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2025 U.S. Open Preview & Picks

Ryan Fox (75-1) secured his second PGA TOUR victory of the season with a win at the ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic last month. He now joins Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and Sepp Straka as the only players with multiple TOUR wins in 2025.

Our pick, Sam Burns (28-1), fell just short — losing in a playoff to Fox. That marks our sixth runner-up finish of the season.

Now, the spotlight shifts to the U.S. Open at historic Oakmont Country Club, where the drama has already begun before the first tee shot is even struck.

Pre-Tournament Storylines

Bryson’s Back for More

Bryson DeChambeau arrives at Oakmont with a legitimate chance to etch his name in the history books once again. The reigning U.S. Open champion captured his second title last year at Pinehurst No. 2, adding to his 2020 triumph at the punishing West Course at Winged Foot. Few players are built for the brutality of a U.S. Open setup quite like Bryson.

This season, he’s been a fixture on major leaderboards—finishing T5 at the Masters and runner-up at the PGA Championship. Now, he looks to join rare company, aiming to become the first player since Brooks Koepka (2017–2018) to go back-to-back at the U.S. Open.

If you’re curious to see how his game translated to Oakmont earlier this year, Bryson gave fans a glimpse during a “practice round” that was anything but casual. His power and precision are on full display:

Scheffler’s Next Summit

Scottie Scheffler is running out of mountains to climb—and yet, this week, another summit awaits. The Masters champion added a second major title to his résumé in dominant fashion, dismantling the field at the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow with a five-shot victory.

If Scheffler wins at Oakmont, he’ll stand one title shy of the career grand slam—a feat only a handful have ever achieved. With Rory already checking off Augusta this year, don’t be shocked if Scottie follows suit by conquering Oakmont. He enters the U.S. Open having won three of his last four starts, and his form continues to border on mythical.

At this point, betting against him feels like betting against gravity.

The Last Slam: Mickelson’s Final Shot

This year marks Phil Mickelson’s final exemption into the U.S. Open—his last official shot at completing the elusive career Grand Slam. Despite his six runner-up finishes in this championship, the U.S. Open remains the one major that has slipped through his grasp. In his ten previous attempts at capturing the final leg, Mickelson has failed to finish better than a tie for 28th. Now, at 54, he returns to Oakmont with history—and heartbreak—on his shoulders.

McIlroy’s Mission at Oakmont

Rory McIlroy made history earlier this season by completing the career Grand Slam at Augusta National. Now, he turns his attention to the U.S. Open, where he’s aiming to tie Ben Hogan’s record of seven consecutive top-10 finishes. McIlroy has finished runner-up in each of the last two U.S. Opens, and his lone victory at this championship came in 2011 at Congressional (Blue Course).

He was part of the field the last time the U.S. Open was held at Oakmont in 2016, though it was a forgettable week—he missed the cut.

McIlroy enters this week searching for better form after a disappointing T47 at the PGA Championship and a missed cut at the RBC Canadian Open—his first early exit of the season.

Oakmont: Where Legends Are Tested

The 125th U.S. Open will mark a record 10th time Oakmont Country Club has hosted the championship (1927, 1935, 1953, 1962, 1973, 1983, 1994, 2007, 2016, and now 2025), the most of any venue. It will also be Oakmont’s 18th USGA championship and the first since the 2021 U.S. Amateur. In August 2021, Oakmont was officially named a U.S. Open anchor site, securing future championships in 2034, 2042, and 2049. The club is also set to host the U.S. Women’s Open in 2028 and 2038, the Walker Cup in 2033, and the U.S. Women’s Amateur in 2046.

Across the nine U.S. Opens held at Oakmont, just eight players have managed to post a score lower than 280. During the most recent championship in 2016, only four players finished the week under par—a testament to the relentless challenge Oakmont presents even to the world’s best.

YearWinnerParWinning Score
2016Dustin Johnson70-4
2007Ángel Cabrera70+5
1994Ernie Els71-5
1983Larry Nelson71-4
1973Johnny Miller71-5
1962Jack Nicklaus72-1
1953Ben Hogan72-5
1935Sam Parks Jr.72+11
1927Tommy Armour72+13

The last time the U.S. Open was held at Oakmont Country Club came in 2016, when Dustin Johnson broke through for his first major championship. His victory wasn’t without drama—Johnson was controversially assessed a penalty after his ball moved on the fifth green, though officials didn’t confirm the ruling until after his round. Unfazed, he delivered a composed final-round 69 to win by three shots.

From a betting standpoint, Dustin Johnson entered the 2016 U.S. Open as the fourth choice on the odds board, trailing Jason Day, Rory McIlroy, and Jordan Spieth in pre-tournament favoritism. Below is a chart highlighting the most popular futures wagers placed ahead of that championship.

us open 2016

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: June 12th – June 15th, 2025
  • Location: Oakmont, Pennsylvania, United States
  • Course: Oakmont Country Club
  • Course Type: Classical, Technical
  • Par: 70 (4x 3’s / 12x 4’s / 2x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,372 Yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Perennial poa annua .084”
  • Fairways: Perennial poa annua/bentgrass .325”
  • Average Fairway Widths: 28 yards
  • Rough: Kentucky bluegrass/ryegrass/poa annua 5”
  • Bunkers: 168 (330,000 sq. ft.)
  • Water Hazard(s): 0 (In-Play on 0 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 8,500 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 14.5-15.0 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: TBA. Last year $21,500,000/ $4,300,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 750
  • Field: 156 Players
  • Cut: Top 60 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Two-hole aggregate
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2016: 73.52 (+3.52), PGA Tour Difficulty Rank 1 of 50
  • Historic Cut Line:
  • 2016: +6

Social Media:

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Henry Fownes (1903)
  • Renovations: Gill Hanse, ASCGA (2023)

Comparable Courses:

Winged Foot Golf Club (West Course) – 2020 U.S. Open

Why It Compares: Like Oakmont, Winged Foot is renowned for narrow fairways, thick rough, and some of the most complex greens in the world. The course demands elite ball-striking, strategic course management, and the ability to grind over 72 holes.

Course Traits: Firm, fast, tree-lined, brutal around the greens

2020 U.S. Open Results:

  • Winner: Bryson DeChambeau (-6)
  • Only six players finished under par
  • DeChambeau was the only player to shoot under par in the final round

Oak Hill Country Club (East Course) – 2023 PGA Championship

Why It Compares: Oak Hill shares Oakmont’s northeastern roots and has undergone a restoration emphasizing classic Donald Ross elements — narrow fairways, penal bunkering, and elevated, contoured greens. It played extremely tough, with the winning score just under par.

Course Traits: Tight off the tee, long, demanding approach shots, fast green complexes

2023 PGA Championship Results:

  • Winner: Brooks Koepka (-9)
  • Just nine players finished under par
  • Highlighted the importance of total driving and elite iron play

Bethpage State Park (Black Course) – 2019 PGA Championship

Why It Compares: Bethpage Black is a long, punishing layout that mirrors Oakmont in its demand for total driving, resilience out of thick rough, and elite long iron play. Its narrow fairways, deep bunkers, and elevated greens reward disciplined tee-to-green control. The 2019 PGA Championship, held in May for the first time, played firm and fast, with wind and weather contributing to high scores outside of one dominant performance.

Course Traits: Long, thick rough, tree-lined, penal bunkering, rewards tee-to-green excellence

2019 PGA Championship Results:

  • Winner: Brooks Koepka (-8)
  • Koepka led wire-to-wire and was the only player double digits under par at any point
  • Only six players finished under par
  • The course played brutally tough for the field, especially on the weekend, where Koepka shot 70-74 but held on for the win

Torrey Pines (South Course)

While Torrey Pines lacks some of the architectural pedigree and historical gravitas of Oakmont, it still offers a comparable test in several key areas. The South Course stretches beyond 7,700 yards and features dense rough, narrow landing areas, and a premium on both length and accuracy off the tee — a profile that fits the U.S. Open mold to a tee.

Why It Compares: Though more modern in design and layout, Torrey Pines South is one of the few courses on TOUR that truly tests total driving, long-iron proximity, and scrambling from thick rough. Like Oakmont, it’s a venue where even par is often a good score depending on conditions.

Course Traits:

  • Long (7,765 yards from the tips)
  • Thick kikuyu rough
  • Fast, multi-tiered poa annua greens
  • Coastal winds can play a role
  • Penal around the greens
2025 Genesis Invitational (Torrey Pines South)
  • Context: This year’s Genesis was moved from Riviera to Torrey South due to wildfires. Though setup slightly easier than a U.S. Open, the course still played firm and fast with penal rough.
  • Winner: Ludvig Åberg (-12)
  • Key Stats:
    • Only 31 players finished the week under par
    • Driving accuracy and strokes gained: approach were top correlators
    • Scoring Average well over par for a typical TOUR event
2021 U.S. Open (Torrey Pines South)
  • Winner: Jon Rahm (-6)
  • Notable Stats:
    • Just nine players finished under par
    • The cut came at +4, and only 26 of 156 players broke par for even a single round
    • Rahm won with back-to-back birdies on 17 and 18, highlighting how few scoring chances exist late in the round
  • How It Played:
    • Extremely penal off the tee — driving accuracy was only 55%
    • Putting on the bumpy poa annua greens was a challenge all week
    • Like Oakmont, rewarded patience, precision, and mental toughness

Comparable Location (Oakmont, Pennsylvania, United States):

  • Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon) – Flourtown, Pennsylvania – 2025 Truist Championship
  • Merion Golf Club (East Course) – Ardmore, Pennsylvania – 2013 U.S. Open

Designer Link (Gill Hanse Renovation):

  • Colonial Country Club – Gil Hanse and Jim Wagner Renovation (2023) – Charles Schwab Challenge
  • Los Angeles Country Club – Gil Hanse, Jim Wagner and Geoff Shackelford Renovation (2010) – 2023 U.S. Open
  • Southern Hills Country Club – Gil Hanse and Jim Wagner Renovation (2019) – 2022 PGA Championship
  • The Country Club – Gil Hanse Renovation (2013, 19) – 2022 U.S. Open
  • Winged Foot Golf Club (West Course) – Gil Hanse Renovation (2016-18) – 2020 U.S. Open
  • TPC Boston – Gil Hanse Renovation (2002) – 2020 Northern Trust, 2018-2020 Deutsche Bank / Dell Technologies Championship
  • Aronimink Golf Club – Gil Hanse Renovation (2016-17) – 2018 BMW Championship
  • Ridgewood Country Club – Gil Hanse Renovation (2014) – 2018, 2014, 2010 The Barclays / Northern Trust

Comparable Yardage (7,372 Yards):

  • Detroit Golf Club – 7,370 Yards – Rocket Mortgage Classic
  • Black Desert Resort – 7,371 Yards -Black Desert Championship
  • TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North) – 7,389 Yards – RBC Canadian Open

Comparable Greens (Perennial poa annua .084”):

  • Pebble Beach Golf Links – Poa annua .125” – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
  • The Riviera Country Club – Poa annua .100” – The Genesis Invitational

Comparable Average Green Size (8,500 sq. ft.):

  • Plantation Course at Kapalua – 8,722 sq. ft – The Sentry

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, June 12th, 2025
    • USA Network – 6:00 AM – 5:00 PM
    • Peacock – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, June 13th, 2025
    • Peacock – 6:30 AM – 1:00 PM
    • NBC – 1:00 PM – 7:00 PM
    • Peacock – 7:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, June 14th, 2025
    • USA Network – 10:00 AM – 12:00 PM
    • NBC – 12:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, June 15th, 2025
    • USA Network – 9:00 AM – 12:00 PM
    • NBC – 12:00 PM – 7:00 PM

Weather:

  • Thursday: Hazy sunshine for most of the day and low percentages for precipitation. Low: 63°F, High: 84°F. Winds: 4-8 mph, gusting at 17 mph.
  • Friday: Hazy and humid conditions, with little wind. Low: 66°F, High: 83°F. Winds: 2-4 mph, gusting at 9 mph.
  • Saturday: Sunny periods with a shower in places that could become storms. Low: 65°F, High: 81°F. Winds: 6-10 mph, gusting at 21 mph.
  • Sunday: Cloudy and humid to start the day, including potential for morning thunderstorms. Rain will stay for the afternoon. Low: 63°F, High: 80°F. Winds: 4-8 mph, gusting at 13 mph.

Course/ Tournament History:

The United States Open Championship, commonly known as the U.S. Open, is the annual open national championship of golf in the United States and is the third of the four major championships in professional golf. First played in 1895 at Newport Country Club in Rhode Island, the inaugural event was a single-day, 36-hole competition held on a nine-hole course. Since then, the tournament has evolved into one of the most prestigious and challenging events in the sport. Originally dominated by British professionals, American golfers soon rose to prominence, with John J. McDermott becoming the first American-born champion in 1911. The U.S. Open is known for its demanding course setups—narrow fairways, thick rough, and lightning-fast greens—all designed to test every aspect of a player’s game. Historically, ties after 72 holes were settled with an 18-hole playoff, but in 2018, the USGA adopted a two-hole aggregate playoff, followed by sudden death if necessary. Winning the U.S. Open carries immense prestige along with tangible benefits, including a five-year exemption on the PGA Tour, invitations to the other three majors for the next five years, and a ten-year exemption into the U.S. Open itself.

Oakmont Country Club, located in Oakmont, Pennsylvania, stands as one of the most storied and demanding venues in American golf. Founded in 1903 by Pittsburgh steel magnate Henry C. Fownes, the course was created to be an unrelenting test of skill, and it has remained true to that vision for more than a century. With its lightning-fast greens, cavernous bunkers, and thick rough, Oakmont is renowned as one of the toughest challenges in the game.

Constructed by hand with the help of 150 laborers and a team of horses, Oakmont officially opened in 1904 as an “inland links” course—designed to echo the characteristics of the great British links layouts despite its inland setting. Originally playing to a par of 80, the course has evolved, but the spirit of Fownes’ design remains intact.

Oakmont’s national profile grew under Henry’s son, William C. Fownes Jr., a decorated amateur who brought the 1919 U.S. Amateur to the club, launching its legacy as a championship venue. Since then, Oakmont has hosted 20 national championships, including a record nine U.S. Opens. The club has witnessed countless iconic moments: Ben Hogan’s comeback victory in 1953, Johnny Miller’s historic final-round 63 in 1973, and Dustin Johnson’s long-awaited major breakthrough in 2016.

Though tree plantings in the 1950s briefly altered its character, a major restoration in the early 2000s removed over 10,000 trees, returning Oakmont to its original open and punishing layout. Today, it remains one of the purest tests in championship golf and a fixture on the USGA’s future schedule, with multiple U.S. Opens and other major tournaments already slated for the decades ahead.

