win, but they will have to put up a lot of points to get it. Their defense is also suspect and I expect this game to be a shootout well into the 70s, if not 80s. Take Over 68.
Virginia Tech -27.5 @ Old Dominion / OU 51
Virginia Tech should come in to this game super fresh after having their last game against East Carolina postponed due to Hurricane Florence. They should also be chomping at the bit to get back into some game action. They have rolled both Florida State and William & Mary in their first 2 games. Old Dominion is a step down from both of those teams. There’s no reason why they shouldn’t roll here.
Old Dominion has been a doormat this year with their only competitive game coming against Charlotte, which doesn’t say much. They lost to Liberty (first year in FBS) by 42 and FIU by 8. Virginia Tech is leaps and bounds better than all those teams. They don’t stand a chance here.
This week they are headed into Tampa Bay as a 1-point favorite. How can that be? Are the oddsmakers living on the Steelers of the past or are they not believing in Tampa Bay and their offense?
I told you last week that there was something wrong with the Steelers before the Chiefs game and sure enough the Chiefs went bananas and scored whenever they wanted. Steelers defense is bad. Antonio Brown crying on twitter to a nobody to trade because his feelings were hurt. I think Tomlin has lost his locker room and this team will not win.
What’s not to love about Fitzpatrick so far this year? He has so many weapons to throw to and boy does he love to throw it. His receiver’s lover him because all they want to do is score. In the past Fitz will give you these crazy games in a row and then throw up a 8 interceptions in back to back weeks but this week against a Steelers team that has major issues right now I have to ride the wave with the Bucs.
This will be another shootout and I like TB not only to cover but also win outright.
My play on this one is take the Tampa getting +1.5.
Bears -6 @ Cardinals +6
I am not going to tell you how dominate the Bears defense is. I am not going to tell you that they lead the league in Sacks. I am not going to tell you that they lead the league is Forced Fumbles. I am not going to go on and on how good they are and potentially only will get better as the year goes on. This is about the Cardinals.
THE CARDINALS STINK!
They can’t score, shutout last week against the Rams and 6 points against the Redskins all of which were in the 4th quarter.
Cardinals are last in the league with passing yards, second to last in rushing yards, last in the league total yards per game last in the league in scoring. They have 19 total first downs they are 4/20 in 3rd down conversions and on and on. This offense is poor and their best receiver Fitzgerald might not be playing this week.
Their defense has given up 58 points in two games. Those 2 games were over by halftime and other team didn’t even try in the second half. They are 30th in total defense. Do I need to go on?
I didn’t even mention that this game in Arizona is going to be a home game for the Bears as there will most likely be for Bear fans than Cardinal fans at the stadium.
If the Cardinals somehow score 10 points can the Bears score at least 17? I can see the Bears offense getting better this week getting off to an early 17-0 lead and pounding the rock the remaining game and end up scoring at least 24 to 27 points and AZ maxing out at 13.
Take the Bears and lay the 6.
Buffalo Bills @ Vikings
The Bills are just terrible. If you listened to the over under season total episode, I said I felt like the Bills will be one of the worst teams, if not the worst team in the league this year. If you didn’t take the under for wins, shame on you. The Bills got so spanked last week that Vontae David retired at halftime and didn’t even want to go out for the second half. This offensive line is so poor they are the second most sacked team in the league on top of having a Rookie QB that is nowhere near ready to start.
Going up against a top 3 defense in the league is not going to help the Bills this week. The Vikings offense is also very strong and I can see them stepping on the throat of the Bills early and walk into halftime up big.
My play this week is take the Vikings -10 first half. I can see 17-3 by half. Laying the 17 points is going to be a nail biter as it can possibly be 24-3 by 4th qt and the Bills scoring a garbage TD at the end and covering. That doesn’t mean it end in 44-3, I just don’t want to take the risk of the Vikings running out the clock in the second half and have the starters sit in the 4th qt.
SF +7 at KC -7
Chiefs are laying -7 but it is even money.
This is the home opener for KC so that stadium will be rocking and LOUD, VERY VERY LOUD!
