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Breeders Cup Juvenile (Races 6 – 10) Preview & Picks- November 5th

The greatest weekend in Horse Racing has arrived! We start with Juvenile’s on Friday, and move to the 3 year old’s on Saturday. For Friday we have five graded stakes races starting in Race 6. Lets breakdown those races and find some winners!

 

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint

Race Information:

  • Track: Del Mar (Del Mar, CA)
  • Event Grade: Grade II
  • Race: 6
  • Post Time: 2:50 PM
  • Length: 5 Furlongs
  • Purse: $1,000,000
  • Division: Open | 2 Years Old
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / Daily Double Pick 5 (Races 6-7-8-9-10) / Super High 5

 

Field:

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER WGT M/L
1 Twilight Jet (IRE) L. Roche M. O’Callaghan 122 15-1
2 Kaufymaker J. Ortiz W. Ward 119 12-1
3 Go Bears Go (IRE) J. Velazquez D. Loughnane 122 15-1
4 Vertiginous (IRE) J. Castellano B. Meehan 119 20-1
5 Hierarchy (IRE) O. Murphy H. Palmer 122 12-1
6 Twilight Gleaming (IRE) I. Ortiz, Jr. W. Ward 119 4-1
7 Armor (GB) R. Moore R. Hannon 122 6-1
8 Averly Jane T. Gaffalione W. Ward 119 5-2
9 One Timer E. Baird L. Rivelli 122 4-1
10 Time to Party F. Prat P. Miller 122 15-1
11 Derrynane J. Rosario C. Clement 119 12-1
12 Run Curtis Run L. Saez M. Maker 122 20-1

 

Race Preview:

We start the weekend with a G2 Sprint that’s open for all 2 year old’s. When looking at this race I wouldn’t overthink it, it’s all about speed with this race going only 5 furlongs. The undefeated two year old filly AVERYLY JANE is the morning line favorite. She’s beaten the boys before on both surfaces and will keep Gaffalione aboard. Another morning line favorite, ONE TIMER is a gelding who’s also undefeated. ET Baird, a long time rider, will look to capture his first BC win. TWILIGHT GLEAMING and ARMOUR also look to be in great form and should contend here as well. Some live longshots in this race include TIME TO PARTY, who beat ONE TIMER in his last out, TWILIGHT JET who won a G3 his last out, and HIERARCHY who cuts back in distance to 5F. Another wildcard is KAUFYMAKER who ran second to ARMOUR his last out.

Pick:

WIN: 9 ONE TIMER 

This is the main competitor to AVERLY JANE in this race. Both horses are undefeated but ONE TIMER has better speeds at both 5F and 5 1/2 F. I think there’s some value here trying to beat the favorite in a sprint.

 

 

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

Race Information:

  • Track: Del Mar (Del Mar, CA)
  • Event Grade: Grade I
  • Race: 7
  • Post Time: 3:30 PM
  • Length: 1 1/16 Miles
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Division: Fillies | 2 Years Old
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Daily Double, Special DD (Fri. Race 7-Sat. Race 10) / Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)

 

Field:

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER WGT M/L
1 Desert Dawn R. Gonzalez P. D’Amato 122 20-1
2 Hidden Connection R. Gutierrez W. Calhoun 122 5-2
3 Sequist J. Alvarado D. Stewart 122 15-1
4 Tarabi J. Castellano C. DeVaux 122 12-1
5 Juju’s Map F. Geroux B. Cox 122 5-2
6 Echo Zulu J. Rosario S. Asmussen 122 4-5

 

Race Preview:

ECHO ZULU is the morning line favorite opening at 5-2 after going undefeated in his three starts. Joel Rosario will get the ride for the first time on this filly. In the two G1 Stakes he’s entered he’s won both but will increase in distance to a 1 1/16. JUJU’S MAP is the other morning line favorite who’s only loss comes back in her first race. Her last race was back in October at this distance where she won in the G1 Alcibiades Stakes. HIDDEN CONNECTION will take a step up in class after winning her first two starts. TARABI is another contender who lost her last out to ECHO ZULU in the G1 Spinaway Stakes.

