We have been 10-10 +3 units in our plus money props for the MLB Playoffs. I have 2 more for you for tonight’s ALCS below. We are 16-6 (73%) last 22 plays overall, are 5-1 in the Postseason and finished the MLB regular season 196-169 (54%) and up 122 units. I have a NLCS Premium play available and also have a Promotional Subscription (Buy 1 week, get 3 FREE) available at a huge discount atSPORTS PICK HUB ! Also, get my monthly all access pass HERE at The Odds Breakers.
Enrique “Kike” Hernandez has been hitting .500 with 18 hits including 4 doubles and 5 homeruns and owns a .418 wOBA with 2 homeruns against Greinke in 13 at bats. Take over 1.5 total bases +110
JD Martinez has been hitting .423 with 11 hits including 2 doubles and 3 homeruns and owns a .386 wOBa and 2 homeruns in 18 at bats agasint Greinke. Take over 1.5 total bases +115
Bye Weeks: Buffalo Bills, Dallas Cowboys, Jacksonville Jaguars*, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, Pittsburgh Steelers
Key Injuries:
RB Kareem Hunt – Calf Injury out 3 weeks.
QB Baker Mayfield – Shoulder dislocation and questionable.
WR Kadarius Tony – Ankle Injury.
RB Latavius Murray – Ankle Injury.
WR Parris Campbell – Foot injury 3 weeks
WR TY Hilton – Quad injury.
TE Dawson Knox – Finger injury
Waiver Wire:
RB Devonte Freeman – For the Murray injury.
QB Tua Tagovailoa – Waver move.
RB Laveon Bell – For the Murray injury.
WR Dante Pettis – For the Kadarius Tony injury.
TE Pat Freiermuth – Had a good game for the Steelers.
WR Zack Pascal – for the Colts WR injuries.
WR Darnell Mooney – Fields favorite target.
RB Demetric Felton if Chubb can’t make it back.
RB Alex Collins Seahawks for Carson Injury.
RB Rashard Penny for Potential Collins Injury.
RB D’Ernest Johnson for Hunt injury.
Non-Starters Trending up:
RB D’Ernest Johnson will get carries even if Chubb is in.
RB James Connor will have a field day vs the Texans.
RB Chuba Hubbard vs the Giants run D.
QB Tua Tagovailoa with a good matchup.
WR Randall Cobb vs Washington’s horrible pass D.
WR Calvin Ridley vs Miami’s piss poor pass D.
WR Michael Pittman vs the 49ers cause everyone is injured.
TE CJ Uzomah vs the Ravens who give up a ton of points to tight ends.
TE Anthony Firkser vs the Chiefs will have a day.
WR Deonte Harris vs Seattles poor Pass D.
QB Jameis Winston vs Seattle’s bad D.
Busts:
RB Kahlil Herbert vs Tampa’s rush D.
RB Alex Collins and Anyone from Seattle playing the Saints with Geno throwing the ball.
RB Melvin Gordon vs Cleveland’s rush D who should be pissed off.
WR Terry McLauren vs the Packers could be in trouble.
TE Mark Andrews could struggle some vs the Bengals D ranking 5th vs Tight ends.
Nasty Sleeper:
WR Calvin Ridley vs Miami’s poor Defense. Atlanta is coming off the Bye and should do something. If not him,TE CJ Uzomah vs the Ravens who give up a ton of points to tight ends.
