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MLB Thirsty Thursday Free Play – Sports Betting – As vs Blue Jays
A’s vs Blue Jays -163 O/U 8.5
Game Details
- Date: Thursday, May 29, 2025
- Time: 7:07 PM EST
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: NBCSCA, SN1, MLBN
Probable Pitchers
- Athletics: Jacob Lopez (0-2, 2.57 ERA)
- Last outing (May 23 vs. Philadelphia): 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 Ks
- Blue Jays: José Berríos (1-2, 4.22 ERA)
- Last outing (May 24 at Tampa Bay): 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 3 Ks
Team Performance
- Blue Jays: Won two of their last three games, including a 2-0 victory over the Rangers yesterday, where Bo Bichette hit a ninth-inning home run.
- Athletics: Lost 13 of their last 14 games, outscored 16-4 in their recent series against the Astros.
Weather:
A brink 62 degrees with wind blowing left to right at about 8MPH.
Prediction:
I think that there might be some value here on the As. Jacob Lopez takes the helm boasting a pretty low ERA of 2.57 over 14 innings. Yes, I know it is a very small sample size, but he isn’t exactly going against great pitching. Jose Berrios is the man for the Blue Jays with a 4.22 ERA and a 4.71 FIP after 64 innings pitched. Why do I like the As chances? Well simply because they do have the better bullpen ranking 10th in FIP to 15th for the Blue Jays. They also rank higher in hitting wRC+ at 7th compared to the Blue Jays at a modest 15th. Toronto is coming home after a road stint, and there could be distractions for the players. I will take the plus money.
A’s +147 – 1 star
Podcast 702 – 38 – 25 – With Will Hill – The 2025 NFC East & NFC West Previews – MLB – Sports Betting
We have a great show for you today! Will Hill @NotTheeWillHill from @VSINLive, @BearBets and The Should have bet more podcast is back to break down some sports! First, Kiev mentions that it is contest season and talks a little Circa Sports! He gets into his NFC East & West previews with some Free Plays! Next, Will comes on and the guys get right into baseball! Who are the biggest surprise teams? Which teams are real and which teams are a little overrated? Next, the boys get into some NFL! We go division by division with some early thoughts and a few plays! After that, Kiev and Will talk some exotic markets including MVP and coach of the year! Finally, Will and Kiev give out their way too early super bowl champions! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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NFC South 2025 Preview – Season Win Totals & Best Bet – Sports Betting
NFC South: The NFC South has once again proven incompetent as ever. Last season, this division had three pretty bad organizations with one that was above average. The Tampa Bay Bucs were the only team that looked like they had a pulse when they hit the playoffs. The Atlanta falcons were all hype and no substance with a 40 million dollar a year quarterback that won’t be their starter for 2025, while the Carolina panthers and the New Orleans saints became, must not watch TV. This season, the NFC South has it a bit easier than last season facing the NFC West as well as the AFC East. This isn’t exactly easy by any means, but still much better than what they had to deal with last year. The good news for this division is that they get to play each other twice.
Best Bet: Saints under 6.5 wins -180 – 1 star
Divisional Futures: (DK) Buccaneers 100, Falcons +240, Panthers +400, Saints +1000
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers –
Vegas Win Total: 9.5 juiced to the under -115
2024 Wins: 10
Pythagorean Wins: 11.3
Schedule: Medium Easy – At large games @ Houston, vs Philadelphia, @Detroit
Schedule Last Year: Medium
Key losses: C Robert Hainsey, S Jordan Whitehead
Key additions: OLB Hassan Reddick, P Riley Dixon, RT Charlie Heck, ILB Anthony Walker Jr
Key draft picks: WR Emeka Egbuka, CB Benjamin Morrison, CB Jacob Parrish, and a bunch of dudes.
