Home Blog Page 382

NCAAM Friday Play

883 Richmond 1H +1.5* at VCU

I haven’t been that high on this Spiders team this year which has paid off, but tonight we have two teams that have significantly better ATS records on the road (both teams 7-2 ATS in away games, RICH 4-8-1 at home and VCU 5-7). Money coming in on VCU which I can’t argue with on the full game, so that will have me looking towards Richmond in the first half. Richmond has slight advantages in Effective FG%, rebounding, and turnover %. The Spiders also come into this one 6-2 1H ATS on the road.

This will be the second time this time has seen the Rams aggressive defense, so I expect them to fare better than they did in their last matchup. Last time these two met, Richmond shot a poor 35.5% from the field, had 13 turnovers, and only hit 67% from the FT line. Richmond Guard Jacob Gilyard also had his eyes on the NBA last year, so I expect him to step up on a nationally televised Friday night game.  The Spiders will be walking into a hostile environment tonight, but we’ve seen they can handle adversity on the road. Give me the points in this spotlight interstate rivalry with Richmond in the first half!

Check out more of my plays at my Patreon and best of luck heading into the weekend!

Better Odds Sports Betting February 18th

Check out Tony George @TGeorgesports from @DocsSports as our guest today!   If you want to take a look at DocsSports please txt “breakers” to 29022 to get a free $60 credit on your new account!

February 18th CBB Premium Play

Nebraska Cornhuskers forward Derrick Walker #13 MBB vs Illinois

*CBB(1u): Nebraska TT OVER 72(-115) vs Maryland–8 PM CT

Nebraska is just 1-13 in conference play, but this is actually a very advantageous spot for them. Maryland is just 3-11 in conference play themselves, has lost 5 straight games, and is playing their second straight road game after keeping things close with Purdue on Sunday. Nebraska has been let down by their defense, but they can actually put up points because they run at the 10th fastest pace in the country. Maryland has recently faced two up-tempo teams in Iowa and Ohio State; they allowed 110 to the Hawkeyes and 82 to the Buckeyes. When you add in that the Terps are likely not going to come out with a full effort tonight given how tumultuous this season has been, I think the path is quite clear for the Cornhuskers to use pace to their advantage and put up at least 75 in this one. 

Premiums, 2.18

 

Oh hello. Happy Friday, but more importantly: I LOVE that we finished the week on a 6-2 tear in NBA picks! We’re also 31-15 (67%) the last 18 days. No big deal.

Which leads me to this: What we’re doing right now – the +44 units since Jan 1, the +21 units the last 17 days, the +11 units in CBB the last 3 weeks – this shit is NOT normal. Many of you are receiving discounts for these picks and it’s literally impossible to not make money if you just follow our unit allocation. So I ask: please do what you can to spread the word about FarleyBets! It would mean a lot to me. Onto Friday, and look forward to our UFC picks tomorrow, too. 
CBB Picks:
  • Butler +9 **
    • Butler gets a high momentum ranking on Haslametrics and it’s easy to see why. The Bulldogs tough defense keeps them in games and their offense has improved, with impressive wins over DePaul and Marquette recently. Saint John’s barely beat them 2 weeks ago; I think this game stays close, too.
  • Harvard -15 *
    • This is as ugly as it gets, but Columbia is historically bad this year and it’ll be a cold day in hell if the Lions perform like they did in their first contest against Harvard. Columbia shot an insane 55.2% from the field, including 48% from beyond the arc in that game, and they STILL lost by 9 points. Bound to regress, I like Harvard to win and cover at home.
  • Purdue Fort Wayne -5.5 *
    • This is a square-ass pick but the pace of PFW should be too much for Green Bay, even at home.
NBA All Star Picks (these will NOT count towards my NBA season record – play at your own risk, but this is where I see value):
  • Luke Kennard to win 3-point shooting contest (+500)
  • Luka wins All-Star MVP (+1400)
  • Team LeBron over 163.5 (-115)
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Podcast 13 – 22 – With Michael Fordham – College Basketball February 18th and 20th – Super Bowl Recap – UFC – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!   Michael Fordham from TheOddsBreakers.com comes on to discuss a huge week of college basketball.  First, Kiev recaps the Super Bowl.  Next, Kiev discusses where some basketball conferences stand compared to the rest.   Then, Michael comes on and the guys talk about some teams that are either buy low or sell high that could give us some value in the upcoming games.   Next, Michael and Kiev discuss some huge games for the weekend with some leans and some plays.  Finally, Kiev talks some UFC on ESPN 48 with a free play.   Should you have any questions, please contact us at TheOddsBreakers.com

NCAA: Tennessee vs Arkansas – Rutgers vs Purdue and more!

