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College Football Week 11 Free Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Illinois vs Michigan State -15 O/U 40

I wasn’t in love with this line at 11.5 but this steam pushed it over the top.  Now we know that history tells us that Illinois can easily get blown out in these situations but this team has really gained confidence and I am going to back them here.   Michigan State should not be laying over 2 TDs to most FBS teams.   Illinois should be motivated here and they are still running high off the Wisconsin and Purdue Wins.   Michigan State has a HUGE look ahead to Michigan next week.   I think this could be an upset in the making.

Illinois +15 – 2.5 star premium shared and sprinkle ML

South Alabama vs Texas State -7 O/U 41.5

I had to throw this ugly one out at you.   Both of these teams have net negative yards per play.  South Alabama has a -1.4 and Texas State a -1.   I only have this spread from power ratings a -8.5 but there is a situation that I like here.   South Alabama is now out of bowl contention with 7 losses and Texas State thinks that they are still in it with 6 losses.  If you look on Sagarin he has the point spread at 9 but the harder schedule goes to Texas State.  I think with their home field advantage and motivation that this should warrant a small play.

Texas State -7 – 1.5 star premium shared play

Iowa State vs Oklahoma -13.5 O/U 68

The under is 7-1 since Oct 21st 2017 when Iowa State is a road dog.   The under is 15-4-2 since November 28th 2015 when Iowa State is on the road.   See what I am getting at here?   Oklahoma may have a powerful offense ranking number 1 at 9.5 yards per play and 49 points per game but they have yet to play a defense with a pulse.   Matt Campbell from Iowa State knows how to play this team and I think this game should set up well for them on defense.  Iowa State only allows 4.88 yards per play and 23 points per game.  In the Big 12, that is saying something.   If you can forget about the Kansas State game, then Oklahoma themselves has allowed only 23 points per game and 5.1 yards per play themselves.   Oklahoma seems like a fast paced offense but the truth is that they rank dead last 130th at 62.6 plays per game.  They happen to just be very efficient but now they will be tested on offense against a pretty good D.  Iowa State doesn’t exactly play fast either ranking 82nd in plays per game.   I can see Jaylen Hurts having some issues getting the ball downfield here against a stout defense and I can also see Oklahoma’s defense that is very experienced want a huge bounce back from last game’s embarrassment.  Take the under.

Under 68 – 2 star premium shared play  

Podcast 64 – 19 – College Football Week 11 & NFL Week 10 – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!   Kiev O’Neil goes solo here to break down all of the games this weekend in College football and the NFL!  First, Kiev talks about homerism and how fans can be brainwashed into thinking that their players are so great.  Next, Kiev gets right into every game from Thursday on in College Football week 11 and gives out some leans and plays.  Next we get into the NFL’s full slate of games with some picks and some leans.  Finally, Kiev goes over the sharp line movement in the #NFL and #NCAA.

NCAA:  LSU vs Alabama – Iowa vs Wisconsin – Iowa State vs Oklahoma – Minnesota vs Penn State and more!

NFL:  LA Rams vs Pittsburgh – Seattle vs San Francisco – LA Chargers vs Oakland and more!

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “oddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

College Football Week 11 Betting Spots

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Let Down Spots:

Georgia Southern at Troy – Georgia Southern beat Appalachian State last week as a large double digit dog.

Tulsa hosting UCF is no longer bowl eligible

Northwestern hosting Purdue is out of bowl contention

South Alabama at Texas State is no longer bowl eligible

UCONN at Cincinatti is no longer bowl eligible

Miami hosting Louisville after they beat FSU

Get up spots:

Wisconsin hosting Iowa after their last 2 games

Colorado better beat Stanford to remain bowl eligible

Texas State hosting South Alabama needs to stay in bowl contention

Purdue at Northwestern needs to win to make a bowl

Florida hosting Vanderbilt has some new years bowl motivations

Georgia Tech has to win against Virginia to remain bowl eligible

Florida State at Boston College if they want to stay in Bowl contention

Look Ahead Spots:

Wake forest looking past at Virginia Tech to Clemson.

Michigan State looking past Illinois to Michigan is a legit one.

