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Fantasy Football Week 16

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Key Injuries:

  • QB Colt McCoy was concussed.
  • RB Jonathan Taylor with a high ankle.
  • RB Caleb Huntley with an ankle.
  • QB Jalen Hurts with his throwing shoulder.
  • WR Denzel Mims with a concussion.

Waiver Wire:

  • QB Garner Minshew for the Eagles will be huge.
  • QB Brock Purdy has been very good so far.
  • WR KJ Osborn had 16 targets and a TD.
  • WR Russell Gage had 12 targets and two TDs.
  • WR Jahan Dotson had 6 targets and a TD.
  • RB Marlon Mack had 5 rushes and 4 receptions.
  • RB Jaylen Warren had 11 carries for Pittsburgh.
  • RB Zach Moss for the Taylor injury.
  • RB Deion Jackson for the Taylor injury.
  • RB Tyler Allgeier for The Falcons

Non-starters trending up for week 16

  • RB Zach Moss vs the Chargers is huge.
  • RB Jamaal Williams vs the Panthers is big.
  • QB Davis Mills vs the Titans is interesting.
  • WR Chris Moore vs the Titans is a streamer.
  • WR Richie James vs Minnesota is big.
  • QB Mike White vs the Jaguars is a good one.
  • QB Aaron Rogers vs Miami.
  • WR Christian Watson vs Miami.
  • WR Romeo Doubs vs Miami.
  • RB JK Dobbins vs Atlanta should be fire.
  • WR Demarcus Robinson vs Atlanta might be good.

Busts:

  • RB Tony Pollard vs the Eagles.
  • RB Miles Sanders vs the Cowboys defense.
  • RB Travis Etienne vs the Jets D.
  • RB James Conner vs Tampa.
  • RB Cam Akers vs Denver
  • WR Christian Kirk vs the Jets
  • RB Nick Chubb vs the Saints D.
  • QB Justin Fields vs Buffalo.
  • RB David Montgomery vs Buffalo.

Nasty Sleeper:  

QB Aaron Rogers vs Miami

December 20th CBB Plays

By
Michael Fordham
-

A 1-1 split brings my CBB record to 26-20-1, +2u. I’m rolling with 3 plays for tonight looking to break out. 

To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!

*CBB(0.5u): Alcorn State TT UNDER 56.5 @ Dayton–6 PM CT

Alcorn State’s offense is absolutely insufferable. The Braves shoot just 37% from the floor, 26.5% from deep, and hold a brutal 0.7 assist/turnover ratio. Dayton has plenty of limitations offensively, but their defense is staunch per usual; they’ve allowed less than 50 points on 4 separate occasions already this year. Perhaps what’s most important regarding a TT is that Dayton runs at a bottom 30 pace in the country and will slow this game down to a standstill. With possessions at a premium, I have a hard time seeing Alcorn State get into the upper 50’s.

*CBB(0.5u): Providence PK vs Marquette–6 PM CT

Give Shaka Smart credit for having Marquette up to snuff once again this season, but his team lacks in a few critical areas that always prove to be crucial in these sort of games. First off, the Golden Eagles are weak on the boards; they rank 268th in offensive rebounding % and 161st in defensive rebounding %. Secondly, Marquette is sizably worse at the free throw line than their counterparts in this matchup(69% vs 73.5%). Marquette has had some flawless performances this season in some of their bigger spots, but I simply can’t trust them on the road in a hostile environment when they can’t check the small boxes. Ed Cooley and the Friars get their first marquee win of the season tonight.

*CBB(0.5u): Baylor TT OVER 90.5 vs Northwestern State–7 PM CT

It’s been awhile since Baylor has drawn this favorable of a matchup. The Bears have fallen off the national radar after losses to Virginia and Marquette, but let’s not forget how good they’ve been in this role. Playing similar competition in their first 3 games, Baylor averaged a whopping 99.7 PPG. I have Northwestern State power-rated as a bottom 30 defense in all of CBB; last we saw of the Demons, they allowed 110 at Rice. Specifically, they don’t run at a slow enough pace to keep Baylor from naming their number here. Baylor very well might get into the triple digits tonight.

NBA Full Premiums, 12.20

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Nice + unit night – we need to add another play on Knicks/Warriors over since the line moved against us. I think it’s absolutely wrong. I’ll keep betting at anticipating that, but early in the season when the market and I disagree, I’ve won more than I’ve lost. I guess we’ll find out tonight.