KC Defense is bad but is it so bad because the offense scores way to quick and they are on the field a lot or is it just really bad? The Jury is still out on the KC defense in my eyes. All I can tell you is the offense looks amazing right now and beat 2 good teams that were supposed to challenge for playoff a long playoff run.
Jimmy G has come down to earth from last year and coming off a win against the Lions last week. Jimmy G looked much better last week and so did the 49ers but I am not buying the Lions as a good team this year and nowhere in the class of the Chiefs offensively.
I like the Chiefs at -7 at even money and like them even more if the line drops to -6.5 which I expect it to by this weekend.
Ok, we watched the TCU vs Ohio State game. The Buckeye’s are the second best team in football. We know Duane Haskins has a 194 QB rating. We know that they average 5.8 yards per run. But this handicap has nothing to do with stats or power ratings because if it did then +36 is the correct number. This game is all about spots and that is how you beat Vegas. You can’t do it on betting the Power teams against the little sisters of the poor alone. This is a perfect sandwich spot for Ohio State coming down from that Close TCU game and now looking ahead to Penn State. Ohio state got banged up last game and NEEDS to be healthy for their big game next week. Nick Bosa probably out this game. I doubt their starters will even play past the middle of the third quarter if the game is under hand. Tulane on the other hand played some tough teams in Wake Forest and UAB. They at least average 6.2 yards per play and give up 5.6. Ohio state on the other hand is giving up 5.2 yards per play and their D has some holes in it. I see Tulane scoring a bit in the 4th quarter and covering this thing.
Tulane +35.5
Clemson vs Georgia Tech +16.5
So if u watched the Georgia Southern game then you know that Clemson got used to the Triple Option by the second half of that game. Now that Clemson is facing another triple option team, it really sets up well for this handicap. Clemson lost some respect in the Market place and I am sure they are not too happy about it. They want their number 2 spot back and they are going to prove it this week against a weakened Georgia Tech team. I actually think that Georgia Southern may be better than Georgia Tech and they lost by 30. Clemson is still at top 10 team in Efficiency while Georgia Tech isn’t even top 50. I’ll take that Clemson 7.5 yards per play against that weak Geogia tech D.
Clemson -16.5 to 21
Kansas vs Baylor -6.5
Ok. We all loved how Kansas came out and started 2-0 in FBS Play. Party party party. Cinderella story right??? WROOOOOOOOOOONG. Kansas is now a PUBLIC DOG and this is exactly what we look for in the marketplace. Let’s face it. Kansas played beat Central Michigan and Rutgers. We forgot that they lost their first game to Nichols State. Baylor on the other hand is coming off a loss to a very tough and season Duke team. What people didn’t see in this game is that Baylor Outscored Duke 27-17 in the second half and equaled them in yards. Baylor averages 7.2 yards per play to Kansases 5.4. Baylor has every reason to try and kick some ass at Home this week.
Baylor -6.5
Michigan State vs Indiana +4.5
Here is another situation where you have to look at the pure power ratings over what the win loss record shows you. I suspect Indiana will be a Public Dog come saturday and I think it is smart to look at some numbers. MSU beat a very tough Utah State team who has been blowing the doors off teams. Utah State is currently a top 35 team in the power ratings. Michigan State also had a very tough and close loss against a very gritty AZ State team. Michigan State was leading by 13 until the 4th quareter and the clock hit 1:30AM Eastern time. In the mean time Indiana has been able to capitalize on tomato cans such as Florida International, Ball State and a very green Virginia Team. Most power ratings have Michigan State by 7 so we are taking a pissed off Sparty
Michigan State -4.5
Notre Dame vs Wake Forest +8 and O/U 57.5
So one thing that I did notice last week about Wake Forest is that this team has a ton of grit. They actually almost equalled Boston College’s yards on offense getting 512 yards to BC’s 524. Wake Forest is 4-1-1 at home last year against the spread last year at home and new QB Sam Hartmen is much better now than his season debut against Tulane. Now one thing we saw from Notre Dame is that they have failed to reach expectations. Notre Dame should have lost last week to Vanderbilt having 40 less total yards and if it wasn’t for the 3 turnover margin they would have lost. Notre Dame also didn’t show well vs a bad Ball state team the week before only winning by 8 points.
