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Podcast 748 – 84 – 25 – With Ron Ace Sports – College Football Week 9 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have a GREAT show for you today!  Ron Marmalefski @RonAceSports is back to break down a huge week of college football!  First, Kiev talks about college football ATS and O/U records for week 8.  Next, Ron comes on and the guys get right into a little game called playoffs or bust!  Then, Ron and Kiev talk some teams that have greatly improved since week one and some buy low/sell high teams for the near future.  Maybe there is some hidden value to bad had.  After that, the guys get into their Six Pack of Free Plays!  Next, the guys discuss random big games for the weekend and give out a few more plays.  After that, we get into our beer bet bangers.   We have some long shots for you at + money.   Then, Kiev goes over some sharp money movement and recaps our plays!   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

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NFL Week 8 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots

  • The Bengals could be soft hosting the Jets after beating the Steelers on Thursday.
  • The Cowboys could be distracted at the Broncos after beating division rival the Commanders.

Get Up Spots:

  • The Ravens better get up hosting the Bears after their horrible start to the season.
  • The Bills better wake up at Carolina after a rough last two games with losses.
  • The Falcons better get right hosting Miami.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • The Chiefs could look past the Commanders to the Bills.

Short Week:

  • The Texans after Monday Night hosting the 49ers.
  • The Buccaneers after Monday Night at the Saints.

Long Week:

  • The Steelers after Thursday Night hosting the Packers.
  • The Bengals after Thursday Night hosting the Jets.

NFL Week 8 Misleading Final Scores

 

  • Dallas only outgained Washington 409 to 341 yet won 44-22.  A 2-0 turnover ratio and bad fourth down got the Commies. Lots of injuries as well.
  • The Cardinals out-gained the Packers 330 to 262 yet lost 27-23.  A 1-0 turnover ratio and bad fourth down efficiency got the Birds.
  • Lost of Chargers yards were garbage time.
  • The Dolphins out-gained the Browns 219 to 206 yet lost 31-6.   A 4-0 turnover ratio, poor coaching, and bad red zone go the sea dogs.
  • The Jaguars out-gained the Rams 358 to 271 yet lost 35-7.   Equal turnovers at 0 but poor fourth down conversations and one sided officiating got the Jags.

College Football Week 9 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • BYU after beating rival Utah in the holy war at Iowa State is one.
  • Vanderbilt could be flat hosting Missouri after the big win.
  • Stanford could be slow after beating Florida State when they go to Miami.
  • Louisville could be soft hosting Boston College after the big Miami win.
  • Arizona State could be tired after the big Texas Tech win hosting Houston.
  • SMU at Wake Forest after the big Clemson win. 
  • UCONN could be flat at Rice after the Boston College win.

Get Up Spots:

  • Utah better wake up hosting Colorado after the loss to BYU.
  • Miami might smash Stanford after they lost to Louisville.
  • LSU better get up hosting A&M after the big loss to Vandy.
  • Tennessee better show up at Kentucky after the Bama loss.
  • Memphis better get up for South Florida after the horrible UAB loss.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • Vanderbilt looking past Missouri to Texas is slightly possible.
  • Cincinnati looking past Baylor to Utah is there.
  • SMU looking past Wake Forest to Miami for sure.

Short Week

  • Georgia State with only 5 days rest hosting South Alabama.

 

Long Week

  • Colorado off the bye at Utah.
  • Illinois off the bye at Washington.
  • Iowa State off the bye hosting BYU.
  • Fresno State off the bye hosting San Diego State.
  • Kennessaw State off the bye at FIU.
  • Louisiana Tech off the bye hosting Western Kentucky.
  • Middle Tennessee State off the bye at Delaware.
  • Missouri State off the bye at New Mexico State.
  • Navy off the  bye hosting FAU.
  • NC State off the bye at Pitt.
  • Virginia Tech off the bye hosting Cal.
  • Wake Forest off the bye hosting SMU.
  • Western Michigan off the bye at Miami Oh.
  • Miami with an extra day of rest at Stanford.
  • Louisville with an extra day hosting Boston College.
  • Nebraska with an extra day hosting Northwestern
  • Minnesota with an extra day at Iowa.
  • Tulsa with an extra two days hosting Temple.
  • Utah State with an extra day at New Mexico.

