Fordham (14–12, 5–8 A‑10) is trying to protect home court and stay in the middle of the Atlantic 10 pack, while Loyola Chicago (6–20, 2–11 A‑10) is simply trying to stop a five‑game road losing streak and find some consistency.
📊 Team Form & Trends
Fordham Rams
Record: 14–12 overall, 5–8 A‑10
Last 5 games: W–W–L–L–W (3–2)
Home record: 8–7 at Rose Hill Gym
Defensive strength:
24.7 defensive rebounds per game (3rd in A‑10)
Led by Rikus Schulte (5.4 DRPG)
Scoring: 70.8 PPG (7.1 fewer than Loyola allows)
Betting outlook:
Favored at –8.5 with moneyline around –400 to –426 depending on book.
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
Record: 6–20 overall, 2–11 A‑10
Last 5 games: L–L–W–L–L (1–4)
Road struggles: Five straight road losses
Scoring:
67.2 PPG (2.1 more than Fordham allows)
Allows 77.9 PPG, a major defensive liability
Head‑to‑head: Loyola is 3–2 in the last five vs. Fordham, though this roster is struggling.
Recent result: Coming off an 86–59 loss to Saint Louis.
🔍 Key Matchup Factors
1. Rebounding Battle
Fordham’s strong defensive rebounding (24.7 DRPG) is a major advantage against a Loyola team that struggles to control the glass. Expect Fordham to limit second‑chance points.
2. Defensive Efficiency
Loyola’s defense gives up nearly 78 points per game, one of the biggest gaps in the A‑10. Fordham’s offense isn’t explosive, but it’s efficient enough to exploit this.
3. Momentum & Confidence
Fordham has won 3 of its last 5 and is at home. Loyola has lost 4 of 5 and hasn’t won on the road in weeks.
4. Betting Market Signals
Books have Fordham as a clear favorite:
Spread: –8.5
Total: ~138
Moneyline: –400 to –426
These numbers reflect the gap in consistency and defensive reliability.
📈 What to Expect
Fordham’s Edge
Better defense
Stronger rebounding
Home‑court advantage
More consistent recent play
Loyola’s Path to an Upset
Push tempo and turn it into a high‑possession game
Hit perimeter shots early
Force Fordham into foul trouble or turnovers
But given Loyola’s defensive issues and road struggles, they’ll need a near‑perfect performance.
Prediction:
This is one of those slow paced under the radar games we love to bet on.
Fordham is the 2nd best unders team this year at 5-18 at 78.3%. The margin on those games is a massive -7.5 points.
Loyola this year is a piss poor team that has been riddled with injuries and they have the worst free throw luck in the game with opponents shooting 78.7% at the charity stripe. Oh, they also rank 343rd at shooting it themselves just under 67%.
Loyola is a team that plays slow and plays bad ranking 287th in average possession length with almost no good offense and or defense. Fordham plays slow themselves ranking 359th in average possession length.
Neither of these teams rebound well, and neither of these teams get to the free throw line all that often.
This game is going to be a great watch for under bettors.
We have a GREAT show for you today! Another weekend of the College basketball is in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! We get into the good, the bad, and the ugly from the weekend and then talk some college basketball for Tuesday with a Free Play. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Basketball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASKETBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires December 31st 2026
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!
Kansas enters the matchup after a massive upset of No. 1 Arizona, winning 82–78 despite missing star freshman Darryn Peterson due to illness.
This shows:
Kansas can win without its leading scorer
Strong late‑game execution
Defensive resilience against elite offenses
This will be an amazing game in the big 12 that has some serious post-season considerations.
Kansas is coming off of their biggest win this year beating number one Arizona at home without their stud NBA future top pick in Darryn Peterson.
Most people will think that this is a good thing and they may just be better. I am not so sure about that. Earlier this week, Arizona did not play their best game at the Phog, and Kansas played lights out.
I do not like the situation with Peterson taking games off even if we has sick against the Cats.
Iowa State is coming off of their worst game in a loss at TCU. 17 turnovers and losing the rebounding battle did them in. This isn’t normal for the Clones and I see a huge bounce back spot here.
Iowa State got smoked by Kansas earlier this year at the Phog. I can guarantee that the Clonen’s have been thinking about that.