Baylor looking past at TCU to Oklahoma is telling.

 

College Football Week 10 Misleading Final Scores

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Baylor vs West Virginia – Baylor outgained West Virginia by 234 yards let only won by 3.

Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State – App State outgained Georgia Southern by 72 yards let lost by 3.  No turnover

Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame – the Irish outgained the Hokies by 207 yards yet only won by 1 point.

Illinois vs Rutgers – Illinois only outgained Rutgers by 53 yards yet won by 28.  3-0 turnover ratio helped.

UNLV vs Colorado State – Colorado State only outgained UNLV by 33 yards let they won by 20.

Ole Miss vs Auburn – Auburn outgained Ole Miss by 241 yards yet only won by 6 points.  Equal on turnovers as well.

Cincinnati vs East Carolina – Cinci was outgained by 151 Yards by East Carolina but still won by 3.  Crazy

SMU vs Memphis – SMU Outgained Memphis by 39 yards yet lost by 6.  Lots of penalties this game.

Oregon vs USC – Oregon only outgained the Trojans by 50 yards yet they won by 32 points.  4-1 turnover ratio.

Boise State vs San Jose State – SJST outgained Boise state by 31 yards yet lost by 10.  Same turnovers 1-1.

 

Fantasy Football Week 10

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Bye Weeks:  New England, Denver, Philadelphia, Washington, Jacksonville, Houston

Key Injuries:

Jacoby Brissett QB – Sprained MCL and should miss a week

Adam Thielen WR – Hurt his Hammy again

Ricky Seals Jones TE – Knee Injury

DeShawn Jackson WR – Core Muscle injury and out for season

Preston Williams WR – Knee injury and out for the season

Laveon Bell RB – Knee Injury

Mark Walton RB – Suspended

Kareem Hunt RB – Is back to play for the Browns

Pat Mahomes QB – Should be back

AJ Green WR – Should be back this week

Josh Gordon WR – Is now a Seahawk

Waiver Wire

Noah Fant TE – had 115 yards and a TD.  Brandon Allen seemed to like him

Jacob Hollister TE – had 6 targets for Seattle and 2 TDs.  He could be the man there

Kalen Ballage RB – Miami for Walton

Jakeem Grant WR – for Preston Williams Injury

Chester Rodgers WR – Had 5 targets and a TD – He should be ok with TY Hilton out

Andy Isabella WR – only owned in 1% of leagues did well with Kyler Murray last week with 20 fantasy points and has an easy matchup this week

LeQuan Treadwell WR – with Thielen out he got 5 targets

Ted Ginn WR – good matchup vs the Falcons this week

Corey Davis WR – good matchup vs KC this week

Trey Edmonds RB – Had 12 rushing attempts and 73 yards for Pittsburgh

Ryquell Armstead RB – had 5 targets and 65 yards for Jacksonville – With Fournette missing passes he may get some more playing time but a bye this week

Ryan Finley QB – Cincinnati is going to start him this week

Non-Starters Trending up for week 10

AJ Brown WR – vs a bad Kansas City Defense

Ted Ginn WR – vs the terrible Falcons D may find the endzone

Golden Tate WR – vs the Jets bad D

Christian Kirk WR – vs a bad Tampa Bay team

Bryan Hoyer QB – vs the Dolphins

Trey Edmonds RB – May get a lot of carriers again for Pittsburgh

Marquise Brown WR – vs the Bengals is a good one

Busts for week 10

Nick Chubb RB – now with Hunt in the lineup and against Buffalo

Chris Carson RB – vs the Niners

Ezekiel Elliot RB – vs the Vikings D

Sam Darnold QB – on a bad team

Curtis Samuel WR – vs the Packers D

Nasty Sleeper – Bryan Hoyer

 

 

 

 

Podcast 63 – 19 – College Football Wk 10 & NFL Wk 9 Recap – NCAA Betting Spots for Week 11 – Fantasy Football Week 10 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

7-7 in College Football and 3-3-1 in the NFL last week.  First, we do a College and NFL recap of last week.   Next, College Basketball is back!   We give out a FREE PICK for a HUGE game on Tuesday as well as a sneaky College Basketball future play!  Then, Kiev talks about some misleading final scores from College Football last week.  Next, Kiev gets into some let down, get up and look ahead spots for College Football week 11.   Finally,  we go over our Big 10 power ratings and Kiev gives out a FREE PICK for week 11!  D-Nasty comes in to discuss fantasy football week 10.   Key injuries and waiver pick-ups.   Players trending up and busts for week 10.

