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College Football Week 6 Sharp Money

As of Wednesday Afternoon:

Sharp Money On:

Georgia Tech from +6.5 to +4.5 hosting Louisville – 38% Tickets and 99% of the money.

Virginia Tech +5.5 at North Carolina – 48% tickets and 85% of the money.

Oklahoma -1.5 to -2.5 vs Texas – 33% tickets and 84% of the money.

LSU -13 at Missouri – 1% tickets and 84% of the money.

Texas A&M +7 hosting Florida – 21% tickets and 92% of the money.

Tennessee +14 to +13 at Georgia – 49% tickets and 89% of the money.  I missed this one.

Pitt -5 at Boston College – 50% tickets and 91% of the money.  This one looks interesting.

Temple PK to -3 at Navy – Dual Action 86% tickets and 91% of the money.

Marshall -4 to -6 at Western Kentucky – Dual Action 74% tickets and 96% of the money.

Miami +15 to +14 vs Clemson – Dual action 73% tickets and 99% of the money.

Coastal Carolina +7.5 to +7 at Louisiana – Dual action 69% tickets and 97% of the money.

Sharp College Totals:

Tulane vs Houston under 59.5 – 31% of the tickets and 73% of the money.

South Carolina vs Vanderbilt under 48.5 yo 41.5 – 63% tickets and 96% of the money.

Duke vs Syracuse over 51 – 56% of the tickets and 94% of the money.

FAU vs Southern Miss under 63.5 to 57.5 – 33% tickets and 75% of the money.

K State vs TCU under 54.5 to 50.5 – 46% tickets and 82% of the money.

Alabama vs Ole Miss over 70 – 37% of the tickets and 69% of the money.

 

 

 

Sharp NFL Week 5

As of Wednesday Afternoon:

Sharp money on:

Chicago Bears +5.5 to +3.5 – 19% tickets and 89% of the money.  Lots of Bucs injuries.

Bengals +13 at the Ravens – 58% tickets and 89% of the money.

Panthers +3 to +1 at the Falcons – 62% tickets and 84% of the money.

Jets +7 hosting the Cardinals – 11% tickets and 89% of the money.

Jaguars +6.5 at the Texans – 38% of the tickets and 95% of the money.

Broncos +8 at the Patriots – 63% tickets and 83% of the money.

Browns +2.5 to +2 hosting the Colts – 57% tickets and 89% of the money.

Vikings +7 at the Seahawks – 28% tickets and 97% of the money.

Chargers +7.5 at the Saints – 39% tickets and 92% of the money.

Sharp NFL Totals:

Eagles vs Steelers under 46 to 43.5 – 58% tickets and 98% of the money.   We on that.

Colts vs Browns over 46 to 47 – 47% tickets and 82% of the money.

 

Podcast 57 – 20 – College Football Week 6 & NFL Week 5 – Sharp Movements – Sports Betting

Once again, Kiev is flying solo here while ending his San Diego vacation. First, Kiev complains about his sunburn and what happened with that.  Next, Kiev gives out 3 college plays that he likes for this weekend.  Then, he gets into some NFL as well as 3 more free plays.  Should you want premium plays, please feel free to become an OddsBreakers member.  We would love to have your support!  Next, Kiev gives out his REFUSE TO LOSE teaser and his BOW TO THE GAMBLING GODS parlay that pays out at 6.6-1.  Finally, Kiev gets into sharp line movements for the weekend in both College Football and the NFL.

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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NFL Week 4 Misleading Final Scores & Motivational Spots

Misleading Final Scores:

Dallas out-gained Cleveland 566 to 508 yet lost 49-38.  A 3-0 turnover ratio killed them.

Baltimore only out-gained Washington 350-343 yet won by 14.  Also lost turnover battle 2-1.

NY Giants outgained the Rams 295 to 240 yet lost 17-9.  Even turnovers.

Las Vegas out-gained Buffalo 383 to 336 yet lost 30-23.  2-0 turnover ratio killed it.

San Francisco outgained Philadelphia 417 to 267 yet lost 25-20.  A 3-1 turnover ratio hurt.

Motivational Spots:

Let Down Spots:

Browns hosting the Colts after they beat the Cowboys.

Eagles at Steelers after they got their first win.