*Manchester United vs Atalanta – BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals (-130)
I feel like at this point every single BTTS and over 2.5 goals bet involving Manchester United will hit. They look VERY weak defensively and will be missing some key defensive players as well. No doubt that they will concede. But Atalanta aren’t great defensively either, 7/10 games have had both teams score and all of them have been over 2.5 goals. Manchester United on the other hand are around the same, and both Champions League games so far have both finished 2-1. There will be goals in this game and with Manchester United eager for a win, they will be looking to put a bunch past Atalanta tomorrow. I predict a 3-1 United win. (-130)
*Draw or Villarreal & Under 3.5 Goals vs Young Boys (+100)
Big game for both sides and I expect it to start off cagey and low-scoring. Villarreal are without a win in the first two games and will need something out of this one to make it out of this group. Both teams are low-scoring types in European competition. Young boys have been known to give bigger teams tight/cagey affairs and keep games very close. Expect Villarreal to take something from this, but Young Boys are no slouch. (+100)
2 Unit Play – *Chelsea to WIN and Under 3.5 Goals vs Malmo (+100)
Chelsea are such a good team that picking under 3.5 against Malmo seems wrong. But Chelsea deploys a system that is very defensive, no matter who they play. Malmo won’t score in this one and will be defending at all costs to try and keep Chelsea out. The blues haven’t scored more than three goals all season and have only had one game over three goals. Considering Chelsea hasn’t scored over three all season and it’s unlikely that Malmo score, this pick has great value at double your money. (+100)
The Bucks took down the Nets in the Eastern Conference Semi’s last year in one of the better series of the postseason that went the full 7 games. If you’ll remember, Brooklyn jumped out to a commanding 2-0 lead before Giannis and the Bucks came storming back and didn’t stop until they had won the NBA Finals. With a short offseason after last year’s scheduling issues, though, I think the hangover effect for the Bucks could be greater than it has been for previous NBA champions. A lot has been made of Kyrie Irving’s absence from the Nets, but you have to remember that the Nets were forced to play without one and sometimes two of their main three players for virtually all of last season. The Bucks are still in celebration mode and are thinking about their Finals run(there will be a ring ceremony in Milwaukee tonight), while the Nets have the perfect opportunity to avenge the postseason loss and quiet the outside noise regarding the Kyrie Irving situation. Another key factor in this game is that the Bucks no longer have PJ Tucker to lock down the opposing scoring threats and are still working through some depth issues early in this season. I’ll take the 1.5 points with Brooklyn with the full expectation they’ll win this game outright.
The Red Sox came out in Game 3 of this series and put an absolute whooping on the Astros, eventually winning 12-3. The Astros understand the nature of the postseason better than anybody; this is their 6th postseason appearance in the last 7 years, and they’ve managed to make 2 World Series appearances in that span. They’ve been let down mightily by their starting pitching youth so far in the series, but they’ll turn to a seasoned vet in Zack Greinke to take the hill tonight. Greinke is well past his prime and didn’t have an overly great season, but he is experienced in this role and was brought over to Houston to win these types of games. In my mind, he has a clear advantage over Red Sox SP Nick Pivetta, who is competing in his first ever postseason and was generally unreliable for the Red Sox this season(4.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 2.1 HR/9 at Fenway). The Red Sox bullpen has been a strength for them this postseason, but I think that’s bound to reverse course; Boston’s bullpen garnered a 1.39 WHIP during the regular season, good for just 23rd in all of baseball. We are getting incredible value on the Astros tonight who find themselves in a familiar backs-against-the-wall situation. Give me Houston to even up this series.
The NHL Playoff Knockout revenge play is on Florida at 7:10 eastern The Panthers have started fast with a pair of home wins and now will have this one circled in red after a tough 4-2 series loss to Tampa. The Lightning have won the last 2 after losing the home opener to The Penguins but have not looked that great escaping with a pair of 1 goal wins. The Panthers are 5-0 vs a team that allowed 32 or less last out. Look for Florida to win this one. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
We have a great show for you today! D-Nasty is back for some fantasy football while Kiev O’Neil does what he does! First, Kiev O’Neil recaps College Football Week 7 and NFL week 6 with some upsets and some great performances. Then, he gets into some misleading final scores in both sports and some motivational spots for College Football week 8 and NFL Week 7. Next, Kiev gives out a College Football FREE PLAY for week 8! Then, Dave comes on and the guys talk some Fantasy Football. We talk about key injuries and waiver wire analysis. Non-starters trending up and players that could bust. Finally, Kiev and Dave gives out their nasty sleeper of the week that could help you win your matchup or DFS! Should you have any questions for us or would like us to break down a game, please feel free to tweet us @TheOddsBreakers
Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.