If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves!  Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds21 for 20% off the price!  

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

NBA Free Pick from FarleyBets: 76ers at Bucks – Feb 17, 2022

Giannis and Embiid square off in the paint.

 

It’s the final slate of games before a nice break from NBA action (lord knows I need it). Fortunately, we’ve been on a tear that just hasn’t stopped! We’re 29-14 (67%) the last 17 days in NBA bets, and we won 42 units since Jan 1. Can’t hate on that! If you want my premium picks delivered to your inbox every day for a discounted rate (I’m giving away HUGE discounts for the rest of the NBA season), hit this link! Onto the free pick!

Sixers +6.5 (-110), 1.5 units: On paper this pick probably doesn’t make sense. That’s okay- we like it when public perception goes against us. The NBA is, as you’re probably all-too-aware, a very emotionally volatile league. Ups and downs and situational intangibles and inconsistent motivation are some of the prime factors you must consider when you’re handicapping NBA games. And we saw it plainly last night. As I implied on Twitter prior to tipoff, Wednesday was full of big favorites who had very little motivation heading into the All-Star break. And what happened?

The Rockets covered, and the Nets, Pistons, Lakers, and Blazers all won straight up. All dogs. All winners.

Tonight feels like a similar setup. Philadelphia is one game off an incredibly embarrassing loss, at home, against their division rival 2 nights ago. The Celtics won that game by an insane 48 points. YIKES. Yet these are the kinds of situations we like to capitalize on.

Boston was only 2 point favorites in that contest, and the Celtics have been surging. Now, 2 nights later, the same team is nearly 7 point dogs to a Bucks squad that can’t figure out how to play defense yet? Na- this is lined wrong.

Milwaukee is a little banged up and they’re coming off a solid win against the Pacers on Tuesday. They’re still one of the best teams in the NBA and they’re my pick to win the East once again, but this spot isn’t as ideal for them. If anything, the Bucks need to get healthy, get some rest, and figure out some better schemes on defense. They’re absolutely not in playoff form at this juncture in the season.

I expect Embiid and the Sixers to be locked in tonight. Giannis Antetokounmpo is coming off a 50 point game and I expect him to cool off (I guess that’s the only option, isn’t it?), and Embiid is one of the only big-men that can slow down the Greek-freak. I expect a big game from Embiid after such a disappointing performance 2 nights ago.

Take Philadelphia and don’t look back.

February 17th NBA Free Play

New Orleans Pelicans guard CJ McCollum (3) plays against the Miami Heat in the second half of an NBA basketball game in New Orleans, Thursday, Feb. 10, 2022. (AP Photo/Derick Hingle)

In addition to this free play, I’m also rolling with 2 plays for my premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 57% clip and have netted my members +44.2u since September 2021. Click here to learn more about becoming a premium member!

*NBA(1u): Pelicans +2.5(-110) vs Mavericks–7 PM CT

Dallas enters this game off of an impressive road win against the Heat, but I’m expecting this Dallas team to start regressing here in the near future. They are without a volume scorer in Tim Hardaway Jr and obviously traded away Kristaps Porzingis at the Deadline, and I’m still not sold that they found the right mix of guys to counteract those guys being out of the rotation. Since trading for CJ McCollum, the Pelicans have immediately turned things around on the offensive end of the floor; over their past 3 games, the Pels rank 6th in offensive efficiency. New Orleans is a team that is still playing catch-up after their brutal start to the season, and with this being their 6th straight home game, I think they can catch the Mavericks napping here in the final game before the All-Star Break. The Pelicans have beaten Dallas once this season, and with CJ McCollum now paired up with Brandon Ingram, I think the Pelicans have more than enough to match up with a Dallas team that is really centered around one guy at the moment.