Get Up Spots:

Cardinals at NY Jets after losing 2 weeks in a row.

Texans hosting the Jaguars after having no wins.

Raiders at the Chiefs after they lost 2 in a row.

Any winless team is dangerous.

Look Ahead Spots:

Rams could be looking past Washington to San Francisco.

 

College Football Week 6 Motivational Spots

Overweight man napping on couch at home in front of TV at night

Let Down Spots:

Iowa State hosting Texas Tech is a let down spot after Iowa State beat Oklahoma.

TCU hosting Kansas State is a let down spot after TCU beat Texas.

NC State at Virginia after they upset Pitt.

Arkansas at Auburn after they upset Mississippi State and had first SEC win in 3 years.

Get up Spots:

Texas A&M hosting Florida has to make a statement.

Pittsburgh at Boston College is a get up spot for them.  May bet the under.

Auburn hosting Arkansas better wake up after that Georgia beat down.

Louisiana Tech after that BYU game is a get up spot vs UTEP.

Look Ahead Spots:

LSU could be looking past Missouri to Florida.

Florida could be looking past Texas A&M to LSU.

Alabama could be looking past Ole Miss to Georgia.  Bet that over.

Georgia could be looking past Tennessee to Alabama.

 

 

College Football Week 5 Misleading Final Scores

Pittsburgh outgained NC State 503 to 398 yet lost by 1 point 30-29.

Florida only outgained South Carolina 348 to 329 yet won by 14.

Texas Tech outgained Kansas State 471 to 404 yet lost 31 to 21.

Cincinnati only outgained USF 332 to 291 yet won by 21.

Kentucky out-gained Ole Miss 559 to 459 yet lost by 1 .  A 1-0 turnover ratio hurt.

Charlotte outgained FAU 396 to 315 yet lost by 4.   A 1-0 turnover ratio hurt.

ULM outgained Georgia Southern 426 go 369 yet lost by 5.

Mississippi State out-gained Arkansas 400 to 275 yet lost by 7.  A 4-2 turnover ratio hurt.

North Texas outgained Southern miss 483 to 437 and lost by 10 but mostly garbage yards so no adjustment.

UCF Outgained Tulsa 455 to 438 yet lost by 8.   Equal turnover ratio.

Clemson only outgained Virginia 466 to 417 yet won by 18 points.

 

 

 

Fantasy Football Week 5

Key Injuries:

Austin Eckler RB – Bad hamstring injury and carted off the field.  IR

OJ Howard TE – Achilles

Nick Chubb RB – MCL Injury and is on IR

Leonard Fournette RB – Missed last game due to ankle.

Julio Jones WR – Hammy

LeSean McCoy RB – Ankle injury.

Waiver Wire:

Joshua Kelly RB – For Eckler injury.

Justin Jackson RB – Eckler injury.

D’Ernest Johnson RB – For Chubb injury and he had 13 attempts.

Dontrell Hilliard RB – if not Johnson for Chubb injury.

Ronald Jones RB – Will get the bulk of the carries if Fournette out.

K’Shawn Vaugh RB – McCoy and Fournette injury.

Teddy Bridgewater QB – Having a solid year.

TreQuan Smith WR – For the Michael Thomas injury.

Jamison Crowder WR – Jets only playmaker.

Isaiah Ford WR – 10 targets last week for the Dolphins.

Darnell Mooney WR – 9 targets with the Bears last week.

Non-starters trending up for week 5.

Darnell Mooney WR – Bears seem to like him a lot.  Decent matchup vs Tampa’s pass D.

Scottie Miller WR – Brady likes him too much.

Sammy Watkins WR – vs that bad Raiders D.

Mark Ingram RB – vs the Bengals

CeeDee Lamb WR – vs the Giants poor D.

Tyler Locket WR – vs the bad Vikings D.

David Johnson RB – vs a bad Jaguars D.

James Conner RB – vs a bad Eagles team.

Busts for week 5:

Miles Gaskin RB – vs the 49ers D.

Joe Burrow QB – vs the Ravens D.

Carson Wentz QB – vs the Steelers.

Derek Henry RB – vs the Bills D.

