Steve and I (@ChrisRFarley1 and @snormsnorm on Twitter) share our Circa Plays every Sunday morning and we’ve had one hell of a run! Here are our Week 9 plays, below!
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NBA 20/21 Season: 207-152 (58%)
NBA 21/22 Season: 30-21 (59%), +13.18 units
MLB Season: 231-199 (54%)
NFL Season: 57-54, +7.2 units
NFL Circa Picks: 26-13-1
Sunday card has the 100% Non Conference NFL Game Of the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1, an Early 6* 36-2 Totals System and Sunday night Football. Comp Play below.
The NFL Comp play is on The Carolina Panthers plus the 3-4 points at 1:00 eastern. Looks like Mccaffery will be back and the Panthers are far better with him as it takes pressure off Darnold. The Panthers have won the last 5 in the series with New England and have covered the last 4 after allowing 150 or less passing and 4 of 5 as a dog. The Patriots have failed to cover 4 of 5 as a road favorite, 9 of 11 off a spread win and 4 straight after allowing 150 or more on the ground. The Panthers are 5-0 vs the Patriots and should be tough here at home today. On Sunday a huge NFL Card is up and backed with the NFL Non Conference Game Of The Year, an Executive Level TIER 1, an Early 36-2 6* Totals System and Sunday night Football. Jump on at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter For the Free play.Take the points with the Panthers. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
Let’s continue executing the edge today!! We started the weekend last night going 2-0 and had a clean sweep last week in College Football going 6-0 and are 22-5 in our last 27 CFB plays!! I have a 8 premium picks today and one of them is below as a free pick. Whether you tail or not, good luck to everyone with their plays today!!
Grab my monthly all access pass HERE at The Odds Breakers.
The South Alabama Jaguars and the Troy Trojans face of in Sun Belt action at Veterans Memorial Stadium. The Jaguars enter with a 5-3 record after beating Arkansas St, who might have the worst defense in the nation, last week 31-13 and the Trojans enter with a 4-4 record after losing by a touchdown to Coastal Carolina last week. South Alabama comes in averaging 395 yards per game on offense, 5.6 yards per play and 29.1 points per game, all while playing defenses that allow 423 yards per game and 31.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the Troy offense is very similar gaining 357 yards per game and 25.6 points per game while they are plauing defenses that are allowing 393 yards per game and 31.3 points per game. So both teams are gaining and scoring less than their opposition is allowing and they will both be up against better defenses this week than they have been used to playing with both teams only allowing about 21 points per game. This should also be a slower paced game with South Alabama ranking 91st in tempo and Troy ranking 62nd. The defenses should control this game and have done so all season long as the Jaguars defense ranks 4th in the nation in defensive success rate while Troy’s defense has ranked 16th in the country in the same stat this season. Additionally, the Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as a road underdog and is 5-2 in Trojans last 7 games overall. I like this game to stay in the 30s. Take Under 48
I’m officially OFF the Cardinals ML tomorrow. The line is moving in SF’s direction, which is making me question Kyler’s availability– can’t do it. Thanks!
The greatest day in racing is finally here with Breeders’ Cup Saturday. The Breeders’ Cup Classic is the main event of the day which goes off at 5:40 PM. All races can be seen on NBCSN and NBC.
Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Proud Emma | F. Prat | P. Miller | 124 | 20-1 |
| 2 | Estilo Talentoso | J. Ortiz | J. Arriagada | 124 | 12-1 |
| 3 | Edgeway | J. Rosario | J. Sadler | 124 | 12-1 |
| 4 | Ce Ce | V. Espinoza | M. McCarthy | 124 | 4-1 |
| 5 | Gamine | J. Velazquez | B. Baffert | 124 | 3-5 |
| 6 | Bella Sofia | L. Saez | R. Rodriguez | 124 | 5-2 |
Race Preview:
PROUD EMMA enters the race coming off some woes in G2 and G3 races. I don’t really see this mare having a shot in this race. ESTILO TALENTOSO has one win under her belt this year coming back in a G3 Stakes race in June. Since then she has yet to find the winners circle in the past three races. EDGEWAY has won three of her four starts this year, with the only loss coming to GAMINE. CE CE is coming off a win in a G3 Stakes but lost to GAMINE in a race prior. GAMINE is the morning line favorite and has only lost one race in her ten career starts. She’s undefeated this year and hasn’t lost to any of the other entrants. BELLA SOFIA is 5-4-1 in her career and will be the main competitor to GAMINE. This horse won the G1 Test Stakes at the Spa in August. In her only second place finish she had a bad trip.
