49ers: Nick Martin – 11 tackles, Demone Harris – 1 sack
Weather:
Partly cloudy with a temperature of 78 degrees.
Prediction:
This should be a rather boring game where we do not see many starters. The 49ers are in wide receiver hell right now as they lost a bunch of guys to injury and suspension. They are picking guys off of the street to see who can play. Meanwhile, Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh loves to win in his final week of preseason games at 5-0, while 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan is a mere 2-4. I trust Taylor Heinicke and Tre Lance who may want a good showing for his former team. The 49ers have Mac Jones and Kurtis Rourke on the shelf, so we will see mostly Carter Bradly for this game. I love the Chargers here to get the job done.
We have a great show for you today! Ron Marmalefski @RonAceSports is back to break down some college football! First, Kiev talks about the upcoming weekend at Circa Sports. Get there to get in these wonderful contests. Next, Ron comes on and the guys get right into some college football. The guys talk about overrated/underrated teams for 2025. After that, Ron goes into some thoughts for each conference with a few plays sprinkled in. After that, we talk college football week 0 and week 1 with a few more plays. Finally, Kiev gives out a long shot for the Biletnikof award. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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We have a great show for you today! We talk more NFL and Fantasy football with Dave! First, Kiev recaps the weekend’s UFC and NFL beats. Next, we talk some NFL preseason week 3 with some information on coaches as well as a Free Play! Then, Dave comes in and the boys talk some Fantasy Football RB and WR rankings. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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This should be a fun game at AT&T stadium as the Ravens come down to play. What We should be saying is that the 2nd and 3rd string is coming to play for both teams as we will not see too may big names.
🔥 Key Storylines
Quarterback Duel:
Joe Milton III starts for Dallas, looking to solidify his role as Dak Prescott’s backup. He’s a gifted athlete with a cannon arm but struggles with accuracy and decision-making.
Cooper Rush returns to Dallas after seven seasons, now backing up Lamar Jackson in Baltimore. He’s motivated to bounce back after a rough debut (2-for-4, 16 yards, 1 INT).
Passing Game Focus:
Both teams are expected to emphasize aerial attacks. With Milton and Rush getting extended reps, analysts predict a high-scoring game and recommend betting the Over 36.5.
Defensive Depth Tests:
Ravens: Rookie CBs Bilhal Kone and Robert Longerbeam are out for the season. Watch for T.J. Tampa, Jalyn Armour-Davis, and Reuben Lowery to step up.
Cowboys: Injuries to Trevon Diggs, Caelen Carson, and Shavon Revel Jr. have thinned their secondary. Kaiir Elam is emerging, but depth remains a concern.
Edge Rushers to Watch:
Baltimore’s young pass rushers like David Ojabo, Adisa Isaac, and standout rookie Mike Green are expected to feast on Dallas’ shallow offensive line depth.
👀 Players to Watch
Team
Player
Role/Storyline
Ravens
Cooper Rush
Former Cowboy, now backup QB for Lamar Jackson
Ravens
Mike Green
Rookie edge rusher, disruptive in Week 1
Ravens
Reuben Lowery
Versatile DB trying to crack the 53-man roster
Cowboys
Joe Milton III
Raw but athletic QB, starting vs. Ravens
Cowboys
Tyler Booker
1st-round OL making debut, key to protecting Milton
Cowboys
Jaydon Blue
Rookie RB, returning from injury
Weather: Dome stadium
Prediction:
This game isn’t hard to figure out. While new Cowboys coach Brian Shottenheimer is 0-1 in the preseason, there is nothing for me to go by to tell me that they will try to win the game. On the other hand, Ravens coach John Harbaugh is the GOAT of preseason football at 46-16. He is 21-6 during the middle weeks of preseason football, and I expect that effort to continue. The price on the spread is tempting, but the rule of thumb is to not lay -1.5 in preseason football as many times the game is decided by one point or ties. Gonna go with what has worked over 10 plus years.
We have a MASSIVE show for you today! Two of the biggest names in college football betting in Brad Powers @BradPowers7 from Brad Powers Sports & ‘The Bear’ Chris Fallica @ChrisFallica from Fox Sports combine the powers and find some value for the 2025 season! First, Brad and Kiev talk about the off season. Next, the guys get into some creative prop ideas and share them. Chris comes on and gives us a new one that we like. Then, the guys pick a team that is favored to make the CFB playoffs who might falter. After that, the guys get into their season win totals and future plays from each conference! Lots of great discussion, some minor disagreements, and some good comments from listeners. Next, the boys talk College football week 1 with some more Free Plays! Then, the guys give out a few Heisman and awards plays. A few long shots for BIG MONEY. Finally, Kiev talks some UFC 319! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Georgia Tech SWT O/U 7.5
Going into the 2025 season, I think that there is an ACC team here being overlooked. Clemson is good, but I am not as high on Clemson as everyone else. Don’t forget the team that almost beat Georgia last season in Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets rank 18th in post spring returning production. That is a solid number these days. Yellow Jacket’s quarterback Haynes King was fantastic last year throwing at a 73% completion percentage as well as 14 touchdowns and only two interceptions. King also ran for over 500 yards. If you are still wondering how this team could get tot he championship game, here is the kicker. The 2025 football schedule for the Bee’s is the best. This team completely avoids traveling to the west coast. Their season also avoids Louisville, Florida State, Miami, SMU, and North Carolina. Literally most the the best teams in the ACC. I also love how recruiting has improved on 247sports ranking 33rd in 2024, and 21st in 2025. This football team also gets Clemson at home to kick off the ACC season. I see a bunch of value on this team and will take their win total over as well as their future to win the conference.
