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Podcast 72 – 19 – With Brian Edwards – College Football Championship Week & NFL Week 14 Plays – UFC 245 – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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CHAMPIONSHIP WEEK!   We have a fantastic show for you today.   Brain Edwards @vegasbedwards comes on to break down some College Football, NFL and UFC 245 (for next week!) First, Brian and Kiev talk about the top 4 teams in the college football playoffs and some crazy scenarios that could happen.  Next, Kiev and Brian talk about some huge games in College Football and the NFL this week as well as give out some plays.  Then, Brian talks a little UFC 245 and gives out some of his thoughts.  Next, Kiev gives out his free plays for College and NFL Football.  Finally, we go over the sharp line movement in the #NFL and #NCAA.

NCAA:  Wisconsin vs Ohio State – Georgia vs LSU – LA Lafayette vs Appalachian State and more!

NFL:  Baltimore vs Buffalo – Carolina vs Atlanta – San Francisco vs New Orleans and more!

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

Fantasy Football Week 14 – Playoffs

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Key Injuries:   

  • Greg Olsen TE – Concussion
  • Dalvin Cook RB – Shoulder
  • Kalen Ballage RB – Leg injury
  • Darrel Williams RB – Hamstring vs the Raiders
  • TJ Hockenson TE – Ankle and out for the season
  • Chester Rodgers WR – Knee and likely out for the season

Waiver Wire:

  • Anthony Miller WR – 13 targets vs the Lions
  • Alexander Mattison RB – For Delvin Cook
  • Patrick Laird RB – Out touched Myles Gaskin and for Ballage injury
  • Allen Lazard WR – Gets to play the Redskins
  • Peyton Barber RB – Got 17 rushes last game and 2 TDs.  Plays the Colts this week.
  • Javon Wims WR – 6 Targets for the Bears for Dynasty Leagues
  • Houston D – gets to play Denver
  • Dallas D – Gets to play Chicago
  • Cleveland D – Gets to play the Bengals
  • Green Bay D – Gets to play the Redskins
  • Colts D – Gets to play Tampa if your feeling lucky Jameis is due for a pick 6
  • Zach Pascal WR – If TY don’t go he may be the only WR on the colts that can catch
  • Jack Doyal TE – Colts pass catcher
  • Mike Gesekie – TE for Miami vs the Jets
  • Tyler Higbee TE – Rams
  • Ameer Abdullah RB – Cook Injury
  • Jordan Wilkins – RB 30 snaps

Non-Starters Trending up for week 14

  • Devonta Freeman RB – vs a terrible Panthers run defense
  • Cole Beasley WR – too good not to start
  • Kareem Hunt RB – vs a bad Bengals team
  • Allen Lazard WR – vs the Redskins – Rodgers seems to like finding him
  • Jacoby Brisette WR – vs the Buccaneers
  • Courtland Sutton WR – vs a bad Texans secondary
  • Zach Pascal WR – vs the Buccaneers bad pass D
  • Benny Snell RB – vs the Cardinals
  • Ryan Tannahill QB – vs the Raiders bad D
  • AJ Brown WR – vs the Raiders secondary
  • Darren Waller TE – vs the Titans
  • Alshawn Jeffrey WR – vs the Giants
  • James White RB – vs the Chiefs bad pass D

Busts for week 14

  • All of the 49ers running backs vs the Saints
  • Alvin Kamara RB – vs the Niners but hard not to start him
  • Patrick Laird RB – vs the Jets Run D who is best in the business
  • Johnathan Williams RB – vs the Buccaneers Run D
  • Chris Carson RB – vs the Rams
  • Bo Scarborough – vs the Vikings Run D

Nasty Sleeper:   Zach Pascal WR and Devonte Freeman RB

 

 

Podcast 71 – 19 – College Football Wk 14 & NFL Wk 13 Recap – Fantasy Football Week 14 Playoffs – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

11-14-1 in College Football last week and 9-4 in the NFL.  10-5 in College Basketball so far this year.   We have a great show for you today!  First, Kiev talks about how he will be hedging his Baylor 26-1, Wisconsin 15-1 and Cincinnati 7-1 tickets this week.  Then he talks about Jim Harbaugh and if he should be Michigan’s coach for 2020.  Next we talk College and NFL recap of last week.  Then, Kiev talks about some misleading final scores from College Football last week.  Finally, Kiev gives out a FREE PICK for week College Football Championship Week!  D-Nasty comes in to discuss fantasy football week 14 and who to play for your playoffs!  Key injuries and waiver pick-ups.   Players trending up and busts for week 14.

