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College Football Week 5 Free Plays
UNLV vs Wyoming -9 O/U 48
I got this one at 51 but there is still some value here. Wyoming has 0 passing game and they run the ball a ton. They also have a great rushing defense allowing only 2.3 yards per carry which is one of the top 13. UNLV can’t pass the ball either and have a terrible passing defense but they can run the ball at 5.9 yards per carry. It’s too bad they are facing such a great rushing defense. What I really like about this play is that even if these teams try and pass the ball the weather report is calling for moderate rain showers and double digit wind speeds. I like the under here down to 45.
Under 51 – 3 star premium shared
Hawaii vs Nevada -2 O/U 64
Both these defenses are downright terrible and they haven’t even played anyone yet. Nevada lost their quarterback Christian Solano that first game vs Purdue but Freshman Carson Strong showed improvement his last game. Nevada is weak against the pass and that is where Hawaii excels. Hawaii averages 80 plays per game and should set the pace of this showdown. Hawaii’s defense is so bad that they rank 102nd in opponents yards per point at 12.1 while Nevada is even worse ranking 116th at 11th. The average score of a Hawaii game is 66.3 points and that includes playing 3 pac 12 teams. Take the over.
Over 64 – 2 star play premium shared
Ohio State vs Nebraska +17.5 O/U 67.5
I have Ohio State 4th highest in my Power ratings but I have them only beating Nebraska by 14.25 points on a neutral and forget the fact that they are playing a night game in Lincoln. This is more of a 10 point spread to me. Adrian Martinez was recruited by Ohio State and chose Nebraska. He has this game circled and almost won it last year when the Buckeye’s let them back into the game. We know that Justin Fields is the real deal at QB and we know that Chase Young might be the best edge rusher in the business at 7 sacks already, but we do not know how this team will perform on the road in a big spot like this. I think it hurts the Freshman Justin Fields here. You can’t count the Indiana game because lots of Buckeye fans show up there. Lastly, Nebraska has a similar offense to the buckeyes in my opinion drawing misdirection and getting the ball out quickly to skilled players so their defense should be somewhat familiar. I like Nebraska here and lean over.
Nebraska +17.5 – 2 star premium shared and sprinkle
College Football Week 5 and NFL Week 4 Sharp Action
College Sharp Sides:
ON:
UCF hosting UCONN at -43 – a 26% difference but some dual action as well
Temple hosting Georgia Tech at -9 a 20% difference
Iowa State at Baylor from -2 to -3 a 28% difference – This one worries me for my Baylor future
Toledo hosting BYU at +4.5 to +2.5 a 20% difference – value gone
Akron at Umass from -4.5 to -7.5 a 26% difference. Has UMASS quit the season this early?
Michigan hosting Rutgers at -27.5 a 20% difference
Minnesota at Purdue at +1 to -1 a whopping 58% difference
Louisiana at Georgia Southern at -3.5 dual action with 98% of the money on Louisiana
Kentucky at South Carolina at +3 a 34% difference – I disagree
Kansas at TCU at +16 a 24% difference – Low total here
Dual action on Oklahoma hosting Texas Tech -24 to -27 with 89% of the money on Oklahoma
Charlotte hosting FAU at +1 a 26% difference
Virginia at Notre Dame at +12.5 a 22% difference
Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State +16 a 38% difference – Let down spot for APP St
Cincinatti at Marshall from -3 to -3.5 a 25% difference. I disagree
Louisiana Monroe hosting South Alabama at -16 a 35% difference
Southern Miss hosting UTEP from -25 to -26.5 a 36% difference
Rice hosting Louisiana Tech from +11 to +9 a 21% difference
Sharp College Totals:
San Jose State at Air Force under 56.5 a 47% difference – option team
Northwestern vs Wisconsin Dual action over 44 to 46.5 99% of the money on the over
Buffalo vs Miami Ohio under from 53 to 47 a 35% difference
NC State vs Florida State over 61 a whopping 52% difference there
Hawaii vs Nevada over 65 a 41% difference
Stanford vs Oregon State under 58 a 32% difference
Clemson vs North Carolina under 60 a 56% difference
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State under from 63.5 to 60 a 30% difference
Coastal Carolina vs Appalachian State under 60 a whopping 71% difference
Colorado State vs Utah State over 72 a 40% difference
Sharp NFL Sides:
On:
Oakland at Indianapolis at +7 a 52% difference – I disagree here
Arizona hosting Seattle at +5 a 30% difference
Sharp NFL Totals:
Carolina vs Houston over 47 a 26% difference
Oakland vs Indianapolis over 45 a 36% difference
New England vs Buffalo under from 44 to 42.5 a 25% difference
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh over 43.5 a 41% difference
Podcast 52 – 19 – NFL Week 4 Plays With Ross Tucker – Sports Betting
We have a fantastic show for you today! Ross Tucker @RossTuckerNFL comes on to break down NFL Week 4! First, Ross tells us the mindset of an 0-3 team coming into week 4. Next, Kiev and Ross discuss 0-3 teams that may be underrated and then talk about 3-0 teams that may be overrated. Finally, we go over the NFL week 4 card and give out some plays!