Summary: If anyone over the past two seasons underestimated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, then they most likely paid for it. This Bucs team continues to be very solid, but I also think that they are getting a little bit older. Mike Evans continues to be the go-to receiver there while Chris Godwin can’t seem to stay healthy. The question is how much longer can these guys be productive? I do like some of the things that this team did in free agency and the draft. The Bucs focused on defense where they found some dudes that can step it up. In saying that, I do not think that this team did enough to beat the top teams in the NFC. If injuries, unlike last year go their way, the Bucs may have an opportunity for the 1 seed in the playoffs. That’s right. A 1 seed! That should be the goal for these guys with a very favorable schedule. Tampa Bay finished the season ranking 5th in offensive EPA and 17th on defense. This is why this team focused their offseason on that side of the ball. This defense ranked 27th in opponent pass EPA, making that the reason that the organization went cornerbacks in this draft. I like the moves. This Bucs team didn’t have good injury luck yet with all of the injuries that they have sustained on offense & defense, yet still won 10 games. A big question mark for me is how the Bucs will do without starting center Robert Hainsey. Graham Barton was a high draft pick who steps on in. I think that the Buccaneers should win quite a few games this season.
My number is: 10.65 wins
Action: Over 9.5 wins – .5 stars (FD)
Tampa Bay’s Power Rating: 2.75
2. Atlanta Falcons –
Vegas Win total: 7.5 juiced to the over -140
2024 Wins: 8
Pythagorean Wins: 7.61
Schedule: Easy – At large games @ Minnesota, vs Washington, vs Indianapolis (neutral in Berlin Germany)
Schedule Last Year: Easy
Key losses: DT Grady Jarrett, DT Eddie Goldman, OLB Lorenzo Carter, C Drew Dalman, WR Rondale Moore, OLB Matt Judon, S Justin Simmons
Key additions: LB Divine Deablo, Edge Leonard Floyd, DE Morgan Fox, CB Michael Ford, QB Easton Stick
Key draft picks: Edge Jalon Walker, Edge James Pearce, S Xavier Watts, S Billy Bowman, T Jack Nelson
Summary: Last year, I was pretty upset with the Falcons for signing Kurt Cousins and Drafting Michael Penix. Strange how it worked out for them, yet still quite costly. Now, we get to watch this team pay a backup north of 140 millions dollars. Michael Penix Jr hasn’t played in a lot of games, but for what he accomplished, he looks the part of a starting quarterback in the national football league. I thought that this team certainly lost some big men in the trenches, but I also think that they did wonderful in free agency and in the Draft. The diry-birds drafted two beast edge rushers from the SEC as well as, maybe, the best safety in in the draft in Xavier Watts. My biggest problem with the Falcons is the coaching. Raheem Morris has been less than adequate as he always seems to make the wrong decision in the critical moments of each game. This year, Atlanta does benefit from a schedule that removes an away game and puts it in Berlin Germany for a neutral venue vs the Colts. I expect the Falcons to have a solid run game utilizing Bijan Robinson better now that Michael Penix Jr. should be able to open up the passing game. Their biggest hole will be the defense against the run. Losing defensive tackles Grady Jarrett, Eddie Goldman, and Lorenzo Carter at linebacker, could be rough when going against some of the better running backs in this division like Bucky Irving, and Alvin Kamara. In saying that, the Falcons upside is high. They could be be very good, and steal this division from Tampa Bay, I just can’t trust this coach enough to bet it.