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.Jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “oddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

NFL Week 13 Free Plays

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Washington vs Carolina -10 O/U 39.5

Dwayne Haskins is really all you have to say about this handicap but at the same time, the kid has nothing to work with.   Washington is actually in a let down spot here after getting their second win of the season against a beat up Lions team.   Carolina is better than Washington in yards per play but .5 and it would be larger if the schedules were closer.   Washington has had a much harder schedule than Carolina.  Every public power rating has the Panthers favored by 11-13 points.   My PRs have it by 14 factoring in the let down spot.   Carolina is in a tough wildcard race in the NFC and they need this game big.  Washington should be losing for draft capital in my opinion.

Carolina -10 – 2 star premium shared

NY Jets vs Cincinnati +3.5 O/U 41

There are not many teams worse at Yards per play than the Bengals but the Jets fit right in at 4.5 yards per play while the Bengals are at 4.8.  Even worse, the Jets on the road have only 4.1 yards per play.   Now the biggest worry here is that the Jets are a 1.5 yards per play better than the Bengals on defense.  The Jets have a net yards per play advantage of 1.2.   The biggest thing for me here is that the switch back to Andy Dalton should not only motivate him to make some big plays but also motivate the Bengals to get their first win.  My power ratings have this game a pickem so I will gladly take the 3.5 points over the key number.

Cincinnati +3.5 – 2 star premium shared

Philadelphia vs Miami +9 O/U 45

Slump buster alert!  Miami is back to playing Miami football this year and they really should have no motivation to win this game.   What does it accomplish for the future of this team?   They already have the worst home field advantage and there will be some Philadelphia fans at this game.   The Eagles have been in a massive slump but finally hit the easier part of their schedule playing 4 out of their last 5 games against tomato cans.   I think that Alshawn Jefferey will be back this game to help Wentz out of tough situations and if Nelson Agholor plays then they can stretch the field.   Philly has a 1.3 net yards per play advantage here and I have to think that Doug Peterson will be ready to put one on the Dolphins.   My Power ratings have this game around 10 but the situation favors the Eagles who are getting healthy and have a great shot still at the wildcard after beating Green Bay and the Bears.

Philadelphia -9 – 1.5 star premium shared play – slump buster

College Football Free Play 11/29 – The Apple Cup

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

College Football Week 14 Free Plays

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor (23) breaks a tackle attempt by Miami defensive back Sheldrick Redwine (22) during the first half of the Pinstripe Bowl NCAA college football game Thursday, Dec. 27, 2018, in New York. (AP Photo/Adam Hunger) ORG XMIT: NYY104

UNLV vs Nevada -7.5 O/U 52

This is definitely a rivalry and maybe it has some added juice now that UNLV has fired their coach Tony Sanchez effective at the end of the season.  This just means more motivation for the Rebels in my opinion.  Nevada is a weird team who won some games that they probably should not have won and lost some games by a very large margin to slightly better teams.   Margin really is the key here to my handicap.   Whenever Nevada wins it seems to by 7 points or less unless that team is New Mexico or UTEP.    The key thing here for me is that UNLV has proven they can win big games.   They were motivated against Vanderbilt and motivated last week against San Jose State.   The yards per play is both equally bad at about a net -1.   Nevada is going to make a bowl game having 7 wins while UNLV is playing this game as their last game of the season.   I think the Rebels are doing it for their coach this game and will keep it close if not win it outright.