Wake forest +8 and ML sprinkle
Lets stay right here for a moment. I know that Notre Dame is more of a running team and plays great defense a bad offense and I circled them as an under team as you saw cash last week but this total is a bit too low playing a team that runs 102 plays per game!!!! Wake forest is the Fastest playing team in the NCAA and because of this Notre Dame will have plenty of chances to score. For as shitty as Notre Dame is they still average 5.1 yards a play while Wake Forest averages 5.8. Boston College is a running team as well and this total went way over last week.
Over 57.5
East Carolina vs South Florida – 23.5
Wow did South Florida escape a close one in Illinois. They had to score 18 in the 4th quarter to win this game. S Florida has been escaping close games for a while now. I think this time they may be caught a bit off guard here. East Carolina still plays a very fast game and South Florida always has trouble with that. East Carolina is absolutely better this year but their record won’t show it because last week’s game was cancelled. The Pirates lost their first week to an FCS school called North Carolina Arts and Technology but if you look at Sagarin’s ratings, they are a pretty decent FCS team. People are not giving East Carolina enough credit for beating North Carolina 41-19 because of the suspensions but this is the same North Carolina team that went to Cal and only lost by 7 points. Reid Herring threw for 290 yards and a TD this game. S florida can’t really stop the run to well allowing 5.3 yards per carry. The Pirates now have had almost 2 weeks to prepare for UNC and get revenge for the 61-31 loss from last year. S florida didn’t return much production since then ranking 125th. This is a difference S Florida team and when is it ever bad to fade Charlie Strong in these situations. S Florida should be 1-2 right now in my opinion and I think that East Carolina can win this outright.
E Carolina +23.5 for 3 units and 1 Unit +1400 on the money line is the play
Florida Atlantic vs UCF -14 – O/U 71 Premium Play
ASU vs Washington -18.5 Premium Play
Western Michigan vs Georgia State + 7.5 Premium Play
Eastern Michigan vs San Diego State – 11 Premium Play
Other Plays:
Florida -6 vs Tennessee. Power ratings have this at 8 and Tennessee is in full blown rebuild. Florida is still decent and owns Tennessee
louisville vs Virginia -5. Big fade on Louisville here. They should have lost to W Kentucky getting doubled in yards.
Florida -6
Penn State vs Illinois +27.5 – Huge look ahead spot for Penn State. Illinois may get their QB AJ Bush back this weekend. They circled this game and should keep it within 24 points. My power ratings has it at 23
Illinois +27.5 Now 28.5 in market place
Texas Tech +14.5 vs Ok State. Waiting for this line because of let down spot but I must admit Justice Hill Scares me. What a great name Justice Hill. How can he not be in the NFL. Guys, Go blame your parents right now for not naming you Justice Hill.
Big games
Stanford vs Oregon +2 – Same as my line.
