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College Football Week 11 Sharp Money

As of Wednesday Afternoon

Sharp money on:

Iowa-2.5 to -3.5 at Minnesota – 51% tickets and 69% of the money.

Marshall -23.5 hosting Middle Tennessee State – 50% tickets and 95% of the money.

West Virginia -2 to -3 hosting TCU – 71% tickets and 96% of the money.

Kentucky -17 hosting Vanderbilt – 45% tickets and 82% of the money.

Illinois +6.5 at Rutgers – 17% tickets and 55% of the money.

Houston -13.5 to -14 hosting South Florida – 59% tickets and 83% of the money.

UAB -13.5 hosting North Texas – 49% tickets and 74% of the money.

USC -12.5 to -14 – 55% tickets and 84% of the money.

Georgia Tech +7.5 to +6.5 hosting Pittsburgh – 33% tickets and 66% of the money.

Wisconsin PK to -4.5 at Michigan – Dual action 68% tickets and 85% of the money.

Utah -2.5 to -3.5 at UCLA – 68% tickets and 87% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

Iowa at Minnesota over 55 to 58 – 61% tickets and 97% of the money.

Army vs Tulane under 50 to 47.5 – 42% tickets and 70% of the money.

MTSU vs Marshall over 55 to 57 – 65% tickets and 97% of the money.

Georgia State vs Appalachian State under 64.5 to 62.5 – 44% tickets and 95% of the money.

Ohio State at Maryland over 70 to 74.5 – 52% tickets and 89% of the money.

Colorado vs Stanford under 58 to 54 – 44% tickets and 97% of the money.

Baylor vs Texas Tech under 60 to 57.5 – 55% tickets and 99% of the money.

Hawaii vs San Diego State over 51 to 52.5 – 27% tickets and 75% of the money.

Oregon at Washington State under 60 to 57 – 19% tickets and 88% of the money.

Washington vs Oregon under 57 to 52.5 – 56% tickets and 97% of the money.

Utah vs UCLA over 57.5 to 59.5 – 58% tickets and 90% of the money.

College Football Week 11 Free Plays

LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 23: Quarterback Kedon Slovis #9 of the USC Trojans passes the ball in the first half of the game against the UCLA Bruins at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on November 23, 2019 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)

USC vs Arizona +14 O/U 67.5 –

USC really got a scare against ASU and could have lost that game ASU got into field goal range.   I think that they walk into this game vs Arizona trying to make more of a comfortable game.   There is no better opponent for USC to face than a Kevin Sumlin led Arizona team that has a ton of new faces .  Sumlin to me is one of the worst coaches in college football and to add to that, Arizona allowed 6.4 yards per place last year and I can’t see any initial improvement there.   This team ranked 120th out of 130 teams allowing 471 yards per game.   On offense, Grant Gunnell comes back who was 14-11 TD to turnover ratio and 60% passing success.  He loses 3 out of 4 skill positions to start the 2020 season.   Last week their game vs Utah was cancelled due to Covid so they are really thrown off here having to go face the top ranked team in the Pac 12 right off of that bat.  My power ratings have USC an 18 point favorite here and I think they win this one comfortably.

USC -14 – 2 star premium shared

Florida State vs NC State -9.5 O/U 60 – 

A couple of things stand out to me this game.  First of all, this spread seems kinda low and maybe it’s because NC State has been playing with their backup quarterback.   Well looking at their backup Baily Hockman, he has been serviceable so far and played quite well vs Miami last week.   He helped beat Duke by double digits a few weeks back as well.  Florida State’s quarterback Jordan Travis has been pretty bad with a 4-5 TD to interception ratio at only 52% completion percentage.  He is also questionable to even play this week.  The biggest thing for me here is that although NC State is -.2 yard per play, Florida State is a -1.6 yards per play and it doesn’t look like that will improve any time soon.  The Seminoles have played 3 away game they have lost all of them by more than 2 touchdowns.  Gonna take the Wolfpack here to cover the 7.

NC State -9.5 – 3 star premium shared 

Listener Request Zack Dean – Army vs Tulane -4 O/U 48 – 

This spread stuck right out to me like a sore thumb when I saw it.  I waited in hopes that it would go down closer to 3 but when it literally didn’t move, I realized I better hit this early.  Tulane has been improving throughout the year.  They took care of East Carolina on the road last week and have really figured out their offense.  Their only weakness is on defense against the pass but they should not have to worry about that when facing a triple option team like Army.  Ya see, Tulane already faced an option team this year in Navy and they completely shut down the option for the first half of the game.  During the second half, Navy switched quarterbacks and ended up beating Tulane but it was through the air that made that happen.  Tulane has a fantastic rushing defense only allows 3.04 rushing yards per per play and I expect much of the same against their second option opponent this year.  I think Army gets stuffed and this is definitely my favorite play of the week.