Pick:

WIN: 6 ECHO ZULU

Hard not to bet this horse in this race given the limited field. While Rosario will get his first mount on this horse, I still think she’s a class above the competition.

 

 

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

Race Information:

  • Track: Del Mar (Del Mar, CA)
  • Event Grade: Grade I
  • Race: 8
  • Post Time: 4:10 PM
  • Length: 1 Mile
  • Purse: $1,000,000
  • Division: Fillies | 2 Years Old
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / Daily Double / Super High 5

 

Field:

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER WGT M/L
1 Pizza Bianca J. Ortiz C. Clement 122 5-1
2 Cairo Memories K. Desormeaux R. Hess, Jr. 122 12-1
3 Cachet (IRE) L. Saez G. Boughey 122 12-1
4 Turnerloose F. Geroux B. Cox 122 12-1
5 Bubble Rock I. Ortiz, Jr. B. Cox 122 8-1
6 Hello You (IRE) J. Velazquez D. Loughnane 122 10-1
7 Consumer Spending F. Prat C. Brown 122 8-1
8 Sail By J. Alvarado L. Gyarmati 122 20-1
9 Koala Princess J. Rosario A. Delacour 122 6-1
10 Helens Well (IRE) U. Rispoli P. D’Amato 122 30-1
11 Haughty T. Gaffalione C. Brown 122 10-1
12 Malavath (IRE) R. Moore F. – Henri Graffard 122 8-1
13 Mise En Scene (GB) O. Murphy J. Ferguson 122 6-1
14 California Angel R. Bejarano G. Leonard, III 122 8-1

 

Race Preview:

CAIRO MEMORIES, is undefeated in her first two starts and will run again at a distance she’s comfortable with. BUBBLE ROCK is fresh off a G3 win last month and will have one of the best jockeys aboard. TURNERLOOSE could win this, she has won at a Mile twice and was leading at the mile pole her last out only to run second to CALIFORNIA ANGEL. PIZZA BIANCA, lost in a G1 her last out but, looked impressive. Jose Ortiz will get the ride on this filly for the first time. CONSUMER SPENDING, a Chad Brown trained horse, is off a stakes win. KOALA PRINCESS is another undefeated filly but will lengthen out to a Mile here from her previous starts. HAUGHTY undefeated in her first two starts, will look to capture her first stakes win after an impressive win her last out. MALAVATH, ships in from overseas, after winning a G2 stakes in France. MISE EN SCENE another foreign horse, struggled with the additional distance her last race. CALIFORNIA ANGEL looked good her last start as she returned to the turf where she’s undefeated.

Pick:

WIN: 2 CAIRO MEMORIES, 11 HAUGHTY

Given the odds, I’ll place two win bets in this race. CIARO MEMORIES has looked impressive in her first two starts and seems to be getting better with each one. Same goes for HAUGHTY who will take a step up in class but looks like she’s capable of doing so.

 

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile 

Race Information:

  • Track: Del Mar (Del Mar, CA)
  • Event Grade: Grade I
  • Race: 9
  • Post Time: 4:50 PM
  • Length: 1 1/16 Miles
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Division: Colts & Geldings | 2 Years Old
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / DD, Special DD (Fri. Race 9-Sat. Race 12), Super High 5

 

Field:

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER WGT M/L
1 Jack Christopher J. Ortiz C. Brown 122 9-5
2 Jasper Great Y. Fukunaga H. Mori 122 15-1
3 Oviatt Class K. Desormeaux J. Desormeaux 122 20-1
4 Pappacap J. Bravo M. Casse 122 15-1
5 Double Thunder F. Prat T. Pletcher 122 20-1
6 American Sanctuary F. Geroux C. Davis 122 30-1
7 Giant Game J. Talamo D. Romans 122 30-1
8 Barossa J. Hernandez B. Baffert 122 10-1
9 Pinehurst J. Velazquez B. Baffert 122 8-1
10 Commandperformance I. Ortiz, Jr. T. Pletcher 122 5-1
11 Tough to Tame S. Doyle C. Davis 122 30-1
12 Corniche M. Smith B. Baffert 122 5-2

