Welcome to a new Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head’s and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer.
Somehow even with Matt Ryan in our lineup last week we got a victory. DFS Football is all about finding guys with high usage before the price goes up. We were able to do that last week with Curtis Samuel and Greg Dortch. Will they make the roster again? It all depends on the price. Our record this season is now 1-1.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 13-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Joe Burrow, QB: $6,600. Burrow has been bad so far. I don’t think it’s the QB however. It’s the O-Line. He has been running for his life so far against Pittsburgh and Dallas and its translated into his passing numbers. The Jets don’t create the same pressure however being the 4th slowest in average time to pressure. The Jets secondary also gave up a huge game to Jacoby Brissett and the Browns last week and the Bengals bring a lot more to the table. Look for Burrow to get on track.
Dalvin Cook, RB: $7,900. Featured Running backs have certainly not been the way to make money so far in NFL DFS. I’m hoping Dalvin Cook can break the trend and get the Vikings running game traveling in the right direction. The Lions are giving up 152 YPG rushing most of which came against the Eagles week 1. In that game Miles Sanders racked up 96 yards on 13 carries and a score. If Minnesota can get out in front early look for a big game from Cook.
Dameon Pierce,RB: $5,000. Pierce should continue to grow his role in this offense as he had 16 touches in Week 2. With this game likely a low scoring affair with plenty of rushing on both sides I would look for that to increase against the Bears who allowed 200+ yards on the ground against the Packers Sunday.
Ja’Marr Chase, WR: $8,100. As stated above with Burrow, I think the Bengals offense gets back on track and that means a big day for Chase and his fellow receivers. The Jets gave up 3 TDs to Baltimore Wide-outs in Week 1, and even if the Bengals get up in the second half by two scores I see them keeping the pedal to the metal and getting this team some confidence back.
Tee Higgins, WR: $6,100. Higgins caught 6 of 10 targets for 71 yards and a score and is clearly the #2 in Cincy ahead of Boyd. See the Burrow and Higgins blurbs for the rest of the news that’s fit to print.
Drake London, WR: $5,800. London looks like he’s the real deal early in his NFL career. He went 8 for 86 and a TD on 12 targets last week against the Rams in the comeback attempt. Against the Saints week 1 it was 5 for 74 while they played with the lead most of the game. He got 12 of 26 Mariota targets in Week 2 so clearly London is where he wants to go with the ball. Hopefully they don’t cave to fan or owner pressure in trying to get Kyle Pitts the ball more often.
Logan Thomas, TE: $3,500. Thomas has 6 catches and 11 targets through 2 games. He hasn’t quite returned to his Pre-ACL form or snap percentage just yet, but the hints are that it may be coming. The Eagles gave up 7 catches for 61 yards and a score last week vs Minnesota and 4 catches for 38 against the Lions to Tight Ends.
Gerald Everett, Flex: $4,400. Everett hauled in 6 catches on 10 targets against the Chiefs in Week 2 for 71 yards. If Herbert is healthy I like this match-up with Keenan Allen still sidelined. Jacksonville’s defense wasn’t tested by the Colts in week 2, but Logan Thomas did get some solid open looks week 1. I think Everett will be Herbert’s second downfield option Sunday and hopefully the Jags try and take away Ekeler in the passing game.
Texans, DST: $2,600. Yup. I am really taking the Texas D here. They are 31st in YPG allowed, but they have not given up a ton of points, and some of those yards were in comeback time to Matt Ryan. The Bend But Don’t Break Houston Texans 2022. Justin Fields hasn’t shown anything yet to make me a believer and the Texans while not flashy have 3 Turnovers and 5 Sacks so far through two games.
College football is well under way heading into the 4th week of games. We have a good one here on Thursday night between West Virginia and Virginia Tech.
West Virginia comes into this game with a 1-2 record losing to Pitt and Kansas to start off the year before beating Towson last week. Virginia Tech comes in with a 2-1 record. They had a disappointing opening week loss to Old Dominion, but have bounced back with back to back wins against Boston College and Wofford.