Tulane -4 – 3.5 star premium shared play – 

Podcast 67 – 20 – With ESPN’s David Bearman – College Football Week 11 & NFL Week 10 – Sharp Movements – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!   David Bearman @DBearmanESPN is back to break down a little College Football and a lot of NFL with some leans and plays for this weekend!  First, Kiev Kiev talks about a few listener questions about bank-roll management.  Next, Kiev gives out three college football free plays for this weekend.  Then, David comes on to discuss their top NFL teams and their MVP favorites trending so far for this year.  Next, the gusy break down some NFL games with some leans and plays for week 10!  Then, Kiev gives out  his REFUSE TO LOSE teaser that is now 6-3 as well as his BOW TO THE GAMBLING GODS Parlay for fun that pays out at 10-1 this week.  Finally, Kiev gets into sharp line movements for the weekend in both College Football and the NFL.

NFL:  Houston vs Cleveland – Tampa Bay vs Carolina and more!

NCAA: USC vs Arizona – Army vs Tulane and more!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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theoddsbreakers.com

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NFL Week 9 Misleading Final Scores and Motivational Spots

Chicago out-gained Tennessee 375 to 228 but a 2-0 turnover ratio and horrible efficiency killed them.   Lots of that was Garbage yards so I am still downgrading the Bears.

Seahawks had about the same yards as the Bills but lost 44-34 due to a bad start and 4-0 turnover ratio.

The Colts out-gained the Ravens 339 to 266 yet lost 24-10.  2-1 turnover ratio hurt and Phillip Rivers.

Washington out-gained the NY Giants 403 to 350 yet lost 23-20.  5-0 turnover ratio killed them.

The Chargers out-gained the Raiders 440 to 320 yet lost 31-26.  1-1 turnover ratio but bad defense and coaching hurt.

The Cardinals out-gained the Dolphins 442 to 312 yet lost 34 to 31.  1-0 turnover ratio and FG kicker killed it.

Let down spots:

Miami hosting LA Chargers after beating Arizona as a dog.

Saints hosting the 49ers after blowing out Tampa Bay.

Buffalo at Arizona after beating Seattle.

Get up spots:

Cleveland after the bye hosting Houston.

Indianapolis at Tennessee after that embarrassing performance vs the Ravens.

The Bears after losing 3 in a row hosting the Vikings.

Look ahead spots:

Packers could be looking past the Jaguars to the Colts.

 

 

College Football Week 11 Motivational Spots

Let down spots:

Notre Dame at Boston College after beating Clemson outright.

Florida hosting Arkansas is dangerous after they beat Georgia straight up.

Indiana at Michigan State after beating Michigan.

Liberty hosting Western Carolina after beating Virginia Tech.

Get up spots:

Georgia at Missouri is a get up spot for these kids.  QB issues at Georgia.

Penn State and Nebraska need to wake up in their game.

Boston College hosting Notre Dame.  BC’s quarterback Jurkovich played for Notre Dame.

Troy hosting Coastal Carolina is interesting for Troy.

Houston hosting South Florida needs to get it right.

San Diego State hosting Hawaii after their loss to San Jose State.

Boise State hosting Colorado State after losing bad to BYU on the smurf turf.

Look ahead spots:

Florida State could be looking past NC State to Clemson.

Coastal Carolina looking past Troy to Appalachian State.

Indiana looking past Michigan State to Ohio State is sandwiched.

Cincinnati looking past East Carolina to UCF is a big one.

UCF looking past Temple to Cincinnati.

Kentucky looking past Vanderbilt to Alabama is possible.

Hawaii looking past San Diego State to Boise State is possible.

 

College Football Week 10 Misleading Finals Scores

Ball State out-gained Miami Ohio 478 to 418 yet lost 38-31.  1-1 turnover ratio too.

Wyoming out-gained Colorado State 465 to 342 yet lost 34 to 24.  a 3-0 turnover ratio did them in.

Oregon State out-gained Washington State 459 to 456 yet lost 38-28.  Also won the turnover battle 0-1 ratio.  Woof.

Nebraska out-gained Northwestern 442 to 317 yet lost 21-13.  2-2 turnover ratio as well.

Kent State outgained Eastern Michigan 435 to 302 yet only won 27 to 23.  Won turnover battle 1-2 as well.

Northern Illinois out-gained Buffalo 395 to 357 yet lost 49-30.  5-2 turnover ratio killed them.

Kansas State out-gained Oklahoma State 370 to 256 yet lost 20-18.  2-0 turnover ratio hurt.

Miami out-gained NC State 620 to 410 yet only wOn 44-41.  Also won turnover ratio 0-1.

