Fantasy Football Week 3

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 22, 2020

Key Injuries:

Saquon Barkley – Torn ACL out for the season

Christian McCaffery RB – High Ankle Sprain – Limped to the sidelines

Devonte Adams WR – Hammy and is day to day

Paris Campbell WR – Bad knee injury Strainge

Cam Akers RB – Ribs

Sterling Shepard WR – Toe injury

Raheem Mostert RB – MCL sprain

Tevin Coleman RB – Knee Sprain

Courtland Sutton WR – Torn ACL

Drew Lock QB – AC Joint – 3-4 weeks

IDP Both 49er DEs Bosa and Thomas Torn ACLs – Ouch

Waiver Wire:

Deon Lewis RB – Biggest waiver wire pickup for Saquons injury

Mike Davis RB – For Christian McCaffery’s injury

Jerick McKinnon RB – Huge 49ers for Mostert and Coleman

Jeff Wilson RB – 49ers

Devonte Freeman RB – Giants

Jeff Driskel QB – Not sure he isn’t better than Drew Lock who is sidelined 2-6 weeks

Darnell Mooney WR – Deeper leagues or Dynasty – Allen Robinson could get traded and he played well last week.

Michael Pitman WR – For Parris Campbell’s injury

Justin Herbert QB – Speculative. Let the Herbert Era begin already

Darrell Henderson RB if not Malcom Brown – Cam Akers injury

Golden Tate WR – He becomes more useful for sure

Jordan Reed TE – 8 Targets when Kittle was gone

Daulton Shultz TE – Said this last eek for Jarwin injury. 18 fantasy points in .5PPR

Keelan Cole WR – 7 Targets and a touchdown for Jacksonville

Week 3 non-starters that are trending up!

Austin Eckler RB – Easy Matchup vs Carolina

Julian Edelman WR – Must start every week now but has the Raiders pass D

Michael Pittman WR – Must start vs the Jets

The Whole Colts team Including Nyheim Hines – vs the Jets

Larry Fitzgerald WR – vs the Horrible Lions D

Anthony Miller WR – vs that bad Falcons defense

TY Hilton WR – vs the Vikings D

Mike Davis RB – vs Chargers

Mitch Trubisky QB – Falcons

Dion Lewis RB – vs the 49ers banged up edge D

Jerry Juedy WR – vs Tampa’s bad pass D

James Conner RB – vs The Texans run D

Dalton Schultz TE – vs that Seattle pass D

Busts:

Josh Jacobs RB – vs the Patriots run D

David Johnson RB – vs the Steelers run D

Melvin Gordon RB – vs Tampa’s run D

Aaron Jones RB – vs the Saints run D – Probably have to start him unless you have some good RBs

Sammy Watkins WR – vs Baltimore’s pass D

Nasty Sleeper: Jerry Jeudy vs the Tampa Bay Bucs. I am guessing Denver will be throwing a lot the second half and Tampa has a bad pass D

Podcast 52 – 20 – NFL Week 2 and NCAA Week 3 Recap and Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 3 – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 22, 2020

Sports Betting - The OddsBreakers - Wagering - Handicapping

We have a great show for you today! Kiev is a bit under the weather but he puts his big boy pants on to finish this podcast. First, Kiev recaps the weekend in football. Who disappointed and who exceeded expectations? Next, we get into College Football misleading final scores and betting spots for week 4. Then, we talk about some misleading final scores in the NFL and betting spots in the NFL. What was real and what was garbage time? Next, Kiev gives out a free College Football play for week 4! Then, D-Nasty comes back on to discuss fantasy football. Who are the key injuries? Who are we picking up on waivers? Who is trending up for next weekend and who will bust? Finally we give out a nasty sleeper to help you win your week!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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UFC on ESPN +36 Free Plays

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 19, 2020

Colby Covington -345 vs Tyron Woodley – Colby Covington made a huge splash inthe UFC the last 2 years. He is an all-star westler and a great technical Fighter. Tier 1 for sure. His Only loss was to Usman. That’s completely understandable. Now he fights Tyron Woodley who is an upper tier 2 fighter in my opinion. Woodley is a defensive fighter that waits for his moments to strike. He has a fine 19-5 record and to be honest. The price on him this fight is pretty good at +285. Even at that price tho I still really think Colby wins this fight but there is an angle that pays more. Both of The Last 6 Woodley fights were 5 round main events and 5 of them went to decision. 5 out of 6 of the last Covington fights went to decision as well. Covington is a huge favorite of -335 and a better all around technical fighter. He seems to try to win by decision by scoring points. He has better striking at 4.2 to Woodley’s 2.4 strikes landed per minute and better take downs at 4.91 to Woodley’s 1.11 per 15 minutes. This one is going the Distance and Covington wins.