 

2025 Bank of Utah Championship Preview & Picks

The 2025 Bank of Utah Championship is the fourth stop in the FedExCup Fall, a seven-tournament series held after the TOUR Championship that determines player eligibility for the 2026 PGA TOUR season.

Pre-Tournament Storylines:

Xander Wins the Baycurrent Classic

Xander Schauffele captured his 10th career PGA TOUR victory with a final-round 64 to edge Max Greyserman by one stroke at the Baycurrent Classic. With the win, Schauffele becomes the 119th player in TOUR history to reach double-digit victories.

We backed Xander at 10-1 in our Baycurrent Classic Preview and Picks!

Matt McCarty Looks to Defend His Title in Utah

Matt McCarty returns to the Bank of Utah Championship as the defending champion after capturing his first PGA TOUR title here in 2024. The win came in just his third career TOUR start and second as a full-time member, making him the second player to win on TOUR in the same season after earning the Korn Ferry Tour’s Three-Victory Promotion.

This season, McCarty has recorded nine top-25s and two top-10s (T4 at the RBC Canadian Open and T8 at the Wyndham Championship). He enters the week ranked No. 84 in the FedExCup Fall standings and riding momentum from a career-low 60 in the final round of the Baycurrent Classic, where he finished T14.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: October 23rd – October 26th, 2025
  • Location: Ivins, Utah, United States
  • Course: Black Desert Resort Golf Course
  • Course Type: Resort, Desert
  • Par: 71 (4x 3’s / 11x 4’s / 3x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,421 Yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: 007XL bentgrass .120”
  • Fairways: Dominator bentgrass .350”
  • Rough: Kentucky bluegrass 2”
  • Bunkers: 44 (1.7 acres)
  • Water Hazard(s): 3 (In-Play on 2 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 7,000 sq. ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $6,000,000 /$1,080,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field: 132 Players
  • Cut: Top 65 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death | Holes 18, 18, 16, 17, 18
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2024: 69.06 (-1.94), Rank 39 of 51
  • Historic Cut Line:
  • 2024: -5

Social Media:

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Tom Weiskopf / Phil Smith (2023)
  • Renovations: N/A

Comparable Courses:

  • TPC Summerlin – Shriners Children’s Open – RESULTS
  • TPC Scottsdale – WM Phoenix Open – RESULTS

Comparable Location (Ivins, Utah):

  • TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) – Scottsdale, Arizona – WM Phoenix Open

Designer Link (Tom Weiskopf):

  • Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course) – Tom Weiskopf (2016) – Farmers Insurance Open
  • TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) – Tom Weiskopf & Jay Morrish (1986) – WM Phoenix Open
  • TPC Craig Ranch – Tom Weiskopf (2004) – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Comparable Yardage (7,421 Yards):

  • TPC Louisiana – 7,425 Yards – Zurich Classic of New Orleans
  • TPC Twin Cities – 7,431 Yards – 3M Open
  • TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course) – 7,438 Yards – Valero Texas Open
  • East Lake Golf Club – 7,440 Yards – TOUR Championship

Comparable Greens (007XL bentgrass .120”):

  • Colonial Country Club – 007XL bentgrass .100” – Charles Schwab Challenge
  • Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course) – Bentgrass .100” – Farmers Insurance Open
  • Augusta National Golf Club – Bentgrass .125” – Masters Tournament
  • TPC Craig Ranch – Bentgrass .100” – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
  • Muirfield Village Golf Club – Bentgrass .090” – the Memorial Tournament
  • TPC Deere Run – L-93 bentgrass .100” – John Deere Classic
  • Hurstbourne Country Club – A1/A4 bentgrass .110” – ISCO Championship
  • TPC Twin Cities – Bentgrass .110” – 3M Open
  • Yokohama Country ClubBentrgass – Baycurrent Classic

Comparable Average Green Size (7,000 sq. ft.):

  • PGA WEST (Nicklaus Tournament Course) – 7,000 sq. ft. – The American Express
  • PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) – 7,000 sq. ft. – Cognizant Classic
  • Memorial Park Golf Course – 7,000 sq. ft. – Texas Children’s Houston Open
  • The Renaissance Club – 7,000 sq. ft. – Genesis Scottish Open

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, October 23rd, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 9:45 AM – 5:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, October 24th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 9:45 AM – 5:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, October 25th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 4:30 PM – 7:30 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, October 26th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 4:30 PM – 7:30 PM

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The Bank of Utah Championship, formerly known as the Black Desert Championship, made its PGA TOUR debut last season. The 2024 event marked the first PGA TOUR tournament held in Utah since the 1963 Utah Open Invitational. Black Desert Resort once again serves as the host venue for this year’s championship.

Course updates since last year include the addition of a fairway bunker on hole No. 1 and new back tees on holes 1, 3, 10, and 18, extending the course by more than 50 yards.

The Black Desert Resort golf course, located in southern Utah, is a key feature of the resort and has a unique history. Designed by renowned golf course architect Tom Weiskopf, the course was conceived as part of the larger vision for the resort to offer a world-class golf experience amidst the stunning backdrop of the region’s black lava fields and red rock formations. Construction of the golf course began in the late 2010s, with Weiskopf aiming to create a course that not only challenged golfers of all skill levels but also complemented the natural desert landscape. The course officially opened in 2023 and quickly gained acclaim for its innovative design, dramatic scenery, and environmentally conscious approach, incorporating water conservation measures and native vegetation to blend seamlessly with the surroundings.

Previous Tournament Venues:

DurationCourseLocation:
2024-PresentBlack Desert Resort Golf CourseIvins, Utah, United States

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
2025Bank of Utah Championship
2024Black Desert Championship

Tournament Records:

  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 261, Matt McCarty (2024)

  • 18-Hole Record:
    • 60, Adam Svensson (first round, 2024)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Black Desert Resort measures 7,421 yards, making it the 15th longest course on the PGA TOUR this season, though it doesn’t play to its full distance due to the altitude. The fairways are narrow, averaging just 30 yards wide, ranking as the 12th narrowest on TOUR. Accuracy off the tee is crucial, as minimal rough leaves little margin for error, and wayward shots can easily find the surrounding lava rock. The greens are larger than the TOUR average at roughly 7,000 square feet, placing added emphasis on precise approach play. With only 44 bunkers—the third fewest on TOUR—and water coming into play on just two holes, hazards are limited, putting the focus squarely on ball striking.


The four Par 3s at Black Desert Resort range from 151 to 202 yards, placing a premium on precision and smart club selection. In last year’s Bank of Utah Championship, every Par 3 had a scoring average under par.

Hole 3 | Par 3 | 198 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 2.978 (Difficulty Rank – 9)

Hole 3 is a par three with a bunker in the middle of the green, inspired by Riviera’s sixth hole, allowing for creative, challenging putts.

Hole 17 | Par 3 | 151 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 2.902 (Difficulty Rank – 12)

Hole 17 is a 155-yard par three with a small green surrounded by three bunkers, rewarding accurate tee shots and good putting.


Black Desert Resort features eleven par 4s, most of which are listed at 500+ yards. Strategy plays a major role, particularly on holes that offer tempting risk-reward opportunities. In 2024, the two toughest par 4s were No. 11 and No. 13.

Hole 6 | Par 4 | 450 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.008 (Difficulty Rank – 6)

Hole 6 is a par four with lakes on both sides of the fairway, a generous landing area, and an uphill approach to a bunker-protected green.

Hole 11 | Par 4 | 532 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.265 (Difficulty Rank – 1)

Hole 11 is a long par 4 with a wide fairway, downhill approach, and a bunker and pond protecting the green’s right front.

Hole 13 | Par 4 | 519 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.143 (Difficulty Rank – 2)

Hole 13 features an elevated tee shot with a lake on the left, a green atop a lava-surrounded knob, inspired by Pebble Beach’s 14th hole.


There are three Par 5’s on the course: No. 7, No. 9, and No. 18. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2024. No. 18 was the easiest Par 5 on the course last year with a scoring average of 0.646 below par.

Hole 9 | Par 5 | 587 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.771 (Difficulty Rank – 15)

Hole 9 is a par five playing uphill, with lava and bunkers protecting the fairway and green, offering views of Snow and Padre Canyons.

Hole 18 | Par 5 | 595 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.354 (Difficulty Rank – 18)

Hole 18 is a 570-yard dogleg left par five with lava and bunkers shaping the fairway, and a challenging green inspired by Augusta’s fifth.

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 13, 18

Key Statistics:

As the Bank of Utah Championship returns to Black Desert Resort Golf Course, understanding how the course compares to PGA TOUR averages can help identify which players are best suited for success. Here’s how the Black Desert Resort Golf Course stacks up statistically:

StatisticsPGA Tour AverageBlack Desert Resort Golf Course
Driving Distance (Yards)284.02298.83
Driving Accuracy62%84%
GIR Percentage66%76%
Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet)29.2529.25
Scrambling Percentage56%55%
Avg 3 Putts / Round0.540.68

According to DataGolf, players who perform well at Black Desert Resort tend to pair their accuracy off the tee with precise approach play and a hot putter.

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

  • Driving will play a pivotal role once again at Black Desert Resort. The course rewards players who can combine distance with accuracy, given the narrow fairways and the lava rock hazards that penalize errant shots. Last year’s winner, Matt McCarty, ranked 8th in SG: Off the Tee, using his driver to consistently set up ideal approach angles. With several reachable par 5s and demanding par 4s, players who excel off the tee gain a significant edge in both scoring and course management.
    • Leaders in SG: Off the Tee (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Cameron Champ
      • Rico Hoey
      • Kevin Yu
      • Pierceson Coody
      • Davis Thompson
      • Steven Fisk
      • Jesper Svensson
      • Trevor Cone
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Kevin Roy

Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Approach play remains the most predictive metric at Black Desert Resort. Players who excel with their irons can attack the accessible pin positions and create ample birdie opportunities. In last year’s edition, Matt McCarty ranked 24th in SG: Approach, proving that while elite iron play helps, balanced all-around performance can also win here. With greens averaging 7,000 square feet, precision on approach shots will once again be vital to setting up birdie chances.
    • Leaders in SG: Approach (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Ben Kohles
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Rico Hoey
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Thomas Rosenmueller
      • Max Homa
      • Antoine Rozner
      • Victor Perez
      • Doc Redman
      • David Skinns

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)

  • Black Desert Resort features 007XL Bentgrass greens, which tend to reward confident putters who can handle subtle breaks and quick speeds. Putting has been a major separator here—last year’s champion, Matt McCarty, ranked 6th in SG: Putting. Players who can roll it well on bentgrass surfaces often gain a key edge in what projects to be another birdie-heavy week.
    • Leaders in SG: Putting (Bentgrass) (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Brandt Snedeker
      • Takumi Kanaya
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • Cameron Champ
      • Adam Schenk
      • William Mouw
      • Alex Noren
      • Martin Laird
      • Pierceson Coody
      • Emiliano Grillo

Fairways Gained

  • Accuracy off the tee matters at Black Desert, as missing fairways can result in finding the lava rock and struggling to recover. Players who consistently hit fairways will have far more control over approach distances and trajectories.
    • Leaders in Fairways Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Paul Peterson
      • Takumi Kanaya
      • David Ford
      • Andrew Putnam
      • Brice Garnett
      • Brandt Snedeker
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Zac Blair
      • Ben Kohles
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Par 4 Scoring

  • With eleven par 4s on the scorecard, success on these holes will largely determine the leaderboard. These holes vary in distance, demanding a mix of length, precision, and smart course management.
    • Leaders in Par 4 Scoring (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Noah Goodwin
      • Patrick Fishburn
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Matthew McCarty
      • Pierceson Coody
      • Sam Ryder
      • Kevin Roy
      • Victor Perez
      • Mark Hubbard

Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards

  • All three par 5s at Black Desert Resort fall in this range, offering prime scoring chances. These are holes where the best drivers and long-iron players can gain multiple strokes on the field. Making birdie—or better—on these par 5s will be critical for anyone hoping to contend.
    • Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Pierceson Coody
      • William Mouw
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Kevin Roy
      • Hayden Springer
      • Brandt Snedeker
      • Victor Perez
      • John Pak
      • Trevor Cone

Opportunities Gained

  • This stat tracks how often players create high-quality birdie looks inside 15 feet. At a course where the winning score reached 23-under last year, generating consistent birdie chances is essential. Those leading in Opportunities Gained tend to be in strong form with both their irons and wedges heading into the week.
    • Leaders in Opportunities Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Davis Thompson
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Adam Schenk
      • Lee Hodges
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Joseph Bramlett
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Ricky Castillo
      • Emiliano Grillo
      • Mac Meissner

Birdies or Better Gained

  • Scoring will once again come at a premium in Utah. With favorable scoring conditions and reachable par 5s, the winner will likely need to exceed 20-under par. Birdies or Better Gained identifies the players best equipped to capitalize on every scoring hole and keep pace in a low-scoring environment.
    • Leaders in Birdies or Better Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Aldrich Potgieter
      • Luke Clanton
      • Mark Hubbard
      • Kevin Yu
      • Emiliano Grillo
      • Hayden Springer
      • Danny Walker
      • Taylor Montgomery

Proximity: 175-200 Yards

  • Many approach shots at Black Desert Resort fall within the 175–200-yard range, particularly on the longer par 4s and into the par 5s. Success often hinges on players who can consistently hit their long irons close and create makeable birdie putts from these distances.
    • Leaders in Proximity: 175-200 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Carson Young
      • Martin Laird
      • Karl Vilips
      • Patrick Rodgers
      • Lee Hodges
      • William Mouw
      • Davis Thompson
      • Sam Ryder
      • John Pak
      • Joel Dahmen

Comparable Courses and Event History

  • Certain players thrive in desert or mountain-style layouts that reward aggressive ball striking and streaky putting. These “course horses” have already shown they can handle the conditions at Black Desert Resort or similar courses on the PGA TOUR schedule.
    • Leaders in SG: Total – Black Desert Resort, TPC Scottsdale, TPC Summerlin (Last 36 Rounds):
      • Adam Hadwin
      • Jason Day
      • Alex Noren
      • Beau Hossler
      • Sahith Theegala
      • Davis Thompson
      • Maverick McNealy
      • Matthew NeSmith
      • Doug Ghim
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Andrew Putnam
      • Joe Highsmith

The Field:

The 2025 Bank of Utah Championship will showcase a full field of 132 players competing at Black Desert Resort Golf Course, drawing a mix of longtime TOUR stalwarts and rising talents. Only five of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Ranking are in the field: Alex Noren (No. 17), Maverick McNealy (No. 19), Kurt Kitayama (No. 36), Billy Horschel (No. 38), and Jason Day (No. 42).