Georgia Tech over 7.5 wins and to win the ACC +1200
The FedEx Cup Playoffs continue this week with the BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club, featuring the top 50 players in the standings. With only the top 30 advancing to next week’s TOUR Championship, the stakes are high as players battle to keep their FedEx Cup title hopes alive and compete for the PGA TOUR’s ultimate prize.
The Ryder Cup will be held at the end of September at Bethpage State Park’s Black Course, and both the U.S. and European teams are starting to take shape. The United States has already locked in three of its six automatic qualifiers: Scottie Scheffler, J.J. Spaun, and Xander Schauffele. The remaining three automatic spots will be decided after this week’s BMW Championship, going to the players ranked fourth through sixth in the U.S. points standings. U.S. captain Keegan Bradley will announce his six captain’s picks on August 27, following the conclusion of the TOUR Championship.
3 spots locked up on the U.S. Ryder Cup Team🔒 🇺🇸
This time next week we'll have all six automatic qualifiers headed to Bethpage Black. 🏆
On the European side, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood have secured their places. The rest of the team will be finalized through three additional automatic qualifiers and captain Luke Donald’s selections.
Only the top 30 players in the FedExCup standings will advance to the TOUR Championship after this week. Those who make it will earn a two-year PGA TOUR exemption through 2027, along with entry into the major championships that traditionally honor top-30 finishers.
Several big names are currently on the outside looking in, including Xander Schauffele (43rd), Matt Fitzpatrick (40th), and Rickie Fowler (48th). Ryan Fox (34th) and Brian Campbell (39th), both two-time winners on the PGA TOUR this season, also need strong performances to move into the top 30.
Minimum finish required to pass 30th in FedExCup
Golfer
Rank
Points (entering week)
Minimum finish
Lucas Glover
30th
1,234
—
Sam Stevens
31st
1,207
Solo 40th
Ryan Gerard
32nd
1,202
two-way T38
Daniel Berger
33rd
1,180
two-way T33
Ryan Fox
34th
1,157
two-way T29
Taylor Pendrith
35th
1,150
two-way T28
Thomas Detry
36th
1,142
solo 27th
Kurt Kitayama
37th
1,122
three-way T23
Denny McCarthy
38th
1,121
two-way T23
Brian Campbell
39th
1,120
two-way T23
Matt Fitzpatrick
40th
1,104
two-way T21
Si Woo Kim
41st
1,102
solo 21st
Michael Kim
42nd
1,100
solo 21st
Xander Schauffele
43rd
1,099
solo 21st
Jason Day
44th
1,093
solo 20th
Harry Hall
45th
1,075
solo 18th
Bud Cauley
46th
1,051
solo 15th
Tom Hoge
47th
1,042
three-way T13
Rickie Fowler
48th
1,032
solo 13th
Jhonattan Vegas
49th
1,003
two-way T11
J.T. Poston
50th
996
solo 11th
Every player in the BMW Championship field has already locked up a spot in all Signature Events on the 2026 PGA TOUR schedule, as well as the 2026 PLAYERS Championship.
BMW Championship returns to Caves Valley
The BMW Championship returns to Caves Valley for the first time since 2021, when Patrick Cantlay outlasted Bryson DeChambeau in a thrilling six-hole playoff. Unfortunately for us, we had backed DeChambeau that week (looking back, it’s wild to see how far our articles have come since then).
We’ll see a slightly different version of Caves Valley this week, as the course has since undergone a renovation that increased its yardage, altered the layout, and changed the par from 72 to 70.
The BMW Championship, the second event in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, has been a key fixture on the PGA TOUR schedule since 2007 when it replaced the historic Western Open. As the penultimate stop before the TOUR Championship, it brings together the top 50 players in the FedEx Cup standings, all vying for a coveted spot in the season finale. The tournament has traveled to some of the most prestigious courses in the country, including Cog Hill, Crooked Stick, Medinah, Olympia Fields, and Caves Valley, each offering a distinctive challenge. Past champions include golfing greats such as Rory McIlroy, Tiger Woods, Dustin Johnson, and Patrick Cantlay, who famously outlasted Bryson DeChambeau in a dramatic playoff at Caves Valley in 2021. Known for elite fields, high stakes, and thrilling finishes, the BMW Championship consistently produces some of the most memorable moments of the golf season.
Caves Valley Golf Club, in Owings Mills, Maryland, is a Tom Fazio creation that opened in 1991 and quickly established itself among the premier courses in the Mid-Atlantic. With its rolling terrain, strategic bunkering, and fast, undulating greens, the course has hosted several notable events, including the 2002 U.S. Senior Open, the 2005 NCAA Men’s Golf Championship, and multiple USGA amateur championships. Its first PGA TOUR appearance came in 2021, when it staged the BMW Championship and delivered an unforgettable playoff between Patrick Cantlay and Bryson DeChambeau.
