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NFL Week 15 Sunday Fun-Day Plays – Sports Betting –
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Steelers vs Eagles -5.5 O/U 43
The Battle for Pennsylvania is on! I do not quite understand this line. Is it true that the Eagles are one of the best teams in the league? Yes, but I also didn’t see them beating anyone special. Ok, they beat the Ravens a few weeks back, but that victory was more on the field goal kicker Justin Tucker who couldn’t hit water falling out of a boat. I do not see any wins against the Lions, or the Vikings, or the Packers. In offense, I give the nod to the Eagles as they rank 6th in offensive EPA to the Steelers at 15, but on defense, the Steelers are 5th in EPA to the Eagles at 7th. From a health perspective, both teams are looking pretty good with just a few injuries, but I think that the Brandon Graham injury for the Eagles might come back and bite them today. This guy has been a leader of this defense for years. The weather outside will be cold at 40 degrees with a slight chance of rain. I could see Najee Harris having a big day on the ground. I think the steel curtain comes out on defense as well. I think the Eagles win the game but by three or less points.
Steelers +5.5 – 2 stars
Teaser: Vikings to -.5 with the Cowboys to +8.5 – 2.5 stars – The Bears are awful and I could see an easy win for the Vikings. The Cowboys probably should be favored against the Panthers.
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College Football Saturday Super Play – Sports Betting – Navy vs Army – Bowl Lean

Navy vs Army -6.5 O/U 39
I watch this game every year, and I can tell you right now that this line isn’t correct. This amazing game tends to go under the total and there are valid reasons for that. First of all, there are no better teams to stop the option then option teams themselves. These teams know exactly how each offense runs the ball. In a low scoring game, it is best to look at the dog. Navy is a strange +6.5 points here. The reason for this line is that Navy hasn’t finished the season well. What nobody is talking about is that Navy quarterback Blake Horvath has been dealing with injuries, and is much better coming into this game. Looking at the numbers, Navy has had the stronger schedule on Sagarin ranking 88th to Army at 114th. Both teams run the ball quite well, but both defenses struggle about the same against the run ranking in the 100s in defensive rushing success rate. That should not matter quite as much as I stated, both teams know what to expect. I expect both teams to pass the ball some to keep the defenses honest. Navy is actually the better passing team at 128 passing yards per game to Army at 83. Navy is also the more explosive team. The X factor that I find is that Navy has switched up their option to more T formations, which could confuse Army some in their gap control. Grab the points here in this game and sprinkle the ML.
Navy +6.5 – 2.5 stars
Saturday, Dec. 14
IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl: South Alabama vs. Western Michigan +8.5 O/U 58
Location: Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama)
Time: 9 p.m.
TV Network: ESPN
South Alabama’s Motivation: Medium Low – They stay in the state, but Major Applewhite is only 0-3 ATS in bowl games.
Western Michigan’s Motivation: Medium – They will want to win, but may take this as a vacation in Alabama.
Home: University of South Alabama is only 172 miles away! They will be basically the home team and will give them 2 points.
Key Guy’s missing:
South Alabama:
- Starting QB Gio Lopez (maybe)
- RB Fluff Bothwell (leading rusher; 111-832-13)
- Starting CB Jordan Scruggs
Western Michigan:
- Stud TE Blake Bosma (most receptions on team; 37-403-6)
- DE Corey Walker (best edge rusher)
- DL Anterio Thompson (410 snaps)
Net YPP: South Alabama +1.1
Basic Stats:

Key Stats: There is nothing more key than Gio Lopez missing from this game as Bishop Davenport is a step down, but I will say that South Alabama should be able to run all over this team.
Coach Bowl ATS:
- South Alabama: Major Applewhite, 0-3
- Western Michigan: Lance Taylor, 0-0
Verdict: Wait to bet on South Alabama. If Lopez is in, I think that this number should be north of 10.
Play: Lean USA!
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College Football PLAYOFF SURVIVOR!
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