LATE SCRATCH: 1 JACK CHRISTOPHER (via @TheMichelleYu on Twitter)

Race Preview:

JACK CHRISTOPHER the undefeated two year old colt enters this race as the morning line favorite at 9-5. He won the G1 Champagne Stakes his last out defeating COMMANDPERFORMANCE. JASPER GREAT won his only start in Japan but not much else is known about this horse. CORNICHE is also undefeated in his two starts. He won the G1 American Pharaoh his last out defeating PAPPACAP and OVIATT CLASS. PINEHURST is also undefeated and off a G1 win in the Del Mar Futurity.

Pick:

WIN: 10 COMMANDPERFORMANCE

SECOND CHOICE: 9 PINEHURST

I like this jockey change back to Irad Ortiz Jr here on this Pletcher trained horse. I think if he’s given a better ride he has a shot to get revenge against JACK CHRISTOPHER here. My second choice would be PINEHURST in this race who’s also getting a jockey change. This Baffert trained horse already has a G1 win under his belt and has a shot of capturing his second in this race.

 

 

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

Race Information:

  • Track: Del Mar (Del Mar, CA)
  • Event Grade: Grade I
  • Race: 10
  • Post Time: 5:30 PM
  • Length: 1 Mile
  • Purse: $1,000,000
  • Division: Colts & Geldings | 2 Years Old
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta, Special DD (Fri. Race 10-Sat. Race 11), Super High 5

 

Field:

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER WGT M/L
1 Modern Games (IRE) W. Buick C. Appleby 122 5-1
2 Albahr (GB) L. Dettori C. Appleby 122 6-1
3 Dakota Gold L. Saez D. Gargan 122 8-1
4 Tiz the Bomb B. Hernandez, Jr. K. McPeek 122 8-1
5 Slipstream J. Rosario C. Clement 122 12-1
6 Mackinnon J. Hernandez D. O’Neill 122 8-1
7 Great Max (IRE) J. Velazquez M. Bell 122 20-1
8 Glounthaune (IRE) R. Moore A. O’Brien 122 12-1
9 Stolen Base U. Rispoli M. Maker 122 20-1
10 Portfolio Company F. Prat C. Brown 122 6-1
11 Grafton Street T. Gaffalione M. Casse 122 15-1
12 Credibility M. Smith M. Casse 122 30-1
13 Coinage F. Geroux M. Casse 122 15-1
14 Dubawi Legend (IRE) J. Doyle H. Palmer 122 4-1

 

Race Preview:

MODERN GAMES gets shipped in from the UK for this race after back to back wins. ALBAHR is fresh off a win in the G1 Summer Stakes defeating GRAFTON STREET. DAKOTA GOLD is undefeated in his two starts. His most notable win was his last trip in the Nownownow Stakes. TIZ THE BOMB has won three of his four starts including the G2 Bourbon Stakes his last start. SLIPSTREAM increases in distance this race after winning the G3 Futurity Stakes at 6 F. MACKINNON has won his last three starts at a Mile including two stakes races. PORTFOLIO COMPANY has two 2nd place finishes his last starts in the G2 Pilgrim Stakes and G3 With Anticipation Stakes. DUBAWI LEGEND is another horse that gets shipped in but will increase in distance from his normal 7 F.

Pick:

WIN: 2 ALBAHR 

At 6-1, I like this gelding a lot. He’s won his last four including a comparable race his last out. Dettori will also stay on the mount with a horse he’s won twice on in the past.

 

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

NHL Preview & Picks – November 4, 2021

The Jack Eichel saga has finally reached it’s conclusion in Buffalo. Eichel was traded to the Vegas Golden Knights earlier today who, desperately need some offensive production. The Sabres in return got Alex Tuch who is a Western New York native and Peyton Krebs who played with Dylan Cozens on Canada’s world junior squad. The deal also includes some draft picks but overall it was a fairly even trade.

