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Podcast 800 – 24 – 26 – With Shawn Knoche – NCAA Tournament 1st look & Best Bets – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a HUGE March Madness show for you today! Shawn Knoche from The OddsBreakers for a first look into the NCAA tournament.  First, the guys talk about how well the committee did and which teams they would push out and which teams they wanted to see in.  Next, Shawn and Kiev get into contests!  Please click on the links below!  Then, the boys get into the quadrents and who might be some sleeper teams and some fade teams with some early Best Bets!  After that, Shawn and Kiev talk final four and long shots   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

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College Basketball Saturday Super Play – Purdue vs UCLA – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Purdue vs UCLA +7.5 O/U 145.5

The OddsBreakers •

Pick
Odds
HomeTeam
Moneyline
NCAAB • Houston Cougars @ Arizona Wildcats
-140 on FanDuel
CLOSED • 03/14/2026
Tally (Win %)
3-0-0 (100%)
Money Meter
$26.02
ROI
86.7%
Betslip #1773502761944-a0f4-537

🏀 Matchup Overview

  • Game: Purdue (25–8) vs. UCLA (23–10)
  • Event: Big Ten Tournament Semifinal
  • Location: Chicago
  • Tip‑off: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Line: Purdue ‑7.5

🔍 Key Storylines

⭐ Purdue’s Momentum

  • Purdue bounced back from a late‑season slump and has won convincingly in the tournament, including a 74–58 win over Nebraska.
  • Center Oscar Cluff has been a major factor, with analysts expecting him to attack UCLA inside again.

🚑 UCLA’s Injury Crisis

  • UCLA’s leading scorer Tyler Bilodeau suffered a right knee injury and may need “a literal miracle” to play.
  • Without him, UCLA loses its top scoring option and a key late‑game shot‑maker.

📊 Statistical Edges

  • UCLA offense: 78.1 points per game — strong, but Bilodeau’s absence looms large.
  • Purdue defense: Allows just 70.2 points per game.
  • Purdue shooting: 49.9% from the field, significantly higher than what UCLA typically allows (43.3%).

🧠 What Will Decide the Game?

Purdue Advantages

  • Interior scoring: Cluff’s matchup is favorable.
  • Rebounding: Purdue ranks fourth in the Big Ten in offensive boards.
  • Depth & health: Purdue enters at full strength.

UCLA Needs

  • Donovan Dent’s playmaking (7.8 assists per game) must elevate the offense.
  • Perimeter shooting to compensate for Bilodeau’s absence.
  • Defensive disruption to slow Purdue’s efficient scoring.

📈 Prediction Snapshot

Most models and analysts lean Purdue due to:

  • Superior health
  • Stronger interior presence
  • Higher offensive efficiency
  • UCLA’s compromised scoring options

UCLA can still make it interesting if they push tempo and hit threes, but the matchup tilts toward Purdue.

Prediction:

  • I do not completely understand this line, and I think it’s more about what Purdue has done in the distant past more than this season.
  • The Boilers have already lost by two points at UCLA this year.  Their three point shots were not going down, but what makes us think that they will today?   Purdue has a bad defense ranking 233rd in opponent effective FG% and 230th in forcing turnovers.
  • Another issue that I have with Purdue is that they are not that big inside team that we remember.   They do not get to the free throw line only ranking 339th in free throw attempts to field goal attempts.
  • The biggest reason for this big line is the injury to UCLA’s Tyler Bilodeau.  He sprained his knee, (we think) and will be questionable this game.  Keep in mind that the Bruins beat Sparty without him most of the game.   The Bruins have depth at the center position.
  • The Bruins are not the exact perfect team either, but these guys at least can play some defense ranking 121st in opponent effective FG%.   UCLA can hit the three ball ranking a huge 14th in the nation in three point percentage.   That number is big against a team like Purdue who can’t defend it.  The Bruins have also had bad free throw luck with opponents hitting over 75% of them.  That isn’t normal and it may have costed them a few tight games.   I like a close game here and the Bruins are live.