Sharp money report:
FAU +13.5 vs UCF – 19% more money that tickets
Michigan from -18 to -19 vs SMU – Both Public and Sharp
Wake Forest +7.5 vs Notre Dame has 15% points difference
Iowa State +18.5 vs Akron has 27% points difference. Akron beat NU last week
Ohio +8.5 vs Cincinnati – 20% poinst difference
SMU +6.5 vs Navy – 30% points difference
Georgia Tech +17 vs Clemson – 20% points difference
FIU +26.5 vs Miami – 25% points difference
NC State -6.5 to -5.5 vs Marshall – 22% difference
New Mexico State -2.5 to -3.5 vs UTEP – 29% difference
Eastern Michigan +11 vs San Diego State – 35% difference
Totals:
Florida Atlantic vs UCF – over 67-75 – 22% points difference
Penn State vs Illinois – 57.5 to 60 – over – 20% points difference
Notre Dame vs Wake Forest 54.5 to 61 – over – 21% points difference
Akron vs Iowa state 50 to 45 – under – 40% points difference
BC vs Purdue – Over- 60 to 68 – Over – 20% points difference
Kent State vs Ole Miss – Over 71.5 to 77.5 39% point difference
Navy vs SMU – Under – 65 – 33% points difference
Louisville vs Virginia – Under – 54.5 – 42% Points difference – I like this one
Miami Oh vs Bowling Green – Over – 55 – 55% Points difference
Baylor vs Kansas – Under -61 to 57.5 – 27% point difference
Tulane vs Ohio State – Over – 64.5 to 66 – 26% points difference
Uconn vs Syracuse – Over – 72-76 – 31% point difference
TCU vs Texas – Under – 51.5 to 47.5 – 24% points difference
Army vs Oklahoma – Under 63.5 – 35% point difference – Kinda like this one
LA Tech vs LSU – Under 51 to 48 – 40% points difference
UTEP vs New Mexica state – Under – 51 to 48.5 – 45% points difference
Wisconsin vs Iowa – Over 42 to 43.5 – 30% points difference
Air Force vs Utah State – Under – 64 – 45% point difference
NFL Week 4
New Orleans Vs Atlanta -3
Atlanta is a little banged up but they did have a pretty impressive performance against Carolina. On the other hand people are really questioning the Saints for their game vs Tampa and Cleveland. Well I am forgiving them for this. Week 1 nobody so Fitzmagic coming in like this and week 2 was a look ahead spot vs Cleveland. Even after a tough start the saints are still top 5 in passing this year and a solid 6.2 yards per play. The saints may have beaten the Bucs week one if they had 1 extra quarter as well. I like Breese’s comeback abilities and the WR matchups vs an injured secondary. I also like fading Steve Sarkesian.
Saints +3
New England vs Detroit +7
Ok, this one makes sense to me but fair warning is that making sense doesn’t seem to go right in the NFL. This is my best play. Lions coach Matt patricia is off to a terrible start as we all saw but he was able to cover the spread last week with Garbage TD time Matt Stafford. Now they are coming home and despate for a win and they face the Patriots. Matt Patricia has been with the Patriots for 14 years as a d coordinator and I do not think that anybody knows this Patriot team more than him. The Lions have been struggeling a bit and I blame lots of this to no running game but at the same time New England is at the bottom half of the NFL against the run. The Lions do give up a lot on the ground 5.8 yards per run a second worst in the NFL but the Patriots are not a good rushing team. The Pats are a passing team and the Lions are 3rd in the league at 8 total QB sacks As bad as the Lions are they still average 5.5 yards per play to the Patriots 5.2. Now I know we have been burned over the years betting against the Patriots but something is missing on this team and I think Matt Patricia is smart enought to have a safety over Gronk as well as even if the Patriots win here I do not see Bill Belichek running up the score against his 14 year friend and Defensive coordinator.
18-6 in College football last week and ready to dig in Week 4! We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neil @thepublicdog goes over some free picks and sharp line movements. Then Eddie Owens @eddiehaswinners comes in to break down thoughts on the big 12 and some of his free plays. Last we have Doug Upstone @vegasproinsider to bring us some value to NFL week 3!
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Rutgers has been down right unimpressive this season coming off back to back blowout loses 52-3 against Ohio St and 55-14 and Kansas. Yes the Kansas Jayhawks which many people pegged as a bottom feeder of FBS . Buffalo is 3-0 and 2-1 ATS barely missing a 44 point cover. Sitkowski who isRutgers True Freshmen quarterback has been going through some growing pains 33/67 on the season with 1 TD and 7 interceptions.On the Flip side Tyree Jackson has almost 800 yards and an impressive 12-1 TD to Int Ratio. The Bulls should be able to get turnovers and quality field possession as they are +6 in turnovers compared to -9 for the Scarlet Knights. Buffalo barely missed a bowl last season and with Army on deck. They know every win counts going into conference play. Line opened -3 still value at the -6
Wisconsin vs. Iowa
Wisconsin lost to BYU this past week and kissed their National Championship dreams away. I don’t think they want to destroy their chances of a New Years 6 Bowl in week 4 of the College Football season. Wisconsin is going to rely on one thing at this Hornibrook handing it off to Taylor. Iowa is only giving up roughly 60 yards per game on the ground however they haven’t seen a back like Taylor yet. They faced running backs from NIU, Northern Iowa and Iowa St to open up the season. This game opened up at -5 in the game of the year lines. I think the BYU loss was a reality checkfor Wisconsin and believe they will be focused on Saturday. Give me Wisconsin up to -5.
