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NHL Opening Night – October 12, 2021

By
Patrick Gates
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The NHL is finally back, with two games on tonight. During the off season, the NHL signed a major deal with ESPN to broadcast most games. Personally, I believe this is a great move as it’ll give the league more exposure which it desperately needs.

The first is the Penguins against the two time Stanley Cup Champions, the Tampa Bay Lightning. If Tampa Bay does manage to three-peat they would be the first team to do so in a little under forty years.

The second game is the Seattle Kraken against the Vegas Golden Knights. This is the Kraken’s inaugural season against a team who is only a few years old as well. The Knights were great in their first season, making it all the way to the Stanley Cup before losing to the Washington Capitals in 2018. They have been competitive every season so far and look continue that trend.

 

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Tampa Bay Lightning

The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to Tampa Bay for the opening game of the 2021-22 season. The Lightning are coming off back to back Stanley Cup wins, and are currently 7-1 to win it again. This will be the first time that these teams face since October 23, 2019 due to the realignment of the divisions last year.

Pittsburgh will be without Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Jake Guentzel for tonight’s game. Crosby and Guentzel should return to the lineup in a few games, while Malkin is out for a few months. Pittsburgh’s game plan tonight will be to try and slow down the Lightning’s high powered offense. If they want to have a chance in tonight’s game they’re going to have to keep it low scoring. The Penguins starting goalie hasn’t been confirmed but, it’s looking like Tristan Jarry will get the start tonight.

Tampa Bay on hand will have all of their star players in action tonight. Tampa Bay lost a few key pieces (Gourde, Coleman, Goodrow) in the off season as expected but, they were able to keep their core players. They are the current team to beat in the East and have a solid chance to make another run at the cup. Andrei Vasilevskiy will most likely get the start in net after an unbelievable playoff performance.

For tonight’s game I’m looking at backing the Tampa Bay Lightning in regulation. The moneyline has shifted from (-170) to (-245) making it unbettable. Historically, Vasilevskiy has been great against the Penguins having a 3-0-0 record with a 1.65 GAA against the Penguins in the 2019-20 season. The Penguins are a good team but are not a full strength. Tampa Bay should have a sold-out crowd for the banner raising ceremony which only adds to their advantage tonight.

 

Picks:

  • TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING TO WIN IN REGULATION -1/2 (-175)
    • Risk: 1.75 Units to win 1.00 Unit
  • TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING TO WIN IN REGULATION -1 (-130)
    • Risk: 1.30 Units to win 1.00 Unit

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

NFL Week 5 ATS Review

By
Chris R. Farley
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A picture of recently fired Raiders' coach, Jon Gruden.

 

Below is a full Week 5 review of every ATS Premium Pick we gave out. We’ll be creating these videos every week and they’ll always be around 10 min — check it out!

For my premium picks delivered to your inbox every day, click here!
NBA: 207-152 (58%) – MLB: 228-198 (54%) – NFL: 38-33 (54%), +17 units

Fantasy Football Week 6

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Bye Weeks: 

  • Atlanta Falcons
  • New Orleans Saints
  • New York Jets
  • San Francisco 49ers

Key Injuries:

  • RB Clyde Edwards Helaire – Knee Injury
  • WR Tyreke Hill – Knee Injury and day to day
  • TE Travis Kelce – with a Stinger
  • RB Saquon Barkley – Ankle sprain and is week to week.
  • QB Daniel Jones – Concussion
  • WR Kenny Golladay – knee
  • WR Deonte Harris – Hammy
  • RB Samaje Perine Covid.
  • WR Ju Ju Smith-Schuster – Shoulder and on IR
  • WR Quintez Cephus – Shoulder
  • TE Adam Shaheen – Knee injury
  • QB Russell Wilson – Finger out 6 weeks.
  • RB Damien Harris – Ribs injury

Waiver Wire:

  • WR John Ross for the Golladay injury.
  • WR Kadarius Toney for the Golladay injury.
  • WR James Washington for the JuJu Smith-Schuster injury.
  • WR Rhondale Moore has been balling.
  • RB Chris Evans for Samaje Perine Injury.
  • RB Devonte Booker for the Saquon Barkley injury.
  • RB Gary Brightwell to handcuff Booker is a thought for deep leagues.
  • WR Chris Hogan for the Deonte Harris injury.
  • WR Amon-Ra St Brown for the Quintez Cephus injury.
  • RB Rhamondre Stevenson for the Damien Harris injury.
  • QB Mike Glennon if you are desperate for Daniel Jones injury.
  • RB Alex Collins due to Chris Carson being banged up.
  • WR Mecole Hardman for the Tyreke Hill injury.
  • RB Darrel Williams for the CEH injury.
  • TE Ricky Seals-Jones for the Logan Thomas missing last game.
  • TE Demetrius Harris for the Maxx Williams injury.
  • RB Khalil Herbert for the Bears.