Nasty Sleeper – Tyler Locket vs the Vikings

 

 

 

Podcast 56 – 20 – NFL Week 4 and NCAA Week 5 Recap and Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 4 – Sports Betting

Kiev is on vacation but was still able to crank a quick pod out for all of our fantastic listeners.  First, Kiev recaps the weekend in football.  Who disappointed and who exceeded expectations?   Next, we get into College Football misleading final scores and motivational spots for week 6.  Then, we talk about some misleading final scores in the NFL and some motivational spots.  What was real and what was garbage time?  Next, Kiev gives out a free NFL play for week 5!   Then, Kiev talks fantasy football.  Who are the key injuries?  Who are we picking up on waivers?   Who is trending up for next weekend and who will bust?  Finally we give out a nasty sleeper to help you win your week!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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NFL Week 4 Free Plays – Sports Betting

Indianapolis vs Chicago +2 O/U 44.5
– This game is very interesting to me.  I gave it out at 3 but still like it at 2.  Lots of people think that the Bears should be 1-2 but those people who say that haven’t watched Bears full football games and they haven’t watched how many points that Mitch tends to leave on the table each week.   Mitch has been straight up horrible for about 70% of each game making so the Bears have to try and come back in almost every game.   This team seems to never be able to pull away and now with Nick Foles, there is some hope.  Now when I say hope, I want to clarify that slick Nick has actually been a very average quarterback as a starter.   For some reason, Foles seems more built to come in to win a game rather than be “named” the actual starter.   Ryan Fitzmagic syndrome if you will.  The good thing is that Nick Foles actually knows this offense quite well being that he was under Nagy and Andy Reid back in Kansas City in 2016 and of course under Doug Peterson back in 2017 to win the super bowl for the Eagles.  Matt Nagy actually lent Nick his car back in 2016 to drive to and from practice believe it or not.  The Colts on the other hand is pretty high in most people’s power ratings and number 1 in Footballoutsiders.com DVOA but my question is, who have they played?   Some of the worst teams in the NFL is the answer in the Jets, Jags and The Vikings.   I actually had this game more of a pickem before this all happened but now looking at the 2 injuries the Colts have at Wide Receiver without Campbell and Pittman, I think the Bears are the ones that should be favored this game.
Chicago +2 – 2 star premium shared play and sprinkle
Buffalo vs Las Vegas +3 O/U 53.5
– Ok, the Raiders didn’t exactly show well vs New England and it was a terrible spot for them.   Now they get to come back Vegas where they beat the Saints not too long ago.  It is interesting to see this team as a 3 point dog here who is facing a team in Buffalo that was outgained last week and probably should have lost.   Buffalo is certainly an above average team but they also had a pretty easy schedule in facing the Jets and the Dolphins.  The Raiders had to go to Carolina and then faced the Saints and the Pats.   One thing that the Raiders shown was weakness against the run vs the pats allowing 250 yards on the ground but the good news here is that the Bills are not the greatest run team so far at only 4.1 yards per rush.  The Raiders are hopeful to get Nick Kwaitkowski back this week to help that poor rush defense.  The Raiders are banged up at wide receiver with Brian Edwards and Henry Ruggs still out for now but they should be able to utilize Nelson Agholor and Hunter Renfrow.   If Ruggs can make it back then it is a bonus here at this number.   The Bills are not exactly stopping people allowing 6.0 yards per play.  I think the Raiders have a very good chance here to not only cover this spread but to win outright.
Raiders +3 -2 star premium shared and ML Sprinkle
Refuse to Lose Teaser 6 pts:   Tampa Bay down to -1 with the Chicago Bears to +8.5
Bow to the gambling Gods Parlay:  NFL Tampa Bay -325, Rams -747, NCAA Florida -1150, UNC -516, Memphis -132, Pitt -581.  Pays about 3-1

Alan Cashman’s CFB Unanimous Projection Model 5-0 Last Wk

Please follow me on Twitter  @TheCashmanwins

Last week’s CFB Unanimous Projection Model that I posted for OddsBreakers Members went 5-0 ATS.  The Unanimous Model is now 20-5 ATS CFB and NFL combined on the season.

I am posting these again this week for Wk 5 CFB for OddsBreakers Members.  Alan Cashman’s Wk 5 CFB Game Projection Models

Good Luck,

Alan