UNLV +7.5 – 2 star premium shared 

West Virginia vs TCU -13 O/U 44

Well I do not love to take large favorites unless there is some real motivation issues.   I gave this out at -12.   TCU has every reason to go and win this game being that they need 1 more win to go bowling while West Virginia is donezo in that department.   The Mountaineers as we know are finishing up a rebuilding year with a new coach and it really showed this year with their greatest win at Kansas State a few weeks back.   As a matter of fact their NC State win doesn’t really look very good anymore either.   They average about a -.6 net yards per play and cannot run the ball.  TCU wasn’t exactly a power house this year but they showed signs of being a good team by beating Texas by 10 points, hanging with Baylor and only a 4 point loss last week at Oklahoma. Gary Patterson should be able to exploit the weaknesses of Neal Browns team here.  Most power ratings have this as about a 14 point spread. Mine has it at a 14.5 but the motivation spot makes this game a play.

TCU -13 – 2.5 star premium shared play

Texas Tech vs Texas under 66 – 2 star premium shared

Wisconsin vs Minnesota +2 O/U 47

So as a fan of the Wisconsin Badgers I can honestly say that I am not a homer and do not give out homer plays but when you look into this game there are some big reasons to be on the Badgers this game.   First, Wisconsin has had a much harder schedule than Minnesota.  The Gopher’s hardest game was playing Penn State at home and didn’t have to play teams like Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State like Wisconsin did.   Sagarin has their schedule at 68 and Wisconsin’s at 44.   Secondly, Wisconsin is a net .3 yards per play better than Minnesota and this should be even larger had they had the same strength of schedule.  Third, this game is going to be cold, rainy and windy which we know favors the running team over the passing team.   Wisconsin averages 5.5 yards per rush over Minnesota’s 4.2.  Fourth, Wisconsin has destroyed their non-conference opponents while Minnesota struggled to beat Fresno State in over time, South Dakota State in overtime, and almost lost to Georgia Southern.  Fifth, this is a HUGE revenge spot for Bucky from losing the Axe at home last year to a motivated Gophers team.  The Badgers were very hurt at that time as well as coming off a tough overtime game vs Purdue and they flat out overlooked the Gophers.  That will not happen this time and I think the Badgers will ROLLLLL!

Wisconsin -2 – 3 star premium shared play

College Football Week 14 Betting Spots

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Let down Spots:

  • Colorado at Utah after beating Washington
  • Arizona State hosting Arizona after beating Oregon
  • California at UCLA after beating Stanford
  • Cincinnati hosting Memphis after securing a spot in the AAC Championship game
  • Florida International at Marshall after beating Miami
  • Northwestern is toast vs Illinois
  • Can Oregon get up for Oregon State after being ousted from the CFB playoffs?
  • South Florida is toast vs UCF with no bowl in site
  • South Carolina is toast vs Clemson
  • Houston is toast hosting Navy

Get up spots:

  • Memphis hosting Cincinnati to make AAC Championship game
  • Army needs a W to go bowling
  • Penn State hosting Rutgers after losing to Ohio State.  Poor Rutgers
  • UCLA hosting Cal after losing to USC
  • Nebraska hosting Iowa trying to make a bowl game
  • Missouri at Arkansas trying to go bowling
  • TCU hosting West Virginia trying to go bowling
  • Colorado needs a W to go bowling vs Utah
  • Oregon State needs a W to go bowling vs Oregon
  • North Carolina needs one more W to go bowling

Look ahead spots:

  • Georgia looking past Georgia Tech to LSU
  • Utah Looking past Colorado to Oregon
  • Baylor looking past Kansas to Oklahoma

 

Podcast 70 – 19 – Thanksgiving & Rivalry week – College Football Week 14 & NFL Week 13 Plays – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Happy Thanksgiving!  We have a rushed, but still a great show with plays for you today! First, Kiev talks a little about the star system and the college football top 25.  Next, Kiev talks about the Ohio State vs Michigan Match-up and then goes into the College Football Week 14 card talking a little bit about each big game with some leans.  Then, Kiev gives out his free plays for College Football Week 14.  Shortly after, Kiev Talks briefly about an interesting strategy in betting college basketball and how there is so much parody this year.  Then, Kiev breaks down the NFL Card minus some premium games and gives out his leans and some plays for NFL week 13.  Finally, we go over the sharp line movement in the #NFL and #NCAA.

NCAA: Ohio State vs Michigan – Wisconsin vs Minnesota – West Virginia vs TCU and more!

NFL:  Buffalo vs Dallas – Philadelphia vs Miami – Washington vs Carolina and more!

