I was thoroughly surprised that the Eagles looked as good as they did in Week 1, but regardless, this is a team I wasn’t very high on coming into the season. I don’t think Jalen Hurts can excel under duress, so playing in a game where his team is outmatched, I expect to see some regression from the young QB this week. The 49ers are consistent defensively, but where this game will be won is on the other side of the ball. While the Eagles defense looked good, there are still some major weaknesses in their starting 11, specifically at the LB position. Kyle Shanahan is one of the best schemers in all of the NFL, and I think he’s going to use his weapons to give the Eagles a field day. Week 2 is all about managing the overreactions from the Week 1 results. I’m not going to change my stance on Philly yet, and the 49ers looked utterly dominant through the first 3 quarters of their game in Detroit. 49ers win and cover.
CFB Pick
Fresno St at UCLA 10:45 pm Saturday
Pick: Fresno St +12 (-120) 1 unit
I bought this from 11.5 to 12 earlier on Friday. Line has moved to 11. You may wait and see if this gets back to 11.5.
Fresno gave Oregon a scare a couple of weeks ago at Oregon, leading the Ducks in the 4th quarter before finally losing.
I like Fresno’s QB, Haener. He is completing over 70 % of his passes. The team can run the ball and I think they can keep it close with UCLA.
UCLA will bring in a strong run attack but I do not like their QB, Dorian Thompson-Robinson. I don’t think he is a very good passer.
Fresno knows they will need to focus on the Bruins run game. I think they can keep up with UCLA.
CFB Pick
Florida St at Wake Forest 3:30 pm
Pick: Florida St +5 1 unit
Everyone is down on Florida State after their 2nd straight loss at the end of a game, last week it was to Jacksonville St.
But Florida State was coming off a heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame, the get Jacksonville St on a short week and for FSU you go from Notre Dame to Jacksonville St, that is a big let down, they probably were not as up for this game as you would have liked them to have been.
Florida St can run the football. Jashaun Corbin and Trayshaun Ward are running for 8.4 and 6.4 yards per carry respectively. The Seminoles struggled in the pass game last week but keep in mind, Mckenzie Milton had not played football in 3 years before he led that comeback against Notre Dame. I still feel he will get the job done.
FSU’s defense held Notre Dame to 1.9 ypc and have recorded 5 sacks in each of their first 2 games.
Wake has a good offensive unit, they return most of their starters on offense and defense from last year but those starters also a defense that allowed over 30 points per game.
I think FSU is going to be able to score here.
I don’t see Wake pulling away.
FSU 1 unit
CFB Pick
Northwestern at Duke 4 pm
Pick: Duke +3 1 unit
Northwestern’s offense only went for 275 yards last week at home to Indiana St and on defense gave up over 500 yards at home in a 17 point loss to Michigan St in Week 1. This is a team that returns only 4 starters from last years defense that allowed 16 ppg
I don’t love Duke’s defense but I like their offense and I think they will be able to score with their great HB Mateo Durant who has already rushed for 6 TD this season. Their QB Gunnar Holmberg is completing 71 % of his passes.
Watch for Duke’s special teams to make a play in this game. They nearly blocked 3 punts last week and also pulled off a successful onside kick early in the 2nd quarter. This is an aggressive bunch.
Right now, both teams look likely to finish in the lower half of their respective leagues this season but I am not sure Northwestern should be going on the road here giving a FG to Duke.
Northwestern
5-11-2 their last 18 as a favorite2-6 ATS their last 8 following a loss
1-4 ATS last 5 non conference games
Duke
12-5-1 last 18 as a home dog
I am going to take Duke +3 at home for 1 unit
CFB Pick
Purdue at Notre Dame 2:30 pm
Pick: Purdue +7.5 1 unit
Purdue 5-1 ATS last 6 vs team with winning recordPurdue 17-5 ATS last 22 as an underdogPurdue 19-6-2 ATS last 27 as a road underdogPurdue 15-5-2 ATS in road games vs team with winning record
Notre Dame 0-4 ATS last 4 as a favoriteNotre Dame 1-5 ATS last 6 home games
Notre Dame lost a lot on offense off of the teams we have seen them field over the past couple of seasons.
They have 4 new starters on the offensive line after losing 3 of last year’s linemen to the draft. Thus, the Irish are running for less than 3 yards per carry this season and they have allowed 10 sacks over the first 2 games
On defense, Notre Dame is allowing 5 yards per carry.
Now, Horvath is out for Purdue at HB. King Doerue and Dylan Downing, red shirt freshman from Carmel, who both have runs for 19 yards or more already this season, and will look to pick up the load in the run game with Horvath out.
