Another year, another countdown to the NFL Draft. Last season treated us well — we hit several of our favorite plays, including the under 2.5 first‑round running backs, which cashed without breaking a sweat. We’ve consistently found value in this market, and I’m hoping to keep that streak alive.
That said, this year’s draft class doesn’t exactly jump off the page. There’s really only one quarterback who feels like a true first‑round talent, and the edge rush group is filled with players who carry more risk than usual. The wide receiver class is also underwhelming, with many prospects failing to break 4.5 in both their combine and pro day forties. On the bright side, this draft is loaded with offensive linemen and safeties. The cornerback group, however, is fairly ordinary.
For once, I find myself agreeing with a lot of the consensus projections — but I also expect chaos. A wave of trades in the middle of the first round could blow up mock drafts before we even get comfortable on the couch. As always, my format remains the same: what I believe teams should do versus what I think they will do at each draft slot.
Looking ahead to 2026, our projected first round includes just one quarterback and two running backs. We also have seven offensive linemen, seven defensive tackles/edge rushers, three safeties, two linebackers, one tight end, three cornerbacks, and six wide receivers. Let’s see how this draft unfolds.

Round 1

Who they should pick: Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana
This isn’t hard. The Raiders need a great kid to lead this team to the future. He will learn under the mistakes of Kirk Cousins for a year or less, or at least as long as Klint Kubiak can take it.
Mock Pick: Fernando Mendoza, QB
Unless they get a haul from the Jets, this is the correct pick as this draft has a lot of upside, yet not a lot of can’t miss guys.
Who they should pick: David Bailey, Edge, Texas Tech
The Jets were dead last in pressure rate at 15.1%. Will McDonald is not great. and will cost the some money if they decide to pay him, so it’s time to get younger at that position. Let’s face it, the Jets need everything, but this is the best value with the highest floor.
Mock Pick: David Bailey, Edge, Texas Tech
Bailey grades out as the best pass rusher in this draft, and I expect them to get the proven commodity rather than take any crazy risks. In saying that, the Jets need everything.

Whom they should pick: Rueben Bain Jr., DE, Miami (Fla.)
I know Bain’s measurables stink with small hands, small arms, shorter and light weight, but I think that he will be fine. The Cardinals were 29th in pressure rate last year, and they do have some offensive lineman that will be healthy this season.
Mock Pick: Jeremiyah Love, RB
This is going to blow people’s minds. The Cardinals want to trade down and use Love as bait for the Titans, but in case the Titans don’t bite, this team will want what some of them call a generational talent. Believe it or not, this team is completely fine with drafting Love if they have to, and if the Titans trade up, Tennessee may draft Love at 3 as well.

4. Tennessee Titans
Who they should pick: Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami (Fla.)
According to PFF, Titans left tackle Dan Moore Jr. earned a 61.9 overall PFF grade in the 2025 season, 62nd among 89 qualified offensive tackles. Francis played 948 offensive snaps on the season. Why not protect Cam Ward? Get rid of Dan Moore after this season.
Mock Pick: Arvell Reese, LB/Edge, Ohio State
I do not hate this pick as Reese has a ton of upside, but if it wasn’t for Micah Parsons, we would not be discussing a guy that is between linebacker and pass rusher until the middle of the first round.

Who they should pick: Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State
I normally do not want to pick a safety this early in the draft, but Caleb Downs can help this defense significantly both against the pass, and against the run where they ranked 31st in opponent rushing yards per game.
Mock Pick: Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami (Fla.)
I don’t hate this pick at all. Francis is the perfect size and perfect weight to play meaningful Right Tackle. He has some serious power for run blocking as well as a fast step back for on pass plays. The only issue his shorter arm length.

Who they should pick: Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State
I just had to do this as the Cowboys will be desperate. Dallas is dying for a linebacker, and they just may trade up to get one like Styles. I hate doing mock trades, but I just had to on this one.
Mock Pick: Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State
At 6’5 244 lbs, Sonny ran a 4.46 40 which shows huge NFL potential. He is probably the best pure middle linebacker in this draft by far. Jerry will salivate and give anything up to go get him. Other options for this team include Edge and CB.

