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Podcast 22 – College football week 8 Picks – NFL Picks

13-5 in College Football last week

The odds breakers are rolling with more picks and game analysis.   We also bring a special NFL guest who has been handicapping a very long time to break down some NFL games.

College Football – Memphis vs Houston – USC vs Notre Dame – Indiana vs Michigan State – Kansas vs TCU – Michigan vs Penn State – Iowa State vs Texas Tech and many more!

NFL – Falcons vs Patriots – Cowboys vs Niners – Kansas City vs Oakland – Saints vs Packers – Seahawks vs Giants and more!

 

 

College football week 7 recap – Upset week – Bad beats and Good Treats

Welcome to upset week my friends!

Glad we weren’t on these teams – Clemson – Washington – Washington State – Auburn – San Diego St – Texas Tech – Navy – Troy.  Huge shake up in college football and the playoffs.   These teams may need to win out most likely but since there is so many 1 loss teams after week 7, a 2 loss team could possibly make it in.   Like if Ohio state loses a close one to Michigan and dominates Penn State and Wisconsin they could be in depending on Georgia, and If Penn state loses to Michigan.   If Georgia loses to Auburn but almost beats bama…   Those kind of scenarios.  The only lock as of right now is Alabama.    The good news for us is that there will be some value on some of these teams going forward.

Great week for the odds breakers.   13-5

61-51-2 over all.

South Alabama vs Troy – Huge let down spot for Troy and it hit them hard.   19 point spread.   This is the reason why we have to watch these spots.

Clemson vs Syracuse – Huge win for us.   Spread and Money line sprinkle paid 14-1 making it a good treat.   Another let down and bad spot for Clemson.   Eric Dungy passed for 279 yards and 3 Touchdowns.   Kelly Bryant should have NEVER started this game.   It was obvious from the start that Clemson wasn’t motivated here…   Syracuse did play a very sloppy game giving up field position left and right.   Remember Chris Slayton number 95 from Syracuse.   He is a beast of a 3 Technique.  He will be a pro…

WaSu vs Cal – What can i say.   A great spot for Justin Wilcox to upset a top 10 team.  Unfortunately he did it a little too well and screwed up our over under bet of 53.   All Wasu had to score was 17 points and we hit it…   Kind of a bad beat when they were averaging 40 some points per game before!!!   At least we played the spread but this was a total beat down.

Michigan vs Indiana- This game was won in the trenches for Michigan.   We definitely got  lucky winning the over which make it a good treat.   Indiana tied the game with some desperation plays.   I didn’t agree with the Onside kick there though.   Had plenty of time to stop Michigan and maybe could have started that last minute with good field position.

Miami vs Georgia Tech – The monsoon here really helped the under.   Questionable bet for me.   You notice G tech unders are always like 52 or 53?   Got burned by them that OT game vs Tennessee.   Damn Butch Davis.   Oh well.   He definitley made it back for me .

Kansas vs Iowa state – Apparently Iowa state didn’t get the memo that this was a let down spot.   Whats up with that?   Since the Texas loss they look like a different team.   I do not see much value on them going forward.   Let’s just hope they keep it up in that messy big 12

Rutgers vs Illinois – Rutgers win and ML was a good treat.   Seriously how was Illinois favored here?    A better game than one would have thought.   All this game proved was that Illinois is the worst team in the big 10 and then some.

TCU vs Kansas State – you gotta give TCU some credit here for winning by 20 in Manhatten.   Huge for them but still have some very tough opponents ahead.

Purdue vs Wisconsin – We are very lucky that they survived upset week.  Our badgers didn’t play well on offense but even worse they were out coached.   The score was very misleading because the Badgers had 494 total yards while Purdue had 221.   Bad turnovers and bad play calls.    I don’t understand why Hornibrook didn’t autible out that 22 blast play against 11 in the box!!!!   The badgers are lucky to win that game and definitely need some better play calls.   The offense better be buying the defense dinner after that debacle.

