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Saturday Free Play Video:

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3 Free Selections:
NCAAF: Kansas St/Iowa St
NBA: Wizards/Bucks
NHL: Flyers/Blues

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College Football Week 14 Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting

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Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

Texas vs Texas A&M +5.5 O/U 48.5

This is probably the game of the week as it has some serious playoff implications.  Is it guaranteed that Texas makes the playoffs with two losses and no quality wins?   I think not.  Texas A&M can win this and get into the SEC championship to face Georgia.  It is true that the Aggies dropped a rough one last week in triple overtime at Auburn, but that doesn’t make them a bad team.   The Aggies have been undefeated at home since the very first game against the Irish.   They are a solid .63 net yards per play on decent SEC schedule that includes playing three ranked teams.  The Aggies rank 34th in offensive success rate and 13th in defensive success rate.  Texas on the other hand has some very nice numbers ranking 5th in net yards per play of 2.41, and an offensive success rate at 22nd with a defensive ranking 19th in success rate.  A Big issue with Texas is that they have not played a great schedule.  Their Michigan win didn’t age well, and the only other ranked team that they have played was Georgia at home where they lost by double digits.  Their Non-conference was comprised of Colorado State, UTSA and Louisiana Monroe.  Another big issues is that Quinn Ewers had sprained his ankle.  He is supposed to play, but I could see him certainly be hampered by it this late into the season.  I think that Marcel Reed is a very dynamic quarterback, and he can keep his team in any game as long as they do not turn the ball over.  I think Texas wins, but by three points or so.

Texas A&M +5.5 – 2 stars

Kansas vs Baylor +1.5 O/U 62

It was fun being on the Jayhawks over the past few weeks, but I now think that the Market has caught up with them.   If you think that the SEC is a mess, take a look at the Big 12.  Nobody seems to know who might deserve to make it to the Championship game, but what I do know is that Baylor is quietly the best team in the big 12.  Early in the season, the Bears have had blown games that they should have won against Colorado on a Hail Mary and against BYU on a very poor start to the game.  The Bears have a nice positive .91 net yards per play, while Kansas is at .45.  I give Kansas the nod on offense ranking 11th in success rate and 12th in EPA to Baylor ranking 32nd and 51st respectively, but the Bears defense is what has been winning them games ranking 30th in success rate and 68th in EPA compared to Kansas ranking 92nd and 90th respectively.  The Jayhawks have been on a nice run in the big 12 lately, but their biggest problem is that they can’t stop running teams ranking in the 100s in opponent rush EPA and success rate.   Freshman Bryson Washington has been a beast for the Bears at 5.72 rushing yards per attempt and 10 TDs.   I think Baylor at home controls the clock, and ruins Kansas’s chance of making a bowl game.

Baylor PK – 2.5 stars

Friday Free Play Video:

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4 Free Selections:
NFL: LV/KC
NBA: OKC/LAL
NHL: Col/Dal
NCAAF: Neb/Iowa

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College Football Week 14 Friday Free-bee – Sports Betting – Oklahoma State vs Colorado

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Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

Oklahoma State vs Colorado +16.5 O/U 66

I think that it is fair to say that Oklahoma State was vastly overrated coming into the season.   It is also fair to say that there is some quit in this team as they had lost three of their last four games by double digits.  One thing that I do know, is that Mike Gundy will have these kids trying to leave the season on a good note.  Give credit to Colorado this year.  This team made it all the way to 8-3 with one game left to go.  In saying that, the Buffalo’s numbers have been a bit pedestrian for what is considered a good team.  They are at a nice .75 net yards per play, but they only rank 38th in offensive success rate and 44th in defensive EPA.  Oklahoma state has been worse at -.98 yards per play with an offensive success rate of 63rd and a defense that hasn’t stopped anyone this year.  I am not sure that the Cowboys will need defense to cover this spread.  The Pokes are at least averaging 29.64 points per game to Colorado at 32.91.  It’s also not like Colorado’s defense is a world beater allowing 24 points per game and 372 yards per game.  I think Colorado wins this game, but it will probably be by 14 points or less.  Take the Pokes.

Oklahoma State +16.5 – 2.5 stars

NFL Week 13 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Tuesday Nov 26:

Sharp Money On:

  • Chiefs -8 to -13 hosting the Raiders – 39% tickets and 47% of the money.
  • Chargers +2 to -1.5 at the Falcons – 61% tickets and 91% of the money.
  • Rams -1.5 to -3 at the Saints – 59% tickets and 79% of the money.
  • Broncos -4 to -5.5 hosting the Browns – 61% tickets and 96% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Seahawks vs Jets under 46.5 to 41.5 – 22% tickets and 33% of the money.
  • Colts vs Patriots under 44 to 42.5 – 15% tickets and 35% of the money.
  • Titans vs Commanders under 46.5 to 44.5 – 22% tickets and 51% of the money.
  • Bucs vs Panthers over 43 to 46.5 – 78% tickets and 95% of the money.