Ahead of its 2025 return to the FedEx Cup Playoffs, Caves Valley underwent a major renovation to elevate its challenge for the modern professional. The layout was re-routed, increasing the total yardage from 7,542 to 7,601 yards and converting several par-5s into demanding par-4s, resulting in a Par 70. The first hole was extended by more than 110 yards, with a lowered fairway and a green repositioned to the left. The par-3 17th received a new tee box and a water hazard guarding the front of the green, adding over 50 yards to the hole. All 86 bunkers were rebuilt with the CapillaryFlow liner system to improve drainage and reduce storm washouts, while fairway contours were expanded and greens were refined. PrecisionAire subsurface systems were also installed beneath every green complex, ensuring consistent firmness and conditioning, all while preserving the signature character of Fazio’s original design.
Caves Valley has evolved since 2021.
In 2023, the club completely renovated their course in just 100(!) days.
Caves Valley Golf Club, designed by Tom Fazio, is a par-70 layout stretching 7,601 yards. The course offers a balanced mix of four par 3s, twelve par 4s, and two par 5s, rewarding players who can combine distance with solid ball striking.
As the third longest course on the PGA TOUR this season, its 33-yard-wide fairways rank among the 20 widest, making length off the tee more valuable than pinpoint accuracy. The greens are smaller than the TOUR average at about 5,200 square feet, placing extra importance on precise approach shots. With just 68 bunkers, the 19th fewest on TOUR, hazards are less of a factor, but players will still need sharp iron play to score well.
The four Par 3s at Caves Valley Golf Club range from 197 to 245 yards, placing a premium on precision and smart club selection. At the 2021 BMW Championship, only one hole, No. 6, played over par on average, while the others (No. 3, No. 13, and No. 17) proved to be easier.
At the 2021 BMW Championship, this hole played at 225 yards, but for this year’s tournament, it has been lengthened by 20 yards.
An intimidating tee shot on the 245-yard par 3 for players hitting over water to the largest green on the course. A back left pin will make this hole play substantially tougher than other holes. Long and right are the misses here for players hitting long iron onto this green.
At the 2021 BMW Championship, this hole played at 197 yards, but for this year’s tournament, it has been lengthened by 48 yards.
Beautiful sand bunkers guard the green with a water feature on the right. The early summer and fall prevailing winds help keep the ball left of the water; however, it is deemed harder than it appears. The green slopes back-to-front, par will be a good score for this par 3.
Caves Valley Golf Club features twelve par 4s, most of which fall between 450 and 500 yards. Strategy plays a major role, particularly on holes that offer tempting risk-reward opportunities. In 2021, the two toughest Par 4s were the 18th and 9th.
This par 4, 470-yard hole provides an uphill walk to the fairway and will not be an easy finish to the back nine. This is another tee shot where the bunkers are firmly in play, pinched into the sides of the fairway and forcing players to aim down the middle. Most players will be left with a long iron or hybrid into an elevated green, protected by a large, deep bunker in front with two other bunkers surrounding.
Playing as a par 5 for members and previously played as a par 5 in 2021, this hole is now a demanding 568-yard par 4.There is no tolerance for a right-handed slice with water that runs down the right side of the hole. The bunkers have been designed so that a tee shot must be short of the penalty area, or the longest of hitters will have a narrow window to negotiate the bunkers up the left and right side of the fairway landing area. The green is large, and beware of a right pin location, which may push balls into the water.
The tee measures 470 yards to the green from the Championship tee on this par 4, while playing uphill and into a prevailing wind. Bunkers have been pinched into the left side of the fairway, with an 8-foot-wide winding stream running down the right side of the hole. Players must find the fairway with their tee shot to have any chance at a birdie or par. Hitting uphill into a green that is difficult to see means that players must be precise with their yardage. Approach shots missed to the right will find the stream, while bailing out left will find a tough greenside bunker.
Both par 5s at Caves Valley Golf Club, No. 4 and No. 16, played under par in 2021 and present the best birdie or eagle chances on the course. That said, hitting the fairway is crucial to capitalize on these scoring opportunities.
A daunting par 5 measuring 590 yards from the back tee. Staying left on the tee shot will provide a possible approach, while short and right is all trouble. The longest hitters may choose to fly over the corner dogleg bunker, which could mean the difference between a long iron and fairway wood into the green. Attempts to reach this green in two shots that come up left or right will find new greenside bunkers from which birdie will be an unlikely score. As players are walking down the fairway from the tee, they can look to their right to take in the impressive view of the 15th and 16th holes.
This 600-yard hole is the toughest par 5 on the course. Large bunkers line the left and right sides of the landing zone, so accuracy off the tee is a must. Players that find the bunkers off the tee will be forced to take a lofted club to advance the ball back into the fairway. The green sits horizontally and is extremely difficult with multiple hole locations.