Auburn vs LSU – LSU has really stepped up after their Troy embarrassment.   I think Pettaway was still injured because Kerryon Johnson got all the carries and 156 yards.   Auburn had control of that game and let LSU back into it.   The real story is that LSU QB Danny Etling through for over 200 yards and a TD!   When does that ever happen.   LSU Playing for Ed Orgeron’s job.

East Carolina vs UCF – I cover this cause we bet the overs on E Carolina every week.   All i want to say is the UCF is a big time team and should be in the top 15 in my opinion.

Michigan state vs Minnisota – We were happy to get a back door cover here.   The gophers have a Quarterback Controversy with Croft and Rhoda.   Michigan State is over ranked here in my opinion at 21.

Boise state vs San Diego state – The sharps knew something here.  This line was driven down to San Diego state -4.5   Penny only had 53 yards rushing this game on 21 Carries.  His Heisman hopes are probably gone now.   So is San Diego state’s playoff hopes.

Washington vs ASU – Wow, bad week for Washington teams.  Both in top 8 rankings and lost outright.   If you were to tell me that Washington and WASU would only score a total combined 10 points vs ASU and Cal, I would have checked you into a mental institution.   Gotta give ASU Credit here.   They are good at home.  What a great home dog.   They beat Oregon being a double digit dog as well.   Moneyline was like +750.  I hope one of YOU listeners had it.   I really do.

LET DOWN SPOTS:  Long list here

Syracuse vs Miami.   Miami did eak out a close game too  but only against Georgia Tech.   We will probably be on Miami

Arizona vs Cal – This is kind of a let down spot for both teams but more for Cal.  TATE is something to be reconned with!!!

Boise state at Wyoming

Arizona State at Utah – Utah lost a heartbreaker

West Virginia at Baylor – Kind of a let down spot.  Baylor is awful though.

LSU at Ole Miss – Ole miss is playing better

Boston College Beating Louisville

Look ahead spots:

Oklahoma st to West Virginia?   They shouldn’t look past Texas right?

TCU to Iowa State but Kansas really sucks

Penn state vs Michigan to Ohio state?   I am not sure here..

ASU looking ahead to USC.   Sandwich spot!!!!

Teams on Tilt

Washington, Washington St, San Diego State, Clemson, Maybe Auburn but doubtfully, Texas Tech, and Navy…   Maybe some value here

 

 

 

 

Fantasy Football week 7

Injuries

Arron Rodgers – Flag half mast?   Is everyone Praying for a miracle at church?   Maybe everyone is at the bar to drown their sorrows in Milwaukees best beer?   Spotted Cow?   I bet the comfort food restaurants are busy.   Must be a line at your local Culvers at least 30 cars deep????

Jamis Winston – Shoulder

Trevor Simian – Shoulder

Emanual Sanders – Ankle

Leonard Fornett – Questionable

Tyreke Hill – concussion

Golden Tate – Shoulder

Waiver Pickups:

Marvin Jones

Tyrod Taylor

Adrian Peterson

Chris Ivory

Orleans Darkwa

Deanthony Thomas if Tyeke Hill can’t go…

Jermain Kerley has had some good value with
Josh McCown

Breakout players for week 7

Deanthony Thomas vs weak Raiders D

Derek Carr gets back on track with Raiders against KC bad Defense

Blake Bortles may have a game if fornett is out vs the colts.

Allen Hurns and Rishard Lee

Dez Bryant and Dak Preskott vs 49ers

CJ Anderson vs Chargers Run D

Zay Jones vs Tampa

Adrian Peterson vs LA run defense

Jerek McKinnon vs Baltimore

Podcast 21 – College Football Week 7 Recap – Fantasy Football

Upset week – Bad Beats and Good Treats!

The Public Dog goes 13-5 last week.   Recapping all of the upsets, let down and look ahead spots for week 8.   Big 10 Power Rankings.   Dave comes in with his Fantasy Injuries and Waiver Pickups for NFL week 7.