Kansas is coming off of that win and they are now in a huge let down spot. Kansas ranks 333rd in away/home splits on Haslametrics. They only shoot 51% effective FG% away from home. Iowa State shoots 61.4% at home. I think the Clones get it right and win by margin here.
Iowa State -4 – 2.5 stars
Kiev O'Neil
The OddsBreakers •
Pick
Odds
Over +142.5
Over/Under
NCAAB • Purdue Boilermakers @ Iowa Hawkeyes
-105 on DraftKings
CLOSED • 02/14/2026
Betslip #1771077970331-a0f4-561
Purdue vs Iowa +2.5 O/U 142.5
This is a huge big 10 game in a similar situation as Kansas and Iowa State. Iowa is coming off of a huge bad loss at Maryland, while Purdue is coming off of a defining win at Nebraska.
My big problem with Iowa is that they have been a bully. They smoke the teams that have issues, and they choke when facing the better teams. I cannot quite trust that even though they are in a big spot against Purdue.
Looking at the numbers, these teams are very identical. They both play quite slow, and they both have very efficient offenses.
I think that pace is going to play a big factor in this game. These teams could score a lot of points even on few possessions.
Believe it or not, I think that this game will get bet to the under, and this number will crash down far enough where an over may make some sense.
Both of these teams may look good on defense, but both rank 132nd or worse in opponent effective FG%.
Date: Friday, February 13, 2026 Time: 8:00 PM ET Location: Kohl Center, Madison, WI TV: FOX
🔥 What’s at Stake
Both teams enter this matchup riding emotional overtime wins over Illinois, setting up a high‑energy Big Ten showdown. Michigan State (20–4, 10–3) sits slightly ahead of Wisconsin (17–7, 9–4) in the conference standings, and this game has major implications for Big Ten tournament seeding.
📊 Betting Line & Odds
Most sportsbooks list Michigan State as a slight 2‑point favorite, making this essentially a toss‑up.
Spread: MSU -2
Total: ~145.5 points
Oddsmakers expect a tight, physical game — typical of these two programs.
🔍 Team Breakdown
Michigan State Spartans
Record: 20–4 (10–3 Big Ten) Recent form: Coming off a gritty 87–84 OT win over Illinois. Key storyline: Momentum. MSU’s win felt like a must‑have, and they showed toughness in closing time.
Wisconsin Badgers
Record: 17–7 (9–4 Big Ten) Recent form: Fresh off a 92–90 OT win over Illinois. Key storyline: Home‑court advantage — Wisconsin is traditionally strong at the Kohl Center and has been nearly unbeatable at home this season.
🧠 Matchup Analysis
1. Momentum vs. Home Court
Michigan State has the emotional lift of a big OT win.
Wisconsin counters with a strong home record and a disciplined style that travels well.
2. Guard Play
Wisconsin’s recent surge has been fueled by standout performances like Jeremy Fears Jr.’s 26‑point outing, giving them a dynamic scoring threat.
3. Physicality & Defense
Both teams thrive in grind‑it‑out games. Expect:
Heavy half‑court sets
Rebounding battles
Foul trouble potentially swinging momentum
4. Pace
Oddsmakers setting the total around 145.5 suggests a slightly faster pace than typical Big Ten slugfests — likely due to both teams’ recent offensive explosions.
🏀 Basketball Stats (Recent Game Example)
If you meant men’s basketball, here are the most recent detailed stats available:
Final Score
Wisconsin 78, Michigan State 64
Michigan State Player Stats
Player
Min
Pts
FG
Reb
Ast
K. Blair
36
16
6–13
7
7
R. Jones
34
8
3–10
4
3
I. Alexander
18
12
5–9
7
0
Wisconsin Player Stats
Player
Min
Pts
FG
Reb
Ast
Nolan Winter
—
12
—
17 rebounds
—
John Blackwell
—
17 points
—
—
—
📊 Key Team Stats (Season Leaders)
These come from the latest ESPN game data for the Feb. 13, 2026 matchup.