In 2023, Gil Hanse and Jim Wagner led a significant renovation in preparation for Oakmont’s historic 10th U.S. Open. Their goal was to return the course even closer to Fownes’ original vision. Nearly 150 yards were added through new tees—such as on holes 3 and 11—bringing the championship layout to 7,372 yards and a par of 70. More impactful than distance, however, was the restoration of the greens. Using pre-1947 photos, Hanse and Wagner recaptured the squared-off edges and expanded putting surfaces by roughly 15%, reintroducing classic hole locations and reconnecting them to dramatically rebuilt bunkers.

Several holes received surgical updates. On Hole 2, a previously narrow fairway was widened, with bunkers repositioned to reward strategic tee shots. Hole 3 gained nearly 40 yards and an added “pew” in the infamous bunker, while a crescent-shaped bunker design tightened the landing zone. Hole 7 underwent the most dramatic redesign, restoring a long-lost cross-bunker and creating an alternate fairway. On Hole 13, the green was reshaped to make a subtle ridge playable again, creating a thrilling new pin location in the back-left. At the 17th, fairway bunkers were consolidated, and a previously safe bailout area was replaced with long fescue, ramping up the challenge.

These changes enhance Oakmont’s brutal beauty while honoring its legacy. As the club prepares to host more major championships—including U.S. Opens in 2025, 2033, 2042, and 2049—it remains a symbol of timeless championship golf.

Previous Tournament Venues:

Below is a comprehensive list of U.S. Open venues dating back to the tournament’s inception in 1895. While the championship rotates annually, several distinguished courses have earned the honor of hosting multiple times throughout its storied history.

YearVenueLocation
2025Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
2024Pinehurst Resort (No. 2 Course)Pinehurst, North Carolina
2023Los Angeles Country Club (North Course)Los Angeles, California
2022The Country ClubBrookline, Massachusetts
2021Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)San Diego, California
2020Winged Foot Golf ClubMamaroneck, New York
2019Pebble Beach Golf LinksPebble Beach, California
2018Shinnecock Hills Golf ClubSouthampton, New York
2017Erin HillsErin, Wisconsin
2016Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
2015Chambers Bay Golf CourseUniversity Place, Washington
2014Pinehurst Resort (No. 2 Course)Pinehurst, North Carolina
2013Merion Golf ClubArdmore, Pennsylvania
2012Olympic ClubSan Francisco, California
2011Congressional Country ClubBethesda, Maryland
2010Pebble Beach Golf LinksPebble Beach, California
2009Bethpage State Park (Black Course)Farmingdale, New York
2008Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)San Diego, California
2007Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
2006Winged Foot Golf ClubMamaroneck, New York
2005Pinehurst Resort (No. 2 Course)Pinehurst, North Carolina
2004Shinnecock Hills Golf ClubSouthampton, New York
2003Olympia Fields Country ClubOlympia Fields, Illinois
2002Bethpage State Park (Black Course)Farmingdale, New York
2001Southern Hills Country ClubTulsa, Oklahoma
2000Pebble Beach Golf LinksPebble Beach, California
1999Pinehurst Resort (No. 2 Course)Pinehurst, North Carolina
1998Olympic ClubSan Francisco, California
1997Congressional Country ClubBethesda, Maryland
1996Oakland Hills Country ClubBloomfield Hills, Michigan
1995Shinnecock Hills Golf ClubSouthampton, New York
1994Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
1993Baltusrol Golf ClubSpringfield, New Jersey
1992Pebble Beach Golf LinksPebble Beach, California
1991Hazeltine National Golf ClubChaska, Minnesota
1990Medinah Country ClubMedinah, Illinois
1989Oak Hill Country ClubRochester, New York
1988The Country ClubBrookline, Massachusetts
1987Olympic ClubSan Francisco, California
1986Shinnecock Hills Golf ClubSouthampton, New York
1985Oakland Hills Country ClubBloomfield Hills, Michigan
1984Winged Foot Golf ClubMamaroneck, New York
1983Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
1982Pebble Beach Golf LinksPebble Beach, California
1981Merion Golf ClubArdmore, Pennsylvania
1980Baltusrol Golf ClubSpringfield, New Jersey
1979Inverness ClubToledo, Ohio
1978Cherry Hills Country ClubEnglewood, Colorado
1977Southern Hills Country ClubTulsa, Oklahoma
1976Atlanta Athletic ClubDuluth, Georgia
1975Medinah Country ClubMedinah, Illinois
1974Winged Foot Golf ClubMamaroneck, New York
1973Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
1972Pebble Beach Golf LinksPebble Beach, California
1971Merion Golf ClubArdmore, Pennsylvania
1970Hazeltine National Golf ClubChaska, Minnesota
1969Champions Golf ClubHouston, Texas
1968Oak Hill Country ClubRochester, New York
1967Baltusrol Golf ClubSpringfield, New Jersey
1966Olympic ClubSan Francisco, California
1965Bellerive Country ClubTown and Country, Missouri
1964Congressional Country ClubBethesda, Maryland
1963The Country ClubBrookline, Massachusetts
1962Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
1961Oakland Hills Country ClubBloomfield Hills, Michigan
1960Cherry Hills Country ClubEnglewood, Colorado
1959Winged Foot Golf ClubMamaroneck, New York
1958Southern Hills Country ClubTulsa, Oklahoma
1957Inverness ClubToledo, Ohio
1956Oak Hill Country ClubRochester, New York
1955Olympic ClubSan Francisco, California
1954Baltusrol Golf ClubSpringfield, New Jersey
1953Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
1952Northwood ClubDallas, Texas
1951Oakland Hills Country ClubBloomfield Hills, Michigan
1950Merion Golf ClubArdmore, Pennsylvania
1949Medinah Country ClubMedinah, Illinois
1948Riviera Country ClubPacific Palisades, California
1947St. Louis Country ClubLadue, Missouri
1946Canterbury Golf ClubBeachwood, Ohio
1945No tournament (World War II)
1944No tournament (World War II)
1943No tournament (World War II)
1942No tournament (World War II)
1941Colonial Country ClubFort Worth, Texas
1940Canterbury Golf ClubBeachwood, Ohio
1939Philadelphia Country ClubGladwyne, Pennsylvania
1938Cherry Hills Country ClubEnglewood, Colorado
1937Oakland Hills Country ClubBloomfield Hills, Michigan
1936Baltusrol Golf ClubSpringfield, New Jersey
1935Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
1934Merion Golf ClubArdmore, Pennsylvania
1933North Shore Country ClubGlenview, Illinois
1932Fresh Meadow Country ClubFlushing, New York
1931Inverness ClubToledo, Ohio
1930Interlachen Country ClubEdina, Minnesota
1929Winged Foot Golf ClubMamaroneck, New York
1928Olympia Fields Country ClubOlympia Fields, Illinois
1927Oakmont Country ClubOakmont, Pennsylvania
1926Scioto Country ClubColumbus, Ohio
1925Worcester Country ClubWorcester, Massachusetts
1924Oakland Hills Country ClubBloomfield Hills, Michigan
1923Inwood Country ClubInwood, New York
1922Skokie Country ClubGlencoe, Illinois
1921Columbia Country ClubChevy Chase, Maryland
1920Inverness ClubToledo, Ohio
1919Brae Burn Country ClubWest Newton, Massachusetts
1918No tournament (World War I)
1917No tournament (World War I)
1916Minikahda ClubMinneapolis, Minnesota
1915Baltusrol Golf ClubSpringfield, New Jersey
1914Midlothian Country ClubMidlothian, Illinois
1913The Country ClubBrookline, Massachusetts
1912Country Club of BuffaloBuffalo, New York
1911Chicago Golf ClubWheaton, Illinois
1910Philadelphia Cricket ClubPhiladelphia, Pennsylvania
1909Englewood Golf ClubEnglewood, New Jersey
1908Myopia Hunt ClubSouth Hamilton, Massachusetts
1907Philadelphia Cricket ClubPhiladelphia, Pennsylvania
1906Onwentsia ClubLake Forest, Illinois
1905Myopia Hunt ClubSouth Hamilton, Massachusetts
1904Glen View ClubGolf, Illinois
1903Baltusrol Golf ClubSpringfield, New Jersey
1902Garden City Golf ClubGarden City, New York
1901Myopia Hunt ClubSouth Hamilton, Massachusetts
1900Chicago Golf ClubWheaton,
1899Baltimore (Roland Park Course)Baltimore, Maryland
1898Myopia Hunt ClubSouth Hamilton, Massachusetts
1897ChicagoWheaton, Illinois
1896Shinnecock HillsShinnecock Hills, New York
1895NewportNewport, Rhode Island

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
1895-1916, 1919-1941, 1946-PresentU.S. Open

Tournament Records:

  • Most Wins at Event (U.S. Open):
    • 4 – Willie Anderson 1901, 1903–1905; Bobby Jones 1923, 1926, 1929–30; Ben Hogan 1948, 1950–51, 1953; Jack Nicklaus 1962, 1967, 1972, 1980
  • 72-Hole Record (U.S. Open):
    • 268, Rory McIlroy (2011 at Congressional CC)

  • 18-Hole Record (U.S. Open):
    • 62, Rickie Fowler, Xander Schauffele (Round 1, 2023 at Los Angeles Country Club)
  • Largest Margin of Victory:
    • 15 Strokes – Tiger Woods (Pebble Beach, 2000)
  • Youngest Winner:
    • 19 Years Old, John J. McDermott (1911)
  • Oldest Winner:
    • 45 Years Old, Hale Irwin (1990)

Course Records:

  • 72-Hole Record (Oakmont Country Club):
    • 272 (-16), Dustin Johnson (2016)

  • 18-Hole Record (Oakmont Country Club):
    • 63, Johnny Miller (Round 4, 1973)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Oakmont Country Club, nestled along the Allegheny River just northeast of Pittsburgh, stands as a stern and unyielding monument to championship golf. Designed in 1903 by steel magnate Henry Fownes, the course is widely regarded as one of the most demanding tests in the game, by design and not by accident.

The layout unfolds across a rolling, open expanse of western Pennsylvania terrain with no water hazards and almost no trees, offering a raw and unfiltered examination of a player’s skill, discipline, and mental fortitude. Yet what Oakmont lacks in natural ornamentation, it more than compensates for in sheer architectural audacity.

At the heart of Oakmont’s relentless challenge are its lightning-fast greens, arguably the fastest in major championship golf. Heavily sloped, firm, and treacherously quick, they place an extraordinary premium on precise approach play and razor-sharp putting. Many of these greens are perched or crowned, often repelling anything less than the most precisely judged shot.

Bunkering at Oakmont is another signature element. The course is flanked by over 200 bunkers, many of them deep, cavernous, and brutal in nature. Chief among them is the infamous Church Pews bunker, a massive hazard that separates the third and fourth fairways with 13 distinctive grassy ridges. Its visual intimidation is matched only by its strategic influence.

The routing is a masterclass in subtle difficulty. Holes ebb and flow across the property with very little respite. The par 70 layout stretches to over 7,300 yards, demanding accuracy and courage from the first tee to the final green. It begins with a relatively gentle par four, only to quickly escalate in intensity with stern doglegs, long par fours, and narrow fairways that reward placement over power.

Each nine has its own character.
The front nine is varied and tactical, highlighted by the long par three eighth and the brutish uphill ninth, converted from a par five to a par four for championship play.
The back nine is merciless, with a closing stretch that has decided numerous U.S. Opens. The par three sixteenth is long and exposed, the seventeenth invites boldness off the tee, and the eighteenth, a long uphill par four, is a true finishing gauntlet.

Thanks to recent restorations by Gil Hanse and Jim Wagner, Oakmont has recaptured much of its original form. Greens have been expanded to their historic edges, bunkers restructured to match early photographs, and fairways widened in strategic zones. These changes have not softened Oakmont’s bite, they have simply made it truer to its architectural roots.

In its essence, Oakmont is pure golf, a course that exposes weakness, rewards courage, and rarely forgives a moment’s lapse in concentration. For over a century, it has been a proving ground for champions and a crucible for the game’s finest talents.

Oakmont’s quartet of par threes presents a formidable examination of precision and control. Ranging from 182 to a daunting 289 yards, three of the four stretch beyond the 200-yard mark, demanding long irons or even fairway metals into narrow, well-defended targets. During the 2016 U.S. Open, each par three played over par with one exception. No. 13, the shortest of the set at just under 200 yards, yielded a scoring average of 2.99. It was the only brief moment of relative respite in an otherwise unforgiving set of one-shot holes.

Hole 6 | Par 3 | 200 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 3.14 (Difficulty Rank – 11)

The first of Oakmont’s par 3s requires precision. Aiming for the center of the green is key, as a miss left or right significantly reduces the chances of saving par.

Hole 8 | Par 3 | 289 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 3.30 (Difficulty Rank – 8)

One of the longest par 3s in the world, the 8th green is more receptive to a right-to-left ball flight. Par is an excellent score here. In U.S. Open history, this hole has twice held the distinction of being the longest par three ever played in the event, stretching to 299 yards during the final round in 2016 and reaching an even 300 yards in the final round in 2007.

Hole 13 | Par 3 | 182 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 2.99 (Difficulty Rank – 16)

The par 3 13th requires a perfect short-to-mid iron into its famously undulating green. A miss long or right makes saving par nearly impossible. Staying below the hole is essential for any realistic birdie or par chance.

Hole 16 | Par 3 | 236 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 3.24 (Difficulty Rank – 9)

A long iron or fairway wood is needed to reach this large green, which features a severe false front. The trench bunker along the left side makes this par 3 a formidable challenge.

Oakmont Country Club presents a formidable collection of twelve par fours, each sculpted to test a player’s full command of the game. The majority of these holes, four in total, fall within the demanding 450-to-500-yard range. The shortest of the group, the 17th, measures a mere 312 yards, offering a tempting risk-reward opportunity late in the round. In contrast, the 15th stands as the longest par four on the course at a stern 507 yards, requiring a pair of well-executed shots to reach the green in regulation. During the 2016 U.S. Open, the first hole emerged as the most difficult, playing to an average of 4.45 strokes, while the 17th proved the most forgiving, yielding a scoring average of 3.89.

Hole 1 | Par 4 | 289 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 4.45 (Difficulty Rank – 1)

One of the most challenging opening holes in golf, this par 4 demands a precise tee shot followed by a mid-iron approach into a green that slopes away from the player. Walking away with a par here is an excellent start.

Hole 3 | Par 4 | 462 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 4.32 (Difficulty Rank – 7)

The famous Church Pews bunker on the left, cavernous bunkers on the right, and an elevated green that requires a high, soft approach with controlled spin make this one of the most difficult par 4s in the country.