UCLA +7.5 – 2 stars 

Podcast 799 – 23 – 26 – With Kyle Hunter – College Basketball Conference Tournament Best Bets – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a HUGE show for you today! Kyle Hunter @KyleHunterPicks from Hunter Sports Picks is back to break down some hoops!  First, the guys get into some sleepers that could make some noise in the big dance.  Next, Kyle and Kiev talk about the one seeds and ask if anyone can beat them.  Then, we get into some trends that have some serious betting implications for the next few days.  After that, Kyle and Kiev get into some Best Bets for the big Friday slate as well as some random games to discuss.   Finally, we talk some beer bet bangers that could hit for a few cases!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

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College Basketball Thirsty Thursday Best Bet – Louisville vs Miami – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Louisville vs Miami PK O/U 152.5

🏀 Matchup Overview

  • Game: Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes
  • Date/Time: Thursday, March 12, 2026, 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
  • Line: Louisville ‑1.5; Total: ~154–156 depending on book
  • Context: ACC Tournament quarterfinal; a rematch just five days after Louisville’s 92–89 win in Coral Gables.

🔥 Recent Form & Storylines

Louisville Cardinals

  • Record: 23–9 (11–7 ACC)
  • Recent Game: Beat SMU 62–58 on Wednesday, meaning they enter this matchup on short rest.
  • Previous Meeting: Beat Miami 92–89 on March 7 behind 24 points from Ryan Conwell and a clutch Adrian Wooley 3‑pointer.
  • Strengths:
    • Lead the ACC with 17.1 assists per game, showing strong ball movement.
    • Multiple scoring threats (Conwell, Wooley, McKneely).

Miami Hurricanes

  • Record: 24–7 (13–5 ACC)
  • Tournament Position: Enter with a double‑bye, meaning they are rested and prepared.
  • Strengths:
    • ACC‑best 12.1 fast‑break points per game.
    • Elite efficiency: 50.6% shooting, significantly higher than what Louisville typically allows (42.2%).
  • Motivation: Miami’s staff emphasized the importance of avoiding another slow start after the first 10 minutes cost them the regular‑season finale.

📊 Key Matchup Factors

1. Rest vs. Rhythm

  • Miami is fresh; Louisville is playing its second game in two days.
  • Historically, rest advantages matter in conference tournaments—especially against fast‑paced teams like Miami.

2. Offensive Firepower

  • Both teams score efficiently; analysts expect “offensive fireworks” with totals projected in the mid‑150s.

3. Guard Play

  • Louisville’s trio (Wooley, McKneely, Conwell) has been excellent.
  • Miami counters with explosive guards like Tre Donaldson and Tru Washington, who were aggressive in the previous matchup.

4. Paint Battle

  • Miami’s Ernest Udeh Jr. provides rim pressure and rebounding, especially important against a Louisville team that can go cold for stretches.

📊 Advanced Stats Breakdown

(All cited stats come from the March 7 Louisville–Miami game and season data where available.)

🔢 Four Factors Comparison

These are the most predictive efficiency stats in basketball. Source: Sports‑Reference box score.

Metric Louisville Miami What It Means
Pace 65.0 65.0 Both teams played at a moderate tempo — not slow, not fast.
eFG% .717 .636 Louisville shot extremely efficiently; Miami was also strong.
TOV% 8.7% 10.8% Both teams protected the ball well; Louisville elite here.
ORB% 22.7% 36.4% Miami dominated the offensive glass — a major advantage.
FT/FGA .264 .345 Miami generated more free throws per shot attempt.
Offensive Rating 141.6 137.0 Both offenses were elite; Louisville slightly better per possession.

🧠 What These Advanced Stats Tell Us

1. Louisville’s Shooting Was Unsustainably Hot

  • A .717 eFG% is elite even for a single game.
  • Miami’s defense allowed too many clean looks, especially from Conwell and McKneely.

2. Miami’s Offensive Rebounding Is a Real Problem for Louisville

  • Miami grabbed 36.4% of their own misses — a top‑tier number.
  • Ernest Udeh Jr. (9.4 RPG season average) is a major factor.

3. Turnovers Won’t Decide This Matchup

  • Both teams are well below the national average in turnover rate.
  • Louisville’s 8.7% TOV% is elite and gives them extra possessions.

4. Free Throws Tilt Slightly Toward Miami

  • Miami’s .345 FT/FGA shows they attack the rim more consistently.
  • Louisville relies more on jump shooting.

Prediction:

  • Louisville just had went into Miami and beat them, so what are we doing here?
  • This is simple if you ask me.   Less than a week ago, Louisville went into Miami and shot lights out hitting 50% of their three point shots, and 69% from two.   This is a bit uncommon for them, and don’t forget that Miami was down double digits and made a huge comeback to almost win this game.
  • Louisville might be the second best team in the ACC when healthy, but not having point guard and second leading scorer Mikel Brown Jr matters.   They are also missing a depth piece down low in Kasean Prior.
  • since February 1st, Miami ranks 24th on Bart Torvik while Louisville ranks 18th.   The Cane’s will have some matchup advantages down low.   As long as the Cardinal doesn’t shoot lights out, I will take the more rested team here.

