Let Down Spots:
Get Up Spots:
Look Ahead Spots
Congrats to everyone who had Tony Finau last week at the Cadence Bank Houston Open! He’s been red hot as of late winning three of his last seven starts.
We’re now onto the RSM Classic at Sea Island Resort. This week’s event features both courses on the property, the Seaside, and Plantation course. There are not a lot of big names teeing it up this week but despite that, it should be an exciting tournament given the previous winners.
Tournament Information:
Course Architect/ Comparable Courses:
Comparable Courses & Greens:
TV Information:
Course/ Tournament History:
The RSM Classic, previously known as the McGladrey Classic until 2015, has been a mainstay on the PGA Tour since its debut in 2010. In 2015, the tournament also switched to the dual course setup utilizing both the Seaside and Plantation Courses at Sea Island. Between 2015 and 2019 this was the final PGA Tour event on the calendar year but was switched to the fall there after. This year will also feature it’s largest purse of $8.1 Million an increase from the 2021 purse of $7.2 Million.
This event has also been dominated by Americans, winning every year except for 2016 when Mackenzie Hughes defeated four others in a playoff.
72-Hole Record: 260, Kevin Kisner (2015), Talor Gooch (2021)
18-Hole Record: 60, Tommy Gainey (4th Rd, 2012), Sebastian Munoz (1st Rd, 2021), Tyler McCumber (4th Rd, 2021)
Course Guide/ Scorecards:
Players this week will only see the Plantation course once this week, either on Thursday or Friday so I’m not all too concerned about this course. The Plantation Course is also not equipped with Shot Link data which limits are SG research. This course is more of Parkland style that features tree lined fairways and water coming into play on a majority of the holes. The Plantation Course features four Par 5’s, unlike Seaside, that provide additional scoring opportunities. While distance and power haven’t really been a factor in the recent tournaments here, it will play a factor on those four holes. Davis Love III recently renovated this course changing the contouring on the greens making them more difficult.
The Seaside course is the less challenging of the two courses that players will face this week. As you can tell by the scorecard, the course is one of the shortest on the PGA Tour. Most courses on Tour use length to try and prevent the event from becoming a “birdie fest” however, Seaside relies on the wind as it’s main defense. Seaside is a coastal/links style golf course that features wide fairways and greens. The tournament is won on approach shots and putting. Most of the greens are elevated with large runoff areas which emphasizes Greens in Regulation % as a key stat this week. The bermudagrass putting surface will also provide some challenge for players who aren’t particularly used to the grainy surface. Capitalizing on birdie opportunities will be placed at a premium this week based on the previous winners scores.
For a hole-by-hole overview of the course, you can click the following link.
Key Statistics:
The Field/ Odds:
156 Players will compete in the RSM Classic this week. It’s an extremely weak field especially after Tony Finau withdrew on Tuesday.
To see the most up-to-date odds, you can click the following link.
To see the full field for this event, you can click the following link.
Horses for Courses:
Donkeys for Courses:
“Horses for Courses” is a phrase that is widely used and describes the best course/tournament fits. These are the players that have had success at the particular course/event. “Donkeys for Courses” is something I came up with that highlights the players who have struggled at a particular course/tournament.
Previous Winners Scores & Prices:
Picks (Outright):
Just Missed: Denny McCarthy, Keith Mitchell, Beau Hossler, Alex Smalley, Greyson Sigg
Total Risk on Outright Placements: 1.12 Units
Picks (Top 20):
Total Risk on Top 20 Placements: 2.00 Units
Picks (Top 40):
Just Missed: Wyndham Clark, Webb Simpson, Aaron Rai, Luke List
Total Risk on Top 40 Placements: 2.00 Units
Total Risk on the RSM Classic: 5.12 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
The Bears out-gained the Lions 408 to 323 yet lost 31-30. A 1-0 turnover ratio pick 6 killed them.