Purdue is getting really good QB play from Jack Plummer who has completed 73% of his passes through the first 2 games. David Bell and TE Payne have 3 TD each and averaging over 15 yards per catch.
The Boilers are +27 in net first downs this season so far
I like what I have seen with Purdue and I think what is happening with Notre Dame is expected with everything they lost from last year.
This is going to be a decent light heavyweight fight between Anthony Smith who has been there done that and Ryan Spann who very up and coming. Looking at Smith’s record at 35-16, one would think the guy was 39 years old. He is actually only 33 and somewhat in the prime of his career. Ryan Spann has been rolling through the UFC with a few decent wins such as Misha Cirkunov, Sam Alvey and Devin Clark. Ok, well kinda decent wins anyways. Both of these fighters can do it all and they are pretty close on their metrics if you factor in Anthony Smith’s strength of his previous opponents. As a matter of fact, that is what this handicap is all about. Strength of opponents. Anthony Smith is 9-4 in his last 13 fights with wins vs boarder-line tier 1 fighters such as Volkan Oezdemir, Jimmy Crute, and Alexander Gustafsson. His 4 losses were to Thiago Santos, Glover Teixeira, Aleksandar Rakic and Jon Bones Jones! Can we really punish him for that? This fight is only Ryan Spann’s 7th fight in the UFC and he had a poor performance almost losing to Sam Alvey and a nasty loss by KO to an over-rated Johnny Walker. I think the -160 price might be a little low for Anthony Smith as I believe that he is the better all around fighter here. Gonna lay the juice for 2U.
Anthony Smith -160 – 2 stars
Bonus Play
Let’s go small on Devin Clark here. If he could survive the first round vs Ion Cutelaba, he could win this fight. Ion the “Hulk” has to knock people out to win and Clark has seen a lot of that and should know how to defend it. Clark is more susceptible to submission and that is something that isn’t in Ion’s playbook. If Ion doesn’t finish in the 1st round and a half, he gets gassed and is much more susceptible. Clark needs this one pretty bad.
We went 2-0 in CFB free picks and 6-4 in CFB premium picks last week. Here’s to two more wins– let’s get it (all lines courtesy of BetOnline.ag)!
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Colorado -2 (-116), 2 units: Minnesota comes into Saturday’s matchup in Boulder with the same record as the Colorado Buffaloes but we’re inclined to favor the home team. The Gophers started off their season with a highlight game against Ohio State, and they were competitive until they weren’t. The Buckeyes ascended later in the 2nd half and never looked back, showing off a clear level of talent disparity in the process. Last week the Gophers won a surprisingly close contest against Miami (OH). The Redhawks are a team that regularly bottoms out the Mid-American Conference and yet they gained more yards and more first downs than Minnesota a week ago in Minneapolis. The Gophers are fortunate they committed two turnovers or we might be discussing an 0-2 start for P.J Fleck. Colorado, meanwhile, went toe-to-toe with #5 Texas A&M last Saturday and nearly won. The Aggies got the best of the Buffaloes, winning by 3 points in a 10-7 defensive battle. While I didn’t leave that game feeling high about the Buffaloes offense, they did manage to earn 171 yards on the ground against an SEC defense. They also possessed the ball and made very few mistakes against the Aggies. Back at home after such a close contest with a superior opponent, I have to believe that Minnesota won’t offer the same level of competition this weekend. Since we’re getting under the key number of 3 and the Buffaloes are at home, this is a great buy. I’m on Colorado for 2 units.
Arizona State -3.5 (-113), 1.5 units: This is a sneaky setup for the Arizona State Sun Devils and a supreme let-down spot for BYU. The BYU Cougars are fresh off a huge win last Saturday at home, where they defeated what many pundits considered the Pac-12 favorite in Utah. The win wasn’t necessarily convincing, it was a hard-fought battle throughout, but the Cougars did enough to overcome the Utes in a favorable environment at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Capitalizing on two early turnovers and later a missed field goal by Utah certainly helped. BYU deserves to celebrate that win and be excited about the results, but a confident and disciplined Sun Devils team is on their way to Provo and BYU would be wise to take them seriously. The Sun Devils have done exactly what they’re supposed to do so far, clobbering two inferior opponents in Southern Utah and UNLV. They earned more than 200 yards than SUU and more than 300 yards more than UNLV in those contests; i.e. it was never close. The Herm Edwards tenure at Arizona State has been a good one, with his teams looking more refined and more capable of success every year. The Cougars deserve a ton of credit; they started this season winning against two formidable programs. I just think Arizona State is better on both sides of the ball. Playing in front of a BYU crowd and covering is no easy task, but in a shortened COVID season the Sun Devils went 3-1 ATS last year. With a clear coaching and talent edge, my numbers say Arizona State is a 5 point favorite– I expect them to cover.