Lessons learned concept on black blackboard with coffee cupt and paper plane
18-6 Last week! Crushed it! Brings us to 31-24 overall in college football and up 6 units overall!
Alabama, Ohio State and Georgia are the 3 best teams right now and it isn’t close
Boston College vs Wake Forest
Wow does wake play fast. They average 102 plays per game after a 3 game sample size! We were on the BC side and over on this baby Wonder how many people will catch on to this but not a bad idea to go hard on early line overs…
Georgia State vs Memphis – Wow did Memphis easily cover the 29 points in Fridays game. They were up 28 at half. We didn’t bet this but I wish i did because Memphis had every right to run up the score after losing the week before to Navy. Memphis had 679 yards this game. Wow
Troy vs Nebraska – I missed this bet when the Nebraska QB Martinez was listed as out. They could get nothing going against this hungry Troy defense and the Huskers Defense looked alot like last year. Nebraska was slightly better in the second half than Troy but not quite good enough. Our under 6.5 season win total looking pretty good.
Florida State vs Syracuse – Wow these teams are undisciplined. I should have bet the over in penalties!!!! What an ugly game. Lots of bets went to the over.
Georgia Southern vs Clemson – Well we said we needed 1 TD from Georgia southern to cover 34 and it happened. Clemson rolls by 31. No suprises
Maryland, Nebraska, Rutgers, Wisconsin, Purdue, Northwestern. Just Horrible
Vandy vs Notre Dame – Nailed that under but wow why fair catch that last punt???
Boise State vs OK state – Glad we bought back on this game. 2 punt blocks because Boise not used to punting apparently. They will be after today because OK state dominated them bad
BYU vs Wisconsin – Everything went right for BYU and Wisconsin looked vanilla. Terrible play calling. Predictable. Can’t throw the ball. Looked green. They may get better but they are not a top 15 team this year at this point….
Alabama vs Ole Miss – Alabama is the best team in football. Man I really hate saying that…
Ohio State vs TCU – We bought back on Ohio state and middled this one. Most of TCU’s first half yards were due to 1 huge play. Watching this game you could tell that the Buckeyes were going to win.
ASU vs San Diego State- Took San diego State state last night as a premium play. Let down spot for ASU and it paid off. The last few minutes of the game had 2 of the worst targeting/spearing defensive plays called and then reversed back to normal. I have never seen targeting so obvious yet reversed. Such a strange game these days.
Let down spots:
BYU vs McNeese State (Angry)
Texas hosting TCU
Oklahoma State hosting Texas Tech
LSU hosting LA Tech
Washington hosting ASU
Ohio State hosting Tulane (OSU is injured)
San Diego State hosting Eastern Michigan
Akron going to Iowa State
Troy at Louisiana Monroe
Get up spots:
Iowa State hosting Akron
Wisconsin at Iowa
Wake forest hosting Notre Dame
Purdue hosting Boston College
Baylor hosting Kansas
Auburn hosting Arkansas
Michigan State at Indiana (MSU after a Bye week)
ASU vs Washington
Look ahead spots:
Ohio State looking past Tulane to Penn State
Penn State looking past Illinois to Ohio State
Notre Dame looking past Wake Forest to Stanford
Clemson looking past Georgia Tech to Syracuse (revenge)
Va Tech looking past Old Dominion to Duke is possible
LeSean McCoy – Ribs but not fractured. Week to week
Joe Mixon is out 3-4 weeks. Arthroscopic Surgury on his Knee
Melvin Gordon – Upper Body
Mike Wallace – Terrible ankle injury
Waiver Pickups:
Ted Ginn – My sleeper player of last week had 123 yards, a TD and a 2 point conversion. 24 fantasiy points on 1/2 PPR
Blake Bortles – Man he made me look bad
Josh Gordon – Patriots just signed him
Mark Walton – Mixon Injury will get some touches
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Dude is on fire with 820 yards so far but will he freeze out like he has in the past?
