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We have a great show for you today! Two horse betting specialists in Shawn Knoche @TheGreatKnoche and Patrick Gates @Gatorbetting from The OddsBreakers are back to break down the 151st run for the roses! First, Kiev recaps the NFL draft and talks about some winners and losers. Next, Shawn and Patrick come on and the guys get right into the derby. What will the weather be like? Who are the favorites? Who are some sleepers? We also talk about a few other races as well as give out our thoughts on some of the horses that we will be keying in on for the big day! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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The PGA Tour heads to the Lone Star State for the 2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch. Let’s break down the course, key stats, and best bets for this week’s event.


The CJ Cup Byron Nelson is a longstanding PGA Tour event held annually in Texas, with a rich history dating back to its inception in 1944 as the Texas Victory Open. Named in honor of the legendary golfer Byron Nelson in 1968, the tournament has been hosted at various courses over the years, including Lakewood Country Club, Preston Trail Golf Club, and TPC Four Seasons. In 2021, the event found a new home at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, where it continues to attract top-tier talent. The tournament underwent a significant change in 2024 when the CJ Group became the title sponsor, rebranding it as The CJ Cup Byron Nelson.
| Duration | Course |
| 2021 – Present | TPC Craig Ranch |
| 2018 – 2019 | Trinity Forest Golf Club |
| 1994 – 2017 | The Tournament Players Course and the Cottonwood Valley Course (Four Seasons) |
| 1986 – 1993 | TPC at Las Colinas |
| 1983 – 1985 | Las Colinas Sports Club |
| 1968 – 1982 | Preston Trail Golf Club |
| 1958 – 1962; 1964; 1966 – 1967 | Oak Cliff Country Club |
| 1957 | Glen Lake Country Club |
| 1956 (May), 1956 (Jun) | Preston Hollow Country Club |
| 1946 | Brook Hollow Golf Club |
| 1945 | Dallas Country Club |
| 1944 | Lakewood Country Club |
Originally crafted by Tom Weiskopf in 2004, TPC Craig Ranch features a Par 71 layout, comprising four Par 3s, eleven Par 4s, and three Par 5s.
In terms of length, TPC Craig Ranch is one of the longest courses on Tour measuring 7,569 yards. It ranks 3 out of 44 courses in length. The fairways are on the wider side, ranking 8 of 44, with the average fairway width being 37.0 yards. The average green size is roughly 6,778 square feet which is on the larger side when compared to the other courses on the PGA Tour.
The four Par 3’s range between 147 yards and 232 yards. In the last edition of this event, all of the Par 3’s had a scoring average over par except for No. 4 and No. 17.
No. 7, 232 Yards, Par 3: “This is a large green that slopes back to front. It is best to miss your tee shot short right, this will give you the best opportunity to get up and down.”
No. 17, 147 Yards, Par 3: “A true sleeper par 3, don’t let the yardage fool you. The wind will make hitting this green a true test. Any shot coming up short will be punished by the false front on the green and may roll back into the front bunker.”
There are eleven Par 4’s at TPC Craig Ranch with the majority of those holes ranging between 450 and 500 yards. No. 6 is the shortest listed at 361 yards with the longest being No. 13, playing 512 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 on the course last year was No. 12 (+0.177).
No. 6, 361 Yards, Par 4: “This is a short par 4 that brings a lot of strategy into play. The fairway is well protected by bunkers, if you want to attack this hole finding the fairway is a must. If you hit driver off the tee and get to close to the green, attacking a front pin location is difficult. This is one of our smallest greens, be aggressive if find the fairway and have a wedge in your hand.”
No. 14, 362 Yards, Par 4: “This short par four is a through risk/reward hole. The shorter hitters have to decide what yardage second shot they want to have, there is more room right off the tee than appears. Most big hitter will take on the green, the bunkers right are always there to catch a bail out shot. This is one of our most undulated greens, you have to be accurate with your wedges if you want to make birdie.”
No. 16, 492 Yards, Par 4: “A long and testing par four, into the wind this hole will challenge the best of players. You have to avoid the bunkers down the left if you want to hit this green in two. The bunkers front right hide what is one of the biggest greens on the course. Hitting the middle of this green is never a bad play. There is a severe slope on the left side of the green, and getting up and down from the chipping area is hard.”
There are three Par 5s on the course, No. 5, No. 9, and No. 18. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2024. The easiest hole on the course last year was No. 18 with a scoring average of 4.415.
No. 9, 564 Yards, Par 5: “This is a tough tee shot on a windy day because of the forced carry. Plenty of room right off the tee, playing down the left side will result in more run out and better angle to the green. The big decision you have to make is with your lay up, being aggressive and taking on the creek opens up the green for third shot. This green has three tiers, distance and spin control with your wedge shot is a must.”
No. 18, 552 Yards, Par 5: “Another risk/reward hole to finish, there is a large landing area for those who have to lay up. The longer hitter off the tee will have an approach shot between 220-250 to the middle of the green. This green has two distinct levels, and if you want to make birdie being on the correct level is a must.”

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 14
The CJ CUP Byron Nelson takes place at TPC Craig Ranch. Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.
| Statistics | PGA Tour Average | TPC Craig Ranch |
| Driving Distance (Yards) | 283.87 | 294.10 |
| Driving Accuracy | 62% | 61% |
| GIR Percentage | 66% | 71% |
| Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet) | 29.17 | 34.17 |
| Scrambling Percentage | 58% | 66% |
| Avg 3 Putts / Round | 0.55 | 0.40 |
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at TPC Craig Ranch.


Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Driving Distance Gained
Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards
Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards
Par 5 Scoring: 550 – 600 Yards
Birdies or Better Gained
Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards

Course History & Comparable Courses

The 2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson will feature a field of 156 players, with just two of the top 20 in the Official World Golf Ranking set to compete.



Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:
| Golfer | Odds | Last 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR (Recent -> Past) | Last 5 Finishes at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson (Recent -> Past) |
| Scottie Scheffler | +280 | T8-4-T2-T20-T11 | T5-T15-T47 |
| Jordan Spieth | +1800 | T18-T14-T12-T28-59 | MC-2-T9 |
| Sungjae Im | +2200 | T11-T5-60-T61-T19 | – |
| Byeong Hun An | +2500 | T38-T21-T16-T52-T8 | T4-T14 |
Since moving to TPC Craig Ranch in 2021, the CJ CUP Byron Nelson has yet to be decided by a playoff.
2024: (1) – Raul Pereda (Hole No. 7)
2023: No Aces were recorded,
| CJ Cup Byron Nelson | AT&T Byron Nelson | AT&T Byron Nelson | AT&T Byron Nelson | ||
| TPC Craig Ranch | TPC Craig Ranch | TPC Craig Ranch | TPC Craig Ranch | ||
| Golfer | Events Played | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Byeong-Hun An | 3 | 4 | 14 | – | – |
| Carson Young | 2 | 30 | 14 | – | – |
| Stephan Jaeger | 5 | 20 | 11 | 38 | – |
| Si Woo Kim | 4 | 13 | 2 | MC | 55 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 5 | – | 5 | 15 | 47 |
| Seamus Power | 7 | MC | 19 | 17 | 9 |
| Jordan Spieth | 12 | MC | – | 2 | 9 |
| CJ Cup Byron Nelson | AT&T Byron Nelson | AT&T Byron Nelson | AT&T Byron Nelson | ||
| TPC Craig Ranch | TPC Craig Ranch | TPC Craig Ranch | TPC Craig Ranch | ||
| Golfer | Events Played | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Mac Meissner | 3 | MC | MC | MC | – |
| Pierceson Coody | 3 | MC | MC | – | MC |
| Greyson Sigg | 3 | MC | MC | MC | – |
| Harry Higgs | 3 | – | MC | MC | MC |
| Scott Gutschewski | 5 | MC | – | MC | – |
| George McNeill | 10 | – | MC | – | MC |
| Erik van Rooyen | 2 | – | MC | – | MC |
| Chez Reavie | 11 | MC | – | MC | – |
| Matthias Schmid | 2 | MC | MC | – | – |
| Kevin Kisner | 5 | MC | – | MC | – |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Taylor Pendrith | 6th | 4th | 38th | 3rd | 14th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Jason Day | 12th | 1st | 3rd | 31st | 28th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| K.H. Lee | 20th | 5th | 8th | 10th | 13th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| K.H. Lee | 23rd | 2nd | 2nd | 24th | 9th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Sung Kang | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2024: Taylor Pendrith
2023: Jason Day
| 2022 | 2021 | 2017 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | |
| Jason Day | T51 | MC | 2 | T27 | T9 | 5 | WON |
2022: K.H. Lee
| 2021 | 2019 | |
| K.H. Lee | WON | MDF |
2021: K.H. Lee
| 2019 | |
| K.H. Lee | MDF |
2019: Sung Kang
| 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2012 | 2011 | |
| Sung Kang | T42 | T20 | T34 | MC | MC |
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
Cubs vs Pirates +132 O/U 9
The Cubs and Pirates are set to face off tonight at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The game starts at 6:40 PM ET (3:40 PM MST). Here’s a detailed preview:
Prediction: Cubs Ace Shota Imanaga is boasting a solid 3.2 ERA. His FIP could be better, but if you looked at the teams that he has pitched against, all is understood. Andrew Heaney is at the helm for the Pirates who has been great this year with a 1.72 ERA, but this is more of the exception than the norm as he finished the last two years over 4.25. The Cubs have the better bats than the Pirates, but I am not so sure that the Bullpen holds up. The Cubs have lost two games in a row to the Phillies, and I think after a day’s rest, this team bounces back at least for half the game.
Cubs 1st 5 -140 – 1 star
Prediction:
I do not see a close game here. Sasaki is young, but he already has a decent ERA of 3.2. Mitch Keller is a journeyman that has been with the pirates for some time now. If you look at his numbers, they are not bad at around a 4.0 ERA, but for some reason when he plays the Dodgers, his ERA jumps to over 7.5. The Dodgers have the better Bullpen and are the much better hitting team. I think this one isn’t close as the weather looks ok with the wind blowing out in LA.
Dodgers -1.5 -127 – 1 star
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The 2025 NFL Draft is here! We talked about a lot of our plays over the past few weeks, and here is some of the ones that we like at the current numbers. Keep in mind that nobody really knows anything past the first three picks. It’s all about value. Best of luck to you all!
Total 1st round RBs under 2.5 -155 – .5 stars (DK) – I can’t say for sure that teams will make the right choice here and wait on RBs, but the numbers show really no difference between the 2nd best and the 5th.
Cowboys 1st pick OL +280 – .25 stars (DK) – Dem boys probably will go wide receiver, but O line is certainly in play as Tmac could be off of the board by then.
Vikings 1st pick S +320 – .25 stars (FD) – This team is in great need of a safety. The number is just too good not to play it.
James Pearce under 31.5 -140 (DK) – .25 stars – This kid was looked at as the potential first pick for a while. He is the fastest edge in this draft. Too good for 2nd round.
Broncos 1st pick WR +400 – .25 stars (DK) – .25 stars – Are you going to tell me that the Broncos are going to go into next season with just Sutton and Mims?
2nd RB picked Cam Skattebo +10000 (DK) – .25 stars – I am just flat out playing the number here. There isn’t any consensus on RBs after Jeanty.
Best of luck everyone!
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