Shevchenko (24-4-1) enters this bout looking to solidify her second reign as champion after reclaiming the belt in her trilogy against Alexa Grasso. Known for her elite striking, counter-fighting ability, and well-rounded skill set, Shevchenko remains one of the most dominant female fighters in UFC history. However, at 37 years old, some analysts believe she may be showing signs of slowing down.
Fiorot (12-1) has been patiently waiting for her shot at the title, earning her opportunity with a dominant win over Erin Blanchfield. The French fighter boasts an aggressive pace, strong takedown defense, and a karate-based striking style that could pose problems for Shevchenko. Fiorot has yet to taste defeat in the UFC, making her a formidable challenger.
Key Factors
Striking Battle: Both fighters are southpaws, meaning this matchup will be a rare clash of left-handed strikers. Shevchenko’s counter-striking and spinning attacks will be tested against Fiorot’s high-volume offense.
Grappling Edge: Shevchenko has a strong clinch game and takedown ability, but Fiorot’s takedown defense has been nearly impenetrable.
Cardio & Pace: Fiorot’s relentless pace could be a challenge for Shevchenko, who has historically controlled fights with precision rather than overwhelming volume.
Prediction:
This might be the best fight of the night. Manon Fiorot is certainly one of the best two fighters in the women’s flyweight class. Fiorot has been a cash machine for bettors as she is undefeated in the UFC. On the other side of things, If Amanda Nunes is the GOAT of women’s MMA, then Valentina is GOAT B. I am going to make this one simple, I think that Manon may have the striking and the strength advantage in this fight, but Val is maybe right behind her from a technical perspective. I also know that Valentina has the better ground game and that is what is attractive to me. Some say that Fiorot cannot be taken down, but she clearly hasn’t fought the likes of a wrestler like Valentina. I do think that Shevchenko will do enough on the ground to sway the judges. I am looking for a win by split decision if it comes to that. Take the GOAT B because it’s a rarity that you will find her again at + money.
Not a bad call to put two Canadians together being that this fight is in Montreal Canada. Bruno Silva is mentally checked out while Jessica Andrade is also over the hills and far away.
CHICAGO, IL - DECEMBER 6: Nikola Jokic #15 of the Denver Nuggets passes the ball during the game against the Chicago Bulls on December 6, 2021 at United Center in Chicago, Illinois. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2021 NBAE (Photo by Jeff Haynes/NBAE via Getty Images)
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Brewers vs Rays -103 O/U 9
The Milwaukee Brewers will face the Tampa Bay Rays today at 7:05 PM ET at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Key Matchup Details:
Pitching Probables:
Brewers: José Quintana (4-1, 2.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 21 strikeouts).
Rays: Struggling with a seven-game home losing streak.
Brewers: Won two of their last three games against the Astros.
Players to Watch:
Brewers:
Jackson Chourio: 6 home runs, 24 RBIs.
Brice Turang: .318 batting average.
Rays:
Yandy Díaz: 6 home runs, 17 RBIs.
Junior Caminero: 6 home runs.
Prediction:
The Rays have had a tough home losing streak, but this is one that I think that they could win. Even though Brewers pitcher Jose Quintana boasts a great ERA of 2.83, his FIP is only 4.40. I see regression here. Rays Pitcher Zach Littell hasn’t pitched well this year with a 4.6 ERA and a 5.6 FIP, but he finshed the season last year in the threes in both categories. The Rays are the better hitting team ranking 4th in wRC+ while the Brewers rank 22nd. The Rays also have the better bullpen. I am taking the short home favorite here for the win to break the home losing streak.
Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23) during an NBA basketball game against the Minnesota Timberwolves in San Francisco, Wednesday, Nov. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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The 2025 Truist Championship promises to be a unique and memorable stop on the PGA TOUR, as the game’s best descend on The Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course. This classic A.W. Tillinghast design—one of golf’s great architectural treasures—steps in as a one-year host, filling in for Quail Hollow Club, which will welcome the PGA Championship next week.
As the sixth Signature Event of the season, the Truist Championship brings with it a stacked field, elevated stakes, and a fresh test at a historic venue.
Let’s dive into the key pre-tournament storylines:
Pre-Tournament Storylines:
Rory McIlroy’s Dominant Run
Rory McIlroy enters this week in sensational form. He’s already racked up three victories in 2025, including a historic win at The Masters, where he joined golf’s most elite company by completing the career Grand Slam. He returns to the Truist Championship—an event he’s owned in the past with four victories, the most by any player in tournament history.