Jessee James – If you need a tight end
Tyler Boyd – 9 targets 1 TD is huge
John Brown – 10 atargets 92 yards 1 TD. Maybe Baltimore’s best WR?
Donte Moncrief – 9 Targets and a TD. WoW
Javorious Allen – 7 Targets
Marcus Murphy – Shady’s back up
Austin Eckler – Melvin Gordon’s back up
Antonio Callaway – Browns Wideout is a beast
Will Disley – Seattle Tight End
Break out players:
Jordan Howard vs that bad AZ defense
Patrick Mahomes just because how can you not?
Ryan Fitzpatrick vs Pitts Defense
Marcus Murphy vs Vikings if RB is needed
James white vs Detroit’s worst run defense
Mohamed Sanu vs Saints defense
Pierre Garcon vs Kansas City’s terrible Defense
Robert Woods vs the chargers defense
Busts:
David Johnson vs the Bears Defense
Sleeper this week is JOHN BROWN from the Baltimore Ravins vs that terrible Denver team. Now Denver hasn’t played anyone yet cause the Raiders and Seahawks are not good and they still are 11th worst against the pass
18-6 in College Football last weekend and Kiev O’Neil recaps the games. He then discusses Big 10 Power ratings, let down spots, get up spots, and look ahead spots for College Football week 4! DNasty @Dnasty#1 is back to break down Fantasy Football week 3. We discuss the usual injuries, waver wire, break-outs, busts and week 4 sleepers.
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Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @thepublicdog #theoddsbreakers
For 17 weeks out of the year, Mondays don’t suck. This is one of those Mondays.
This week the Seahawks travel to Chicago in a strong week 2 match up. Last week it looked like the Bears were going to coast to the win with a 17-0 lead going into halftime and superstar Aaron Rodgers getting carted to the locker room with an apparent knee injury. Well, the Bears learned that Aaron Rodgers is not a human as he came out firing on all cylinders and led an improbable comeback win against their division rivals with a final score of 24-23. In regards to the Bears, the defense looked very good despite allowing three passing touchdowns in the second half and missed out on some key opportunities. Khalil Mack showed why he is worth $141 million dollars with a sack, forced fumble, fumble recovery, and interception for a touchdown in his first game as a Bear. His presence immediately makes this defense better and they got pressure on the quarterback all night.
For the Seahawks, the main key to this game will be getting the run game established to take some pressure off of Russell Wilson. Wilson was flushed out of the pocket and was forced to make plays way too often. Chicago ranked 12th in 2017 in quarterback pressures at a rate of 30.9% of all passing plays. It’s easy to assume that number will be closer to 40% this season with the addition of All-Pro Khalil Mack and standout rookie Smith.
It looks like there will be a running back committee for Seattle as Carson and Penny each had 7 rushes. One of them will have to step up and take pressure off of Wilson in order for them to win. Chris Carson had the better game with 51 yards but neither wound up in the end zone.
In the end I think that Russell Wilson has a solid bounce back game but it’s not enough against this tough defense. It will be a low scoring game but the Bears will come out on top by a field goal so I’m taking the Seahawks +4.5 and the Under at 42.5 for 1 unit plays each.
Side Note:
This Saturday was one of the best handicapping days in my career. I went 14-4 overall and 6-2 on my MattyLewMoneyline picks (1-1 on picks I posted on the site). Including a +12500 parlay (Thanks for paying rent).
To see all my picks, follow me @mattylewpicks or email me directly at mattylewpicks@gmail.com
