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Podcast 70– 21 – With Raphael Esparza and Carson Brady – NFL Week 6 and College Football Week 7 Info and Plays – Sharp Line Movements – UFC on ESPN– Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have a HUGE show for you today!   Raphael Esparza @VSIDocSports and Mybookie.ag comes on to break down a huge college and NFL slate of football games!   First, we  have another very special guest in Carson Brady @SportsWageringU to discuss a NEW valuable school for people who want to break into the sports betting industry to learn all of the ins and outs of sports investing as well as the industry as a whole!   This will be a very valuable tool for beginners all the way past intermediate sports bettors to sharpen their skills for an anticipated larger ROI.  Next, Raphael comes on and the guys jump right into some of his hot prop bets going on right now as well as some early Super Bowl props for 2022.   Kiev even has a prop suggestion for the Super Bowl that might make the card over at MyBookie.ag.   Then, Raphael and Kiev get right into some HUGE college football games with some FREE plays.  After that, the guys discuss the FULL slate of NFL games with some more FREE PICKS for NFL week 6.  Then, Kiev gives out his REFUSE TO LOSE teaser that is only 2-3 so far.   Next, Kiev talks about sharp money for the games this weekend.  Finally, Kiev gives out a free UFC on ESPN play for Saturday night!

1:45 – 21:48 Carson Brady for Sports Wagering University
21:50 – 1:35:00 College and NFL Football with Raphael Esparza and Kiev O’Neil
1:35:00 – 1:39:00 Refuse to lose teaser
1:39:00 – 1:41:10 The Sharp Side of the Force
1:41:10 – 1:46:10 UFC Fight Night

NFL:  New England vs Dallas – Green Bay vs Chicago and more!

NCAA: Auburn vs Arkansas – Clemson vs Syracuse and more!

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

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#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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Laying the Points with FarleyBets – NFL Week 6 ATS Breakdown

Joey Bosa chasing after Lamar.

 

Another week, another NFL ATS breakdown! Steve and I have been on fire so far this NFL season, so just look at the numbers:

FarleyBets: +17 units
BohBohBets: +30 units

Check out our NFL Week 6 ATS Breakdown and get fully prepped for your betting weekend!

For my premium picks delivered to your inbox EVERY DAY, click here!
NBA Season Record: 207-152 (58%)
MLB Season Record: 228-198 (54%)
NFL Season Record: 38-33 (55%), +17 units

Rob Vinciletti: Thursday 100% NHL Power Angle Play + Football info

Thursday night NFL Game of the Month headlines along with a rare 6* MLB Perfect System totals play and a College Football Platinum Supreme Totals play. NHL Comp play below

The NHL Comp play is on the Florida Panthers at 7:05 eastern. Florida has won 10 straight as a home favorite and were last seen here losing in 6 to Tampa Bay in the playoffs. Pittsburgh won their opener on Tuesday with a 6-2 win over Tampa in a game that was close late until the Lightning pulled their goalie and allowed a few empty net goals. The Penguins have dropped 3 of 4 here and the host team has won 13 of 18 and the favorite 9 of 12 in  the series. Look for the Panthers to take down the Penguins tonight. On Thursday a Powerful car is up with a 6* MLB perfect System total, the NFL Thursday night Game of the Month and a Platinum Supreme College Football totals play. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on and cash out. For the NHL Comp play. Go with Florida. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

NFL Week 6 Motivational Spots

Potential Let Down Spots:

  • Eagles could let down some vs Tampa after beating Carolina.
  • Buffalo at Tennessee after beating Kansas City but it’s also a revenge spot from last year.

Rest Spots:

  • Seattle long rest vs Pittsburgh.  They need it.
  • LA Rams long rest vs the NY Giants.
  • Baltimore Short rest vs the Chargers.
  • Colts short rest vs the Texans.

Get Up Spots:

  • Carolina better get up vs Minnesota after losing 2 in a row.
  • Cleveland better bet get up vs Arizona after losing at the end to the Chargers.