A New Venue with Historic Roots
This year’s Truist Championship marks a rare shift in scenery. Normally contested at Quail Hollow, the tournament heads to Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course—a storied layout and former host of elite amateur events. With no prior PGA TOUR history at the course, it presents an exciting unknown and a fresh challenge for the field.
Wednesday, 4–7 p.m. ET: Catch the “Creator Classic at Philly Cricket”, the second installment of the Creator Classic Series, streaming live on the PGA TOUR’s YouTube channel. Don’t miss the action from one of golf’s most historic venues.
Thursday–Sunday: The ESPN BET feed returns to PGA TOUR LIVE, offering a betting-focused broadcast as defending champion Rory McIlroy leads the field at the Truist Championship. Watch live from 12–2 p.m. ET on Thursday and Friday, and 11 a.m.–1 p.m. ET on Saturday and Sunday.
Weather:
Course/ Tournament History:
The Wissahickon Course at the Philadelphia Cricket Club is one of the crown jewels of American golf architecture. Designed by the legendary A.W. Tillinghast and opened in 1922, the course embodies the strategic depth, bold bunkering, and natural land movement that defined the Golden Age of golf course design. As part of the oldest country club in the United States—established in 1854—Wissahickon carries deep historical significance, not just for the region, but for the game itself.
In 2013, the course underwent a highly anticipated and transformative restoration under architect Keith Foster. The goal was to faithfully return Tillinghast’s original vision while preparing the course for modern play. The changes were extensive: significant tree removal to restore original sightlines, bunker renovations to revive their classic shapes and strategic relevance, reclaimed green surfaces, new tee placements to accommodate current distances, and the reinstallation of iconic features like the “Great Hazard” on the par-5 4th hole. The result was a masterful blend of preservation and progress, striking a balance between historical authenticity and modern challenge.
The restoration received widespread acclaim and was named Golf.com’s “Best Restoration of the Year” in 2014. Today, Wissahickon stands as a premier example of classic course revival—rich in character, architecturally pure, and fully capable of testing the game’s best.
The Truist Championship is a premier PGA Tour event with a rich and evolving history. Originally launched in 2003 as the Wachovia Championship, the tournament has also been known as the Quail Hollow Championship and the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2025, it was rebranded as the Truist Championship following a new title sponsorship agreement with Truist Financial Corporation. Traditionally played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, the event has become a fixture on the PGA Tour, consistently attracting the game’s top players and delivering dramatic finishes.
In 2025, the tournament made a rare venue change, moving to the Wissahickon Course at the historic Philadelphia Cricket Club. This one-time shift was due to Quail Hollow hosting the PGA Championship that year. The Wissahickon Course, a restored A.W. Tillinghast design, offered a classic challenge and a distinct change of pace for the field. As one of the Tour’s eight Signature Events, the Truist Championship features a 72-player, no-cut field and a $20 million purse, underscoring its prestige and competitive importance. The event is scheduled to return to Quail Hollow in 2026.
Previous Tournament Venues:
Duration
Course
Location:
2025
The Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon Course)
Flourtown. Pennsylvania
2023-2024
Quail Hollow Club
Charlotte, North Carolina
2022
TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm
Potomac, Maryland
2018-2019; 2021
Quail Hollow Club
Charlotte, North Carolina
2017
Eagle Point Golf Club
Wilmington, North Carolina
2003 – 2016
Quail Hollow Club
Charlotte, North Carolina
Previous Tournament Names:
Duration
Tournament Name
2025
Truist Championship
2011-2019; 2021-2024
Wells Fargo Championship
2009-2010
Quail Hollow Championship
2003 -2008
Wachovia Championship
Tournament Records:
Most Wins at Event:
4 – Rory McIlroy (2024, 2021, 2015, 2010)
72-Hole Record:
265, Wyndham Clark (2023) – Quail Hollow Club
18-Hole Record:
61, Rory McIlroy (third round, 2015) – Quail Hollow Club
Course Guide/ Scorecard:
Originally designed by A.W. Tillinghast in 1922, the Wissahickon Course at The Philadelphia Cricket Club is a classic Par 70 layout featuring four par 3s, twelve par 4s, and two par 5s. This year, the PGA TOUR utilizes an adjusted routing that begins on the club’s traditional 8th hole and proceeds through an altered sequence (No. 9–7 serve as holes 2–18 for the tournament).