Jazz -3 (-110), to win 1.5 units

The Jazz treated their game against the Cavs like we thought they would, barely putting for a full effort in the process and only playing most of their key guys (Conley, Clarkson, Markkanen) around 30 minutes or less. We don’t know if they’ll rest players tomorrow but indications suggest not, considering. The Pistons are only off one extra day of rest and while they can be feisty, they’re mostly 5-6 scale roster shouldn’t be enough to overcome a 6-8 scale roster on Utah. The Jazz get a nice reprieve at home for a Thursday game and then a long break to pair with it (they don’t play all weekend), so plenty of reason to finish their road trip with a bang.

Warriors/Knicks over 224 (-110), to win 2 units
Warriors/Knicks over 221 (-110), to win 1 unit
I love this number; I have it at 234. The Warriors looked good without Curry at Toronto, and I love that boost in momentum for Jordan Poole. Dude hasn’t looked great but one thing he’s good at and continues to be: high paced, assist-laden drives where he can spark an offense. Of course if he drops 43 points, even better. The Warriors may experience more chemistry knowing they need to come together and pick up the slack without Curry. James Wiseman returned from the G-league against Philly and gave the team a good burst of energy, too. This is why Kerr practiced so much with his bench early; it’s as if he knew they would need to adjust during the season. The Knicks have been red-hot and while their defense has been elite, their offense is also top 10. They’ve slowed down a little, but like any team they have the proclivity to play faster against a team like Golden State. I think the pace will be high, the game will be full of beautiful passing, and we’ll see a high-scoring battle. The Knicks’ efficiency is set to digress, too, IMO, and I think Golden State can force them out of their comfort zone (which will only mean turnovers, fouls, and more points). OVER.
Grizzlies/Nuggets over 233.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units

Hey- I got some good news. The Nuggets and Grizzlies are among the best transition offenses in the NBA. It’s literally how Memphis scores (because their shooting efficiency isn’t actually that great), they just drive and fly up the court and draw fouls. The Nuggets have adopted a much faster pace recently and they’re in a comfortable spot at home. Both of these high-octane offenses should fuel each other, and they have good matchups, too. Jokic and the Denver size can thrive on offense, but we all know that Denver doesn’t like to play much defense. Memphis will take advantage and even though they’re the better defensive team, I like the Nuggets’ recent offensive rhythm and I expect it to go unchanged Tuesday night. I like a game closer to 240.

Podcast 89 – 22 – College Bowl & NFL Week 15 Recap – Fantasy Football Week 16 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!  Kiev O’Neil recaps a big weekend of sports!  First, Kiev get’s into why officiating variance helps the bad and hurts the good sports bettor.  Next, we get into the good, the bad, and the ugly from the weekend.  Then, we get into some College and NFL football recap with box score analysis, injuries and betting spots.  Next, Kiev gives out a FREE PLAY for NFL week 16!  Finally, D-Nasty is back and the boys get into fantasy football with key injuries, waiver wire, and players trending up for next weekend!  Want to ask us something for the Monday Mailbag?  Or just want us to break down a game?  Send us the question at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit BetRivers.com and use the affiliate code, “Odds22” to get a 100% sign up bonus up to $250!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply. 

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

Another Early NBA Premiums, 12.20

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Grizzlies/Nuggets over 233.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units

Hey- I got some good news. The Nuggets and Grizzlies are among the best transition offenses in the NBA. It’s literally how Memphis scores (because their shooting efficiency isn’t actually that great), they just drive and fly up the court and draw fouls. The Nuggets have adopted a much faster pace recently and they’re in a comfortable spot at home. Both of these high-octane offenses should fuel each other, and they have good matchups, too. Jokic and the Denver size can thrive on offense, but we all know that Denver doesn’t like to play much defense. Memphis will take advantage and even though they’re the better defensive team, I like the Nuggets’ recent offensive rhythm and I expect it to go unchanged Tuesday night. I like a game closer to 240.

Early NBA Premiums, 12.20

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Put in some knee-deep WORK today to recapture my understanding of the ol association. I thought I already had a fine perspective, I’ve certainly put in the work, but it’s important to keep iterating. On that bright note, I give you some early premiums.

Jazz -3 (-110), to win 1.5 units

The Jazz treated their game against the Cavs like we thought they would, barely putting for a full effort in the process and only playing most of their key guys (Conley, Clarkson, Markkanen) around 30 minutes or less. We don’t know if they’ll rest players tomorrow but indications suggest not, considering. The Pistons are only off one extra day of rest and while they can be feisty, they’re mostly 5-6 scale roster shouldn’t be enough to overcome a 6-8 scale roster on Utah. The Jazz get a nice reprieve at home for a Thursday game and then a long break to pair with it (they don’t play all weekend), so plenty of reason to finish their road trip with a bang.