Hole 9 | Par 4 | 472 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 4.43 (Difficulty Rank – 2)

A blind tee shot, an infamous ditch looming on the left, and bunkers lining the right, make this one of Oakmont’s most demanding holes. Framed by the historic clubhouse and connected to the practice green, the 9th features one of the most iconic green complexes in the game.

Hole 15 | Par 4 | 507 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 4.39 (Difficulty Rank – 3)

This long par 4 features a blind tee shot to a fairway that slopes left to right. A mid-to-long iron approach is typically required into a large, sloping green. A par here can provide valuable momentum heading into the final stretch.

Hole 17 | Par 4 | 312 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 3.89 (Difficulty Rank – 18)

Several strategies can be used to play this hole, but each requires a well-executed shot at some point to secure a par or birdie.

Hole 18 | Par 4 | 502 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 4.32 (Difficulty Rank – 6)

One of the best finishing holes in golf, Oakmont’s 18th hole demands four well-played shots to make par. A memorable finish awaits those who execute well.

Oakmont Country Club boasts two imposing par fives, the fourth and twelfth holes, each extending over 600 yards. In the 2016 U.S. Open, the fourth hole stood out by playing just under par with a scoring average of 4.97, while the twelfth demanded greater precision and patience, posting a scoring average of 5.14.

Hole 4 | Par 5 | 611 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 4.97 (Difficulty Rank – 17)

Playing along the opposite side of the Church Pews, the left side of this par 5 is daunting, while bunkers and thick rough on the right add to the challenge. Longer hitters can reach the green in two, but a committed line on the blind second shot is necessary to create an eagle opportunity.

Hole 12 | Par 5 | 632 Yards | 2016 Stroke Average: 5.14 (Difficulty Rank – 10)

The final par 5 at Oakmont demands three well-executed shots. Bunkers and ditches along both sides require strategic play. The green slopes severely from front to back, making approach shots difficult to hold.

HoleYardsPar HoleYardsPar
14884 104614
23464 114004
34624 126325
46115 131823
54084 143794
62003 155074
74854 162363
82893 173124
94724 185024
OUT3,76135 IN3,61135
  TOTAL7,37270

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 9, 17, 18

Key Statistics:

The U.S. Open takes place at Oakmont Country Club. Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.

StatisticsPGA Tour AverageOakmont Country Club
Driving Distance (Yards)283.83N/A
Driving Accuracy62%55%
GIR Percentage66%56%
Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet)29.17N/A
Scrambling Percentage58%40%
Avg 3 Putts / Round0.551.21

Strokes Gained: Tee to Green

  • Oakmont is widely regarded as one of the most demanding tee-to-green tests in championship golf. Players must be in total control of their long game to contend. With punishing rough, strategic bunkering, and sloped greens, precision and consistency from the tee through approach play are paramount.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Keegan Bradley
      • Tommy Fleetwood
      • Tyrrell Hatton
      • Daniel Berger
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Joaquin Niemann
      • Shane Lowry
      • Brooks Koepka

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

  • Driving is a premium at Oakmont. Narrow fairways lined with thick rough and strategically placed bunkers demand both distance and accuracy.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Bryson DeCheambeau
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Jordan L Smith
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Jordan Spieth
      • Brooks Koepka
      • Patrick Cantlay
      • Daniel Berger
      • Rasmus Hojgaard
      • Corey Conners

Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Oakmont’s greens are heavily contoured and well-protected. Gaining on approach is a critical path to scoring or even saving pars.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Sepp Straka
      • Shane Lowry
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Bud Cauley
      • Viktor Hovland
      • Patrick Cantlay
      • Daniel Berger
      • Collin Morikawa
      • John Peterson

Strokes Gained: Around the Green – Rough Length: Long

  • Oakmont’s rough is among the thickest and most penal on the PGA TOUR rotation. With narrow fairways and firm, fast greens, missing in regulation is inevitable — even for elite ball-strikers. This places an added emphasis on short game performance, especially from difficult lies around the green. The greens are heavily contoured and sloped, making delicate touch and precise trajectory control crucial. Players who can consistently save par from gnarly rough or tight lies will have a significant edge.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Hideki Matsuyama
      • Sungjae Im
      • Russell Henley
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Cameron Smith
      • Daniel Berger
      • Davis Riley
      • Adam Scott
      • Mackenzie Hughes
      • Min Woo Lee

Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa annua) – Green Speed: Lightning

  • Oakmont’s greens are legendary—lightning fast Poa annua cut to .084” and rolling between 14’5” and 14’9” on the Stimpmeter. For reference, the PGA Championship ran at 12’ and Augusta at 13’–14’.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Jon Rahm
      • Marc Leishman
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Aaron Rai
      • Doug Ghim
      • Brooks Koepka
      • Maverick McNealy
      • Wyndham Clark
      • Akshay Bhatia
      • Lucas Glover

3-Putt Avoidance

  • Three-putting is a real threat on Oakmont’s massive, undulating surfaces. In 2016, even the best struggled to lag putt effectively.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Cameron Smith
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Harris English
      • Jose Luis Ballester Barrio
      • Carlos Ortiz
      • J.T. Poston
      • Justin Thomas
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Sam Burns
      • Scottie Scheffler

Strokes Gained: Total – Scoring Relative to Par: Difficult

  • Oakmont consistently plays as one of the hardest courses in golf. Players who thrive in difficult scoring conditions are historically more reliable in U.S. Opens.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Corey Conners
      • Shane Lowry
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Russell Henley
      • Jon Rahm
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Collin Morikawa
      • Ryan Fox

Driving Distance Gained

  • While accuracy is vital, carrying hazards and setting up shorter irons is a significant advantage on some of Oakmont’s longer holes.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Min Woo Lee
      • Ludvig Åberg
      • Trevor Cone
      • Jon Rahm
      • Jose Luis Ballester Barrio
      • Chris Gotterup

Par 3 Scoring: 225+ Yards

  • Two of Oakmont’s Par 3s stretch beyond 225 yards. In both 2007 and 2016, Hole No. 8 even approached 300 yards during tournament play.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Jordan L Smith
      • Eric Cole
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Daniel Berger
      • Matt McCarty
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Denny McCarthy
      • Samuel Stevens
      • James Hahn
      • Mark Hubbard

Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards

  • Five of Oakmont’s twelve Par 4s fall within the 450–500 yard range.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Shane Lowry
      • Matthew Jordan
      • Sam Burns
      • Ludvig Aberg
      • Tommy Fleetwood
      • Justin Lower
      • Max Greyserman
      • Patrick Reed

Par 5 Scoring: 600-650 Yards

  • Both of Oakmont’s Par 5s fall within the 600-650 yard range.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Andrew Novak
      • Jon Rahm
      • Jordan L Smith
      • Byeong Hun An
      • Marc Leishman
      • Jose Luis Ballester Barrio
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Aaron Rai

Bogey Avoidance Gained

  • Oakmont’s layout demands discipline. Avoiding bogeys—and worse—is the formula for staying in contention.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Guido Migliozzi
      • Joaquin Niemann
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Corey Conners
      • Ben Griffin
      • Patrick Cantlay

Sand Saves Gained

  • Bunkers are a defining feature of Oakmont. With nearly 170 of them, proficient sand play is essential.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Tom Hoge
      • Patrick Reed
      • Matt Wallace
      • Tyrrell Hatton
      • J.T. Poston
      • James Hahn
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Michael Kim
      • Brian Harman
      • Denny McCarthy

Proximity Gained: 175-200 Yards

  • A high percentage of second shots—especially on long Par 4s—will come from 175-200 yard range.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Viktor Hovland
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Patrick Reed
      • Brooks Koepka
      • Bud Cauley
      • Patrick Cantlay
      • Benjamin James
      • Joaquin Niemann
      • Davis Thompson
      • Emiliano Grillo

Major History

  • Success in major championships, particularly the U.S. Open, is often less about pure talent and more about patience, precision, and resilience—qualities that Oakmont demands in spades. Players who have historically performed well in major championships are more likely to rise to the occasion at a venue that offers no room for error. The ability to navigate firm fairways, punishing rough, and lightning-fast greens under immense pressure is a proven skillset, not a fluke.
    • Leaders in this category:
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Jon Rahm
      • Collin Morikawa
      • Brooks Koepka
      • Viktor Hovland
      • Bryson DeChambeau
      • Shane Lowry
      • Tommy Fleetwood

Comparable Courses

  • When examining potential player success at Oakmont, it’s essential to factor in results at similar venues. Oakmont’s DNA is shared with other classical layouts known for narrow fairways, penal rough, and fast Poa annua greens.
    • Leaders in this category:
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Jon Rahm
      • Dustin Johnson
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Patrick Reed
      • Tony Finau
      • Hideki Matsuyama
      • Adam Scott
      • Viktor Hovland
      • Jason Day
      • Bryson DeCheambeau

The Field:

The 2025 U.S. Open will welcome a field of 156 players, including 49 of the top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking. The only absence among the elite is Billy Horschel, who will miss the U.S. Open as he recovers from recent surgery on his right hip.

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Winners of the U.S. Open for the last ten years
  • Winner and runner-up from the previous year’s U.S. Amateur and winners of the previous year’s U.S. Junior Amateur and U.S. Mid-Amateur
  • The runner-up from the U.S. Amateur, the winner of the U.S. Junior Amateur, and U.S. Mid-Amateur must remain an amateur.
  • The winner of the U.S. Amateur, however, may turn professional after winning the U.S. Amateur and retain his eligibility.
  • Winner of the previous year’s Amateur Championship
  • The previous year’s Mark H. McCormack Medal winner for the top-ranked amateur golfer in the world
  • Winners of each of Masters Tournament, Open Championship and PGA Championship for the last five years
  • Winners of the last three Players Championships
  • Winner of the current year’s BMW PGA Championship
  • Winner of the last U.S. Senior Open
  • Players who win multiple U.S. PGA Tour events during the time between tournaments, provided the tournaments each offer 500 or more points to the winner, and are not opposite-field events.
  • In the year after the Olympic golf tournament, the reigning men’s gold medalist
  • Top 10 finishers and ties from the previous year’s U.S. Open
  • Players who qualified for the previous year’s Tour Championship
  • The top 60 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) as of two weeks before the start of the tournament
  • The top 60 in the OWGR as of the tournament date
  • The top player in the PGA Tour second-tier developmental series points, based on combined points from the Regular Season and Finals, from the previous season (starting in 2023)
  • Special exemptions selected by the USGA
  • All remaining spots after the second top 60 OWGR cutoff date filled by alternates from qualifying tournaments.

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Bryson DeChambeau (2024, 2020), Wyndham Clark (2023), Matthew Fitzpatrick (2022), Jon Rahm (2021), Gary Woodland (2019), Brooks Koepka (2018, 2017), Dustin Johnson (2016), Jordan Spieth (2015), Justin Rose (2013), Rory McIlroy (2011), Lucas Glover (2009)

Previous Winners in the Field (Course):

  • Dustin Johnson (2016)

Debutants in the Field:

  • Alistair Docherty, Alvaro Ortiz, Benjamin Griffin, Bryan Lee, Cameron Tankersley, Chandler Blanchet, Emilio Gonzalez, Evan Beck, Frankie Harris, Frederic LaCroix, George Duangmanee, George Kneiser, Grant Haefner, Harrison Ott, Jackson Koivun, Jacob Bridgeman, Jacques Kruyswijk, James Nicholas, Joakim Lagergren, Joey Herrera, Johnny Keefer, Jose Luis Ballester, Justin Hastings, Kevin Velo, Lance Simpson, Laurie Canter, Mason Howell, Matt Vogt, Michael La Sasso, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Noah Kent, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Riley Lewis, Ryan McCormick, Scott Vincent, Trent Phillips, Trevor Cone, Trevor Gutschewski, Tyler Weaver, Will Chandler, Yuta Sugiura, Zach Bauchou, Zachery Pollo

Amateurs in the Field:

  • Evan Beck, Trevor Gutschewski, Frankie Harris, Justin Hastings, Mason Howell, Ben James, Noah Kent, Jackson Koivun, Michael La Sasso, Bryan Lee, Zachary Pollo, Lance Simpson, Cameron Tankersley, Matt Vogt, Tyler Weaver

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • OUT Sahith Theegala -> IN Matthew Jordan (alternate)
  • IN Eric Cole (alternate)
  • IN Ryan Fox (via OWGR)
  • IN Doug Ghim (alternate)
  • IN Chase Johnson (alternate)
  • IN Takumi Kanaya (alternate)
  • IN Riki Kawamoto (alternate)

Tee Times & Groupings:

The Odds:

Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the top players in the field for this year’s U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club, ranked by current betting odds (via DraftKings). The table below details each player’s five most recent finishes on the PGA TOUR and their last five results at the U.S. Open.

GolferOddsLast 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR
(Recent -> Past)
Last 5 Finishes at the U.S. Open
(Recent -> Past)
Scottie Scheffler+275WON-T4-WON-WON-T8T41-3-T2-T7-MC
Rory McIlroy+850MC-T47-T7-T12-WON2-2-T5-T7-T8
Bryson DeChambeau+800T4-T2-WON-T2-T5WON-T20-T56-T26-WON
Jon Rahm+1200T8-T8-T7-4-T24T10-T12-WON-T23-T3
Xander Schauffele+2000T25-T28-T11-T18-T8T7-T10-T14-T7-5
Collin Morikawa+2500T20-T50-T17-MC-T54T14-T14-T5-T4-MC
Tommy Fleetwood+3500T16-T4-T41-T4-7T16-T5-MC-T50-MC
Ludvig Aberg+3500T13-T16-MC-T60-T54-7T12
Joaquin Niemann+3500WON-T8-T20-WON-T29T32-T47-T32-T23-MC
Justin Thomas+4000T31-MC-T2-WON-T36MC-MC-T37-T19-T8
Tyrrell Hatton+4500T15-T60-T13-T5-T14T26-T27-T56-MC-MC
Shane Lowry+4500T13-T23-MC-T2-T12T19-T20-MC-T65-T43
Sepp Straka+50003-MC-WON-T12-T13T56-MC-MC-T28
Patrick Cantlay+5000T12-MC-T4-T13-T36T3-T14-T14-T15-T43
Brooks Koepka+5500T33-MC-T17-T30-MCT26-T17-55-T4-2
Corey Conners+6000T27-T25-T29-T11-T49T9-MC-MC-MC-MC
Viktor Hovland+6000T25-T28-T54-T13-T21MC-19-MC-WD-T13
Russell Henley+6500T5-MC-T46-T8-MCT7-T14-MC-T13-T25
Ben Griffin+70002-WON-T8-T46-MC–
Jordan Spieth+7000T7-T36-MC-T34-4T41-MC-T37-T19-MC
Hideki Matsuyama+700038-T36-MC-T17-T216-T32-4-T26-T17
Sam Burns+80002-T12-T19-T30-T5T9-T32-T27-MC-T41
Odds via DraftKings

Trends:

World Ranking:

All 10 winners were ranked inside the top 32 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), with nine of them inside the top 25.