Moving onto tonight, we 9 games that feature a few major matchups. The 5-1-3 Washington Capitals will travel to Florida to take on the 8-0-1 Panthers. We have an in-state rivalry game between the Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins. Other interesting matchups include Tampa Bay vs Toronto and St. Louis vs San Jose.

 

New York Islanders @ Montreal Canadiens

Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
New York Islanders -140 -135 -1.5 (+180) o5.5 (+120)
Montreal Canadiens +120 +115 +1.5 (-220) u5.5 (-140)

 

The New York Islanders have gotten off to a slow start this season with just a 3-2-2 record after making the Eastern Conference finals last year. The biggest issue for the Islanders has been their lack of offensive production. They currently rank T24th in GPG averaging just 2.43. Josh Bailey leads the team with just 5 points while Barzal, Beauvillier, Nelson, and Wahlstrom trail him with 4.

Despite their lack of offense, New York’s defense has been solid to start the season. They’re giving up an average of 2.43 goals per game which is 6th in the league. Ilya Sorokin, who is expected to start tonight, has also been good this year with a +4.0 GSAx.

The Canadians have also struggled to find the back of the net averaging just 2.0 goals per game which ranks 30th. This could be partly due to their lack of shots on goals, averaging just 28.3 per game. They rank in the bottom three of nearly every offensive category (GPG, SOG, PP %, Shooting %).

To make matters worse for them, they have also struggled defensively. They’re giving up 3.09 goals per game and allowing the 11th most shots against. Jake Allen has been confirmed the starter for tonight. He comes into this game with a 3-6 record, 2.58 GAA, .914 SV%, and a +2.6 GSAx. Individually he has played well but, hasn’t received any help.

 

PICK: NEW YORK ISLANDERS (-135), UNDER 5.5 (-140)

This game sets up for the Islanders to try and correct their offensive woes. They face a Montreal team that has looked out of sorts all season without Carey Price. To make matters worse they are missing their second leading scorer in Johnathan Drouin. The Islanders are currently on a 13-game road trip and have played just once in the last 10 days. They may come out slow but, are well rested and have no injuries.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

NBA Play- BOS at MIA

The Miami Heat are one of the NBA’s hottest teams, but so far today we’re seeing money coming in on Boston, driving the line down form it’s -8 open to to -6.5. That’ll keep me off the full game but when I look at these two teams’ records in the 1H so far, Miami is 3rd best at 5-1 and while Boston sits at just 3-5. The Heat are averaging 60.7 1H PPG to the Celtics’ 54.5. The 1H total is set right at 104.5 so I’ll look to the 1H -3.5 instead where the numbers still favor Miami. I love backing teams that play defense in the NBA, because even if they have an off shooting night they should be able to hang.

No doubt Boston will get up for this game, but we know they’re having some chemistry issues. Boston’s most glaring issue to me hasn’t been their lack of sharing the ball, but it has been their lack of a big man thanks to former GM Danny Ainge’s prioritization of Guard play. C Robert Williams has played well for the Celtics but Bam has a clear edge inside. It’s worth an action play for this bettor to take the Heat 1H minus the points, unless news comes out that Bam is not playing, which I’m not seeing.

MIA 1H -3.5 (-117) 1.17u

 

NFL Week 9 Thursday Night Football Prop Play

We are 11-5 in TikTok Props!

@theoddsbreakers

11-5 in TikTok Prop Plays #Freeplays #Sportsbetting #thursdaynightfootball

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Rob Vinciletti: Thursday College Football Power System Play

Thursday card has a 24-1 NBA Power Indicator Side and a Thursday night Specific NFL System that is Undefeated, there is also a Top Europa League Soccer play. College Comp Play below.
 