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

NFL Week 9 Free Plays – Sportsbetting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Houston vs Jacksonville +1.5 O/U  46.5

Here is a situation where both teams are playing in a foriegn place and that usually favors the defense.   It is like playing 2 away games here and that usually disrupts the offense.   This game is in London at Wembly Stadium and the 7:30 AM kickoff time certainly doesn’t help.   Now both of these teams rank somewhere in the middle for points per game, points against but neither team does well on the ground which could cause some 3 and outs.   2 things that I like about Jacksonville in this situation is that They have been to London every year for the last 6 years and their pass defense ranks 14th while Houston’s ranks 28th.  Jacksonville also ranks 3rd in Sacks while Houston Ranks 19th.  Now that they lost JJ Watt I have to think it may be game over for getting sacks for the Texans.   This game earlier this year only went to 25 points.   I am going to keep it simple and bet Jacksonville +1.5 and the Under

Jacksonville +1.5 – 2 star premium shared and under 46.5 – 2 star premium shared

NY Jets vs Miami +3 O/U 41.5

Ok, I gave this out at +5.5 but still like it because I have this game at Pickem.   The Jets pretty much through up the white surrender flag when they traded Leonard Williams as well as tried to trade Laveon Bell, Jamal Adams and Robbie Anderson.   Sam Darnold has a sprained thumb so there’s that.  CJ Mosley is also out for 6 weeks or so.   I do not see any motivation here for the Jets to even try and Adam Gase is a poor coach when it comes to losing teams.   The Dolphins know that this is their last opportunity to win a game this year because the rest of the schedule is very difficult.   I have to take the fish here and I think that Fitzmagic will protect the ball do the job this one time.

Miami +3 – 2 star premium and sprinkle

Tampa Bay vs Seattle -6.5 – O/U 51.5

Yes I know, I know it is very ugly to bet on Jameis Winston but we all know we were on the right side last week and still lost.   Seattle has been kicking some major ass as we have been seeing but I really do not like how they let a Matt Schaub led Falcons team back into the game last week.   Seattle’s defense is very bad giving up 25 points per game and they rank 30th in giving up 6.2 yards per play.   Seattle is also 0-4 ATS at home this year so that advantage has dwindled.   Tampa bay can at least exploit the Seahawks defensive backs as they rank 27th in giving up 273 yardss per game in the air.  Garbage time maybe open here too.   Take the Bucks

Tampa Bay Bucks +6.5 – 2 star premium shared

College Football Week 10 Free Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

SMU vs Memphis -5.5 O/U 70.5

Straight up poppin bottles.   This game should be high flying.  SMU averages 504 yards per game at a very efficient 11.4 yards per play.   Memphis isn’t too shabby either at 456 yards per game and 12.2 yards per point.  This game may decide who wins the AAC west!  Memphis definitley wins the yards per play argument who is a net .7 yards per play better than SMU but the Mustangs have had the harder schedule and Memphis hasn’t faced a passing offense as strong as this one with opponents like Navy, Louisiana Monroe, Tulane and South Alabama.   I think when they lost to Temple they were exposed a bit.   Memphis has always relied hard on their run game and this year they are a little short at 5 yards per rush while SMU his holding opponents to 3.3 yards per rush.    How do you not love the Job that Texas transfer Shane Buechele has done for this team?  He came in with a chip on his shoulder and is showing the part.   I think if SMU happens to be straight up poppin bottles this game, they can actually win it.