Michigan State Spartans
Category
Leader
Stat
Points per game
J. Fears Jr.
15.1 PPG
Field goal %
J. Fears Jr.
44.2% FG
Free throw %
J. Fears Jr.
89.9% FT
Rebounds per game
J. Kohler
9.4 RPG (6.2 DRPG, 3.2 ORPG)
Wisconsin Badgers
Category
Leader
Stat
Points per game
N. Boyd
20.2 PPG
Field goal %
N. Boyd
47.4% FG
Free throw %
N. Boyd
81.7% FT
Rebounds per game
N. Winter
8.9 RPG (6.5 DRPG, 2.4 ORPG)
🔥 Why These Stats Matter
1. Scoring Efficiency
Wisconsin has the best pure scorer in the matchup (Boyd at 20.2 PPG).
MSU counters with more balanced scoring but no 20‑PPG star.
2. Rebounding Battle
Kohler (MSU) vs. Winter (WIS) is a critical matchup.
Both average near 9 boards per game — whoever controls the glass likely controls tempo.
3. Guard Play
Fears Jr. (MSU) is the most efficient guard in the game (44% FG, 90% FT).
His ability to get to the line and convert is a major X‑factor.
📊 Key Stats for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
These come from the ESPN game data for the Feb. 13, 2026 matchup.
⭐ Season Leaders
Michigan State Spartans
Category
Player
Stat
Points per game
J. Fears Jr.
15.1 PPG
Field goal %
J. Fears Jr.
44.2% FG
Free throw %
J. Fears Jr.
89.9% FT
Rebounds per game
J. Kohler
9.4 RPG (6.2 DRPG, 3.2 ORPG)
Wisconsin Badgers
Category
Player
Stat
Points per game
N. Boyd
20.2 PPG
Field goal %
N. Boyd
47.4% FG
Free throw %
N. Boyd
81.7% FT
Rebounds per game
N. Winter
8.9 RPG (6.5 DRPG, 2.4 ORPG)
🧮 Advanced Team Stats (Offense vs. Offense)
From the 2025–26 offensive/defensive matchup data.
Offensive Comparison
Stat
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Offensive Efficiency
1.141
1.150
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.8%
Turnovers per play
14.8%
11.5%
Offensive Rebound %
38.1%
27.9%
Points per game
79.1
83.3
Defensive Comparison
Stat
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Defensive Efficiency
0.947
1.046
Opponent eFG%
46.4%
51.0%
Defensive Rebound %
80.8%
75.8%
Opponent PPG
65.6
75.8
Prediction:
This is a huge game that ironically has the same exact let-down situation. Both teams are coming off wins against Illinois, yet Wisconsin’s came much more recently on Tuesday night.
Let’s look at Michigan State. This team clearly has the big man and rebounding advantage at a massive 2nd in the nation at 59.4% rate. Guys like Jaxon Kohler, Coen Carr and Carson Cooper are huge down low. Wisconsin on the other hand isn’t too shabby from the defensive side of the ball ranking 19th on Kenpom.
The Badgers have the three point advantage shooting a ton of them at over 50.8% of all attempts. When they are on, they are hard to stop.
The big thing for me here is Wisconsin has a strong home court advantage, and since January 7th, this team ranks 22nd on Bart Torvik while Michigan State ranks 13th. Since February 1st, Wisconsin ranks 18th while Michigan State ranks 57th.
Nick Boyd from FAU and San Diego State has a ton of experience along with guard John Blackwell.
I think some big men like Nolan Winter, Austin Rapp, and Aleksas Bieliauskas will do enough to slow down Michigan State.
Sparty has been poor on the road the past few weeks having to go to overtime against Rutgers, and losing outright to Minnesota. I think Wisconsin makes their big shots and wins this game outright.
Wisconsin +2 – 2 stars
Kiev O'Neil
The OddsBreakers •
Pick
Odds
HomePointSpread +3
Spread
NCAAB • Michigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin Badgers
We have a GREAT show for you today! Paul Stone @PaulStoneSports from @VSINLIVE is back to break down a great weekend of college hoops! First, Kiev talks some early NFL odds and throws loans the sportsbooks a little money for about a year. Next, we go into some ATS trends for college basketball. Then, Paul comes on and the guys get right into the top 5 teams in college basketball. After that, Paul and Kiev give out their six pack of plays. Next, we get into some random games and some beer bet bangers to cash some potential big tickets. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Basketball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires December 31st 2026
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!
The 2025-26 NHL season is on pause, but hockey fans won’t be left without action. The 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano Cortina will feature many of the league’s top players, marking the first time NHL talent has competed in the tournament since the 2014 Winter Olympics in Sochi.