My Number: 8.81
Atlanta’s Power Rating: .5
Action: Lean win division, lean over 7.5 wins and lean make the playoffs
3. Carolina Panthers –
Vegas Win Total: 6.5 juiced to the over -125
2024 Wins: 5
Pythagorean Wins: 4.08
Schedule: Medium Easy – At large games @ Jacksonville, vs Dallas, @ Green Bay
Schedule Last Year: Easy
Key losses: S Xavier Woods, CB Linnie Johnson, DE Jadeveon Clowney, OLB Shaq Thompson
Key additions: S Trevon Moehrig, DT Tershawn Wharton, DT Bobby Brown, OLB Patrick Jones
Key draft picks: WR Tetairoa McMillan, Edge Nic Scourton, Edge Princley Umanmielen, RB Trevor Etienne, S Lathan Ransom, WR Jimmy Horn and some dudes
Summary: last season, I found it somewhat amusing watching the Carolina Panthers win two of their last three games to sneak into third place in the division, and to crush any of those under 4.5 season win totals that were so popular before the 2024 NFL season began. My apologies if that was one of you readers. This team took the division rival Atlanta Falcons straight out of the playoffs during the final game, and I think that this was quite rewarding to this organization. In saying that, the Panthers Pythagorean wins were the league lowest at 4.08 and this team was worse on paper than their lowly five wins had shown. One thing that I do believe is that quarterback Bryce Young still may have some life in him. He knows that everyone looks at him as a bust, but I have noticed that he works hard and I think that he may be able to turn it around. The pressure is off and he is now playing with house money. I like how this team signed some defensive help in the trenches as well as drafting some pass rush. My big concern remains on the offensive line, that last season, was quite below average. My secondary concerns basically are IN the secondary as well as the back end of the defense. The linebackers are basically unproven, and the passing defense ranked dead last in drop-back-EPA and success rate. The Panthers have a lot of growing to do, but they at least have a schedule that isn’t too daunting.
My Number: 5.54
Carolina Power Rating: -5.5
Action: Lean under
4. New Orleans Saints –
Vegas Win Total: 6.5 Juiced Towards the under -180
2024 Wins: 5
Pythagorean Wins: 6.82
Schedule: Easy – At large games vs NY Giants, @ Chicago, @ Tennessee
Schedule Last Year: Easy
Key Losses: Coach Dennis Allen, QB Derek Carr, CB Paulson Adebo, WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, S Will Harris, DE Payton Turner, ILB Willie Gay, RB Jamaal Williams
Key additions: Coach Kellen Moore, S Justin Reid, WR Brandon Cooks, CB Isaac Yadom, T Dillon Radunz
Key draft picks: T Kelvin Banks, QB Tyler Schough, DL Veron Broughton
Summary: The Saints make me think of the song “won’t get fooled again”. After this team blew away the Cowboys inking a 2-0 start, they managed to lose six games in a row. It got worse as the season progressed with losses to the Panthers, The Raiders, and the Falcons. This team is in total rebuild mode as two of their impact players in offensive Tackle Ryan Ramcyzk and quarterback Derek Carr retired. So what do they do? They reach for a low rated quarterback in Tyler Shough in the second round. Say what you want about Shedeur Sanders, but I do know that he is certainly a better prospect then Shough. The biggest change was obviously the hiring of Kellen Moore, who proved to be a pretty good offensive coordinator with the Cowboys and the Eagles. The big question is, how will Kellen be as a head coach with low talent? I mean, it can’t be good. The Saints get a fourth place schedule which is listed as the third easiest in football, but when you diver deeper, you notice that the Saints have the second worst net rest advantage at -14 days getting three times coming off of bye weeks. OUCH. Two good things I will say about the Saints is that they had a large Pythagorean win total last year of 6.82. This means they were a lot better than their five wins. I will also say that they had the second worst injury luck behind the Lions, but the fact that they have no decent quarterback in a rebuilding year is very glaring. Kellen Moore will be on his honeymoon in his first head coaching year, and this team won’t win seven games. Heck they may not win five.
My number is: 5.41 wins
Action: Under 6.5 wins -180 – 1 star
New Orleans Power Rating: -7.5
*Blue color means hasn’t signed with a team
MLB Memorial Weekend Saturday Super Play – Sports Betting – Cubs vs Reds
Game Details
- Date & Time: May 24, 2025, at 1:10 PM MST
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Status: Pre-game
- League: MLB Regular Season
The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds are set to face off in an NL Central showdown. The Cubs, currently 31-20, lead the division, while the Reds sit at 25-27, third in the standings.