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Nebraska at Oklahoma – Saturday, September 18th – 12:05 ET Kickoff
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are on the road as they make the trip to face the #3 Oklahoma Sooners Saturday afternoon. This matchup will feature the renewal of the Big Red Rivalry between Oklahoma and Nebraska. “There’s something a little different about this one,” OU head coach Lincoln Riley said. “It’s so unique. … Anybody that has anything to do with either one, I think you realize that. There’s definitely a little different feel for this one, and I think it’s good for the sport.” Nebraska defeated Buffalo 28-3 at home last Saturday while Oklahoma trounced Western Carolina 76-0 at home last Saturday in their latest action. The Cornhuskers are riding a two-game winning streak after losing their opener; however, they won’t be playing Fordham or Buffalo this week. Oklahoma will look to keep improving this season against Nebraska as they head into conference play next week. The Cornhuskers are going to have to find a way to move the ball on the ground against an Oklahoma defense that has been stout so far this year. The Sooners give up only 77.5 yards per game and 2.6 yards per carry on the ground this season. If Oklahoma has a weakness, it’s their pass defense giving up 5.2 yards per attempt while going against teams only averaging 4.6 yards per attempt. So, if Nebraska is going to make this a game, Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez is going to have to use his arm more than his legs. Heisman hopeful OU QB Spencer Rattler has been excellent thus far hitting on 50 of 65 passes for 547 yards with six touchdown passes against two interceptions while adding 36 yards plus a score on the ground. Speaking of the ground game, Oklahoma should be able to rack up yardage running the football against a Nebraska defense giving up 4 yards per rush and 144 yards per game. In recent trends, the Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning record and are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. Oklahoma will run the ball effectively and their defense will take away the Nebraska running game and turn this into a one-dimensional offense. Meaning Adrian Martinez will throw his first couple interceptions of the season and the Sooners will roll.
Get Kiev O’Neil’s premium plays for only $100 per month Click Here. You also will get a FREE “THE ODDSBREAKERS” TSHIRT with your purchase! 18-10 in College Football and up 42 Units over the last 2 years in the NFL!
Florida State vs Wake Forest -5.5 O/U 61.5
This line is ugly. Horrible. What does it mean? What is Florida State after losing to FCS Jacksonville State yet keeping up to overtime vs Notre Dame? Well I can usually excuse a team after a hiccup and especially on a short week after an overtime loss but this loss was more of an ulcer or a straight up praying to the porcelain god type of sickness. One thing is for sure, Wake Forest can score points. This team averaged 36 per game last year and they returned the majority of their main starters including quarterback Sam Hartman. Now I like Florida State’s Mike Norvell a lot as a coach, but he has never had a defensive mind and this team isn’t there yet to the standards that he had at Memphis. I also like McKenzie Milton but I don’t think he is quite poised yet after that awful injury years back at Central Florida. Looking at Wake’s defense at home last year, I like how they held Virginia to Virginia to 23 points, Virginia tech to 16 and a Trevor Lawrence Clemson team only got 37 on them. I have Wake Forest power rated 7.75 points better than Florida State at on a neutral field, and this game could be a blowout. I’ll grab the demon Deacons
Wake Forest -5.5 – 3 stars
Tulane vs Ole Miss -14 O/U 75
Some totals were meant to be high. This game is going to be a fun one. If you know anything about Lane Kiffen, his offense is fantastic, his defense is usually suspect and he plays very very fast. Last year, Ole Miss ranked 4th in plays per game at 81.6. This year, Tulane has really picked up their pace at 21.3 seconds per play. That is very fast and they are putting up some serious points at 69 vs FCS Morgan State and they even got up to 35 vs Oklahoma. I expect this team to keep on trucking. Tulane’s defense is decent and it might be even good enough to compete in the AAC, but this is a game vs a very good SEC opponent and QB Matt Corrall is a legit Heisman candidate. I took this over at 72 for members but I still like it some at 75.5 for a few units.
Over 75 – 2 Stars
Auburn vs Penn State -6 O/U 53
This game will be a huge one as college gameday will be there and it is a night game in Penn State. You know what night games mean there right. IT’S A WHITE-OUT! This Nittany Lion crowd will be going berzerk and we have to add an extra 2 points minimum to their power rating in this atmosphere. To cap this game, we have to ask ourselves, what do we know about each team. Let’s start with Auburn. What do we know? Jack Squat as Chris Farley (the comedian) would say. They played 2 of the worst teams in football this year. What we do know about Auburn is that they can shine every once in a while but when they go on the road, Bo Nix turns into a little puppy. In 2019 he was 56% and 4TDs with 6 Interceptions on the road and in 2020, he was only 51% completions. The whole Auburn team has been a road disaster minus some cupcakes over the past few years. Penn State on the other hand is playing with confidence and that big win at Wisconsin this year has set them off. The Nittany Lion defense is looking great shutting down the Badgers in the Red Zone and taking out the MAC champion making them look like an FCS school. Sean Clifford is playing smart football and not turning the ball over. My power ratings has this game Penn State by 10.5 in this atmosphere. I do not think Auburn has much of a chance here and I think this is a 10 point + victory for Penn State.