Miami PK -102 – 2 stars

The OddsBreakers •

Pick
Odds
HomeTeam
Moneyline
NCAAB • Louisville Cardinals @ Miami (FL) Hurricanes
100 on DraftKings
CLOSED • 03/12/2026
Tally (Win %)
1-0-0 (100%)
Money Meter
$10.00
ROI
100.0%
Betslip #1773325790927-a0f4-656

College Basketball Monday Free Play – Colonials On The Horizon

By
Shawn Knoche
-

Welcome back to all our loyal TheOddsbreakers.com readers. We are winding down the college basketball season as tournament time is right around the corner.

We’re still holding our own with our high volume of plays in college basketball. All our plays are 3 units and under and typically 1-2 Units. Even after an awful start we’ve battled back and are now 255-229-1 on the season +17.49 Units. I should wait to play more until I get more data as we are 234-181-1 +65.63 Units since December 15th.

Today we look to Indianapolis, Indiana and the Horizon League tournament Semi-finals where Detroit Mercy will take on Robert Morris at the Corteva Coliseum at 8:30 CT. The Line is currently at Robert Morris -5 with a total landing at 147.5.

Robert Morris comes in 22-10 overall and finished second in the Horizon going 13-7 in conference play. They’ve gone 11-2 down the stretch and have been winning games by imposing their defensive might against weaker offenses in the Horizon. Detroit finished tied for third in conference finishing one game back of Robert Morris at 12-8, and are at 16-14 overall. They have also played well down the stretch winning eight of their last ten.

First off, the Horizon was very balanced this year with the second through seventh seeds finishing within three games of each other. There are certain trends that pop-up in repeat match-ups, and I see some in this game as well.

They say it’s hard to beat a team three times in a season, and while that may be true there’s a reason Robert Morris holds an advantage in this one. His name is Ryan Prather and he is in the Top 10 in the country in individual offensive ratings for his percentage of possessions used. Last time out against Detroit he put up 29. He is averaging 15.8 ppg and 35.7% from deep on the season.

He’s just part of what Robert Morris does well on offense which is shoot the three ball. They are 13th in the country hitting 38.5% from distance. When they do miss, they crash the boards hard as they are also 13th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage. They snagged 15 offensive rebounds in both match-ups against Detroit this season and I expect more of the same tonight. If they have a large weakness it is at the free-throw line which is the only thing scary as a backdoor cover could be open. Detroit also has shot the three-ball well and is tops in Horizon league conference play. They do however have a big home/road split from distance shooting 39.3% at home and only 32.1% away from Calihan Hall.

Detroit will look to win this game by pushing tempo, and Robert Morris has been beaten by up tempo teams in conference this year including a bad loss to IU Indy. Robert Morris is 7-3 however against the top tempo teams in the Horizon. On the flip side Detroit has struggled against the slower paced teams in conference only going 3-7 in those contests. Even pushing tempo Detroit doesn’t turn teams over on defense rankings 332nd in the country. Robert Morris hasn’t protected the ball well, but only turned it over only 19 times combined in the two games with Detroit earlier this season.

Robert Morris is going to win the possession battle and barring a three-point extravaganza from Detroit those extra possessions should be enough to cover this number on a neutral floor.

Robert Morris -5, 2 Units

Podcast 798 – 22 – 26 – With Will Hill – College Basketball March Madness Conference Tournament Best Bets – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a GREAT show for you today! Another weekend of the College basketball is in the books, and now it’s time to get into some of the big boy conference tournaments!   Will Hill @NotTheeWillHill from @VSINLIVE  is back to break it all down.  The boys first talk about the one seeds and some big surprises thus far.   Where will UCONN be?   What happened to Belmont on Navy?  They also get into some Best Bets in this massive slate of NCAA conference tournaments.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

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College Basketball Sunday Fun-Day Play – Iowa vs Nebraska – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Iowa vs Nebraska -5.5 O/U 134.5

  • This is the second match between these teams with Nebraska fighting for the four seed and the double bye in the conference tournament.
  • Iowa is coming off of a huge game against Michigan, and we have yet to see that result as it is tonight.
  • I like the spot here for the Corn Huskers as they have been the biggest surprise in the big 10 for the 2025/2026 college hoops season.
  • Iowa has been a terrible road team this year ranking 349th in home road splits, while Nebraska ranks a modest 215th at home.
  • This is also a revenge spot where Nebraska lost at Iowa in an ugly 57-52 type game.
  • What I like most is the under.   Both of these teams play pretty slow, yet both teams are very defensive oriented.   Iowa Ranks 357th in average possession length while Nebraska ranks 218th in Tempo yet 7th on defense.
  • Neither team rebound well on offense both ranking 184th or worse in offensive rebounding percentage.   Neither team gets to the free throw line that often as well.   Huskers and Under.