Picks:
WIN: 6 BELLA SOFIA
Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Glass Slippers (GB) | T. Eaves | K. Ryan | 123 | 6-1 |
| 2 | Emaraaty Ana (GB) | A. Atzeni | K. Ryan | 126 | 5-1 |
| 3 | Golden Pal | I. Ortiz, Jr. | W. Ward | 124 | 7-2 |
| 4 | Lieutenant Dan | G. Franco | S. Miyadi | 126 | 6-1 |
| 5 | Arrest Me Red | J. Velazquez | W. Ward | 124 | 12-1 |
| 6 | A Case of You (IRE) | R. Whelan | A. McGuinness | 124 | 8-1 |
| 7 | Charmaine’s Mia | F. Prat | P. D’Amato | 123 | 30-1 |
| 8 | Caravel | J. Ortiz | H. Motion | 123 | 20-1 |
| 9 | Kimari | J. Rosario | W. Ward | 123 | 6-1 |
| 10 | Gear Jockey | J. Lezcano | G. Arnold, II | 126 | 5-1 |
| 11 | Fast Boat | T. Gaffalione | J. Sharp | 126 | 12-1 |
| 12 | Extravagant Kid | R. Moore | B. Walsh | 126 | 12-1 |
Race Preview:
GLASS SLIPPERS won the G1 BC Turf Sprint at Keeneland back in November of last year but has yet to find the winners circle since. EMARAATY ANA has won two of her past three starts including the G1 Betfair Sprint Cup in her last out. The switch back to Atzeni on the reigns has seemed to make a positive impact. GOLDEN PAL seems to be in great form as well. Irad Ortiz Jr has won his past three races aboard this colt. He won he G2 BC Juvenile Turf Sprint last year. LIEUTENANT DAN is undefeated this year that includes a G2 and G3 Stakes race. In his last three races he’s shown some impressive speed figures, Franco will remain on the mount. ARREST ME RED seems to have improved with the switch to shorter distances last year and will look to capture his first G1 Stakes. A CASE OF YOU gets shipped in after winning a G1 Sprint in France. KIMARI is off a slight layoff from her last race where she won the G1 Madison Stakes at Keeneland. GEAR JOCKEY has posted some great speed figures but will face some steeper competition from her last win in a G3 Stakes. Some wildcards this race include FAST BOAT whos had some iffy races as of late and EXTRAVAGANT KID.