If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds21 for 10% off the price!
If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves! Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev. We are giving away a FREE THE ODDSBREAKERS T-shirt with all signups. You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.
Tuesday is opening night in the NBA and we only have fond memories of last season, where we went 207-152 (58%) overall. That’ll be tough to repeat again but trust that we’ll be as locked in and eager as ever to have another exceptional year. Two big games spotlight the first primetime slate of NBA action– here are my picks:
For my premium picks delivered to your inbox EVERY DAY, click here!
NBA 20/21 Season: 207-152 (58%)
MLB Season: 229-199 (54%)
NFL Season: 45-40 (53%), +20 units
Nets/Bucks under 237.5 (-110), 2 units: It’s no mistake that the association’s “powers that be” have this game scheduled as the opening contest of the 2021-2022 NBA season. The Bucks are the returning champions, and they’ll be crowned as such on Tuesday night, while the Brooklyn Nets stand as the favorites to win the Eastern Conference. Superstars Kevin Durant and James Harden return with big hopes; Kyrie Irving will not. The controversial point guard has chosen his own prerogatives ahead of his team and I can’t say I’m a fan. Either way, Brooklyn moves on with plenty to still be confident about. Joe Harris, LeMarcus Aldridge, Paul Millsap, and Patty Mills (I smell a 6th man of the year award…) join Durant and Harden on a restocked and loaded roster. The Bucks will have their hands full with this new-look Nets team, but the Bucks have no lack of swagger heading into this season. Containing mostly the same exact players as last year, Milwaukee had a full offseason to build even more team camaraderie and chemistry. I like that for the Bucks this season and in this game, but we have a play on the total instead.
For starters, the total is just a huge number, so that had me leaning to the under from the onset. Although regular season games tend to be higher scoring than games we watch in the postseason (for obvious reasons), I think this game will have a very “playoff” feel. Milwaukee must have a chip on their shoulder coming into this game, if not solely because of how little media attention they’re getting heading into it. Not only that, but somehow the champs are the underdogs, at home. The Nets might have an even bigger chip. All the media attention is great but much of it is scrutiny surrounding Kyrie Irving and his antics. Not to mention the fact that this is the same Bucks team that knocked off Brooklyn last season in the Eastern Semifinals. I mention all this to say that it’s hard to imagine tensions NOT being high in this matchup. Tensions, nerves, playoff-feel: that feels like a hard-fought battle in the trenches of the paint and that feels like an under to me.
The brilliance of Giannis Antetokounmpo wasn’t the only thing that led to the Bucks’ winning an NBA Title. Milwaukee flexed tremendous defensive effort throughout the postseason. Against the Hawks they never allowed Atlanta to score more than 116 points. Against the Suns in the Finals, they only allowed Phoenix to score 109.3 ppg. And against the Nets in the Semis, the only permitted 104.7 ppg, and that was with a game 7 that went into overtime! The under is 9-3-1 in Bucks last 13 home games and 6-1-1 in Nets last 8 games overall. Take it and don’t look back!
MLB
ALCS Game 3
Astros at Red Sox 8:08 pm
(Urquidy vs Rodriguez)
Pick: Houston Over 4.5 Runs (+100) MGM ½ unit
Seeing an angle to take Houston to score some runs. I don’t like doing Over 4.5 so only ½ unit
Rodriguez allowed 6 runs in each of his 2 starts vs Astros this season.
Rodriguez has allowed 5 or more runs in 4 of his last 5 starts vs Astros
Rodriguez has allowed 5 or more runs in his last 3 starts at Fenway vs Astros
Houston batting .304 vs LHP last 10 games
Houston scored 5 or more runs in all 3 games at Fenway this season
Houston has scored 5 or more runs in 9 straight
Wind blowing toward that short porch in RF across field at 10.3 mph
