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College Football National Championship January 20th Sports Betting – Ohio State vs Notre Dame – College Football 2024/2025
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Monday, Jan. 20
CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T: Ohio State vs Notre Dame +8.5 O/U 45.5
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
Time: 7:30 p.m.
TV Network: ESPN
All Motivated.
Home: None as both fan bases will come hard.
Key Guys Missing:
Notre Dame:
- LT Anthony Knapp went out last game and will miss the championship.
- RB Jeremiyah Love questionable.
- DT Team Captain Rylie Mills out for the season.
- TE Cooper Flanagan is out with a foot injury.
Ohio State:
- C Seth McLaughlin is out
- OT Josh Simmons is out.
Postseason Coach ATS:
- Notre Dame: Marcus Freeman, 4-0
- Ohio State: Ryan Day, 5-4
Net YPP: Ohio State +1.04
Basic Stats:
Key Stats: Wow, where do I start here. Ohio State certainly has the highest upside ranking 2nd in offensive EPA. They can run the ball and pass the ball to their future NFL wide receivers when needed. Notre Dame ranks a modest 8th in offensive EPA, but they do not pass the ball all that well ranking 47th in passing EPA. On defense it is really a push as both defenses rank top two in EPA. Notre dame tends to allow a lot more on the ground as we saw during the first half against Penn State, but they really tighten up in the red zone.
Verdict: Let’s face it, Notre Dame is the better team coached team but Ohio State is better by the numbers and we can see that. I think that the intangibles can play a big part in this game. I think that the coaching edge goes to Marcus Freeman. I also really like offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock who should have watched Texas throw the ball very successfully to their running backs on wheel routs in the semi-finals. I also think that Al Golden may be the best thing that Notre Dame has had for the last 50+ years running the defense. He will understand Ohio State offensive coordinator Chip Kelley and his schemes quite well.
Ohio State went on a pretty bad cold spell against Texas and virtually lost all momentum. The box score only has Ohio State out-gaining Texas by 29 yards and that is including that end of the first half explosive play from Treveon Henderson. If it wasn’t for the fumble 6 that swung that game 14 points, Texas might have won that game in overtime. I have Notre Dame better than Texas. This number should be Ohio State by about 6 points and that is giving them some extra love for their recent performances against Tennessee and Oregon. There is some concern that Notre Dame lost their left tackle against Penn State in Anthony Knapp. This is true but if you remember, the original starting left tackle Charles Jagusah is back from injury. He played guard last game, but could slide into left tackle if needed. Tosh Baker is a great job at left tackle filling in so they might just stay at their positions. Lastly, Ohio State might have the passing advantage over Notre Dame’s offense, but the Irish rank number 1 in the country at opponent QBR. If anyone can slow down the Buckeye’s, it’s the Irish. I have this ending in a one score game. Take the points.
Notre Dame +8.5 – 1.5 stars – Look at Notre Dame running back receiving props as well!
Podcast 670 – 6 – 25 – NFL Week Divisional Recap – College Football National Championship & Prop Plays – Sports Betting
We have a great show for you today! Kiev goes solo to recap the weekend and get into some college football national championship props! First, we get into the good the bad and the ugly. Then, Kiev talks about the early NFL numbers. Where is his lean? Finally, Kiev talks about the Natty between Ohio State and Notre Dame with three Free Prop Plays! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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NFL Divisional Weekend Sunday Fun-day Plays – Sports Betting – Rams vs Eagles – Ravens vs Bills
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie USE PROMO CODE Basketball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASKETBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Clic k here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025 Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeil To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business! Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season! 2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U 2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U 2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U 63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI 55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI 56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U 55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI 63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS! 54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI 38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI 62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Rams vs Eagles -6.5 O/U 42.5
This may be a great game on the eyes today as the 10-7 Rams visit the 14-3 Eagles in what is looking like a snow game! Let’s start right away with the advanced metrics. Due to Rams very early injuries, we have to start EPA from week 9 ending week 17 due to players resting week 18 on both teams. The Eagles are 6th in offensive EPA. They are 9th in drop-back EPA and 1st in rush EPA. The Rams are 13th in offensive EPA. They are 11th in drop-back EPA and 17th in rush EPA. On Defense, the Eagles are 1st in defensive EPA, 1st in drop-back EPA, and 1st in rush EPA. Respectively, the Rams are 15th in defensive EPA, 19th in drop-back EPA and 11th in rush EPA. If you look since week 13, the Rams are in the top 10 in offensive EPA. The Rams finished the last few weeks of the season a bit better than the Eagles did especially when you look at strength of schedule. The Eagles have a +1 net yards per play advantage, and they are also the more efficient team.
The Nakobe Dean injury for the birds I think is massive, and it could not have come at a worse time. The Market isn’t reflecting it as much as they should as I believe the Rams will have success running the football. The Eagles are the best at guarding receivers and tight ends in the league. Maybe a Puka Nakua or a Cooper Kupp under prop is in order. With the Philly linebacker issues, I think rushing prop Kyren Williams over is in play. We have to respect how well the Rams are playing as of late and the fact that they have the better coach. If it wasn’t for the Nakobe Dean Injury, this number should be closer to seven. I think it should be around five. The snow here is also screaming dog. The total is dropping as we type this. Taking the Rams with some props.