Picks:
WIN: 2 EMARAATY ANA
EXACTA PART WHEEL: 2,4,1/ 3
Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (yes that’s the name)
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Silver State | R. Santana, Jr. | S. Asmussen | 126 | 7-2 |
| 2 | Pingxiang | Y. Kawada | H. Mori | 126 | 12-1 |
| 3 | Ginobili | D. Van Dyke | R. Baltas | 126 | 4-1 |
| 4 | Jasper Prince | Y. Fukunaga | H. Mori | 126 | 30-1 |
| 5 | Life Is Good | I. Ortiz, Jr. | T. Pletcher | 126 | 4-5 |
| 6 | Restrainedvengence | E. Maldonado | V. Brinkerhoff | 126 | 20-1 |
| 7 | Snapper Sinclair | J. Rosario | S. Asmussen | 126 | 12-1 |
| 8 | Eight Rings | J. Hernandez | B. Baffert | 126 | 10-1 |
Race Preview:
SILVER STATE, one of the m/l favorites will try to find the winner’s circle again after failing to in her previous two races. In those races he finished 2nd and 3rd but faced some tough competition. He should fare much better against this field. PINGXIANG comes over from Japan where he’s fresh off back to back stakes wins. GINOBILI has historically been a sprinter but faired well in his lone race at a Mile this year. However, it must be noted, that race was a $40k AoC. LIFE IS GOOD is the favorite and has won three of her four starts this year. Her only second place finish comes to Jackie’s Warrior in a G1 Stakes back in August. EIGHT RINGS again was historically a sprinter but lengthened out in her last race and won. We’ll see if he’s up for the challenge again with a better class of horses. Two very live wildcards in this race are RESTRAINEDVENGENCE and POCKET SQUARE.
Picks:
WIN: 1 SILVER STATE
EXACTA PART WHEEL: 1, 2, 3, 6/ 5
Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Going to Vegas | U. Rispoli | R. Baltas | 124 | 12-1 |
| 2 | Pocket Square (GB) | I. Ortiz, Jr. | C. Brown | 124 | 15-1 |
| 3 | Acanella (GB) | C. Keane | G. Lyons | 120 | 12-1 |
| 4 | Rougir (FR) | M. Guyon | C. Rossi | 120 | 6-1 |
| 5 | Queen Supreme (IRE) | J. Doyle | A. Balding | 124 | 20-1 |
| 6 | Love (IRE) | R. Moore | A. O’Brien | 124 | 4-1 |
| 7 | War Like Goddess | J. Leparoux | W. Mott | 124 | 7-2 |
| 8 | Loves Only You (JPN) | Y. Kawada | Y. Yahagi | 124 | 4-1 |
| 9 | My Sister Nat (FR) | J. Ortiz | C. Brown | 124 | 15-1 |
| 10 | Ocean Road (IRE) | O. Murphy | H. Palmer | 120 | 20-1 |
| 11 | Dogtag | F. Prat | R. Mandella | 124 | 30-1 |
| 12 | Audarya (FR) | W. Buick | J. Fanshawe | 124 | 5-1 |
Race Preview:
GOING TO VEGAS is coming off a G1 win in the Rodeo Drive Stakes and a G2 win in the John C. Mabee Stakes. POCKET SQAURE won a G3 Stakes in her last out but struggled in a G1 earlier this year. ROUGIR gets shipped in from France where she looked impressive in a G1 win her last start. LOVE is another overseas horse who has looked impressive in the past but struggled to find the winners circle after capturing her first G1 Stakes win in June. WAR LIKE GODDESS has been lights out as of late winning her last four races which includes a G1, G2 and two G3 Stakes wins. LOVES ONLY YOU comes over from Japan where’s she had success and won multiple stakes races, certainly a contender. AUDARYA hasn’t closed well in her past two races and was bested by ROUGIR her last time out.