Potential Look Ahead Spots:

None

WNBA Bet- CHI at PHX

Money has come in on Phoenix in tonight’s Game 2 of the Finals, moving the Mercury from -4 to -4.5. Expected as both the Chicago Sky and Phoenix have split games in their home stands in Game 1 and 2 in their last series. Chicago has been playing very well so far in the postseason, getting everyone involved with eight players in the rotation getting double digit minutes. Phoenix has been running slightly thinner, as expected, with only 7 players in the rotation. As we are getting deeper into this postseason, the wear showed in Game 1on the Mercury side with a slightly older roster.

For the first game of this series, I was on the Sky because of their momentum coming into Phoenix who lately has done better on the road. The weird pregame presentation of the GOAT award to the Mercury’s Taurasi only motivated the Sky to handle that game easily. Although I think Phoenix has the will and capability to prevent a 0-2 deficit in this series I don’t expect Chicago to let this one come easy. Taurasi also has recently welcomed a newborn to her family so perhaps could be a distraction. It’s an angle that usually we take on the first game back, but I’ll still take the extra 1/2 point in this one and like the Sky to keep it close.

CHI +4.5 (-110) 1.1u

NFL Week 5 Misleading Finals Scores

  • Las Vegas out-gained Chicago 259 to 252 yet lost 20-9.  A 2-1 turnover ratio hurt.
  • Washingon out-gained New Olreans 373 to 369 yet lost 33-22.  Bad red zone efficiency hurt them.
  • Houston out-gained New England 360 to 352 yet lost 25-22.  They also won the turnover battle 1-2 but blew the game at the end.
  • Cleveland out-gained LA Chargers 531 to 493 yet lost 47-42.   They also won the turnover ratio 1-0 but bad defense against the pass killed them.
  • Jacksonville out-gained Tennessee 454 to 368 yet lost 37-19.  A 2-0 turnover ratio and bad everything hurt them.
  • San Francisco out-gained Arizona 338 to 304 yet lost 17-10.  Equal turnovers but bad 3rd down efficiency hurt them.

College Football Week 6 Misleading Final Scores

  • FIU out-gained Charlotte 538 to 378 yet lost 45-33.  A 1-0 turnover ratio hurt and some of that was garbage yards.
  • Arkansas out-gained Ole Miss 676 to 611 yet lost 52-51.   A 2-0 turnover ratio hurt.
  • Duke out-gained Georgia Tech 489 to 440 yet lost 31-27.  They also won the turnover battle 1-2 but bad field position and efficiency hurt them.
  • North Carolina out-gained Florida State 432 to 383 yet lost 35-25.  A 1-0 turnover ratio and 12 penalties killed them.
  • Syracuse out-gained Wake Forest 514 to 426 yet lost 40-37 in overtime.  Equal turnovers and just bad field position hurt them.
  • Miami OH out-gained Eastern Michigan 385 to 257 yet lost 13-12.   Equal turnovers and bad red zone efficiency hurt them.
  • Western Michigan out-gained Ball State 376 to 375 yet lost 45-20 as a 12.5 point favorite.   A 4-0 turnover ratio did it.
  • BYU out-gained Boise State 413 to 312 yet lost 26-17.  A 4-0 turnover ratio did them in.
  • Texas Tech out-gained TCU 558 to 498 yet lost 52-31.  A horrible rush defense and bad red zone efficiency on both sides of the ball got em.
  • Western Kentucky out-gained UTSA 670 to 564 yet lost 52-46.  Penalties and field position got them.   Equal 2-2 turnovers.
  • Alabama out-gained Texas A&M 522-379 yet lost 41-38.  A 2-1 turnover ratio and bad 3rd down efficiency got them.   HUGE.
  • Memphis out-gained Tulsa 614 to 417 yet lost 35 – 29.  A 3-0 turnover ratio and a crazy 4th quarter did it.  30 pt 4th quarter killed my under by 2 points.  Shame

College Football Week 7 Motivational Spots

Potential Let Down Spots:

  • Texas A&M at Missouri is one for sure after beating Alabama
  • Iowa hosting Purdue is somewhat a let down spot after beating Penn State but it’s also a revenge spot for Iowa from last years loss.
  • Boise State hosting Air Force after beating BYU is one.
  • Akron at Miami OH after beating Bowling Green is a potential let down spot.
  • Kent State at Western Michigan after beating Buffalo is a potential let down spot.
  • Oklahoma hosting TCU after that crazy Texas game is one.
  • Northern Illinois hosting Bowling Green after beating Toledo outright.