Non-Starters trending up for week 6:

  • RBs Devonte Freeman or Tyson Williams vs a bad Chargers run D.
  • RB Antonio Gibson vs KCs bad run D.
  • RB Sonny Michelle vs the NY Giants piss poor D.
  • WR Devonte Smith vs Tampa’s bad pass D.
  • WR Jaylen Waddle vs the Jags.
  • WR Jacobi Meyers vs the Cowboys Pass D.
  • WR Chase Claypool vs a bad Seattle D.
  • WR Allen Robinson vs the Packers soft pass D.
  • WR Rhondale Moore vs Cleveland’s pass D if their corners are out.

Busts:

  • RB Miles Sanders vs Tampas rush D.
  • RB James Conner vs Clevelands rush D.
  • RB Damien Harris vs Dallas rush D.
  • WR Adam Thielen vs a pissed off Carolina team.
  • WR AJ Brown vs Buffalo’s D.
  • TE Darren Waller vs Denver’s stingy D.
  • WR Amari Cooper vs New England’s pass D.

Nasty Sleeper:  Devonte Smith vs Tampa.  He’s the main WR now for Philadelphia

October 12th CFB Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
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I cashed my free play winner on the Giants ML(+170) last night. Today, I’ve got 2 plays in the standalone CFB game. I sent my premium members a play on the total, and I will give out my play on the side for free. My premium plays have gone 31-16-1 and netted my members +24.21u. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*CFB(1u): Louisiana +5 vs App State–6:30 PM CT

Louisiana returned the most production in CFB entering this season, but they have been somewhat disappointing to start the year. They were non-competitive to open up the season against Texas(a game many pegged them to win), and while they have won their last 4 games, 3 have come by just one possession. The combined record of their last 4 opponents is just 8-14, making those close wins a little more concerning. App State is also 4-1, with their only loss coming by 2 points against Miami. The Mountaineers have also picked up quality wins against East Carolina(won by 14) and Marshall. Up to this point, it would appear that App State would be the play, but 5 is simply too many points to be giving the home team in this matchup. Louisiana has looked concerning to this point, but they have had extra time to prepare for this matchup. I would expect QB Levi Lewis to look a lot better tonight than he has at points this season. App State QB Chase Brice has had major turnover issues in the past(mainly last year at Duke), and the Ragin Cajuns defense presents a tough matchup. This game has major Sun Belt Conference implications, so I would expect a field goal game in either direction. You’re going to see a different Louisiana team tonight than you have up to this point this season.

October 12th Premium CFB Play

By
Michael Fordham
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In addition to playing the total in tonight’s CFB game, I also gave out a free play on Louisiana +5. Through 6 weeks of the season, my CFB record sits at 43-31-1, +19.86u. 

*CFB(1u): App State/Louisiana UNDER 57.5–6:30 PM CT

Louisiana returned the most production in CFB entering this season, but they have been somewhat disappointing to start the year. They were non-competitive to open up the season against Texas(a game many pegged them to win), and while they have won their last 4 games, 3 have come by just one possession. The combined record of their last 4 opponents is just 8-14, making those close wins a little more concerning. App State is also 4-1, with their only loss coming by 2 points against Miami. The Mountaineers have also picked up quality wins against East Carolina(won by 14) and Marshall. I really like the Under in this matchup. Louisiana likes to go at a controlled pace and, given they are the home team, they should have an opportunity to dictate the pace of this game. This is the toughest defense App State has faced up to this point in the season, and QB Chase Brice has his history of turnover issues. 57.5 is far too high considering the Sun Belt implications this game has; I’d expect both defenses to take the forefront. Anything 56 or higher on the total seems like an obvious Under play to me. 

Podcast 69 – 21 – NFL Week 5 and College Football Week 6 Recap – Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 6 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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We have a great show for you today! D-Nasty is back for some fantasy football while Kiev O’Neil does what he does!  First, Kiev O’Neil recaps College Football Week 6 and NFL week 5 with some upsets and some great performances.  Then, he gets into some misleading final scores in both sports and some motivational spots for College Football week 7 and NFL Week 6.   Next, Kiev gives out a College Football FREE PLAY for week 7!  Then, Dave comes on and the guys talk some Fantasy Football.  We talk about key injuries and waiver wire analysis.  Non-starters trending up and players that could bust.  Finally, Kiev and Dave gives out their nasty sleeper of the week that could help you win your matchup or DFS!  Should you have any questions for us or would like us to break down a game, please feel free to tweet us @TheOddsBreakers

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds21 for 10% off the price!  