Picks:
WIN: 7 WAR LIKE GODDESS
EXACTA BOX: 1, 6, 7
Qatar Racing Breeders’ Cup Sprint
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Following Sea | J. Velazquez | T. Pletcher | 124 | 6-1 |
| 2 | Jackie’s Warrior | J. Rosario | S. Asmussen | 124 | 6-5 |
| 3 | C Z Rocket | F. Geroux | P. Miller | 126 | 12-1 |
| 4 | Matera Sky | Y. Kawada | H. Mori | 126 | 20-1 |
| 5 | Aloha West | J. Ortiz | W. Catalano | 126 | 8-1 |
| 6 | Firenze Fire | T. Gaffalione | K. Breen | 126 | 10-1 |
| 7 | Lexitonian | J. Lezcano | J. Sisterson | 126 | 20-1 |
| 8 | Special Reserve | I. Ortiz, Jr. | M. Maker | 126 | 6-1 |
| 9 | Dr. Schivel | F. Prat | M. Glatt | 124 | 4-1 |
Race Preview:
FOLLOWING SEA enters this race off a first place finish in a G2 Stakes and two 3rd place finishes in G1 Stakes. JACKIE’S WARRIOR has won four start which includes two G1 and two G2 Stakes. He’s the horse to beat in this race, especially given his form. CZ ROCKET has been close but failed to find the winners circle as of late. This 7 year old gelding has been beaten by DR. SCHIVEL two out of his last three starts. ALOHA WEST finished 2nd in the G2 Pheonix Stakes to SPECIAL RESERVE his last time out. FIRENZE FIRE certainly has been close but again another horse who has failed to find the winners circle as of late. His last win comes back in a G2 Stakes at Belmont in June. SPECIAL RESERVE has been impressive as of late with his only loss coming to LEXITONIAN in the G1 Vanderbilt Stakes. Besides that, he has yet to finish worse than 2nd in his past five stakes races. DR. SCHIVEL is undefeated on the year and is coming off a G1 and G2 Stakes win.
Picks:
WIN: 2 JACKIES WARRIOR
FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented by PDJF
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Master of The Seas (IRE) | J. Doyle | C. Appleby | 123 | 12-1 |
| 2 | Smooth Like Strait | U. Rispoli | M. McCarthy | 126 | 10-1 |
| 3 | Space Blues (IRE) | W. Buick | C. Appleby | 126 | 3-1 |
| 4 | Raging Bull (FR) | I. Ortiz, Jr. | C. Brown | 126 | 15-1 |
| 5 | Vin de Garde (JPN) | Y. Fukunaga | H. Fujiwara | 126 | 20-1 |
| 6 | Mo Forza | F. Prat | P. Miller | 126 | 5-1 |
| 7 | In Love (BRZ) | A. Achard | P. Lobo | 126 | 8-1 |
| 8 | Hit the Road | J. Velazquez | D. Blacker | 126 | 15-1 |
| 9 | Mother Earth (IRE) | R. Moore | A. O’Brien | 120 | 8-1 |
| 10 | Blowout (GB) | J. Rosario | C. Brown | 123 | 8-1 |
| 11 | Got Stormy | T. Gaffalione | M. Casse | 123 | 10-1 |
| 12 | Pearls Galore (FR) | B. Lee | P. Twomey | 123 | 12-1 |
| 13 | Casa Creed | J. Alvarado | W. Mott | 126 | 15-1 |
| 14 | Ivar (BRZ) | J. Talamo | P. Lobo | 126 | 12-1 |
Race Preview:
SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT has been impressive as of late but has failed to beat the current favorite, MO FORZA in the past two races. SPACE BLUES gets shipped in from across the pond and has won a G1 and G2 Stakes in his last two starts. MO FORZA has won both his starts this year but hasn’t really had great trips in either. If he gets a clean race here he may win this for fun. IN LOVE has lost to SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT and MO FORZA his last two times out and looked to be a class behind. MOTHER EARTH has raced pretty well this year despite only having two wins. This three year old filly has faced some steep competition in G1 Stakes and has held her own in most. BLOWOUT is coming off a G1 Stakes win but prior to that, lost in the G1 4StarDave to GOT STORMY. Speaking of GOT STORMY, this horse hasn’t looked great besides in that race. However, she does prefer to run at a distance and has looked better when lengthened out to a Mile. PEARLS GALORE comes in from France but I’m not sure why she’s not in a sprinting race. This horse seems to perform better when running in a sprint.
