Rob Vinciletti: Friday Power System Play + SWEET 16 PLAY OF THE YEAR INFO
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If the Red Raiders cover, we have a 6-0 night. We’ll take 5-1. That’s the return performance we needed – let’s keep on rollin’ this Friday! I certainly appreciate all of you hanging with me and trusting the process; that’s not easy to do during a week like this. Added one NBA play, a prop, and a parlay. As a reminder, props and parlays are always “play at your own risk.” They’re personal plays for me that I’m sharing, but they never count as official plays. We’ve had tons of prop and parlay wins this year so it makes me wonder where we would be if we DID count them, but alas, this is the world of a pro handicapper. Onto the picks!
NBA Picks:
- Jazz -4, 1.5 units
- I like this spot way better for the Jazz and the Hornets’ reign of offensive terror may be over at that last disappointment. The Utah roster is far more experienced and talented than Charlotte’s, and the Jazz don’t want to fall in the playoff rankings – their current 4th spot is pretty ideal. The Jazz defense, if it lives up to its potential, and it usually does when they’re motivated, is far superior to the Hornets. The Jazz were appropriately favored by 12.5 in their first contest and they won by 10. Take the Jazz.
- Clippers +5.5, 1 unit
- This is a sleepy sleepy spot for the 76ers, Harden is undoubtedly clubbing in LA and at strip clubs (this is a thing and it’s not a good habit for a pro athlete), so I could see him totally shitting the bed against a LAC unit that’s at home and better than people think. The Clippers admitted they weren’t going to make adjustments against Denver – I wish I knew that prior – but that won’t happen here. The 76ers are not a rival and the Clippers aren’t hiding or holding back. I like the dog in this one.
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- The Knicks have been playing exceptional defense and they lean on it early and often these days. The Miami Heat, who have faced some turmoil these days, are bound to recover and look more like their normal selves eventually – that’ll start with their defense tonight. Both teams play physically in the paint and few shots will come easily – pride is a part of this too. We’re taking the under.
- Mavs/T-Wolves over 227.5, 1.5 units
- This is a revenge spot for the T-Wolves and they’re at home after that let-down loss against the Suns. I think Minnesota comes out highly motivated tonight and sets the pace from the get-go. If they’re setting the pace, this will surely go over.
- Christian Wood props: The lines aren’t out yet but look for his points and PAR props to go over today. He should completely annihilate the Blazers’ front court.
- NBA Moneyline Parlay: Jazz + T-Wolves + Heat + Rockets (1 unit to win 5.33 units)
Knicks/Heat under 215.5, 1 unit
- NC money-line (fuck the +2, let’s just go for it), 1.5 units
- St. Peters +12.5, 1 unit
Laying the Points with FarleyBets and Josh C: March 25, 2022
Josh C. from the Bet US NBA show has been on absolute fire! He joined me Thursday morning to discuss the Friday NBA slate and we have plenty of leans and insights to prepare you for today’s slate! Check out the show, subscribe, and follow Josh!
Current NBA Record: 248-193 (56%), +75.55 units
Translation: We win, a lot. Click here for my premiums every day in your inbox!
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- Jazz -4, 1.5 units
- I like this spot way better for the Jazz and the Hornets’ reign of offensive terror may be over at that last disappointment. The Utah roster is far more experienced and talented than Charlotte’s, and the Jazz don’t want to fall in the playoff rankings – their current 4th spot is pretty ideal. The Jazz defense, if it lives up to its potential, and it usually does when they’re motivated, is far superior to the Hornets. The Jazz were appropriately favored by 12.5 in their first contest and they won by 10. Take the Jazz.
- Clippers +5.5, 1 unit
- This is a sleepy sleepy spot for the 76ers, Harden is undoubtedly clubbing in LA and at strip clubs (this is a thing and it’s not a good habit for a pro athlete), so I could see him totally shitting the bed against a LAC unit that’s at home and better than people think. The Clippers admitted they weren’t going to make adjustments against Denver – I wish I knew that prior – but that won’t happen here. The 76ers are not a rival and the Clippers aren’t hiding or holding back. I like the dog in this one.
- Knicks/Heat Under
- If this comes out at 220 or over, take it for 2 units.
- If this comes out from 217.5-220, take it for 1.5 units.
- If this comes out from 214-217, take it for 1 unit
- Anything less is no bet.
- NC money-line (fuck the +2, let’s just go for it), 1.5 units
- St. Peters +12.5, 1 unit
Giannis OUT
NBA and CBB Value Plays from FarleyBets: March 24, 2022
Hi Everyone! It’s that time of year where sports are at their height – March Madness, the NBA playoffs are near, the UFC schedule is regular again; it’s the BEST! Although I do miss football (sad face).. Onto a few free plays for you to attack on the Thursday slate!