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Winners of the Arnold Palmer, Memorial, Genesis (Last 3 Years)
  • Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
  • Career Money Exemption
  • Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
  • Open Qualifying
  • Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
  • Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
  • Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
  • Major Medical Extension
  • PGA TOUR University Accelerated – Current Season
  • Top 10 and Ties from the Previous Event
  • DP World Tour / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category – Reordered
  • Minor Medical Extension
  • Reorder Category – Cat. 37 thru 44

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Matt McCarty (2024)

Players with Ties to Utah in the Field:

Birthplace:

  • Zac Blair – Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Patrick Fishburn – Ogden, Utah
  • Kihei Akina – Alpine, Utah
  • Carson Lundell – Alpine, Utah
  • Preston Summerhays – Farmington, Utah
  • Tommy Sharp – Salt Lake City, Utah
  • David Liechty – Layton, Utah
  • Connor Howe – Ogden, Utah

College:

  • Zac Blair – Brigham Young University
  • Patrick Fishburn – Brigham Young University
  • Kihei Akina – Brigham Young University
  • Carson Lundell – Brigham Young University
  • Tommy Sharp – University of Utah (MBA)
  • David Liechty – Utah Tech University

Monday Open Qualifiers:

  • Yi Cao
  • Gavin Cohen
  • Sebastian Moss
  • Owen Stamper

Debutants in the Field:

  • Anders Albertson, Mason Andersen, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Michael Brennan, Jonathan Byrd, Frankie Capan III, Ricky Castillo, Will Chandler, Luke Clanton, Trevor Cone, Vince Covello, Quade Cummins, Jason Day, Cristobal Del Solar, Taylor Dickson, Nick Dunlap, Harrison Endycott, Steven Fisk, David Ford, Dylan Frittelli, Ryan Gerard, Noah Goodwin, Emiliano Grillo, Adam Hadwin, James Hahn, Harry Higgs, Tom Hoge, Max Homa, Connor Howe, Takumi Kanaya, David Liechty, Carson Lundell, Matteo Manassero, Ben Martin, George McNeill, Maverick McNealy, Francesco Molinari, Taylor Moore, William Mouw, Alexander Noren, Thorbjorn Olesen, Kaito Onishi, John Pak, Ryan Palmer, Jeremy Paul, Victor Perez, Paul Peterson, Aldrich Potgieter, Andrew Putnam, Doc Redman, Matthew Riedel, Kevin Roy, Antoine Rozner, Thomas Rosenmueller, Adam Schenk, Brandt Snedeker, Isaiah Salinda, Gordon Sargent, Benjamin Silverman, Preston Summerhays, Jackson Suber, Jesper Svensson, Sahith Theegala, Braden Thornberry, Davis Thompson, Kevin Velo, Kristoffer Ventura, Karl Vilips, Danny Walker, Matt Wallace, Nick Watney, Tim Widing, Kevin Yu

Exemptions:

  • Ryan Palmer: Career Money Exemption
  • Brandt Snedeker: Career Money Exemption
  • Michael Brennan: Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Carson Lundell: Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Kihei Akina: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Connor Howe: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • David Liechty: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Preston Summerhays: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Trey Mullinax: Major Medical Extension
  • Anders Albertson: Minor Medical Extension

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • Sami Valimaki WD -> James Hahn IN
  • Erik van Rooyen WD -> Austin Cook IN

The Odds:

Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the top players in the field for this year’s Bank of Utah Championship at Black Desert Resort, ranked by current betting odds (via DraftKings). The table below details each player’s five most recent finishes on the PGA TOUR and their last result at the Bank of Utah Championship.

GolferOddsLast 5 Finishes on the
PGA TOUR/ DPWT*
(Recent -> Past)
Last Years Finish at the Bank of Utah Championship
(Recent -> Past)
Maverick McNealy+1400T13-T23-3-T28-MC
Michael Thorbjornsen+16003-T29-T13-T38-MCWD
Kurt Kitayama+1800T48-T19-T9-T31-WONT25
Alex Noren+2000T27-WON*-MC*-WON*-T3
Odds via DraftKings

Facts & Figures:

Recent Horses for Courses (Black Desert Resort Golf Course):

Black Desert Championship
Black Desert Resort Golf Course
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)2024
Matt McCarty1+15.11WON
Stephan Jaeger1+12.112
Kevin Streelman1+11.11T3
Joe Highsmith1+9.11T6
Lee Hodges1+8.11T8
Henrik Norlander1+8.11T8
Nick Hardy1+8.11T8
Greyson Sigg1+7.11T11
Beau Hossler1+7.11T11
Max McGreevy1+7.11T11
Seamus Power1+7.11T11
Patrick Rodgers1+7.11T11
Carson Young1+7.11T11