San Diego State out-gained San Jose State 362-298 yet lost 28-17.  Bad efficiency and 3-1 turnover ratio hurt.

Penn State out-gained Maryland 434 to 405 and lost 35-19.   3-0 turnover ratio.  Brutal

Memphis out-gained South Florida 535 to 330 yet only won 34-33.   Just a 1-0 turnover ratio there.

USC out-gained ASU 556 to 392 yet only won 28-27.  4-3 turnover ratio didn’t help them.

Vanderbilt out-gained Mississippi State 478 to 204 yet lost 24-17.  5-0 turnovers will do it.

Fantasy Football Week 10

Bye Weeks: Falcons, Cowboys, Chiefs and the Jets

Key Injuries:

Christian McCaffery RB – Hurt his shoulder or Ribs and is day to day.

David Montgomery RB – Concussion and is week to week.

Preston Williams WR – Foot injury.

Kyle Allen – QB – Broken Ankle.

David Johnson RB – Concussion.

Waiver Wire:

Kalen Ballage RB – He got a ton of work for the Chargers and now Jackson is hurt.

Ryan Nall RB – Bears for the injury to Montgomery.

Richie James WR – 13 targets and a boat load of yards.

Irv Smith TE – 2 TDs for the queens.

Breshard Perriman WR – Lots of catches for the Jets.

Denzil Mims WR – Getting some looks.

Jake Luton QB – great game for Jacksonville.

Alex Smith QB – Washington’s starter now with Allen out.

Duke Johnson RB – With David Johnson’s concussion

Back this week:

Nick Chubb RB

Week 11 Players trending up:

Cooper Kupp WR – vs that horrible Seattle pass D.

Taj Gibson RB – vs the Lions horrible run D.

JK Dobbins RB – vs a bad Patriots run D.

Allen Robinson WR – vs the Vikings bad pass D.

Allen Lazard WR – vs the Jaguars horrible D.

Jarvis Landry WR – vs Houston’s D.

Emmanual Sanders WR – vs the 49ers beat up D.

Matt Stafford QB – vs Washington

Busts:

Darrell Henderson RB – vs Seattle’s D.

Jamychal Hasty RB – vs the Saints D.

Evan Engram TE – vs Philadelphia’s D.

Tyler Lockett WR – vs the Rams D.

Joe Burrow QB – vs an angry Steelers team.

Tyler Boyd WR – vs the same Steelers team.

Nasty Sleeper:  Jarvis Landry WR – He’s due for a big game and with Odell out I think he gets it here. 

 

 

 

Podcast 66 – 20 – NFL Week 9 and NCAA Week 10 Recap and Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 10 – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today after a great weekend of football!  First, Kiev recaps the weekend in football.  Who disappointed and who exceeded expectations?  Next, we get into College Football misleading final scores and motivational spots for week 11.  Then, we talk about some misleading final scores in the NFL and some motivational spots.  What was real and what was garbage time?  Next, Kiev gives out a free College Football play for week 11!  Then, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football.  Who are the key injuries?  Who are we picking up on waivers?   Who is trending up for next weekend and who will bust?  Finally we give out a nasty sleeper to help you win your week!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

Should you need a sports book please visit jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “Oddsbreakers” to get a 50% sign up bonus!  Terms, conditions and location apply.

theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop!

The 2020 Breeders Cup

Hello Friends!   We can’t leave this wonderful horse racing season that kept us going all summer during Covid without a free play!   The Breeders Cup is the best of the best facing off this year and I am very excited for this race.  Gonna keep this short and sweet.  I like Improbable the most at this distance with Tiz the Law second.   The horses in this field can all make a good case but no horse has a better Beyers speed figures in their last 3 showings.   I am going to make this ticket more affordable for you all and you can just go half of my plays if it is still too much.  When the money comes in I think Tiz the law will be the favorite and the smallest payout.  Best of luck everyone!

 

Total:   $166

Straight
Keeneland, Nov 07, Race #12
8 horse to win/place
Improbable 1st 10
Improbable 2nd 10
2 bets
Ticket total
20

 

Exacta
Keeneland, Nov 07, Race #12
1st[2] – 2nd[8, 9]
2 bets @
15
Ticket total
30

 

Exacta
Keeneland, Nov 07, Race #12
1st[8, 9] – 2nd[2]
2 bets @
10
Ticket total
20
Exacta
Keeneland, Nov 07, Race #12
1st[2, 8, 9] – 2nd[2, 4, 8, 9, 10]
12 bets @
4
Ticket total
48

 

Trifecta
Keeneland, Nov 07, Race #12
1st[2, 8] – 2nd[2, 4, 8, 9, 10] – 3rd[1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9, 10]
48 bets @
1.00
Ticket total
48

Better Odds Sports Betting 11/6/20

Check out our show.  Lots of great plays this week!!!

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