MLB Triple Pack up and led by a 1/1 Platinum Supreme move tonight along with U.S Open Tennis and World Cup Soccer Qualifiers. MLB Comp play below
The MLB Comp is on the Reds at 1:10 eastern. The Reds fit a perfect Divisional System pertaining to home favored off a home favored loss at -200 or more if they had 2 or less hits in the loss, vs an opponent off a road dog win. The Reds have Gray going and he is 5-1 of late and has not allowed a run in his last 2 starts spanning 13 innings. He has a little pay back in Mind after getting lit up in St. Louis earlier in the year. Mickolas makes his 3rd start since May and has allowed 5 runs in 9 innings thus far. The Cards are 1-9 as a road dog off a road dog win. The Reds are 8-1 as a home favorite off a home favored loss. Look for the Reds to bounce back. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
We just missed our third outright of the season with Bryson Dechambeau at 25-1. He had so many chances to win in the playoff but, just couldn’t seem to make a putt. Patrick Cantlay was red hot on the greens and took home the BMW Championship to give him the lead headed into the Tour Championship.
We’re now onto the Tour Championship, the final leg of the three-tournament FedEx Cup Playoffs. This is the 15th year that the PGA Tour has implemented this system, and just the third year that the staggered strokes format is in effect.
For those who are unfamiliar with how the Tour Championship works, I’ll give you a brief breakdown. If you’d like the official PGA Tour breakdown with the price pool included check out this link. The Top 30 golfers following the BMW Championship in the FedEx Cup Standings, will compete in the Tour Championship. The players will all go off at a different score based on their performance throughout the season. Here’s a list of who will be starting with what strokes:
Patrick Cantlay
-10
Tony Finau
-8
Bryson DeChambeau
-7
Jon Rahm
-6
Cameron Smith
-5
Justin Thomas
-4
Harris English
-4
Abraham Ancer
-4
Jordan Spieth
-4
Sam Burns
-4
Collin Morikawa
-3
Sungjae Im
-3
Viktor Hovland
-3
Louis Oosthuizen
-3
Dustin Johnson
-3
Rory McIlroy
-2
Xander Schauffele
-2
Jason Kokrak
-2
Kevin Na
-2
Brooks Koepka
-2
Corey Conners
-1
Hideki Matsuyama
-1
Stewart Cink
-1
Joaquinn Niemann
-1
Scottie Scheffler
-1
Daniel Berger
E
Erik van Rooyen
E
Sergio Garcia
E
Billy Horschel
E
Patrick Reed
E
Patrick Reed who didn’t play last week due to double pneumonia will likely not play this week even though he has qualified for this event.
The odds for this event are different from any other tournament as they have the starting position factored in. Also, another thing to keep any eye out when placing a bet this weekend, is to verify if the odds are including starting strokes. The odds are significantly different as you can imagine, and may mess up your bet if you choose the wrong option. For all of my bets this week, I will be placing them with starting strokes included.
(* In 2019, the staggered stroke play format was introduced. From 2018- 2015 those are the 72 hole leaders.)
Picks (Outright) – Including Starting Strokes:
Justin Thomas (+1800)- FanDuel
Risk 0.45 to win 8.10 Units
Dustin Johnson (+2500) – Caesars
Risk 0.32 to win 8.0 Units
Rory McIlroy (+2500) – Caesars/ Draftkings
Risk 0.32 to win 8.0 Units
Sungjae Im (+5000)- FanDuel
Risk 0.16 to win 8.0 Units
Total Risk on Outrights: 1.25 Units
Picks (Top 20) – Including Starting Strokes:
Joaquin Niemann (-115)- FanDuel
Risk 1.15 to win 1.0 Units
Total Risk on Top 20: 1.15 Units
Total Risk on The Tour Championship: 2.40 Units
PGA Year to Date: +3.24 Units
Apologies for the short write up on the final tournament of the season but, it’s been a busy week. Also, I’d like to thank Kiev for the opportunity to write for TheOddsBreakers and share my golf knowledge. We’ll end the season up units but, I’m looking forward to next year with a full season of picks. Next year will feature more content, so keep a lookout for that.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
It’s hard to tell who this Charlotte team is, as they were one of the teams most impacted by COVID last season. Duke beat them down in their matchup last year 53-19, with most of the damage coming on the ground. That tells me Duke was just bigger and didn’t need to air it out. Charlotte should be much improved returning many older starters and welcoming in some Power 5 transfers on the defensive side of the ball.