*3 Star Free Play Over* The Purdue Boilermakers have found a pretty good quarterback in Plummer. He knows Jeff Brohm’s system well and is making much better decisions. Purdue has an elite receiver in Bell, and I think he can do damage against a questionable Notre Dame secondary.
Notre Dame’s defense doesn’t look the same this year. They lost their defensive coordinator Clark Lea, and they lost several key contributors from a year ago as well. Notre Dame has allowed 10 plays of 20 yards or more in just two games. That is against Florida State and Toledo (not elite offenses). Notre Dame ranks 121st out of 130 teams in the country at preventing explosive plays. Purdue should get some big gainers here.
The Notre Dame offense has been pretty good with Jack Coan at the signal caller spot. Purdue ranks 91st at preventing explosive plays despite having played only Oregon State and UConn. Not good. The Boilermakers defense is a major weakness and the Fighting Irish should be able to move the ball fairly easily in this game.
Take the over 58 here.
*Coming off an 8-0 SWEEP of the books in college football last weekend. Kyle’s Totally Totals (All totals plays package) is now available here at The Oddsbreakers website.*
Saturday card has an Executive Level TIER 1 Blowout Side, the ACC Total of the Year, 5* Afternoon Power system play headlining a Powerful CFB Card. We also have MLB and Soccer. Comp play below.
The College Football comp play is on Penn. St at 7:30 eastern. The Lions have covered 23 of 30 off back to back wins and 15 of 20 after scoring 40+ points last out as 9 of 11 covers at home vs a winning team. Auburn is in a play against System [pertaining to teams with a first year head coach playing their first road game off a win vs a team off a win. Auburn has failed to cover 11 straight on the road vs a team off back to back ats wins with a win percentage of .250 or better. The Tigers have failed to cover 5 of 6 vs Big 10 teams and the last 4 as a dog. Both are 2-0 but Penn. St has played tougher teams including a solid win on the road at Wisconsin. Look for a litany of Nittany today. On Saturday the ACC Total of the Year headlines the Card along with our Exclusive Executive Level TIER 1 Blowout, 5* Afternoon Power Play and Late night Banger, there is also MLB and Soccer. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on and cash out. For the College comp. Play on Penn. St. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
We’ll we finished our first week 1-1 in EPL. Given some of the feedback I’ve received, I’ll continue to pick games that will be broadcast here in the US. We have three games on tap this week with most of them involving teams at the bottom half of the table. Even though these teams are struggling right now, they still have plenty of time to turn it around as the season has just begun.
Brentford @ Wolverhampton
Information:
Kick-Off: 7:30 AM ET
Location: Molineux Stadium – Wolverhampton, England (Wolverhampton home)
TV Schedule: NBCSN
Odds:
Wolverhampton (-110)
Brentford (+375)
Draw (+220)
Total: 2.5 (U 2.5 -190, O +154)
Preview:
Both of these teams are currently struggling, Brentford sits at 10th in the Table, while Wolverhampton sits at 13th. Wolverhampton has a great track record against the former Championship winners, defeating them in their last four matches. However, Saturday’s contest will be the first meeting between these two teams since January 2018. Both sides are dealing with some injury issues as well which could alter the starting 11 a bit. For this game, I think Wolverhampton defeats Brentford at home in a close one.
Pick:
Wolverhampton Wolves (-110)
Arsenal @ Burnley
Information:
Kick-Off: 10:00 AM ET
Location: Turf Moor – Burnley, England (Burnely home)
TV Schedule: NBCSN
Odds:
Burnely (+280)
Arsenal (+100)
Draw (+250)
Total: 2.5 (U 2.5 -125, O -105)
Preview:
The Gunners have struggled early in their Premier League campaign to say the least. They’ll look to record back to back wins against another struggling club in this match. Burnley has only captured one point in their first four EPL matches and sit in relegation zone. Arsenal have struggled on the road this season, conceding seven goals and scoring none. If they look to turn that around, this is the match to do it. Burnely have struggled at home failing to win any of their last 12 games on home soil in the League. Burnley have also not beaten Arsenal at home in the EPL since the 1973-74 season. This game wont be the prettiest to watch and could end in a draw. It’ll be a low scoring affair that will most likely end 0-0 or 1-1.
Pick:
DRAW (+250)
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