The Texans out-gained the Giants 387 to 367 yet lost 24-16. A 2-0 red zone turnover ratio killed them. Giants also had 1 huge explosive play.
The Cowboys out-gained the Packers 421 to 415 yet lost 31-28. Equal 2-2 turnovers but 9 penalties and bad play calling got them.
The 49ers out-gained the Chargers 387 to 238 yet only won 22-16 at home. Equal 1-1 turnovers but bad red zone efficiency hurt the 49ers.
I imagine most of you woke up to a very friendly 234-235 total for Boston/Atlanta, so we’ll list our bet as under 234 as common ground. Just updating everyone:
Let Down Spots:
Get Up Spots:
Look Ahead Spots:
Bye weeks: Jaguars, Dolphins, Seahawks, and Buccaneers
Key Injuries
Waiver Wire:
Non-Starters trending up for week 11:
Busts:
Nasty Sleeper: Kadarious Tony vs the Chargers
Akron’s yards vs Eastern Michigan were garbage time.
Buffalo out-gained Central Michigan 431 to 420 yet lost 31-27. Equal turnovers and bad red zone killed the Bulls.
East Carolina out-gained Cincinnati 454 to 310 yet lost 27-25. They even won the turnover margin 1-0, but very bad special teams efficiency got them.
Oklahoma out-gained West Virginia 426 to 406 and lost 23-20. They won the turnover battle 2-0 but 1-11 third down conversions killed them.
Navy’s yards were garbage time vs Notre Dame.
Liberty out-gained Uconn 474 to 318 yet lost 36-33. Bad special teams and explosive plays put the freeze on Hugh Freeze.
Georgia State out-gained ULM 535 to 300 yet lost 31-28. A 2-1 turnover ratio and bad red zone efficiency hurt them.
Wisconsin out-gained Iowa 227 to 146 yet lost 24-10. Horrible QB play by Mertz and bad special teams turnover got them.
Temple out-gained Houston 533 to 485 yet lost 43-36. They won the turnover battle 2-1 but time of possession and the fact that they couldn’t stop the run hurt them bad.
Iowa State out-gained Oklahoma State 333 to 244 yet lost 20-14. A 5-2 turnover ratio and horrible red zone got them.
Ole Miss out-gained Alabama 402 to 317 yet lost 30-24. Equal turnover at 1-1 but bad 4th down efficiency 0-3 hurt them.
Charlotte out-gained MTSU 383 to 306 yet lost 24-14. Equal 2-2 turnovers but bad red zone and 4th down efficiency 1-4.
Army out-gained Troy 357 to 264 yet lost 10-9. Option team weirdness and the usual bad red zone got them.
Oregon out-gained Washington 592 to 522 yet lost 37-34. Equal turnovers at 1-1, but poor coaching kicking that Filed goal in the 4th quarter got them.
Kansas out-gained Texas Tech 525 to 510 yet lost 43-28. A 2-0 turnover ratio hurt them.
Colorado state out-gained Wyoming 372 to 236 yet lost 14-13. A 2-1 turnover ratio and bad red zone efficiency hurt the Rams.
Hawaii’s yards were mainly garbage time.
Well I’m up late, can’t sleep, and obviously pretty fucking pissed about the Tuesday night results and how we fared. And unlike the many robotic dorks in this industry, I actually give a fuck and feel the pain when I lose units for your guys.
I’ll be away from home tomorrow morning so sending out some plays now. Might be more to come around lunch time tomorrow, may not be.
Contest-winner and pro handicapper Chris Farley is back to talk NFL Week 11! This week he’s joined by the co-founders of Sports Wagering University, David Laferriere and Michael Neubert! Three buddies just breaking down a full week of NFL action!
Want Chris’ premium picks? Well, you should probably consider it. Chris started off his NBA season white hot, up nearly 7 units and hitting at 58% out the gate. He also had a big week in NFL Week 10 and historically, the second half of the season is where he does best! Here’s a few more reasons why you might want to consider:
