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MLB Saturday Super Play – Astros vs Cubs – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Astros vs Cubs -145 O/U 7.5

The Astros vs. Cubs matchup at Wrigley Field today (May 23, 2026) shapes up as a contrast in momentum and pitching styles, with Chicago entering as the favorite and Houston trying to claw back from a rough stretch.

🧭 Quick Takeaway

The Cubs enter as -156 favorites behind Colin Rea, while the Astros counter with opener Kai‑Wei Teng, who has been effective in short stints. Expect left-handed Cubs hitters—especially Pete Crow-Armstrong—to be key factors against Teng.

⚾ Game Context & Stakes

  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago
  • First Pitch: 2:20 PM ET
  • Cubs Record: 29–22 (but on a 5‑game losing streak)
  • Astros Record: 21–31 (trying to stabilize after inconsistent performances)

The Cubs’ skid adds pressure, but their home-field advantage and stronger season record keep them favored.

🔥 Probable Pitchers

Cubs: Colin Rea (RHP)

  • 4–2, 4.98 ERA, 40 K Rea has been hittable but serviceable. His splits suggest vulnerability to right-handed power, which puts Yordan Álvarez and Cam Smith in play.

Astros: Kai‑Wei Teng (RHP)

  • 2.61 ERA, 1.10 WHIP in opener role
  • Excellent recent form: 3 ER over last 11 innings
  • Struggles more vs left-handed hitters—a key matchup note for Chicago’s lineup (Happ, Crow-Armstrong).

🔍 Key Matchups to Watch

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) vs. Teng

Crow-Armstrong is projected to exceed 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs, thanks to Teng’s weaker performance vs lefties.

Yordan Álvarez (HOU) vs. Rea

Álvarez owns a 1.334 OPS in limited ABs vs Rea, making him Houston’s most dangerous bat today.

Cam Smith (HOU)

Smith has been scorching with a 2.500 OPS in a tiny sample vs Rea—still notable for power potential.

Prediction:

  • I do not like Teng vs the Cubs left handed bats today.
  • Rea hasn’t been great, but he is right now is the best SP in Chicago.
  • The Cubs are still a good batting team ranking 4th in wrc+.
  • I think Chicago gets out of the slump today.

Cubs -145 – 1 star

Podcast 818 – 42 – 26 – With Paul Stone – College Football 2026 Best Bets – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!  Paul Stone @PaulStoneSports is back to break down some early college football!   We talk season win totals, futures, and Best Bets in every football conference!   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

Use Promo Code Baseball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASEBALL, FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE, OR 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2026

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Wednesday Free Play Video:

By
Sniper Wes
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Spurs young PG Dejounte Murray dribbling up the court.

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Tuesday Free Pick Video:

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Sniper Wes
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MLB Sunday Fun-day play – Brewers vs Twins – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

🧭 Game Overview

The Brewers enter at 26–17, second in the NL Central, while the Twins sit at 20–26, third in the AL Central. Milwaukee has won three straight on the road, including the first two games of this series.

The game is at Target Field, first pitch 2:10 PM EDT.

🔥 Pitching Matchup

Brewers — Robert Gasser (LHP)

  • Making his 2026 debut after being recalled from Triple‑A.
  • Coming off Tommy John recovery; last pitched in MLB the previous September.
  • Prop expectation: projected Over 3.5 strikeouts by analysts.

Twins — Bailey Ober (RHP)

  • 4–2, 3.46 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 39 K.
  • Coming off a 2‑hit shutout on just 89 pitches — his first career complete game.

⚾ Team Form & Trends

Milwaukee Brewers

  • 11–8 on the road.
  • Offense: .332 OBP (4th in MLB).
  • Recent games: W 2–1, W 3–2 vs MIN; W 7–1 vs SD.
  • Team leaders:
    • Brice Turang hitting .295
    • Jake Bauers leads with 6 HR
    • William Contreras has 27 RBI

Minnesota Twins

  • 12–13 at home.
  • Power: 50 HR, 7th in AL.
  • Recent games: L 2–1, L 3–2 vs MIL; W 9–1 vs MIA.
  • Team leaders:
    • Byron Buxton hitting .260 with 15 RBI
    • Joe Ryan leads staff with 52 K

⚖️ Pitching Matchup Summary

Category Robert Gasser (MIL) Bailey Ober (MIN)
ERA 2.67 career 3.46 (2026)
WHIP 1.13 1.02
K% 17–22% range 18.7%
BB% Higher volatility 7.2% (excellent)
FIP 3.96 career / 6.84 2025 3.83
Pitch Mix Balanced (SL/FA/SI/CH) CH‑heavy, elite command
Recent Form Season debut Coming off 89‑pitch shutout

Prediction:   

  • Bailey Ober has been red hot while Robert Gasser is still inexperienced as he has only 5.2 total MLB innings.  I expect the Twins to jump on the Brewers and force their early bullpen.
  • Bailey Ober has been red hot coming off of a shutout.
  • The Twins rank 5th in wRC+ against left handed pitching.
  • Take the Twins at plus money.

Twins + 122 – 1 star

The 151st Preakness Stakes – Preview & Picks

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

The 2026 Preakness Stakes (the 151st running) is scheduled for today, Saturday, May 16, 2026, at Laurel Park in Laurel, Maryland (due to construction at Pimlico). Post time is approximately 6:50–7:01 p.m. ET. Kentucky Derby winner Golden Tempo is skipping the race to target the Belmont Stakes, leaving a wide-open 14-horse field with no overwhelming favorite.

