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NCAAF: Army/Navy
NCAAF: SALA/WMU
NBA: OKC/Hou
NHL: TB/Sea
NCAAB: A&M/Purdue
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College Football Saturday Super Play – Sports Betting – Navy vs Army – Bowl Lean
Navy vs Army -6.5 O/U 39
I watch this game every year, and I can tell you right now that this line isn’t correct. This amazing game tends to go under the total and there are valid reasons for that. First of all, there are no better teams to stop the option then option teams themselves. These teams know exactly how each offense runs the ball. In a low scoring game, it is best to look at the dog. Navy is a strange +6.5 points here. The reason for this line is that Navy hasn’t finished the season well. What nobody is talking about is that Navy quarterback Blake Horvath has been dealing with injuries, and is much better coming into this game. Looking at the numbers, Navy has had the stronger schedule on Sagarin ranking 88th to Army at 114th. Both teams run the ball quite well, but both defenses struggle about the same against the run ranking in the 100s in defensive rushing success rate. That should not matter quite as much as I stated, both teams know what to expect. I expect both teams to pass the ball some to keep the defenses honest. Navy is actually the better passing team at 128 passing yards per game to Army at 83. Navy is also the more explosive team. The X factor that I find is that Navy has switched up their option to more T formations, which could confuse Army some in their gap control. Grab the points here in this game and sprinkle the ML.
Navy +6.5 – 2.5 stars
Saturday, Dec. 14
IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl: South Alabama vs. Western Michigan +8.5 O/U 58
Location: Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama)
Time: 9 p.m.
TV Network: ESPN
South Alabama’s Motivation: Medium Low – They stay in the state, but Major Applewhite is only 0-3 ATS in bowl games.
Western Michigan’s Motivation: Medium – They will want to win, but may take this as a vacation in Alabama.
Home: University of South Alabama is only 172 miles away! They will be basically the home team and will give them 2 points.
Key Guy’s missing:
South Alabama:
- Starting QB Gio Lopez (maybe)
- RB Fluff Bothwell (leading rusher; 111-832-13)
- Starting CB Jordan Scruggs
Western Michigan:
- Stud TE Blake Bosma (most receptions on team; 37-403-6)
- DE Corey Walker (best edge rusher)
- DL Anterio Thompson (410 snaps)
Net YPP: South Alabama +1.1
Basic Stats:
Key Stats: There is nothing more key than Gio Lopez missing from this game as Bishop Davenport is a step down, but I will say that South Alabama should be able to run all over this team.
Coach Bowl ATS:
- South Alabama: Major Applewhite, 0-3
- Western Michigan: Lance Taylor, 0-0
Verdict: Wait to bet on South Alabama. If Lopez is in, I think that this number should be north of 10.
Play: Lean USA!
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College Football PLAYOFF SURVIVOR!
College Football Playoff Survivor is here! We are throwing up a contest that will bring fun and joy to the holiday season!
Entrants that select only winners will advance to the next slate. The entrant that makes it the furthest takes home the whole prize. If all remaining entrants are eliminated in the same slate, they will all be considered winners and will all split the prize. For CFB Playoffs First Round you will be required to select 3 teams per slate. For CFB Playoffs Quarterfinals you will be required to select 2 teams per slate.
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Podcast 659 – 104 – 24 – NFL Week 15 – College Bowl Motivation – Army Navy – College Survivor – Sports Betting
We have a HUGE show for you today! Kiev O’Neil @OBKIev goes solo to talk NFL and College Football bowl motivation! First, Kiev talks about some NFL ATS and Totals trends! Next, he gets right into NFL week 14 with a bunch of analysis and Free Plays! Then, Kiev gives out his refuse to lose teaser that is 9-4 for the season. After that, Kiev talks some college bowl odds, locations, home field advantages and motivation! Then, we talk some Army vs Navy with another free play as well as Saturday’s bowl game. Finally, we get into some NFL sharp money movement and recap our plays! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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NFL Week 14 Misleading Final Scores
The Lions out-gained the Packers 391 to 298 yet only won 34-31. Equal turnovers at one but some bad red zone early got the Lions.
The Browns out-gained the Steelers 300 to 267 yet lost 27-14. A 3-1 turnover ratio and bad special teams hurt the Brownies.
The Panthers out-gained the Eagles 302 to 292 yet lost 22-16. A 1-0 turnover ratio and bad field position made it rough. They almost won the game.
The Falcons out-gained the Vikings 496 to 433 yet lost 42-21. A bad 3-0 turnover ratio and poor red zone sniped the birds.
The Jets out-gained the Dolphins 402 to 375 yet lost in oT 32-26. Equal turnovers at 0 but 10 penalties and bad overtime rule got the Jets.
NFL Week 15 Betting Spots
Let Down Spots:
- The Seahawks could flatten out hosting Green Bay after leading the division.
Get Up Spots:
- The Packers need to get up at Seattle after the Lion’s loss.
- The Bills need to win at the Lions after the rough loss in LA.
- The Falcons need a slump buster in Las Vegas.
- The Chargers need to get up after rough Chiefs loss.
Look Ahead Spots:
- The Vikings could look past the Bears to the Seahawks.
Short Rest:
- The Cowboys after Monday Night at the Panthers.
- The Bengals after Monday Night at the Titans.
Long Rest:
- The Lions after Thursday Night hosting the Bills.
- The Packers after Thursday Night at the Seahawks.
- The Ravens after the bye at the NY Giants.
- The Texans after the bye hosting the Dolphins.
- The Patriots after the bye at Cardinals.
- The Commanders after the bye at Saints.
College Football Week 15 Misleading Final Scores
Army only out-gained Tulane 352 to 324 yet won 35-14. A 2-0 turnover ratio and terrible red zone got the Green Wave.
Boise State only out-gained UNLV 373 to 327 yet won 21-7. A 1-0 turnover ratio and terrible red zone got the Rebels. Boise State only had 1 penalty.
Texas out-gained Georgia 389 to 277 yet lost 22-19 in overtime. A 3-2 turnover ratio, 11 penalties, bad red zone and biased officiating got the Longhorns.
SMU out-gained Clemson 458 to 326 yet lost 34-31 in overtime. A 2-0 turnover ratio and terrible officiating got the Stangs.
Penn State out-gained Oregon 518 to 466 yet lost 45-37. A rough 2-0 turnover ratio got the Nittany Lions.