As the BMW Championship returns to Caves Valley Golf Club for the first time since 2021, comparing the course to PGA TOUR averages can provide insight into which players may have an edge. It is worth noting that the course has undergone renovations since its last appearance, so these statistics may not fully reflect how it will play this year. Here is how Caves Valley Golf Club stacks up statistically:
Statistics
PGA Tour Average
Caves Valley Golf Club
Driving Distance (Yards)
284.03
294.05
Driving Accuracy
62%
66%
GIR Percentage
66%
72%
Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet)
29.17
33.00
Scrambling Percentage
57%
68%
Avg 3 Putts / Round
0.55
0.39
According to DataGolf, players who perform well at Caves Valley Golf Club usually excel in ball striking and driving distance. The course features wide fairways on nearly every hole and few hazards, rewarding those who can generate length off the tee. This advantage leads to easier approach shots and more scoring opportunities.
Strokes Gained: Approach
Approach play remains one of the most critical stats at Caves Valley Golf Club. With its large, undulating greens and challenging pin positions, players who can consistently dial in their iron shots generate the best scoring opportunities. This is an essential factor for contending in Baltimore.
Leaders in SG: Approach (Last 24 Rounds):
Scottie Scheffler
Viktor Hovland
Kurt Kitayama
Shane Lowry
Hideki Matsuyama
Akshay Bhatia
Collin Morikawa
Patrick Cantlay
Tommy Fleetwood
Ben Griffin
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
This course rewards players who can consistently find the fairway while also hitting long, well-placed drives. Players who excel in this area often gain a significant advantage, as they are better positioned to attack the greens and avoid costly mistakes.
Leaders in SG: Ball Striking (Last 24 Rounds):
Chris Gotterup
Scottie Scheffler
Sam Stevens
Cameron Young
Rory McIlroy
Ludvig Aberg
Daniel Berger
Kurt Kitayama
Sepp Straka
Maverick McNealy
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Caves Valley features Pure Distinction bentgrass greens, known for their speed and subtle breaks. Putting proficiency on these greens is a major factor in separating the contenders.
Leaders in SG: Putting (Bentgrass) (Last 24 Rounds):
Harris English
Matt Fitzpatrick
Harry Hall
Sam Burns
Brian Campbell
Jacob Bridgeman
Sam Stevens
Justin Rose
Scottie Scheffler
Keegan Bradley
Driving Distance Gained
At a course like Caves Valley Golf Club, stretching over 7,600 yards, longer drives offer a clear advantage by reducing the distance needed for approach shots and opening up more scoring opportunities.
Leaders in Driving Distance Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
Rory McIlroy
Chris Gotterup
Xander Schauffele
Kurt Kitayama
Ludvig Aberg
Jhonattan Vegas
Taylor Pendrith
Cameron Young
Sam Burns
Keegan Bradley
Par 3 Scoring: 225+ Yards
Caves Valley features several long par 3s over 225 yards, demanding precise iron play and strong ball striking to navigate the challenging tee shots and tricky greens.
Leaders in Par 3 Scoring: 225+ Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Scottie Scheffler
Matt Fitzpatrick
Chris Gotterup
Brian Harman
Sam Stevens
Ryan Gerard
Ben Griffin
Ryan Fox
Daniel Berger
Patrick Cantlay
Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards
With twelve par 4s on the course, half of them fall between 450 and 500 yards. These holes are key battlegrounds, requiring a mix of smart strategy, solid tee shots, and precise approach shots to score well.
Leaders in Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Sam Burns
Jhonattan Vegas
Cameron Young
Scottie Scheffler
Chris Gotterup
Shane Lowry
Tommy Fleetwood
Ludvig Aberg
Justin Rose
Lucas Glover
Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards
Both par 5s at Caves Valley fall into this distance range and offer some of the best scoring opportunities, especially for longer hitters who can reach the greens in two shots.
Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Akshay Bhatia
Xander Schauffele
Rory McIlroy
Scottie Scheffler
Matt Fitzpatrick
Ben Griffin
Sam Burns
Denny McCarthy
Ludvig Aberg
Jhonattan Vegas
Birdies or Better Gained
A key measure of scoring potential, this stat highlights players who consistently capitalize on scoring chances. Success at Caves Valley often hinges on the ability to rack up birdies when they arise.
Leaders in Birdies or Better Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
Scottie Scheffler
Rory McIlroy
Harry Hall
J.J. Spaun
Justin Thomas
Ben Griffin
Chris Gotterup
Justin Rose
Robert Macintyre
Rickie Fowler
Proximity: 175 – 200, 200+ Yards
Caves Valley demands precision on longer approach shots, with a high volume of greens being attacked from the 175 and up yard range. This tests both mid and long-iron play, making proximity to the hole from these distances a strong predictor of success.
Leaders in Proximity: 175-200 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Viktor Hovland
Si Woo Kim
Hideki Matsuyama
Scottie Scheffler
Brian Campbell
Harris English
Kurt Kitayama
Shane Lowry
Taylor Pendrith
Patrick Cantlay
Leaders in Proximity: 200+ Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Scottie Scheffler
Hideki Matsuyama
Ryan Gerard
Matt Fitzpatrick
Viktor Hovland
Akshay Bhatia
Russell Henley
Kurt Kitayama
Tommy Fleetwood
Sam Stevens
Strokes Gained: Total (Easy Scoring Conditions)
At a course like Caves Valley Golf Club, when conditions allow for lower scores, the players who can consistently gain strokes across all facets tend to rise to the top.