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

College Football Week 13 Misleading Final Scores

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

NC State vs Georgia Tech – NC State outgained Georgia Tech by 62 yards yet lost by 2.  Won the turnover battle as well.

Oklahoma State vs West Virginia – West Virginia outgained Oklahoma State by 111 yards yet lost by 7 – no turnovers this game and bad efficiency for the Mountaineers

Kansas vs Iowa State – Kansas outgained Iowa State by a few yards and lost by 10.  Iowa State scored 20 in the 4th quarter screwing my under.

East Carolina vs Uconn – Uconn outgained East Carolina by 18 yards yet lost by 7

Georgia vs Texas A&M – The Aggies outgained the Bulldogs by 14 yards yet lost by 6.   They had -1 total rushing yards but a 1-0 turnover ratio.   Weird game.

Texas vs Baylor – Both teams equal in yards yet Texas loses by 2 touchdowns.  Equal in turnovers.   I guess they had it coming due to the times they were outgained and covered.

Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss – Southern outgained Western Kentucky by 23 yards and lost by 18 points.  3-1 turnover ratio didn’t help.

San Jose State vs UNLV – San Jose State outgained UNLV by 114 yards and lost by 3 due to a 5-1 turnover ratio.

UTEP vs NM State – UTEP outgained NM State by 116 yards and lost by 9 due to a 2-0 turnover ratio.

Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee State – Dominion outgained State by 31 yards yet lost by 21.  Only a 1-0 turnover rato.

Kansas State vs Texas Tech – Tech outgained K-State by 140 yards and lost by 3.  Only a 2-1 turnover ratio.

Temple vs Cincinnati – Temple outgained Cinci by 100 yards and lost by 2.  Same turnover ratio.

Miami vs FIU – Miami outgained FIU by 116 yards yet lost by 6.   FIU was wearing the turnover chain at 3-0.

Houston vs Tulsa – Tulsa outgained Houston by 149 yards yet lost by 10 due to a 4-1 turnover ratio.

Oklahoma vs TCU – Oklahoma outgained TCU by 307 yards and only won by 4.  Partly due to a big lead in the second half and a 3-1 turnover ratio.

 

Fantasy Football Week 13

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

NO MORE BYE WEEKS – HERE WE GO!

Key Injuries:

Hunter Renfrow WR – Ribs injury

Dwayne Haskins QB – Wrist injury

Golden Tate WR – Concussion

Waiver Wire:

Drew Lock QB – I can see him starting for the Broncos very soon

Rashaad Penny RB – Will split carries with Carson going forward and had over 129 rushing yards and a TD last game

Delvin Hodges QB – Looks like Mason Rudolf may have lost his starting Job

Cole Beasley WR – 9 Targets last week

Benny Snell RB – 98 yards last game on 21 attempts

Alex Erickson WR – had 10 targets

Ted Ginn WR – Saints play the Falcons next week

Jacoby Meyers WR – Had 9 targets for the Patriots if Sanu is still out he is an option

Mitchell Trubisky QB – great matchup vs the Lions

Andy Dalton QB – Will be starting again for the Bengals

Non Starters Trending up for week 13:

Mitch Trubisky QB – Good matchup vs the Lions

Sam Darnold QB – vs the Bengals

DJ Moore WR – vs the Redskins

Andy Dalton QB vs the Jets

Marques Valdez Scantling – vs the Giants

Ted Ginn WR – Playing Atlanta

Laveon Bell RB – playing the Bengals who give up the most rushing yards

Jordan Howard RB – if playing Miami as long as he is healthy

DeeDee Westbrook WR – Playing Tampas bad pass defense

Busts:

Carlos Hyde RB – vs the Patriots

Kirk Cousins QB – vs Seattle in Seattle

Joe Mixon RB – playing the Jets top rushing defense

Leonard Fournette RB – playing the Tampa Bay’s 2nd best rush defense

Brian Hill RB – Playing the Saints this week and Ollison is getting carries

David Johnson RB – Against the Rams and now involved in a committee approach

Bo Scarbrough RB – Against the Bears Rush Defense

Chris Carson RB – against the Vikings rush defense

Nasty Sleeper – WR DeeDee Westbrook

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