Picks:
WIN: 6 MO FORZA
EXACTA BOX: 1, 6, 10
Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Private Mission | F. Prat | B. Baffert | 121 | 8-1 |
| 2 | Royal Flag | J. Rosario | C. Brown | 124 | 8-1 |
| 3 | Malathaat | J. Velazquez | T. Pletcher | 121 | 4-1 |
| 4 | Blue Stripe (ARG) | L. Dettori | M. Polanco | 124 | 30-1 |
| 5 | Clairiere | R. Santana, Jr. | S. Asmussen | 121 | 12-1 |
| 6 | Letruska | I. Ortiz, Jr. | F. Gutierrez | 124 | 8-5 |
| 7 | Horologist | J. Alvarado | W. Mott | 124 | 30-1 |
| 8 | Shedaresthedevil | F. Geroux | B. Cox | 124 | 4-1 |
| 9 | As Time Goes By | L. Saez | B. Baffert | 124 | 15-1 |
| 10 | Marche Lorraine (JPN) | O. Murphy | Y. Yahagi | 124 | 30-1 |
| 11 | Dunbar Road | J. Ortiz | C. Brown | 124 | 15-1 |
Race Preview:
This could be one of my favorite races of the day, the field is absolutely loaded. To start things off we have PRIVATE MISSION, he’s won his last two Stakes races and has seemed more comfortable running a longer distance. ROYAL FLAG has seemed to fair better in G2 and G3 Stakes but has struggled to find the winners circle in a G1 Stakes as of late. MALATHATT has only lost one race in her seven starts, this horse is extremely impressive with multiple G1 wins to her name. CLAIRIERE won a G1 at Parx her last out but has never beaten MALATHATT. LETRUSKA has won her last five starts , four of which were G1 Stakes. This 5 year old mare is the morning line favorite for a reason. SHEDARESTHEDEVIL has looked good this year capturing multiple G1 Stakes wins but lost to LETRUSKA back in June.
Picks:
WIN: 6 LETRUSKA
EXACTA: 6/ 2, 3, 5
Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Rockemperor (IRE) | J. Castellano | C. Brown | 126 | 15-1 |
| 4 | Astronaut | V. Espinoza | J. Shirreffs | 126 | 20-1 |
| 5 | Tribhuvan (FR) | J. Ortiz | C. Brown | 126 | 20-1 |
| 6 | Acclimate | R. Gonzalez | P. D’Amato | 126 | 20-1 |
| 7 | Walton Street (GB) | J. Doyle | C. Appleby | 126 | 8-1 |
| 8 | Broome (IRE) | L. Dettori | A. O’Brien | 126 | 20-1 |
| 9 | Sisfahan (FR) | C. Demuro | H. Grewe | 122 | 12-1 |
| 10 | Yibir (GB) | W. Buick | C. Appleby | 122 | 12-1 |
| 11 | Gufo | J. Rosario | C. Clement | 126 | 8-1 |
| 12 | Teona (IRE) | D. Egan | R. Varian | 119 | 6-1 |
| 13 | Tarnawa (IRE) | C. Keane | D. Weld | 123 | 9-5 |
| 14 | Japan (GB) | R. Moore | A. O’Brien | 126 | 20-1 |
A/E: #15 BOLSHOI BALLET , #16 CHANNEL MAKER will run in place of #2 & #3
Race Preview:
ROCKEMPEROR bested GUFO his last time out in a G1 Stakes but lost him in the race prior. This horse has shown he’s capable of winning so we’ll see what he can do here. WALTON STREET seems comfortable at this distance of a 1 1/2 Miles. This gelding has captured several stakes wins at this distance. SISFAHAN won a G1 Stakes race in Germany earlier this year at this distance. Since then, this colt has finished 2nd and 3rd in G1 Stakes. YIBIR is coming off back to back wins at this distance. This gelding is certainly a contender and is worth at look given the price. GUFO is coming off a loss to ROCKEMPEROR as previously mentioned but he was bumped a the start and still ran 3rd. With DOMESTIC SPENDING scratched, GUFO becomes a bigger contender. TEONA seems to be in great form shipping in from across the pond. He’s won his last two after having a rough stretch of races before. TARNAWA is the horse to beat coming over from Ireland, he only has one win in his three starts this year but raced in some very tough stakes. When he came to the US the last time he won the G1 BC Turf at Keeneland in November of last year, so he’s clearly comfortable with the turf here.
