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NHL Preview & Picks – December 13th, 2022

By
Patrick Gates
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We have twelve games taking place across the NHL tonight. Some of the matchups include  DAL/NJD, NYI/ BOS, SEA/ TBL, CAR/DET, and VGK/WPG. I break down a few of the games and offer my best bets along with a few player props to take a look at.

 

Game Previews:

Dallas Stars @ New Jersey Devils

  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Dallas Stars: 16-8-5, 2nd Central (7-5-2 Away)
  • New Jersey Devils: 21-5-2, 1st Metropolitan (10-4-1 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
Dallas Stars +130 +140 +1.5 (-175) o6.5 (-105)
New Jersey Devils -150 -165 -1.5 (+150) u6.5 (-115)

 

Despite a promising start to the season under new head coach Peter DeBoer, the Stars are in a slump losing three of their last four games. Jake Oettinger has not been great during that span averaging 3 goals against in those four starts. They began a five-game road last night in Pittsburgh where they lost 2-1 on a last-minute Evgeni Malkin goal.

The Devils have now lost back-to-back games for the first time since the beginning of the season. Their 11-game road win streak came to an end at MSG last night blowing a two-goal lead against the Rangers. Vanecek has been lackluster in his past two starts allowing four goals in each game. New Jersey’s offense hasn’t slowed down but they’ll need to find a way to sure up things on the back end moving forward.

DAL: S. Wedgewood (5-4-2), 3.05 GAA, .908 SV%

NJD: A. Schmid (5-1-0), 1.70 GAA, .940 SV%

 

 

New York Islanders @ Boston Bruins

  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • New York Islanders: 17-12-0, 5th Metropolitan (8-6-0 Away)
  • Boston Bruins: 22-4-1, 1st Atlantic (14-0-1 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
New York Islanders +185 +215 +1.5 (-130) o6.0 (+100)
Boston Bruins -215 -255 -1.5 +110) u6.0 (-120)

 

The Islanders are coming off a shutout loss against the Hurricanes on Saturday. However, it was a tough spot for them as they did face off against New Jersey the night before. New York went on a tear to end November but has failed to find that same consistency as of late.

The Bruins got revenge on the Golden Knights after they handed Boston their first loss on home ice this season. Boston returns from their three-game road trip tonight after going 2-1. Oddly enough their only loss during that span was in Arizona. This team has been phenomenal at home with a 14-0-1 record and has shown no signs of slowing down.

NYI: S. Varlamov (7-3-0), 2.67 GAA, .916 SV% [CONFIRMED]

BOS: J. Swayman (5-3-1), 2.80 GAA, .887 SV%

 

 

Seattle Kraken @ Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Seattle Kraken: 16-8-3, 2nd Pacific (9-2-1 Away)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning: 17-9-1, 3rd Atlantic (10-4-1 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
Seattle Kraken +160 +165 +1.5 (-145) o6.5 (+100)
Tampa Bay Lightning -190 -195 -1.5 (+125) u6.5 (-120)

 

The Kraken have been one of the more surprising teams this season. Last year, they were one of the worst teams on the road but have a 9-2-1 record this year. They ended their four-game losing streak against the Panthers in their last matchup. Seattle will play its third consecutive game on the road with their travel concluding in Carolina on Thursday.

After a mediocre start to the season, Tampa Bay has got its groove back. They’ve won four of their last five outscoring opponents 19-11 during that span. Tampa Bay has also been great at home this season with a 10-4-1 record. The Bolts Power Play has also found a spark scoring in eight of their last ten games.

SEA: P. Grubauer (2-3-1), 3.21 GAA, .882 SV% [CONFIRMED]

TBL: A. Vasilevskiy (11-8-1), 2.66 GAA, .911 SV%

 

 

Vegas Golden Knights @ Winnipeg Jets

  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Vegas Golden Knights: 20-9-1, 1st Pacific (12-2-1 Away)
  • Winnipeg Jets: 18-8-1, 1st Central (10-4-0 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
Vegas G. Knights +105 +125 +1.5 (-200) o6.0 (-110)
Winnipeg Jets -125 -145 -1.5 (+170) u6.0 (-110)

 

These two teams have already squared off twice this year with Vegas winning both matchups. On October 20th, the Golden Knights won 5-2 and just ten days later they defeated the Jets again 2-1 in OT.

After a great start to the year, the Golden Knights have gone 5-5 in their last ten games. Their offense has struggled as of late only scoring four goals in their previous three games. Logan Thompson has also been subpar allowing three or more goals in each of his past four starts.

The Winnipeg Jets four game win streak came to an end in Washington on Sunday. Even with that loss, they’ve won seven of their last ten games. They’ve been great at home this season with a 10-4-0 record. Connor Hellebuyck has had a rebound year with a +15.1 GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ranking 2nd in the NHL.