Warriors/Knicks over 224 (-110), to win 2 units
I love this number; I have it at 234. The Warriors looked good without Curry at Toronto, and I love that boost in momentum for Jordan Poole. Dude hasn’t looked great but one thing he’s good at and continues to be: high paced, assist-laden drives where he can spark an offense. Of course if he drops 43 points, even better. The Warriors may experience more chemistry knowing they need to come together and pick up the slack without Curry. James Wiseman returned from the G-league against Philly and gave the team a good burst of energy, too. This is why Kerr practiced so much with his bench early; it’s as if he knew they would need to adjust during the season. The Knicks have been red-hot and while their defense has been elite, their offense is also top 10. They’ve slowed down a little, but like any team they have the proclivity to play faster against a team like Golden State. I think the pace will be high, the game will be full of beautiful passing, and we’ll see a high-scoring battle. The Knicks’ efficiency is set to digress, too, IMO, and I think Golden State can force them out of their comfort zone (which will only mean turnovers, fouls, and more points). OVER.

Gotta Do It: D. Mitchell Prop

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Donovan Mitchell PAR over 37.5 (-105), to win 1 unit
Against his former team = 110% effort.

December 19th CBB Plays

By
Michael Fordham
-

A 6-4 week in Hoops brings my season record to 25-19-1, +2.05u. I’m rolling with 2 plays for tonight looking to start the new week off strong!

To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!

*CBB(0.5u): Siena +2 vs St Bonaventure–6 PM CT

I have no idea why St Bonaventure is a favorite tonight. The Bonnies are 0-4 straight up on the road this year; that includes a loss at Canisius and a 17 point loss at Buffalo. After losing a boatload of experience from last year’s team, the Bonnies rank just 358th in “Continuity” according to KenPom. While this is a fade of the Bonnies given the spot, Siena is no slouch this year either. The Saints have outright wins over Florida State(won by 17) and Seton Hall, and they led Ole Miss at Halftime. Siena will have the edge on the boards tonight as well as at the Free Throw line(74.5% FT percentage). I have seen no reason to expect St Bonaventure to hold up well on the road, and I think they fall once again tonight.

*CBB(0.5u): Oral Roberts TT OVER 83.5 vs South Dakota State–7 PM CT

Oral Roberts averages over 85 PPG, shoots 36.5% from beyond the arc, and turns the ball over less than 10 times per game. To top it all off, they run at a Top 30 pace in the country, making this an offense you want to back. While South Dakota State has held high-flying offenses like Arkansas and Alabama into the 70’s, it took extreme measures to do so; Arkansas turned the ball over 20 times, and Alabama shot less than 40% from the floor. Let’s not forget that the Jackrabbits allowed 93 to Stephen F Austin and 81 to Montana; this is not a Top 200 defense in the country. Knowing that pace will be on our side and ORU takes tremendous care of the basketball, I expect the Golden Eagles to get into the upper-80’s. 

NBA Premiums, 12.19

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

What’s up, all!
I always give out free picks on the Bet US NBA show Mon-Wed at 2:30 so check me out there if I don’t offer much here the next 2 weeks. Let’s get to our few picks today:
 
Hornets/Kings 1H O119.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Parlay: 1H O119.5 + Kings 1H -5.5 (+240), to win 1.2 units
I don’t see how this doesn’t go over. The Hornets don’t play defense, they’re off a back to back, even worse. Scary Terry only played 19 min last night so he should bring some juice/speed for Charlotte, while the Kings are back in-rhythm in a comfy spot at home where they can blow anyone out. I don’t see how Charlotte, a team I can’t play on right now, can keep up. They’re too undisciplined right now.
Bucks -1 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Pels are playing some sloppy basketball right now, committing 57 fouls in their last 2 games. They can’t do that against the Bucks, who draw the 2nd most fouls in the NBA (over 18 per game) and will continuously drive to the basket at will on you. The Pelicans are a great team but they’re slumping right now and the Bucks will take pride in showing little brother how to play proper basketball tonight. Love Giannis to win battles against Zion, too.
 

Leans:

Cavs -6: Jazz on a back to back tomorrow but CLE has some big lookahead games this week. CLE is the better team, by far, and I like how they matchup. They’re also 11-4-1 ATS at home. Lookaheads have me off it.
Blazers -7.5: Everyone’s out for OKC but this could be one of those games where weird shit happens. They’re still at home and just beat Memphis with a shallow roster, so I’m off it.

NBA Premium Note

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

The NBA continues to be really insane and I’m just not willing to put everyone’s money on the line this often anymore. I’ll be splitting my NBA season into two parts, Oct-Dec and then Jan-June, knowing that the second half will be way less ridiculous.

For those on a terminal premium package, I’ll extend your subscription for two weeks. For the next two weeks, I’ll always give out leans but my NBA plays will be sparse until January.
Got a pregnancy appt. with my wife this morning so any plays/leans this Monday will be delayed. Thanks all,
Chris
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