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Podcast 686 – 22 – 25 – NCAA Tournament Weekend Recap – Early Plays – Sports Betting
We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neil goes solo to recap a weekend of madness. We take a first look at the early lines for the sweet 16! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Sunday Free Play Video:
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Saturday Free Play Video:
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College Basketball NCAA Tournament – The Midwest Mayhem Quadrant Round of 32!
Saturday:
McNeese St vs Purdue -5.5 O/U 143.5 – Amica mutual Pavilion in Providence RI
- Nice big win for McNeese but they almost choked that away along with the choke on the under.
- Both teams play slow, yet efficient basketball, but Purdue has most of the matchup advantages on paper minus near the rim.
- I myself see more of a defensive slugfest this game as both teams will try and take care of the rock. Neither team shoots a lot of 3s.
- I think if all goes well for Purdue, they should win this game somewhat easily, but their rank of 361st in home road splits really worries me. Taking the under
- Under 143.5 – 2 stars
Gonzaga vs Houston -4.5 O/U 139.5 – Intrust bank Arena in Wichita KS
- Gonzaga jumped Georgia 27-3 and didn’t look back.
- I do not think Houston will deal with anything like that.
- The Zags are hot at the right time, but Houston should be able to score down low.
- Strangely enough, the Zags have become a defensive team over the past few games.
- Houston forces teams to play at their pace. The Zags do slow it down like we have seen against St Mary’s as none of their games even sniffed the over.
- I do not see a lot of scoring on either side of the ball.
- Houston tends to play pretty close games against good teams.
- Under 139.5 – 3 stars
UCLA vs Tennessee -4.5 O/U 132.5 – Rupp Arena Lexington KY
- The Bruins had it too easy against Utah State yet the Vols had it pretty easy against Wofferd.
- I really do not like how the SEC has been playing basketball. The Vols will have a near proximity advantage over the Bruins ranking 28th in Haslametris to the Bruins defending it at 189th. No other big advantages really exist for either offense.
- Tennessee is very close to home and should have the crowd advantage.
- UCLA was hot last game, but they might cool off some. Both teams are incredibly inconsistent ranking 329 or worse on their condistancy metric which makes me look or lean to a ML play on UCLA.
- Lean UCLA ML +164
Sunday:
Illinois vs Kentucky +1.5 O/U 170.5 – Fiserv Forum Milwaukee WI
- This should be an electrifying matchup with the highest total in the round of 32.
- Another home crowd advantage should factor in some for the Illini.
- Both teams have firing offenses, but the Cats do lack a bit in offensive rebounding.
- If this game turns into a three point contest, I worry for Illinois as Kentucky knows how to defend it.
- I like Illinois some here, but they have to score down low like they did against Xavier.
- If this game comes down to the end, I trust Lamont Butler on Kentucky more than Freshman Kasparas Jakucionis.
- Lean Illinois ML and lean Illinois 1st half ML
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College Basketball NCAA Tournament – The Busy East Quadrant round of 32!
Saturday:
BYU vs Wisconsin -1 O/U 155.5 – Ball Arena in Denver CO
- This game is troubling to me as both teams seem to mirror each other and both are very inconsistent.
- These two teams play at a medium pace and love to shoot the three ball. Both top 20 in three point attempts.
- There is a ton of variance in this game as the team that wins is the one that will hit more 3s.
- Wisconsin is better at defending the three while BYU is better at shooting the 3.
- BYU is playing very close to home in Denver, but there will be Badger fans as well.
- Wisconsin starts games off well, but they don’t always finish well.
- Wisconsin 1st half PK -120 – 1.5 stars
Sunday:
Baylor vs Duke -11.5 O/U 143.5 – Lenovo Center Raleigh NC
- This is essentially a home game for Duke.
- The Blue Devils are playing like an NBA team right now. Baylor is feisty, but they have no matchup advantages on offense and very few on defense.
- Baylor might be able to hang around for a little while, but this game could get ugly quick.
- Lean Baylor 1st half +6
St Mary’s vs Alabama -5.5 O/U 148.5 – Rocket Arena Cleveland OH
- This is an interesting pace war as Alabama is the fastest team while St Mary’s is the 4th slowest team in the country.
- The Total insinuates that Alabama sets more of the pace which tells your that the spread may be live here.
- The only matchup advantage that the Crimson tide have here is from the mid range. If Alabama isn’t hitting threes, then this game could get ugly for them.
- Alabama plays some pretty solid defense themselves. This is a perfect spread, but I lean St Mary’s in the first half.
- Lean St Mary’s 1st half +3
Oregon vs Arizona -3.5 O/U 152.5 – Climate Pledge Arena Seattle WA
- This is a home game for Oregon playing in Seattle.
- Both of these teams destroyed their competition in the first round, but I expect ths game to be a little tighter.
- Arizona is a fast paced team, but they are also very inconsistent.
- The only real matchup advantage that Arizona has is mid range shots, and they are the better rebounding team.
- Oregon has played some very good basketball down the stretch winning 9 of their last 10 games.
- These coaches know each other very well from their PAC12 days.
- Factoring in home court, this game should be closer to pickem.
- Oregon +3.5 – 2 stars
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Friday Free Play Video:
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