This article dives into both player and team futures, offering insights on everything from assist leaders and top point scorers to gold medal and group stage win bets.
Gold Medal Winner
Team USA (+190) – FanDuel
The gold medal race realistically comes down to the two tournament favorites, the United States and Canada, as they clearly separate themselves from the rest of the field in overall talent. On paper, Canada holds the edge in both offensive firepower and blue line depth, but the United States counters with a significant advantage in net.
Canada’s goaltending situation comes with more uncertainty. Jordan Binnington has endured an up-and-down season in St. Louis, Logan Thompson missed time with an upper-body injury, and while Darcy Kuemper has been steady, he does not provide the same ceiling as the American options. Team USA, on the other hand, can lean on an elite trio in Connor Hellebuyck, Jake Oettinger, and Jeremy Swayman, any of whom are capable of stealing games in a short tournament format.
Motivation also factors heavily into this matchup. The United States came up short against Canada in last year’s 4 Nations Face Off, and that result should fuel an added sense of urgency and hunger as they look to flip the script on the biggest stage.
Group Stage Wins
[Best Bet] Team Germany over 1.5 Wins (-105) – FanDuel
Germany finds itself in Group C alongside the United States, Denmark, and Latvia. The matchup against the United States is the most likely loss on the schedule, but Germany is well positioned in its remaining two group games against Denmark and Latvia. In both of those matchups, Germany is expected to be a heavy favorite, currently sitting around -270 on the moneyline against Denmark and likely approaching -500 against Latvia.
This roster has legitimate upside, featuring several impact NHL players, strong defensive structure, and stability in goal. Philipp Grubauer is a major factor as well, ranking 11th in the NHL in goals saved above expected, giving Germany a reliable presence between the pipes.
Ultimately, this wager likely comes down to the opening game against Denmark. A win there would put Germany firmly on track to clear 1.5 group stage wins and potentially position themselves to make noise in the knockout rounds.
Tournament Points
Connor McDavid over 8.5 Points (-132) – FanDuel
Connor McDavid continues to operate on a different level than the rest of the hockey world. He currently leads the NHL in points with 96 (34 goals, 62 assists) through 55 games, averaging an absurd 1.66 points per game. In last year’s 4 Nations Face Off, McDavid posted five points in four games, good for 1.5 points per game in an international setting. Canada is guaranteed three group stage games and, as the tournament favorite, is well positioned to advance through the quarterfinals, semifinals, and final, giving McDavid a realistic path to six games played. The group stage matchups against Switzerland, Czechia, and France are especially favorable, with France entering as the last team to qualify. A multi point performance in that matchup feels likely, and McDavid has the upside to post multiple points in nearly every game he plays. When the stage is biggest, the best player in the world usually delivers, and this sets up as another dominant tournament for him.
Jake Guentzel over 5.5 Points (-140) – DraftKings
Jake Guentzel has been quietly excellent this season, recording 60 points (26 goals, 34 assists) in 55 games, averaging just over a point per game. He also produced at a similar rate in last year’s 4 Nations Face Off, tallying four points in four games. Guentzel is expected to skate on Team USA’s top line alongside Auston Matthews and Matt Boldy, while also seeing time on the top power play unit. The United States, the second favorite to win the tournament, is in line for up to six games if they advance as expected. Their group stage schedule against Germany, Latvia, and Denmark is favorable, and the U.S. should control play in all three matchups. With the offensive firepower in the American top six, Guentzel is well-positioned to be part of multiple scoring opportunities and clear this number with room to spare.
Rasmus Dahlin over 4.5 Points (-130) – DraftKings
Rasmus Dahlin has been a driving force for a Buffalo Sabres team pushing toward the playoffs, posting 48 points (11 goals, 37 assists) in 53 games this season. He will anchor Sweden’s top defensive pairing and quarterback the first power play unit, ensuring heavy ice time in all situations. Dahlin’s ability to generate offense from the blue line makes him a key catalyst for Sweden, particularly on the man advantage. With his role and usage, he should be consistently involved in scoring plays throughout the tournament, making the over on 4.5 points a strong look.