Leaders in Strokes Gained: Total (Easy Scoring Conditions) (Last 24 Rounds):
Akshay Bhatia
Scottie Scheffler
Russell Henley
Daniel Berger
Ben Griffin
Collin Morikawa
Brian Campbell
Hideki Matsuyama
Ludvig Aberg
Sepp Straka
Comparable Courses and Event History
These are your course horses. Players who’ve repeatedly performed well at Caves Valley or similar layouts. Whether due to course fit, comfort with the setup, or success on comparable tests, this group offers a strong track record for contending at the BMW Championship.
Leaders in SG: Total – Caves Valley Golf Club:
Patrick Cantlay
Sungjae Im
Rory McIlroy
Sam Burns
Viktor Hovland
Scottie Scheffler
Justin Thomas
Corey Conners
Harris English
Shane Lowry
Daniel Berger
Leaders in SG: Total – Comparable Courses (TPC Craig Ranch, Vidanta World (Vidanta Vallarta Course), Wilmington Country Club (South)):
Scottie Scheffler
Akshay Bhatia
Xander Schauffele
Sam Burns
Daniel Berger
Patrick Cantlay
Taylor Pendrith
Brian Campbell
Ben Griffin
Kurt Kitayama
The Field:
The 2025 BMW Championship will feature a field of 50 players, with 25 of the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking set to compete.
Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
Top 50 FedExCup Points
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
Keegan Bradley (2024, 2018), Viktor Hovland (2023), Patrick Cantlay (2022, 2021), Justin Thomas (2019), Jason Day (2015), Rory McIlroy (2012), Justin Rose (2011)
Previous Winners in the Field (Course):
Patrick Cantlay (2021)
Debutants in the Field:
Andrew Novak, Benjamin Griffin, Brian Campbell, Christopher Gotterup, Harry Hall, Jacob Bridgeman, Michael Kim, Ryan Fox, Ryan Gerard, Sam Stevens
Players with ties to Maryland in the Field:
Birthplace/Raised:
Denny McCarthy – Rockville, Maryland
Michael Kim – Silver Springs, Maryland (born in Korea, raised in Maryland)
College:
Brian Campbell – University of Maryland (later transferred to the University of Illinois)
Caddie Changes:
Here’s Scottie Scheffler and fill-in caddie Mark Cromie.
Cromie subbing in for Ted Scott, who is back home dealing with a personal matter. Cromie is Chris Kirk’s regular caddie.
Scheffler’s team confirmed Cromie is expected on the bag for the full week at BMW. pic.twitter.com/E9tXmVOCRQ
Sepp Straka WD from the BMW Championship due to a private family matter.
Statement from Straka’s manager Butler Melnyk: “For personal reasons, Sepp is unable to play this week. He intends to compete at the TOUR Championship, but requests privacy at this time as he attends to a…
Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the top players in the field for this year’s BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club, ranked by current betting odds (via DraftKings). The table below details each player’s five most recent finishes on the PGA TOUR and their last five results at the BMW Championship.
Golfer
Odds
Last 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR (Recent -> Past)
Last 5 Finishes at the BMW Championship (Recent -> Past)
Will There Be a Playoff at the BMW Championship? (Yes +400 / No -650)
The BMW Championship has not gone to a playoff in the past three years. The last time it happened was in 2021, which was also the most recent time Caves Valley Country Club hosted this event.