Looking at Duke, I understand why people are down on the team. Seems they just gave up on their coach towards the end of the season with their L4 games losing by more than 20 points. But when I look at their first half of the season, they were in all of those games in the first half. The Blue Devils had a tough schedule last year and were one of the youngest teams in the ACC. Given that they didn’t have much of an offseason last year, I look for them to improve and come out aggressive with something to prove.
This line opened at 7 1/2 but has been bet down to 6 1/2. With only 61% of the $ so far on the Duke side, I like the value getting them under a TD to win this one before gameday. Duke has a QB off the IL who knows Cutcliffe’s system and a deep backfield. Get this one before it hits 7!
This is a pretty low total for a great hitting team such as Houston vs a moderate hitting team such as Seattle. Their West Coast ballpark is part of that reason but the main reason is that Lance McCullers is pitching for the ‘Stros and he is boasting a nice 2.87 FIP on his away games with an amazing 12.36 Ks/9 innings pitched. Yusei Kikuchi is pitching for the M’s and he is below average at home with a 4.42 FIP and 9.83 Ks/9 innings himself. When Kikuchi has faced Houston, he has allowed a horrible 32 earned runs over 45 innings with a 6.38 ERA. Houston is the best performing team vs left handed batters and they are trying to retain control over their division and close this one out as soon as possible for a good rest a the end before the playoffs. Taking the Astros with a decent price here.
*MLB(1u): Phillies/Nationals OVER 9.5(-105)–6:05 PM CT
For as many guys as the Nationals traded away at the deadline, you have to give them credit for the way they’ve swung the bats in the month of August. In 26 games since the trade deadline, they’ve managed to average 4.5 runs/game despite featuring many guys who are not major-league ready. They were able to crack Zack Wheeler for 4 runs last night, so tonight’s matchup with Matt Moore(6.12 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) shouldn’t present much of a challenge. That being said, Nationals SP Patrick Corbin has had an equally bad season(6.09 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) and has completely lost the trust he had from bettors just a few seasons ago. The Phillies have had their struggles against lefties in the month of August, but since June 1st, they’ve hit .264 with 19 HR’s against lefties on the road. Neither bullpen is trustworthy, and I’m almost certain that we’ll see runs scored late in this game. This total is simply too low given the pitching matchup.
While the Reds have had a better season than the Cardinals, I don’t think a line this high is warranted. That’s especially true considering tonight’s pitching matchup. Reds SP Sonny Gray has had an up-and-down season, and it’s hard for me to trust him on a start-to-start basis; pitching at home this season, Gray has a 4.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and a 1.5 HR/9. The Cardinals lineup is pretty mediocre, but they do tend to swing the bats better on the road and have plenty of capable bats throughout their lineup. Cardinals SP Miles Mikolas has made just 3 starts this season due to injury, but he’s built a solid reputation throughout his career in St. Louis. Just 3 years ago, he recorded a sub-3.00 ERA season. This Reds lineup will present a tough matchup, but 3 straight games of scoring just 1 run hints that this lineup is not in great current form. Neither bullpen is all that reliable, but I would still give the advantage to St. Louis in that regard. This is a hyper-inflated line because the Reds are a fun team to watch, but the Cardinals are the smart play at this price.
Yesterday was just one of those days. A bunch of sharps and I were aligned on plays that seemed like great value– the Reds by margin and the Sox/Rays over 9 in particular, only to be let down by the Reds and Red Sox offenses. That’s just how the ball bounces sometimes and it’s one reason why I’m looking forward to football! Here’s today’s free play (if you’re interested in a premium package with many more daily plays, click here):
Padres/Diamondbacks under 8 (EVEN), 2 units: To say the Padres have been ice cold recently would be quite the understatement. No doubt San Diego is the better and more loaded team entering Tuesday– and they’re still right in the thick of the NL playoff race— but they’ve been AWFUL on offense. Averaging only 3.5 runs in their last 10 games and ranked dead last over the last 14 days in a slew of different hitting categories, including batting average, wOBA, and slugging percentage, the Padres are certainly due for positive regression. I just don’t think this is the spot (perhaps the spot was last night). Arizona, for all their disappointments this year, has played better at home and Zac Gallen (4.32 ERA, 1.31 WHIP over 85.1 innings) is far from their worst starter. Gallen maintains xERA and xFIP numbers below 4.00 and has looked more confident and commanding in his last few starts. Blake Snell (4.58 ERA, 1.45 WHIP over 114 innings) hasn’t had the year he wanted but his numbers aren’t entirely subpar. He’s holding batters to a 74.9% LOB rate, his xFIP is 3.85, and the month of August has treated him well- Snell boasts a 2.12 ERA through this past month and in 5 starts, he allowed more than 2 runs just once. Against a mediocre Arizona lineup, I’m confident he can have a strong showing. The Diamondbacks have won 6 of their last 8 games at home and 5 out of those 8 games were 8 runs or less. The under is 6-2 in Padres last 8 games as a favorite. I’ll take the under for 2 units.