Team Top Point Scorer – Germany
Tim Stützle (+310) – DraftKings
JJ Peterka (+1000) – DraftKings
Leon Draisaitl is the rightful favorite in this market at -120, as he is clearly the best player on Germany’s roster and the offensive focal point. That said, there is value to be found by pivoting away from the favorite. Tim Stützle and JJ Peterka both stand out as intriguing alternatives at +310 and 10 to 1, respectively.
Draisaitl is expected to center Germany’s top line alongside Lukas Reichel and Dominik Kahun, a solid but not overwhelming supporting cast. Germany’s second line, featuring Stützle, Peterka, and Wojciech Stachowiak, can reasonably be argued to be just as dangerous, if not more so, in terms of overall skill and offensive upside.
Importantly, Stützle and Peterka will join Draisaitl on Germany’s top power play unit, meaning they should be involved in nearly every man advantage goal Germany scores. This creates a realistic path for either player to match or exceed Draisaitl’s production, especially if the second line drives play at even strength. Ultimately, this is a bet on Germany’s secondary scoring outperforming the top line, with Stützle and Peterka positioned to capitalize if that scenario plays out.
Team Top Point Scorer – Switzerland
Nico Hischier (+275) – DraftKings
Kevin Fiala (+300) – DraftKings
Switzerland may not boast one of the deepest or most talented rosters in the Olympic field, but they are far from outmatched. When it comes to offensive firepower, everything starts with Nico Hischier and Kevin Fiala. These two form Switzerland’s top line and also skate together on the first power play unit, firmly establishing them as the engines of this offense.
Hischier and Fiala are clearly the most offensively gifted players on the roster, and with their shared even strength and power play roles, they are positioned to be involved in the majority of Switzerland’s scoring. Given that setup, it would be a surprise if the team’s top point scorer came from anywhere else. This market essentially comes down to which of these two stars capitalizes most consistently throughout the tournament.
Tournament Assist Leader
Cale Makar (+1000) – DraftKings
Cale Makar has been one of the premier defensemen in the NHL over the past several seasons, and his assist upside in this tournament stands out immediately. He ranks second among NHL defensemen in assists this season and sits 15th overall across the league. Makar should log massive minutes as part of Canada’s top defensive pairing and quarterback the first power play unit. Canada also benefits from a favorable group stage draw against Switzerland, Czechia, and France, giving Makar plenty of opportunities to rack up assists early and often. If Canada makes a deep run, his role and ice time set him up well to carry that production into the elimination rounds.
Macklin Celebrini (+1600)– DraftKings
Macklin Celebrini is expected to skate on Canada’s top line alongside Connor McDavid and Tom Wilson, which immediately puts him in an ideal position to pile up assists. While McDavid is widely known as an elite playmaker, we have seen him shift into a more aggressive scoring role in high leverage moments, most recently during the Stanley Cup Final and the 4 Nations Face Off. That dynamic could open the door for Celebrini to focus more on distribution, especially in his first appearance representing Team Canada. Celebrini has proven he can score, but this setup suggests he may lean into creating chances for his veteran linemates. He is also projected to see time on the second power play unit, adding another path to assist production.
Zach Werenski (+2500)– DraftKings
At 25 to 1, Zach Werenski offers some of the best value on the board in the assist leader market. Werenski should play heavy minutes throughout the tournament and has already shown he can thrive in this type of international setting, leading last year’s 4 Nations Face Off in assists with six. This season, he ranks third among NHL defensemen in assists and 13th overall across the league. With his ability to move the puck, jump into the rush, and contribute on the power play, Werenski has a realistic path to finishing near the top of the assist leaderboard if the United States advances deep into the tournament.
Best of luck, and as always, you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback, whether positive or negative, is always encouraged.
Date: Tuesday, Feb. 10, 2026 Location: Pinnacle Bank Arena, Lincoln, NE Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
🔍 What the numbers and models say
Across multiple sources, a consistent picture emerges:
Nebraska is a slight favorite at home, typically by 1.5 to 2.5 points.
Both teams have elite defenses, and analysts expect a low‑scoring, physical game.
The total points line sits around 147.5–148.5, with many experts leaning toward the under due to both teams’ slow tempo and defensive strength.
Nebraska is 12–1 at home, giving them a meaningful edge. Purdue is a solid 5–2 on the road, but their offense has been less consistent away from home.
📊 Team momentum
Nebraska (21–2) is coming off an impressive 80–68 win over Rutgers, showing strong ball movement and balanced scoring.