Recent Horses for Courses (Caves Valley Golf Club):
BMW Championship
Caves Valley Golf Club
Golfer
2021
Patrick Cantlay
WON
Sungjae Im
3
Rory McIlroy
4
Sam Burns
8
Viktor Hovland
T17
Recent Donkeys for Courses (Caves Valley Golf Club):
BMW Championship
Caves Valley Golf Club
Golfer
2021
Maverick McNealy
T63
Collin Morikawa
T63
Keegan Bradley
T60
Russell Henley
T60
Tom Hoge
T49
Xander Schauffele
T49
Hideki Matsuyama
T46
Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):
2024: Keegan Bradley (-12) – Castle Pines Golf Club
Price: 100-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
7th
1st
2nd
6th
34th
2023: Viktor Hovland (-17) – Olympia Fields Country Club (North Course)
Price: 18-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
2nd
3rd
4th
34th
4th
2022: Patrick Cantlay (-14) – Wilmington Country Club (South)
Price: 16-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
3rd
2nd
6th
40th
23rd
2021: Patrick Cantlay (-27) – Caves Valley Country Club
Price: 25-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
15th
28th
28th
47th
1st
2020: Jon Rahm (-4) – Olympia Fields Country Club (North)
Price: 10-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
7th
6th
9th
13th
6th
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
2024: Keegan Bradley
T59 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
T22 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
T46 – 3M Open (PGA)
MC – The Open Championship (MAJ)
T39 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
2023: Viktor Hovland
T13 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
T13 – The Open Championship (MAJ)
T25 – Genesis Scottish Open (PGA)
T29 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
19 – U.S. Open (MAJ)
2022: Patrick Cantlay
T57 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
T2 – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
T8 – The Open Championship (MAJ)
T4 – Genesis Scottish Open (PGA)
T13 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
2021: Patrick Cantlay
T11 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
T23 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)
MC – The Open Championship (MAJ)
T13 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
T15 – U.S. Open (MAJ)
2020: Jon Rahm
T6 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
T13 – PGA Championship (MAJ)
T52 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)
WON – the Memorial Tournament (PGA)
T27 – Workday Charity Open (PGA)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2024: Keegan Bradley
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
Castle Pines Golf Club
Wilmington Country Club (South)
Caves Valley Country Club
Medinah Country Club (No. 3)
Aronimink Golf Club
Conway Farms Golf Club
Conway Farms Golf Club
Cherry Hills Country Club
Conway Farms Golf Club
Crooked Stick Golf Club
Cog Hill Golf & Country Club
2023
2022
2021
2019
2018
2017
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
T29
T58
T60
T43
WON
T27
T28
WD
T16
T59
T16
2023: Viktor Hovland
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
Wilmington Country Club (South)
Caves Valley Country Club
Olympia Fields Country Club (North)
2022
2021
2020
T35
T17
T40
2022: Patrick Cantlay
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
Caves Valley Country Club
Olympia Fields Country Club (North)
Medinah Country Club (No. 3)
Aronimink Golf Club
Conway Farms Golf Club
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
WON
T12
2
T55
T9
2021: Patrick Cantlay
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
Olympia Fields Country Club (North)
Medinah Country Club (No. 3)
Aronimink Golf Club
Conway Farms Golf Club
2020
2019
2018
2017
T12
2
T55
T9
2020: Jon Rahm
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
BMW Championship
Medinah Country Club (No. 3)
Aronimink Golf Club
Conway Farms Golf Club
2019
2018
2017
T5
T24
T5
Picks:
Outrights
Ludvig Aberg (+2200) – DraftKings
Cameron Young (+3000) – DraftKings
Chris Gotterup (+4000) – FanDuel
Ben Griffin (+4000) – FanDuel
Kurt Kitayama (+4500) – DraftKings
Tournament Matchups
Taylor Pendrith (-120) over Andrew Novak – DraftKings
Rickie Fowler (-115) over Shane Lowry – DraftKings
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
1-20 – Very Fast 20-45 – Medium Fast 46-85- Medium 86-110 – Medium Slow 111 – 136 Very Slow
Head Coaching changes:
Appalachian State:
2024 Coach: Shawn Clark – Shawn ranked 35th in pace at 25.5 seconds between plays.
2025 Coach: Dowell Loggains – The previous OC at South Carolina ranked in the middle at 68th in pace. I expect much of the same with the team slowing it down some.
Change: Medium Fast to Medium
Ball State:
2024 Coach: Mike Neu – Temple ranked 71st in seconds between plays at 27.2.
2025 Coach: Mike Uremovich – Prior to Butler, Mike was an OC at temple ranking 30th in plays per game.
Change: Medium to Medium Fast
Bowling Green:
2024 Coach: Scot Loeffler – The Falcons ranked turtle like 118th in pace at a slow 29.4 seconds between plays.
2025 Coach: Eddie George – Did a good job at Tennessee state and they scored a good amount of points. I expect a medium fast schedule, but my confidence level is low.
Change: Very Slow to Medium Fast
Central Michigan:
2024 Coach: Jim McElwain – The Chippewas were a slow 101st in pace, but you probably didn’t win on too many unders due to a terrible defense.
2025 Coach: Matt Drinkall – coming as an OC from Army, I expect a slow slow pace like they had last year ranking dead last in seconds between plays at 32.85. While they won’t be an option offense, I expect slow play.
Change: Medium Slow to Very Slow
Charlotte:
2024 Coach: Biff Poggi – This team was a tad bit slow ranking 83rd in pace.
2025 Coach: Tim Albin – Tim won the MAC title and jumped ship to Charlotte. His teams played a very slow pace ranking 119th at 29.8 seconds between plays.
Change: Medium Slow to Very Slow
East Carolina:
2024 Coach: Mike Houston – Houston, we have a problem. This team played very fast thanks to offensive coordinator John David Baker ranking 2nd in the league at 21.9 second between plays. Mike Houston was fired mid-season.
2025 Coach: Blake Harrell – Blake Harrell who was defensive coordinator took over the team in October being promoted to interim from defensive coordinator. ECU went 5-1 and Blake got the full time gig. John David Baker remains the OC so speed is what we need.
Change: Very fast to Very Fast
Florida Atlantic:
2024 Coach: Tom Herman – Last season, the Owls had a modest pace ranking 65th in the nation.
2025 Coach: Zac Kittley – As an OC at Texas Tech, Kittley had his team ranking a blazing 6th in pace at 23.3 seconds between plays.