February 17th Premium Plays

*CBB(1u): Penn State -5.5(-110) vs Minnesota–3 PM CT

Penn State matched up with Minnesota this past Saturday, with the home Gophers pulling out an impressive win late. Not only does that make this a quick revenge spot for Penn State, but the Nittany Lions are also riding high off of a home win against Michigan State just 2 nights ago. This is a horrible spot for Minnesota with this being their second straight road game; over their past 4 road games, the Gophers have lost all 4 by an average of 14 PPG, including a double-digit loss to lowly Nebraska in this same “2nd straight road game” spot. I like Penn State to build off of that Michigan State win and blow Minnesota out of the water today.

*ML Parlay(1u): Penn State, Nets(+120)–3 PM CT

Penn State explanation above.

The Nets seemed to be dead in the water against the Knicks last night before crawling all the way back from 20 points down to win it late. While this is a back-to-back for Brooklyn, Washington is also on a back-to-back and enter this game with the travel disadvantage. Without Bradley Beal in the lineup, this Wizards team is in total disarray. These teams met just last week, with the Wizards pulling out a 1 point home win. Since that last matchup, the Nets stock has been trending upwards, while the Wizards continue to be pathetic(lost @ Indiana last night). The Nets seem to have a new energy about them since trading James Harden, and I think they carry that momentum in from last night and put away the Wizards in this one. 

Rob Vinciletti: NCAAB Revenge Play + NBA PRE BREAK GAME OF THE YEAR INFO

Thursday card led by the NBA Pre Break Play of the year, the NHL Game of The Month and an Executive Level Tier 1 Top play along with afternoon soccer. Comp Play below.

The NCAAB Comp Play is on Samford at 8:00 eastern. Sammy will Ca Ching here tonight as they have 19 point loss revenge on Virginia Military. Samford is off a pair of dog win over East Tennessee. St  and Wofford and will take on a VMI Defense that is ranked 267th and off an upset loss at home to the Citadel., The Bulldogs have covered the last 4 vs winning teams and 4 of 5 at home. In the series the favorite has covered 4 straight with the home team on a 4-1 spread run. When it rains it pours for VMI. Look for Samford to serve up revenge. On Thursday a Powerful card is up and backed by an Executive Level TIER 1 Move, the NBA Pre Break Game of the year and the NHL Triple perfect Game Of The Month. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on now and cash out. For the Comp play go with Samford. Rob Vinciletti- Golden Contender Sports

Premiums, 2.17

 

It’s the final slate of games before a week-long All-Star break. Do we need it? Probably. But this HEATER (4-1 last night, 29-14 the last 17 days) just keeps going; I don’t want this shit to stop!

I’ll be CBB and UFC focused heading into the weekend, with maybe a look at some fun NBA All-Star bets, too. Until then, let’s surge into the NBA holiday with more fookin’ wins!
NBA Picks:
  • Nets TT over 110.5 *
    • These are two tired teams heading into the break and the Nets just have way more offensive firepower in this one. Even without their big 3, Mills, Curry, Aldridge, Claxton and company should be able to score at will against a Washington defense that’s regressed, ranked 23rd in DEF EFF since Jan 1 and without a ton of players heading into this contest.
  • Mavericks -3 **
    • Dallas has really impressed me lately. It doesn’t seem to matter who they’ve lost or what spot they’re in, they just keep winning. Players like Brunson and Green and Finney-Smith have stepped up nicely, and Spencer Dinwiddie grants them a nice spark off the bench. New Orleans is in a tough spot here, even at home, since it’s their 3rd game in 4 nights. Luka rolls, Dallas rolls.
  • 76ers +7 *
    • Nothing should be more motivating than getting embarrassed and blown out at home by an arch rival, and that’s exactly what happened to Philadelphia Tuesday night. Are the Bucks the better team? Yes. Do they have clearly better talent, especially since Philly is still without Harden? Yes. But pride and mental fortitude is a thing in sports and the 76ers should be more locked in tonight against another big Eastern Conference giant. I handicapped this game at Bucks -6, so I don’t see a ton of value here, but I gotta play on the Sixers after that horrendous performance 2 nights ago.
CBB Picks:
  • Oregon State TT under 62.5 *
    • Arizona has one of the best, if not THE best defenses in the nation. Oregon State’s offense is abysmal. I’ll take my chances here.
  • Towson -3 **
    • The Towson offense should be way too much for UNC Wilmington, especially with UNCW’s lack of resistance beyond the arc.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris