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Premiums, 2.20

 

Rough day at the office yesterday – what is it about these Saturday slates that throws us off? Something to examine on my end.

Either way, we march on to some opportunities on the board today. There isn’t much, but I like these few CBB games more than usual:
CBB Picks:
  • Temple/Cincinnati under 136 *
    • Two talented defenses should take over in a rivalry here.
  • Michigan/Wisconsin under 138 **
    • This has the feel of a tough, big 10 battle, and Wisconsin knows their best chances of winning are to stifle Michigan’s potent offense and play slow. Unless there’s a melee of fouls at the end, which there often is and it’s incredibly annoying, this under should hit.
  • Loyola MD -4.5 *
    • Loyola had their way with Lehigh in the first contest and they didn’t shoot well or play to their potential. I think they coast at home.

    USC -6 **

    • Washington St. should be no match for a talented USC offense at home in a great spot. I got this at -5.5; I wouldn’t take it beyond -6.5.
  • Parlay: Loyola MD + USC + Cincinnati moneylines, 1 unit to win 1.74 units
NBA All Star Picks (these will NOT count towards my NBA season record – play at your own risk, but this is where I see value):
  • Luke Kennard to win 3-point shooting contest (+500)
  • Luka wins All-Star MVP (+1400)
  • Team LeBron over 163.5 (-115)
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Rob Vinciletti- NCAAB Power Play + Horizon League GAME OF THE YEAR INFO

Sunday card led by the 100% Horizon League Play of the Year in NCAAB Action along with an NHL Platinum Supreme Top play and Afternoon Soccer. NCAB Comp play below.

The NCAAB Comp play will be on Memphis at 3:00 PM Eastern. Memphis have Home revenge on Smu and come in on a 6 game win streak with their last loss in that Home SMU Game. SMU fits a play against angle for undefeated home dog with 10+ win on the season. SMU have failed to cover 10 of 12 off a defeat and 12 of 15 playing on Sunday. When they are a dog they have failed to cover 7 of 9. Look for Memphis to serve up some revenge here today. On Sunday The Horizon League Game of the Year and an NHL Platinum Supreme top play headline. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to jump on. For the NCAAB Comp play. Make i Memphis   Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

College Basketball Saturday Super Play – Sports Betting

Kansas forward Jalen Wilson (10) gets in for a bucket against West Virginia during the first half on Saturday, Jan. 15, 2022 at Allen Fieldhouse.

Kansas vs West Virginia +5 O/U 146.5

The Big 12 has all good teams this year and seeing Kansas as only a 5 point favorite vs maybe the worst team in the big 12 is really something.   Now to be honest, I do not know what to do with the side in this game.   Kansas coach Bill Self and West Virginia coach Bob Huggins have a great respect for one another.    What I do know is that both of these teams like to play fast.   West Virginia runs the court ranking 1st in the conference at 69.5 possessions per game while Kansas is second at 68.2.   Now that is saying something because these teams play in an overall slow paced conference.   Neither defense is really that good with Kansas’s ranking 37th in all of basketball while West Virginia’s ranks dead last in the Big 12.   Now West Virginia isn’t the best shooting team out there only ranking 297th in FG% but they at least get a lot of fast break points ranking 12th at Haslametrics at potential quick points off of breakaway steals.   Kansas ranks 67th right there and number 1 in FG% in the Big 12.  I think that the 1st half over is worth a look.    I would take the whole game but there could be a blow out here if Kansas really steps it up second half.

1st half over 68.5 – 2 stars

February 19th CBB Free Play

Coming off a 1-0 night, I’m back at it with 5 CBB plays for today; 4 of those are reserved for premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 57.1% clip and have netted my members +45.2u since Sept. 2021. Click here to learn more about becoming a premium member!