Change: Medium to Very Fast
Florida International:
2024 Coach: Mike MacIntyre – FIU was a slower paced team ranking 94th in total pace.
2025 Coach: Willie Simmons – Simmons was the running game coordinator at Duke before taking the FIU job. Before that he was an FCS coach at Florida A&M. I expect a faster pace as Duke ranked 28th in pace.
Change: Medium Slow to Medium Fast
Fresno State:
2024 Coach: Tim Skipper (Interim) – Kind of a medium pace ranking 47th last season.
2025 Coach: Matt Entz – A Lincoln Riley disciple from USC, the Trojans ranked 48th in pace. I actually expect a bit faster this year as USC’s history had faster play.
Change: Medium to Medium Fast
Jacksonville State:
2024 Coach: Rich Rodriguez – This team was a blazing 9th in pace last year. Might have been more without blowouts.
2025 Coach: Charles Kelly – Charles Kelly has been in the league as a DC for a very long time. Clint Trickett will be the OC who comes from Georgia Southern. They had a medium pace. I expect slower play.
Change: Very Fast to Medium
Kennesaw State:
2024 Coach: Brian Bohannon – I thought the firing of Brian Bohannon mid-season was weird. They just got to the FBS. Anyways, they ranked 99th in pace.
2025 Coach: Jerry Mack – Jerry Mack comes from the NFOL. He was the OC at Rice back about 5-7 years ago and his pace was quite slow. I expect continued slow pace.
Change: Medium Slow to Medium Slow
Kent State:
2024 Coach: Kenni Burns – This teamed burned time ranking only 103rd in pace from the 2024 season.
2025 Coach: Mark Carney (interim) – Being that Mark was the OC, I do not expect much change.
Change: Medium Slow to Medium Slow
Marshall:
2024 Coach: Charles Huff – The Herd ranked 46h in pace from last season.
2025 Coach: Tony Gibson – Gibson comes in as a defensive coordinator from NC State. More importantly, Rod Smith comes in from being the OC at Jacksonville state and I expect a fast pace for 2025.
Change: Medium to Very Fast
New Mexico:
2024 Coach: Bronco Mendenhall – This bad team ranked 21st in pace last season.
2025 Coach: Jason Eck – Jason comes in from being the head coach at Idaho. The Vandals had a medium fast pace, and I expect the same.
Change: Medium Fast to Medium Fast
North Carolina:
2024 Coach: Mack Brown – Not so return of the Mack ranked 43rd in pace last season.
2025 Coach: Bill Belichick – The new Hugh Hefner won’t be calling the plays on offense. Freddy Kitchens will and he pretty much did that last season at UNC. I expect the same pace.
Change: Medium Fast to Medium Fast
Ohio:
2024 Coach: Tim Albin – Tim was methodical on offense ranking 120th in pace for the Bobcats.
2025 Coach: Brian Smith – Brian was the OC last year, so I expect a lot of the same.
Change: Very Slow to Very Slow
Purdue:
2024 Coach: Ryan Walters – Ryan’s Purdue to was worse than most group of five teams. Their tempo ranked 110th in the FBS.
2025 Coach: Barry Odom – Barry comes to save the day, but UNLV’s tempo was a modest 64th in the nation. I expect a medium pace.
Change: Medium Slow to Medium
Rice:
2024 Coach: Mike Bloomgren – Rice had an average pace ranking 51st at 26.5 seconds in between plays.
2025 Coach: Scott Abell – Comes from Davidson in the FCS. They scored enough points for me to believe that the pace will be medium fast.
Change: Medium to Medium Fast
Sam Houston:
2024 Coach: KC Keeler – This defensive first team ranked 81st in pace.
2025 Coach: Phil Longo – While Longo comes from Wisconsin that ranked 59th in pace, his days at North Carolina and other schools tell me that he will light it up now that he is in charge. Expect a spread / air raid style offense.
Change: Medium to Very Fast
Southern Miss:
2024 Coach: Will Hall – The Tempo ranked right in the middle at 64th in the nation.
2025 Coach: Charles Huff – Last year with Marshall, Huff had his team ranking 46th in pace. I expect close to the same if not a little slower.
Change: Medium to Medium
Stanford:
2024 Coach: Troy Taylor – When you suck this bad, you have to slow the pace down to 99th in the nation.
2025 Coach: Frank Reich – Hard to say with Frank Reich taking over. Nate Byham is promoted from TE coach to OC, so I think that he could keep it close to the same.
Change: Medium Slow to Medium Slow
Temple:
2024 Coach: Stan Drayton – Temple ranked 71st in pace of play. They should have ranked dead last as they were quite bad.
2025 Coach: KC Keeler – This is easy. Keeler ranked 81st in Tempo at Sam Houston. No Change.
Change: Medium to Medium
Tulsa:
2024 Coach: Kevin Wilson – The Golden Hurricane played like one ranking 13th in pace.
2025 Coach: Tre Lamb – At East Tennessee State, Tre had his team pacing Medium Fast. Although, I have low confidence in this one.
Change: Very Fast to Medium Fast
UCF:
2024 Coach: Gus Malzahn – The Gus bus has left the building as fast as his 22nd ranking in pace.
2025 Coach: Scott Frost – Although Scott Frost had to slow it down in Nebraska, I think he goes back to his old ways in the Big 12 where he had UCF at lighting speed.