PGA TOUR Hole
Wissahickon Course Hole
PGA TOUR Hole
Wissahickon Course Hole
1
8
10
17
2
9
11
18
3
10
12
1
4
11
13
2
5
12
14
3
6
13
15
4
7
14
16
5
8
15
17
6
9
16
18
7
Par 3s (4 Total | Range: 122–240 Yards)
Hole 14 (Wissahickon No. 3) – 122 Yards A short wedge is all that’s needed on this short par 3 but miss this raised narrow green and you’ll likely find yourself in one of the surrounding bunkers sitting well below the putting surface.
Hole 16 (Wissahickon No. 5) – 215 Yards This long par 3 has it all: water, bunkers, a long carry, a tricky green and devious pin placements. Gauge the wind carefully before selecting a club to carry Wissahickon Creek but fall short of three back bunkers.
Par 4s (12 Total | Most Range Between 400–450 Yards)
Hole 11 (Wissahickon No. 18) – 487 Yards
Avoid the left bunkers and aim for the right side of the fairway on this long dogleg left par 4. (Most players lay up short of Wissahickon Creek to follow errant tee shots.) Club down on your downhill approach back toward the clubhouse to a narrow green guarded by both bunkers and onlooking members.
Hole 18 (Wissahickon No. 7) – 435 Yards
NLanding your drive in the fairway should take a vast expanse of bunkers that cross the fairway – the “Great Hazard” – out of play on your second shot. Longer hitters need to carry front greenside bunkers to give themselves an eagle putt.
Par 5s (2 Total)
Hole 5 (Wissahickon No. 12) – 546 Yards
Aim left of the trees guarding the right side of the fairway on your semi-blind tee shot on this par 5 and you may find a speed slot, but more than likely, this is a three shot hole. Stay below the hole on this green that slopes from back to front.
Hole 15 (Wissahickon No. 4) – 553 Yards
Bunkers and large oak trees guard the left and right sides of the fairway, and even a long drive on this short par 5 may leave you with a hybrid/long iron into a very well-protected green. Tillinghast’s version of church pew bunkers makes this into-the-wind approach even more visually intimidating.
The 2025 Truist Championship takes place at the Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course, a classic A.W. Tillinghast design hosting a PGA TOUR event for the very first time.
Since there’s no previous TOUR data at this venue, we’re leaning on course characteristics and profile-based trends to identify the key stats that should play a crucial role this week:
Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
While Wissahickon isn’t the most punishing course off the tee, it still rewards players who combine distance and control. The fairways are fairly generous, encouraging aggressive tee shots—particularly for longer hitters who can turn shorter holes into scoring chances. But don’t overlook accuracy: water hazards and tricky angles on approach shots make smart positioning off the tee equally important.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Rory McIlroy
Ludvig Aberg
Corey Conners
Keith Mitchell
Robert MacIntyre
Taylor Pendrith
Collin Morikawa
Patrick Cantlay
Tony Finau
Aaron Rai
Strokes Gained: Approach
As always, precision into greens will be a key differentiator. Wissahickon features elevated and well-protected green complexes that demand precise iron play. Players who can dial in their distances—especially from key wedge ranges—will set themselves up for scoring chances.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Sepp Straka
Collin Morikawa
Rory McIlroy
Xander Schauffele
Shane Lowry
Viktor Hovland
Patrick Cantlay
Tom Hoge
Justin Thomas
Will Zalatoris
Strokes Gained: Around the Green
Wissahickon’s greens average just 5,779 sq. ft.—smaller than PGA TOUR average—meaning missed greens will be common. Solid scrambling and creativity around the greens will be vital, particularly on tightly mown run-offs and bunkers guarding front pins.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Hideki Matsuyama
Sungjae Im
Si Woo Kim
Andrew Novak
Tommy Fleetwood
Min Woo Lee
Byeong Hun An
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Rory McIlroy
Russell Henley
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass) – Firm
The A1/A4 bentgrass greens are expected to run fast—one of the course’s primary defenses. Putting on speedy surfaces demands precision, especially with the classic sloping contours that Tillinghast is known for. Green reading and distance control will be tested throughout the week.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Denny McCarthy
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Sahith Theegala
Harris English
Wyndham Clark
Sam Burns
Brian Campbell
J.T. Poston
Xander Schauffele
Viktor Hovland
Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards
Seven of the twelve par 4s at the Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon Course) fall between 400 and 450 yards, making this range a key focus.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Tommy Fleetwood
J.J. Spaun
Aaron Rai
Patrick Cantlay
Rory McIlroy
Michael Kim
Brian Harman
Jordan Spieth
Sam Stevens
Austin Eckroat
Par 5 Scoring
There are only two par 5s this week—No. 5 and No. 15—and both are reachable in two for most of the field. In a low-birdie environment, converting these opportunities will be essential. Expect the leaderboard to reflect who capitalizes here.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Rory McIlroy
Justin Rose
Jordan Spieth
Andrew Novak
Aaron Rai
Maverick McNealy
Sungjae Im
Si Woo Kim
Sepp Straka
Viktor Hovland
Scrambling Gained
With small targets and tricky green surrounds, scrambling stats will come into play. Players who can save par after missed greens will have a major edge, especially when scoring conditions get tougher.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Hideki Matsuyama
Andrew Novak
Shane Lowry
Min Woo Lee
Rory McIlroy
Alex Noren
Denny McCarthy