Under 134.5 -1.5 stars – Nebraska -5.5 – 1.5 star

College Basketball Saturday Super Plays – Arkansas vs Missouri – North Carolina vs Duke – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Arkansas vs Missouri -1.5 O/U 159.5

🏀 Quick Preview (Arkansas vs. Missouri — Today, Mar 7, 2026)

Arkansas (22–8, 12–5 SEC) visits Missouri (20–10, 10–7 SEC) at Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO, with tipoff at 12 p.m. EST / 10 a.m. MST. Missouri is a slight home favorite (–1.5), but Arkansas enters with the hotter offense and a top‑20 ranking.

📊 Matchup Snapshot

Team Form & Key Numbers

Category Arkansas Missouri
Record 22–8 20–10
SEC Record 12–5 10–7
Home/Away Away 15–2 at home
Points per game 90.3 79.8
Opponent FG% allowed 45.3% 43.2%
Recent trend Beat Texas 105–85 Strong at home

Sources:

🔍 What Each Team Brings

Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Elite offense: 90.3 PPG on 50.3% shooting.
  • Star power: Darius Acuff Jr. coming off a 28‑point game vs Texas.
  • SEC success: 12–5 in conference play.
  • Pace & pressure: Arkansas pushes tempo and forces opponents into shootouts.

Missouri Tigers

  • Home fortress: 15–2 at Mizzou Arena.
  • Defense-first: 4th in SEC in team defense, holding opponents to 74.8 PPG and 43.2% shooting.
  • Balanced scoring: 7.3 made threes per game, nearly matching Arkansas’ defensive allowance.
  • Motivation: Senior Day + chance to boost NCAA résumé.

🔑 Key Matchups to Watch

  • Arkansas’ scoring efficiency vs. Missouri’s defense Arkansas shoots 7.1% better than what Missouri typically allows.
  • Tempo control If Arkansas speeds the game up, Missouri may struggle to keep pace.
  • Perimeter battle Missouri’s 7.3 threes per game vs. Arkansas’ 7.8 allowed — a near statistical dead‑even matchup.
  • Star impact

🚑 Key Injury Update: Darius Acuff Jr. OUT vs. Missouri

Arkansas will not have its star freshman guard Darius Acuff Jr. for the matchup against Missouri. Multiple outlets confirmed he is dealing with a nagging ankle injury, and the Razorbacks are choosing to rest him ahead of the SEC Tournament.

  • Initially listed as doubtful per Jon Rothstein.
  • Later confirmed out by ESPN and team reports.
  • Calipari emphasized the decision is precautionary to ensure he’s “full‑go” for Nashville next week.

Impact: Acuff averages 22.2 PPG and 6.4 APG, so Arkansas loses its top scorer and primary creator. Expect a heavier load on the backcourt committee and a potential pace adjustment.

📊 Advanced Stats Insert (Arkansas vs. Missouri)

🔢 Efficiency & Scoring Profile

  • Arkansas scoring margin: +5.4 PPG (76.6 scored vs. 71.2 allowed).
  • Missouri scoring margin: +10.7 PPG (84.5 scored vs. 73.8 allowed).
  • Missouri enters with the more efficient offense, while Arkansas brings the better defense on paper.

🏀 Possession & Turnover Dynamics

  • Turnovers per game: Arkansas 11.4, Missouri 10.4 — both low‑mistake teams.
  • Missouri’s slight turnover edge (+1 per game) could matter in a tight possession game.

🏗 Rebounding & Interior Play

  • Rebounds per game: Arkansas 32.1 vs. Missouri 31.1 — nearly even.
  • Arkansas’ slight edge on the glass is offset by Missouri’s stronger offensive output.

🎯 Shooting Efficiency Indicators

  • From ESPN’s season leaders:
    • Arkansas’ top scorer FG%: Darius Acuff Jr. at 49.3%.
    • Missouri’s top scorer FG%: Mark Mitchell at 54.7%.
    • Missouri’s primary scorer is the more efficient finisher.