Who they should pick: Rueben Bain Jr., DE, Miami (Fla.)
The Commanders need a lot of defense as they were bad in most categories, but I do see that this team lost LB Bobby Wagner, and replaced him with Leo Chenal. I think that losing Von Miller and Jacob Martin creates or of a need for Edge.
Mock Pick: Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
The Commies did pick up Odafe Oweh from the Chargers at Edge, so they will probably now panic and go wide receiver.

Who they should pick: Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
This team missed out on two stud linebackers, so just get the best corner on the board as the next stop down in LB is high. Delane ran a nice 4.38 forty, and had great instincts during the regular season for LSU.
Mock Pick: Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State
Saints coach Kellen Moore is an offensive type of guy, and this team can’t trust Olave to always be healthy. I think they bite the bullet and go WR. I watched Tyson play in person and he was definitely the best player on the field when Cam Skattebo was on the bench.

9. Kansas City Chiefs
Who they should pick: Rueben Bain Jr., DE, Miami (Fla.)
The Chiefs need a better pass rush in a much improved division. George Karalaftis can’t hold the fort down by himself, and drafting the best college football performing edge rusher isn’t a bad pick.
Mock Pick: Rueben Bain Jr., DE, Miami (Fla.)
Many think that wide receivers is a focus for the Chiefs, but I do not think that is the case. The Chiefs had already mentioned that they knew of Rueben Bain’s car accident that killed his passenger a few years back. Bain should be the pick.

10. NY Giants (via Bengals)
Who they should pick: Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State
Caleb is the best Safety on the board.
Mock Pick: Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State
Sometimes it’s good to go against the grain. Jon Harbaugh loves defense, and they have already acquired LB Tremaine Edmunds and CB Greg Newsome to fill those gaps.

Who they should pick: Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama
This also feels like a rebuild here as they pay Tua 54 million to go and play backup for the Falcons. Why not start in the trenches is my thoughts here. The Dolphins lost Cole Strange AND Larry Borom to free agency this year.
Mock pick: Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama
Everyone thinks defense due to new coach Jeff Hafley coming from being a defensive coordinator in Green Bay. I am going to be contrarian here and say the Dolphins go offensive line. This team honestly could go in many directions here and not be wrong.

12. Cleveland Browns (Trade with Cowboys)
Who they should pick: Monroe Freeling, OT, Georgia
Freeling makes the most sense as the Browns need to cover for Deion’s excuses this year as Sanders looks like he could be QB1.
Mock Pick: Monroe Freeling, OT, Georgia
Freeling has is massive at 6-foot-7, 315 lbs. He has good long 34¾-inch arms, and he can stop the pass and gouge the run. He has a ton of potential. The Browns need someone like Freeling to help out in this division as the Bengals just got stronger at defensive line.

Who they should pick: Chris Brazzell II, WR, Tennessee
The Rams should trade down, and they probably will, but this super bowl caliber team has nothing at wide receiver after Puka and Devante, so I expect them to shore that position up. Brazell is the best wide receiver in this draft at 6’4 with 4.37 speed from the 40.
Mock Pick: Makai Lemon, WR, USC
Makai was the best player at USC over the past few years. He’s not huge, but he is a great slot receiver with some decent speed. He has great hands and amazing rout running ability.

Who they should pick: Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon
The Ravens were busy in free agency getting Trey Hendrickson at edge, and Josh Simpson at guard. They also shored up some secondary. This team however did lose Isaiah Likely, and Charlie Kolar at tight end which opens up a huge whole to fill. Kenyon Sadiq is the only 1st round tight end in this draft, and his measurables at 6’3, 241 lbs. running a 4.39 forty makes him a sure shot.
Mock Pick: Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon
With Mark Andrew’s aging and Isaiah Likely gone, I think it is quite “likely” that this team does the right thing and pick’s Kenyon Sadiq to fill out that rebooted uniform.

15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Who they should pick: Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
The Buccaneer’s biggest weakness was against the pass. Losing CB Jamel Dean to Pittsburgh was another bit hit. This team needs a cornerback and DeLane is the best out there right now.
Mock Pick: Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
With Cam Taylor-Britt signing in Indianapolis, there is a pretty significant hole at Cornerback. Not that there isn’t everywhere else on defense, but it is what it is.