VGK: L. Thompson (13-7-0), 2.70 GAA, .917 SV%

WPG: C. Hellebuyck (14-6-1), 2.33 GAA, .930 SV%

 

Pick(s):

  • Winnipeg Jets ml (-130) – DraftKings [Current Best (-140) – BetMGM]
    • Risk 0.32 to win 0.25 Units

The Jets lost twice to Vegas earlier in the season on the road but they’ve looked much better as of late. Vegas is in a bit of a skid now and continues to be riddled with injuries. In terms of numbers, Winnipeg has been much better at home this season and should be able to defeat this depleted Golden Knights squad. It looks as though it’ll be Hill vs Hellebuyck in net tonight which certainly gives the advantage to Winnipeg there as well.

 

  • Washington Capitals in Regulation (-135) – DraftKings
    • Risk 0.34 to win 0.25 Units

While Washington hasn’t been great on the road this year, the Blackhawks haven’t been great at home either. The Capitals have found their groove winning their past four games and are playing some great hockey as of late. Chicago on the other hand, has lost their past three games being shut out in two of those matchups. Washington allows the 11th fewest goals against per game and should be able to limit this stagnant Blackhawks offensive unit.

 

  • Seattle Kraken/ Tampa Bay Lightning over 6.0 (-120) – Caesars
    • Risk 0.30 to win 0.25 Units

 

Lean(s):

  • Columbus Blue Jackets/ Florida Panthers over 6.5 (-130) – DraftKings
  • Arizona Coyotes (+155) – DraftKings

 

Player Props:

  • William Nylander over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings
    • He’s gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 5.2 SOG and 8.2 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 3.5 SOG in three of his last five. The Ducks also rank 32nd in SOG Allowed per game.
  • Mitch Marner over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-170) – DraftKings
    • He’s gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.6 SOG and 7.2 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in three of his last five. The Ducks also rank 32nd in SOG Allowed per game.
  • Gustav Forsling over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-133) – Caesars
    • He’s gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.4 SOG and 8.4 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in his past two games. The Blue Jackets rank 31st in SOG Allowed per game and give up the most SOG per game to Defensemen.
  • Carter Verhaeghe over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-113) – FanDuel
    • He’s gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.4 SOG and 4.0 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in four of his last five. The Blue Jackets rank 31st in SOG Allowed per game and give up the 11th most SOG per game to Left Wingers.
  • Taylor Hall over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-114) – FanDuel
    • He’s gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.4 SOG and 5.8 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in three of his last five. The Islanders rank 18th in SOG Allowed per game and give up the 2nd most SOG per game to Left Wingers.
  • Roman Josi over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+123) – Caesars [Alt 3.5 (-195) – BetRivers]
    • He’s gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 5.0 SOG and 9.0 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 4.5 SOG in each of his last five. The Oilers rank 27th in SOG Allowed per game and give up the 5th most SOG per game to Defensemen.
  • Blake Wheeler over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+110) – BetRivers
    • He’s gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.8 SOG and 6.0 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in each of his last five. The Golden Knights rank 13th in SOG Allowed per game and give up the 4th most SOG per game to Right Wingers.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

More NBA Props, 12.13

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Does Chris have too much action, AGAIN? Maybe, but I can’t turn away from these matchup advantages.

Anthony Davis over 27.5 pts (-115), to win 0.5 units
It’s AD, he can choke, but he has a big-time interior advantage tonight since Boston is still without Horford and Williams.
LeBron James under 27.5 pts (-125), to win 1 unit
Since AD should cook, the aging Lebron James should be very limited by a very talented defensive Boston team. This doesn’t feel like a big Lebron game; it’s not the matchup or situation where he thrives.
Giannis over 5.5 assists (+105), to win 1.05 units

Antetokounmpo (+7.5%) and Middleton (+6.0%) had the highest assist rate differential with Holiday off the floor last season. Giannis will use his big body advantage to lure in Warriors defenders, who are usually inept at stopping the Greek Freak, and dish out the ball to Middleton and other shooters. Love this over.

December 13th CBB Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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An 0-1 Monday drops me to 19-16-1 on the CBB season. I’m rolling with 2 plays for tonight looking to bounce back strong! To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group.

*CBB(0.5u): Furman/NC State OVER 155–5:30 PM CT

Furman is a well-oiled machine offensively that can absolutely hang in this game. The Paladins shoot over 50% from the floor, 74% from the FT line, and hold a very good 1.5 assist/turnover ratio. With that said, they leave a lot to be desired on the defensive end of the floor, having allowed 75 or more to 3 teams bottom 150 offenses in the country already this season(Old Dominion, South Carolina State, High Point). NC State runs at a maniacally fast pace offensively, a big reason as to why they average over 80 PPG.