Get Up Spots:

  • Western Michigan hosting Kent State.  Also bet the over.
  • Oregon hosting Cal after the bye.
  • Indiana hosting Michigan State after the bye.
  • Alabama at Mississippi State should be angry.
  • BYU at Baylor is a get up spot.
  • Cincinnati has to keep blowing teams out hosting UCF.
  • LSU hosting Florida to save face.

Potential Look Ahead Spots:

  • Tennessee looking past Ole Miss to Alabama is possible.

CJ Cup @ Summit – Preview & Picks

The CJ Cup will take place in the United States for a second year in a row due to travel restrictions posed by COVID-19. This first three editions of this event took place at Nine Bridges Golf Club on Jeju Island, South Korea. For this weeks tournament, we have a limited field and a no cut event. This tournament is definitely the best field we’ll get in the nine-tournament PGA Tour schedule this fall. Let’s breakdown the CJ Cup and find some winners.

 

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: October 14, 2021- October 17, 2021
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Course: The Summit Golf Club
  • Par: 72 (4x 3’s / 10x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,431 yards
  • Format: 72 hole stroke play
  • Field/ Cut: 78 Players | No cut
  • Greens: Dominator bentgrass .090”
  • Fairways: Tifway II bermudagrass overseeded with perennial ryegrass .450”
  • Rough: Tifway II bermudagrass overseeded with perennial ryegrass 3”
  • Purse: $9,750,000 / Winner $1.755 Million
  • Fedex Cup Points: 500
  • Avg. Green Size: 6,580 sq. ft
  • Water Hazards: : 4 (In-Play on 7 Holes)
  • Bunkers: 62

 

Course History:

The Summit Club in Las Vegas, Nevada is a new venue on the PGA Tour so we don’t know much about it. This is one of the most elite courses in the Las Vegas area, which opened up in 2017. From the pictures, the course looks to be in immaculate conditions and an exciting tournament for the top players in the game to take part of. Since we don’t know much about the course, we’ll rely on a lot of Tom Fazio designed courses for reference.

 

Course Guide:

This Summit Club is a desert style course, with lush fairways and rough and a desert outline. The fairways on the course are larger than PGA average which will allow players to have some forgiveness off the tee, which means driving accuracy will be less of a factor to consider. The course also features driveable Par 4’s (#1, #5, #12) and gives the long drivers some birdie opportunities. Several Par 5’s are also reachable in 2 which will again provide some chances for eagle. There’s also only one Par 3 that is over 200 yards so players should be able to attack those pins as well. Even though the course is listed at 7,400+ yards, the elevation changes and air pressure shorten this course. As seen by previous winners, a low score will be required to win.

 

Course Architect/ Comparable Courses:

  • Course Architect: Tom Fazio (2007)
  • Comparable Courses:
    • Shadow Creek
    • TPC Summerlin
    • Congaree GC
    • Quail Hollow
    • PGA West Stadium Course

 

TV Information:

  • Round 1: Thursday, October 14, 2021
    • Golf Channel* – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM ET
  • Round 2: Friday, October 15, 2021
    • Golf Channel* – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM ET
  • Round 3: Saturday, October 16, 2021
    • Golf Channel* – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM ET
  • Round 4: Sunday, October 17, 2021
    • Golf Channel* – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM ET

 

Weather:

  • Thursday: Sunny 62 F, 7 mp/h NNE, 22% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain
  • Friday: Sunny 62 F, 10 mp/h NE, 20% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain
  • Saturday: Sunny 65 F, 6 mp/h NE, 19% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain
  • Sunday: Partly Cloudy 67 F,6 mp/h ENE, 20% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain

 

Key Statistics:

  • Strokes Gained: Total
  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Stokes Gaines: Putting (Bentgrass)
  • Opportunities Gained
  • Birdie or Better Percentage

 

Previous Winners Scores & Prices:

  • 2020 @ Shadow Creek: Jason Kokrak (-20)
    • Price: 100-1
  • 2019 @ Nine Bridges: Justin Thomas (-20)
    • Price: 15-2
  • 2018 @ Nine Bridges: Brooks Koepka (-21)
    • Price: 10-1
  • 2017 @ Nine Bridges: Justin Thomas (-9)
    • Price: 8-1

 

Picks (Outright):

  • Xander Schauffele (+1400)- BetMGM
    • Risk 0.58 to win 8.12 Units
  • Collin Morikawa (+1600)- Draftkings
    • Risk 0.50 to win 8.00 Units

Total Risk on Outrights: 1.08 Units

 

Picks (Top 10):

  • Viktor Hovland (+240)- Draftkings
    • Risk 0.50 to win 1.20 Units

Total Risk on Top 10: 0.50 Units

 

Total Risk on CJ Cup: 1.58 Units

 

For these early tournaments, I wont have to many plays and will try to keep the unit stake small. It’s a long season so you don’t want to risk your whole bankroll early.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

MLB Free Pick: Giants at Dodgers – October 12, 2021

Giants' pitcher Anthony Desclafani on the mound.

 

It’s been a little while since I wrote an MLB article here at TheOddsBreakers but this is a huge game in the most interesting series of the early playoffs. The Giants continue to keep pace ahead of their rival and the Dodgers are now in a “win or go home” scenario. This should make for good TV. We’re 42-21 in our last 63 MLB free picks!

For my premium picks delivered to your inbox EVERY DAY, click here!
NBA: 207-152 (58%) – MLB: 228-198 (54%) – NFL: 38-33 (54%), +17 units

Giants win (+146), 2 units: This is what the Giants have been doing all year — drifting by their foe — and I think today will mark the final leg of their most successful year in a long time. Last year’s World Champion Dodgers haven’t been able to cruise like they have in previous seasons. They earned their right to play in the postseason after a Wildcard win against the Cardinals, and now they’re down 1-2 in the NLDS against their arch-rival from San Francisco. Anthony DeSclafani (3.17 ERA, 1.09 WHIP) has had a sensational season, but it hasn’t always been sensational against the Dodgers. In 6 outings against LAD, DeSclafani posted subpar numbers– 23.6 innings, 33 hits, 22 runs allowed — but here’s the good news: DeSclafani has maintained a sub 4.00 ERA, xERA, and xFIP all season; that’s hard to do. He limits hard contact (1.02 HR/9 innings) and has an exceptional LOB rate (78.3%). And in recent past, DeSclafani has been electric. He finished the season strong, boasting a 2.67 ERA in September, and he only permitted 2 hits and 0 runs in his last start against LAD. I trust DeSclafani, who undoubtedly wants to show out better than ever in this spot, and I trust the Giants’ considerably more dependable bullpen.

Walker Buehler (4.26 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) was announced for today’s showdown and to me, it reeks. I think this is a mistake by the Dodgers, and I was actually hoping they’d play Buehler for this bet. No doubt, Buehler has been the man this year for LAD. He’s been as dependable as any pitcher in MLB throughout the season, but recent history does not favor Buehler. September was by far his worst month of the year (5.40 ERA), and last time he faced the Giants he allowed 6 hits and 3 runs in just over 6 innings. On top of that, he’s coming into today’s start on only 3 days rest. As most of us probably know, “similar assignments were responsible for some of Clayton Kershaw’s worst postseason moments” (quote courtesy of the LA Times).

The Giants are not intimidated by the Dodgers, they’re poised, they’re coached extremely well, and despite what many others will tell you, I think they have the better pitcher today. I’ll take SF for 2 units and some nice + money!