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Fantasy Football Week 12
Bye Weeks: Falcons, Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets
Key Injuries:
WR Darnell Mooney with a hammy.
TE Jake Ferguson out with Concussion.
RB Alexander Mattison with an ankle Injury.
RB Zamir White with a quad injury.
RB Tyjae Spears with a concussion.
WR Ladd McConkey had a shoulder strain.
WR Puka Nakua had a concussion like injury.
Waiver Wire:
QB Tommy Devito for the Giants has won a starting roll.
RB Jonathan Brooks for the Panthers will make his debut against the Chiefs.
RB Ameer Abdullah could be a huge pickup this week for the Raiders RB injuries.
RB Julius Chestnut for the Titans could be important.
WR Casey Washington for the Mooney injury might be a streamer in two weeks.
WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine had 6 targets and a long touchdown.
TE Noah Gray is getting a lot more targets these days in KC. Two touchdowns!
TE Will Dissley was great for the chargers. He got the first TD of the game.
WR Elijah Moore is getting lots of targets in Cleveland.
WR Xavier Worthy had some big plays at the Bills.
WR Rome Odunze had 10 targets for the Bears.
QB Drake Maye is a good bye week filler.
QB Trevor Lawrence if you are desperate.
RB Cam Akers as Jones is banged up.
Sleepers:
QB Bo Nix at the Raiders is big.
RB Rachaad White vs the Giants is nice.
RB Rico Dowdle vs the Commanders is important.
RB Cam Akers vs the Bears may be good.
WR Quentin Johnson against the Ravens is massive.
WR Jauan Jennings vs the Packers could be great.
QB Justin Herbert also against the Ravens is big.
WR Tank Dell against the Jaguars is big.
WR Rome Odunze vs the Vikings might be good.
QB Anthony Richardson vs the Lions could get some yards.
WR Jakoby Meyers against Denver is all they have.
DEF Washington Commanders have a good matchup against the Cowboys.
Busts:
QB Matt Stafford against the Eagles isn’t good.
RB JK Dobbins could struggle against the Ravens if Roquan Smith is not injured.
RB Chubba Hubbard against a mad Chiefs team is rough.
WR Ceedee Lamb against Washington is broken.
QB Jordan Love against the pissed off 49ers isn’t fun.
QB Sam Darnold may struggle against the Bears.
RB Raheem Mostert is toast for Miami. Lost his job.
QB Jameis Winston against the Steelers is rough.
Nasty Sleeper: RB Tyrone Tracy for the Giants.
Podcast 650 – 95 – 24 – College Football & NFL Recap – Fantasy Football Week 12 – Sports Betting
We have a GREAT show for you today! Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who has a short week? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally Dave comes back as we break down some fantasy football. We talk key injuries, waiver wire, sleepers and busts! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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College Football Week 11 Saturday Super Plays – Tennessee vs Georgia – Sports Betting
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie!
https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie
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Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!
2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
USF vs Charlotte +2.5 O/U 53
This is a good betting game for the weekend slate. Neither team is bowl eligible, but the 49ers are fighting for their lives having to win the last three. The reason that USF is favored here is due to their defense. In saying that, I think that their numbers are inflated some. It is true the bulls rank 41st in defensive success rate, but their strength of schedule only ranks 79th compared to Charlotte who ranks 55th. USF ranks 78th in defensive EPA while Charlotte ranks 91st. On Offense, both teams are bad ranking 118th for USF and 120th in success rate for Charlotte. No real advantage there. Yards per play is close to equal as they are both around a net -.8. What I like about Charlotte here is that they just had to play three very rough games against the top three in the ACC in Navy, Memphis and Tulane. They are also coming off of the bye week with time to fix some of those turnover issues. I think the spot screams Charlotte here while South Florida may still be on their backup quarterback. Take the 49ers.
Charlotte +2.5 – 2 stars
Tennessee vs Georgia -9.5 O/U 48.5
Sometimes you have to use almost the exact same handicap as you did the week before. We are in that spot again, except with a much larger point spread. What would the line be last week on Ole Miss if they were playing Tennessee at home? Maybe six or seven points? Georgia is laying a lot here and I do not think that it is warranted. Just like last week, I have to say that the Bulldogs have two advantages here. Coaching is number one and strength of schedule is number two. In saying that, Tennessee, like Ole Miss, also has better numbers than Georgia. The Vols have a .79 net yards per play advantage over the Bulldogs. The Vols rank 22nd in offensive success rate and 46th in offensive EPA while the Dogs rank 33rd in offensive success rate and 44th in offensive EPA respectively. On defense, the Vols rank number 2 in success rate and number 4 in defensive EPA. The Bulldogs rank 14th and 20th respectively. Imagine wearing a blindfold to the actual team names here to not see that it’s Georgia hosting Tennessee. Would that make a difference in choosing to take over seven points? The Dogs are 2-7 ATS thus far. I have to keep rolling against them Dogs and take the Vols.
Tennessee +9.5 – 2 stars
College Football Friday Freebie – Sports Betting – Oregon State vs Air Force
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie USE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024 Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeil To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business! Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season! 55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24! 2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U 2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U 2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U 63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI 55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI 56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U 55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI 63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS! 54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI 38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI 62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Oregon State vs Air Force +3.5 O/U 45.5
This is a nice under-the-radar game to bet on for Saturday. Service academies are always the same. When there isn’t much change, they are solid bet on teams after week 3 or so. When there is change, they are big fade teams for 3/4 of the season. Well, now we are past that, and it’s time to grab some value. Since losing to New Mexico back in early October, the Falcons have improved that defense only allowing 21 to Colorado State, 20 to Army, and 28 to Fresno State where they won that game. Their rush defense has improved some. Oregon State on the other hand has still been hot garbage since they lost everyone last season. This team can’t buy a win in the mountain west since early against Colorado State. They cannot stop the run ranking 119th in defensive rushing success rate and 119th in opponent rush EPA. This is a simple control the time of possession and stop the other team spot. Use the force.
Air Force +3.5 – 2 stars
NFL Week 11 Sharp Money Movement
As Of Thursday 11/14
Sharp Money On:
- Vikings -5 to -6 at the Titans – 79% tickets and 91% of the money.
- Lions -12.5 to -14 hosting the Jaguars – 81% tickets and 89% of the money.
- Dolphins -6.5 to -7.5 hosting the Raiders – 72% tickets and 80% of the money.
Sharp Totals:
- Jaguars vs Lions under 50 to 46.5 – 28% tickets and 42% of the money.
- Raiders vs Dolphins under 47 to 44 – 28% tickets and 78% of the money.
- Colts vs Jets under 46 to 44 – 25% tickets and 62% of the money.
- Seahawks vs 49ers over 46.5 to 48.5 – 64% tickets and 77% of the money.