Key Matchup Details:
-
- Pitching Duel: Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds, boasting a 1.80 ERA this season, while Colin Rea takes the mound for the Cubs, holding a 3-0 record.
- Cubs’ Strengths: Chicago has won 67.7% of games when favored this season and has a 7-2 record in their last nine matchups as favorites.
- Reds’ Home Advantage: The Reds ranks third in the NL in team ERA (3.49).
- Hot Players: Pete Crow-Armstrong is on a historic 34-game stretch, hitting .331/.348/.750 with a 1.098 OPS. Seiya Suzuki has been productive, with 12 home runs and 43 RBIs.
Weather:
A beautiful 72 degrees with light wind blowing out to center at 3MPH.
Prediction:
This handicap is quite simple. The Cubs are the best hitting team in baseball averaging six runs per game. The Reds are 11th at 4.5. How do you not look at the best overs team in baseball and not hit anything under 10 today? Neither pitcher is all that good when looking at the advanced metrics. Abbott has had a good start, but his 3.1 FIP and 3.97XFIP tell the real story. Last season his xFIP was 4.91. Colin Rea is taking charge for the Cubbies with a 2.38ERA but a 4.07 xFIP. Neither bullpen is good as these teams rely on runs. The Cubs are the number 1 team in baseball to the over at 30-17-4. Take the over 9.
Over 9 -118 – 1 star
Friday MLB Free Play – Royally Underrated
Baseball season continues chugging along. I didn’t have the greatest start in MLB, losing 7 of 8 to start the year didn’t help, but we’re plodding with promise. April we were down just over 11 Units, and we’ve gotten it all back in May plus a little. For the season we currently sit at 36-38 +1.6 Units. Most of my plays in MLB are 1 or 1.5 units, with some very rare 2 Unit plays.
My Analysis today turns to Target Field in Minneapolis, MN where the Minnesota Twins (27-22) will host the Kansas City Royals (28-23) at 8:10 ET. The current line sits with the Twins as heavy favorites at -183 (Royals +168) with an Over/Under of 7.5 juiced to the over at -125. Game time temperature will be 62 degrees under partly cloudy skies with the wind blowing in slightly from left at roughly 5mph.
The Twins have been on an absolute tear since the calendar turned to May going 14-4 this month including a 13 game win streak. They’ve done it mostly with great pitching allowing just three runs per game over that stretch.
Tonight they start Pablo Lopez who has been great so far this season. He boasts a 2.40 ERA with a 3.08 xFIP. He’s striking our 9.8 batters per nine innings while only allowing 1.80 BB. His BABIP against is only .261 so that is due for some regression as is his HR/9 which sits at .60 and is well below his major league average of 1.08. He faced the Royals early in the season allowing one unearned run in 4.2 IP with 3 hits, 6 Ks, and 1 BB.
The Royals have also been getting it done with pitching and defense. Also allowing just three runs per game since the calendar turned to May. They are tied in the AL central for second place with the Guardians and Twins five games back of the division leading Tigers.
They’ll trot out rookie Noah Cameron for his third career start. He has looked good in his first two outings only allowing one earned run so far in 12.1 IP. His xFIP is high sitting at 5.08, but he also has not struck out many batters in his two starts and it is a very small sample size. In the minors last year across two levels he struck out 10.4 batters per nine innings while only allowing 2.5 BBs on average. Right now he is rolling with five pitches in the repertoire all of them with plus values in his limited MLB time. He is certainly due for some regression and a not so warm welcome at some point coming up. I’m betting it won’t be tonight against the Twins.