Purdue (19–4) just beat Oregon 68–64 and has performed well against ranked opponents.
📊 Key Stats for Purdue vs. Nebraska
These numbers come from the 2025–26 season efficiency profile for both teams.
🔥 Offensive Comparison
Stat
Purdue
Nebraska
Edge
Offensive Efficiency
1.221
1.149
Purdue
Effective FG%
58.6%
56.3%
Purdue
Turnovers per play
12.1%
11.5%
Nebraska
Offensive Rebound %
34.4%
25.0%
Purdue (big)
FTA/FGA
0.285
0.260
Purdue
Points per game
83.0
80.0
Purdue
Avg. scoring margin
+14.2
+13.9
Slight Purdue
Takeaway: Purdue is the more efficient offensive team overall, especially on the glass. Nebraska is slightly better at protecting the ball.
🛡️ Defensive Comparison
Stat
Purdue
Nebraska
Edge
Defensive Efficiency
1.012
0.950
Nebraska
Opp. Effective FG%
50.3%
47.5%
Nebraska
Opp. Turnovers per play
14.5%
16.8%
Nebraska
Defensive Rebound %
75.1%
75.5%
Even
Opp. FTA/FGA
0.242
0.246
Even
Opp. Points per game
68.7
66.1
Nebraska
Takeaway: Nebraska’s defense is legitimately elite — better shooting defense, more forced turnovers, and fewer points allowed.
🎯 Style & Tempo
Stat
Purdue
Nebraska
Possessions per game
68.0
69.6
3‑Point Rate
39%
~51% (very high)
Nebraska relies heavily on the three-ball — over half their shots come from deep. Purdue is more balanced but still efficient.
⭐ Recent Player Trends
Purdue’s Fletcher Loyer is red‑hot from deep: 10-of-14 from three over his last two games; 40.6% on the season.
Nebraska’s Rienk Mast just dropped 26 points and 8 rebounds vs. Rutgers and looks fully healthy again.
Prediction:
This is a huge big 10 game for both of these teams to remain in the hunt for double byes in the Big 10 tournament.
Many people might think that this could be a high-flying fast paced game, but I see one where defense will matter most.
Both of these teams shoot a lot of three pointers, but both teams also know how to defend that quite will coming off ball screens.
The biggest thing here for me is that Nebraska does not get to the free throw line all that much ranking 357th in free throw attempt percentage. Purdue ranks 331st in that category themselves.
I also do not like the fact that Nebraska just doesn’t rebound the ball well on offense. I could see little quick transitional plays.
Both Bart Torvik and Haslametrics have this game total at 143. I like the under as well.
We have a GREAT show for you today! Another weekend of the Super Bowl & College basketball are in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! We recap the big game and then talk some college basketball for Tuesday with a Free Play. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Basketball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASKETBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires December 31st 2026
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!
Another weekend of NFL & College Football in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about NFL & College Football misleading final scores & betting spots for next week.
Prop betting has become the funnest thing to do in sports. Rather than handicapping a stale side or total, there is certianly more value within the nuances of the game itself. One bit of trouble that bettors sometimes get themselves into is betting just one side of the game. For instance, if you bet most or all players to go over, a low scoring game could kill you. If you bet most or all players on the under, a high scoring game or overtime could kill you. I think that it is best to diversify your portfolio of prop bets for any total situation, and any side of a potential blowout. Most importanly, remember to enjoy the game, and not worry about your bets until after the game has been completed. Here are some free ones that we like. For premium props feel free to get our prop membership at Click Here! Otherwise, enjoy the game and best of luck to you!
Free Prop Plays:
Rhamondre Stevenson under 14.5 rush attempts – 1 star
Total number of players with a pass attempt over 2.5 +146 .5 stars
Boutte Call DK 40+yd TD – +1500 – .25 star (DK)
First score FG +330 Seattle +370 New England .5 stars a piece
Hunter Hen over 3.5 receptions -106 – 1 star
Kenneth Walker over 2.5 rec – -135 – .5 stars
Darnold over 5.5 rush yds -119 – 1 star
Kenneth walker over 20.5 rec yards – 1 star
Total New England players to record a rush attp over 3.5 – .5 stars
We saw this game just about a few weeks ago when the Wildcats went into Tennessee and embarrassed them on their home court.
