Podcast 69 – 20 – With Doc’s Sports Raphael Esparza – College Football Week 12 & NFL Week 11 – Sharp Movements – Sports Betting

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November 19, 2020

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast — The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today! Raphael Esparza @VSIdocssports from Docsports.com and Mybookie.com comes on to break down some College and NFL games with some leans and plays for this weekend! First, Kiev talks about some games that were cancelled and a promising turn of events that could make 2021 a better year. Next, Kiev gives out some college football free plays for this weekend. Then, Raphael comes on to educate us on a few handicapping topics. He explains how a scripted sport like the WWE works for sports betting. Kiev then runs a few Superbowl prop ideas by Raphael for 2021. Maybe one makes the cut that we can find on mybookie.com for the big game next year! Next, the guys break down some College and NFL games with some leans and plays for the weekend. Then, Kiev gives out his REFUSE TO LOSE teaser that is now 6-4 as well as his BOW TO THE GAMBLING GODS Parlay for fun that pays out at 16.5-1 this week. Finally, Kiev gets into sharp line movements for the weekend in both College Football and the NFL.

NFL: Kansas City vs Las Vegas – Green Bay vs Indianapolis and more!

NCAA: Cincinnati vs UCF – Wisconsin vs Northwestern – Indiana vs Ohio State and more!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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NFL Week 10 Misleading Final Scores and Week 11 Motivational Spots

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 18, 2020

Cleveland out-gained Houston 356 to 243 yet only won 10-7. No turnovers but bad efficiency. Chubb also could have scored at the end.

Washington out-gained Detroit 440 to 372 yet lost 30 to 27. 1-0 turnover ratio hurt.

Green Bay out-gained Jacksonville 395 to 260 yet only won 24-20. 2-1 turnover ratio hurt.

Las Vegas only out-gained Denver 357 to 313 yet they won 37-12. 5-0 turnover ratio killed the Broncos.

San Francisco out-gained New Orleans 281 to 237 yet lost 27-13. a 4-2 turnover ratio hurt them. Jameis Winston also played a lot in the second half due to Breese banged up.

Pittsburgh only out-gained Cincinnati 377 to 324 yet won 36-10. 2-0 turnover ratio and Cincinnati was 0-13 in 3rd down efficiency. Wow.

Baltimore out-gained New England 357 to 308 yet lost 23-17. 1-0 turnover ratio and some bad efficiency. Harbaugh was also out-coached by Bill. Rainstorm affected the game as well.

Let down Spots:

Patriots at Houston Texans is a let down spot after they beat the Ravens.

Cardinals at Seattle is some what of a let down spot after that hail Mary win.

Rams at Tampa Bay is one after beating Seatlle.

Get up spots:

Seahawks need revenge vs the Cardinals.

Falcons need to capitalize against the Saints to save face.

Chiefs want revenge vs the Raiders.

Look ahead spots:

Steelers looking past the Jags to the Ravens is real.

Rams looking past the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to the 49ers. Sandwich.

Jets could not care about the Chargers and look towards the Dolphins at this point.

Packers could be looking past the Colts ahead to the Bears next week.

College Football Week 11 Misleading Final Scores

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 18, 2020

Akron out-gained Ohio 435 to 307 yet lost 24-10. 3-0 turnover ratio.

Toledo out-gained Western Michigan 501-437 yet lost 38-41. 1-0 turnover ratio and an onside kick killed them.

Colorado State out-gained Boise State 315 to 291 and won the turnover battle 1-2 yet lost 52-21. 3 special teams touchdowns did them in bad. Some of that garbage yards.

Iowa only out-gained Minnesota 346-312 yet they won 35-7. 2-1 turnover ratio hurt Minnesota and bad efficiency.

Tulane only out-gained Army 368-303 yet won 38-12. A 3-0 turnover ratio hurt Army and their triple option was shut down.

Penn State out-gained Nebraska 501 to 298 yet lost 23-30. Defensive touchdowns and bad efficiency for Penn State killed them. 2-1 turnover ratio.