#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt
#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL
Should you need a sports book please visit www.bookmaker.eu and use the promo code, “oddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus! Terms and conditions apply.
www.theoddsbreakers.com
For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?
Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers
College Football Betting Spots Week 5
Let Down Spots:
Wisconsin hosting Northwestern after beating Michigan – Wisky is down 2 safteys for the first half form targeting as well
San Jose State at Air force – they beat SEC team Arkansas
Auburn hosting Mississippi State after beating A&M
Cal hosting ASU after beating SEC ole miss
Buffalo at Miami Ohio after beating Temple
Appalachian State hosting Coastal Carolina is a good one after App State beat UNC
Pitt hosting Delaware i suppose after they beat UCF
SMU at South Florida after beating TCU
UCLA at Arizona after beating WASU. Arizona is also off of a bye
USC at Washington after USC beat a top 10 Utah team
Get up Spots:
TCU hosting Kansas after losing to SMU
ASU at Cal after losing to Colorado – Bet the under
BYU at Toledo after losing to Washington
Temple at Georgia Tech – old coach!
Vanderbilt hosting NIU – Scheduling spot to get it right
UCF hosting UCONN after losing their first regular season game in 3 seasons. Poor UCONN
Western Michigan hosting Central Michigan after out-gaining Syracuse and losing
Texas A&M hosting Arkansas – A&M lost to Auburn
Look ahead Spots:
Cincinnati could be looking past Marshall to UCF
Auburn could be looking past Mississippi State to Florida
Cal could be looking past ASU to at Oregon – Looks like a sandwich spot to me
Utah State looking past Colorado State to LSU
College Football Week 4 Misleading Final Scores
Utah vs USC – Utah out-gained USC 457 to 368 and had 1 less turnover but still lost by 7
Air Force vs Boises State – Both had 355 yards but AF lost by 10
FIU vs LA Tech – FIU out-gained LA Tech 394 to 290 a 104 yard difference yet lost by 12. Bad beat on that baby
Houston vs Tulane – Houston out-gained Tulane 533 to 511 yet lost by 7 on a miracle last second TD. Refs almost blew it as well with a BS roughing call.
Western Michigan vs Syracuse – Western Michigan out-gained Syracuse by 12 yards yet lost by 19. 4-2 turnovers
Nebraska vs Illinois – Nebraska out-gained Illinois 690 to 299 a 391 yard difference yet only won by 4
Ball State vs NC State – Ball State out-gained NC State by 29 yards yet lost by 11. They also won the turnover battle 1-3
Temple vs Buffalo – Temple out-gained Buffalo by 10 yards but lost by 10 and 4-2 turnovers
Auburn vs Texas A&M – Texas A&M out-gained Auburn by 98 yards yet lost by 8. Auburn’s running game controlled the clock
Appalachian State vs North Carolina – North Carolina out-gained App State by 84 yards yet lost by 3. the 3-1 turnover ration killed them thanks to Sam Howells 2 picks
Cal vs Ole Miss – Ole Miss out-gained cal by 92 yards yet lost by 8
UCLA vs Washington State – WASU out-gained UCLA by 63 yards yet lost at home 67-63 – 6-1 turnover ratio didn’t help
Podcast 51 – 19 – College Football Week 5 Plays With Kyle Hunter – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting
We have a fantastic show for you today! Kyle Hunter @kylehunterpicks from huntersportspicks.com comes on to break down College Football Week 5! First, Kiev gives out a quick FREE PLAY for week 5. Then, Kyle comes on and he gives us some great trends coming into betting week 5. Next, we talk about how to judge pace when betting totals. Then, Kyle tells us how and when wind speeds becomes critical when betting college football totals. Next, Kyle and Kiev discuss some HUGE games for the weekend and give out some more plays! Finally, we go over the sharp line movement in the #NFL and #NCAA.
Nebraska vs Ohio State – Virginia vs Notre Dame – Kansas State vs Oklahoma State and more!
#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt
#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL
Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus! Terms and conditions apply.
www.theoddsbreakers.com
For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?
Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers
Podcast 50 – 19 – College & NFL Football Recap – NCAA Betting Spots for Week 5 – Fantasy Football Week 4 – Sports Betting
12-7 in College Football and 5-6-1 in the NFL last week! We first start by recapping NFL week 3 and College Football week 4! Next, Kiev talks about some misleading final scores. Then, Kiev gets into some let down, get up and look ahead spots for College Football week 5. Finally, we go over our Big 10 power ratings and Kiev gives out a FREE PICK for week 4! D-Nasty comes in to discuss fantasy football week 4. Key injuries and waiver pick-ups. Players trending up and busts for week 4.