Who They should pick: Avieon Terrell, CB, Clemson
Terrell is probably the next best corner, as the has solid speed and ball skills. He can also tackle and blitz the quarterback quite well with 3 sacks last season. The Jets need a lot so they could go multiple directions here.
Mock Pick: Chris Brazzell II, WR, Tennessee
The Jets will try and appease coach Glenn a little bit after first going defense, as this team has nobody behind Adonai Mitchell at the wide receiver position. Brazzell has the highest celling at wide receiver in this draft at 6’4 with a 4.37 forty.

Who they should pick: Blake Miller, OT, Clemson
The Lions have had terrible offensive line injury luck, and it’s time to get younger at those positions. With LT Taylor Decker gone, this is a no-brainer. I do however wonder why Decker wanted out of there so fast… He’s still contemplating retirement as well.
Mock Pick: Blake Miller, OT, Clemson
At 6-foot-7, 315 lbs, this kid can move running a 5.04 forty. He has good with over 31 reps at bench press at the Combine. He also had a massive broad and vertical Jump. He might be the best tackle in the draft.

18. Minnesota Vikings
Who they should pick: Dillon Thieneman, S, Oregon
With former all pro safety Harrison Smith eyeing retirement, this pick makes a ton of sense. Dillon ran a speedy 4.35 forty, while having great tackling technique. He shows up to the team’s facility at 5:30 AM. He has had over 300 tackles and 8 interceptions over his college career.
Mock Pick: Dillon Thieneman, S, Oregon
From Fresno State to Oregon, this kid made a name for himself. I love the pick.

19. Carolina Panthers
Who they should pick: Spencer Fano, OL, Utah
Carolina doesn’t have a good line, and their two pickups in free agency in LT Rasheed Walker, and Center Luke Fortner may not be enough. Spencer Fano has short arms, but he can play guard or tackle. He has the size and strength at 6’6, 311 lbs. to be versatile enough in the NFL to move positions.
Mock Pick: Avieon Terrell, CB, Clemson
Carolina drafted a lot of wide receivers over the past few years. I think they go Corner to try and fill that gap as Devin Lloyd was already signed to fill the linebacker position.

20. Cleveland Browns (via Dal)
Who they should pick: Anthony Hill Jr, LB, Texas
This kid can ball. He has great tackling skills and is very quick to the gaps right from the snap. His long arms make up for his height, and he can jump through a ceiling.
Mock Pick: Denzel Boston, WR, Washington
I assume that Cleveland swaps these with Dallas, and Todd Monken gets a guy that he likes at WR. Boston is a big dude at 6’4, but his speed is definitely in question without him running the 40 yard dash at his pro day.

Who they should pick: Spencer Fano, OL, Utah
The Steelers are living with a poor decision from last year with DK Metcalf at Wide Receiver. It would be too embarrassing for them to reach for one. Is Rogers coming back? Who else is sick of that question? Rogers is Brett Favre.
Mock Pick: Spencer Fano, OT, Utah
The Steelers lost Guard Isaac Seumalo to free agency, so this pick makes sense as Fano has the shorter arm length for guard yet piledriving power in the run game.

22. Los Angeles Chargers
Who they should pick: Kayden McDonald, DT, Ohio State
This guy has Massive size to bat down balls and clog up the middle on run plays. This is a perfect pick for the Chargers as they lost DaShawn Hand and Otito Ogbonnia to free agency.
Mock Pick: Peter Woods, DT, Clemson
The Chargers signed Dalvin Tomlinson who is 32 years old. They will want to go younger, and I think they might go with the speedier Peter Woods from Clemson.

23. Philadelphia Eagles
Who they should pick: Max Iheanachor, OT, Arizona State
With an aging offensive line, why not pick the next best prospect? Max is a massive 6’6 321 lbs who ran a 4.91 forty. Part of Cam Skattebo’s success at ASU can be attributed to this guy.
Mock Pick: Max Iheanachor, OT, Arizona State
Some think wide receiver to make up for the soon to be gone AJ Brown, but Howie Roseman is too good to make this type of Mistake. Lane Johnson is getting old and the Eagles have won based on the trenches.