Nationality:

Eight of the past 10 winners were American.

US Open Form:

Nine of the past 10 winners had already recorded a top 25 finish in a previous U.S. Open.

Recent Majors Form:

Nine of the past 10 winners had posted a top 10 finish in at least one of their two most recent majors.

Current Form:

Eight of the last 10 winners had a top 12 finish in one or both of their two most recent PGA Tour starts.

All credit goes to Dave Tindall. Be sure to check out his 10-year trends article here.


Tournament Props:

Playoff:

Will There Be a Playoff at the U.S. Open? (Yes +500 / No -1000)

The most recent U.S. Open to be decided by a playoff came in 2008 at Torrey Pines, where Tiger Woods famously edged Rocco Mediate in a dramatic Monday finish to capture his third U.S. Open title. Since then, the U.S. Open has not required extra holes, marking the longest playoff drought among golf’s four major championships.

At Oakmont Country Club, three of the previous nine U.S. Opens have also gone to a playoff. Tommy Armour defeated Harry Cooper in 1927, Jack Nicklaus topped Arnold Palmer in 1962, and Ernie Els outdueled Colin Montgomerie and Loren Roberts in 1994.

Hole-in-One:

Will There Be A Hole-in-One at the U.S. Open? (Yes +125/ No -190)

The last hole-in-one at Oakmont Country Club during a U.S. Open came in 1983, when Scott Simpson aced the 228-yard 16th hole. No aces were recorded in the 2016, 2007, or 1994 championships held at Oakmont.

However, hole-in-ones have become more common in recent U.S. Opens. Each of the past three editions featured at least one: two were made at Pinehurst No. 2 in 2024, two at Los Angeles Country Club in 2023, and one at The Country Club in 2022.

Wire to Wire Winner:

Will There Be A Wire-to-wire Winner at the U.S. Open? (Yes +700)

The most recent wire-to-wire victory at the U.S. Open came in 2014, when Martin Kaymer dominated from start to finish at Pinehurst No. 2.

Oakmont Country Club has seen just one wire-to-wire champion in its storied history—Ben Hogan in 1953.

Winning Score:

278.5 (Over -115/ Under -120)

The projected winning score for the U.S. Open is set at 278.5. That means a winning score of -2 or better cashes the under, while -1 or worse hits the over.

When Oakmont last hosted in 2016, Dustin Johnson posted a 276 (-4) en route to victory. But since then, the course has undergone a significant renovation—adding even more bite to an already punishing layout.

Players expect a brutal test. Most have pegged the winning score around even par, but Ben Griffin went a step further, suggesting it could take as much as +5 to win.

The last time the winner of the U.S. Open had a winning score was Brooks Koepka (+1) in 2018 at Shinnecock Hills.

Recent Horses for Courses (U.S. Open):

U.S. OpenU.S. OpenU.S. OpenU.S. OpenU.S. Open
Pinehurst Resort
(Course No. 2)
Los Angeles
Country Club
(North Course)
The Country Club
(Composite Course)
Torrey Pines
(South Course)
Winged Foot
(West Course)
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
Rory McIlroy16+65.0022T5T7T8
Xander Schauffele8+53.00T7T10T14T75
Bryson DeChambeau10+49.00WONT20T56T26WON
Hideki Matsuyama12+45.006T324T26T17
Scottie Scheffler7+42.65T413T2T7–
Patrick Cantlay8+41.99T3T14T14T15T43
Jon Rahm8+40.86–T10T12WONT23
Harris English9+32.94T41T8T6134
Joohyung (Tom) Kim3+23.57T26T823––
Min Woo Lee3+23.57T21T5T27––
Brooks Koepka11+22.65T26T1755T4–
Denny McCarthy5+21.57T32T20T7––
Guido Migliozzi2+19.47––T14T4–
Collin Morikawa6+42.46T14T14T5T4MC
Dustin Johnson17+31.97MCT10T24T19T6
Russell Henley10+29.03T7T14MCT13–

Recent Donkeys for Courses (U.S. Open):

U.S. OpenU.S. OpenU.S. OpenU.S. OpenU.S. Open
Pinehurst Resort
(Course No. 2)
Los Angeles
Country Club
(North Course)
The Country Club
(Composite Course)
Torrey Pines
(South Course)
Winged Foot
(West Course)
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
Victor Perez5-17.15MCMCMCMCMC
Nick Dunlap3-11.47MCMCMC––
Nick Taylor6-2.47MCMCMC––
Cameron Davis2-10.24MCMC–––
Carlos Ortiz4-5.90–MC–MC–
Byeong Hun An8-5.00MC–––MC
Phil Mickelson22-21.56MCMCMCT62MC
Maxwell Moldovan3-20.03MC65MC––
Justin Rose19-6.53MCMCT37MCMC

Recent Horses for Courses (Oakmont Country Club):

U.S. Open
Oakmont Country Club
Golfer2016
Dustin JohnsonWON
Shane LowryT2
Jason DayT8
Brooks KoepkaT13
Bryson DeChambeauT15
Marc LeishmanT18
Adam ScottT18
Byeong Hun AnT23
Jon Rahm (a)T23

Recent Donkeys for Courses (Oakmont Country Club):

U.S. OpenU.S. Open
Oakmont Country ClubOakmont Country Club
Golfer20162007
Tom HogeMC–
Carlos OrtizMC–
Hideki MatsuyamaMC–
Lucas GloverMCMC
Sam Burns (a)MC–
Keegan BradleyMC–
Justin RoseMC–
Patrick ReedMC–
Rory McIlroyMC–
Denny McCarthyMC–
Chris KirkMC–
Scottie Scheffler (a)MC–
Phil MickelsonMCMC
Tony FinauMC–

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2024: Bryson DeChambeau (-6) − Pinehurst Resort (Course No. 2)
    • Price: 20-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Bryson DeChambeau4th3rd9th17th12th
  • 2023: Wyndham Clark (-10) − Los Angeles Country Club (North Course)
    • Price: 66-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Wyndham Clark2nd7th49th3rd4th
  • 2022: Matt Fitzpatrick (-6) − The Country Club (Composite Course)
    • Price: 25-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Matt Fitzpatrick2nd1st10th1st42nd
  • 2021: Jon Rahm (-6) − Torrey Pines (South Course)
    • Price: 10-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Jon Rahm5th5th11th17th20th
  • 2020: Bryson DeChambeau (-6) − Winged Foot (West Course)
    • Price: 25-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Bryson DeChambeau2nd1st1st3rd18th

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Bryson DeChambeau
    • T18 – LIV Houston (LIV)
    • 2 – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • T27 – LIV Singapore (LIV)
    • T26 – LIV Adelaide (LIV)
    • T6 – Masters Tournament (MAJ)
  • 2023: Wyndham Clark
    • T12 – the Memorial Tournament (PGA)
    • MC – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • WON – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • T24 – Mexico Open (PGA)
    • 3 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
  • 2022: Matt Fitzpatrick
    • T10 – RBC Candian Open (PGA)
    • MC – the Memorial Tournament (PGA)
    • T5 – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • T2 – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • MC – RBC Heritage (PGA)
  • 2021: Jon Rahm
    • WD – the Memorial Tournament (PGA)
    • T8 – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • T34 – AT&T Byron Nelson (PGA)
    • MC – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • 7 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
  • 2020: Bryson DeChambeau
    • T6 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
    • T8 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
    • T3 – Charles Schwab Challenge (PGA)
    • N/A – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
    • 4 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (PGA)
    • 2 – WGC-Mexico Championship (PGA)

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2024: Bryson DeChambeau

202320222021202020192018201720162015
Los Angeles Country Club
(North Course)
The Country Club
(Composite Course)
Torrey Pines
(South Course)
Winged Foot
(West Course)
Pebble BeachShinnecock HillsErin HillsOakmontChambers Bay
Bryson DeChambeauT20T56T26WONT35T25MCT15MC

2023: Wyndham Clark

20222021
The Country Club (Composite Course)Torrey Pines (South Course)
Wyndham ClarkMCMC

2022: Matt Fitzpatrick

2021202020192018201720162014
Torrey Pines
(South Course)
Winged Foot
(West Course)
Pebble BeachShinnecock HillsErin HillsOakmontPinehurst No. 2
Matt FitzpatrickT55MCT12T12T35T54T48

2021: Jon Rahm

20202019201820172016
Winged Foot
(West Course)
Pebble BeachShinnecock HillsErin HillsOakmont
Jon RahmT23T3MCMCT23

2020: Bryson DeChambeau

20192018201720162015
Pebble BeachShinnecock HillsErin HillsOakmontChambers Bay
Bryson DeChambeauT35T25MCT15MC

Sportsbook Promotions:

DraftKings:

FanDuel:

Picks:

Outrights

Bryson DeChambeau (+900) – DraftKings

Bryson DeChambeau has shown strong form in the season’s first two Majors, finishing tied for 5th at the Masters and runner-up at last month’s PGA Championship. On the LIV Tour, he continues to impress with finishes of T4 at LIV Virginia last week, a win at LIV Korea, and T2 at LIV Mexico City in his last three events.

As the defending U.S. Open champion, Bryson is returning to Pinehurst Course No. 2, where he claimed last year’s title. This was his second U.S. Open win after his 2020 victory at Winged Foot Golf Club (West Course), a key comparable course this week. Additionally, Bryson has strong results at similar venues: T4 at Oak Hill (2023 PGA Championship), T26 at Torrey Pines (South Course, 2021 U.S. Open), and T15 at Oakmont Country Club in the 2016 U.S. Open.

Regionally, Bryson has excelled at Northeastern courses, with wins at the 2018 Dell Technologies Championship (TPC Boston, Massachusetts) and the 2018 Northern Trust (Ridgewood Country Club, New Jersey).

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
2149133125216130719142
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Jon Rahm (+1200) – DraftKings

Jon Rahm has played well through the first two Majors this year, finishing T14 at the Masters and T8 at the PGA Championship. On the LIV Tour, his recent results include T8 at LIV Virginia, T7 at LIV Korea, and 4th at LIV Mexico City.

Rahm won the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines (South Course), a comparable venue for this week. He also finished T12 and T10 in the 2022 and 2023 U.S. Opens, respectively, though he withdrew from the 2024 event due to a foot infection. Like Bryson, Rahm played the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont, finishing T23.

He has found success on Northeastern courses, with strong finishes such as T6 at the 2020 Northern Trust and T4 at the 2017 Dell Technologies Championship, both held at TPC Boston. He also placed T8 at the 2022 BMW Championship (Wilmington Country Club, Delaware) and T24 at the 2018 BMW Championship (Aronimink Golf Club, Pennsylvania).

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
4948673411387821293186444
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Joaquin Niemann (+3500) – DraftKings

Joaquin Niemann has been the standout player on the LIV Tour this season with four wins, including LIV Adelaide, LIV Singapore, LIV Mexico City, and most recently LIV Virginia.

Though he has struggled historically in Majors, Niemann is showing improvement, finishing T29 in the first Major of the year and posting a career-best T8 at the recent PGA Championship.

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
8131238191213321491011354578
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Harris English (+10000) – DraftKings

At 35, Harris English is playing some of his best golf, highlighted by his 5th PGA Tour win this season at the Farmers Insurance Open, held at Torrey Pines (South Course)—a comparable course this week. He has three top 15s in his last four PGA Tour starts.

English performed well in the first two Majors this year, finishing T12 at the Masters and runner-up at the PGA Championship. His best U.S. Open finish was 3rd in 2021 at Torrey Pines, and he also placed T8 at last year’s U.S. Open at Los Angeles Country Club (North Course). Like many others, he played Oakmont in 2016, finishing T37.

English’s regional success includes a T2 at the 2020 Northern Trust (TPC Boston), a 2021 Travelers Championship win (TPC River Highlands, Connecticut), and a T11 at the Truist Championship (Philadelphia Cricket Club) this season.

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
3646281391613241151235721112067
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Keegan Bradley (+10000) – DraftKings

Northeastern native Keegan Bradley, born in Vermont and a Boston Common Golf Team member, enters this Major in solid form with consecutive top 10 PGA Tour finishes. He’s made only one cut miss in 13 starts, though he missed the cut at the Masters and finished T8 at the PGA Championship.

Bradley’s recent U.S. Open results have been mixed, with a T32 in 2024, missed cut in 2023, and T7 in 2022. Regionally, he’s excelled with a 2023 Travelers Championship win (TPC River Highlands), T30 at the Truist Championship, and a 2018 BMW Championship victory at Aronimink Golf Club.

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
337113316158123257421146110317
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Taylor Pendrith (+12000) – DraftKings

Taylor Pendrith is coming off a T27 at the RBC Canadian Open, following strong recent finishes of T12 at the Memorial Tournament and T5 at the PGA Championship.

Pendrith’s U.S. Open results have varied, including a T16 last year at Pinehurst No. 2, missed cuts in 2021 and 2023, and a T23 in 2020 at Winged Foot. He also showed form at Torrey Pines earlier this season with a T7.

He has performed well in the Northeast, highlighted by a T8 at the 2022 BMW Championship (Wilmington Country Club).

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
4011501271572231813972615915024
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Top 20

Shane Lowry (+130) – DraftKings

Shane Lowry arrives at this Major in excellent form, with five top-25 finishes in his last six events. His only recent setback was missing the cut at the PGA Championship due to struggles in short game and putting. Earlier this year, he finished T42 at the Masters.

Lowry’s U.S. Open performances include T19 in 2024 at Pinehurst No. 2 and T20 in 2023 at Los Angeles Country Club (North Course). He placed T2 at Oakmont in the 2016 U.S. Open.

He also has solid results at Northeastern venues with a T9 at the 2024 Travelers Championship, T19 in 2023, and T12 at the 2022 BMW Championship. In Pennsylvania, he finished T2 at the Truist Championship.

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
98532223714110233164149726
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Patrick Cantlay (+140) – DraftKings

Patrick Cantlay comes into this Major with four top-25 finishes in his last five events. His recent PGA Championship was a struggle, missing the cut and facing challenges in all areas except driving.