This game will pit West Virginia’s strength (offense) against Virginia Tech’s strength (defense). West Virginia is averaging 46 points per game and 513 total yards of offense. Virginia Tech is only giving up an average of 12.3 points per game and 201 total yards of offense. On the flip side, West Virginia’s defense is giving up 33.3 points per game and 327 yards of offense. Virginia Tech’s offense comes in averaging 23.7 points per game on 364 yards of total offense. The question will be who’s strength prevails?
Average stats only give so much information though. Neither of these team’s have faced that stiff of competition. Pitt was ranked 17th when West Virginia played them. Pitt has since fallen to 24th after losing to Tennessee and will probably fall further, even though they have a relatively easy schedule.
Let’s dive into another topic everyone loves. Trends.
Virginia Tech gets this game at home with revenge. They lost last year at West Virginia by 6 points. Virginia tech is currently 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. If we look a little deeper, Virginia Tech off a win in the dog role is 23-16 ATS. This improves to 17-8 ATS when they’re off back to back wins. As a dog with revenge, Virginia Tech is 13-6 ATS.
When we look at West Virginia, those trends don’t look as great. Off a win as a favorite they’re 42-54 ATS and off a double digit win as a favorite they’re 33-40 ATS. West Virginia is also 41-42 ATS against revenge as a favorite and 27-28 against non-conference teams as a favorite.
But buyer beware, trends can also be a bit deceiving at times like most statistics.
West Virginia going back on the road after back to back home games. They lost to Pitt on the road and Kansas at the beginning of their home stand. Wofford getting blown out doesn’t surprise or impress me. West Virginia needs their offense to start fast since their defense is mediocre at best. I think that’s going to be hard for them going up against the best defense in Virginia Tech that they’ve faced this year.
I look for Virginia Tech to come out and set a physical tone in this one early. They haven’t played in any high scoring games this year thanks to their defense. If they can get the ball rolling on the ground early, that will open up the passing game for them a bit here. This will also be the best offense Virginia Tech’s defense has seen so far this year.
The old adage has always been defense travels. I’m not so sure if West Virginia’s offense can travel here into Blacksburg and have their way against this defense, even though it’s only about 4 hours between these two towns. I like this to be a lower scoring game, which I believe will benefit Virginia Tech here as they should be able to control time of possession with their run game and force West Virginia to have to make plays against their defense.
We are back with another free premium!! We are 12-9 57% (+$740, +1.8% CLV) in College Football and we have a a large card for this week! Yesterday, I gave out another premium for Saturday, check it out here. Best of luck if you tail!
Get all of my Premium Plays HERE, including monthly all access and my College Football Full Season Special here at TheOddsBreakers!
The Florida Atlantic Owls head to Indiana this weekend to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday night. The Owls come in with a 1-3 record and are off a 40-17 shellacking last week against UCF while the Boilermakers enter the contest 1-2 after a tough loss to a good Syracuse squad last week 32-29. Even though both teams have just one win, there is a huge difference between their strength of schedules. The numbers for FAU are a bit skewed from facing and losing to Charlotte, Ohio and UCF while their only victory was to a FCS squad. Purdue’s only win is also against an FCS squad but their losses amount to 7 total points against Penn State and Cuse. Even with the 25th hardest strength of schedule. the Boilermakers own the 26th best offense and 9th best defense in success rate in the country. Expect a fast pace game here with both team tempos ranking in the 20s in the nation. FAU looks to run the ball for a good majority of the game but that will be an issue going up against the Purdue squad who has only given up 2.66 yards per rush and ranks 3rd in defensive running success rate. On the other side of the ball, the Boilers will be looking to throw, as they pass 62.2% of their plays (3rd most) and will be going up against the 120th ranked defense in pass play success rate and 122th in giving up plays of 30 yards or more. In a fast pace game with the ability to pass on the opposition, I am looking for the Boilermakers to run up the score and win by more than 3 touchdowns. Take Purdue -20 for 0.5% of your bankroll.
