NFL Week 13!

Jacksonville vs Buffalo +3.5 (now 3)

Ok, well we hit this one early but I must say if you think that the Bills are are the most disappointing team you are definitely wrong.  You see, in order to be a disappointment you have to have high expectations and completely fail.   JUST LIKE THE JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS!   Blake Bortles has proved to only be decent on short throws and 3 step drops.   Any tight defense should be able to stop this team.   Not only that, Jacksonville is just injured 2 more offensive Tackles and may be down to the garbage 3rd string.   Not good when playing the team that is ranked 2nd in defensive efficiency.   I also like the fact that Matt Barkley is a very good back up QB who destroyed the Jets last week and may be starting this game if not Josh Allen.   Both huge upgrades over Anderson and Peterman.   Both of these teams are terrible in offense and great on defense.   Low total favors the dog.  Sean McDermott is a very good coach who lost a lot last year and now should be trending up.    I have this game 20-17 Buffalo winning outright from my Algorithm.

Buffalo +3 and ML

Cincinnati vs Cleveland +3

So how many points did you upgrade Cleveland for firing their terrible coach Hugh Jackson and Todd Haley.   Well I hope it was a lot because you have to also factor in the guy replacing Todd Haley.   Freddie Kitchens was a disciple of Bruce Arians and Harold Goodwin.   Remember that Cardinals offense with Carson Palmer at the helm?   I basically upgraded the Browns 2.5 points and go ahead and throw an extra point there way for the bye week.   Cincinnati has lots of injury woes and a terrible defense that Andy Dalton constantly has to make up for.   The Browns beating the Falcons 2 weeks back was not a fluke and Baker Mayfield is getting better for sure.   Expect some new nuggets with this Browns.  Here is the kicker among all kickers here.   Cleveland dominates the matchup in yards per game at 355 to 330 and is better at defensive allowed yards per game at 420 to 450.   The wrong team is favored hear especially if AJ Green remains out.

Browns +3 and ML

Green Bay vs Minnesota -3

This is kind of a strange line.   The Packers tied the Vikings at home this year so shouldn’t the Vikings be favored by 6 points?    The closest thing the Packers had to Akiem Hicks of the Bears was Mohammed Wilkerson and they lost him after this Vikings game.   I mention this to show you how important that is to stopping the Vikings run and pass game in the Trenches.    So this game is about one major thing here.   Locker Room.   I will say it again.  Locker Room.   The Packers have always been about one guy.   This guy may be great but he also may not be too likable unlike his predecessor.  So you have one guy on the Packers (i don’t have to mention his name) that just made a guaranteed 100 million and over 30 million per year while most of the other team is around the 500K range maybe a few a bit more.   Remember when Brandon Bostick messed up that Onside kick that partially cost the Packers the NFC Championship game?  What happened after that?   The Packers dumped him and ruined his career.   Didn’t have his back.  Side note, I actually met Brandon Bostick at the airport a few months after that and he was flying to try out with the Vikings.   I told him not to worry about nothing and go kick some ass.    Now you have Ty Montgomery in a regular season game trying to make a play and fumbles the ball, what happens?   The Packers trade him within hours and move on like the guy has some sort of terribly contagious disease.   You know why that happened?   Cause he didn’t give the million dollar man a chance to win this 1 regular season game…   Even after all he did when they ran out of running backs.   He came in and balled!  Now you have a coach that makes much more than the average players in Mike McCarthy that with 4 minutes left in the game AT SEATTLE with only 1 time out down left and down only 3 decides to punt the ball on 4th down to a Russell Wilson led Seattle team who only needs to get 10 yards at home to win the game.   What happens to Coach?    NOTHING!!!   NADA!!!  So great for the locker room isn’t it?    Every time the Packers lose a game everyone, the media, the fans, the organization and I mean everyone blames the players for sucking and being terrible football players not good enough to lift Aaron Rodgers Jockstrap!!!   After all of this, you tell me that the Packers should be a Pickem on a neutral field against the pissed off and now getting healthy Vikings????  I rest my case.

Vikings by 10  and lay that -3!

Quick hitters:

Redskins +7.5 vs Cowboys – Now we see Dallas on the up and up and see the Redskins on the down right?   Well not this game.   What do the Cowboys do well?   Run the ball.    What does the Redskins do best?   Stop the run and they rank 6th in the NFL allowing only 95 rushing yards per game.   This is why they beat them the first time.  Everyone is down on the Skins for that gruesome Alex Smith injury but I actually think that Colt McCoy isn’t much of a downgrade.   He has been in this system for 5 years and can scramble.  Now I know their offensive line is in Shambles but due to that, Colt McCoy may benefit more than Alex Smith would have due to his slippery mobility.   Colt is a poor mans Russell Wilson at best but he is from Texas and proud.   Hes coming home to keep a close game and I love the skins by +7.5

Bears -3.5 vs the Lions.   Kerryon Johnson is now hurt and it looks like Marvin Jones won’t be back.   All the points that the Lions scored against this team 10 days ago was in garbage time.   The Lions have a terrible pass blocking O line and are terrible against the run.   Bears by 6

Teaser:  Giants to +12 with the Ravins Under to 49

Cardinals vs Chargers is premium play