*CBB(1u): Saint Louis +2.5(-110) @ Davidson–2:30 PM CT

Davidson might be 21-4 this season, but since January 8th, they have won by an average of just 5 PPG. In other words, this Wildcats team hasn’t exactly dominated the A-10 this year, and many of those wins have come against some truly horrible opponents given the conference is not very deep this season. Saint Louis is a legitimate threat to make a run and win the A-10 and should match up well with this overrated Davidson squad. While Davidson is very efficient offensively, they rank just 213th in defensive efficiency, a big reason why they can’t pull away from anybody. Saint Louis is a much more balanced team(48th offensive efficiency, 68th defensive efficiency) and enters this game undervalued after 2 recent losses to St Bonaventure. Prior to those games against the Bonnies, SLU had won their prior 6 games. The Billikens are due to make a statement on the road, and they are plenty capable of getting the job done today. I think Saint Louis wins this one outright, but I’ll take the 2.5 as insurance.

February 19th CBB Premium Plays

*CBB(1.5u): Miami ML(-130) vs Virginia–4 PM CT

Virginia runs at the slowest pace in the country and only averages 63 PPG. Their defense is down this season, and in turn, they have not matched up well with high-powered offenses for the sheer reason that they can’t go toe-to-toe with them. Miami ranks 20th in offensive efficiency, averages 75 PPG, and enters this game off of two straight road wins and covers, one of the hardest things to do in this sport. This is also Virginia’s second straight road game after crumbling against Virginia Tech the other night. I would lay up to 3 with the ‘Canes in this one, but I feel better about taking the ML and only having to pay a 20 cent premium. 

*CBB(1u): Kansas State +5(-110) @ Oklahoma State–1 PM CT

Oklahoma State is not eligible for postseason contention given they’re on probation, but even so, we’ve seen them give a lot of effort down the stretch of this season. They’ve lost 2 of 3 entering today, and even so, they’re playing much better than they actually are. The Cowboys play a good brand of defense, but they have slipped 10 spots in my defensive efficiency metrics over the past few weeks. Additionally, they shoot less than 30% from 3 and rank outside of the Top 100 in offensive efficiency. Kansas State is a team with their NCAA Tournament hopes still alive, and they have proven to be quite sneaky this season. They have road wins against Iowa State, TCU, and Texas, as well as a double-digit home win against Texas Tech. As someone who follows Big 12 Basketball very closely, this line jumped out to me. I’ll take the points with the ‘Cats. 

*CBB(1u): Arkansas ML(-130) vs Tennessee–3 PM CT

Kiev and I discussed this game on his podcast this weekend, and our overall sentiment was that Tennessee is overvalued and Arkansas is undervalued. I know Tennessee just beat Kentucky at home and has been rolling as of late, but that might actually make this a worse spot for them. I know the Vols play great defense, but I am taking a stand in saying they are not as good offensively as they’ve shown recently. Arkansas enters today having won 10 of their last 11 with their only loss coming by 1 at Alabama. Bud Walton Arena is one of the toughest places to play in the country, and I think the home team gets it done today. I would bet this up to Ark -3, but getting the ML at only -130, I’d prefer going that route.

*ML Parlay(0.8u): Baylor 1H, Wake Forest, Kentucky(+135)–11 AM CT

Premiums, 2.19

 

WHAT’S UP people! Happy Weekend!

Limited time today (what else is new), so going to provide some shorter write ups here. Let me know if you have any questions.
CBB Picks:
  • UMASS -6 *
    • Potent offense wins here.
  • Xavier +7 *
    • Too many points for a flawed UCONN team.
  • Bama/Kentucky over 155.5 *
  • Fairleigh-Dickinson +16 *
    • FD can survive in this one against a bad defense. Both high-paced teams should cultivate the others’ offense.
  • Army -3.5 *
    • Neither team is good, but American could easily get overwhelmed by the Golden Knights’ pace. I went to American U for grad school and trust me, there’s not much to like about their basketball program.
  • Auburn -4 *
    • Auburn has been at their best in-conference. Nice spot for Florida but I don’t think it matters. Auburn is just considerably better on both sides of the court.
  • Tennessee +2.5 *
  • G-Town/Villanova over 144.5 *
  • Grand Canyon -1 *
UFC Picks:
  • Hill by KO/TKO/DQ (-145), 1.45 units
  • Porter by KO/TKO/DQ (+145), 1 unit
  • Motta by Decision (+225), 1 unit
NBA All Star Picks (these will NOT count towards my NBA season record – play at your own risk, but this is where I see value):
  • Luke Kennard to win 3-point shooting contest (+500)
  • Luka wins All-Star MVP (+1400)
  • Team LeBron over 163.5 (-115)
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Executing The Edge Podcast 13 – MLB Lockout, College Basketball