The Thursday Double Perfect a CFB Game of the Month is up along with a 5* in The NFL Tonight. We also have Soccer and a RARE 6* 19-0 MLB Side Comp play below.
The Nations League Comp Play is on Turkey -1.5 goals at 2:45 eastern over Luxemborg. Turkey holds the top spot in the group and they are far and away the better team here. Luxemborg managed to beat two lower tier teams to place second. However, they easily struggle against top caliber teams and have not beat Turkey in over 50 years. The last time these two met Turkey won 2-0 and really could have won by a bigger margin as they have won the last 4 in the series. Overall Turkey has won 4 straight and has scored 14 goals in the Process. With Turkey at home here this should be a multiple goal win. On Thursday we have a big 5* Thursday night NFL Power System Play. NFL on a 9-2 run. We also have the Thursday night College Football Game of the Month backed with 2 perfect Thursday specific systems. CFB Rolling thus far. in MLB we have a RARE Top rated 6* from a 19-0 September system. Jump on as we continue to cash out in Football. For the Soccer comp play. Take Turkey -1.5 goals. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
We have a Fantastic show for you today! Mike North @North2North joins us to talk the full slate of NFL Games! First, Kiev talks about our Youtube channel for those who like getting good line value. Next, Mike comes on and the guys talk about the Circa Invitational contest that is going on for 16 media members. Then, Mike and Kiev @OBKiev get into the full NFL slate of games with some leans and FREE PLAYS for NFL week 3! After that, Kiev gives out some college football plays for week 4! Finally, we get into College and NFL sharp money and recap Kiev’s best bets! Should you have any questions for the Monday mailbag, or games that you want us to cap on our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev. You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.
Should you need a sportsbook please visit BetRivers.com and use the affiliate code, “Odds22” to get a 100% sign up bonus up to $250!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.
I released 4 CFB Best Bets this afternoon and will almost certainly add some smaller plays closer to Saturday. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!
*CFB(1u): Arizona/Cal UNDER 50.5–Sat 9/24; 4:30 PM CT
This opened up at 48 before being steamed up, so I’ll play against what I perceive to be a bad line move.
When you look up the word “mediocre” on Google, I’d be surprised if there wasn’t a picture of this Cal offense as the accompanying photo. It’s been that way for the entirety of the Justin Wilcox era, and if these first 3 games were any indication, it’ll be that way once again in 2022. Wilcox replaced the loss of mediocre QB Chase Garbers with another mediocre QB in Purdue transfer Jack Plummer(career 6.9 Y/A). The Golden Bears run game is far from explosive, and their OL has already allowed 12 sacks through just 3 games. Arizona’s secondary is clearly the strength of the defense, so don’t expect an explosive Cal passing game to pop up out of thin air in this one.
While Jayden de Laura is a major QB upgrade for Arizona, he has not looked all that impressive to start the season. After his breakout freshman year at Washington State, de Laura is completing just 60% of his passes this year at less than 7 Y/A. He has some young talent to work with on the outside, but this Cal defense will present a tough test. The Golden Bears rank in the Top 35 by my defensive efficiency metrics and do a good job of limiting explosive plays thanks to a pair of very dependable safeties.
I expect a lot of stalled drives, punts, and an all around ugly display of football.
If you’re considerably higher on Oklahoma after seeing them eviscerate Nebraska, history would prove your logic is faulty. After beating Nebraska in Dublin, Northwestern has responded with outright losses at home to Duke and Southern Illinois. After Georgia Southern’s win in Lincoln, they lost by double-digits at UAB the very next week. That trend speaks for itself.