College Football Week 14 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Tuesday Nov 26:

Sharp Money On

  • Miami OH +5.5 to +2.5 at Bowling Green – 78% tickets and 96% of the money.
  • Ole Miss -21 to -26 hosting Mississippi State – 19% tickets and 54% of the money.
  • Colorado State -3.5 to -6 hosting Utah State – 67% tickets and 99% of the money.
  • South Carolina +5 to +2.5 at Clemson – 42% tickets and 65% of the money.
  • Notre Dame -6.5 to -7.5 at USC – 81% tickets and 94% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Miami OH vs Bowling Green under 44.5 to 41.5 – 28% tickets and 77% of the money.
  • Stanford vs San Jose State over 54.5 to 55.5 – 77% tickets and 93% of the money.
  • Michigan vs Ohio State under 45 to 43.5 – 14% tickets and 40% of the money.
  • UAB vs Charlotte over 58.5 to 60.5 – 82% tickets and 83% of the money.
  • Oklahoma vs LSU under 48.5 to 47 – 29% tickets and 46% of the money.

Podcast 654 – 99 – 24 – The Bear Necessities Of Thanksgiving – Chris Fallica – College Football Week 14 – NFL Week 13 – Sports Betting

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!  We have a massive show for you today!  The Bear Chris Fallica @ChrisFallica from @FoxSports is back to break down some college football!   First, Kiev talks about the agenda for the week!   Next, Chris comes on and the guys get right into  the top five holiday snacks and Hors d’Oeuves.   Then, the boys talk some college football playoff situations.  After that they guys talk Heisman and see if there is any other worthy candidate over Travis Hunter.  Then, Chris and Kiev talk about some huge games this weekend for college football with some Free Plays!  Next, Kiev covers the NFL slate of a games with more plays and a thanksgiving beer bet banger! Then, we give out Kiev’s refuse to lose teaser that is 8-4 for the season.   Finally, we talk some College and NFL sharp money and recap our plays!   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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NFL Week 13 Thanksgiving Prop Play – 17-8 – Sports Betting – Giants vs Cowboys

NFL Week 13 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • The Packers could let down some hosting the Dolphins after the big 49ers win.
  • The Cowboys could be soft hosting the Giants after the Commanders win.
  • The Titans could let down at the Commanders after beating the Texans.

Get Up Spots:

  • 49ers better wake up at the Bills.
  • The Bengals need to arise hosting the Steelers.
  • The Jets need to stop embarrassing themselves hosting the Seahawks.
  • The Texans needs a slump buster at the Jaguars.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • The Lions could look past the bad news Bears to the Packers.
  • The Packers could look past the Dolphins to the Lions.
  • The Chargers could look past the Falcons to the Chiefs.

Short Rest:

  • The Chargers after Monday night at the Falcons.
  • The Ravens after Monday night hosting the Eagles.

Long Rest:

  • The Browns after Thursday Night at the Broncos.
  • The Falcons after the bye hosting the Chargers.
  • The Bills after the bye hosting the 49ers.
  • The Bengals after the bye hosting the Steelers but only +5 days.
  • The Jaguars after the bye hosting the Texans.
  • The Saints after the bye hosting the Rams.
  • The Jets after the bye hosting the Seahawks.

Revenge Spots:

  • Giants will want to beat the Cowboys.

NFL Thanksgiving Week Plays – Sports Betting

Thanksgiving Football Pigskin Instead of Traditional Turkey Dinner

Thanksgiving is here and it means family food and football.   I think that there are ways to safely have some fun today with a few good plays.  First and foremost, I like the 10 point teaser option to try and avoid any coin flip conflict.   The Lions are a little banged up, but so are the Bears.   Even though the Lions are a massive 10 point favorite, the Bears do seem to usually play them pretty tough.   Take the Lions down to PK.   I am just going to skip right over the Giants/Cowboys game as I will have a prop play on that.   For the next leg, Take the Miami Dolphins all the way up to 13.5 points.  I know the Packers are good, but the Dolphins have been playing very well lately and are trying to make a playoff push.   For the third leg, we have to move into tomorrow where the Chiefs are going to want to bludgeon the Raiders.   The Chiefs won this game earlier this year by seven points, although the Box score says something else.  Don’t think that the Chiefs do not remember having their Christmas spoiled last year by a team who didn’t even complete a pass after the 1st quarters.  Take the Chiefs down to -2.5.

Teaser:  Lions PK, Dolphins +13.5, Chiefs -2.5  – 2 Stars

Let’s have some 1st TD fun with the rest of the games for .1U a piece.   My buddy @_Noops loves to play these and hits them pretty frequently:

Bears/Lions:   D’Andre Swift +1200, Sam LaPorta +1300, Jameson Williams +1400, Roschon Johnson +2000

Giants/Cowboys:  Malik Nabers +1000, Luke Schoonmaker +1500, KeVontae Turpin +2200,  Theo Johnson +2200

Dolphins/Packers:  Jonnu Smith +1600, Tucker Kraft +1000, Raheem Mostert +2500, Jordan Love +1700

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!