In this week’s Executing the Edge podcast, Nick:

  • gives a update on the MLB lockout
  • Breaks down some of Saturday’s top CBB games

Get all of my plays through the Odds Breakers with my Exclusive CBB Subscription HERE

#Sportsbetting #sportsinvesting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAAF #CBB #CFB #MLB #NCAAB #ExecutingTheEdge

Rob Vinciletti: ACC Power Play + 2022 NCAAB TOTAL OF THE YEAR info

Saturday card led by the 7* NCAAB 100% 2022 Total Of The Year, an Executive Level Tier 1, the Afternoon BIG 12 Game Of The Month, NHL and Soccer. NCAAB Comp Play below.

The NCAAB Comp play is on Duke at 6:00 Eastern. Duke held off a late rally by Wake Forest bit wont let their foot off the gas tonight against a Florida St team that beat them last month. Now they will seek revenge. Duke has much better numbers on both sides of the ball and they catch a Seminoles team off a tight win at home over Clemson. We note that the Seminoles have failed to cover in 12 of 13 when they lose as a road dog. Look for the Blue Devils to coast to a cover. On Saturday we unleash our 2022 7* NCAAB 2022 Total of the year headlining a Powerful card that also has NHL and Top Level soccer. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter. to jump on. For the NCAAB Comp play. Go with Duke. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

Saturday Premier League Plays!

Back at it this weekend with a ton of PL action.  Hoping to trend in the opposite direction and break the 0-2 record.

Current PL Record: 0-2

WHU vs NEW: Draw, .5 Unit (+290)

West Ham is currently 5th on the table matched up against New Castle United who is holding on outside of the relegation mark. West Ham is at home, but this line of -140 with their record disparities and table standings makes me feel the line is short and a draw is every bit in play here. .5 unit +290 Draw

Arsenal: ML, 2 Units (-215)

Arsenal is levels above Brentford who is coming into this match up with a 2-1-7 record in their last 10. This is a -215 line for a reason with Arsenal on their home pitch. No red flags for me here as Arsenal should take care of business to earn their 3 points on the table.   With 2 unit play (-215)

Aston Villa: ML, 2 Units (-145)

Watford is bad, really bad. They simply just lose… a lot. They are currently 0-2-8 in their last 10, and traveling on the road to AV won’t be a spot for them to get a spark. Av 2 units (-145)

BHA vs BUR: Draw, .5 Unit (+275)

Both of these teams absolutely love draws. In fact they are 2 of the 4 clubs with double digit draws on their record. Burnley gives teams trouble stacking the box, but now are slowly building better counter ability since the Weghorst addition. So if they were to go down 1-0, they are still very capable to even it up.   I think we are getting good value here to play the higher probability of a draw with these two teams. Draw .5 unit +275

CRY vs CHE: Under 2.5, 1 Unit (-118)

Chelsea and CP met back in October where Chelsea took care of business 3-0. The line for that match was -300. We are now in February and the clarity of the table standings is a lot more detailed. Chelsea at -145 in this spot is having me think this match may be close. When a match like this is close with a great disparity in talent, I don’t really see CP scoring. Therefore am taking the Under 2.5 (-118) for 1 Unit.

MCI vs TOT: Under 3, 1 Unit (-112)

Man City is red-hot handling everyone in their path. They are destroying teams at the bottom of the table.  These two teams met in the beginning of the season where the spurs managed to pull out a 1-0 upset. I do not see a ton of goals taking place in this one. Tottenham is a very up and down club, but have shown to be able to compete with the best. Under 3 -112 1 unit.

Laying the Points with FarleyBets – w/ Special Guest Clive Bixby!

An NBA poster, of the stars.

 

Hi Everyone! We get a nice break from NBA action but that doesn’t mean the mind shuts off! I’m joined on this pod by the great Clive Bixby (@CliveBixby41) and we talk about teams that are ascending, teams to fade, and other insights

Our NBA Picks are 194-145 (57.4%) this season and we’re up 74 units. No big deal. Click here to become part of the winning team!