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Daniel Berger
Stephan Jaeger
Sand Saves Gained
The Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon Course) features a staggering 118 bunkers, the most on TOUR this season. That includes both fairway and greenside bunkers, many of which were restored in the 2013 renovation to mirror Tillinghast’s original design. Sand play will be tested frequently.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Ben Griffin
Hideki Matsuyama
Michael Kim
Denny McCarthy
Justin Thomas
Russell Henley
Si Woo Kim
Andrew Novak
Adam Hadwin
Matt Fitzpatrick
Proximity Gained: 100-150 Yards
Based on the course’s layout and overall yardage distribution, a significant percentage of approach shots will come from the 100–150 yard range. Players who excel with wedges and short irons will have the advantage—especially given the complexity of the greens.
Leaders in Proximity Gained 100-125 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Wyndham Clark
Adam Hadwin
Collin Morikawa
Justin Thomas
Tony Finau
Sepp Straka
Keegan Bradley
Xander Schauffele
Rasmus Hojgaard
Leaders in Proximity Gained 125-150 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Justin Thomas
Corey Conners
Keegan Bradley
Sepp Straka
Stephan Jaeger
Tommy Fleetwood
Will Zalatoris
J.J. Spaun
Thomas Detry
Collin Morikawa
The Field:
The 2025 Truist Championship will feature a field of 72 players, with 17 of the top 20 in the Official World Golf Ranking set to compete.
Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
Top 50 on Prior Year’s FedExCup Points List
Aon Swing 5 (projected through THE CJ CUP BYRON NELSON)
Aon Next 10 (projected through THE CJ CUP BYRON NELSON)
Current Year Tournament Winners, not including Additional Events
Top 50 on Prior Year’s FedExCup Points List
Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
Rory McIlroy (2024, 2021, 2015, 2010), Wyndham Clark (2023), Max Homa (2022, 2019), Jason Day (2018), Brian Harman (2017), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011)
Debutants in the Field (Event):
Ludvig Aberg, Thomas Detry, Max Greyserman, Joe Highsmith, Nicolai Hojgaard, Rasmus Hojgaard, Min Woo Lee, Robert MacIntyre, Michael Thorbjornsen
Exemptions:
Rickie Fowler – Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt
Jordan Spieth – Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt
Gary Woodland – Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt
Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):
2024: Rory McIlroy (-17) – Quail Hollow Club
Price: 17-2
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Rory McIlroy
1st
1st
4th
9th
8th
2023: Wyndham Clark (-19) – Quail Hollow Club
Price: 80-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Wyndham Clark
20th
1st
1st
39th
3rd
2022: Max Homa (-8) – TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm
Price: 40-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Max Homa
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2021: Rory McIlroy (-10) – Quail Hollow Club
Price: 18-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Rory McIlroy
18th
9th
10th
41st
3rd
2020: Canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic
Price: N/A
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
2024: Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)
WON – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
T33 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
T22 – The Masters (MAJ)
3 – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
T19 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
2023: Wyndham Clark (Quail Hollow Club)
T24 – Mexico Open (PGA)
3 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
T29 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
6 – Corales Puntacana Championship (PGA)
5 – Valspar Championship (PGA)
2022: Max Homa (TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm)
T21 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
T48 – The Masters (MAJ)
T35 – WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play (PGA)
T13 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
T17 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (PGA)
2021: Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)
MC – The Masters (MAJ)
T28 – WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play (PGA)
MC – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
T10 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (PGA)
T6 – WGC-Workday Championship (PGA)
2020: Canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2024; Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Championship
Quail Hollow Club
TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2023
2022
2021
2019
2018
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Rory McIlroy
T47
5
WON
T8
T16
T4
WON
T8
T10
T2
MC
WON
2023: Wyndham Clark (Quail Hollow Club)
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2021
2019
Wyndham Clark
T43
MC
2022: Max Homa (TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm)
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Eagle Point Golf Club
Quail Hollow Club
2021
2019
2017
2015
Max Homa
MC
WON
MC
T76
2021: Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2019
2018
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Rory McIlroy
T8
T16
T4
WON
T8
T10
T2
MC
WON
2020: Canceled due to the COVID-19 pa
Picks:
Outrights
Corey Conners (+3000) – DraftKings
Russell Henley (+3500) – FanDuel
Shane Lowry (+3500) – DraftKings
Keegan Bradley (+5000) – BetMGM
Sam Burns (+5500) – FanDuel
Justin Rose (+7000) – FanDuel
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
he Athletics and Marlins face off today in the final game of their series, with both teams looking to secure the series win. The Athletics come in with an 18-16 record, while the Marlins sit at 13-19.