Picks:
WIN: 11 GUFO
EXACTA: 9, 10, 11/ 13
Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic
Race Information:
Field:
| PP | HORSE | JOCKEY | TRAINER | WGT | M/L |
| 1 | Tripoli | I. Ortiz, Jr. | J. Sadler | 126 | 15-1 |
| 2 | Express Train | V. Espinoza | J. Shirreffs | 126 | 20-1 |
| 3 | Hot Rod Charlie | F. Prat | D. O’Neill | 122 | 4-1 |
| 4 | Essential Quality | L. Saez | B. Cox | 122 | 3-1 |
| 5 | Knicks Go | J. Rosario | B. Cox | 126 | 5-2 |
| 6 | Art Collector | M. Smith | W. Mott | 126 | 8-1 |
| 7 | Stilleto Boy | K. Desormeaux | E. Moger, Jr. | 122 | 30-1 |
| 8 | Medina Spirit | J. Velazquez | B. Baffert | 122 | 4-1 |
| 9 | Max Player | R. Santana, Jr. | S. Asmussen | 126 | 8-1 |
Race Preview:
The main event has finally arrived! TRIPOLI is on the rail coming off a 4th place finish in the G1 Awesome Again Stakes. In that race was bested by fellow entrants MEDINA SPIRIT, STILLETO BOY, and EXRPRESS TRAIN. Prior to his last out he won the G1 Pacific Classic and took 2nd in the G2 San Diego Handicap. In that G1 win, the race was run a 1 1/4 Miles which this race is also run at. EXPRESS TRAIN‘s best finish of the year comes back in that G2 San Diego Handicap where he beat TRIPOLI. This horse will try to stay middle of the pack but I don’t think will have enough closing power given the field. HOT ROD CHARLIE is in incredible form, coming off two G1 Stakes wins where he posted his best career speed figures. The only downside to this horse is he has lost to MEDINA SPIRIT and ESSENTIAL QUALITY in the past but things could change given how he looks as of late. ESSENTIAL QUALITY has won five of his six starts this year just dominating the competition. His only loss this year comes to MEDINA SPIRIT in the G1 Kentucky Derby. KNICKS GO is the current favorite but that may change before post time. This 5 year old horse has won her last three starts including the G1 Whitney. He has yet to face ESSENTIAL QUALITY and MEDINA SPIRIT so it should be a good test for him. ART COLLECTOR is another horse on a hot streak winning his last three. He had a rough finish to 2020 and start in 2021 but seems to be racing better as of late and enjoying the longer races. MEDINA SPIRIT comes into the Classic with two wins in his last two starts. He’s beaten most of the other horses in race and looks to be a serious contender. MEDINA SPIRIT also won the G1 Kentucky Derby this year but is still under review for doping allegations with Trainer Bob Baffert. MAX PLAYER rounds out the field and seems to enjoy the 1 1/4 Mile distance winning his last two starts at that length.
Picks:
WIN: 4 ESSENTIAL QUALITY
EXACTA BOX: 3, 4, 8
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
It’s week 9 in the NFL– make sure you check out @Snormsnorm on Twitter (he’s KILLING IT in NFL this year) and check out our Circa Picks on this site when we post them tomorrow. Of course, you should probably follow ME on Twitter, too. Let’s go!