Current NBA Record: 245-193 (56%), +71.45 units
Translation: We win, a lot. Click here for my premiums every day in your inbox!
Bucks -8.5 (-110), 1 unit: This is a great “clobber spot” for the Bucks tonight. Milwaukee is only 1.5 games behind Miami for the #1 seed and the Heat are seemingly in disarray right now (Butler vs. Spoelstra, yikes). Kyle Kuzma continues to sit for the Wizards and that’s a big deal – he’s their most physical player and makes a huge difference at both ends of the floor. That should tell you how talented Washington is these days, by the way (it ain’t great). Milwaukee looked just fine without Middleton Wednesday against the Bulls, and if anything they run faster without Giannis’ #2 guy – that’s not a good thing for the slow-paced Wizards, who easily get overwhelmed against explosive offenses. Giannis is now OUT, but the Bucks should still have their way against one of the softest front court defenses in the NBA (Porzingis, ew), and Milwaukee’s depth is a huge issue for a shallow Washington roster. The Bucks’ schedule is about to get much tougher. I don’t think they letdown tonight; I think they smash. Take Milwaukee and swallow the points.
Texas Tech -1 (-110), 1 unit: In postseason play, I tend to rely on great defenses. In basketball, where teams and young athletes are increasingly more focused on offensive efficiency, that gives consistently good defenses a significant advantage. I think that’s what we’ll see tonight, again, from a Red Raiders squad that’s looked amazing thus far in the tournament. Duke has been explosive at times this season, and very mediocre and clumsy at other points. The intense pressure that MUST be on these young players can’t help. Coach K’s final season brings a level of intensity that most college kids don’t handle well (case in point, the final game at Cameron Indoor), and Texas Tech has an aggressive, in-your-face style that the easily shakable Duke roster may struggle with. If that happens early, it’s all rocket-ships for the Red Raiders, who haven’t shown any signs of slowing down on either side of the hardwood. Texas Tech has faced a much harder schedule and they’ve been considerably more consistent. Side with the Red Raiders!
World Cup Qualifying Nightcap!
We are currently on an International break for the clubs and Premier League will resume Saturday, April 2. For now we have some action packed World Cup qualifying with a juicy match-up between North American rivals Mexico and USA. March Madness is a full go today, but why not diversify your betting portfolio with this 10pm ET nightcap!
Current Soccer record: 25-29 +1.35 unit (in the green baby)
Mexico ML 2 UNITS (-110)
Currently in the qualifying standings USA and Mexico are tied with 21 points. Top 2 teams out of each group qualify for the World Cup. With 3 qualifying matches left, points are at a premium and every match absolutely matters. USA has the current tiebreaker with Mexico having beat them straight up last match in November in Ohio. Since 2019 USA is 3-1 against Mexico in international competition.
We now have Mexico favored after USA has shown they are able to take care of them the previous matches in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final and their previous match in Cincinnati with a 2-0 score. So what gives? Location Location Location! The match is being played in Mexico City, Mexico. We are vary familiar with this stadium from the few NFL games we have watched and know that this is every bit home field advantage on steroids. This altitude is nothing to play with measuring at roughly half a mile higher elevation than Denver. Players, specifically USA ones will be gassed, period. Now let’s combine that with other factors. We have a country and fan base that cares about soccer tenfold compared to Americans interest going absolutely nuts in a stadium packed to the core with a capacity over 87k. Not to mention the weather will not be cold November 40 degree weather in Ohio. It will be 60-70’s where the home team will be more comfortable in their element.
USA will make it interesting down the stretch having to take on Panama and Costa Rica in their final World Cup qualifying matches. Tonight they come up short against Mexico. Unfortunately too many factors for me that give Mexico the significant advantage to take the patriotic side and, “I believe that they will lose. “
Rob Vinciletti: Thursday NHL Comp play + SWEET 16 TOTAL OF THE YEAR HEADLINE

Executing The Edge Podcast 17 with Special Guest Brian Edwards – March Madness Sweet 16 Breakdowns
In this week’s Executing the Edge podcast, Nick:
- Welcomes in Special Guest, Brian Edwards, as they break down every Sweet 16 matchup for Thursday and Friday with free picks and leans
Sign up NOW before you miss out on my All Access March Madness Subscription at The OddsBreakers and get the number BEFORE it moves!
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Adding Milwaukee
After giving it some thought, I’m pulling the trigger on the Bucks for 1 unit at -12. They have a very realistic shot at grabbing the #1 seed now and their schedule gets a lot harder after this game. I expect a big time smashing from Milwaukee against a Washington team that misses Kuzma and has a SOFT front court.