Colby Covington wins by decision (-150) – 2.5 star premium shared play

Khamzat Chimaev -380 vs Gerald Meerschart – I gave this out at -170 and still like it. Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert will not be a long fight. I actually believe they hype on Khamzat and there is a reason why he is a -360 to win here. Chimaev is up and coming and a beast. None of Chimaev’s fights have went past a round and a half. Meerschart is an average fighter but he has a lot of wear and tear on his jaw. I do not see how Meerschaert lasts past 1.5 rounds this fight at all and he will be Khamzat’s next victim.

Khamzat Chimaev to Win Inside Distance (-170) – 3.5 star premium shared play

NFL Free Plays Week 2 – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 18, 2020

Jacksonville vs Tennessee -7 O/U 43

I think that there may be some over-reaction on both sides of this game. Jacksonville beat the Colts outright at home making them 6-0 SU at home and 6-0 ATS at home the last 3 years vs the Colts. Jacksonville is just 9-13 ATS the last 3 years after a win and I think this line might an overreaction. The Jags were outgained by the Colts 445 yards to 241 at home. They benefitted from a 0-2 turnover ratio which made all the difference in this game. Gardner Minshew actually played really well but now they are facing an underrated Tennessee secondary who held the Broncos to 2016 passing yards in Denver. The Titans also missed 2 field goals and had a 1-0 turnover ratio making this final score a bit misleading. I know AJ Brown is out for the Titans but Corey Davis and Adam Humphries are capable making up for his role and watch out for tight end Jonnu Smith. I am going to take the Titans here but I will wait a bit to see where this line ends up. I say buy it down if you have to.

Titans -7 (-120) – 1.5 star

New England vs Seattle -4 O/U 45

This is a match-up of 2 winning teams from last week. The Seahawks put up 299 passing yards against the dirty birds last week and didn’t even have to utilize their ground game. New England last week was unstoppable on the ground running for 217 yards against the Miami Dolphins who I thought would take a better step forward on defense when they added CB Byron Jones, OLB Kyle Van Noy, DE Shaq Lawson, DE Emmanual Ogbah. The Devonte Parker injury certainly didn’t do them any favors during the game. My number is the Seahawks winning by 6.5 points but I am a little scared that they were outgained so much last week by 123 yards in Atlanta and I don’t like that they were the 3rd worst ATS team at home last year at 2-6. The total here looks more interesting to me. The Patriots lost some key players opting out in Donta Hightower and Patrick Chung and if your name is not the Miami Dolphins, maybe a team can put up some points here. Seattle is throwing much more on first and second down according to the Falcons game. Seattle’s defense isn’t that great and they won’t have that crowd at Century Link field to slow Cam down completely. Pro Football focus ranked the Seahawks dead last in their defensive trenches coming into the season. The Seahawks gave up over 500 yards to Atlanta and even though a lot was at garbage time, I expect Cam to give them a different look and some different problems. I like some scoring in this game.

New England/Seattle over 44.5 2 star premium shared

College Football Week 3 Free Plays – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 18, 2020

Boston College vs Duke -5.5 O/U 51.5 – This team played Notre Dame tough on Saturday and they were in the game in South Bend all the way until the 4th quarter. Clemson transfer Chase Brice threw for a modest 259 yards with no interceptions in tough field conditions. Boston College on the other hand is more of an unknown to me. Ironically, the Eagle’s starting quarterback is Notre Dame transfer Phil Jurkovec and he came in with a lot of hype. He is a dual threat quarterback from Pennsylvania and a 4 star recruit. He came in with a lot of hype but he wanted more eligibility being that Ian Book decided to stay another year for the Irish. Let’s get into the play here. My key to this Handicap is 3 things. First, Duke has consistency at coach with David Cutcliffe while Boston college has a brand new coach in Jeff Hafley who was a great defensive coach for the 49ers and Ohio State last year. Second, Boston college had a terrible defense last year allowing 6.3 yards per play while Duke allowed only 5.3. Third, I have Duke power rated slightly over 5 points better than Boston College while Jeff Sagarin has it at 6. With home field that should be around 7.25 for me. One thing that I will say is that if this number gets past the 7, I will be buying back on Boston College due to Jurkovec’s upside.