Change: Medium Fast to Very Fast
UMass:
2024 Coach: Don Brown – Boring Don Brown had the Minute Men only ranking about 110th in pace. Although his defense was quite bad.
2025 Coach: Joe Harasymiak – Joe comes in from being a DC at Rugers. He did hire Northwestern’s OC Mike Bajakian who played slow at 106th in pace. No change.
Change: Medium Slow to Medium Slow
UNLV:
2024 Coach: Barry Odom – We already know that Barry ranked 69th in pace from Purdue.
2025 Coach: Dan Mullen – Dan got off of his lounge chair and came back to coaching. He ranked a methodical 92nd in pace back at Florida.
Change: Medium to Medium Slow
Utah State:
2024 Coach: Nate Dreiling (Interim) – Utah State ranked a very fast 4th in pace last year at 22.3 seconds between plays.
2025 Coach: Bronco Mendenhall – Bronco hqs had his teams playing fast lately. His OC Kevin McGiven comes from San Jose State and they ranked top 10 in tempo.
Change: Medium Fast to Very Fast
Wake Forest:
2024 Coach: Dave Clawson – No time was left on the table for Dave Clawson ranking 20th in pace from 2024.
2025 Coach: Jake Dickert – Jake Dickert ranked 42nd in pace of play, but I think they were actually faster than that being that they were involved in a lot of blowouts.
Change: Very Fast to Very Fast
Washington State:
2024 Coach: Jake Dickert – Like I said with Jake, He had this team playing faster than the numbers showed last season.
2025 Coach: Jimmy Rogers – I think Jimmy has this team playing Moderately fast like he did at South Dakota State.
Change: Medium Fast to Medium Fast
West Virginia:
2024 Coach: Neal Brown – Neal Brown had this team’s pace ranking 83rd.
2025 Coach: Rich Rodriguez – Rich Rod back at coach. I expect the same high speed and a lot of running the ball once again with the spread option.
Change: Medium to Very Fast
Substantial offensive coordinator pace changes:
Alabama:
Going from Nick Sheridan to Ryan Grubb should speed this team up some like it was for the 2023-2024 Washington Huskies.
Change: Medium to Medium Fast
Coastal Carolina:
This team was medium in pace and should go much faster with Drew Hollingshead at OC.
Change: Medium to Medium Fast
Florida State:
A change from Kevin Alex Atkins to Gus Malzahn’s RPO offense should speed this offense up a bit.
Change: Medium to Medium Fast
Houston:
A switch off of Kevin Barbay to Slade Nagle should speed it up some. Last year, Houston was 125th in pace. I expect somewhat of a speed increase with the pro-style of Slade Nagle.
Change: Very Slow to Medium Slow
Michigan:
This team ranked a snail’s 132nd in pace at 31.3 seconds in between snaps. With Chip Lindsey from North Carolina, I expect a lot more speed.
Change Very Slow to Medium Fast
Texas Tech:
Going from Zach Kittley to Mack Leftwhich should slow it down some as this team has improved their defense and Mack ranked 32nd in pace at Texas Tech.
Change: Very Fast to Medium
UCLA:
This team should speed it up some going from 127th in seconds between plays. They hared Curt Cignetti protégé Tino Sunersi who played faster in closer games.
Change: Very slow to Medium
Wisconsin:
Now that Phil Longo is gone, the Badgers hire Jeff Grimes from Kansas who will slow this down to a crawl. I expect this team to get back to those unders that we loved in the 2000s.
We have a great show for you today! D-Nasty is back to talk some fantasy football! First, we get into some recap from preseason week 1 and some of the big winners that we had found. Next, Kiev talks about NFL preseason week two as well as a Free Play for the weekend! Then, Dave comes on and the guys get right into fantasy football and running back share? Which running backs will make the teams? What is the percentage of carries? How often will there be a split backfield and more! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Our survivor contest will revive if two or more final remaining entries eliminate during any particular week! This will in turn maximize payouts to our final winner(s)!
Entrants attempt to select the winner for 1 game per week. Entrants that select only winners will advance to the next slate. The entrant that makes it the furthest takes home the whole prize. If all remaining entrants are eliminated in the same slate, they will all be considered winners and will all split the prize.
Check the individual week tabs in your picksheet to view the pick deadline for each week. The deadline appears at the top as “Picks lock” with the date and time.
Sport: Football
Contest Type: Survivor
Multi-Entry: Yes (10)
Slate: View all weeks
Entry Deadline: 9/7 @ 10:00 AM
Pick Deadline: Sun, Sep 7 at 10:00 AM
Rules
Select only winners to advance to the next week
Losses, Ties, and Missed Picks result in elimination from the contest
There are no tiebreakers
If you run out of teams, you will be unable to make a pick for the current slate, and will be unable to advance
If one or more remaining entries is able to make a correct selection for that slate, you will be eliminated
If all other remaining entries are unable to make a correct selection for that slate, the contest will revive and the remaining entrants will go on to the next week!
If all remaining entries run out of teams, the contest will conclude at the end of the slate and the remaining entrants will split the prize