Georgia Southern out-gained Texas State 437 to 299 yet only won 40-38. GS won turnover battle 2-3.

Louisville out-gained Virginia 478 to 368 yet lost 31-17. 3-2 turnover ratio and the fact that they are named Louisville hurt them.

College Football Week 12 Motivational Spots

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Kiev O'Neil

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November 18, 2020

Let Down Spots:

No major upsets so not many.

Nebraska could let down hosting Illinois after beating Penn State outright.

Wisconsin could let down a little at Northwestern due to a massive Michigan victory.

Tulsa could let down vs Tulane after beating ranked SMU.

Get up spots:

I could see a max effort from Charlotte at Marshall.

UCLA and Chip Kelly going to Oregon where he used to coach.

UCF has a massive game vs undefeated Cincinnati.

NC State will want to beat Liberty after what Liberty has done to the ACC so far.

Indiana at Ohio State is their ultimate test.

Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina will affect the Sun Belt standings.

Penn State will be desperate for a win hosting Iowa.

Look ahead spots:

Auburn could be looking past Tennessee to Alabama.

Alabama could be looking past Kentucky to Auburn.

Washington could be looking past Arizona to Washington State.

Fantasy Football Week 11

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 17, 2020

Bye Weeks: NY Giants, San Francisco, Chicago and the Buffalo Bills

Key Injuries:

Drew Lock QB – Banged up ribs and Questionable.

Drew Breese QB – Broken Ribs and probably out for the fantasy season.

Teddy Bridgewater QB – Sprained Knee and is day to day.

Jaymycal Hasty RB – Broken Collarbone and out for the fantasy season.

Waiver Wire:

Jameis Winston QB – for the Breese injury.

Taysom Hill QB – Will get more action at QB and all positions for the Saints.

Tevin Coleman RB – has a bye week to finish healing but could get the bulk of the action now with Hasty out.

Willie Sneed WR – 2 TDs.

Josh Reynolds WR – 10 targets.

KJ Hamler WR – 10 Targets.

Pj Walker QB – For Bridgewater injury.

Jakeem Grant WR – Had a great day on Sunday with a TD and 5 targets.

Kalen Ballage RB – In case we didn’t mention him.

La’Mical Perine RB – Will get the carries.

Week 11 Non-starters trending up:

Christian Kirk WR – vs Seattle’s Pass D.

Dionte Johnson WR – vs Jacksonville’s pass D.

Justin Herbert QB – vs the Jets.

Amari Cooper WR – Believe it or not vs the Vikings pass D. Also might have Dalton back.

Mike Williams WR – vs the Jets is a must start.

Marquise Brown WR – vs the Titans bad pass D should get some touches.

Damien Harris RB – vs Houston’s bad run D.

Kalen Ballage RB – vs Buffalo could have a game. Buffalo’s run D hasn’t been great as of late.

Antonio Brown WR – will find his game vs the Rams when other players are focused on Evans and Godwin.

Week 11 Busts:

Valdez-Scantling WR – vs Indianapolis’s pass D.

Ronald Jones RB – vs the Rams D.

Malcomb Brown RB – vs Tampa Bay’s run D.

James Robinson RB – vs the Steelers.

Mike Evans WR – vs Jalen Ramsey.

Kenyon Drake RB – vs Seattle’s run D.

Chase Edmonds RB – vs Seattle’s run D.

Todd Gurley RB – vs the Saints run D.

Nasty Sleeper: Antonio Brown – I think it is his week to get rolling here.

Podcast 68 – 20 – NFL Week 10 and NCAA Week 11 Recap and Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 11 – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 17, 2020

We have a great show for you today! First, Kiev recaps the weekend in the NFL. Who disappointed and who exceeded expectations? Then, Kiev talks about a College football future bet that might have some value. Next, Kiev recaps some college football and gets into some misleading final scores and motivational spots for week 12. Then, we talk about some misleading final scores in the NFL and some more motivational spots. What was real and what was garbage time? Next, Kiev gives out a free College Football play for week 12! Then, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football. Who are the key injuries? Who are we picking up on waivers? Who is trending up for next weekend and who will bust? Finally we give out a nasty sleeper to help you win your week!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

Should you need a sports book please visit jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “Oddsbreakers” to get a 50% sign up bonus! Terms, conditions and location apply.

theoddsbreakers.com

For only 24.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop!