24. Dallas Cowboys (via Cle)
Who they should pick: Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee
The Cowboys defense was horrible last season, and Jermod McCoy could come in and make a big difference. The only issue is that he missed last season do to an injury.
Mock Pick: Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee
Why go edge when the grades are relatively the same after Bain? Jermod has been fantastic at Tennessee in 2024 with 13 passes defended, 4 interceptions and 9 pass breakups. He was injured for the 2025 season, but has completed his rehab. Jerry Jones has been known to take high reward risks.

25. Chicago Bears
Who they should pick: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, S, Toledo
The Bears need defense as that has been their weak spot throughout the 2025/2026 season. Edge rusher would be nice, but unfortunately they are way too late to the party at pick 25. The Bears need another safety, and McNeal-Warren has great size and speed to keep up with the top wide receivers in the league.
Mock Pick: Keldric Faulk, DE, Auburn
Sometimes, Bears GM Ryan Poles tends to try and outsmart even himself. He will feel the pressure to shore up that pass rush and will take a risk on Keldric Faulk who regressed during his senior season at Auburn. Keldric is a little weak for the position with a poor bench press and a sub-par vertical jump.

26. Buffalo Bills
Who they should pick: Kayden McDonald, DT, Ohio State
The Bills were terrible at stopping the run last season ranking 28th in opponent rushing yards per game, and 31st in opponent rush EPA. Kayden is the best pick here and a tremendous value.
Mock Pick: Anthony Hill Jr, LB, Texas
The days of Matt Milano are over in Buffalo, and they will try and get younger at the middle linebacker position. Hill is probably the best guy available as an NFL prospect.

Who they should pick: Caleb Lomu, OT, Utah
Last year Utah was loaded at the tackle position and Caleb was a big part of their success. At 6’6 313 lbs., Lumu ran a sub 5 second forty. He had an amazing Broad and Vertical jump to show what kind of an athlete he really is.
Mock Pick: Caleb Lomu, OT, Utah
With Trent Williams aging, the offensive line is back in focus in the bay area. This draft is loaded with offensive lineman and Safeties. I think that John Lynch makes the right choice.

28. Houston Texans
Who they should pick: Kayden McDonald, DT, Ohio State
The Texans addressed their terrible offensive line issues by signing guards Wyatt Teller and Center Evan Brown to the roster. Did they do enough? No, but the Texans now have a gaping hole at nose tackle after Tim Settle signed with Washington.
Mock Pick: Kayden McDonald, DT, Ohio State
There is just more value to pick McDonald here over the 8th or 9th best offensive lineman. Make sure to get one in the second round.

Who they should draft: Colton Hood, CB, Tennessee
The Chief’s lost cornerbacks Jaylen Watson, and Joshua Williams to free agency. While this team is also short on Safety, I think that they should go cornerback first. Colton Hood fits the bill at 6’0 with a 4.4 forty time.
Mock Pick: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, S, Toledo
I feel that the Chiefs will stick to defense and fill the Deon Bush and Bryan Cook gap that left them short at Safety in the offseason.

30. Miami Dolphins
Who they should draft: Caleb Banks, DT, Florida
Miami is starting from scratch with new coach Jeff Hafley. I think he goes defense first, but this team needs everything, and they do not have nearly enough picks to cover.
Mock Pick: KC Concepcion, WR, Texas A&M
General Managers can’t resist making mistakes. KC Concepcion is a solid wide receiver, but nothing special. The Dolphins will want to give Malik Willis a new Target as they lost both Jaylen Waddle to a trade, and Tyreke Hill to a bad injury release.
Who they should pick: Akheem Mesidor, DE, Miami (Fla.)
The Patriots could go a few different ways here as they need another wide receiver, but I think they go pass rusher. Mesidor had 12.5 sacks, 58 pressures and 11 run stops in 2025. But he’s also 25 years old and has been injured over the past few years. To be honest, I think the Patriots might trade this pick for AJ Brown, but I do not want to mock that.
Mock Pick: Akheem Mesidor, DE, Miami (Fla.)
Ok, even if this is the Eagle’s pick, there is a chance they go DE as lost Jaelan Phillips to free agency, and Brandon Graham to retirement. New England lost K’Lavon Chaisson to free agency so this makes sense.