Top Contenders & Odds

2026 Preakness Stakes Field & Morning-Line Odds

Post Horse Morning Line Odds Notes
1 Taj Mahal 5-1 Local favorite; undefeated at Laurel Park
2 Ocelli 6-1 3rd in Kentucky Derby
3 Crupper 30-1 Longshot
4 Robusta 30-1 Ran in Kentucky Derby
5 Talkin 20-1 –
6 Chip Honcho 5-1 Strong post position history
7 The Hell We Did 15-1 –
8 Bull by the Horns 30-1 –
9 Iron Honor 9-2 (favorite) Morning-line favorite
10 Napoleon Solo 8-1 –
11 Corona de Oro 30-1 –
12 Incredibolt 5-1 Some early betting action
13 Great White 15-1 –
14 Pretty Boy Miah 15-1 –

Handicap:  

The way that I am approaching this race is simple.  I only really like one horse here and that is Taj Mahal at 5-1 in the one hole.  This horse has improved his Beyers after every race.  He also has won by some margin in his last race at the Fredrico Tesio Stakes.   This horse has the gate and the speed to get the job done here in the wonderful state of Maryland.   If you want a sleeper, I have to go with Talkin in teh 5 hole at 20-1.  This horse as the best current Jockey in Irad Ortiz and a very good pedigree under Curlin.  He has improved since the Tampa Bay Derby.   Corona De Oro’s price at 30-1 is too good to miss out on.    Here is my ticket with the total investment of $154.   You could split it in half and pay $77 if you wish.   Best of luck everyone!

Laurel Park, May 16
Race #13
Trifecta
1st[1, 5] – 2nd[1, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12] – 3rd[1, 2, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12]
50 bets @ $1.00
Ticket total $50
Laurel Park, May 16
Race #13
Exacta
1st[1, 9, 12] – 2nd[1, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12]
15 bets @ $4
Ticket total $60
Laurel Park, May 16
Race #13
Exacta
1st[5, 11] – 2nd[1, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12]
10 bets @ $2
Ticket total $20
Laurel Park, May 16
Race #13
Trifecta Box
1st[1, 5, 9, 11]
24 bets @ $1.00
Ticket total $24

Friday Free Play Video:

By
Sniper Wes
-
San Antonio Spurs guard Dejounte Murray dunks during the second half of an NBA basketball game against the Los Angeles Lakers, Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019, in San Antonio. Los Angeles won 103-96. (AP Photo/Darren Abate)

Thursday Free Play Video:

By
Sniper Wes
-
Jul 5, 2021; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Montreal Canadiens right wing Josh Anderson (17) shoots and scores against Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) during the overtime period in game four of the 2021 Stanley Cup Final at the Bell Centre. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports

MLB Wednesday Free Plays – Lefty Loving

By
Shawn Knoche
-

We’ve had a slow start to this week and we now sit at 160-136-2 on the season overall +68.99 units. Hoping to get us back on track today and grow the number. We’ve got a 100+ Unit winning season on the books in baseball and my highest wagers are 3 Units, and Most are between 1-2 Units. I’ve also got four straight documented years of high volume plays with an end of season result in the black. If you wanna be in a lot of action almost everyday take a look at me here at TheOddsbreakers.com.

I’ve got just a short write up today as my analysis today turns to a pair of games. The Milwaukee Brewers hosting the San Diego Padres and the New York Mets hosting the Detroit Tigers. Both of these are early games so just getting you a quick analysis and the picks here.

The key to both these handicaps are the left-handed starters for the Brewers and Tigers. Kyle Harrison has been great for the Brewers posting a 2.41 ERA and a 3.31 xFIP to go with 10.96 strikeouts per nine innings and only 3.48 walks. Keider Montero has also been good for Detroit albiet a little bit lucky posting a 3.18 ERA, a 4.55 xFIP, but only 6.58 strikeouts per nine to go along with a solid walk rate of 1.82.

Two solid lefties and even though the Mets are throwing a solid starting pitcher out themselves in Nolan McLean the offensive woes of both the Mets and Padres against lefties just isn’t being accounted for enough in the price right now. Currently the Padres are 26th in MLB in OPS vs lefties at .617 while the Mets sit at 29th at .600. That folks is not going to get it done on an every day basis. The Tigers are also still being undervalued in the market over the last couple weeks with a 19-24 record, but only a -5 Run Differential.

I’ve been really strong so far this season at turning these price misses into plus money advantages and that’s what we are going for today.

Play both the Brewers ML and RL along with the Tigers ML and alternate RL to hedge the run one win a little bit while still trying to generate some solid errors in the books on the plus money side of things.

Brewers ML -129 to win 1 Unit, Brewers RL -1.5 +155 Risk 1 Unit.

Tigers ML +138 Risk 1 Unit, Tigers RL -1.5 +230 Risk 1 Unit.

Podcast 817 – 41 – 26 – With Patrick Gates – The 2026 Preakness Stakes – College Football – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!  The 151st running of the Preakness Stakes is back!   We bring back Patrick Gates @GatorBetting to break down this wonderful race!  First, Kiev talks some more college football best bets for 2026/2027!   Next, we get right into the Preakness answering a lot of questions!  What is the weather forecast?   Which horses do we like here?  What is wrong with some of the contestants?  How do we bet through this mess of solid picks?  Who are we tossing? Who are the sleepers?   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

Use Promo Code Baseball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASEBALL, FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE, OR 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2026

@FanDuel and @BleavNetwork

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

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