Podcast 20 – College Football week 7 games – NFL week 6 picks

The Public Dog i solo this time with Cub fan Danny out this week.  Great games to go over and some great betting angles.   Kiev also recites his beautiful Poem about Brett Bielema and Gary Anderson.

Clemson vs Syracuse – Oklahoma vs Texas –  Ohio State vs Nebraska – Kansas vs Iowa State – Old Dominion vs Marshall – Utah vs USC – Virginia vs North Carolina – East Carolina vs Central Florida – Vanderbilt vs Miss – Washington State vs Cal – Miami vs Georgia Tech –  Michigan vs Indiana – Rutgers vs Illinois – BYU vs Miss St

NFL – LA Rams vs Jaguars – Lions vs Saints – Bears vs Ravens – NY Giants vs Denver Broncos – Miami vs Atlanta – another teaser and more!

Fantasy Football week 6

Key Injuries

Charles Clay – Knee  ???

Odell Beckham – Broken Ankle out for season – Sterling Shepard?

Brandon Marshall out for the year

JJ Watt and Whitney Mercillous – Texans d took a huge hit

Bilal Powell – Calf

Travis Kelcy – Concussion

Terrance West – Calf

Tyler Boyd – knee injury

Key Waiver pickups

Dakota Dixon TE – Had 175 yards on 5 targets

George Kittle TE – 9 targets for 83 yards and a Touchdown.   Hoyer’s best friend?

Giants WRs are all banged up.   So really anybody you can find by tomorrow

Tyler Higbee TE – 8 targets is huge

Break out players for week 6

Todd Gurly playing Jacksonville who gives up 146 yards per game

Beast mode playing the Chargers worst defense in the league at 161 yards per game

Kareem hunt playing Pittsburg;s awful D

CJ ANderson playing NYG

Marvin Jones and Golden Tate vs New Orleans Saints

Michael Thomas vs the Lions

Austin Safarian Jenkins vs Patriots

Larry Fitzgerald vs the Bucks

NCAA week 6 Recap

Let’s start with the Elephant in the room.

Oklahoma is a top 4 team

That’s right!

Oklahoma vs Iowa State – The real story about this game is Oklahoma’s lack of defense without the pass rush.   Kyle Kempt for Iowa state threw for 343 yards and 3 touchdowns while Baker Mayfield had 306 yards and 2TDs.   The Real story is that Iowa State controlled the game and held Trey Sermon to 18 carries and 90 yards.    Oklahoma isn’t a bad team, they just had a bad game and that look ahead spot to Texas really affected them.   If Iowa state didn’t look like crap the week before at home vs Texas, i would have taken them.

Louisville vs NC State – This game should have been much closer.    NC state is a complete team and louisville is a team with 1 amazing player.   This game played out like it really should have…

Penn st vs Northwestern – Not a problem for Penn state.   Covered this spread pretty easily and also showed everyone that they have a defense to be reconned with.  They held Northwestern to only 265 total yards and 1 garbage touchdown.   Saquon Barkley 16 carries for 75 yards and 2 TDs.   Thats right.   75 yards.  They will be rewarded in the Power Ratings.

Miami vs Florida state.  3 nothing at half.   Wish we took the under.   Was looking at the under and completely spaced it.   That makes me a Total fricking Slacker.   Seriously.   What the hell is wrong with me….

Georgia vs Vanderbilt – Georgia is at least 10 points better than Florida.   Remember that for the future.   Nobody wants to get in the way of that train….    These guys really play hard together as a team.   Major props to Kirby Smart.  Its either bet on Georgia or Pass.

West Virginia vs TCU – This game was too close for comfort.   I am glad I stayed away because i might have taken TCU here.

Wash St vs Oregon – Washington State maybe the most improved team here.  The Washington and Wazoo game will be amazing this year.

Michigan St vs Michigan – Wow, what a monsoon this game ended up being.   Michigan could not get it going on Offense.   This was another slow game but definitely not boring.   Much Credit to Dantoni here for not choaking this away.

