Running back Demetric Felton #10 of the UCLA Bruins celebrates with teammates after running for a 75 yard touchdown against the Oregon State Beavers in the second half of a NCAA football game at the Rose Bowl on Saturday, Oct. 5, 2019 in Pasadena, California. Oregon State Beavers won 48-31. (Photo by Keith Birmingham, Pasadena Star-News/SCNG)
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We have a GREAT show for you today! Kiev is under the weather and goes solo to break down a huge weekend of games. First, Kiev talks about some NFL ATS and Totals trends! Next, we get into NFL week 11 with a bunch of analysis and Free Plays! No new beer bet bangers this week so please get this week’s from our last show with Ron. Finally, we get into some NFL sharp money movement and recap our plays! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Tonight’s NHL slate is loaded with action, with ten games scheduled across the league.
Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!
Picks/ Props:
New Jersey Devils @ Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers (-160) – BetMGM
These teams just faced off on Tuesday, with the New Jersey Devils taking a 4-1 win despite being outshot 35-23. Jacob Markstrom (NJD) and Spenser Knight were the goaltenders in that game, with Markstrom finishing at +2.65 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) and Knight at -0.44 GSAx. Tonight, Sergei Bobrovsky will start for Florida, while Jake Allen is in net for New Jersey. Interestingly, the Devils have struggled at home this season with a 4-3-2 record, while Florida has excelled on the road at 6-2-0. Given Florida’s overall strength, they have a solid chance to bounce back tonight against a team that recently bested them.
San Jose Sharks @ New York Rangers
Mika Zibanejad over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
Zibanejad is currently skating on New York’s top line with Kreider and Smith and also plays on the Rangers’ top power-play unit.
In his last five games, Zibanejad has hit his shots-on-goal target three times, averaging 2.4 shots on goal and 4.0 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal at a 62.5% rate compared to just 16.7% on the road.
San Jose ranks 31st in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 34.2. Breaking it down further, the Sharks have allowed the 5th most shots on goal per game to forwards this season (22.69).
Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Victor Hedman over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-105) – DraftKings
Hedman is currently skating on Tampa Bay’s top defensive unit with J.J. Moser and also plays on the Lightning’s top power-play unit.
In his last four games, Hedman has hit his shots-on-goal target three times, averaging 3.0 shots on goal and 5.25 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in three of his last five games.
Winnipeg ranks 19th in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 29.4. Breaking it down further, the Jets have allowed the 6th most shots on goal per game to forwards this season (9.07).
St. Louis Blues @ Buffalo Sabres
Rasmus Dahlin over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-168) – DraftKings
Dahlin is currently skating on Buffalo’s top defensive unit with Bowen Byram and also plays on the Sabres’ top power-play unit.
In his last five games, Dahlin has hit his shots-on-goal target in each game, averaging 3.4 shots on goal and 7.20 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last five games.
St. Louis ranks 24th in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 30.3.
Boston Bruins @ Dallas Stars
Tyler Seguin over 0.5 Point (-110) – DraftKings
Seguin is set to face his former team tonight. He has recorded a point in six of his last seven games and currently skates on Dallas’ second line with Mason Marchment and Matt Duchene. Seguin also sees time on the Stars’ second power-play unit, which should have ample opportunities tonight. Dallas ranks 13th in goals per game, averaging 3.21, while the Bruins rank 21st in goals against per game, allowing an average of 3.18. Boston’s defense has shown some vulnerability recently, conceding at least three goals in three of their last four games.
Nashville Predators @ Edmonton Oilers
Connor McDavid over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings
McDavid is currently skating on Edmonton’s top line with Nugent-Hopkins and Hyman and also plays on the Oilers’ top power-play unit.
In his last three games since returning from injury, McDavid has hit his shots-on-goal target twice, averaging 4.67 shots on goal and 8.0 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in three of his last four games.
Nashville ranks 18th in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 29.4.
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Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
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Kiev O’Neil’s Sports Betting Stats and Records!
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!
2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
The Bengals out-gained the Ravens 470 to 389 yet lost 35-34. A 1-0 turnover ratio and poor coaching and bad officiating got them.
The Giants out-gained the Panthers 342 to 306 yet lost 20-17. A 3-1 turnover ratio did them in. Poor quarterback play was the key.
The Vikings out-gained the Jags 402 to 143 yet lost 12-7. Equal turnover at 3, but terrible red zone and quarterbacking for the Vikings is the reason they didn’t cover.
The 49ers out-gained the Buccaneers 413 to 215 yet only won 23-20. Horrible special teams with three missed FGs and bad red zone killed the spread.
The Falcons out-gained the Saints 468 to 365 yet lost 20-17. A 1-0 turnover ratio and terrible special teams FGs got the Birds.
The Bills only out-gained the Colts 415 to 361 yet won 30-20. A 4-2 turnover ratio got the ponies.
The Rams out-gained the Dolphins 327 to 238 yet lost 23-15. Equal turnovers at 2, but bad special teams and red zone got the Rams.