So what’s my angle? Well both teams here are struggling on offense. The Twins are 21st in runs scored and OPS, while the Royals are 26th and 25th respectively. The difference I am going to hone in on tonight and why I think there is an edge is how the Twins have struggled versus left handed pitching. While they’ve been better or late, they hold only a .650 OPS against southpaws and are striking out 28.1% of their ABs. The Twins are also still without Byron Buxton who is still dealing with concussion effects. He is one of their best hitters vs lefties with a .393 OPS.
Should the Twins be favored? Absolutely. Should they be -180 with a line as low as 7.5 against a very similar teams profile with a lefty on the bump? Nope. I have this one with the Royals at +140 so I’ll take the extra $.28 and try and cash a decent size dog tonight.
Royals +168 1 Unit
NFC North 2025 Preview – Season Win Totals & Best Bet – Sports Betting
NFC NORTH: As expected, the NFC North proved to be the strongest division in football producing three out of four playoff contenders. Clear, the big surprise was the Minnesota Vikings fighting for the top spot in the NFC with the Lions. The smaller surprise for some was the Chicago Bears once again achieving the status of poorly run organization. Unfortunately, rather than taking a step up on an easy schedule, the Bears choked most of their games away due to little to no leadership. The Packers were solid, but not good enough to pass the eye test, while the Lions hit the injury bug so bad that it finally caught up to them in the playoffs. For 2025, the football gods did this tough division no favors as they have to play the NFC East with the Eagles, Commanders and Cowboys lurking, as well as the AFC North which has two of the four best quarterbacks in the nation. Not to mention, these NFC North teams all have to play each other twice. The squad that prevails out of this division will certainly be battle tested. The most underrated aspect of the NFC North is that it has some great coaching. I doubt we get three playoff teams again this year, but I could certainly see two. Let’s dig in.
Divisional Futures: Lions +140 – Packers +260 – Vikings +400 – Bears +425
1. Detroit Lions –
Vegas Win Total: 10.5
2024 Wins: 15
Pythagorean Wins: 13.35
Schedule: Hard – At large games vs @Kansas City, vs Tampa Bay, @LA Rams
Schedule last year: Hard
Key Losses: OC Ben Johnson, DC Terry Glenn, CB Carlton Davis, C Frank Ragnow, G Kevin Zeitler, CB Ifeatu Melifonwu, Edge Za’Darius Smith
Key additions: CB DJ Reed, DT Levi Onwuzurike, DT Roy Lopez
Who they drafted: DL Tyleik Williams, G Tate Ratledge, WR Isaac TeSlaa, G Miles Frazier
Summary: The Lions were statistically the best team in the league with statistically the worst injury luck that at team could have. Defensive coordinator Terry Glenn had to pick up guys off of the scrap heap just to have a defensive line. Even with that said, these Lions were once again Ferocious winning 15 games with the highest Pythagorean wins of 13.35. The problem that we are now asking, is if the Lions have missed their super bowl window. Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson stayed as long as he possibly could with this team before taking over the Chicago Bears. The Lions turn to John Morton to come back from Denver to take over as the new OC. The same questions on the other side of the ball can be said for defense as Terry Glenn shot off to the Jets. The Lions looked internal to fill this open position in promoting Kelvin Sheppard. As good as the Lions were last year, I have to assume Dan Campbell isn’t a huge Xs and Os coach, and this team will be relying on their new coordinators for success. Still, this Lions team is loaded and they get guys back like Edge Aiden Hutchinson and three technique Alim McNeil back from injuries. Their win total is low from what they accomplished over the last two years due to having the third hardest schedule in the league. Although, that hard schedule didn’t matter last year did it? The good news for the Lions is that they have the largest net-rest advantage of all teams. Detroit does not get a team coming off a bye week. They net themselves +13 days of rest. If everything works out, the Lions could be the top team in the NFC.