The College Football Comp Play is on Georgia St plus the 12 points at 7:30 eastern. This game applies to a solid 78% system for Thursday night College road dogs off a road favored win and a previous home favored win. Georgia St has covered the last 6 off a win and the dog has cashed 3 of the last 4 in the Series. UL.Lafayette has failed to cover the last 6 off a win, 5 of 6 after scoring 40 or more points and 7 of 8 off a spread win. State has Home loss revenge for a close 34-31 loss last year and they have covered the last 5 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Look for The Cajuns to win but not cover the 12 point spread. Tonight we have a Perfect Thursday night Specific NFL System Top play, an Afternoon Soccer Top play in Europa League and a 24-1 NBA Power Play. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on and cash out. For the College Football Comp play. Take the points with Georgia St. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

NFL Week 9 and 11.4 Premiums

 

Welp, yesterday SUCKED. Not sure what happened in the cosmos for us to experience THAT level of regression but, onto the next!

NBA (11.4):
  • Jazz ML ***
  • Celtics TT under 104.5 **
NFL Week 9:
  • Jets/Colts under 46 **
  • Texans/Dolphins under 45.5 *
  • Ravens -6 **
  • Falcons +6 **
  • Bengals -1 *
  • Giants +3 **
  • Chargers -2 **
  • Titans +8 ***
  • Steelers -6.5 **
  • Bears TT under 16.5 **
Teaser of the Week (6 pts): Ravens/Steelers win ***

Podcast 76 – 21 – With ESPN’s David Bearman – NFL Week 9 and College Football Week 10 Info and Plays – Sharp Line Movements – UFC 268 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have such a great show for you today that it’s frightening!   ESPN’s deputy editor of sports betting Mr. David Bearman @DBearmanESPN is back to break down some NFL!  First, talks about some crazy news this week in the NFL and how shocking is has been to us all.  Next, David comes on to break down the full slate of NFL games from an ATS perspective with some information, leans and FREE PLAYS.  Then, Kiev give’s out his REFUSE TO LOSE teaser that is now 5-3 so far for the NFL 2021 season even after he had to switch it due to line movement (both would have hit anyways).   After that, Kiev goes into some college football picks for the weekend as well as some UFC 268 with plays on the main card.   Finally, Kiev gets into some sharp line movements to close out the show!

NFL:  Denver vs Dallas – Green Bay vs Kansas City and more!

NCAA: Wisconsin vs Rutgers – Auburn vs Texas A&M and more!

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

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#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves!  Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.

NFL Week 9 Motivational Spots

Potential Let Down Spots:

  • Green Bay at Kansas City after beating the Cardinals when they shouldn’t have.
  • The NY Jets at Indianapolis after beating Cincinnati.
  • New England at Carolina after beating the Chargers is possible.
  • The Titans at LA Rams after going overtime with the Colts and won.

Rest Spots:

  • Baltimore hosting the Vikings after the bye.
  • Las Vegas at the Giants after the bye.
  • Arizona at San Francisco from Thursday.
  • Green Bay at Kansas City form Thursday.
  • Giants on short week vs Las Vegas from Monday.
  • Kansas City on a short week hosting the Packers Monday.

Get Up Spots:

  • Colts hosting the Jets is one.
  • Browns better show up at Cincinnati.
  • Chargers at Eagles after 2 losses in a row.
  • The Dolphins hosting the Texans need to do something.

Potential Look Ahead Spots:

  • None

NFL Week 8 Misleading Final Scores

  • The LA Chargers out-gained New England 369 to 352 yet lost 27-24.  A 2-1 turnover ratio got them.
  • Jacksonville out-gained Seattle 309 to 229 yet lost 31-7.   A 1-0 turnover ratio, bad 3rd and 4th down efficiency and penalties killed the Jags.
  • Washington out-gained Denver 230 to 190 yet lost 17-10.  A 2-1 turnover ratio hurt and also bad 3rd and 4th down efficiency.
  • Tampa out-gained New Orleans 421 to 361 yet lost 36-27.  A 3-0 turnover ratio did them in.