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves!  Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  We are giving away a FREE THE ODDSBREAKERS T-shirt with all signups.   You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.

Alan Cashman: Monday NLDS Game 3: Giants at Dodgers

By
Alan Cashman
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View my Pick History Alan Cashman Pick History

Subscribe to one of my Packages here at The OddsBreakers https://theoddsbreakers.com/alan-cashman/

MLB
NLDS Game 3

Giants at Dodgers
(Wood vs Scherzer)

PICK: LA -0.5 First 5 Innings (-125) ½ unit

Dodgers are batting .321, slugging .697 vs Alex Wood
The Giants lost all 3 games Wood has started vs Dodgers this season
Giants have scored 2 or fewer runs the last 6 games Scherzer has started against them
Scherzer’s teams have won the last 5 Postseason games he has started

October 11th MLB Premium Play

By
Michael Fordham
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Premium Record: 31-15-1, +25.25u

*MLB(1u): Rays ML(-106) @ Red Sox–6:07 PM CT

The Red Sox took Game 3 of this series last night and now need just one more win to advance to the ALCS. They’ll turn to SP Eduardo Rodriguez tonight who is pitching on just 3 days rest after today’s projected SP Nick Pivetta was needed late last night. Rodriguez has poor numbers on the surface(4.74 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), yet his FIP, or expected ERA, sits at a much lower 3.31. Even though the analytical guys love Rodriguez, I simply can’t trust him in this sort of matchup. The Rays are among the best offenses in the league at hitting lefties, and once Rodriguez is pulled, the Red Sox will have to rely on a bullpen that amassed a measly 1.39 WHIP during the regular season. That lies in stark contrast to a Tampa Bay bullpen that posted a 1.15 WHIP this season, good for 2nd in all of baseball. The Rays will open with Colin McHugh and unload their bullpen from there, and quite honestly, I expect that strategy to work. The Boston offense is very good, so I won’t bother picking out numbers to prove otherwise, but Tampa holds the major pitching advantage entering this do-or-die Game 4. I like the Rays to squeak out a win in Boston today and force a Game 5 back in St. Petersburg.

October 11th MLB Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
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SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 23: Alex Wood #57 of the San Francisco Giants reacts after catching a line drive hit by Jazz Chisholm Jr. #2 of the Miami Marlins during the sixth inning at Oracle Park on April 23, 2021 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/Getty Images)

After a profitable weekend in both CFB and the NFL, my October record now sits at 22-12-1, +12.23u. Following a 4-2 weekend on my premium plays, my premium record sits at 31-15-1 and has netted my members +25.25u. I have a premium play up for one of the ALDS games today. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*MLB(1u): Giants ML(+170) @ Dodgers–8:37 PM CT

As expected, these teams split the first two games of this series in San Francisco. Now, moving to Los Angeles for Game 3, we’re seeing the Dodgers open as massive favorites given they’ll send their ace Max Scherzer to the mound. Scherzer has incredible numbers, and I won’t try to argue against that, but the Giants offense is no pushover themselves. While SFG tends to score more efficiently at home given the ideal hitting conditions, the wind at Dodger Stadium tonight is expected to be blowing 15+ mph out towards RF tonight. Scherzer is great, but he’s not immortal; I expect competitive AB’s from the Giants tonight. Giants SP Alex Wood is a former Dodger who has experience pitching in Dodger Stadium in the postseason. The Dodger lineup performs considerably worse against lefties than the average fan would think, so combined with a bullpen that had a league best 1.13 WHIP this season, I think the Giants can tame the Dodger bats and keep themselves in this game. +170 is too good of value to pass up with a team that won 100 games this season and is as sharp in all phases of the game as San Fran is. I also don’t hate playing against a very public team in the Dodgers that is always going to be a bit overvalued.

Rob Vinciletti: Monday MLB Power System Play

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Monday night NFL AFC Total of the Month + Divisional Round Total of the Year headlines MLB. Early play below.

The MLB Comp Play is on Atlanta at 1:10 eastern. The Braves are home in game 3 after taking game 2 on the road in Milwaukee. Playoff home favorites are a solid 12-4 off a road dog win and prior road dog loss. The Braves have won the last 3 here with I. Anderson who went 6 strong allowing just a run vs Milwaukee. The Brewers have lost 5 of 6 as a playoff dog while the Braves are 6-0 as a playoff favorite. Look for the Braves to take game 3 today. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

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