#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt
#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL
Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus! Terms and conditions apply.
www.theoddsbreakers.com
For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?
Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers
NFL Week 3 Free Plays
Houston vs LA Chargers -3.5 O/U 47.5
If there is one thing that I like about DeShawn Watson, it is that he is really never out of games. This Texans team has proven that they can play with the big boys when the almost beat the Saints win week 1. Now they are playing a banged up Chargers team with a bad home field advantage in LA. My power ratings have these teams pretty close to each other within a half point and when you look at the Chargers injuries on defense, you have to factor in that they will be scored upon. It’s a little early to talk efficiency but the Texans are a better team in overall DVOA up to this point and they are healthy. The Texans are 4-0-1 ATS (5.60 ppg) since Sep 30, 2018 as a dog.
Texans +3.5 – 2 star premium shared
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco -7 O/U – 44 points
San Francisco is flying high at 2-0 but what do we really know about this team? They beat Jamis Winston after he had 3 interceptions with Tampa Bay out-gaining them by 39 yards and they beat a bad Bengals team at home. Now San Francisco comes home to face a desperate Steelers team that has a decent back-up quarterback who may I add played college with one of their WRs James Washington at Oklahoma State. I am not a big Mike Tomlin guy but this team will rally when they are down. I honestly think this change could be a good thing for the Steelers and the fact that they traded for Minka Fitzpatrick shows that they are really trying here. Power ratings only has San Francisco favored by 4 points but I think they can win this one out. Gotta bet against 2 over reactions here.
Pittsburg +7 – 3 star premium shared play
Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 O/U 46.5
Well the Lions haven’t lost yet. How about that!? Thank god for ties huh. NOT. Well anyways they are now back on the road to face a half way decent defense finally. The thing that really stands out to me here is game plan. Philadelphia is very injured on offense with their wide recievers out and their defensive tackles out. This tells me that they will run the ball a lot. It also tells me that Detroit should run the ball here now that they can penetrate the Eagles D line with Kerryon Johnson. Detroit already has a nice 60 rushing attempts and they know what kind of team that they are. This total feels a little bit high for this kind of game. The Eagles need this game to get back on track and the Lions could easily let down a bit here due to the fact that they beat a good Chargers team last week. Take the under 46.5
Under 46.5 – 2 star premium shared
Teaser alert: Bengals +6 to +12 and the Packers from -7.5 to -1.5
NFL week 3 and College Football week 4 Sharp Action
College Football Sharp Action:
On:
USC hosting Utah at +4 a 20% difference (home dog)
Air Force at Boise State at +8 a 28% difference – I disagree
Louisiana at Ohio at +3.5 a 28% difference
Dual Action on Old Dominion at Virginia 97% of the money on old dominion
Toledo at Colorado State -6 to -9.5 a 21% difference
New Mexico State at New Mexico +6 to +4.5 a 23% difference
Old Miss hosting Cal from +1.5 to -2.5 a 29% difference
Nevada at UTEP from -13 to -14.5 a 19% difference – value gone
Utah State at San Diego State from -2.5 to -4 a 27% difference
Sharp College Totals:
Louisiana Monroe at Iowa State under from 57 to 55.5 a 32% difference
Miami Ohio vs Ohio State under from 60 to 58 a 40% difference
UCF vs Pitt over from 58 to 61 a 48% difference wow
Dual Action on the Louisiana vs Ohio over from 65 to 66.5 – 99% of the money on over
Nebraska vs Illinois under 63 a 33% difference and may be weather related
Dual Action on Appalachian State vs UNC over 58 – 99% of the money is on the over
Oklahoma State vs Texas went from 69 to 73 now it is being bought back under with a 38% difference – not touching that under
Boston College vs Rutgers over went from 51 to 58 and now some buy back on the under. Sitkowski starting for Rutgers like last year
Sharp NFL:
Denver at Green Bay at +7.5 a 24% difference
Baltimore at Kansas City at +6.5 a 25% difference. Who has Baltimore Played again?
Minnesota hosting Oakland from -7.5 to -9 a 20% difference
Carolina at Arizona at -2.5 a 34% difference – Cam has been so bad that i am not sure that Kyle Allen is a downgrade
New Orleans at Seattle at +4.5 a 27% difference – yuck
Houston at LA Chargers at +3.5 is about 20% difference
Pittsburgh at San Francisco from +7 to +6.5 a 20% difference
Washington hosting Chicago +4 a 24% difference
NFL Sharp Totals:
Detroit vs Philly from 49 to 46 – Dual Action
NY Jets at New England from 48 to 43.5 a 38% difference – still value
Dual Action on LA Rams vs Cleveland under from 51 to 49 – 95% of the money on the under
Miami vs Dallas under 47.5 a 37% difference
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco over 44 a 33% difference