Cantlay’s U.S. Open record is impressive with a T3 last year at Pinehurst No. 2, and multiple top-15 finishes in previous years. He also performs well at comparable courses, finishing T9 at Oak Hill (2023 PGA Championship) and T5 at Torrey Pines (South Course, 2025 Genesis Invitational).

Regionally, Cantlay has consistent success with top finishes at Northeastern courses including the Travelers Championship and BMW Championship, as well as a T4 at the Truist Championship.

SG: T2GSG: OTTSG: APPSG: ATGSG: P (Poa)3 Putt
Avoid.
SG: T
(Diff.)
Driving
Dist.
P3: 225+P4:
450-500
P5:
600-650
Bogey
Avoid.
Sand SavesProx:
175-200
21774415884142429257010496
Ranks based on last 24 rounds amongst the field. For a more detailed look into each stat, check out the Key Statistics Section.

Harris English (+225) – DraftKings

Keegan Bradley (+225) – DraftKings

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

UFC 316 Free Play – Sports Betting – Julianne Pena vs Kayla Harrison

UFC 316: Julianna Peña vs. Kayla Harrison -625 O/U 4.5

The co-main event of UFC 316 features a highly anticipated women’s bantamweight title fight between reigning champion Julianna Peña and two-time Olympic judo gold medalist Kayla Harrison. Tonight’s bout takes place at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, and is generating major buzz due to the fighters’ contrasting backgrounds, styles, and the high stakes involved.

Fighter Profiles

  • Julianna Peña (13-5, 8-3 UFC)
    • Former two-time UFC bantamweight champion
    • Known for her aggressive pace, pressure, and strong clinch work
    • Has solid transitional grappling and effective ground striking
    • Notable wins include her shocking upset over Amanda Nunes
  • Kayla Harrison (18-1, 2-0 UFC)
    • Two-time Olympic gold medalist in judo
    • Former PFL champion with dominant grappling skills
    • Steadily improving striking, particularly from her southpaw stance
    • Holds wins over Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira in the UFC

Fight Breakdown

Peña enters as a significant underdog, with odds ranging from +400 to +500, while Harrison is the overwhelming favorite at -625 to -800. The betting lines suggest that Harrison is expected to dominate, particularly in the grappling exchanges.

Peña’s best chance lies in making the fight a brawl, as Harrison has acknowledged that chaotic exchanges could favor the champion. However, Harrison’s superior clinch work and takedown ability make it unlikely that Peña will be able to dictate the fight’s pace.

Harrison’s most probable path to victory is through her grappling dominance. She has a strong positional game, particularly from half guard, and has shown an ability to control opponents with relentless pressure. Peña, while tough and resilient, has struggled against elite grapplers in the past, but she hasn’t been submitted since 2020.

Prediction

I liked Pena’s resilience that she has shown over the past few years against Amanda Nunes.   While she will not win the striking or grappling battle, she can last the full five rounds and has proved it over her last four fights.  I think that Harrison probably gets the win, but at the same time, she has only finished one out of her last four opponents.   Harrison wins by decision more often than not, but let’s take the safe rout over 4.5 rounds.

Over 4.5 rounds +154 – 1 star

Bonus Play:  Ariane De Silva +425 – 1 star – Ariane Da Silva (formerly Ariane Lipsky) came in a whopping six pounds overweight.   I have to assume that she didn’t even really try to cut that much, and will have the weight advantage during this fight.   Cong Wang mistakenly accepted the fight even though she will be smaller individule.   Da Silva has a huge strength of opponent advantage over Cong, and she can fight both on her feet as well as on the mat.   This number is much too big to pass up.

The 2025 Belmont Stakes – Preview & Picks – Sports Betting

Race Time:

  • Date: Saturday, June 7, 2025 ⏰ Post Time: 7:04 p.m. ET 📺 Broadcast: Fox 📡 Live Streaming: & Fox Sports app

Preview:

The 2025 Belmont Stakes, the final leg of the Triple Crown is upon us today at Saratoga Race Course instead of Belmont Park due to ongoing renovations. The race will be run at 1.25 miles instead of the traditional 1.5-mile distance.  There are a total of eight horses in this race which is a bit lower than I had expected.

Key Contenders:

  • Journalism (8-5 favorite) – Won the Preakness Stakes after finishing second in the Kentucky Derby.
  • Sovereignty (2-1 odds) – Won the Kentucky Derby but skipped the Preakness.
  • Baeza (4-1 odds) – Finished third in the Kentucky Derby.
  • Rodriguez (6-1 odds) – Trained by Bob Baffert, missed the first two Triple Crown races due to a foot bruise.

Race Dynamics:

  • Journalism and Sovereignty are expected to be the top contenders, with their rivalry shaping the race.
  • Rodriguez and Crudo are expected to set the early pace, potentially disrupting the favorites.
  • The shorter distance at Saratoga could favor horses with tactical speed rather than pure stamina.

Weather:

  • The weather at the track will be a crisp 67 degrees with rain until about 2PM.   The rain will clear up 2pm which is a good four to five hours before post time.  I expect more of a wet track but not necessarily sloppy.

Predictions:

Nobody loves having to bet the favorites in horse racing, but I honestly think that this is a two horse race between the Kentucky Derby winning Sovereignty and the Preakness winner Journalism.   I rate them both as equal being that Sovereignty had a longer layoff.   Both of these horses have run the fastest Beyers speed figures of all the three year old thoroughbreds to date.  Some say that Journalism would have beaten Sovereignty in the Kentucky Derby had this horse had a better trip.  I am not 100% sure on that, but I do know that the six horse Baeza was also coming in to attempt a big finish and ended up third.  I think that Baeza is worth a look with Flavien Prat as the Jockey.  Prat, right now, is probably the best jockey in the field.  I have a third spot reserved for Baeza as I think that he is the third best horse in this race.  I will however have Baeza in a trifecta savor box with the other two favorites.  The way that I will construct my ticket is to have the big exacta box with Journalism and Sovereignty.  I will have Baeza at third with a few other combinations at the show spot as I think that the only other three horses that can hit the board are Rodriguez, Crudo, and Hill Road.  Here is my ticket for a total of $150.  Best of luck everyone!

Saratoga, Jun 07
Race #13
Trifecta Box
1st[1, 3, 6]
6 bets @
$5
Ticket total
$30
Saratoga, Jun 07
Race #13
Exacta Box
1st[2, 7]
2 bets @
$25
Ticket total
$50
Saratoga, Jun 07
Race #13
Trifecta
1st[2, 7] – 2nd[2, 7] – 3rd[3, 6]
4 bets @
$10
Ticket total
$40
Saratoga, Jun 07
Race #13
Trifecta
1st[2, 7] – 2nd[2, 7] – 3rd[1, 5]
$4 bets @
$5
Ticket total
$20
Saratoga, Jun 07
Race #13
Superfecta
1st[2, 7] – 2nd[2, 7] – 3rd[6] – 4th[1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8]
10 bets @
$1
Ticket total
$10

Podcast 704 – 40 – 25 – With Patrick Gates – The 2025 Belmont Stakes – UFC 316–Sports Betting

Sports Betting
Sports Betting - The OddsBreakers - Wagering - Handicapping

We have a HUGE show for you today!  Patrick Gates is back to break down a MASSIVE Belmont Stakes!  First, the guys get right into the NHL with some thoughts on the series and who might win the Conn Smythe.  Next, we talk horse racing.  Patrick and Kiev get into the weather, the favorites and sleepers for this HUGE race…  We discuss how we are constructing out tickets as well as some thoughts on who is going to win this race.   Then, Kiev goes solo to discuss some UFC 316.  He talks the main card as well as a long shot that he like a lot in the under card.   Plenty of Free Plays galore!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Use Promo Code Baseball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY Baseball OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

Sick of headaches in the morning after drinking? Get 20% off of our gummies that help get rid of those pesky hangovers right here!  https://liqure.com/discount/ODDS

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

Audio Player

Podcast 704 – 40 – 25 – With Patrick Gates – The 2025 Belmont Stakes – UFC 316 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a HUGE show for you today!  Patrick Gates is back to break down a MASSIVE Belmont Stakes!  First, the guys get right into the NHL with some thoughts on the series and who might win the Conn Smythe.  Next, we talk horse racing.  Patrick and Kiev get into the weather, the favorites and sleepers for this HUGE race.   We discuss how we are constructing out tickets as well as some thoughts on who is going to win this race.   Then, Kiev goes solo to discuss some UFC 316.  He talks the main card as well as a long shot that he like a lot in the under card.   Plenty of Free Plays galore!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Use Promo Code Baseball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY Baseball OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

Sick of headaches in the morning after drinking? Get 20% off of our gummies that help get rid of those pesky hangovers right here!  https://liqure.com/discount/ODDS

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

Audio Player

2025 Belmont Stakes Preview & Picks

The 157th running of the Belmont Stakes is set for Saturday, June 7th, continuing a legacy that dates back to 1867. As the final jewel of the Triple Crown, the Belmont follows the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes, offering one last—and often most demanding—test for the nation’s top 3-year-olds.

Often called the “Test of the Champion,” the Belmont Stakes is steeped in tradition and excitement. From the iconic blanket of white carnations draped over the winner to the playing of “New York, New York” before the gates open, the race captures the spirit and history of American horse racing. It’s where legends like Secretariat made history with his record-breaking 31-length victory in 1973, and where recent stars like American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018) sealed their Triple Crown triumphs.

While the race is traditionally held at Belmont Park over the demanding distance of 1 1/2 miles, the 2025 edition will once again be run at Saratoga Race Course, covering a slightly shorter 1 1/4 miles due to the track’s smaller dimensions. After this, the Belmont Stakes will return to its iconic home at Belmont Park in 2026.

For deeper insights, historical context, and expert picks, don’t miss our latest podcast episode previewing this year’s Belmont Stakes.

Race Information:

  • Date: June 7th, 2025
  • Track: Saratoga Race Course
  • Location: Saratoga Springs, New York, United States
  • Event Grade: Grade I
  • Race: 13
  • Post Time: 7:04 PM ET
  • Length: 1 1/4 Mile
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 13 & 14, Leg B Acorn, NY Met, Woody Stephens/Belmont Doubles, Leg F 2-Day Pick 6

TV Schedule:

  • FS1 – 10:30 AM – 2:30 PM ET
  • FOX – 2:30 PM – 7:30 PM ET

Previous Winners & Odds:

  • 2024: Dornoch
    • Odds: 15-1
  • 2023: Arcangelo
    • Odds: 8-1

  • 2022: Mo Donegal
    • Odds: 5-2

  • 2021: Essential Quality
    • Odds: 2-1

  • 2020: Tiz the Law
    • Odds: 6-5

  • 2019: Sir Winston
    • Odds: 12-1

  • 2018: Justify *
    • Odds: 4-5

* Justify was a Tripple Crown Winner

Trainer, Jockey, & Owner Kentucky Derby Records:

  • Most Wins by a Trainer:
    • 8 – James G. Rowe Sr. (1883, 1884, 1901, 1904, 1907, 1908, 1910, 1913)
  • Most Wins by a Jockey:
    • 6 – Jim McLaughlin (1882, 1883, 1884, 1886, 1887, 1888) and Eddie Arcaro (1941, 1942, 1945, 1948, 1952, 1955)
  • Most Wins by an Owner:
    • 6 – Belair Stud (1930, 1932, 1935, 1936, 1939, 1955) and James R. Keene (1879, 1901, 1904, 1907, 1908, 1910)

Belmont Stakes Historical Post Position Stats:

Here are the 2025 Belmont Stakes post positions, along with historical data for each gate since the starting gate was introduced to the race in 1905:

Post Position Starts Wins Win %Wins Since 2000Last Winner2025 Belmont Entrant
11182420.3%2Justify (2018)Hill Road
21181311.0%2Essential Quality (2021)Sovereignty
31161613.8%4Arcangelo (2023)Rodriguez
4110109.1%2Summer Bird (2009)Uncaged
51021514.7%2American Pharoah (2015)Crudo
69799.3%2Dornoch (2024)Baeza
7841416.7%3Sir Winston (2019)Journalism
87479.5%2Tiz the Law (2020)Heart of Honor
95747.0%2Afleet Alex (2005)None
104012.5%0Thunder Gulch (1995)None
1128310.7%2Tonalist (2014)None
121119.1%1Palace Malice (2013)None
137114.3%1Creator (2016)None
14300.0%0NoneNone
15100.0%0NoneNone

Field:

PostHorse NameJockeyTrainer Odds
1Hill RoadIrad Ortiz, Jr.Chad Brown10-1
2SovereigntyJunior AlvaradoBill Mott2-1
3RodriguezMike SmithBob Baffert6-1
4UncagedLuis SaezTodd Pletcher30-1
5CrudoJohn VelazquezTodd Pletcher15-1
6BaezaFlavien PratJohn Shirreffs4-1
7JournalismUmberto RispoliMichael McCarthy8-5
8Heart of HonorSaffie OsborneJamie Osborne30-1

Horse Preview

Hill Road

Name: Hill RoadML Odds: 10-1
Owner(s): Amo Racing USA
Trainer: Chad Brown
Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Dam: Exotic Notion (Lemon Drop Kid)
Sire: Quality Road (Elusive Quality)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life5202
20252101
20243101
Saratoga Race Course0000
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
10May25-Aqueduct1 1/8 MilesGIII Peter Pan 1st
8Mar25-Tampa1 1/16 MilesGIII Tampa Bay Derby3rd
1Nov24-Del Mar1 1/16 MilesG1 BC Juvenile3rd

Sovereignty

Name: SovereigntyML Odds: 2-1
Owner(s): Godolphin LLC
Trainer: Bill Mott
Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Dam: Crowned (Bernardini)
Sire: Into Mischief (Harlan’s Holiday)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life6320
20253210
20243110
Saratoga Race Course1000
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
3May25-Churchill Downs1 1/4 MilesGI Kentucky Derby1st
29Mar2-Gulfstream Park1 1/8 MilesGI Florida Derby2nd
1Mar25-Gulfstream Park1 1/16 MilesGII Fountain of Youth1st

Rodriguez

Name: RodriguezML Odds: 6-1
Owner(s): SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, et al.
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Mike Smith
Dam: Cayala (Cherokee Run)
Sire: Authentic (Into Mischief)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life5221
20254211
20241010
Saratoga Race Course0000
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
5Apr25-Aqueduct1 1/8 MilesGII Wood Memorial Stakes1st
1Mar25-Santa Anita1 1/16 MilesGII San Felipe Stakes3rd
1Feb25-Santa Anita1 MileGIII Robert B Lewis2nd