My Season Number: 12.18
Action: Over 10.5 wins +100 – .5 stars (FD) & to win the NFC North +140- .5 stars (FD) (edit) With Frank Ragnow retiring, I am more neutral on these plays)
Detroit Lions Power Rating: 6
2. Minnesota Vikings
Vegas Win total: 8.5 juiced to the over -145
2024 Wins: 14
Pythagorean Wins: 11.8
Schedule: Hard – At large games vs Atlanta, @LA Chargers, @Seattle
Schedule Last year: Hard
Key Losses: QB Sam Darnold, S Camryn Bynum, T Cam Robinson, OLB Patrick Jones, C Garrett Bradbury, CB Stephon Gilmore, CB Shaq Griffen, G Dalton Risner
Key Additions: G Will Fries, DT Jonathan Allen, DT Javon Hargrave, C Ryan Kelly, CB Isaiah Rogers, LB Eric Wilson
Who they drafted: G Donovan Jackson, WR Tai Felton, Edge Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins
Summary: Last season, the Vikings basically blew everyone’s expectations away by a large margin. Sam Darnold’s performance basically came out of nowhere with some of the best quarterback play in the game during most of the regular season. It sure doesn’t hurt to have Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison to throw that ball to. In saying that, let’s be honest, Most of the Vikings success was all due to great coaching from Kevin O’Connell. Now the question is, can their first round draft pick in JJ McCarthy put up the same production for 2025/2026 with the Vikings high powered offense. I actually think that he can. JJ was a winner in Michigan and he should bring back that attitude with a lot to prove. Letting Sam Darnold walk was the correct move. In saying that, this Vikings team lost probably a bit more then they got back in free agency and the draft. I think that the secondary takes a hit with the losses of Stephon Gilmore and Shaq Griffen. Looking at the draft, I do not understand reaching for a wide receiver in the second round when there are other holes to fill. In saying all this, I think that once again, this Vikings team could compete with the Lions for the division. Their defense ranked 2nd in EPA, and I do not see Brian Flores going anywhere. The Vikings schedule is hard, but that depends more on what your feelings are for their at large games and the back to back games in the UK against two teams with quarterback issues in the Steelers and Browns. The win total seems pretty low for this team at 8.5, but I could see a scenario where the luck runs out for the Vikings. I lean over, and will grab the Vikings to win the division to join my lions play as more of a combination play against the Bears and the Packers.
My season number: 10.09
Action – Strong lean over 8.5 and to win division at +400 – .5 stars (DK)
Vikings Power Rating: 3
3. Green Bay Packers –
Vegas Win Total – 9.5 juiced to the over -120
2024 Wins: 11
Pythagorean Wins: 11.63.
Schedule: Medium Hard – At large games @ Arizona, vs Carolina, @ Denver
Schedule Last year: Hard
Key Losses: DT Tedarrell Slaton, CB Eric Stokes, ILB Eric Wilson, C Josh Myers
Key Additions: G Aaron Banks, CB Nate Hobbs
Who they drafted: WR Matthew Golden, T Anthony Belton, WR Savion Williams
Summary: If the Packers have one thing, it is great coaching. Green Bay continues to over achieve from my personal perspective and the market forecasts, yet their Pythagorean win total states that they even underachieved some at 11 wins. My biggest problem with the Packers is that I do not believe that their Quarterback Jordan Love is all that good. I feel that they achieve wins by beating up on all of the bad to average teams, while continuing to lose all of their important games against the very good to great teams. Lots of sharp folks like the Packers to take a step forward this year and win the division. I am just not there yet as I am confused with what they did in free agency. The Packers needed help in the secondary, as well as the pass rush. Instead Brian Gutenkunst went and drafted wide receivers, partly to appease the draft attendance crowd in Green Bay, and also to give Jordan love more outs. What they really needed was defense. The Packers only ranked 16th in pressure rate with a very low blitz percentage of 17.3%. If you look at the Packers schedule, some think that getting the third place schedule is beneficial. That also depends on your thoughts of playing at large games at Arizona and at Denver. I won’t go under their win total, but I do feel the number is correct as Matt Lefleur can possibly just coach this team to 10 wins.