Rams +6.5 – 2 stars
Kyren Williams over 75.5 rushing yards – .5 stars
Ravens vs Bills +1 O/U 51
This is the best game of the NFL season as my top two teams are facing off in the quarter finals. Let’s hope we do not have the refs deciding the game like we did in the Chiefs game. Both of these teams rested in week 18, so lets look at the EPA numbers up to week 17. The Bills are 1st in offensive EPA. They are 2nd in drop-back EPA and 3rd in rush EPA. The Ravens 2nd in offensive EPA. They are 1st in drop-back EPA and number 2 in rush EPA. On the defensive side of the ball, the Bills are number 12 in defensive EPA, 19th in drop-back EPA and 5th in rush EPA. The Ravens are14th in defensive EPA, 18th drop-back EPA and 4thin rush EPA. The Ravens have a big 1.1 net yards per play advantage. These teams are very identical. The Ravens have a great success rate as they always get the first down. The Bills are the much more efficient team as they have the more explosive plays and rank much higher in offensive and defensive yards per point. The Bills numbers are a little bit misleading on defense as they lost a few linebackers like Milano and Bernard during the season, yet both are back healthy. This is the healthiest that I have seen this Buffalo team this late in the season. The Ravens will be without their star wide receiver in Zay Flowers. I have the Ravens as the slightly better team in my power ratings, but the home field for the Bills might be all that they need. Lamar hasn’t great in the cold or in the playoffs in the past. This game will go to clutch performances. Josh Allen maybe the most clutch performer next to Patrick Mahomes in the NFL. Lamar has not proven it for me. He loses in the playoffs and I do not see why it would change now. Until it does, water is wet, the sky is blue. Fade the Ravens in the Playoffs.
From a prop perspective both Baltimore and Buffalo are top 4 in allowing receiving yards to running backs. Maybe look at a Ty Johnson/James Cook receiving prop and definitely a Justice Hill receiving prop over. Last matchup he had 78 yards against the Bills.
Bills PK +100 – 2 stars
Justice Hill over 23.5 rec yards – 1.5 stars
Ty Johnson anytime TD +550 – 2.5 stars
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College Basketball Saturday Super Plays – Tennessee vs Vanderbilt – Sports Betting
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt +6 O/U 141.5
This should be a fun game with two in-state rivals in the Vols vs The Commodores. I really need to ask though, are these teams really rivals? Vanderbilt has finally become relevant with coach Byington this season with a nice 1403 record. Looking into that record though, their best win was against number 66 on Kenpom in Nevada. Vanderbilt doesn’t have many advantages over Tennessee as they will be beaten badly from three point land as the Vols rank number 1 in defending the three. Tennessee is one of the best rebounding teams out there ranking 2nd in adjusted offensive rebounding. They are going to score some points here. I think now at 14-3 the Commodores will be taken seriously. The Vols rank 24th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 4th on defense, while Vandy ranks 51st and 63rd respectively on an easy schedule. Tennessee is the much taller team and will bully Vandy down low. I think that Tennessee has felt that big road loss at Florida last week and will show up this game. Vanderbilt is a paper tiger. Lay the road chalk with the Vols.
Tennessee -6 – 2.5 stars
NFL Divisional Weekend Saturday Super Plays – Texans vs Chiefs & Commanders vs Lions
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie USE PROMO CODE Basketball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASKETBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Clic k here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2025 Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeil To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business! Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season! 2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U 2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U 2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U 63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI 55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI 56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U 55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI 63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS! 54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI 38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI 62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Texans vs Chiefs -8.5 O/U 41.5
Let’s get started with the Houston Texan’s usual spot on Saturday! The Texans are feeling pretty hot yet the Chiefs are on over 20 days rest. Is that much rest a good thing? Maybe there could be some rust, but Andy Reid has proven that it is in fact good for the Chiefs. Kansas City is number 9 in EPA on offense. They are 10th in drop-back EPA and 13th in rush EPA. Houston ranks 21st in EPA. They are 21st in drop-back EPA and 23rd in Rush EPA. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs rank 15th in defensive EPA, 15th in drop-back EPA, and 11th in rush EPA. The Texans rank 6th in defensive EPA, 7th in drop-back EPA, and 6th in rush EPA. Looking at the numbers, it is easy to see why the total is so low as both teams metrically matchup pretty equal. Even net yards per play is at a net 0. I think I like the Texans to keep it close or at least back door this spread. The Chiefs have not covered big numbers this year and they just care about getting the W. The Chiefs allow 70.1 yards per game to tight ends. I think a prop on Dalton Shultz makes some good sense. I think that the Chiefs should win this, but this spread is a bit too much.
Texans +8.5 – 2 stars – Dalton Shultz over 38.5 rec yards – 1 star
Commanders vs Lions -8.5 O/U 55.5
This is gonna be a great game to watch if the high total lives up to it’s number. The Lions are 3rd in offensive EPA. They are 3rd in drop-back EPA and 5th in rush EPA. The Commies are 4th in offensive EPA. They are 4th in drop-back EPA and 4th in rush EPA. From the defensive side of the ball, the Lions are 7th in defensive EPA, 6th in drop-back EPA, and 12th in rush EPA. The Commanders are 22nd in defensive EPA, 13th in drop-back EPA, and rough 27th in rush EPA. Detroit has a +.3 net yards per play advantage. Detroit is more efficient in yards per point on both offense and defense. Looking at the numbers, the Lions should be able to run the ball whenever they want to, and especially since David Montgomery is back. This isn’t good for an over. There are also issues with the fact that the Commanders are over 80% in fourth down conversions and will go for them. The Lions give up the most yards to wide receivers, yet it is also because of the shootouts they are in. Some Terry McLauren or a Dyami Brown Props may be live. The Lions are very thin at defense, yet they are still somehow still playing great. Any big injury may call for a live bet on Washington. The Commanders allow the least receiving yards to running backs at only 22.8, but that could be due to the bad division. This spread is probably a tad too high. The Lions are just too efficient on offense. I think a seven would be more of a fair number. Let’s attack the prop market instead.
Dyami Brown over 35.5 rec yards – .5 stars – Total Punts under 6.5 -170 – 1 star
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NHL: Penguins/Sabres
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