Kansas State inexplicably lost at home to Tulane last week, which rightfully has sentiment on them low heading into this matchup. However, Kansas State will not blink in this spot. They won outright in Norman in 2020 as 28 point ‘dogs, and if not for a brilliant performance by Spencer Rattler, they would’ve beaten the Sooners last year. The Wildcats have a top 10 defense in the country that has yielded less than 10 PPG this year. They return both starting CB’s, have completely dominated opponents’ rushing attacks, but perhaps most importantly, they can get after the QB. I am not sold on Oklahoma’s OL after seeing them struggle to consistently protect Dillon Gabriel against inferior competition. I’m also not ready to say Oklahoma has all that good of a rushing attack just because they ran all over Nebraska; there are options, but don’t underestimate how tough of a test this Kansas State defense presents.
Kansas State RB Deuce Vaughn has racked up 319 yards over the last 2 seasons facing off against this Oklahoma defense, and he will undoubtedly be the centerpiece of the Wildcats’ game plan in the run and pass game. Collin Klein has not taken the training wheels off of QB Adrian Martinez yet, but I’m not willing to concede the possibility of Martinez becoming much more of a threat through the air. He showed major progression as a passer last year(9.4 Y/A) in addition to what he can do in the run game(nearly 2500 career yards on the ground). Oklahoma has exceeded my expectations in the pass rushing department, but I believe their back 7 can be had in this matchup.
I’m not playing this over the full game because, if Oklahoma is able to start pulling away, that forces Kansas State out of their gameplan offensively. However, I expect Chris Kleiman to come out with a great script offensively and for a borderline elite Kansas State defense to get stops early.
*CFB Teaser(1u): Baylor/Iowa State UNDER 52.5 + Arkansas +9 vs Texas A&M(-130)
“NeVeR tEaSe CoLlEgE fOoTbAlL”. I get that there’s more variance on average in CFB than in the NFL, but to imply that every matchup fits that criteria is absurd. I get snide comments from the same people every time I give out a teaser, so thought that was worth addressing.
Baylor/ISU is a low-variance game where I think pushing this total above multiple key numbers is the right call. Each team is led by their defense, and neither of these QB’s present much of a threat in the vertical passing game. Iowa State’s biggest loss from last year’s team is clearly RB Breece Hall; to say Jirehl Brock is a massive downgrade might be the understatement of the year. I wouldn’t expect Iowa State to get much of a push against a Baylor front 4 that returns its entire 2 deep from last year’s championship team. However, Baylor is still managing the loss of their top RB from a year ago and are not seeing the same burst out of that room. Baylor is also possibly without their TE Ben Sims who, with some relative unknowns at WR, is a much needed safety net for Blake Shapen. I could go on and on, but the last point I’ll make is that pace will be on our side here.
You could make a pretty good argument that Arkansas should be favored in this matchup. With that said, this is really a coin-flip type of game where a bounce here-and-there could be the difference. Arkansas’s secondary issues ultimately hold me off playing them at +2, but do I think A&M has the vertical passing game to consistently exploit that weakness? Hardly. Despite that disadvantage, Arkansas could make up for it with their lethal Front 7 which has produced some of the top rushing numbers in the nation here in 2022. A&M has looked spotty along their OL so far and failed to create many running lanes for Devon Achane. For as much as I like A&M’s DL and secondary, Miami proved last week that this team has holes stopping the run. That bodes horribly facing one of the most efficient rushing attacks in CFB. QB KJ Jefferson is a true dual-threat that takes care of the football(3 INT’s in ‘21) and is far more efficient a passer than people think. Out of all possible results in this matchup, an A&M double-digit win is clearly the least likely.
*CFB(0.53u): Oregon State ML(+190) vs USC–Sat 9/24; 8:30 PM CT
I don’t see much value in betting the spread here; USC is either going to cover with ease or have every chance of getting upset. Personally, I see a clear enough path for Oregon State to win this game that I will sprinkle on the ML.
USC’s defense might still be flat out terrible; I have that side of the ball power-rated as 91st in the country. Oregon State has an incredibly efficient system on offense that is predicated on running the football. Deshaun Fenwick(5.4 YPC) seems to have picked up right where BJ Baylor left off last year. USC underperformed against the run in their matchup with Stanford a few weeks ago; the Cardinal put up 460 yards overall, and if not for some inopportune turnovers, they would’ve been live dogs in that matchup. Oregon State QB Chance Nolan has proven to be a threat in the play-action game once the run game is established, throwing for 8.4 Y/A last year and 9.9 Y/A this year against some good competition. USC’s secondary was a pretty big concern for me coming into the year, and in general, I have little faith in this defense.
There’s not much to dislike about this USC offense, and on paper, this would appear to be a pretty favorable matchup. I’ll say this: Games don’t get played on paper. USC’s offense is built almost solely from the transfer portal, meaning this unit has little-to-no continuity. We saw them pass their first road test against Stanford, but playing in Corvallis at night presents their first real road test of the season. I am of the belief that the teams who focus on building from within will have the best chance at success in this new Transfer Portal era. I think the chances for head-scratching performances is greater for a team of ringers like USC, and this is exactly the scenario where that would get exploited.
I also lean pretty heavily towards the Over, though concerns with pace and Oregon State’s ball-control style are keeping me off for now.
*Rutgers TT UNDER vs Iowa(TT’s not yet published)
I’ll be on this officially when TT’s get released, hopefully at 13 or 13.5. Rutgers’ offense vs Iowa’s defense is perhaps the biggest mismatch of any matchup we’ll see on Saturday. Say what you want about Iowa’s offense, but their defense has allowed just 1 TD this year and can dominate a game at all 3 levels; they rank only behind Georgia in my power ratings. QB health is a concern for the Scarlet Knights, they simply won’t beat Iowa up front, and they have struggled mightily to establish any sort of run game.
The President’s Cup takes place this week at Quail Hollow Club, a course that’s been a PGA Tour staple for the past few years. Historically, the United States has dominated this event with a record of 11-1-1.
There are a bunch of major storylines this week but the main one, besides the ongoing saga between the PGA Tour and LIV Tour, is the number of players making their President’s Cup debuts. Between both teams, 14 players will be playing in their first President’s Cup which sets a record. The International team has eight players with the United States side having six.
Given all of the newcomers, these teams, both the International team and the United States, have the youngest teams in history. The International team has an average age of 28.8 with the United States having an average age of 29.6. Tom Kim, at 20 years old, is the third youngest player to make his President’s Cup debut.
Both teams’ rosters look slightly different than the predicted lineups a month or two ago. Will Zalatoris is unable to participate for the United States due to a back injury that forced him to withdraw from the BMW Championship. Cameron Smith and Joaquin Niemann are also unable after joining the LIV Tour.
Several players have also had some success at Quail Hollow before. Max Homa won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2019 and Justin Thomas won the PGA Championship here in 2017.
The President’s Cup is a series of matches between the United States and an International Team minus Europe. Europe competes against the United States in a similar contest called the Ryder Cup.
Since its inauguration in 1994, this event has been held biannually rotating with the Ryder Cup. Because of the global pandemic, the 2020 Ryder Cup was postponed until 2021. That pushed the Presidents Cup back to even years.
Course Guide/ Scorecard:
Quail Hollow has played host to the Wells Fargo Championship every year since 2003 with a few exceptions. In 2017, the PGA Championship was held at Quail Hollow so the Wells Fargo was moved to Eagle Point Golf Club in Wilmington, NC. Last year, the Wells Fargo was held at TPC Potomac in preparation for the President’s Cup.
The President’s Cup will have a different layout this week than previous events. The routing was changed to get the Green Mile (holes No. 16-18) in play for most matches. Routing is 1-8, 12-18, 10-11, and 9.