Prediction:

  • It’s Senior night in Missouri and this Tigers team doesn’t have a huge margin of error to get into the big dance.
  • Arkansas is a pretty rough road team this season only ranking 296th in home/road splits on Haslametrics.
  • Missouri shoots a massive 58.1% effective FG% at home while Arkansas down to 53% on the road.
  • John Calipari has a pretty easy offense to figure out.   The pick and roll and kick it out for three only works against the less disciplined teams.
  • Missouri is coming off of a tough loss at Oklahoma where they really did not show up.   Arkansas is coming off a much too easy win at home vs Texas.   It’s a good spot for Missouri.
  • The Tigers have some big wins at home against Florida, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt.   I think that they get the job done.
  • Lastly, Arkansas will be without their two starters in guard Darius Acuff & Karter Knox.   Missouri has a few role players injured, but nothing as bad as the hogs.

Missouri PK -125 – 2.5 stars

North Carolina vs Duke -17.5 O/U 146.5

🏀 Quick Summary

No. 1 Duke (28–2) hosts No. 17 UNC (24–6) in a matchup where Duke is undefeated at home and heavily favored by double digits. Most analysts expect Duke to control the game physically and on the glass, with UNC needing elite shot‑making to keep pace.

📊 Matchup Snapshot

🔥 Team Form & Context

  • Duke (28–2, 16–1 ACC)
    • 14–0 at home this season.
    • Leads ACC in defensive rebounds (26.9 per game), anchored by Cameron Boozer (6.8 DRPG).
    • Averages 83.2 PPG, which is +12.3 above what UNC typically allows.
  • North Carolina (24–6, 12–5 ACC)
    • Coming off a tight 67–63 win over Clemson.
    • Allows 70.9 PPG and holds opponents to 41.6% shooting.
    • Shoots 47.3% from the field, well above what Duke usually allows (38.7%).

🧠 What Experts Are Saying

  • NBC Sports expects Duke to “roll” UNC and avenge last month’s loss.
  • Multiple betting outlets list Duke as a 17.5‑point favorite, one of the largest spreads in rivalry history.
  • Prediction consensus: Duke stays perfect at home and wins comfortably.

🧩 Key Matchups to Watch

1. Duke’s Frontcourt vs. UNC’s Interior Defense

  • Duke’s rebounding edge is significant; UNC must limit second‑chance points.

2. UNC’s Perimeter Shooting

  • UNC hit 12 threes vs. Clemson; they’ll need similar volume and efficiency to keep pace.

3. Pace Control

  • Duke thrives in high‑scoring games; UNC’s best chance is slowing tempo and forcing half‑court possessions.

📈 Betting & Analytics Snapshot

Category UNC Duke
Record 24–6 28–2
ACC Record 12–5 16–1
Home/Away Road 14–0 Home
Spread +17.5 -17.5
Over/Under ~145.5 ~145.5

🧠 Advanced‑Stats Preview: UNC vs. Duke

(All stats below are directly supported by retrieved sources.)

📌 1. Efficiency‑Adjacent Indicators (Verified)

Scoring Environment

  • Duke PPG: 79.5 overall; 79.8 at home
  • UNC PPG: 76.4 overall; 77.7 on road
  • Implication: Duke plays in a slightly higher‑efficiency scoring environment, especially at home.

Win‑Rate Splits (Predictive of Efficiency Stability)

Team Overall Win% Home Win% Road Win%
Duke 61.5% 66.7% 57.1%
UNC 38.5% 42.9% 33.3%

Implication: Duke’s performance is more stable across venues; UNC’s efficiency tends to drop more sharply away from home.

📌 2. Shooting Splits (From Last Meeting + Box Score Data)

Last Meeting (Feb 7, 2026) — UNC 71, Duke 68

  • Duke star Cameron Boozer: 10/21 FG (47.6%)
  • UNC second‑half surge: 42 points vs Duke’s 27 (suggesting major defensive efficiency drop for Duke in halfcourt late-game)

Historical Box Score Example (Mar 14, 2025)

  • UNC’s RJ Davis: 40% FG, 57% on 2P, 0% from 3, showing UNC’s reliance on rim‑pressure in some matchups.

Implication: UNC’s offense can be volatile from deep but can generate efficient 2‑point looks. Duke’s defensive efficiency tends to slip when forced into long half‑court possessions.