I see these teams having success offensively for different reasons, but nonetheless, I think this is a close game where pace and efficiency will be on our side. Over is the play.

*CBB(0.5u): Texas Tech -16.5 vs Eastern Washington–7 PM CT

I really don’t like this spot for Eastern Washington. The Eagles won @ Cal last Wednesday before losing a heartbreaker at South Dakota State on Saturday, making this their 3rd straight road game and easily their toughest matchup of the season. On the other hand, Texas Tech is well-rested, having played just twice over the past 2 weeks; both of those games came at home. Last time we saw the Red Raiders, they put up a less than desirable performance in a 7-point win over lowly Nicholls State.

We know the Red Raiders are staunch defensively, but the shooting has been better than given credit for(48% FG percentage, 35.5% 3pt FG percentage). Meanwhile, Eastern Washington shoots less than 30% from beyond the arc and less than 70% from the FT line. With no look ahead in mind, I think Mark Adams’ crew comes out with a sense of urgency and wins this game by 20+.

Fantasy Football Week 15 Playoffs

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Key Injuries:

  • QB Tyler Huntley Concussion
  • QB Russell Wilson Concussion
  • QB Kenny Pickett Concussion
  • WR Tyler Boyd with a finger.
  • WR Tee Higgens with a right hammy.
  • RB Dameon Pierce with an ankle injury.
  • TE Daniel Bellinger with a rib injury.
  • QB Mike White with a rib injury.
  • WR Corey Davis with a head injury.
  • WR Deebo Samuel with a high ankle sprain.
  • WR Tyreke Hill with an ankle.
  • RB Dontrell Hilliard with a nasty neck injury.
  • QB Kyler Murray with his leg.  Non-contact.
  • RB Rhamandre Stevenson with an ankle.
  • QB Desmond Ritter gonna start for Mariota FYI.

Waiver Wire:

  • QB Mitch Trubisky if desperate.
  • QB Baker Mayfield looked good for a few drives.
  • QB Brett Rypen for the Wilson injury.
  • QB Anthony Brown for the Huntley Injury.
  • QB Colt McCoy
  • QB Desmond Ritter
  • WR Trent Taylor for the Bengals receivers.
  • RB Rex Burkehead for the Pearce injury.
  • WR Donavan People’s Jones had 12 targets last game.
  • WR Chris Moore had 11 targets last game.
  • WR Elijah Moore for the Davis injury.
  • RB Jordan Mason 11 carries for 56 rushing yards.
  • RB Julious Chestnut for the Hilliard Injury.
  • RB Kevin Harris for the Stevenson injury.
  • RB Pierre Strong for Stevenson Injury.

Non – Starters trending up

  • WR Michael Pittman vs the Vikings pass D could work.
  • WR Traylon Burks vs the Chargers has a good matchup.
  • WR Mike Williams is a beast vs the Titans.
  • WR Elijah Moore if Corey Davis is out vs Detroit.
  • TE Hunter Henry vs the Raiders is interesting.
  • RB Chuba Hubbard vs the Steelers will be huge.
  • RB Pierre Strong for Stevenson Injury.
  • RB Isaiah Pacheco vs Houston might be massive.

Busts:

  • RB Kareem Hunt vs Baltimore isn’t a good look.
  • RB Cordarrelle Patterson vs the Saints is dangerous.
  • RB Travis Homer vs San Francisco is toast.
  • RB Kenneth Walker vs San Francisco is not pretty.
  • RB Leonard Fournette vs Cincinnati isn’t good.
  • QB Justin Fields vs the Eagles might be a loser.
  • QB Jared Goff vs the Jets might let down.

Nasty Sleeper:   Chuba Hubbard vs the Steelers

Full NBA Premiums, 12.13

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Like a lot of overs today – insert nervous emoji.
 