Uncaged

Name: UncagedML Odds: 30-1
Owner(s): WinStar Farm LLC and Repole Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Luis Saez
Dam: Dark Nile (Pioneerof the Nile)
Sire: Curlin (Smart Strike)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life4200
20253100
20241100
Saratoga Race Course1100
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
10May25-Aqueduct1 1/8 MilesGIII Peter Pan6th
6Apr25-Aqueduct1 MileOC 100k/N1X-N1st
2Mar25-Gulfstream Park6 FurlongsOC 75k/N1X-N4th

Crudo

Name: CrudoML Odds: 15-1
Owner(s): Bobby Flay and James Ventura
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: John Velazquez
Dam: Blossomed (Deputy Minister)
Sire: Justify (Scat Daddy)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life3200
20253200
20240000
Saratoga Race Course0000
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
17May25-Pimlico1 1/16 MilesSir Barton Stakes 100k1st
19Apr25-Keeneland7 FurlongsMd Sp Wt 110k1st
8Feb25-Gulfstream Park6 FurlongsMd Sp Wt 70k4th

Baeza

Name: BaezaML Odds: 4-1
Owner(s): C R K Stable LLC and Grandview Equine
Trainer: John Shirreffs
Jockey: Flavien Prat
Dam: Puca (Big Brown)
Sire: McKinzie (Street Sense)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life5121
20254121
20241000
Saratoga Race Course0000
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
3May25-Churchill Downs1 1/4 MilesGI Kentucky Derby3rd
5Apr25-Santa Anita1 1/8 MilesGI Santa Anita Derby2nd
14Feb25-Santa Anita1 MileMd Sp Wt 60k1st

Journalism

Name: JournalismML Odds: 8-5
Owner(s): Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, et al.
Trainer: Michael McCarthy
Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
Dam: Mopotism (Uncle Mo)
Sire: Curlin (Smart Strike)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life7511
20254310
20243201
Saratoga Race Course0000
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
17May25-Pimlico1 3/16 MilesGI Preakness Stakes1st
3May25-Churchill Downs1 1/4 MilesGI Kentucky Derby2nd
5Apr25-Santa Anita1 1/8 MilesGI Santa Anita Derby1st

Heart of Honor (GB)

Name: Heart of Honor (GB)ML Odds: 30-1
Owner(s): Jim And Claire Limited
Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Dam: Ruby Love*Chi (Scat Daddy)
Sire: Honor A. P. (Honor Code)
 Starts1st Place2nd Place3rd Place
Life7240
20255130
20242110
Saratoga Race Course0000
Date-TrackLengthRaceResults
17May25-Pimlico1 3/16 MilesGI Preakness Stakes5th
5Apr25-Meydan (UAE)1 3/16 MilesGII UAE Derby2nd
21Feb25-Meydan (UAE)1 3/16 MilesAl Bastakiya Stakes2nd

Previous Races Against Fellow Entrants:

Date-TrackRaceResults
May 10th, 2025 – PIMGI Preakness(1st) Journalism, (5th) Heart of Honor
May 10th, 2025 – BAQGIII Peter Pan Stakes(1st) Hill Road, (6th) Uncaged
May 3rd, 2025 – CDGI Kentucky Derby(1st) Sovereignty, (2nd) Journalism, (3rd) Baeza
April 5th, 2025 – SAGI Santa Anita Derby(1st) Journalism, (2nd) Baeza
March 11th, 2025 – SAGII San Felipe Stakes(1st) Journalism, (3rd) Rodriguez
January 4th, 2025 – SAMd Sp Wt 60k(1st) Rodriguez, (2nd) Baeza

Projected Pace:

Pacesetter

  • (3) Rodriguez
  • (5) Crudo

Press the Pace/ Stalkers

  • (4) Baeza
  • (6) Uncaged

Closers

  • (1) Hill Road
  • (2) Sovereignty
  • (7) Journalism
  • (8) Heart of Honor

Race Breakdown

When handicapping this year’s Belmont Stakes, the race feels like it runs through three—maybe four—serious contenders. But before we dive into the top threats, let’s first break down the horses I’ll be against on race day: Hill Road, Uncaged, and Heart of Honor.

Tosses

Hill Road made his U.S. debut with promise, finishing third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf and later winning the Peter Pan Stakes. While the Peter Pan has produced past Belmont winners, I’m not convinced Hill Road possesses the late kick or stamina to match the elite closers in this field. He’s improved, but not enough to factor against this group.

Uncaged hasn’t progressed since his debut win at Saratoga last summer—that remains his highest speed figure. He finished sixth in the Peter Pan and seems better suited to muddy tracks, where both his wins came. Unless the skies open up on Saturday, he looks completely outclassed.

Heart of Honor was fifth in the Preakness in his North American debut but was never a serious factor. While he’s been consistent overseas, he lacks the cruising speed and closing ability needed to keep up with this field. He’s an easy toss for me.

Exotic Players

Crudo is lightly raced but interesting. He’s won back-to-back starts, including the Sir Barton Stakes on Preakness Day, and has shown steady improvement each time out. He’s bred for the distance—his sire Justify won the Belmont en route to a Triple Crown—and while he’s untested against top-level stakes company, he’s trending the right way. A logical underneath player.

Rodriguez could be dangerous if the race shape falls his way. He won the Wood Memorial in front-running fashion and has had time to recover from a minor setback that kept him out of the Derby and Preakness. If the pace is more moderate than expected, he could steal it on the front end. A live longshot with a proven foundation.

Main Contenders

The top tier features Sovereignty, Baeza, and Journalism—the three most credentialed runners in this field. Sovereignty enters off his Kentucky Derby win, Baeza finished a strong third after a wide trip, and Journalism comes off a gritty Preakness score. Any of them could win with the right setup, but with all three likely to take significant money, I’m more inclined to use them in exotics than single out one as a clear winner.

Exacta Bets

#2 Sovereignty, #3 Rodriguez, #6 Baeza / #7 Journalism

BOX: #2 Sovereignty, #3 Rodriguez, #6 Baeza

Trifecta Bets

#2 Sovereignty, #6 Baeza / #2 Sovereignty, #6 Baeza / #3 Rodriguez, #7 Journalism

#6 Baeza, #7 Journalism / #6 Baeza, #7 Journalism / #2 Sovereignty, #3 Rodriguez

Superfecta Bets

#7 Journalism/ #2 Sovereignty, #3 Rodriguez, #6 Baeza / #2 Sovereignty, #3 Rodriguez, #6 Baeza / ALL

Pick 3 (Races 11-14)

Race 11: #3 Macho Music, #7 Colloquial, #11 Gate to Wire

Race 12: #2 Integration, #4 Carson’s Run, #6 Spirit of St Louis

Race 13: #2 Sovereignty, #7 Journalism

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

NFC West 2025 Preview – Season Win Totals & Best Bet – Sports Betting

The NFC West  The NFC West was full of surprises in the 2025 season.  The first surprise was the demise of the San Francisco 49ers who became decimated with injuries.  This bad luck started right away when they hid Christian McCaffery’s injury in the preseason, thus screwing over fantasy football fans all around the globe.   The Seattle Seahawks were much better than expected, while the Arizona Cardinals had some growing pains with their young group of guys.   The Rams stole the division, and literally were a few plays away from beating the Eagles in the playoffs in the snow.  This season, the schedule works out quite well with this division getting to play the NFC South, and the AFC South which are widely considered the two worst divisions in football.  The Market seems to think that the 49ers are the team to beat, but I am just not so sure of that.  Let’s dig in and find out why.

Divisional Futures:  49ers +150, LA Rams +195, Seahawks +475, Cardinals +475

1. LA Rams –

Vegas win total: 9.5 juiced to the over -140

2024 Wins: 10

Pythagorean Wins:  7.97

Schedule: Medium – At large games @ Philadelphia, @ Baltimore, vs Detroit

Schedule Last Year: Medium Hard

Key losses:  WR Cooper Kupp, DT Bobby Brown, OLB Michael Hoecht, WR DeMarcus Robinson, LB Christian Rozenboom

Key additions:  WR Davante Adams, DT Poona Ford, C/G Coleman Shelton

Key Draft Picks: TE Terrance Ferguson, Edge Josaiah Steward and a bunch of hope.

Summary:  After making the playoffs and winning this division in the 2025 season, I am pretty frustrated with this Rams team as they didn’t do jack in this offseason.   I feel like they are the west coast Packers. Great coaching with a bad front office.  Maybe they are still celebrating their super bowl from a few years back.  Anyways, this Rams team was quite lucky to achieve 10 wins last year with their Pythagorean win total showing just below eight.  This team ranked a modest 15th in offensive EPA, and only 23rd on defensive EPA.   The clear reason for these wins was just some great coaching by Sean McVey and clutch performances by quarterback Matthew Stafford.   Now this team loses a big leader in Cooper Kupp.  Don’t get me wrong, he was already on the senior slide with a ton of regression to the mean, but he at least was a great sideline and locker room guy.  Signing Davante Adams feels a lot like that could be very good or just very bad.  I never thought of him as a good leader, and the complaining could start as early as week one.   The only bright spot on this defense was edge rusher Jared Verse.   The rest of the guys are very mid-to lower end talent.  Quarterback Matthew Stafford isn’t getting any younger, yet he probably still has some left in the tank.  Some good news with the schedule is that the Rams net +10 days rest which ranks third in the league.  I will tread cautiously for the first few weeks with this Rams team, but it certainly won’t surprise me if this team takes a step back.

My Number: 8.99

Action – No Play

LA Rams power rating:  2

2.  Arizona Cardinals – 

Vegas Win Total:  8.5 juiced to the under -120

2024 Wins:  8

Pythagorean Wins:  9.07

Schedule: Medium Easy – at large vs Green Bay, @ Dallas, @ Cincinnati

Schedule Last Year: Medium Hard

Key losses: DT Roy Lopez, DT Khyiris Tonga, DT Naquan Jones, OLB Kyzier White, G Will Hernandez

Key additions: DE Josh Sweat, DT Dalvin Tomlinson, QB Jacoby Brissett, LB Akeem Davis-Gaither, DE Calais Campbell, OLB Mykal Walker

Key Draft Picks: DT Walter Nolen, CB Will Johnson, Edge Jordan Burch, LB Cody Simon, CB Denzel Burke

Summary:  I like the outlook for this team!  These Arizona Cardinals only took third place in their division, yet they had the highest Pythagorean win total out of all of their rivals at 9.07.  Rich Gannon is building a program there that I think can at least get this team to the playoffs, if not win the whole division.  Arizona literally didn’t lose anyone to free agency that was worth a whole lot to the team.   One might think that their run game takes a hit from losing their defensive tackles, but they were already well below average in that category ranking 25th in opponent rush EPA.   Signing guys like Josh Sweat, Dalvin Tomlinson should more than fill in that gap.  The draft pick of defensive tackle Walter Nolan was a great move.   Getting cornerback Will Johnson late in the second round was a steal in my opinion.  Hopefully, newly acquired linebacker Baron Browning can have a solid year and stay healthy.   The offense that ranked 10th in EPA per play should take a step forward now with healthy running backs, and a more seasoned offensive line.  We also have to remember that the Cardinals have a top three tight end in Trey McBride as well as a huge talent in Marvin Harrison Jr. at wide receiver, who should take a step forward.  Quarterback Kyle Murray knows that it’s his time to shine.  I like Rich Gannon, and this team should win enough games to make the playoffs if not win the division.

My Number:  10.25

Action – Cardinals win NFC West +475 – .5 stars & over 8.5 wins +100 – 1.5 stars (DK)

Arizona Cardinals Power Rating: 2

3.  San Francisco 49ers –

Vegas Win Total:  10.5 juiced to the under -130

2024 Wins:  6

Pythagorean Wins:  7.28

Schedule:  Easy – At large games @ NY Giants, @ Browns, vs Bears

Schedule Last Year: Hard 

Key losses: WR Deebo Samuel, LB Dre Greenlaw, G Aaron Banks, CB Charvarius Ward, DT Javon Hargrave, LT Jaylon Moore, S Talanoa Hufanga, Edge Leonard Floyd, DT Maliek Collins, RB Elijah Mitchell, ILB De’Vondre Campbell, G Jon Feliciano

Key additions: DC Robert Saleh, TE Luke Farrell, QB Mac Jones, WR DeMarcus Robinson, S Siran Neal, S Jason Pinnock, ILB Luke Gifford, CB Tre Brown

Key Draft Picks:  Edge Mykel Williams, DL Alfred Collins, LB Nick Martin

Summary:  Are we sure that the 49ers are the best team in the NFC West?  Was last year a bunch of bad luck?   It’s hard to turn against Kyle Shanahan, but this team lost a ton in the offseason, and has had maybe the worst draft out of all of the NFL teams.   If money only grew on trees, this team could keep all of their talent.  The 49ers lost some of their best guys at every section of their defense.   General Manager John Lynch decided to pay Fred Warner which was maybe warranted, yet comes with an opportunity cost of losing LBs Dre Greenlaw and De’Vondre Campbell.  Greenlaw didn’t play much anyways due to injury, but he was still a big part of their 11.5 win projection as of last season.   Christian McCaffery comes back healthy, but how long can that last?  He isn’t exactly a spring chicken himself.  Losing Deebo Samuel in that trade didn’t exactly get them back any real value minus a money grab.  The 49ers, last season, mistakenly paid Brandon Aiyuk which in turn, forced Deebo Samuel out.  Deebo has his own issues, but he was also a great gadget guy who was great running the ball and very hard to tackle.  The 49ers do not have a real number one wide receiver in my opinion.  Jauan Jennings is every bit as good as Aiyuk, and I feel that they are really the same type of guy.  Maybe the great coaching of Kyle Shanahan, and Robert Saleh, who is back as defensive coordinator can make up for what they lost. The 49ers finally paid their quarterback Brock Purdy.  I don’t love this situation either.  I like Purdy, but I honestly think that he was a product of great coaching similar to what we see in Green Bay.   This team was in much better shape when they had more money to spread around.  Mac Jones might even be a better quarterback if he gets his Alabama type confidence back.  Now for the good.  The 49ers have by far the easiest schedule in football.  The good thing about having bad injury luck and taking fourth place in your own division is getting a fourth place schedule.  Not only that, the 49ers net a +9 days of rest which is much different than what we saw last season.  We also much remember that coaching is huge.  Kyle Shanahan can make an average player look great.  At the end of the day, this 49ers team is very top heavy.  If they can stay healthy, they will a bunch of games and maybe the division.  If they once again have some rough injury luck, they can be in a lot of trouble due to depth issues.  I can only look under the win total at 10.5.