Recent Donkeys for Courses (Black Desert Resort Golf Course):

Black Desert Championship
Black Desert Resort Golf Course
GolferEvents Played2024
Mark Hubbard1MC
Taylor Montgomery1MC
Patrick Fishburn1MC
Robby Shelton1MC
Luke List1MC
Pierceson Coody1MC
Hayden Springer1MC
Chandler Phillips1MC
David Lipsky1MC
Martin Laird1MC
Troy Merritt1MC
Brice Garnett1MC
David Skinns1MC
Austin Cook1MC
Matthew NeSmith1MC
Hayden Buckley1MC
Justin Lower1MC
Camilo Villegas1MC
Rafael Campos1MC
Kihei Akina1MC

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2024: Matt McCarty (-23)
    • Price: 66-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
8th7th24th6th6th

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Matt McCarty
    • T63 – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
    • T5 – Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship (KFT)
    • T35 – Simmons Bank Open for the Snedeker Foundation (KFT)
    • WON – Albertsons Boise Open (KFT)
    • T9 – Magnit Championship (KFT)

Outright Picks:

Michael Thorbjornsen (+1600) – DraftKings

Mac Meissner (+5500) – BetMGM

Takumi Kanaya (+5500) – DraftKings

Taylor Montgomery (+6500) – DraftKings

Kevin Roy (+7000) – FanDuel

Top 20 (Incl. Ties) Picks:

Rico Hoey (+125) – BetMGM

William Mouw (+175) – DraftKings

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

College Football Week 8 Misleading Final Scores

  • New Mexico State out-gained Liberty 388 to 293 yet lost 30-27.  They won the turnover battle 3-2 but horrible red zone efficiency go them.
  • Delaware out-gained FIU 456 to 388 yet lost 38-25.  A 2-0 turnover ratio plucked the Hens.
  • San Jose State out-gained Utah State 534 to 461 yet lost 30-25.   A 1-0 turnover ratio and poor fourth down efficiency got the Spartans.  
  • Bowling Green out-gained Central Michigan 310 to 276 yet lost 27-6.  A 2-0 turnover ratio and terrible red zone efficiency got the George’s
  • Duke out-gained Georgia Tech 441 to 376 yet lost 27-18.  A 1-0 turnover ratio and eight penalties with poor red zone got the Dukies.
  • Texas State out-gained Marshall 558 to 466 yet lost 40-37 in overtime.   A 3-1 ratio and a huge choke by GJ Kinney sealed it.
  • Akron out-gained Ball State 419 to 374 yet lost 42-28.  Equal turnovers but 9 penalties and bad red zone got the Zips.
  • Georgia State out-gained Georgia Southern 444 to 420 yet lost 41-24.  A 1-0 turnover ratio, poor fourth down and 15 penalties got the Panthers.
  • Tennessee out-gained Alabama 410 to 373 yet lost 37-20.  Equal turnovers at one but four sacks and 10 penalties got the Vols.
  • Utah out-gained BYU 470 to 368 yet lost 24-21.  A 2-0 turnover ratio, 10 penalties and a horrible targeting call got the Utes.
  • Florida State out-gained Stanford 444 to 283 yet lost 20-13.   They won the turnover battle but bad special teams, 13 penalties and poor red zone got the Semis.

Fantasy Football Week 8

Bye Weeks:   Cardinals, Lions, Jaguars, Raiders, Rams, and Seahawks

Key Injuries:

  • QB Michael Penix had a late ankle sprain and is day to day.
  • TE Cole Kmet had a back injury.
  • WR Dontayvion Wicks had a calf injury and didn’t return.
  • TE Darren Waller had a peck injury and didn’t return.
  • RB Kendre Miller had a knee injury.
  • QB Jayden Daniels had a hammy and could miss time.
  • QB Bryce Young came out with an Ankle Injury.  
  • WR Mike Evans went out with a shoulder injury.
  • WR Brian Thomas had a shoulder injury.