2022 President’s Cup Scorecard – Quail Hollow Club
(Wells Fargo Championship routing in parenthesis)
HOLE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 (12)
OUT
Yards
500
452
483
184
449
249
546
346
456
3,655
Par
4
4
4
3
4
3
5
4
4
35
HOLE
10 (13)
11 (14)
12 (15)
13 (16)
14 (17)
15 (18)
16 (10)
17 (11)
18 (9)
IN
Yards
208
344
577
506
223
494
592
462
505
3,911
Par
3
4
5
4
3
4
5
4
4
36
For a hole-by-hole overview of the course, you can click the following link.
Key Statistics:
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass)
Driving Distance
Scrambling
Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards
Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards
Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards
Format:
With 30 matches, it will take 15.5 points to win the Cup (each match is worth one point; there are no playoffs, with each team receiving a half-point for matches tied after 18). The teams will share the Cup if the matches end in a 15-15 tie.
In 2019, a minor format change was implemented, stating each player shall only be required to play a minimum of one match before the Sunday Singles matches. This was a change from previous years when players were required to compete in two matches before Singles matches.
Day 1 (Thursday): 5 Foursomes Matches
Day 2 (Friday): 5 Four-ball Matches
Day 3 (Saturday): Morning: 4 Foursomes Matches
Day 3 (Saturday): Afternoon: 4 Four-ball Matches
Day 4 (Sunday): 12 Singles Matches
The Teams/ Field:
UNITED STATES – Captain Davis Love III
Player
Presidents Cup appearances
Record
Best finish at Quail Hollow
Sam Burns
Debut
0-0-0
T55, 2018 Wells Fargo
Patrick Cantlay
2019
3-2-0
T33, 2017 PGA
Tony Finau
2019
0-1-3
T16, 2015 Wells Fargo
*Max Homa
Debut
0-0-0
Won, 2019 Wells Fargo
*Billy Horschel
Debut
0-0-0
T33, 2011 Wells Fargo
*Kevin Kisner
2017
2-0-2
T6, 2014 Wells Fargo
*Collin Morikawa
Debut
0-0-0
N/A
Xander Schauffele
2019
3-2-0
T14, 2021 Wells Fargo
Scottie Scheffler
Debut
0-0-0
N/A
*Jordan Spieth
2013, 2015, 2017
8-5-1
T28, 2017 PGA Champ.
Justin Thomas
2017, 2019
6-2-2
Won, 2017 PGA Champ
*Cameron Young
Debut
0-0-0
N/A
* denotes captain’s pick
INTERNATIONAL TEAM – Captain Trevor Immelman
Player
Country
Presidents Cup appearances
Record
Best finish at Quail Hollow
*Christiaan Bezuidenhout
South Africa
Debut
0-0-0
N/A
Corey Conners
Canada
Debut
0-0-0
T42, 2018 Wells Fargo
*Cam Davis
Australia
Debut
0-0-0
T26, 2021 Wells Fargo
Sungjae Im
South Korea
2019
3-1-1
T31, 2019 Wells Fargo
*Si Woo Kim
South Korea
2017
1-2-0
MC, 2016 Wells Fargo
Tom Kim
South Korea
Debut
0-0-0
N/A
*K.H. Lee
South Korea
Debut
0-0-0
T58, 2021 Wells Fargo
Hideki Matsuyama
Japan
2013, 2015, 2017, 2019
6-7-4
T5, 2017 PGA Champ.
*Sebastian Munoz
Colombia
Debut
0-0-0
T38, 2019 Wells Fargo
*Taylor Pendrith
Canada
Debut
0-0-0
N/A
Mito Pereira
Chile
Debut
0-0-0
MC, 2018 Wells Fargo
Adam Scott
Australia
2003-05-07-09-11-13-15-17-19
16-22-6
3rd, 2006 Wells Fargo
* denotes captain’s pick
The Odds:
The United States are heavy favorites this week. On most major books, they’re around -1200 to lift the trophy. It may seem like absurd odds but if we look at the OWGR, the US has an average of 11.6 compared to the Internationals of 48.9.
The U.S. leads, 11-1-1. The lone International victory came in 1998 in Australia. The two teams tied in 2003 in South Africa. Since its inauguration, the United States has never lost on home soil.
To see the most up-to-date odds, you can click the following link.
Previous Winners/ Locations:
2019: United States 16-14
Location: Royal Melbourne Golf Club (Melbourne, Victoria, Australia)
2017: United States 19-11
Location: Liberty National Golf Club (Jersey City, New Jersey, United States)
2015: United States 15 1/2 – 14 1/2
Location: Jack Nicklaus Golf Club Korea (Incheon, South Korea)
2013: United States 18 1/2 – 15 1/2
Location: Muirfield Village (Dublin, Ohio, United States)
2011: United States 19-15
Location: Royal Melbourne Golf Club (Melbourne, Victoria, Australia)
Picks (Top American Rookie):
Scottie Scheffler (+240) – Bet365
Risk 0.50 to win 1.20 Units
This will be Scottie Scheffler’s first President’s Cup. However, we did see him last year at the Ryder Cup. He played three matches and finished with a record of 2-0-1. On the PGA Tour this year, he won the WGC Dell-Technologies Match Play event defeating fellow teammate Kevin Kisner. While this is his first President’s Cup, he’s shown he can succeed in this format. Scheffler has never played at Quail Hollow before this course suits his game very well.
Max Homa (+400) – Bet365
Risk 0.25 to win 1.00 Unit
Max Homa, is coming off a victory at the Fortinet Championship where he was able to successfully defend his title in an improbable fashion. He’s also had success at Quail Hollow winning the Wells Fargo Championship back in 2019. This will be his first President’s Cup with the only other recent experience in match play coming at the WGC Dell-Technologies Match Play. He didn’t make it out of the group stage finishing with a record of 1-2-0. Based off his recent form and course history, he seems primed t have a great week.
Just Missed: Cameron Young (+700)
Picks (Top International Rookie):
Corey Conners (+333) – Bet365
Risk 0.50 to win 1.67 Units
Corey Conners is coming off a missed cut at the Fortinet Championship last week. However, before that, he finished 26th at the TOUR Championship, T5 at the BMW Championship, and T28 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. He’ll be making his President’s Cup debut this week but he’s had success in recent match-play events. At the WGC Dell-Technologies Match Play event, Conners’ made it to the Semifinals before losing to Kevin Kisner. In his last two appearances at Quail Hollow, he finished T42 and T43. His Driving Distance isn’t the best but given his approach play and short game, he should be able to compete.
Cameron Davis (+650) – Bet365
Risk 0.25 to win 1.63 Units
Unlike, Corey Conners, Cam Davis has the distance off the tee to do very well here. The yardage increase from the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship, where he finished T26, should only benefit him. This will be his first President’s Cup and first professional match-play event. In his last start on Tour, he missed the cut at the Fortinet Championship posting back-to-back rounds in the 70s. However, before that, he finished T35 at the BMW Championship and T13 at the FedEx St Jude Championship. For Davis, there are a lot of unknowns but given his style of play and course history, he should play well.
Just Missed: Taylor Pendrith (+600)
Picks (Top Scorer):
Justin Thomas (+1000) – Bet365
Risk 0.50 to win 5.00 Units
Justin Thomas, a veteran of the Presidents Cup and Ryder Cup, looks poised to succeed at Quail Hollow, a course he’s won at before. He’s played in two Presidents Cups before (’17,’19) finishing with an overall record of 6-2-2. In terms of recent form, JT has been playing some great golf as of late finishing T13/T52/T5 in his last three starts on Tour. He’s been here before and knows what’s expected when the lights turn on. His style of play has shown that it fits the course so I expect him to play well this week.
Picks (Correct Score):
United States 17.5 – 12.5 (+1100) – BetMGM/ FanDuel
United States 17.0 – 13.0 (+1200) – BetMGM/ FanDuel
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