My Number: 9.14

Action:  Under 10.5 wins -130 – .5 stars

San Francisco 49ers Power Rating: 2

4. Seattle Seahawks –

Vegas win total: 8.5 juiced to the under -140

2024 Wins:  10

Pythagorean Wins:  8.7

Schedule: Medium – At large @ Pittsburgh, @Washington, vs Minnesota

Schedule Last Year: Medium Hard

Key losses: QB Geno Smith, WR DK Metcalf, DE Dre’Mont Jones, DT Roy Robertson-Harris, G Laken Tomlinson, WR Tyler Lockett, CB Tre Brown, S Rayshawn Jenkins, RT George Fant

Key additions: OC Klint Kubiak, QB Sam Darnold, WR Cooper Kupp, DE DeMarcus Lawrence, QB Drew Lock, WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, T Josh Jones, DT Jonathan Hankins

Key draft picks: T Grey Zabel, S Nick Emmanwori, TE Elijay Arroyo, QB Jalen Milroe, DL Rylie Mills, WR Tory Horton

Summary:  I do not quite know what some teams are thinking.  After last season, It became clear to everyone that Geno Smith wasn’t in the plans going forward for coach Mike McDonald.  So instead they bring in Sam Darnold?  This is a lot like trading your old golf cart for an old moped.  Last season, according to the Pythagorean win total of 8.7 wins, the Seahawks over-achieved winning ten.   I do think that MacDonald has had a very good start to his coaching career, especially on the defensive side, but I do not understand the moves in free agency.   Let’s start with the quarterback.  New quarterback Sam Darnold only looked great last year because he had a great coach, with having the best pass catchers in football.   The real Darnold came out in crunch time at the end of the season.  I do not think that new offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak is going to get nearly the same production.  Next, the Seahawks sign two washed up players in WR Cooper Kupp, and DE Demarcus Lawrence.   For the amount that these two guys were paid, I do not think that we see nearly the same production as they had in the past.  Kupp has been rendered with injuries after his super bowl run with the Rams.   He is now average at best.  DeMarcus Lawrence is so checked out of the NFL game that the Seahawks will be lucky if he even shows up to practice.  My other big concern is Seattle’s offensive line.  Moving on from George Fant is a big statement, but do we know that their first pick in the draft in North Dakota State’s Tackle Grey Zabel can even play in the NFL?   Another concern is who will be catching the football.   The Seahawks lost their top wide receiver in DK Metcalf, and their most trustworthy wide receiver in Tyler Lockett.  This with the new quarterback is such a big change to the offense.   I like JSN a lot, but he is also quite injury prone to be considered at all reliable. The good thing for the Seahawks is that their defensive line should be solid.  I like the draft pick of Riley Mills and I think that he can become a starter.  The defense on this team looks solid and the Seahawks will have to rely on that phase to win most of their games.  The schedule looks ok, but that also depends on your thoughts on the rest of this division.  I remain somewhat bearish to neutral on this team.

My number: 8.35

Action – Lean under 8.5

Seattle’s Power Rating:  -1

MLB Wednesday Hump Day Play – Sports Betting – Orioles vs Mariners

Orioles vs Mariners -110 O/U 8.5

Date & Time: June 4, 2025 – 9:40 PM ET Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Team Records:

  • Orioles: 23-36 (11-19 away)
  • Mariners: 32-27 (16-15 home
  • Pitching Matchup:

    • Orioles: Cade Povich (1-4, 5.29 ERA, 1.45 WHIP)
    • Mariners: Emerson Hancock (2-2, 5.64 ERA, 1.31 WHIP)

    Recent Performance:

    • Orioles: Lost 2 of last 3 games
    • Mariners: Won 4 of last 5 games

    Key Players to Watch:

    • Orioles: Gunnar Henderson (.262 AVG, 7 HR, 30 RBI), Ryan O’Hearn (9 HR, 23 RBI)
    • Mariners: Cal Raleigh (23 HR, 45 RBI), J.P. Crawford (.526 AVG last 5 games)

    Betting Odds:

    • Moneyline: Mariners -120 | Orioles +100
    • Total Runs (Over/Under): 8.5

Weather:  

A crisp 66 degrees with winds blowing left to right at 4.5 mph

Prediction:

This should be a fun matchup for us as both of these pitchers are not so good.  What is good is that the Mariner’s bullpen ranks 22nd to the Orioles that rank 25th.   Ok, well, both not that good.   What is good for real this time is that the Mariners rank 6th in weighted runs created + while the Orioles are 8th.   This is close, but also factor in home advantage and the number should be around -130.  Let’s grab the -110 on Seattle tonight as I see value.

Mariners -110 – 1 star

Podcast 703 – 39 – 25 – The 2025 AFC North & South Previews – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!  Kiev O’Neil goes solo to break down the AFC East & The AFC West.  First, Kiev get’s into some house cleaning with some sports talk in general.  Next, Kiev gets into the AFC North & South.  Which teams are the favorites?  Which teams are looking like contenders?  Which teams are pretenders?  Futures, Win totals, free agency & draft.  We have some fun plays and best bets!   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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2025 RBC Canadian Open Preview & Picks

The PGA TOUR makes its annual trip north this week for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open, with TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course) making its debut as host. As Canada’s national championship, the RBC Canadian Open is one of the longest-running events in golf and carries a deep sense of tradition, pride, and purpose—serving as both a showcase for Canadian talent and a key stop on the TOUR calendar.

Held just one week before the U.S. Open, this event offers players a prime opportunity to fine-tune their game ahead of the year’s third major. The North Course at TPC Toronto—a Par 70 track stretching over 7,300 yards—was recently renovated by Ian Andrew and now presents a modern, championship-caliber test. It rewards power off the tee, but players will also need to be sharp with their irons and creative around the greens to contend.

In this preview, we’ll break down the course setup, highlight the key stats to focus on, and reveal our favorite betting picks and values for the week. Let’s dive in.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: June 5th – June 8th, 2025
  • Location: Caledon, Ontario, Canada
  • Course: TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)
  • Course Type: Parkland
  • Par: 70 (4x 3’s / 12x 4’s / 2x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,389 Yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Bentgrass / Poa mix .100”
  • Fairways: Bentgrass / Poa mix .375”
  • Rough: Bluegrass 3.75”
  • Bunkers: 48 (2.12 acres)
  • Water Hazard(s): 3 (In-Play on 3 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 6,500 sq. ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $9,800,000 /$1,764,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field: 156 Players
  • Cut: Top 70 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death

Social Media:

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Doug Carrick, ASGCA, 2001
  • Renovations: Ian Andrew, 2023-24

Comparable Courses:

  • Oakdale Golf & Country Club – 2023 RBC Canadian Open – RESULTS
  • Detroit Golf Club – Rocket Mortgage Classic – RESULTS
  • St. George’s Golf and Country Club – 2022 RBC Canadian Open – RESULTS

Designer Link (Ian Andrew):

  • Oakdale Golf & Country Club – Ian Andrew Renovation – 2023 RBC Canadian Open
  • St. George’s Golf and Country Club – Tom Doak/Ian Andrew Renovation (2014) – 2022 RBC Canadian Open

Comparable Yardage (7,389 Yards):

  • Detroit Golf Club – 7,370 Yards – Rocket Mortgage Classic
  • Black Desert Resort – 7,371 Yards -Black Desert Championship

Comparable Greens (Bentgrass / Poa mix .100”):

  • Detroit Golf Club – Bentgrass / Poa annua .100” – Rocket Mortgage Classic
  • Tahoe Mountain Club (Old Greenwood) – Bentgrass / Poa annua .100” – Barracuda Championship
  • TPC River Highlands – Bentgrass / Poa annua .110” – Travelers Championship

Comparable Average Green Size (6,500 sq. ft.):

  • Grand Reserve Golf Club – 6,500 sq. ft. – Puerto Rico Open
  • TPC Twin Cities – 6,500 sq. ft. – 3M Open

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, April 3rd, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 6:45 AM – 3:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, April 4th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 6:45 AM – 3:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, April 5th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 7:45 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM
    • CBS – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, April 6th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 7:45 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM
    • CBS – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The RBC Canadian Open is one of the most storied tournaments in golf, dating back to 1904. It stands as the third-oldest continuously running event on the PGA TOUR, behind only The Open Championship and the U.S. Open. Over the years, it has been hosted at a variety of prestigious venues across Canada, celebrating the country’s rich golf heritage.

Early editions of the tournament were played at historic clubs like the Royal Montreal Golf Club and Toronto Golf Club, which rotated between their Quebec and Ontario locations. As the event gained stature, it moved to iconic courses such as Hamilton Golf and Country Club, St. George’s Golf and Country Club, and Glen Abbey Golf Course—the latter hosting a record 30 times between 1977 and 2018.

The Canadian Open has welcomed some of the game’s greatest champions, including Tiger Woods, Arnold Palmer, and Lee Trevino. But for Canadian fans, the tournament holds special emotional significance. That was never more evident than in 2023, when Nick Taylor drained a dramatic 72-foot eagle putt in a playoff to become the first Canadian to win the event in 69 years—an instant classic that is now etched in Canadian sports history.

To honor Taylor’s historic moment, Golf Canada and RBC introduced a refreshed tournament logo featuring a silhouette of his iconic putter toss—a lasting tribute to one of the most memorable finishes in golf.

Now sponsored by the Royal Bank of Canada, the Canadian Open continues to blend tradition with innovation. The tournament often serves as a crucial lead-in to the U.S. Open and has recently rotated between both historic and modern venues—including Oakdale, Hamilton, and Royal Montreal—to keep the event nationally representative and globally relevant.

That legacy takes a new step forward in 2025 as the RBC Canadian Open heads to TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley for the first time in its 121-year history. Located in Caledon, Ontario, the North Course recently underwent extensive renovations and will present a 7,389-yard parkland-style challenge, with wide fairways, large undulating greens, and strategic design that rewards power and precision.

Previous Tournament Venues:

VenueLocationFirstLastTimes
Royal Montreal Golf ClubTwo venues1904201410
Dorval, Quebec19041950(5)
Île-Bizard, Quebec19752014(5)
Toronto Golf ClubTwo venues190519275
Toronto, Ontario19051909(2)
Mississauga, Ontario19141927(3)
Royal Ottawa Golf ClubAylmer, Quebec190619112
Lambton Golf ClubToronto, Ontario190719414
Rosedale Golf ClubToronto, Ontario191219282
Hamilton Golf and Country ClubAncaster, Ontario191920247
Rivermead Golf ClubAylmer, Quebec192019201
Mt. Bruno Golf ClubSt. Bruno, Quebec192219242
Lakeview Golf ClubMississauga, Ontario192319342
Kanawaki Golf ClubKahnawake, Quebec192919291
Mississaugua Golf & Country ClubMississauga, Ontario193119746
Ottawa Hunt and Golf ClubOttawa, Ontario193219321
St. George’s Golf and Country ClubEtobicoke, Toronto, Ontario193320226
Summerlea Golf ClubMontreal, Quebec193519351
St. Andrews ClubToronto, Ontario193619372
Riverside Country ClubRothesay, New Brunswick193919391
Scarboro Golf and Country ClubScarborough, Toronto, Ontario194019634
Thornhill Golf ClubThornhill, Ontario194519451
Beaconsfield Golf ClubMontreal, Quebec194619562
Shaughnessy Golf & Country ClubVancouver, British Columbia194820114
St. Charles Country ClubWinnipeg, Manitoba195219521
Point Grey Golf and Country ClubVancouver, British Columbia195419541
Weston Golf and Country ClubToronto, Ontario195519551
Westmount Golf and Country ClubKitchener, Ontario195719571
Royal Mayfair Golf and Country ClubEdmonton, Alberta195819581
Islesmere Golf and Country ClubMontreal, Quebec195919591
Niakwa Country ClubWinnipeg, Manitoba196119611
Le Club Laval-sur-le-LacLaval-sur-le-Lac, Quebec196219621
Pine Grove Golf and Country ClubSt. Luc, Quebec196419692
Montreal Municipal Golf ClubMontreal, Quebec196719671
London Hunt and Country ClubLondon, Ontario197019701
Richelieu Valley Golf and CCSte.-Julie, Quebec197119732
Cherry Hill ClubRidgeway, Ontario197219721
Essex Golf & Country ClubWindsor, Ontario197619761
Glen Abbey Golf CourseOakville, Ontario1977201830
Angus Glen Golf ClubMarkham, Ontario200220072
Oakdale Golf & Country ClubToronto, Ontario202320231

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
2008-2019, 2022–PresentRBC Canadian Open
1994–2005Bell Canadian Open
1904–1993, 2006–2007Canadian Open

Tournament Records:

  • Most Wins at Event:
    • 4 – Leo Diegel (1924, 1925, 1928, 1929)
  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 258, Rory McIlroy (Hamilton Golf & Country Club, 2019)

  • 18-Hole Record:
    • 60, Carl Pettersson (Round 3, 2010 at St. George’s G&CC), Justin Rose (Round 4, 2022 at St. George’s G&CC)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Originally designed by Doug Carrick in 2001 and renovated by Ian Andrew ahead of the 2025 season, TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course) presents a Par 70 layout featuring four Par 3s, twelve Par 4s, and two Par 5s. Measuring 7,389 yards, it ranks as the fifth-longest course on the PGA TOUR, favoring distance over precision off the tee with fairways averaging 37 yards wide—the 13th widest on Tour. The greens average 6,500 square feet, putting a premium on accurate approach play, while the 48 bunkers scattered across the course are among the fewest seen at any TOUR stop.

The Par 3s vary from 144 to 237 yards, testing a wide range of tee shots. Most notably, the 14th hole will serve as this year’s “Rink” hole—a nod to Canada’s national pastime. Originally introduced at Glen Abbey in 2017, the hockey-themed setup brings a unique atmosphere and fan experience to the tournament.

Hole 11 – 225 Yards

A heroic shot is required to carry the water and hit this peninsula green. Tee shots played out safely left land on a steep, fescue-covered hill that introduces an uncomfortable recovery shot with water waiting long.

Hole 14 – 144 Yards

A signature par 3 and ‘The Rink’ during the 2025 RBC Canadian Open, 14 features a stunning vista of Caledon’s rolling hills and plays downhill to a punchbowl green surrounded by deep greenside bunkers.

TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course) features twelve Par 4s, most of which fall between 400 and 450 yards in length. The shortest is the drivable 6th hole at 350 yards, while the longest is the demanding 17th, stretching out to 530 yards.

Hole 5 – 497 Yards

Set against a right-to-left slope, a set of fairway bunkers on the right side pinch in to protect the optimal approach angle to a saddle green.

Hole 15 – 434 Yards

A dramatic dogleg right offers a choice off the tee, with a more aggressive line down the right setting up a short approach – or even a chance of driving the green.