Key Matchups:
Pitching Duel: JP Sears (Athletics) vs. Edward Cabrera (Marlins). Sears has a 2.94 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season, while Cabrera has struggled with a 7.23 ERA but has a strong history against the Athletics, having pitched 14 scoreless innings in two career starts against them.
Top Performers: Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .324 batting average and six home runs. Brent Rooker has been a standout for the Athletics with nine home runs.
Recent Matchups & Trends
Head-to-Head Record: Over the last 10 meetings, the Marlins have won 6 games, while the Athletics have taken 4.
Last Series: In their previous series (June 2024), the Marlins swept the Athletics, outscoring them 22-9 over three games.
Home vs. Away: The Marlins have gone 8-7 at home this season, while the Athletics are 10-6 on the road—giving them an edge as visitors.
Pitching Comparison
JP Sears (Athletics): Has a 2.94 ERA, but against Miami, he holds a 4.75 ERA in two career starts.
Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Struggling with a 7.23 ERA, but in his two career starts vs. Oakland, he has 14 scoreless innings and 18 strikeouts.
Key Batters to Watch
Brent Rooker (Athletics): Leads Oakland with 9 HR, .280 AVG.
Kyle Stowers (Marlins): Slashing .324/.415/.540, with 6 HR.
Category
Athletics
Marlins
Season Record
18-16
13-19
Last 10 Meetings
4 Wins
6 Wins
Last Series (June 2024)
0 Wins, 9 Runs Scored
3 Wins, 22 Runs Scored
Home Record
8-10
8-7
Away Record
10-6
5-12
Starting Pitcher
JP Sears (2.94 ERA)
Edward Cabrera (7.23 ERA)
Pitcher vs. Opponent
4.75 ERA in 2 Starts
14 Scoreless Innings in 2 Starts
Top Batter
Brent Rooker (9 HR, .280 AVG)
Kyle Stowers (6 HR, .324 AVG)
Prediction:
This Athletics team isn’t the same team that we witnessed over the past two year. These guys have grown up. The As are 7th in weighted runs created while the Marlins are 18th. Looking at the bullpen, the As rank 14th as the Marlins rank 27th. Neither pitcher is all that great, but at least Sears is respectable. Cabrera has a pathetic 7.23 ERA and may not last too long. Grab the As to take the series.
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Kiev O’Neil’s Sports Betting Stats and Records!
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Weather: 60% chance of rain most of the day clearing up around 5PM.
This year’s Kentucky Derby field features a dynamic mix of solid contenders and intriguing longshots, setting the stage for a thrilling race. Journalism, the early 3-1 favorite, has been nothing short of dominant in his last four starts, showcasing both tactical speed and closing ability. His decisive win in the Santa Anita Derby cemented his status as a top contender, and under the expert guidance of trainer Brad Cox, he has steadily matured into a formidable racehorse. Sovereignty, at 5-1 odds, is a horse that excels late in races, often surging past competitors in the final furlongs. Having already claimed victory at Churchill Downs in a lower-level stakes race, he’s comfortable on the track—a significant advantage heading into the Derby. His thrilling triumph at Gulfstream Park highlighted his ability to navigate crowded fields, making him a dangerous presence in the final stretch.