My season number: 9.82 wins
Action: No play
Green Bay’s power rating: – 3
4. Chicago Bears –
Vegas Win Total 8.5
2024 Wins: 5
Pythagorean Wins: 6.72
Schedule: Medium Hard – At large games @ Las Vegas, vs New Orleans, @ San Francisco
Schedule Last year: Medium Hard
Key Losses: Coach Matt Eberflus, C/G Coleman Shelton, OLB Darrell Taylor, G Teven Jenkins, OLB Jake Martin, T Larry Borom, WR Keenan Allen, DE DeMarcus Walker
Key Additions: Coach Ben Johnson, DC Dennis Allen, DE Dayo Odeyingbo, DT Grady Jarrett, C Drew Dalman, QB Case Keenum, G Joe Thuney, G Jonah Jackson
Who they drafted: TE Colston Loveland, WR Luther Burden III, T Ozzy Tapilo, DL Shemar Turner and a bunch of dudes.
Summary: If you thought the Bears had big changes last year, how about a new coaching regime for 2025? This Bears team were huge under-achievers last year as they had no leadership or a coach that knows much about football or even team chemistry. I am not going to hold back in saying that I really like the Ben Johnson hire, and if it wasn’t for the Bears not making a run at Jim Harbaugh, I might say it was the best coaching hire from all teams over the past three years. Now for the bad. I have to be honest, and say that the jury is still out on Caleb Williams. His confidence was shattered last year taking the most sacks in franchise history. Caleb did not look accurate, but he at least didn’t turn the ball over as much as one might have thought. The good news is that the Bears did a lot to improve their team. Signing DT Grady Jarrett and Edge rusher Dayo Odeyingbo was solid. I like the Bears draft some, but I actually love the money spent on the offensive line even more. I expect Chicago to run multiple two tight end sets with Ben Johnson’s offense as well as possibly putting their top draft pick TE Colston Loveland at times in the slot. This Bears team will be as good as Ben Johnson can make them. His first task is designing plays where Caleb doesn’t have to be superman in the first half. If Ben can scheme some guys open on quick throws and roll outs, Caleb Williams could certainly look pretty good and get his confidence back on track. I suspect the Bears to struggle out of the gate and get better as the season goes on.
My season number: 7.86 wins
Action – Lean Under
Chicago Bears Power rating: -3
*Blue color means hasn’t signed with a team
MLB Thirsty Thursday Play – Sports Betting – Phillies vs Rockies
Phillies vs Rockies +230 O/U 11.5
First pitch is set for 3:10 PM ET at Coors Field.
The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to extend their six-game winning streak as they face the struggling Colorado Rockies today. The Rockies have had a tough season, sitting at 8-41 overall and 5-19 at home.
Key Players to Watch:
-
Phillies: Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and Bryce Harper have been strong contributors, with Schwarber leading the team in home runs.
-
Rockies: Hunter Goodman has been a bright spot, leading the team in batting average and RBIs.
Pitching Matchup:
-
Phillies: Ranger Suárez is expected to start. He has settled in after a rough first outing and has won his last two starts.
-
Rockies: German Márquez will take the mound, but he has struggled this season with an 8.78 ERA.
Weather: Wind blowing in at 7 MPH with a temperature of 71 degrees
Prediction:
Look, I am not one to think that the Rockies are going to win many games this season. I even thing that they may not even get to 40, but this team is about to get swept and they have to try and rally. As bad as German Marquez has been as a pitcher, his FIP numbers are at least under 5. Ranger Suarez for the Phillies is having a great year, but he isn’t exactly Cy Young material at a 5.09 ERA. The Phillies bullpen is in the middle of the pack. I think there is value on the Rockies at +1.5 runs. This team rallied hard against the Diamondbacks not even a week ago to grab a win. They can put up some runs if need be. Colorado can literally lose this game and you can still win plus money at +165.
Rockies +1.5 +165