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NBA 20/21 Season: 207-152 (58%)
NBA 21/22 Season: 30-21 (59%), +13.18 units
MLB Season: 231-199 (54%)
NFL Season: 57-54, +7.2 units
NFL Circa Picks: 26-13-1
Giants +3 (-110), 1.5 units: I hate counting on my Giants – if you listen to “Laying the Points with FarleyBets,” my weekly betting podcast, you’d know this. But this is a great spot for the Giants and not so much for the Raiders. The Raiders are a better team than the Giants– that much is true. They deserve to be favorites on the road. But no team in the NFL has endured as much controversy and media attention as Vegas this year. After Gruden was fired, the lifeless Chicago Bears came into “The Death Star” and handed the Raiders a bad loss at home. Now Derek Carr and his teammates, who have to feel at least partially attached to what tragically happened with Henry Ruggs this past week, head on the road to face a Giants team that kept pace with the Chiefs in Arrowhead on Monday Night Football. While New York has plenty to improve on, Daniel Jones has done a good job taking care of the ball and the G-Men’s pass defense has been very solid the last few weeks. Their secondary dropped 3 sure interceptions against KC, but they held Mahomes to a subpar passer rating and nearly won the game. Offensive Coordinator Jason Garrett, who I would still pay money to get fired, has at least upped the creativity in NYG’s play-calling, too. Jones has been scrambling more, getting outside the pocket, and throwing defenses off with his run/pass option plays. The Raiders, on the other hand, are in a lookahead spot– they’re coming off a bye but they have a hugely important game against the Chiefs next week at Allegiant Stadium. The Chiefs, even with all their struggles, are still right there in the AFC West race and could end up in the lead if they get past the Raiders next week. Vegas is in first place currently but the Chiefs face an Aaron-Rodgers-less Packers team at home in Week 9. Because of all the extenuating circumstances surrounding the Raiders, there’s just no way I can play on the black and silver this Sunday. Go Giants!
UFC
Week 9 is among us and I feel like I say it every week, but this one is genuinely the hardest one yet. However, I found a great spot to jump on late in the week before the line moves more. Here is my FREE PICK:
Current NFL Season Record: 77-41 (65%), +41.87 units
Sf -2 (-115) 1 unit:
We have a tough AZ @ SF match up that has a lot of unknowns in the injury department. Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are both Game-time Decisions, along with Wr AJ Green officially out. We saw last week that DeAndre Hopkin’s hamstring is an issue and I do not foresee the Cardinals pushing the envelope with his health. Especially when you are getting statements from your GM Steve Keim, “ The Cardinals need to consider the “Big Picture” with Kyler Murray.” The truth of the matter is the Cardinals are 7-1 and quite injured at key skill positions. It is a long season and as Steve Keim also said, they need to “be smart”. I am banking on these two players to be a no go Sunday and still looking to get great value on SF @ -2. Come kick-off I could see the line jump to 3 once Colt Mccoy officially gets the nod.
Now do not get me wrong it is not all rainbows on the San Francisco side of things. We have to keep an eye on Deebo Samuel’s calf and Elijah Mitchell ribs injuries. However, SF is getting back a key player in George Kittle and both Qbs are healthy for SF. Truth of the matter is San Francisco needs this win way more than the Cardinals. They know it may be just a little late for them to be able to realistically compete for the NFC West Division title, but they are every bit in the running for the third Wild Card spot. It boils down to this, it is a quarter back league and when you lose your guy on the road (that’s what’s trending, if not Kyler is still not 100%) it usually does not go well for you. Last week was an absolute anomaly with these back ups coming in and dominating. Big difference this week is there is more than enough film on Colt Mccoy and the Niners have a defensive front that can pressure and take care of him.
This is going to be an absolute battle I could see this game coming down to a field goal. I like the home team, I like a healthy Qb over a banged up one/back up one, and most of all I love getting in under that key number of 3. San Francisco 49ers -2.
Thanks for your support and good luck everyone!
UFC is Kiev O’Neil’s best sport! To get his premium and exotic plays Click Here!
Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler +175
About time Justin steps back into the ring against a contender. But is Michael Chandler a contender? Well, he certainly has had some hype at 35 years old and a nice 22-6 record but most of those fights were in the Bellator and not the higher class UFC. Chandler has great stand up and a decent ground game but he hasn’t wanted to go to the mat in a while for some reason. His UFC fights were against a very overrated Dan Hooker and the Champion Charles Olivera who might have got caught some by Chandler in the first round but instead survived and KO’d Chandler in the 2nd. The problem is that the Champion, Charles Olivera isn’t even the best fighter in this stacked lightweight class. I personally think that Justin Gaethje at 32 years old and 22-3 is better than the champion Charles Olivera and this fight might just prove it. Gaethje has amazing standup landing 7.46 significant strikes per minute to Michael Chandler’s 4.49. Chandler has the better ground game in general but as said before, he doesn’t use it anymore. I think Justin Gaethje wins this bout and I am going to lay the -205 up to -220.
Gaejthe -205 – 2 stars
Parlay Justin Gaejthe -205 with Kamaru Usman -320 at -102ish – 1 star – I like Colby Covington a lot but Usman has many outs in this fight. If he gets banged up he plays the control game against the cage.
Andreas Michailidis +205 – 1.5 star premium – This fight is just mispriced in the first place. Andreas is 13-4 going against a guy who is only 3-1 with no UFC experience. Fade the hype for the sake of the price.
Before you read this please take note that I am only an amateur horse player who only bets some of the larger races and has access to professionals and good information. The Breeders cup is at 10 furlong race where the best of the best compete and I have been involved with many races with many of these entrants over the last few years. In this race, the field is fierce and you could make a case for at least 7 out of 9 of these thoroughbreds. Off to Del Mar we go! So whenever there is a big race like this, you have to have a strategy. First we have to toss out the horses that we think have no chance in hitting the board and that is the 2 horse “Express Train” and the 9 horse “Max Player.” Neither of these ponies stepped up against big competition in my honest opinion. The next horse that I am throwing out is, believe it or not, the favorite horse going off at 5-2 in “Knicks Go.” This horse is very fast and could ruin my ticket but he also has never ran a race over 8 furlongs and has never faced the top contenders in this field. He also seemed to have peaked already. With my ticket headliner, I have the 4 horse “Essential Quality” going off at 3-1 who has been perfect in winning every race against the best competition except for the Kentucky Derby where he had a bad trip. EQ has rebounded well three times since then. My other price candidate is the 6 horse “Art Collector” who was a derby favorite earlier in the year but had to miss about 7 months of racing due to injury. This horse has shown well as of late, and moved his Beyers speed figures up to 107 in his last race. The 7 horse “Media Spirit” and the 3 horse “Hot Rod Charlie” are the other two 4-1 favorites which could ruin my ticket so I bought some exacta insurance on them. Here are my plays and best of luck today!
Ticket Total $146
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Superfecta
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[4, 6] – 2nd[3, 4, 6, 8] – 3rd[1, 3, 4, 6, 8] – 4th[1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9] | |
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108 bets @ $0.10
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Ticket total $10.8
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Trifecta
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[4] – 2nd[3, 4, 6, 8] – 3rd[1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9] | |
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15 bets @ $2
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Ticket total $30
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Trifecta
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[6] – 2nd[3, 4, 6, 8] – 3rd[1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9] | |
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15 bets @ $1.00
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Ticket total $15
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Exacta
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[4] – 2nd[1, 3, 6, 7] | |
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4 bets @ $4
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Ticket total $16
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Exacta
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[6] – 2nd[1, 3, 4, 7] | |
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4 bets @ $4
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Ticket total $16
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Exacta
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[2, 3, 8] – 2nd[4, 6] | |
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6 bets @ $2
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Ticket total $12
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Exacta Box
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[3, 8] | |
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2 bets @ $6
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Ticket total $12
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Exacta Box
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[4, 8] | |
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2 bets @ $6
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Ticket total $12
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Exacta
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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| 1st[8] – 2nd[1, 3, 4, 6] | |
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4 bets @ $3
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Ticket total $12
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Straight
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Del Mar, Nov 06, Race #12
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4
Essential Quality
1st
$#10
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1 bet
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Ticket total $10
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