Waiver Wire:

  • QB Marcus Mariotta for the Daniels injury.
  • QB Tyrod Taylor may steal Justin Fields starting position at quarterback.
  • QB Andy Dalton if you hate yourself.
  • TE Colston Loveland may finally be relevant if Kmet misses time.
  • QB Kirk Cousins could be in the mix with the Penix injury.
  • RB Devon Neal for the Kendre Miller injury is good.
  • TE Oronde Gadsen had a huge game for the Chargers with 11 targets.
  • TE Pat Freiermuth had a game, but can we trust him?
  • RB Kyle Monangai had a big 13 carries against the Saints.
  • WR Marvin Mims finally did something for the Broncos.
  • TE Noah Fant for Cincinnati had a good game.
  • WR Malik Washington for the Dolphins had a lot of targets.
  • WR Alec Pierce had a great matchup vs the Titans.

Sleepers/Non-starters trending up for week 8:

  • TE Oronde Gadsen could be big vs the Vikings.
  • TE Colston Loveland vs the Ravens is a look.
  • RB Breece Hall should have a day against the Bengals.
  • RB RJ Harvey against the Cowboys should slap.
  • RB Tyler Algeier against the Dolphins will be big.
  • TE Kyle Pitts against the Dolphins is big.
  • WR Darnell Mooney against the Dolphins is nice.
  • WR Emeka Egbuka against the Saints is big.
  • WR Tee Higgens has a nice matchup against the Jets.
  • WR Andrei Iosivas against the Jets is bigtime.   
  • RB Treveyon Henderson against the Browns is possible.
  • WR Kayshon Boutte for the Patriots looks good against the Brownies.

Busts:

  • RB Christian McCaffery could be cold at the Texans.
  • RB Kimani Vidal against the Vikings is bad.
  • RB Alvin Kamara against the Bucs is bad.
  • QB Tua Tagovaiola against the Falcons is bad bad bad.
  • RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt against the Chiefs is rough.
  • TE Zach Ertz against the Chiefs could be bad.
  • QB Bryce Young against the Bills could be bad news.
  • QB Caleb Williams vs the Ravens.

 

Nasty Sleepers:  TE Mason Taylor for the Jets will have a decent game against the Bengals.

Podcast 747 – 80 – 25 – NFL & College Football Recap & Play – Fantasy Football Week 8 – Sports Betting

We have a GREAT show for you today!  Another weekend of NFL & College Football in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly.  Next, we talk some final scores with brief box score analysis.  Then, Kiev talks about NFL & College Football misleading final scores & betting spots for next week.  Who could let down?  Who could bet flat?  Who has long or short rest?  After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football injuries, waivers, sleepers & busts.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

Use Promo Code Football25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

 

College Football Friday Freebie – Nebraska vs Minnesota – Sports Betting


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Kiev O’Neil’s Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

54% Lifetime College &NFL Football ATS/Props/Totals

51% 2024 College Football & NFL -34U (Bad season)

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

 

Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.



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Podcast 746 – 82 – 25 – With Will Hill – NFL Week 7 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a GREAT show for you today!  Will Hill from @VSINLive and the Should Have Bet More Podcast is back to break down some NFL!  First, Kiev talks some NFL ATS and totals.  Which teams are hitting and which teams have been the fades?   Next, Will comes on and the guys get right into the top teams in the NFL!  Then, Will and Kiev talk some buy low/sell high for the upcoming weeks.  After that, the boys get into the full slate of NFL games.  We have plenty of Free Plays.  Next, we talk some long shot bets that may hit for some beer money.  Then, Kiev gives out our Refuse to lose teaser that is 3-3 for the season.   Next, Kiev goes over some sharp money movement for the week.  Finally, Kiev recaps our plays!   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

Use Promo Code Football25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

 

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