Western Michigan vs Buffalo – 7 Over times!!!!   7!!!   Game lasted like 6 hours

Wisconsin vs Nebraska – Electric Atmosphere at this game.   Even though there was some extremely poor commentating it still was very exciting to Watch.   The story here is that both teams benefitted from Pick 6s but Wisconsin eventually got their running game going.   Johnathan Taylor had 249 yards.

LSU vs Florida – Lady luck finally ran out on the gators.   The sharps were all over LSU its almost like they can tell the future here.  Both teams only threw the ball 16 times.   This game was a major blow to the SEC East.

Wake forest vs Clemson – Wake forest covered but who wanted to take that bet?   The real news hear is the QB Kelly Bryant for Clemson Left in a walking boot.   Lets see what happens there…

Let down spots:

Wazoo at Cal

Miami hosting Georgia Tech

TCU at Kansas State

LSU hosting Auburn

W Michigan hosting Akron

Iowa State hosting Kansas

Michigan St at Minnesota

Look ahead spots
Michigan vs Indiana – Michigan looking to Penn St

USC hosting Utah – USC looking ahead to Notre Dame

OK state hosting Baylor – OK State could be looking ahead to Texas

Georgia Looking to Florida

Teams on Tilt:

Oklahoma vs Texas – OK needs to win out

Michigan vs Indiana – Harbaugh is pissed and we all know it.

Florida vs Texas A & M – The Gators need to win out as well

 

 

 

 

Podcast 19 NCAA Scandal/Corruption – College Football week 6 recap – Fantasy Football week 6

This weeks podcast we cover how and why college teams break rules.   We also recap some great college football games of week 6. D-Nasty comes in and talks about Fantasy football injuries, waiver pick ups and break out players for week 6.

Podcast 18 – College week 6 – NFL week 5 picks – Sports Betting

The Public Dog breaks down the best games and most valued games of NCAA Football week 6.   Cub fan Danny joins Kiev with NFL week 6 games and picks

College – Louisville vs NC State – Minnesota vs Purdue – Western Michigan vs Buffalo – Texas Tech vs Kansas – Notre Dame vs UNC – Washington State vs Oregon – Kansas State vs Texas – Michigan vs Michigan St – Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion – Va tech vs Boston College – Duke vs Virginia – Colorado State vs Utah State – Temple vs E Carolina

NFL – Patriots vs Tampa – Vikings vs Bears – Seattle vs LA Rams – Packers vs Cowboys – Panthers vs Lions – Bills vs Bengals – Chiefs vs Texans –

Fantasy Football Week 5

Key Injuries

Dalvin Cook – Torn ACL out season – Latavious Murry or Jerrick McKinnon

Mohamed Sanu out 2-3 weeks hammy – Taylor Gabrial pick up

Julio Jones is banged up but probable

Chris Carson – fractured leg.   Thomas Rawls or Eddie Lacy or JD Mikissic or Prosise???   Too many here to blow a budget on!

Marcus Marriotta is day to day

Michael Crabtree is questionable

Jordan Mathews is out for 4 weeks or so, Grab Zay Jones

Remember will Fuller?   owned by only 8 % of leagues.   Well if Watson is what he is.  Fuller is a must own.   6 targets and 2 TDs last game

Derek Carr – Out 2-6 weeks

Kraft for the Bengals

 

Key Pickups

Alvin Kamara only owned in 19.7 percent of leagues

Latavious Murray – is a must now.   I think he is better fit than McKinnon

Deshawn Watson only owned in 25% of leagues.   He is a must own

Taylor Gabriel – Owned by 12%

Zay Jones is available in some leagues as well

Evan Engram – Giants

Jared Goff – Rams

Alex Collins – Ravens

Break out players:

Pats defense should be on Tilt

Carlos Hyde playing Indianapolis

Laveon Bell playing the worst Run Defense in Jacksonville

Todd Gurley vs Seahawks – Seattle allowing 5 yards per carry

Chris Hogan playing Tampa bay – Tampa bay allowing 315 passing yards per game

Larry Fitzgerald vs the Eagles – Eagles allowing 285 passing yards per game

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