We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neill discusses some early lines as well as some plays. First, we get into some injuries as well as some betting philosophies for another season influenced from Covid. Next, he get’s into some college lines for Thursday as well as a play that we are eyeing up. Then, Kiev looks at every NFL line available, and recaps what we bet on early as well as some power rating discrepancies. If you are a handicapper and are looking build upon your base and bottom line, please contact us at TheOddsBreakers.com!
Check out Footballcontest.com to get into the huge Las Vegas NFL contests this year and please be sure to tell them that The OddsBreakers sent you.
For only 24.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop!
Should you need a sportsbook please visit mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 50% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.
Tuesday card has a Rare 6* Perfect System headlining the MLB Card along with our U.S. Open Tennis Plays.
The MLB Comp Play is on Oakland at 7:10 eastern. Oakland is in off the big Sunday night home win over the Yankees and takes on a Struggling Detroit team that lost here to Minnesota on Monday Oakland has won 22 of the last 23 vs the Tigers. They are 9-3 vs losing teams and 38-16 vs a lefty. Detroit is 25-65 long term at home vs winning teams and 1-6 of late at home. We will back Irvin over Skubal in this match. Look for Oakland to take the Opener. On Tuesday a Powerful Card is up with a Rare 6* MLB Undefeated Power System Play headlining Bases along with Tennis U.S. Open Plays. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook to Jump on and put these Powerful Plays on your side. For the MLBV Comp Play. Play on the Athletics. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
We start the day with an afternoon matinee winner with the Twins cashing! I am giving out my other premium play for free below.
Our record of late is 15-5 (75%) in our last 20 plays, 16-6 (73%) in our last 22 underdog plays, 34-15 (69%) in our last 49 plays and 49-27 (64%) in our last 76 plays.
1st College Football pick will be released this week! Get on board from the start! Pick from 11 different subscriptions at the SPORTS PICK HUB!
You can also get a DISCOUNTED monthly all access passHERE at The Odds Breakers.
The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays kick off a 4-game set tonight at Tropicana Field. Right-hander Nick Pivetta will take the mound for the BoSox. He is 9-6 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.31 WHIP over 130 innings pitched on the year. Pivetta owns a 3.56 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, .264 BABIP and 4.27 xFIP on the road this season. Since the break, Pivetta has been less effective pitching to a 5.35 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 4.81 xFIP. Rookie right-hander Luis Patino will get the nod for the Rays. He enters with a 3-3 record and a 4.53 ERA and 1.24 WHIP across 51.2 innings pitched this season. At home this year, Patino owns a 2.10 ERA and 0.94 WHIP but has a very concerning .203 BABIP and 4.85 xFIP. Additionally, like Pivetta, he has struggled a bit in the second half while posting a 1.34 WHIP, .238 BABIP and a very high 5.56 xFIP. Offensively, these are two of the best teams in baseball ranking 1st and 3rd in runs scored this season. Both ballclubs also rank in the upper 3rd of the league in homeruns, runs scored, slugging, OPS, ISO, wOBA and wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year. Additionally, Boston and Tampa have continued to hit well and rank 1st and 2nd in wRC+ versus righties over the past month. Tampa Bay’s bullpen has been one of the best in the league this season but over the past month they have posted a very lucky .222 BABIP and 4.50 xFIP. That could be exposed tonight. Then there’s Boston’s pen. They have earned the leagues worst WHIP (1.63) while teams are hitting .273 in the past 30 days against them. Spells runs to me. Take Over 8.5 runs