Better Odds Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 14, 2020

Click here to watch!

Alan Cashman’s Week 11 CFB Game Projection Models

By

Alan Cashman

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November 14, 2020

Model F is 45-31-1 Last 2 Weeks

Here are Game Projection Model results so far in Wk 11 CFB

Model/Record

C 7-3

F 6-4

H 6-4

Unanimous 3-1

5 more Unanimous Picks for Saturday

Week 11 CFB Projections

Good Luck,

Alan

@TheCashmanwins

NFL Week 10 Free Plays, Teaser and Parlay

By

Kiev O'Neil

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November 13, 2020

San Francisco vs New Orleans -9.5 O/U 50.5 –

Lots of people might be fading the Saints here after pounding the Tampa Bay Buccanears but it sure won’t be me. This spread went from 9 to 9.5 for a reason and it is due to the 49ers being a shell of themselves without their top guys. This team doesn’t have any pass rush whatsoever and they really do not have any weapons to go to with Kittle being out. Nick Mullens QBR is a dismal 38.6 which is in the range of a Dwayne Haskins and a Sam Darnold. The Saints are finally getting healthy and their defense ranks number 2 against the run. The 49ers will only have the run with so much talent out on offense. The last thing for this handicap is that this Saints team was a little shocked last year when San Fransisco came into Mercedez Benz Superdome and hung 48 points on them. Don’t think that Sean Payton doesn’t hold a grudge here. Taking the saints -9.5

Saints -9.5 – 2 star premium shared

Tampa Bay vs Carolina +4.5 O/U 50.5 –

Tampa Bay was exposed last game against the Saints and I think that Vita Vea injury has gotten to them. It was a windy day yet Drew Breese and company had a field day against this defense. Now Carolina’s defense isn’t great themselves ranking 17th in allowing 5.7 yards per play with Tampa ranking 3rd at 4.9 yards per play but Carolina’s offense is good averaging 6.0 yards per play to Tampa’s 5.5. I think Tom Brady and the Bucs are disappointed in their performance last game and they will play well, but Carolina played very well at Kansas City last week which will help them prepare for this team. They also played Tampa losing 31-17 on the road making this a sort of revenge spot. The Panthers play tough wherever they go and I think this number is too high at 6 and should be more around 3.5.

Carolina +4.5 – 1.5 star premium shared and sprinkle

Houston vs Cleveland -3 O/U 54

This one is a spot play for me. I have the spread about Cleveland -3.3 holding everything the same but the fact that Cleveland is coming off of a bye week is where the upgrade comes in. Cleveland has had a lot of time to figure out how to face DeShawn Watson and the Browns secondary has gotten healthier. Nick Chubb should be back for this team as well giving them some explosive play potential. Cleveland needs this win here because they have taken a lot of criticism as of late. Houston’s defense ranks 3rd worse in total yards allowed at 417 per game. Ralph Michaels from Wagertalk ran a few numbers for me looking at this situaton. Over the last 5 years teams on the road after a road win are only 46.6% ATS. an Away dog off of an away in are a better 48.1% ATS but an away team after an away win facing a team off of a bye week is only 41.2% ATS. Advantage Cleveland. I think the Browns have some upside here.

Cleveland -3 – 2 star premium shared

Refuse To Lose teaser: We are now 6-3 with this teaser: Baltimore to -1 with the Bills to

Bow to the Gambling Gods Parlay 2-5 so far this year. This one pays about 10-1: NCAA ATS – East Carolina +27.5-113, NCAA ML: Tulane -5-108, NC State -345, USC -614, Nevada -928, San Jose State -735, NFL: New Orleans Saints -443, Baltimore Ravens -328