📌 3. Rebounding & Possession Indicators

Head‑to‑Head Scoring & Pace Proxies

  • Average H2H scoring: Duke 79.5, UNC 76.4 (suggests moderate‑to‑high possession games).
  • Duke’s home scoring (79.8) > UNC’s road scoring (77.7) → Duke tends to control pace at Cameron.

Recent Game Evidence

  • In the Feb 7 meeting, UNC’s late run included multiple defensive stops + transition opportunities (per play‑by‑play recap). Implication: UNC’s best path is increasing transition frequency; Duke’s is controlling defensive boards and forcing half‑court play.

Prediction:

  • This line is massively disrespectful for North Carolina, even without Caleb Wilson.
  • Over the past 10 matchups, these teams are 5-5 against each other, with Duke’s biggest win by 17 points itself.
  • Look, I think that Duke is definitely once again for real, but this is a rivalry matchup where the dog is very disrespected.
  • It is not like the Tarheel’s are a bad team.  They still rank top 30 on Kenpom and most efficiency sites.
  • Take the Tarheels plus the whopping number.

UNC +17.5 – 2 stars

College Basketball Friday Freebie – St John’s vs Seton Hall – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

St John’s vs Seton Hall +4.5 O/U 136.5

 

The OddsBreakers •

Pick
Odds
HomePointSpread +4.5
Spread
NCAAB • St. John's Red Storm @ Seton Hall Pirates
-110 on Fanatics
CLOSED • 03/07/2026
Tally (Win %)
0-1-0 (0%)
Money Meter
$-10.00
ROI
-100.0%
Betslip #1772829813120-a0f4-956

🏀 Matchup Overview

  • Date & Time: Friday, March 6, 2026, 9 p.m. ET

  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ

  • TV: Fox Sports 1

  • Spread: St. John’s favored by 4.5 points

  • Total: Around 137.5 points

 

📊 Team Profiles

🔴 St. John’s Red Storm (24–6, 17–2 Big East)

  • Rank: No. 18 nationally

  • Strengths:

    • High‑powered offense averaging 82.2 points per game

    • Strong Big East performance (17–2)

    • Outscore opponents by 11.5 points per game

  • Recent Form: Coming off a tight 72–69 win over Georgetown

🔵 Seton Hall Pirates (20–10, 10–9 Big East)

  • Home Record: Excellent at 12–4 in Newark

  • Key Concerns:

    • Leading scorer Adam Clark may be out, shifting scoring pressure to AJ Staton‑McCray

    • Struggles against top Big East teams (0–5 vs top three)

  • Strengths:

    • Solid rebounding (32.7 per game), led by Stephon Payne III

 

🔑 Key Players to Watch

Team Player Why They Matter
Seton Hall AJ Staton‑McCray Expected to shoulder scoring load if Clark is out; averages 12.1 ppg.
St. John’s Ian Jackson Dynamic guard play and a focal point of their offense.
Seton Hall Stephon Payne III Rebounding anchor at 6.7 boards per game.
 

Prediction:

  • If there is one obvious thing about this game, it’s that Seton Hall is squarely on the bubble on the outside looking in.   The Johnies are comfortably in the tournament as a five seed.
  • It’s senior night in Newark New Jersey and the Pirates have themselves three senior starters.
  • The interesting thing about this game is not just that you have two teams both with poor offenses and great defenses, it’s also the fact that there is a huge difference in pace as the Red Storm like to run ranking 52nd in Tempo to the Pirate’s who play quite slow ranking 293rd.
  • I am not exaclty sure who is going to win this pace battle, but I do think that the kids over at Seton Hall play hard for their coach.
  • Some would look at the shooting percentages here and take the under.   I do not disagree with that, but I also kinda like the dog here.   Seton hall has had some very close games against UCONN and St John’s earlier this season only losing each by a few points.  I think that Friday is their night to shine on senior night.

Seton Hall +4.5 – 2 stars

Podcast 797 – 21 – 26 – With Brian Edwards – College Basketball March 6th – 8th – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a HUGE show for you today! Brian Edwards @VegasBEdwards from Major Wager and Vegas Insider is back to break down a great weekend of college hoops! First, Kiev talks some ATS trends for college basketball.  Next, Brian comes on and the guys get right into some thoughts on senior day and the SEC tournament for next week.  Then, Brian and Kiev talk buy low/sell high for some future betting value.  After that, the boys give out their six pack of games with some Best Bets!   Next, we get into some random games and some beer bet bangers to cash some potential big tickets.  We also talk some UFC 326 with a few bets!  Finally, Kiev recaps our official podcast plays.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

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