This is a road revenge spot for the Vols, but I am not sure that they have the horses to get it done.
Tennessee has been playing good basketball, but they have also been fortunate to play a very banged up Alabama team, as well as overrated Ole Miss and Georgia.
The Problem with the Vols is that they turn the ball over quite frequently at 18.5 % of possessions ranking 278th in the NCAA. This doesn’t bode well on the road. The Vols also can’t shoot three pointers all that well ranking 105th in the nation. Their free throws are only at 69.2%.
The Wildcats have had their Lumps, but this team has gotten it together at home shooting 56% effective FG. The Vols only shoot 49.8% on the road.
According to Haslametrics, the Vols only rank 339th in home road splits to Kentucky at number 6 in the nation.
The Cats have the size down low to bang with the Vols. I am taking Kentucky here to get it done again.
Kentucky PK – 2 stars
🏀 Illinois vs. Michigan State: Game Preview
📍 Game Basics
Date & Time: Saturday, Feb. 7, 2026, 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Breslin Center, East Lansing
TV: FOX
Odds: Michigan State favored by 1.5 points (various sportsbooks)
Records:
Illinois: 20–3 (11–1 Big Ten)
Michigan State: 19–4 (9–3 Big Ten)
🔍 Team Form & Momentum
Illinois Fighting Illini
Entering with 12 straight wins, including dominant performances over Nebraska and Northwestern.
Known for having the most efficient offense in Big Ten play.
Recently crushed Northwestern 84–44, signaling they’re peaking at the right time.
Michigan State Spartans
Once riding high at 18–2, MSU has slipped into a familiar late‑January/early‑February slump.
Their defense was previously the best in the nation, but recent losses — including a surprising one to Minnesota — have raised concerns.
Point guard Jeremy Fears has struggled lately, and his performance is a major swing factor.
🧠 Matchup Breakdown
Illinois Offense vs. MSU Defense
Illinois brings the conference’s most efficient offense, while MSU counters with what has been the Big Ten’s top defense — though that defense has shown cracks recently.
If Illinois pushes tempo and forces MSU into rotations, the Spartans’ recent defensive inconsistency could be exposed.
MSU Offense vs. Illinois Defense
MSU’s offense has been inconsistent, but they have multiple players capable of big nights (Fears, Kohler, Cooper, Carr).
Illinois has shown vulnerability when they fall into cold spells — their previous meeting saw them miss 19 straight shots, leading to a 79–65 loss.
📊 Illinois vs. Michigan State: Key Stats Added
🔥 Season Leaders
Illinois
Points: K. Wagler — 17.9 PPG, 48.0% FG, 80.7% FT
Rebounds: D. Mirkovic — 8.2 RPG
Assists: K. Wagler — 4.3 APG
Michigan State
Points: J. Fears Jr. — 14.7 PPG, 44.8% FG, 89.6% FT
Rebounds: J. Kohler — 9.1 RPG
Assists: J. Fears Jr. — 8.9 APG
🏀 Team Stats Comparison
Category
Illinois
Michigan State
Points per game
84.6
78.9
Points allowed
67.2
64.0
📊 Key Factors to Watch
1. Guard Play
Fears’ decision‑making and efficiency will be under the microscope.
Illinois’ backcourt has been steadier and more explosive recently.
2. Pace & Physicality
Illinois thrives when they dictate tempo.
MSU needs to slow the game down and lean on their defensive identity.
3. Home‑Court Edge
Breslin Center is one of the toughest environments in the Big Ten.
MSU is a slight favorite largely because of this advantage.
Prediction:
Illinois vs Michigan State PK O/U 144.5
This game is more about what you believe. Illinois has the number 1 offense in the league in efficiency in Kenpom, with the 19th ranked defense, while Sparty has the number 46 offense and the number 4 defense.
Tom Izzo has gotten his kids up for these Illinois games covering the last three spreads and also winning outright in all three as well.
I just think that the Illini are the least talked about team in sports, and the kids know that.
Illinois has the much better front court here with their big men David Mirkovic and Tomislav Ivisic. The Illini will clean up the boards quite well to matchup against the Illini’s average shooting at 103rd in effective FG%.
I like Illinois to win a close game and prove that they are the top team to bet in the Big 10.