SMU +5.5 – 2 star premium shared

Miami vs Florida State -4 O/U 47.5

This game is straight forward for me.   Florida State averages 77 plays per game which is top 15% in pace.  They also have a good offense at 5.6 yards per play and averaging 29 points per game.  Their defense is a bit average giving up 29 points per game as well in a weak conference.   Miami has been decent on offense themselves averaging 27 points per game and 5.9 yards per play but their defense is pretty sporadic giving up a bunch of points to Virginia Tech and Georgia tech yet holding teams like Virginia and Pittsburgh under 13.   My power ratings has Florida State by about 3 and the Algorithm has it at 3.5 but what the numbers are telling me is that this total should go over the total.  This is a rivalry game and when that happens you see more creativity and risks being taken by both teams.   I love the fact that Florida State being at home should dictate the pace of this game and Miami will have to throw the ball if they expect to keep up.

Over 47.5 – 2 star premium shared

UAB vs Tennessee -12 O/U 47.5

This is my best free play.  Tennessee has really been improving since the start of this season and it really shows.   SEC talent sometimes takes a little time to gel and it all is coming to fruition for this Vols team.   Over the last 3 games, Tennessee has beaten Mississippi State by 10, kept up with Alabama minus a huge 14 point swing turnover, and beat South Carolina by 20 points.   Now looking at UAB at 6-1, one would think that they should almost be favored in this game but as Lee Corso says, NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND.  UAB is FAKE NEWS this year and their schedule shows it.   Their schedule ranks 189th which is lower than anybody in the FBS.   The teams they have played include Akron, South Alabama, Rice, Alabama State, UTSA, Old Dominion and lost to Western Kentucky.  NOT 1 TEAM IN THE TOP 100!!!   Tennessee’s schedule ranks 18th in the nation.   Their QB Jarrett Guarantano is probable to play as well.  I have this game 14.5 point minimum.

Tennessee -12 – 4 star best bet premium shared

 

Podcast 62 – 19 – With WagerTalk’s Bryan Leonard & Cub Fan Danny – College Football Week 10 & NFL Week 9 UFC 244 – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Happy Halloween!  We have a Fantastic show for you today with some NOT SO SCARY plays for you this weekend!  Wagertalk’s Bryan Leonard @BLeonardsports is back to break down some amazing games in this week’s card!   First, we about what to look for in the teams and the games at this point of the season.  Next, We go over some over rated teams in the NFL and some under rated teams that may feel SCARY to bet on!  Then, we break down the biggest games in College football and the NFL as well as give you some great plays for this weekend!  Shortly after, Kiev gives out a few plays of his own for college football week 10 and NFL week 9.  Then, we go over the sharp line movement in the #NFL and #NCAA.  Finally, Cub Fan Danny @CubfanDanny comes on to break down UFC 244 with some great sides!

NCAA:  West Virginia vs Baylor – Georgia vs Florida – Oregon vs USC – SMU vs Memphis and more!

NFL:  NY Jets vs Miami – Houston vs Jacksonville – Green Bay vs LA Chargers and more!

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

College Football Week 10 Betting Spots

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Let down spots:

Michigan vs Maryland – Michigan could let down here after whooping Notre Dame but I think they won’t.   Maryland is that bad too

Kansas State vs Kansas – Both are in a let down spots here but K-State’s is bigger.   Maybe look at the under

Oklahoma State vs TCU is a dual let down spot but bigger for TCU

Virginia vs North Carolina – UNC is a small one after their rivalry win at the last seconds

UCLA vs Colorado – UCLA beat a ranked ASU team

Colorado State vs UNLV is a let down spot after they beat Fresno State

Get up spots:

Colorado State vs UNLV – UNLV needs to win out to be bowl eligible

Mississippi State vs Arkansas – Arkansas needs a W to remain bowl eligible

Northwestern vs Indiana – Northwestern needs a W bad but I doubt they can do it here

Mississippi vs Auburn – Auburn needs a bounce back here

Virginia vs North Carolina – Virginia needs a bounce back after losing to Louisville

Vanderbilt vs South Carolina – South Carolina needs a slump buster vs Vandy who just beat Mizzu a few weeks back

Look Ahead Spots:

Kansas State vs Texas – Kansas State in a sandwhich here looking past Kansas

TCU vs Oklahoma State – TCU in a sandwhich looking towards Baylor

LSU and Alabama are both on Bye weeks

 

 

 

 

 

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