Duke -5.5 – 2 star premium shared play

Miami vs Louisville -2.5 O/U 64.5 – I gave this out at 62 to premium subscribers. Both teams play pretty fast here. Miami was able to change their pace when they received transfer D’Eriq King who thrived on pace over at Houston. He knows how to wear out a defense and he has that Lamar Jackson type speed and decision making. The Hurricane’s ran 80 plays last week against slow ass UAB. They were able to run all over UAB. Speaking of the run. Louisville couldn’t stop anything on the ground last year allowing 5.37 yards per carry and 6.33 yards per play. Louisville put up 35 points in three quarters of play against Western Kentucky last week and both teams will put up some points this weekend in great weather.

Miami vs Louisville over 64.5 – 2 star premium shared –

Navy vs Tulane -7 O/U 48.5 – This line could be a massive over-reaction here to the Navy vs BYU game. Navy looked horrible against BYU but we have to remember that the Fighting Mormons are almost like a power 5 team out there in Utah. Navy was a force last year and it really hurt to lose QB Malcomb Perry, but now that they have their feet wet, I expect this team to get by some of the stupid early mistakes that happen to option teams in their first game such as themselves. Tulane on the other hand had some changes themselves. They rank only 122nd in returning production which is 8th worst and they also have a new quarterback this year. The last three years, this Tulane vs Navy game has been decided by 3 or less points. I only have Tulane by 2 points here and they were not all that impressive vs South Alabama.

Navy +7 – 1 star premium shared and sprinkle

NFL Football Week 2 Sharp Action

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 17, 2020

As of Wednesday 9/16 afternoon:

Sharp money on:

Giants +5.5 hosting the Bears – 68% of the tickets and 90% of the money

Broncos +7.5 at the Steelers – 39% tickets and 59% of the money

Jaguars +10 to +8 – Dual action – 82% tickets and 99% of the money

Sharp Totals:

Broncos/Steelers under 42 to 41.5 – 44% tickets and 86% of the money

Washington/Cardinals over 46 to 47.5 – 56% tickets and 99% of the money

Ravens/Texans under 53.5 to 51.5 – 47% tickets and 93% of the money

Chiefs/Chargers under 50.5 to 47.5 – 49% tickets and 95% of the money

Saints/Raiders under 50.5 to 49.5 – 55% tickets and 92% of the money

College Football Week 3 Sharp Action

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 17, 2020

Sharp Sides:

As of Wednesday 9/16/20 afternoon Sharp money on:

Georgia State +17.5 hosting Louisiana – 43% tickets and 92% of the money

Western Kentucky -13 to -14 hosting Liberty – Dual action 80% tickets and 92% money

Pittsburgh -21.5 hosting Syracuse – 60% tickets and 82% money

Notre Dame -25.5 hosting South Florida – 30% tickets and 69% of the money

Georgia Tech +7.5 hosting UCF – 54% tickets and 82% of the money

Georgia Southern +6 to -1 hosting FAU – 68% and 92% of the money

North Texas +14.5 hosting SMU – 77% of the tickets and 99% of the money

LA Tech +5.5 at Southern Miss – 55% tickets and 78% of the money

Wake Forest +3 to +2 at NC State – 63% tickets and 98% of the money

Sharp Totals:

Liberty/Western Kentucky under 54 – 64% tickets and 99% of the money

Boston college/Duke over 50.5 to 51.5 – 15% tickets and 80% of the money

Tulsa/Oklahoma State under 66 – 32% tickets and 70% of the money

South Florida/Notre Dame under 52.5 to 50 – 50% tickets and 99% of the money

UFC/Georgia Tech over 62 – 54% tickets and 86% of the money

FAU/Georgia Southern under 50.5 to 47.5 29% tickets and 80% of the money

SMU/North Texas under 69 – 2% tickets and 36% under – This bounced around

Podcast 51 – 20 – NFL Week 2 With Adam Burke & College Football Week 3 – Sharp Movements – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 17, 2020

We have a great show for you today! Adam Burke from Bangthebook.com and ATS.io comes on to break down some NFL week 2! First, Kiev gets into some Big 10 news that I am sure that we all heard. Then, Adam @skatingtripods comes on and they guys get right into some of the problems that the Big 10 has gotten themselves into. Next, Kiev and Adam talk about the Circa Sports Million contest that they are both in and why it may have overpassed the Westgate Supercontest. Then, the guys discuss some of the poor officiating that has happened on Sunday. Following that, Kiev and Adam get into NFL week 2 and discuss a few large games while giving out a few plays. After Adam, Kiev gets into sharp line movements for the weekend and finally a free UFC on ESPN+ 36 free play!

NFL: Cincinnati vs Cleveland – Green Bay vs Detroit – Jacksonville vs Tennessee and more!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

Should you need a sports book please visit Jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “Oddsbreakers” to get a 50% sign up bonus! Terms, conditions and location apply.

theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop!