The ESPN Sunday night Perfect System Game of the Year headlines the Sunday card. MLB Comp play below.
The MLB comp Play is on Minnesota at 2:10 eastern. The Twins fit s last home game of a series system that is 113-37 for teams off a 1 run win in game 116 or less if the total is less and the opponent has a wine percentage of or higher. The Twins also fit a long term July or later system that is 1196-561. Smeltzer has been solid for the Twins at 4-1 with a 2.86 era and he has a 1.50 home era and 1.99 in day games. Wells for the Birds has a 4.80 era in day games. Balty is 18-52 on the road vs a winning team and has lost 20 of 26 here. The Twins have won 4 of 5 at home vs a righty and 8 of 10 on Sundays. For the MLB Comp play go with the Twins. The ESPN Sunday night play of the year from an undefeated system direct from the database headlines the powerful card we have up today. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to jump on. For the comp play. Make it Minnesota. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
I’m on a 4-0, +4.1u run and sit at 89-85-3, +1.74u on the MLB season. I’m rolling with 3 plays to close out the week. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!
*MLB(1u): Blue Jays F5 -0.5(+120) vs Rays–12:37 PM CT
*MLB(1u): Phillies F5 -0.5(-110) vs Cardinals–6:08 PM CT
*MLB(0.67u): Mets -1.5(+150) vs Rangers–12:40 PM CT
Write-ups will return on Tuesday. Enjoy your Independence Day Weekend; God Bless America!
Well a disappointing result in UFC but overall a nice day. Ain’t unhappy about our roll in CFL right now. All MLB today, but I do think that Mertens and Sinner, both big dogs in Wimbledon, are worth a small play today. Both are playing at a very confident and very high level right now and are more likely to win than the probabilities suggest. Onto the plays and keep on keeping on and enjoying your weekend!
MLB Picks:
Marlins/Nats over 8.5 (-125), to win 1 unit
Pablo Lopez has been getting exposed frequently and the Nats can really slug at home when they’re in a good spot. Sunday in the Nation’s Capital before 4th of July – something tells me the bats will be crackin’.
Jays (-130) to win 1 unit
The Jays will win this game if the scoring keeps on going this high, and today’s pitchers give me no reason to believe that either squad will be severely limited. Nice revenge spot for Toronto, too.
Braves/Yankees ML, 1 unit to win 1.59 units
Morton and the Braves alllllll day over Castillo and the Reds. I still expect Luis to regress, sorry not sorry, and the Yankees are just too offensively talented to lose to Cleveland. Good spot for Tristan McKenzie to show his weaknesses.
Don’t like a lot of later games, but I lean under inSD/LAD and Philly by margin.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
Saturday Card led by the N.L. West TOTAL Of The Year backed with a Perfect Totals system headlining a Powerful Bases card. We alos have the RARE 6* CFL Canadian Football League Play up and more. MLB Comp play below
The MLB Comp play is on the NY. Yankees runs line at -1.5 runs at 12:10 eastern. Cleveland fits the 3-14 system below that pertains to home dogs off a home favored win vs an opponent off a lower scoring road loss. The Yankees have Cole going and he has a 1.88 day time Era and he opposes MCCarty for Cleveland who allowed 4 runs in 3 innings vs NY back in April and has been largely ineffective this year. Cleveland has lost 5 of 7 at home to a right hander of late and 4 of 5 vs A.L. East teams. NY has won 40 of 53 in game 1 of a series, 46 of 61 vs A.L. Central teams and 6 of 7 here in Cleveland. Look for The Yankees to get the multiple run win. On Saturday National league West total of the Year headlines with an Undefeated totals system, headlining a powerful MLB CARD. MLB ranked #1 on multiple leader boards. We also have a rare 6* in CFL Action and we cashed big last night again in Canadian Football League play. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to Jump on as we continue to cash in All Sports. For the Comp play. Play on the NYY at -15. runs. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
SU: 3-14-
Jun 04, 2011 Link Sat 2011 home Mariners Doug Fister Rays Jeremy Hellickson 103 7.5 9 4-7 1-0 2-3 -2.5 U -1 L 2-3
Aug 07, 2011 Link Sun 2011 home Orioles Alfredo Simon Blue Jays Ricky Romero 122 8.5 9 5-13 1-0 2-7 0.5 O -5 L 2-7
May 24, 2012 Link Thu 2012 home Mariners Jason Vargas Angels Dan Haren 101 6.0 9 4-7 1-0 0-3 -3.0 U -3 L 0-3
Apr 30, 2014 Link Wed 2014 home Twins Kyle Gibson Dodgers Zack Greinke 146 7.5 9 12-12 1-0 4-6 2.5 O -2 L 4-6
Aug 17, 2014 Link Sun 2014 home Mets Rafael Montero Cubs Jake Arrieta 103 7.0 9 4-7 0-1 1-2 -4.0 U -1 L 1-2
May 22, 2016 Link Sun 2016 home Twins Phil Hughes Blue Jays Marcus Stroman 155 9.0 9 3-9 1-0 1-3 -5.0 U -2 L 1-3
Sep 21, 2016 Link Wed 2016 home Padres Luis Perdomo Diamondbacks Zack Greinke 117 7.5 9 4-5 0-0 2-3 -2.5 U -1 L 2-3
Sep 19, 2017 Link Tue 2017 home Reds Jackson Stephens Cardinals Jack Flaherty 100 10.0 10 8-8 1-0 7-8 5.0 O -1 L 7-8
Mar 30, 2018 Link Fri 2018 home Rays Blake Snell Red Sox David Price 145 7.5 9 4-7 0-0 0-1 -6.5 U -1 L 0-1
Aug 11, 2018 Link Sat 2018 home Tigers Francisco Liriano Twins Kyle Gibson 116.0 8.5 9 9-9 0-0 3-4 -1.5 U -1 L 3-4
Oct 08, 2018 Link Mon 2018 home Braves Mike Foltynewicz Dodgers Rich Hill 137.0 8.0 9 6-8 0-1 2-6 0.0 P -4 L 2-6
Sep 12, 2019 Link Thu 2019 home Mariners Justin Dunn Reds Tyler Mahle 110 9.0 9 11-11 0-0 5-11 7.0 O -6 L 5-11
Jul 30, 2020 Link Thu 2020 home Tigers Ivan Nova Royals Brady Singer 139 9.5 9 8-13 1-0 3-5 -1.5 U -2 L 3-5
Aug 10, 2020 Link Mon 2020 home Red Sox Ryan Brasier Rays Ryan Yarbrough 115 9.5 9 12-16 1-0 7-8 5.5 O -1 L 7-8
May 06, 2021 Link Thu 2021 home Phillies Zack Wheeler Brewers Brandon Woodruff 109 6.5 9 4-3 0-0 2-0 -4.5 U 2 W 2-0
May 08, 2021 Link Sat 2021 home Giants Kevin Gausman Padres Joe Musgrove 123 7.0 9 11-6 1-1 7-1 1.0 O 6 W 7-1
Apr 27, 2022 Link Wed 2022 home Diamondbacks Zac Gallen Dodgers Julio Urias 155.0 8 9 2-5 0-2 3-1 -4 U 2 W 3-1
Jul 02, 2022 Link Sat 2022 home Guardians None Yankees None 150.0 8.5 0
Hold on. Am I seeing things or was that a winning day in MLB? Miracles do happen, apparently. Let’s fucking goooo! Onto Saturday!
MLB Picks:
Rays/Jays over 7 (-120) to win 1 unit
Too small a total despite the aces on the mound – Toronto in particular has been white hot in batting.
Yankees/Guardians Total 1st Inning Hits over 1.5 (-145), to win 1 unit
I expect the Bombers to bomb Cleveland nice and early. McCarty? Please. Peasant.
Marlins (-110) to win 1 unit
Fading Jackson Tetreault.
SD/LAD under 8 (-115) to win 1 unit
Love this being an under series – it’s the only way SD has a chance.
Fuck Wimbledon (have you seen our luck? I’m done)
CFL Picks:
Alouettes/RoughRiders over 45.5
Revenge game for the home team and Montreal can score.
UFC 276 Picks:
Jessica Eye (+235), to win 2.35 units
Maycee Barber is kinda cute and so I’ve cheered for her in the past but she’s been prone to some very disappointing results, despite her potential. Jessica Eye is an old wily veteran and she’s as tough as they come, and although she’s lost lately, her opponent have been high quality. Value on a very capable dog. Including Maycee on some parlays as a hedge wouldn’t be a bad idea.
Pedro Munhoz (+235), to win 2.35 units
Munhoz isn’t intimidated in the slightest with O’Malley and this is big Sean’s first real test. Munhoz is a high-IQ fighter who’s, by far, the superior takedown artist. He can’t stand toe-to-toe with O’Malley but he also knows that. His recent losses, like Eye above, have been only to superior opponents.
Strickland/Volkanovski/Adesanya Parlay; 1 unit to win 2.3 units
Strickland is a potential start in the making with a big voice and a versatile game. Volkanovski is facing a hall of famer but make no mistake about it, the champ is as professional and elite as it gets. And he’s a brick shithouse – just doesn’t go down. Can’t see him losing. And Israel is, well, Israel.
Jared Cannonier (+355), to win 3.55 units
You might wanna wait to bet this as I imagine it’ll only get more inflated, but this is another nice hedge to the above. Cannonier deserves this spot and he’s a grown-ass man akin to the way Jan Blachowicz fights. Power, patience, high IQ, and great athleticism. It’s worth a play.
I am on vacation so I am going to make my points quick. Sean O’Malley a big favorite because of his massive striking ability at over 8 significant strikes per round. Pedro Munhoz is good competition for O’Malley being that the Sean hasn’t faced much competition up to this point. Munhoz is a solid 19-7 tier two fighter who fights the best in his class. Munhoz is a BJJ blackbelt who has a very good ground game. If you dive into his record, all of his losses were by decision which tells you that he can take a beating. Eight of Pedro’s 19 wins were by submission, and that is the only way that I think that the can get it done vs O’Malley. I see two paths to victory. O’Malley by decision and Munhoz by submission which is a massive value.
O’Malley by decision +175 – 1 star Munhoz by submission +1100 – .5 star
Bonus play: Barber with Garry +114 – 1 star – Both fighters win but I don’t know if decisions or ITD
We wrapped up the month of June with a 2-0, +2.1u night! I’m rolling with a trio of plays for tonight looking to start the weekend off strong. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group.
*MLB(1u): Brewers -1.5(-120) @ Pirates–6:05 PM CT
It’s Corbin Burnes Day! I’m 5-1 backing Burnes this season, and we’ll look to add to that tonight. Burnes has been brilliant once again here in 2022, taking a 2.41 ERA and 0.92 WHIP into tonight’s start. Burnes has also had more success on the road each of the past two seasons. The Pirates offense has improved throughout the course of the season, but they are still outclassed in these kinds of matchups. While they have scored 8 runs in each of their past 2 games, they scored just 13 runs in the 5 games before that. The Brewers were without their 3 back-end bullpen arms in last night’s game, but Boxberger, Williams, and Hader are back available tonight; they very well might be the best 7-8-9 inning combo in the league.
Pirates SP Roansy Contreras has pitched to a sub-3.00 ERA here in his rookie campaign, but a 1.35 is a pretty clear indicator that is not sustainable. Contreras is walking over 4 batters per 9 innings and leaving over 80% of runners on base, a big reason why his FIP(or expected ERA) is above 4.00. The Brewers offense is in very good current form entering tonight, scoring 6 runs/game over their last 7 games. The Pirates bullpen ranks a measly 24th in bullpen WHIP and will likely be without their best arm in David Bednar tonight after he threw 30 pitches last night.
The stars seem to align for the Brewers in this matchup, and I’m willing to pay a bit of a premium with Burnes on the mound.
*MLB(1u): Mets -1.5(+100) vs Rangers–6:10 PM CT
Mets SP Chris Bassitt was one of the most underrated pickups of this past offseason; I think he was the perfect addition for this Mets team. It hasn’t taken Bassitt long to adjust to his new ballpark; in 8 starts at Citi Field this season, Bassitt holds an impressive 3.16 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. The Rangers are underrated against left-handed pitching, but I really don’t like how they match up against established righties. Texas ranks 22nd in the league with a 91 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, and they haven’t found any more success on the road. Bassitt is also familiar with this Rangers lineup from his time with the A’s; tonight’s projected starters for Texas are a combined 4 for 49 in their past matchups with Bassitt.
Rangers SP Glenn Otto has been hit-or-miss here in his rookie campaign(5.31 ERA, 1.51 WHIP), and he enters tonight in poor current form. Otto was shelled by the lowly Nationals in his last outing, allowing 6 ER in just 2 innings. While the Mets struggled with the bats earlier this week against the Astros, they have been incredibly consistent against right-handed pitching in their home ballpark all season(4th in wRC+). This lineup can win in more ways than one and don’t rely too heavily on the deep ball.
While the Rangers’ bullpen has been a pleasant surprise this season, I have my doubts as to how much longer that’s going to hold up. The Mets’ bullpen overall has been shaky, but I still trust their back-end arms in this matchup, particularly when I expect Bassitt to go deep in this game to begin with.
*MLB(1u): Astros F5 -0.5(-115) vs Angels–7:10 PM CT
Astros SP Cristian Javier is coming off a 7 inning/0 hit performance in Yankee Stadium, but that has little to do with this handicap(other than to show he’s in good current form). Javier has been dominant pitching at Minute Maid Park this season, entering tonight with a 1.95 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 11 K/9. While the Angels have hit righties pretty well at home, they rank just 23rd in wRC+ vs righties on the road this season. In general, this lineup has taken a massive step back over the last month after a fast start.
Angels SP Michael Lorenzen has found success at Angel Stadium, but outside of one outing in Oakland, he has been utterly brutal on the road. Overall, Lorenzen holds a 6.14 ERA and 1.47 WHIP away from home this season and is striking out less than 6 batters per 9 innings in this role. The Astros scratched across 4 runs in 3.1 innings at Minute Maid earlier this season, and I would expect a similar result tonight. After struggling in their home ballpark over the first two months, the Astros sat behind only the Blue Jays in wRC+ at home during the month of June. I’m hopeful the Astros will get Jeremy Peña back for tonight as well and continue to take in their friendly confines.
Nice to see some wins at the end of the day but good lord, it’s been bad-beat city in the MLB and the Twins starting off our day in that fashion was rather infuriating.
From now through July 4, these premium emails will be more shallow than usual. Less descriptions in general. I’d apologize but I really haven’t taken off for a year+ so I need to take a little break, a semi-break at least, on this long holiday weekend.
Enjoy the 4th with friends, family, food and fireworks! Onto our plays today:
MLB Picks: Lots of big favorites on the board in good spots and therefore, not a ton of value. Let’s see what we can find.
Cardinals/Phillies over 9.5 (even), 1 unit
Mikolas has been badass and Falter has potential but them Philly bats are hot and STL is one of the most underrated offenses in MLB. Momentum = over.
Yankees/Astros ML Parlay; 1 unit to win 1.32
Superior pitchers, Houston at home, and I have a hard time ever picturing the Guardians’ bats keeping up with Cole and the Yankees.
Dodgers -1.5 (+130), 1 unit
Snell, if he ever returns to form, is due positive regression and still has the tools to stop even the best lineups (LAD). But I can’t believe in that. Dude has allowed 24 hits and 16 runs in his last 20 innings, and here comes ace Gonsolin. LAD by margin.
Wimbledon Picks:
Sakkari/Maria over 20, to win 1 unit
Kerber/Tommy Paul Parlay; 1 unit to win 1 unit
UFC 276 Picks:
Jessica Eye (+235), to win 2.35 units
Maycee Barber is kinda cute and so I’ve cheered for her in the past but she’s been prone to some very disappointing results, despite her potential. Jessica Eye is an old wily veteran and she’s as tough as they come, and although she’s lost lately, her opponent have been high quality. Value on a very capable dog. Including Maycee on some parlays as a hedge wouldn’t be a bad idea.
Pedro Munhoz (+235), to win 2.35 units
Munhoz isn’t intimidated in the slightest with O’Malley and this is big Sean’s first real test. Munhoz is a high-IQ fighter who’s, by far, the superior takedown artist. He can’t stand toe-to-toe with O’Malley but he also knows that. His recent losses, like Eye above, have been only to superior opponents.
Strickland/Volkanovski/Adesanya Parlay; 1 unit to win 2.3 units
Strickland is a potential start in the making with a big voice and a versatile game. Volkanovski is facing a hall of famer but make no mistake about it, the champ is as professional and elite as it gets. And he’s a brick shithouse – just doesn’t go down. Can’t see him losing. And Israel is, well, Israel.
Jared Cannonier (+355), to win 3.55 units
You might wanna wait to bet this as I imagine it’ll only get more inflated, but this is another nice hedge to the above. Cannonier deserves this spot and he’s a grown-ass man akin to the way Jan Blachowicz fights. Power, patience, high IQ, and great athleticism. It’s worth a play.
CFL Picks:
Edmonton Elks +7.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Two teams without a win thus far in this short season and we’re being given the hook. Both are desperate – this should be closer than advertised.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
Thursday card has the N.L. West Play of the Month a 5* WNBA headlining a big Card MLB Ranked #1 overall. Comp Play below.
On Thursday the MLB comp Play is on the Under in the NYY at Houston Astros game at 6:10 eastern. The game fits a solid totals system that plays under for road favorites off a -200 or higher home favored win vs an opponent like Houston that are home off a road favored win if the total is more than 7. These games have stayed under 89% of the time. NY has gone under in 5 of 6 and 12 of 15 after scoring 5+ runs. Houston has gone under 8 of 9 on Thursdays and 25 of 34 after allowing 2 or less runs. Severino has been much better in night games and Garcia has been solid for Houston. Look for this game to stay under. On Thursday another Big card is up with the N.L. West Play of the Month, a 5* WNBA Play and more. MLB Now ranked #1 on multiple sites. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to jump on. For the MLB Comp play. Go Under NYY at Houston. Rob Vinciletti
We had a disappointing 0-2 Wednesday where we once again lost by the hook on the Braves TT. I’m rolling with 2 plays for tonight looking to bounce back and carry some momentum into the weekend. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!
*MLB(1u): Astros ML(+110) vs Yankees–5:10 PM CT
After a doozy of a series in Yankee Stadium last weekend, we’re in for another treat this weekend. While the Yanks found a way to split that 4 game set last weekend, they were outplayed and overmatched in each of the 4 games, going 16 innings without a hit at one point. While the offense managed to put up some runs in this week’s series vs the Athletics, they failed to eclipse the 8 hit mark in any of those 3 games. I still wouldn’t say this offense is in very good current form. Astros SP Luis Garcia has been extremely reliable for the Astros this season(1.07 WHIP); while his home ERA sits at 5.18, his WHIP at 1.09 is an indicator he’s run into some tough luck at his home ballpark. Garcia held a 2.39 ERA and 1.01 WHIP at Minute Maid last season, and I think he’s capable of holding down this Yanks lineup tonight.
Yankees SP Luis Severino pitched well against the Astros last weekend, but he enters this game at a heavy disadvantage; pitchers having to face the same lineup for the second straight time is one of the hardest spots in baseball. We saw the Astros take advantage in this same spot earlier this week, crushing Mets SP Carlos Carrasco for 6 runs in just 4 innings. After a slow start, the Astros have really started to get the bats hot at Minute Maid, entering tonight with a league-leading 150 wRC+ in their home ballpark this month. One note: Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Peña collided late in yesterday’s game and both had to leave the game. I would say Alvarez took the worst of that exchange, but from my eyes, Peña should be able to play today. I’m comfortable playing on the Astros even without those two guys, although I’d like at least one of them in the lineup.
I give the Astros the slight edge in the bullpen. They needed Ryan Pressly in the 9th inning yesterday but are overall much fresher than the Yanks’ pen. Yankees closer Clay Holmes will almost certainly be unavailable after throwing 38 pitches over the past two days. I’ll take my chances with the Astros in the later innings as the Yankees have to stretch roles in the back-end of their ‘pen with Aroldis Chapman still out.
*MLB(1u): Mariners -1.5(-105) vs Athletics–9:10 PM CT
The Athletics will be overmatched facing off against Mariners SP Logan Gilbert tonight. Gilbert has had an impressive sophomore campaign for Seattle, carrying a 2.44 ERA and 1.09 WHIP into tonight’s start. He holds a sub-1.00 WHIP in his home ballpark and has recorded 5 scoreless outings on the season. The A’s rank 29th in wRC+ vs righties this season and (as you might expect) have had no success stepping up in competition.
The Mariners offense was in a bit of a rut entering last night’s game, but they erupted for 11 hits and 9 runs in a blowout win. They’ll get an easy matchup today facing rookie SP Adrian Martinez. With this being Martinez’s 2nd big league start, we need to dip into his minor league numbers. Last year in AAA, Martinez recorded an ugly 5.28 ERA and 1.52 WHIP; this year in Triple A, it was much more of the same(5.63 ERA, 1.41 WHIP). By my estimation, Martinez is in the big leagues out of necessity, not because he deserves to be.
The Mariners also hold a MAJOR edge in the later innings. Seattle’s bullpen ranks 3rd in bullpen WHIP, while the Athletics’ bullpen ranks 28th in that same category.