SAC at Philly over 229 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Philly’s defense has really devolved (21st last 5 games) and the Kings just had a terrible game against the Knicks, couldn’t find ANY offensive rhythm. Sacramento shot just 10-39 from three, 23-35 from the free throw line, and turned the ball over 16 times in that game against the Knicks- I expect positive regression tonight. There’s been a dropoff without DeAaron Fox the last 2 games, for sure, and players like Malik Monk, who’s been great off the bench, haven’t been efficient. Fox should return tonight– he practiced Monday. Philly also hasn’t really beaten any good teams lately. They’re also not great at defending the fast break (SAC is 5th in FB points), while SAC isn’t great at defending in the paint or defending the 3 point shot. OVER: I have it at 232.
Warriors/Bucks 1Q over 59.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Bucks are scoring over 30 ppg in the 1Q over their last 6 contests, starting off hot and fast in every game. They’ve always matched up well with the Warriors, who can’t defend Giannis worth a damn unless the Bucks are in a really weird spot. This isn’t that spot. They’re at home off a sleepy game against Houston where Giannis was just off the entire game. I expect the big man to eat today, the pace to be high, and both to push for points early. Milwaukee’s defense can step up late, only taking an early 1Q over.
Pelicans -1.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Pelicans TT over 118 (-110), to win 1 unit
Pels/Jazz 3rd QTR over 60.5 (-104), to win 1.5 units
Yea I just don’t see any reason to play off the Pels right now. They’re a team to play ON, functioning at a very high level right now behind a determined Zion, really good defense (especially interior defense), and really high chemistry. They lost in their first matchup, very early in the season, against the Jazz and will look to get some revenge tonight. Valanciunas and Herb Jones and Brandon Ingram all had weird games in that first battle, plus it was way before they developed this kind of chemistry. Who these teams are now compared to who they were nearly 2 months ago? Different universe. Both of these squads come out of halftime scoring more efficiently, both averaging 30 ppg or more in the 3rd period, and I love that angle tonight. The first half could be fiesty and lower scoring than expected but I think things break loose later in the game. The Pels had a poor shooting performance overall in their first game against Utah and the Jazz defense has really declined. Give me a bunch of overs and a win for the Pels – a team to be reckoned with right now!

Podcast 87 – 22 – College Football Week 14 and NFL Week 13 Recap – Fantasy Football Week 14 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!  Kiev O’Neil recaps a wonderful sports!  First, Kiev get’s into the good, the bad and the ugly from the weekend as well as some listener questions.  Next, we get into some College and NFL football recap with box score analysis, injuries and betting spots.  Then, Kiev gives out a FREE PLAY for NFL week 15!  Finally, D-Nasty is back and the boys get into fantasy football with key injuries, waiver wire, and players trending up for next weekend!  Want to ask us something for the Monday Mailbag?  Or just want us to break down a game?  Send us the question at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit BetRivers.com and use the affiliate code, “Odds22” to get a 100% sign up bonus up to $250!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply. 

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

NBA Props, 12.12

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Jarrett Allen over 14.5 pts (-125), to win 1 unit

No Jakob Poetl, no real front court for the Spurs. Allen should dominate– hopefully he doesn’t need the 4th QTR because CLE could throttle San Antonio.
Rudy Gobert over 12.5 rebounds (-125), to win 1 unit
Gobert averages around 12 rebounds per game but in their last contest against Portland, they were out-rebounded 45-28. I mean the Timberwolves average OVER 50 rebounds per game so that might be one of their worst marks of the season. Needless to say, rebounding will be a key focus on tonight’s rematch and that’s primarily Rudy’s role. OVER.

December 12th CBB Play

By
Michael Fordham
-

Coming off a 9-6-1 week in CBB, I’m back with 1 play looking to start the week off strong. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!

*CBB(0.5u): Gonzaga -32 vs Northern Illinois–8 PM CT

Northern Illinois is the exact style of team that is going to get run off the floor vs the Gonzaga’s of the world. The Huskies are wretched on both ends of the floor, yet they run at the 50th fastest pace in the country. Poor efficiency + extending this game unnecessarily is going to lead to a crooked number.

This is a dream opponent for the Zags after playing one of the toughest schedules in the country up to this point. We all know they’ll score at will here, but what could maybe be argued is whether they’ll get stops at a consistent rate to cover this big number. Not only is Northern Illinois a poor shooting team(less than 44% from the floor), but they do none of the little things right; a 65% FT percentage and 0.7 assist/turnover ratio is a putrid combination.

Gonzaga wins this game by 40.

NBA Full Premiums, 12.12

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Finally a winning 2-1 Sunday; let’s keep it rolling this entire week!

Hawks/Grizz over 228.5 (-110), to win 2 units

The Hawks won’t be interested in playing defense in a back to back, they’ll be pissed and aggressive after last night’s loss, the Grizz are explosive at home. One feeds the other.
T-Wolves +5 (-105), to win 1 unit
T-Wolves ML (+165), to win 0.825 units
Minnesota should have won this battle on Saturday. Correct, redeem, cover and probably win.
Celtics -3.5 (-115), to win 1 unit
Big response game for Boston after Jayson Tatum really shit the bed on Saturday against Golden State. I imagine they’re less worried about LAL tomorrow so they should be all-in in this contest. Paul George will have to have the game of his life to keep up with Boston, IMO. Kawhi still doesn’t look quite like himself, even when playing more minutes, and John Wall is a defensive liability. Celtics take it and cover.
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