Sandman, the Arkansas Derby winner, is an undeniable talent but has shown some inconsistencies in his maturity. His raw speed makes him a threat, yet concerns about his stamina over the grueling 1 ¼-mile Derby distance loom large. Meanwhile, Burnham Square, despite sitting at 12-1 odds, boasts the highest number of qualifying points among all competitors. This suggests reliability, consistency, and race-tested endurance. Though not a flashy competitor, he has quietly built a strong resume that could surprise many on Derby Day. Luxor Café, the intriguing international entrant from Japan, is sired by American Pharoah, the legendary 2015 Triple Crown winner. His pedigree alone makes him an exciting prospect, and his performances overseas hint at the possibility of a strong showing despite being a relatively unknown quantity to U.S. racing fans.
My Thoughts:
However you want to slice it, there will be a wet track for the big race as rain is expected to continue on and off through most of Saturday. There are a few horses that have performed well in the slop in the number 2 Neoquist, the number 5 in American Promise, and the number 16 in Coal Battle. I will take this information with a grain of salt as none of these races were grade 1 competition, yet there is a horse that I do think that the muddy situation may help in his situation. My handicap is more about trying to hit a big ticket rather then small returns on the favorites. I think that there are about 12-14 horses here that can realistically win this race. It isn’t hard to make an argument for most of these ponies, but at the same time, we can’t bet them all. On the other hand, it isn’t hard to make an argument against some of these horses and let’s start right there with the favorite in Journalism. At 3-1, this horse is a deserving favorite, but I think his price should be more than 4-1. This Michael McCarthy horse has won all of his prep races including the Santa Anita derby, but the big problem with this guy is that he hasn’t raced against a field larger than five wide. I will use him in some Exotics to try and recoup if I get beat, but I am not all that impressed. The second favorite is Sandman, and according to Chris Fallica, this horse has some social media backing. Looking at the poor price on this horse, Chris and Kiev give a few other thoughts on the below video from our Kentucky Derby preview podcast.
Our problem with Sandman is that this Marc Casse horse had a very easy trip in the Arkansas derby, yet was very inconsistent in his previous traces losing to Coal Battle and Madaket Road in the Rebel Stakes, as well as his loss to Speed King in the Southwest G3. If this horse hits the top two positions, there will be no steak for me tonight. Another horse that many are looking at is the Japanese Horse Luxor Cafe. This is a very successful horse, with triple crown winner American Pharaoh as the sire, that is almost undefeated in the Japanese circuit. His last loss was last year on a muddy track. Today doesn’t bode all that well for him forecasting the track conditions and for that reason among others like poor competition makes me sour on him some, yet I last min decided to include him in a smaller tri-fecta. I will have Luxor Cafe and Journalism in some savor situations, but what I am keying in on is much more important.
My Picks:
I am going to try and key in on three horses. First, the 5 horse in American Promise is a very promising horse trained by D Wayne Lukas. This horse has the pedigree of a champion with triple crown winner Justify as the sire and Tapella (Tapit) as the Dam. This horse blew through the competition at the Virginia Derby. He has the makings of a champion with a win on a muddy track in December that was over 1 mile long. His gate position looks good if he can hang with the pace, and his price is still solid over 10-1. The next horse I fell on is the third favorite in Sovereignty. This Bill Mott horse has had a ton of success in winning the Fountain of Youth with a solid run in the Florida Derby. Had this horse had another 1/8th of a mile to go, he may have beaten Tappen Street who unfortunately was scratched from the Kentucky Derby a week ago as this horse suffered a condylar fracture to his right foreleg. I really like this closer and I think he should be the second favorite. The last horse that I fell on is Baeza who was able to join the party due to a few scratches. This horse has a really good number right now at 23-1, and he lost to the favorite Journalism in the Santa Anita derby by a 1/2 length at the wire. Baeza isn’t exactly a closer, but as Rich Strike did in the 2025 Kentucky Derby, he has a shot to sneak up from the outside and slide into first under these race conditions.
The way I am constructing my ticket is for a solid to big hit in this race. I will have a few savor tickets below as you can see, but there is no reason for me to be shy about the horses that I like in this race. I also throw in two small “holy crap” situations as anything can happen on a wet track with a field of 19 horses. The total ticket costs $341 and if you like you can halve those bets and still play the derby for $170.50. Remember to bet responsibly. Best of luck to you in all of your plays!
USE PROMO CODE Basketball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASKETBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025
Sick of headaches in the morning after drinking? Get 20% off of our gummies that help get rid of those pesky hangovers right here! https://liqure.com/discount/ODDS
To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!
Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