The course features just two Par 5s—No. 1 and No. 18—both of which are reachable in two shots, offering prime scoring opportunities to start and finish the round.

Hole 1 – 542 Yards

An opening par-5 with a slight right-to-left dogleg against a left-to-right sloping fairway asks players to shape their tee shot or bring the wooded area to the left into play in order to set up an optimal approach angle.

Hole 18 – 581 Yards

An unforgettable home hole starts with a risk-reward tee shot over cavernous bunkers down the right. Tee shots that successfully make the carry are rewarded by a kicker slope, while a shortgrass runoff area in front of the green send poorly-struck approaches to a watery grave.

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 18

Key Statistics:

The RBC Canadian Open takes place at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North). Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

  • Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Cameron Champ
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Luke Clanton
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Rico Hoey
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Joseph Bramlett
      • Corey Conners
      • Ludvig Aberg
      • Erik Van Rooyen

Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Approach play will be pivotal this week with green complexes averaging 6,500 sq. ft. Players who can control spin and trajectory will have an easier time generating scoring chances.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Henrik Norlander
      • Corey Conners
      • Eric Cole
      • Brian Campbell
      • Shane Lowry
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Rory McIlroy
      • John Pak
      • Emiliano Grillo
      • Thorbjorn Olesen

Strokes Gained: Around the Green

  • With firm conditions expected and relatively few bunkers (48 total), solid scrambling could separate contenders from pretenders. Players who can get up and down from tricky lies around the green will avoid costly bogeys.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Matt Wallace
      • Matteo Manassero
      • Beau Hossler
      • Aaron Baddeley
      • Sungjae Im
      • Davis Riley
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Byeong Hun An
      • Peter Malnati
      • Patrick Rodgers

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass-Poa Annua)

  • The putting surfaces are a Bentgrass-Poa Annua mix cut to .100”, which tends to reward players comfortable on mixed turf types. A hot putter here can make all the difference.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Vincent Whaley
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • Sam Burns
      • Mackenzie Hughes
      • Pierceson Coody
      • Brian Campbell
      • Harry Hall
      • Kyoung-Hoon Lee
      • Cristobal Del Solar
      • Ben Silverman

Driving Distance

  • Given the course’s length and minimal fairway penalty, raw distance is a major asset. Those who can consistently carry it past 300 while avoiding major trouble will find extra birdie opportunities.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Cameron Champ
      • Brandon Matthews
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Gordon Sargent
      • Jesper Svensson
      • Tim Widing
      • Trevor Cone
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Pierceson Coody

Par 3 Scoring: 225+ Yards

  • Three of the four Par 3s play over 225 yards, requiring long irons into firm greens. Success on these holes will be crucial for keeping momentum and avoiding blow-ups.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Eric Cole
      • Paul Peterson
      • Chandler Phillips
      • Luke Clanton
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Trace Crowe
      • Max Homa
      • Matt McCarty
      • Vincent Whaley
      • Luke List

Par 4 Scoring

  • TPC Toronto (North) features twelve Par 4s, most falling between 400–450 yards. Managing these with consistent tee-to-green play is essential for a good scorecard.
    • Leaders in Par 4 Scoring in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Alex Noren
      • Matt Wallace
      • Luke Clanton
      • Corey Conners
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Harry Hall
      • Henrik Norlander
      • Roger Sloan
      • Shane Lowry

Birdies or Better Gained

  • With only two Par 5s and a handful of drivable Par 4s, capitalizing on scoring chances is key.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Mattias Schmid
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Luke Clanton
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Justin Rose
      • Davis Riley
      • Sam Burns
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Alex Noren
      • Harry Hall

Proximity Gained: 175-200 Yards

  • A large share of approach shots will fall into this range, especially on the many mid-length Par 4s. Players dialed in from this distance will generate more scoring opportunites.
    • Leaders in the Proximity 175-200 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Mattias Schmid
      • Karl Vilips
      • Antoine Rozner
      • Henrik Norlander
      • Carson Young
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Taylor Pendrith
      • Will Gordon
      • William Mouw
      • Joel Dahmen

The Field:

The 2025 RBC Canadian Open will feature a field of 156 players, with eight of the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking set to compete.

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Winner – U.S. Open
  • Winner – PGA Championship
  • Winner – THE PLAYERS Championship
  • Winner – Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • Winner – Tournament Winner in the Past Year
  • Career Money Exemption
  • Sponsor Exemption: DPWT
  • Sponsor’s Exemption – PGA
  • Sponsor’s Exemption – Unrestricted
  • Sponsor’s Exemption – PGA
  • Open Qualifying
  • Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
  • Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
  • Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
  • Major Medical Extension.
  • Leading Points Winner from DP World Tour
  • PGA TOUR University Accelerated – Current Season
  • Top 10 and Ties from the Previous Event
  • DP World Tour / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category – Reordered
  • No 1 player PGA TOUR University (current year)

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Robert MacIntyre (2024), Nick Taylor (2023), Rory McIlroy (2022, 2019), Brandt Snedeker (2013)

Debutants in the Field:

  • Alejandro Tosti, Antoine Rozner, Barend Botha, Brett Webster, Cougar Collins, Cristian DiMarco, Cristobal Del Solar, Danny Walker, David Ford, Davis Riley, Frankie Capan III, Gordon Sargent, Hunter Thomson, Isaiah Salinda, Jackson Suber, Jeremy Paul, Jesper Svensson, John Pak, Johnny Keefer, Josh Goldenberg, Kaito Onishi, Karl Vilips, Kevin Velo, Kristoffer Ventura, Kurt Kitayama, Luke Clanton, Mason Andersen, Matt McCarty, Matteo Manassero, Matthew Javier, Matthew Riedel, Matthew Scobie, Matthieu Pavon, Nick Dunlap, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Noah Goodwin, Paul Peterson, Paul Waring, Philip Knowles, Quade Cummins, Ricky Castillo, Steven Fisk, Sudarshan Yellamaraju, Takumi Kanaya, Taylor Dickson, Taylor Montgomery, Thomas Detry, Thomas Rosenmueller, Tim Widing, Tyler Mawhinney, Vince Covello, Wei-Hsuan Wang, Will Chandler, William Mouw

Players with Canadian ties in the Field:

Birthplace:

  • Matthew Anderson – Mississauga, Ontario
  • Cougar Collins – Caledon, Ontario
  • Corey Conners – Listowel, Ontario
  • Myles Creighton – Digby, Nova Scotia
  • A.J. Ewart – Coquitlam, British Columbia
  • Adam Hadwin – Moose Jaw, Saskatchewan
  • David Hearn – Brampton, Ontario
  • Wes Heffernan – Calgary, Alberta
  • Mark Hoffman – Wasaga Beach, Ontario
  • Mackenzie Hughes – Dundas, Ontario
  • Matthew Javier – Toronto, Ontario
  • Richard T. Lee – Toronto, Ontario
  • Justin Matthews – Little Britain, Ontario
  • Ashton McCulloch – Kingston, Ontario
  • Taylor Pendrith – Richmond Hill, Ontario
  • Matthew Scobie – Ajax, Ontario
  • Ben Silverman – Thornhill, Ontario
  • Roger Sloan – Calgary, Alberta
  • Adam Svensson – Surrey, British Columbia
  • Nick Taylor – Winnipeg, Manitoba
  • Hunter Thomson – Calgary, Alberta
  • Brett Webster – Vancouver, British Columbia
  • Mike Weir – Sarnia, Ontario

Exemptions:

  • Matthew Anderson – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Barend Botha – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Cougar Collins – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Myles Creighton – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • A.J. Ewart – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • David Hearn – Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Wes Heffernan – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Mark Hoffman – Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Johnny Keefer – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Kevin Kisner – Career Money Exemption
  • Richard T. Lee – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Justin Matthews – Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Tyler Mawhinney – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Ashton McCulloch – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Ryan Palmer – Career Money Exemption
  • Matthew Scobie – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Roger Sloan – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Brandt Snedeker – Career Money Exemption
  • Hunter Thomson – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Wei-Hsuan Wang – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Brett Webster – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Mike Weir – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Sudarshan Yellamaraju – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • Brian Campbell WD / Anders Albertson IN
  • K.H. Lee WD / Brandon Matthews IN
  • Ben Martin WD
  • Brandon Matthews WD
  • Justin Matthews IN
  • Michael Kim WD / David Ford IN
  • Mark Hoffman In
  • Anders Albertson WD / Hayden Springer IN
  • Michael Thorbjornsen WD / Joseph Bramlett IN
  • Matt Kuchar WD / Dylan Wu IN
  • Sahith Theegala WD / Cameron Champ IN
  • Taylor Dickson WD / Taylor Montgomery IN

Tee Times & Groupings:

The Odds:

Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:

GolferOddsLast 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR
(Recent -> Past)
Last 5 Finishes at the
RBC Canadian Open
(Recent -> Past)
Rory McIlroy+450T47-T7-T12-WON-T5T4-T9-WON-WON
Ludvig Åberg+1400T16-MC-T60-T54-7T25
Corey Conners+2000T25-T19-T11-T49-T86-T20-6-MC-MC
Shane Lowry+2200T23-MC-T2-T12-T18T33-T43-T10-T2-T12
Taylor Pendrith+2800T12-T5-65-MC-T42T21-T65-MC-T43
Sam Burns+2800T12-T19-T30-T5-T13T10-MC-T4
Robert MacIntyre+2800T20-T6-T47-T34-T32WON
Odds via DraftKings

Recent Horses for Courses (RBC Canadian Open):

RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
Hamilton Golf and Country ClubOakdale Golf & Country ClubSt. George’s Golf & Country ClubHamilton Golf & Country ClubGlen Abbey Golf Club
Events PlayedSG: Total20242023202220192018
Rory McIlroy4+64.13T4T9WONWON–
Justin Rose5+26.21–8T4––
Joel Dahmen4+17.28T10–––T8
Shane Lowry6+37.54T33T43T10T2T12
Danny Willett2+14.17––T28T8–
Alex Smalley2+12.17–T25T21––

Recent Donkeys for Courses (RBC Canadian Open):

RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
RBC
Canadian Open
Hamilton Golf and Country ClubOakdale Golf & Country ClubSt. George’s Golf & Country ClubHamilton Golf & Country ClubGlen Abbey Golf Club
Events PlayedSG: Total20242023202220192018
Cameron Champ4-1.75MCMCMC–MC
David Lipsky3-8.96MCMCMC––
Seamus Power4-3.27MC––MCMC
Camilo Villegas16-2.96MCMCMC––
Max McGreevy2-13.52–MCMC––
Matthew Anderson2-12.48MC––MC–
Kevin Kisner6-8.24MC–––MC
Aaron Wise2-4.44–MC–MC–
Richard
T. Lee
2-3.48MC––MC–
Matthias Schmid2-2.05MCMC–––
Hayden Buckley20.64MC–MC––
Mike Weir20-3.1MC52MCMCMC

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2024: Robert MacIntyre (-16) –  Hamilton Golf & Country Club
    • Price: 100-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Robert MacIntyre28th18th43rd7th1st
  • 2023: Nick Taylor (-17) – Oakdale Golf & Country Club
    • Price: 66-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Nick Taylor32nd3rd5th15th10th
  • 2022: Rory McIlroy (-19) – St. George’s Golf & Country Club
    • Price: 10-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Rory McIlroy6th1st5th4th7th
  • 2019: Rory McIlroy (-22) –  Hamilton Golf & Country Club
    • Price: 10-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Rory McIlroy1st1st5th6th6th

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Robert MacIntyre
    • MC – Charles Schwab Challenge (PGA)
    • T8 – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • T13 – Myrtle Beach Classic (PGA)
    • MC – CJ CUP Byron Nelson (PGA)
    • T8 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
  • 2023: Nick Taylor
    • MC – Charles Schwab Challenge (PGA)
    • MC – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • 2 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
    • T41 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
    • T15 – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
  • 2022: Rory McIlroy
    • T18 – the memorial Tournament (PGA)
    • 8 – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • 5 – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • 2 – The Masters (MAJ)
    • MC – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
  • 2019: Rory McIlroy
    • MC – the memorial Tournament (PGA)
    • T8 – PGA Championship (MAJ)
    • T8 – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • T21 – The Masters (MAJ)
    • T9 – WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play (PGA)

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2024: Robert MacIntyre

  • Tournament Debut

2023: Nick Taylor

RBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian Open
St. George’s Golf & CCHamilton Golf & CCGlen Abbey GCGlen Abbey GCGlen Abbey GCGlen Abbey GCHamilton Golf & CCShaughnessy Golf & CCSt. George’s Golf & CCGlen Abbey GCGlen Abbey GC
20222019201820172016201520122011201020092008
Nick TaylorT28T27T71MCMCT56MCMCMCMCT53

2022: Rory McIlroy

RBC Canadian Open
Hamilton Golf & Country Club
2019
Rory McIlroyWON

2019: Rory McIlroy

  • Tournament Debut

Outright Picks:

Taylor Pendrith (+2800) – DraftKings

SG: OTTSG: APPSG: ARGSG: PDriving
Distance
P3:225+SG:P4BoB
Gained
Prox: 175-200
5211275824121663725
Rank amongst the field in the last 24 Rounds

Sam Burns (+2800) – DraftKings

SG: OTTSG: APPSG: ARGSG: PDriving
Distance
P3:225+SG:P4BoB
Gained
Prox: 175-200
46110532291471113114
Rank amongst the field in the last 24 Rounds

Christopher Gotterup (+6500) – FanDuel

SG: OTTSG: APPSG: ARGSG: PDriving
Distance
P3:225+SG:P4BoB
Gained
Prox: 175-200
335046149961103434
Rank amongst the field in the last 24 Rounds

Matti Schmid (+8000) – FanDuel

SG: OTTSG: APPSG: ARGSG: PDriving
Distance
P3:225+SG:P4BoB
Gained
Prox: 175-200
8871505112409311
Rank amongst the field in the last 24 Rounds

Erik van Rooyen (+10000) – FanDuel

SG: OTTSG: APPSG: ARGSG: PDriving
Distance
P3:225+SG:P4BoB
Gained
Prox: 175-200
95244741107351736
Rank amongst the field in the last 24 Rounds

Nicolai Hojgaard (+10000) – FanDuel

SG: OTTSG: APPSG: ARGSG: PDriving
Distance
P3:225+SG:P4BoB
Gained
Prox: 175-200
64221221051555561638
Rank amongst the field in the last 24 Rounds

Ricky Castillo (+11000) – FanDuel

SG: OTTSG: APPSG: ARGSG: PDriving
Distance
P3:225+SG:P4BoB
Gained
Prox: 175-200
2611352734119184864
Rank amongst the field in the last 24 Rounds

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.